Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown for our little corner of the surf world. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, things are pretty quiet. We’ve got a long, slow run of small to marginal waves through the end of July. The first standout doesn’t arrive until Monday, August 3rd, so you’re looking at about a week and a half of mostly flat or ordinary conditions before that. There’s a glimmer of hope on Tuesday morning, July 21st, but it’s tiny.

The only serious game in town is Guillotines. This is an advanced, inconsistent point break with a pretty decent exposure to the swell, but it needs the stars to align. The water is sitting at 63°F, which is about average for the time of year.

Let’s take it week by week.

Week One (July 20 – July 26):
It’s a tough stretch. Monday the 20th is a write-off – messy onshore wind and a poor surf forecast. Tuesday the 21st morning is the best of a bad lot: glassy conditions with a clean 4ft swell from the ENE and a period of 10 seconds. The combined swell energy is low-moderate at 312, but it’s a surfable wave if you’re desperate. After that, it’s a slow fade. Wednesday and Thursday are ordinary with dropping sizes (3ft down to 2ft). Friday the 24th through Sunday the 26th is a messy mix of cross-onshore winds and underpowered, short-period slop. Honestly, you can leave the boards at home.

Week Two (July 27 – August 4):
Still a lot of nothing. Monday the 27th through to Sunday, August 2nd is a grim run of tiny, weak surf with plenty of onshore chop. Swell heights mostly sit below 2ft, and the combined energy is often in the double digits – we’re talking barely a ripple (44 to 82). It’s not worth paddling out.

The Standout (August 3rd and 4th):
Finally, a pulse. Monday, August 3rd, is the clear winner. We get a solid 12ft swell from the south, with a long-period groundswell of 12 seconds. The combined swell energy is a strong 5394. This is big, powerful stuff. For an advanced crew only – if you don’t know what you’re doing, this will hurt you. The wind is light from the north, so it’s just a light cross-onshore, not ideal but workable for the crew who can handle it. Tuesday the 4th offers a bit more size to play with (7ft swells) but with a cross-shore wind, it won't be as clean. Still, it’s the only real action on the whole chart.

So, bottom line: we’ve got a solid, expert-only session arriving on August 3rd. For the rest of the forecast, it’s a waiting game.

Stay frosty.
Rusty.

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