Plantation Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our local stretch, focusing on Plantation Point. It’s been a mixed bag but there’s some serious potential hiding in the middle of the period.

The pattern kicks off with a bit of a flat spell. The first couple of days, Saturday the 4th and into Sunday morning, we’re looking at small, weak energy—only about 3 ft on Saturday with a short 8-second period and poor conditions, so don’t even bother waxing up. The combined energy is weak too, sitting at 184 or lower.

But then, things get very interesting starting Sunday afternoon. That’s when the real pulse arrives. We’ve got a solid 10 ft swell from the S with a groundswell period of 11 seconds, and the combined wave energy jumps to a powerful 2177 (moderate-strong). What’s crucial here is the wind: it’s offshore out of the SSW on the Sunday morning at 16 mph, which will carve those lines up clean. This is the standout window. The swell is over 8 ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers only—it’s gonna be big and powerful at this very sheltered point break. The optimum swell direction is SE, and we’re getting S and SSE, which works well at Plantation Point.

Monday the 6th through to Thursday the 9th keeps the energy pumping. We’re seeing consistent swell heights between 6 ft and 10 ft, mostly from the SSE, with periods around 10 to 12 seconds. The wind stays offshore or clean cross-off through most of these days, especially on the Tuesday and Wednesday. The combined energy values are well into the three-digit range, hitting 1758 on Wednesday morning—that’s solid, moderate-strong energy. The best session looks like Thursday afternoon the 9th, with a 10 ft SSE swell, 11-second period, and a massive combined energy reading of 3480 (very strong). Again, that’s big, expert-only territory. The water temp is about average for this time of year, no big anomaly to report.

Now, a heads-up—Plantation Point is inconsistent and very sheltered, so it needs a proper swell to light up, and when it does, crowds are possible. For a spot this good, you’ll want to be out early.

After that peak, Friday the 10th holds decent 7 ft to 8 ft surf with gentle offshore winds, but by Saturday the 11th it drops off fast. We hit a gap from the 11th through to the 13th where the swell plummels below 2 ft and the wind turns onshore or cross-shore—total flatness with weak energy (down to 26 on Monday the 13th). Nothing worth paddling for.

Then there’s a resurrection on Tuesday the 14th afternoon. We get a 7 ft S swell with a 9-second period, offshore winds, and a combined energy of 1184 (moderate). The rest of the week into the 19th is up and down—some surfable but ordinary days with 5 ft to 7 ft, but the wind and period aren’t firing on all cylinders. The combined energy drops back into the low hundreds by the end of the run. The 17th through the 19th is mostly small, weak, and not worth chasing.

So, to sum it up: the absolute best bet is Sunday the 5th through Thursday the 9th. For the experienced crew, Sunday morning and Thursday afternoon are the standouts. Beginner surfers should stay out of the water from Sunday onward—it’s too big. After that, you’ve got a dead period, then a smaller window on the 14th, but nothing compared to the main event.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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