Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the cards for Guillotines.

This is a tricky outlook for the next two weeks. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, we’re staring down a long, dry spell. The first real suggestion of anything surfable doesn’t pop up until Sunday the 23rd of August, and even then it’s a weak, 2ft SSE swell with a period of 8 seconds, giving a total combined energy of just 95 (weak). The wind is glassy that morning, which is a major positive for clean conditions, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. That’s the only day with a score above zero in the first week and a half.

After that, we’re back to a frustrating run of poor surf conditions right through until Friday the 29th of August. There’s a morning on the 29th with a 3ft S swell, period of 11 seconds, and offshore SSW wind. The combined energy is 256 (moderate), and the wind is clean. That’s the first time the outlook starts to look like a proper surf session, but it’s still only rated as “surfable but ordinary.”

The real standout, and the only day I’d circle on the calendar, is Sunday the 30th of August. The morning is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a solid 10ft SSE swell with a very long period of 17 seconds, and the combined energy is a massive 4335 (very strong). That’s a groundswell with serious power. The wind is light offshore from the SW, so it’ll be clean. That’s expert territory – well over 8ft – so only for the experienced crew. Because it’s a long-period groundswell and Guillotines is a point break, the setup is right for these waves to wrap in and hold their shape. The afternoon drops off a bit with a cross-on wind and smaller 8ft swell.

The Monday the 31st of August still has size (5ft to 5ft from the SSE) but the wind turns onshore and choppy, ruining the quality. The energy drops to 595-610 (moderate). After that, we’re back to small, weak, and messy conditions through the end of the 16-day window.

Water temperature sits at 63°F, with an anomaly of 1°F, which is about average for this time of year. Nothing unusual there.

Bottom line: If you’re an expert and can wait, the morning of Sunday the 30th of August is the only serious window. Everything else is small, weak, or blown out. This is a classic case of an inconsistent point going quiet for long stretches, so don’t hold your breath in between.

Rusty.

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