Narrow Neck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here with a look at what’s shaping up for Narrow Neck. Gotta be straight with you—this forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a long, lean stretch ahead, so don’t get your hopes up for any quick sessions.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, the pattern is basically flat and poor. We start off with a tiny window of something, but it gets swallowed up by days and days of junk. There’s a real gap from Friday the 24th of July all the way through to the start of August with nothing worth paddling out for—wind is either too strong, onshore, or just messy. It’s a proper dry spell.

Thursday morning, July 23rd is about the only flash of hope in the near term. Narrow Neck (reef) picks up a little 4ft easterly bump with an 8-second period. Combined wave energy is weak at 260. But here’s the kicker—the wind is glassy, dead calm from the west at just 5 km/h. That’ll keep it clean as a whistle. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, and with that glass, it’ll be fun for a few waves, though it’s *consistent* and can draw a crowd *sometimes*. The swell direction from the east is a bit off their optimum from the NE, so it won’t be firing, but it’ll be rideable.

After that morning, the whole outlook gets grim. The rest of Thursday and all of Friday sees the wind swing cross-onshore and pick up, with the swell dropping and getting chopped up. Saturday the 25th stays similar—noisy, weak, and not worth the drive. From Sunday the 26th onward, the swell just bottoms out, barely breaking at 0.7ft to 2ft with tiny energy readings. Even the long-period 12-second stuff that shows up on Monday the 27th is too small to matter. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore and often strong.

We see a bit more size showing up around Thursday the 6th of August, with the swell building to 7ft from the southeast and energy jumping to 1093—moderate to strong. But the wind is cross-onshore from the ENE at 25 km/h, which will make it choppy and messy. That’s a powerful swell, but with that wind and a period of 9 seconds, it’s not going to offer any clean lines. For a reef break like Narrow Neck, that kind of bump with cross-onshore breeze is more of a battle than a joyride. The following days lose size again and stay junky.

So, what’s the call? If you’re desperate, Thursday morning, July 23rd is your best bet for a clean but small session at Narrow Neck. After that, it’s a long wait with nothing solid on the horizon. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on those bigger, windier days. For now, leave the boards in the car.

Rusty

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