Narrow Neck Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid run of swell, but the wind is just blowing it to pieces. The real standout is hiding right at the end of the window, so you’ll need some patience.

We’re looking at a long stretch of messy, blown-out conditions starting Sunday, July 19th. That first week is a real struggle. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Let’s talk about the only break on the cards: Narrow Neck. It’s a reef break, good for beginners, and consistent, but it’s exposed to the swell. The problem is the wind. For the first five days, it’s a relentless cross-onshore pounding from the SSE and SE, gusting up to 31 mph. The swell is pumping, between 8 ft and 10 ft, mostly from the SE with a 10-second period, but the energy is huge – we’re talking a combined energy of 2824 on Sunday morning. That’s just a total mess, though. This is strictly for kite surfers; paddle surfing is not happening.

We get a slight reprieve on Wednesday, July 22nd, with the swell dropping to 5 ft, but the wind is still light cross-onshore, making for marginal surf. Things get a bit interesting on Thursday morning, July 23rd. The wind goes glassy from the SSW, and we get a little 4 ft swell from the ENE with a weak 8-second period and a combined energy of 220. It’s not world-class, but it’s the first clean wave we’ve seen all week. The afternoon gets chopped again, though.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions and tiny swell until the end of the month. The waves drop to 1.0 ft, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore or cross-offshore. It’s a long, flat, messy run.

Now, here’s the hopeful bit. Save your energy for the start of August. On Saturday, August 1st, we get a real treat. The morning is glassy with a clean 8 ft swell from the ESE, an 8-second period, and a combined energy of 901. That’s a proper, powerful groundswell with very good surf conditions. The period is a bit short, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but the glassy conditions will make it clean. The afternoon goes a bit onshore, so the morning is the session. This is your standout. The crowd profile is "sometimes," so you might have some company, but it’s worth it. The swell direction (ESE) is a bit off the optimum NE, but the quality of the session will make up for it.

The forecast for that Saturday is a bit far out, so it’s promising but not locked in. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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