Aussie pipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what we’ve got in the water for Aussie Pipe. This is a tricky spot, a sheltered reef break that really needs the right direction to fire, and it’s inconsistent to begin with, so we’re going to have to pick our moments carefully.

The water is sitting at 65°F with a positive anomaly of 2°F, so it’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus if you’re paddling out.

The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 26th is a no-go, with a small 4ft south swell but cross-off winds and poor conditions. Monday the 27th is ordinary with a weak 3ft swell and not much energy (166), and Tuesday the 28th is barely a ripple with 1.0ft. Wednesday the 29th is a mess with strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, choppy water. There’s a big spike in energy on Thursday the 30th with a 10ft south swell, but the combined energy is massive (3005 to 3492) and the wind is onshore or cross-on, making it ugly and dangerous. Too big for beginners, and the wind ruins it for everyone else. Friday the 31st through Saturday the 1st of August stays poor with fresh onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

Now, there’s a brief window on Sunday the 2nd of August that looks like the best on offer in the whole forecast. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the southeast, with a nice long period of 12 seconds. The wind is light north or cross-off in the morning, turning offshore from the northeast in the afternoon. The combined energy is moderate to strong (778 and 684), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the standout. The offshore wind will make the reef nice and clean, and that long period will give the waves some proper shape. Keep in mind, this spot is inconsistent, so this is a rare treat. Crowds are likely here, so get on it early.

Monday the 3rd of August drops off again with a smaller 4ft swell and only fair conditions. Then Tuesday the 4th is a dud. We get another big pulse from Wednesday the 5th through to Saturday the 9th of August, with swell heights ranging from 8ft up to 15ft, mostly from the south. The combined energy is huge (values up to 3958), but the wind is almost always cross-on or onshore, creating choppy, lumpy, and poor conditions. The waves will be too big and messy for anyone but experts, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. Not recommended.

The very end of the forecast, on Sunday the 10th and Monday the 11th of August, shows another big swell pulse, 10ft to 12ft from the east, with a long period of 11 to 12 seconds. The wind turns offshore from the ENE and NE, which is a major positive. The combined energy is very strong (2386 to 2847). This is a promising, long-range call. The offshore wind will keep it clean, but the size and power put it firmly in the “experts only” category. The swell direction is from the east, and this spot’s optimum is from the southeast, so it’s a bit off-angle, which could make it wall up or be a bit wonky. It’s a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but it is the only other bright spot in the whole 16 days.

So, to wrap it up: the clear winner is the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. If you’re an experienced surfer, the offshore easterly swells on the 10th and 11th of August are worth keeping an eye on, but that’s for the experts only.

Rusty.

Read more