Guillotines Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Guillotines.

Guillotines is a point break, so it has that potential to line up beautifully when the conditions are right. The water is running a touch warmer than normal at 65°, which is nice for this time of year. The big news is a solid pulse of swell arrives on Wednesday the 16th. We’re looking at a strong 8ft swell from the S, carrying a moderate 9-second period. Combined swell energy is pumping at (1092). The wind is blowing clean offshore from the SSW at 19 mph, which is a major positive – the faces should be glassy and groomed. Be warned, this is an advanced break and it’s inconsistent, meaning you’ll need to be patient and pick your waves. Crowds are possible here.

Wednesday afternoon sees the swell even bigger, jumping to 10ft from the S, still with that 9-second period. The energy jumps to (1368), but the wind shifts to a cross-off from the S at 19 mph. It’s still clean enough, but the size and power on a point break at over 8ft means this is strictly for experts only.

Thursday the 17th morning is the real standout of this whole run. The swell drops to a very manageable 6ft from the SSE, still a solid 9-second period with moderate energy at (561). The killer here is the wind: light offshore from the SSW at just 6 mph. That’s glassy, perfect conditions. For an inconsistent point that can be fickle, this is about as good as the forecast gets for a clean, punchy wave in the chest-to-head high range. Get on it early.

After Thursday morning, the window slams shut. The rest of the 16-day run is mostly plagued by poor conditions, onshore wind, and fading swell. There’s a long stretch of flat and choppy days from the 18th through to the 25th, with virtually nothing worth paddling out for.

We get a faint sign of life again on Monday the 22nd. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the S with a very short 6-second period, energy at (292), but the wind is offshore from the S at 12 mph, so it’s clean. By Tuesday the 22nd afternoon, we see a 4ft SSE swell with a better 10-second period pushing energy to (518), and the wind is a clean cross-off from the SE. It’s surfable, but nothing compared to the Thursday morning window.

The final day with any mentionable surf is Thursday morning the 1st of October. A 4ft swell from the S with a short 6-second period and a light cross-off breeze from the SW gives you clean but weak little waves. Energy is low at (250).

So, in a nutshell: your window is tight. The absolute best bet is Thursday the 17th morning. Light offshore wind, decent 6ft SSE swell, and a clean point. The Wednesday the 16th is for experts only. After that, the place goes quiet for days. If you can only paddle out once, make it Thursday morning.

Stay well, Rusty.

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