Tam O'Shanter Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.03° S 146.94° E

Tam O'Shanter Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Tam O'Shanter sea temperature is
13.4° C
0.3° 

Tam O'Shanter surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Tam O'Shanter surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, WNW swell with 1,118 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tam O'Shanter this week:

The surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Tam O'Shanter in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Sat 25th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 7AM (Mon 27th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 7s
Most Powerful 4PM (Fri 24th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tam O'Shanter over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s break it down. Tam O’Shanter is a point break that rarely breaks, so we’re already on the back foot. The water is sitting at 56°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd of July is flat or trash—0.3ft to 1.0ft of slop, cross-shore wind, and the energy is as low as 16 to 45. Don’t bother.

Wednesday the 22nd of July picks up with a 5ft NW swell and a clean cross-off wind. But the period is a short 6 seconds, and the combined energy is 225, which is decent. Still, the quality is listed as poor.

Thursday the 23rd stays clean with a smaller 4ft set, but again, it’s ordinary. Then Friday the 24th of July sees a jump to 8ft in the morning, building to 8ft by the afternoon. That’s expert territory for a rare break, and the energy goes to 1118 in the afternoon, which is serious. The wind is cross-off and clean, but the score is a marginal 1. The period is only 9 seconds, so not a proper groundswell.

Saturday the 25th of July is clean with 5ft and 4ft sets, but the conditions are still marginal. Not the best.

The real standout appears on Monday the 27th of July. Morning has 6ft from the WNW, a clean cross-off wind, and the combined energy is 345—moderate, but solid. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s short-interval, but for a point break that rarely works, this is about as good as it gets. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions” for that session.

After that, Tuesday the 28th gets messy with strong wind, and Wednesday the 29th of July shows a morning with 5ft and a clean offshore wind from the SW—that’s a nice line-up for an intermediate. The energy is 157, and it’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Then there’s a big gap of nothing useful until Saturday the 1st of August afternoon. That session has 5ft from the WNW, a clean cross-off wind, and an energy of 208. The forecast tags it as “expect good surf conditions,” which is the second real highlight.

So, the best on offer is the morning of Monday the 27th of July, with 6ft, clean cross-off wind, and a moderate 345 energy. The other is Saturday the 1st of August afternoon, with 5ft and 208 energy, also clean. Both are at Tam O’Shanter, a point break that rarely breaks, so if you’re there, you’ll likely have it to yourself—crowds are only sometimes.

The rest of the window is mostly small, ordinary, or wind-affected. It’s a sparse run, but the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri morning, light winds from the W by Sat night).

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
16
0.6
NW
4
0.6
NW
5
0.2
WNW
14
0.3
NW
13
0.9
NW
5
1.6
NW
6
1.6
WNW
7
1.2
WNW
7
1.1
WNW
6
0.1
N
10
1.7
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
7
2.5
WNW
9
2
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
7
0.8
WNW
6
0.5
NW
6
0.7
WNW
4
1.2
WNW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10
12
20
21
28
43
223
257
117
108
2
310
487
1118
525
270
155
51
16
14
87
Wind (km/h)
5
WNW
20
WNW
15
W
15
NW
15
NW
25
WNW
35
WNW
35
W
25
W
30
WSW
50
W
35
WSW
45
W
45
W
35
WSW
20
WSW
20
W
20
WSW
20
W
25
W
15
WSW
Wind State
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:16PM2.86m
4:41AM2.65m
5:00PM2.81m
5:32AM2.56m
5:42PM2.73m
6:20AM2.48m
6:22PM2.64m
7:06AM2.41m
7:03PM2.56m
7:53AM2.35m
7:44PM2.49m
8:41AM2.30m
8:29PM2.43m
Low Tide
10:33PM0.36m
10:46AM0.47m
11:21PM0.36m
11:31AM0.61m
00:06AM0.40m
12:15PM0.74m
00:49AM0.44m
12:58PM0.85m
1:33AM0.49m
1:42PM0.95m
2:17AM0.53m
2:28PM1.02m
3:04AM0.55m
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:09
5:10
 mm
6
2
1
2
1
Temp °C
12
12
12
13
12
13
12
11
8
9
9
9
11
13
13
12
12
11
12
12
10
Feels °C
9
8
9
10
9
8
5
3
0
-1
-2
1
1
4
6
7
7
8
6
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Tam O'Shanter Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Tam O'Shanter provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tam O'Shanter can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tam O'Shanter surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tam O'Shanter) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tam O'Shanter may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Tam O'Shanter is 11 km (7 miles) from Bell Bay. If you plan a holiday in North Coast of Tasmania, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bell Bay. Bell Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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