Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie and let's see what we've got. It's a bit of a flat, mushy run for the next week plus, so manage your expectations.

The next 16 days are a real mixed bag. We've got a long stretch of small, weak surf and bumpy winds before a couple of promising windows show up. The first real highlight arrives on Thursday the 13th, but it's a brief one. There's also a noteworthy window on Saturday the 15th and into Sunday the 16th, but the waves will be pretty ordinary. Don't book the time off work just yet.

Looking at the water temp, it's sitting around 63°F and that's right about average for this time of year. Not cold, not warm, just standard.

For the first part of the run, from now through Wednesday the 12th, it's pretty grim. The swell stays below 3ft, mostly weak, with the combined energy struggling to get out of the low hundreds [63 – 125]. Cross-shore and onshore winds are going to chop it up and keep things messy. There's a window on Wednesday afternoon with some clean conditions, but with 2ft and only 75 energy, it's a shed-sitting day, not a surfing one.

Now, Thursday the 13th is our first standout. The swell jumps to 6ft from the south with a strong energy reading of 668. The morning is the time to be in the water, with light offshore winds (W at 3 mph) forecast. That's the cleanest and biggest combo we see in this whole period. The wind backs off the afternoon, which kills the vibe, so make the most of that morning session.

After that, we're back into a trough. Friday the 14th is small and choppy, and the weekend looks pretty average. The 15th and 16th have some surfable but very ordinary waves, mostly around the 3-3ft mark. Saturday morning is glassy with a southerly 3ft swell and 238 energy, but it's only a 1/10 on the quality scale. Sunday morning sees a gentle offshore wind and a 3ft south swell, but again, it's not going to be firing.

The second week is more of the same; small and weak. There are some clean, glassy conditions on the morning of Tuesday the 19th, but with 1ft of swell, it's barely even a ripple. The one thing to keep an eye on is the swell due on the afternoon of Friday the 21st. It's from the south-southeast at 5ft but with a short 7-second period and onshore winds, that's going to be a messy close-out for a point break like this. Not into it.

Overall, the Thursday the 13th morning is the standout. The energy, size, and the offshore wind line up for a proper session at Guillotines (Point). It's an advanced wave and it's inconsistent, so pick your moments. But the quality and conditions are clearly the best on offer in this 16-day window.

-Rusty

Read more