Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about Guillotines. This is an advanced-level point break, and it’s an inconsistent one, so when it turns on, it’s a special deal. The water’s sitting at 63°F, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild.

Right now, we’re looking at a flat, frustrating stretch. From Sunday 12th July right through to Tuesday 14th July, there’s nothing doing. Totally hopeless. Tiny swell, no energy, cross and cross-off winds making a mess of it. You’re better off staying home.

Then Wednesday 15th July morning is where it starts to get interesting. Sudden jump in swell – 7 ft from the south, period of 10 seconds, and glassy conditions with a light south-west breeze. The combined energy hits 1074 (moderate-to-strong), and the waves are set to be very good. This is the standout of the whole forecast. For a break that’s inconsistent, this is a rare moment. However, at 7 ft, it’s getting into expert-only territory, so don’t send the beginners out. The swell direction is from the south, and the optimum here is from the southeast, so it’s not a perfect match, but the quality and the glassy window make it the best on offer.

Thursday 16th July morning keeps momentum: 5 ft from the south, period of 7 seconds, with offshore south-southwest wind. Combined energy is 367 (moderate). Clean, offshore conditions. Less punchy than Wednesday, but still a solid morning session.

Friday 17th July morning drops to 3 ft from the east, period 9 seconds, light offshore wind, energy at 214 (moderate). Clean but ordinary. Saturday 18th July morning is glassy with 3 ft from the east, energy 123 (weak). Surfable but small.

Sunday 19th July morning sees a new pulse: 6 ft from the east-northeast, period 11 seconds, but the wind is cross-on from the north, dropping the quality. Energy is 773 (strong). The afternoon turns even worse with onshore winds at 12 mph. This one’s messy.

Monday 20th July morning is a redemption: 5 ft from the east-northeast, long period of 11 seconds, glassy with a westerly breeze. Energy at 656 (moderate). Clean, good waves. This is the second standout. The long period means better shaped waves, but at a point break like Guillotines, that’s a bonus, not a caveat. Expect longer lulls between sets.

Tuesday 21st July morning is glassy again with 4 ft, energy 365 (moderate). Clean and fun. After that, the surf tails off into the following week. Wednesday 22nd through Saturday 25th has some small to moderate pulses, mostly 3 ft to 5 ft, with clean offshore or cross-off winds on a few mornings, but nothing that screams “drop everything.” Energy stays in the low-to-moderate range.

The last few days from 26th July drop off significantly, with weak swell and small energy numbers. The 16-day window closes with a whimper.

So, the real standouts are Wednesday 15th July morning and Monday 20th July morning. Both have glassy or offshore winds, decent size, and clean conditions. Wednesday is the bigger, more powerful day – but it’s for experts only. Monday is a bit smaller but still very good. Don’t sleep on them.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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