Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, we've got a bit of a slow dance to start, but this upcoming stretch at Guillotines is shaping up to have some serious firepower if you're patient and experienced. The water temp is sitting right on the money for this time of year, 63°, so no nasty surprises there.

We kick off on Thursday, 9th July, with a bit of a teaser. The afternoon sees a 4ft SE swell, but with a light cross-off breeze, it's clean and surfable. The wave energy is moderate (439), nothing to write home about, but it's a decent warm-up. Friday morning, 10th July, is even better for a paddle. That SE swell bumps up slightly to 4ft, and the wind goes glassy – dead calm. It’ll be clean as a whistle. But don't get too comfortable; the afternoon turns into a choppy mess with a cross-on wind.

From Saturday, 11th July, through to Thursday, 16th July, it's a proper dry spell. The swell drops out, the wind is junk, and there's nothing worth paddling out for. The energy fades to almost nothing, down to single digits. It's a solid week of flatness.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for the big boys. Thursday, 16th July, the ocean wakes up. Thursday morning, a 13ft swell from the SSE hits with a strong offshore wind. The combined energy is massive (2244). This is expert territory only – way too big for beginners. It's clean, but that's a lot of water moving. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a bit of a stormy lump, not a clean groundswell. Friday, 17th July, is the standout. The morning holds 13ft from the SE, with a light offshore wind. The energy is pumping (3402). The afternoon is even better, with 13ft from the SE, a 10-second period, and a light cross-off breeze. The wave energy is massive (4525). This is the pick of the whole forecast. It's powerful, clean, and only for experts.

The weekend of 18th-19th July stays huge, but the wind turns against us. Saturday morning has a 13ft ESE swell, but a cross-on breeze will mess up the face. Sunday, 19th July, is a monster – 16ft from the SE with a 12-second period. That's a proper groundswell with very long period. The energy is insane (14375). It's a cross-on wind, so it'll be a bit of a battle, but for the top-tier crew, the raw power will be there. The wave period is over 15 seconds, so this one will be lining up nicely at Guillotines, which is a point break, but it might break a bit too straight for the beachies.

After that, things settle down. Monday, 20th July, is still big at 8ft, but the wind is messy. The energy drops significantly. We get a few more clean windows from Tuesday, 21st July, with 5ft and a cross-off wind, and Wednesday, 22nd July, with a glassy 3ft. The last notable day is Friday, 24th July, with a 6ft E swell, clean offshore wind, and a solid 10-second period. The energy is strong (907), and it'll be a fun, clean session for the experienced crew.

So, the bottom line: the first week is a write-off. The second week brings proper, heavy swell. The absolute standout is Friday, 17th July – that's your day if you've got the skills and the courage. Sunday, 19th July, is a close second for the raw power, but the wind is a factor. For the rest of us, wait for the 21st or 22nd July for a cleaner, smaller paddle.

Rusty.

Read more