Surf Forecasts:
Tam O'Shanter surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,310 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tam O'Shanter this week:
The surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tam O'Shanter in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let me give you the straight-up story on Tam O'Shanter for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. Tam O'Shanter is a point break that rarely breaks, and this forecast is a long, frustrating run of poor surf. The first week is basically a write-off. From Thursday the 23rd right through to Tuesday the 29th of July, it’s just messy. We’ve got a moderate cross-off wind blowing strong, and the swell is short-period, weak stuff – the combined energy barely gets into the moderate range (189 to 389). The waves are there, but the wind is just ruining them. It’s clean in the sense of no rain, but the wind is cross-off, making it lumpy and uninviting. For a spot that’s already inconsistent, it’s a brutal start.
Then, there’s a glimmer. On Wednesday the 29th of July, we finally get a window. The morning brings a gentle offshore wind from the SSW. The swell is 5 ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (425). It’s the best the forecast has to offer, and the conditions are described as "gentle offshore and clean." That’s what you’re waiting for. But it’s a short-lived window. The afternoon drops to a tiny 1 ft with a very long 16-second period. That long period from a groundswell will be straight and weak at a point break, so it’s not going to do much.
After that, it’s back to the desert. From Thursday the 30th of July all the way to Friday the 7th of August, the swell is almost non-existent. We’re talking about 0.3 ft to 1 ft waves with periods all over the place, from 5 seconds to 19 seconds. The combined energy is a paltry 3 to 82. The wind is mostly light, but the sea is flat. There’s a morning on Monday the 3rd of August that’s glassy, but with only 1 ft of swell, it’s more of a lake than a surf break. For a rarely-breaking point, this is a very normal, very blank run.
The only standout for the whole 16-day window is that Wednesday morning, July 29th. If you’re an intermediate and you can get there early, that’s it. The water is about average for the time of year, around 56°F. For everything else, you’re better off finding something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, moderate winds from the W by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon night, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Mon night, light winds from the SW by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 11 | WNW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 168 | 278 | 484 | 180 | 331 | 432 | 279 | 138 | 103 | 100 | 181 | 106 | 99 | 90 | 147 | 400 | 1310 | 335 | 49 | 29 | 15 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:22PM2.64m | 7:06AM2.41m | 7:03PM2.56m | 7:53AM2.35m | 7:44PM2.49m | 8:41AM2.30m | 8:29PM2.43m | 9:31AM2.28m | 9:16PM2.39m | 10:24AM2.27m | 10:07PM2.37m | 11:17AM2.29m | 11:00PM2.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:15PM0.74m | 00:49AM0.44m | 12:58PM0.85m | 1:33AM0.49m | 1:42PM0.95m | 2:17AM0.53m | 2:28PM1.02m | 3:04AM0.55m | 3:18PM1.07m | 3:54AM0.56m | 4:11PM1.09m | 4:45AM0.56m | 5:06PM1.09m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Feels °C | 1 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 16 | — | NW 16 | NW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 11 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 24 | — | 38 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 335 | 49 | 29 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 16 | W 5 | WNW 12 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 168 | 278 | 484 | 180 | 331 | 432 | 279 | 138 | 103 | 100 | 181 | 106 | 99 | 90 | 147 | 400 | 1310 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 210 | 374 | 374 | 164 | 504 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 164 | 211 | 164 | 212 | 211 | 148 | 369 | 164 | 164 | 129 | 155 | 216 | 155 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tam O'Shanter Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tam O'Shanter provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tam O'Shanter can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tam O'Shanter surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tam O'Shanter) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tam O'Shanter is 11 km (7 miles) from Bell Bay. If you plan a holiday in North Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bell Bay. Bell Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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