Narrow Neck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be honest: the next sixteen days are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long stretch of small, messy, and mostly onshore slop. There is a bit of a pulse of energy around the middle of the month, but it’s not going to save the session—it’s just going to make it bigger and messier. The only real window of opportunity is right at the start, and it’s pretty marginal at best.

We start Friday morning, the 7th, with a tiny 2.3ft east swell and a 7-second period. The combined energy is weak at 66. The wind is dead glass and the water is a normal 68.7°. It is technically surfable, but it’s super ordinary. The break is Narrow Neck, a reef setup, and the wind is offshore from the WNW. It’s a beginner wave, but with that short period and small size, you’re going to be groveling. Saturday the 8th is worse, with a light cross-onshore messing it up. Things don’t change much through the weekend. Sunday morning, the 9th, has a slight bump to 3.3ft with a 9-second period, and the energy ticks up to 167, but the wind for the afternoon turns into a 12 mph cross-offshore, which will make it clean but still tiny and weak.

Monday the 10th sees a moderate offshore wind at 16 mph, which is a plus, but the swell drops to 2.6ft and the energy is moderate at 161. It’s still just small. Then we hit a bit of a flat spell. Tuesday the 11th is glassy but only 2.0ft, and the energy drops to a weak 69. From Wednesday the 12th through to the 15th, we are looking at poor, weak conditions with the swell consistently under 2.3ft. It’s a proper lull.

The first real change comes on Sunday the 16th. The swell jumps to 3.9ft, but the period crashes to 6 seconds—that’s just wind slop. The energy is moderate at 156, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, making it choppy and lumpy. Not worth a paddle. Monday the 17th is similar, with more energy (258-294) but still a junk 7-second period and onshore wind.

The swell actually builds from the 18th onwards, but it’s all bad news. By Tuesday the 18th, we’ve got 6.6ft of short-period cross-shore junk with strong energy (753), and the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore on Tuesday afternoon. It’s a washing machine. This is the kind of setup that might be more fun for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The rest of the week stays in that vein—bigger, short-period, and onshore. Wednesday the 19th afternoon sees 6.6ft with 896 energy, but it’s a fresh cross-onshore and lumpy. By the 20th and 21st, the energy settles back into the moderate range, but it’s still choppy and onshore.

There’s no standout here, folks. The only window where it’s clean and glassy is the early morning of Friday the 7th, and even then, it’s just ankle-biters. Longer-period groundswell is a no-show. The water temp is normal for this time of year. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s just how it goes sometimes. Keep the board in the car, but maybe keep the wax in the pocket for another week. Forecasts can change.

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