Surf Forecasts:
Tam O'Shanter surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, WNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, WNW swell with 167 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tam O'Shanter this week:
The surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tam O'Shanter in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 10AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Tue 8th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a long look at Tam O’Shanter, and I gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough stretch. This break is a classic point, and it rarely breaks, so we’re already up against it. Looking at the whole 16-day run, it’s a grim picture with almost nothing worth paddling out for.
The forecast starts Monday, September 7th with a weak 3 ft swell from the WNW, period a short 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a paltry 69. That’s just weak. The wind is a moderate S offshore, so the face would be clean, but there’s just no push. The rest of the week is a write-off. We’ve got tiny bits of swell, most under 2 ft, with long periods of 15-19 seconds, but the energy is in the 20-30 range – not enough to wrap around a point. The wind is light and cross-off for much of it, which would be a dream if there were any waves.
We then hit a massive gap. From around Tuesday the 8th right through to Sunday the 13th, it’s flat or near-flat. A few days with 0.3 ft or 0.6 ft – you’d be floating around on a paddleboard, not surfing.
Things get interesting in the second week, but not in a good way for us. On Monday the 14th, a big pulse of 8 ft to 8 ft NW swell shows up. That’s heavy, straight into a strong cross-onshore wind of 15-25 mph. The combined energy hits a strong 574 to 703. For Tam O’Shanter, that much NW swell with that much wind is going to be a messy, choppy mess. It’s only for experts, and even then, the conditions are "poor". Honestly, with that size and wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. That size hangs around for a few days with fresh winds out of the W, keeping the swell bumpy and cross-chop. The 18th and 19th get even windier, with near gale force winds.
Into the final days, Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st, it drops right back down to tiny, weak swell again. The whole window is a total bust.
So, no standouts. Not a single day that gets the heart racing. For an area where this break rarely works, a blank run like this is pretty normal. It sucks to say, but the best thing to do is leave the board in the car and find something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the WNW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Thu night, light winds from the S by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 21 | NW 19 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | NW 16 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 15 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | NW 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 51 | 60 | 26 | 17 | 14 | 99 | 117 | 39 | 91 | 79 | 75 | 42 | 40 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:10AM2.69m | 7:07PM2.82m | 8:04AM2.63m | 8:04PM2.76m | 9:02AM2.59m | 9:06PM2.70m | 10:01AM2.56m | 10:12PM2.64m | 11:00AM2.57m | 11:19PM2.61m | 11:58AM2.60m | 00:24AM2.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:45AM0.08m | 1:04PM0.69m | 1:39AM0.14m | 1:59PM0.72m | 2:37AM0.22m | 2:59PM0.73m | 3:37AM0.31m | 4:03PM0.72m | 4:38AM0.40m | 5:08PM0.66m | 5:39AM0.48m | 6:10PM0.57m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 13 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | NW 5 | NW 13 | — | WNW 16 | NW 16 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | WNW 6 | NW 5 | WNW 15 | NW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 16 | NW 15 |
| kJ | 27 | 60 | 26 | 6 | 6 | — | 25 | 39 | 91 | 79 | 75 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 24 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 12 | — | NW 10 | NW 19 | — | — | NW 21 | — | — | — | — | NW 16 | WNW 15 | — | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | — | 4 | 14 | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | 40 | 23 | — | 24 | 25 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 15 | — | NW 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 4 | — | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | 51 | — | — | — | 7 | 99 | 117 | 44 | 35 | 22 | 9 | 31 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 212 | 0 | 228 | 164 | 164 | 164 | 164 | 615 | 1293 | 155 | 50 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 155 | 188 | 178 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tam O'Shanter Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tam O'Shanter provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tam O'Shanter can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tam O'Shanter surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tam O'Shanter) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tam O'Shanter is 11 km (7 miles) from Bell Bay. If you plan a holiday in North Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bell Bay. Bell Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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