Narrow Neck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this 16-day window for Narrow Neck is a tough one to call a classic. The whole forecast is a long, quiet stretch with very little to get excited about. The first few days are a complete write-off, so we’re looking at a gap of about three days before anything even remotely surfable pops up.

The first real chance comes on Saturday morning, 11th July. The swell is tiny, just 3ft out of the SE, but the wind is glassy—WNW at 3 mph. That’s a major positive, it’ll be clean as a whistle. The combined energy is weak (216), so don’t expect much push, but for a beginner-friendly reef, it’s about as good as it gets in this flat spell. The water temp is 71°F, pretty much normal for this time of year.

Saturday afternoon sees a bit more juice, with a 3ft ESE swell and a period of 12 seconds—that’s a long-period groundswell, which means better shaped waves but longer lulls between sets. The combined energy jumps to moderate (548), which is the standout pulse of the whole outlook. Wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NNE at 9 mph, so it’ll be a bit bumpy but still surfable. Keep in mind, this spot can get crowded sometimes, so expect company.

Sunday morning, 12th July, offers clean 3ft waves with a moderate offshore breeze from the WNW at 12 mph. The energy is weak (141) and the swell is small, but it’s rideable. By Sunday afternoon, the swell drops to 2ft and the energy is very weak (90). After that, from Monday 13th right through to Friday 17th, the surf is basically non-existent. We’re talking flat, with swell heights under 2ft and combined energy below 100 for days.

There’s a slight flicker on Friday morning, 17th July, with 1ft from the SE and a clean offshore wind. The energy is still weak (80) and the period is 11 seconds, so it’s a long-period groundswell. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to write home about. Saturday 18th sees a glassy 1ft from the SE with a 13-second period—very clean, but tiny. The energy is a measly 50.

The rest of the outlook from Sunday 19th through Thursday 23rd is a flat, windy mess. Swell sizes hover around 0.7ft to 2ft, with most days showing poor conditions and weak energy. A few windows of clean offshore winds pop up, but with no swell to back them, it’s a no-go. The best of a bad bunch is Saturday morning, 18th July, and even that is a stretch.

Honestly, if you’re in the water, the standout is Saturday morning, 11th July—glassy, clean, and the only time the conditions align. But don’t expect a barrel. The long-period swell on Saturday afternoon has more energy, but the wind will chop it up. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. This is a quiet period for the area, so it’s not unusual to see a blank run like this. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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