Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Guillotines.

First off, this is a point break that’s inconsistent and only for the advanced crew. It’s fairly exposed to swell, but it needs a specific SE direction to really work. The water temp is sitting at 63°, which is about normal for this time of year.

Now, the outlook. Honestly, for the first week and a half, it’s pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf and poor conditions. The first real glimmer comes on Thursday the 6th of August in the morning. It’s tiny, only 3ft of swell from the S, with a period of 7 seconds – that’s short-period stuff, not much punch. The energy is weak (90), and the wave comment says “very ordinary.” But the wind is glassy, dead calm from the NNW, so the surface will be clean. It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about.

Friday the 7th of August morning is a repeat: 2ft from the SSE, glassy wind, weak energy (96). Still “very ordinary.” After that, we slide into a long gap. From Saturday the 8th right through to Thursday the 13th of August, the wave height is mostly under 3ft, the wind is messy, and the scores are poor. The combined energy is mostly below 100, or just barely above it. There’s a jump on Sunday the 9th afternoon to 265 energy, but that’s with a 3ft onshore slop and rain. Not worth it.

The first real standout lines up on Thursday the 13th of August in the afternoon. Swell jumps to 5ft from the SSW, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (301), and the wind is offshore from the SSW at 16 mph. That’s clean. The guidance says “marginal,” but for this spot, that’s the best we’ve seen. Friday the 14th of August afternoon builds on it: 4ft from the S, 10-second period, moderate energy (313), and clean cross-off wind. The comment says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your first real highlight.

Saturday the 15th of August morning is the pick of the run. You’ve got 4ft from the S, 9-second period, solid energy (307), and light offshore wind from the SW. The waves will be clean and have some shape. The wind is gentle, so it won’t be blown out. This is the best session on offer. It’s consistent with the optimum direction (SE is close enough to S), and the crowds are listed as “sometimes” – so you might have company, but not a zoo.

After that, the swell drops off again. The deep second week looks poor. There’s a blip on Thursday the 20th of August afternoon with a 3ft S swell and a long 12-second period, and the energy jumps to 500 – but the wind is onshore from the NE at 12 mph, ruining it. The next morning, Friday the 21st of August, we get 3ft from the S, 10-second period, 172 energy, and glassy conditions. That’s “surfable” again, but nothing special. Friday afternoon gets a 8ft swell from the SSE, with massive energy (1111), but it’s cross-shore wind and the comment says “marginal.” That’s too big for beginners and only for the experts, but the wind isn’t clean enough to make it a standout.

So, bottom line: mark your calendar for Saturday the 15th of August morning. That’s the peak. The rest is a lot of waiting.

Rusty.

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