
Surf Forecasts:
Carlton Rivermouth surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SSW swell with 758 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carlton Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Carlton Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Carlton Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carlton Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Carlton Rivermouth over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we've got a bit of a weird start. The first real session worth paddling out for isn't until Sunday morning, August 2nd. The water is sitting at 52°, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time of year – about 2° below average, so you'll want a decent spring suit.
Sunday morning the 2nd is the first standout. We’ve got a solid 5ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a long 17-second period. That's proper groundswell energy, and combined energy is a hefty 1323. The wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the NNW, so those waves are gonna be clean as a whistle. This is a beach/sandbar setup though, so that long period stuff can sometimes make it break a bit straight and fat. Still, it’s gonna be fun. The afternoon stays clean with a 4ft SSW swell and offshore wind.
Monday morning the 3rd drops off to 2ft, still clean, but it's a short window. By Monday afternoon the cross-shore wind kicks up and the quality drops. Tuesday the 4th starts glassy but tiny at 2ft, and by the afternoon a choppy 4ft SSE windswell takes over – not worth it.
We hit a real dry spell from Monday afternoon through most of the following week. There's a tiny flicker of hope Friday morning the 7th – glassy conditions and 3ft SSW swell with a massive 19-second period (combined energy of 574). It’ll be clean, but inconsistent. That's about it until the weekend.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The real standout is Tuesday the 11th of August. Tuesday morning sees a chunky 8ft SSW swell roll in (combined energy of 3642), but it’s a bit lumpy with a cross-on breeze. The afternoon, however, is pure magic for experienced surfers: glassy conditions with a 7ft SSW swell and a 17-second period. That’s 2187 units of energy and absolutely no wind. This is the pick of the whole 16-day window for anyone with some skill. It’s too big for beginners, mind you.
Wednesday the 12th morning keeps the quality high with a 5ft SSW swell and clean cross-off winds. Thursday the 13th holds clean as well with offshore breezes and 4ft SSW swell.
Then Friday the 14th of August morning offers another gem: a solid 8ft SSW swell, 17-second period, combined energy of 3164, and a light offshore breeze. Another one for the experienced crew only.
Sadly, it all turns to custard after that. From Saturday the 15th onward, a strong westerly wind change smashes the place. Swells are still big – 7ft to 8ft – but the wind is a nasty 22 to 25 mph cross-on, making it a complete write-off for surfing. With setup being a beach/sandbar, this stretch honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. That messy run lasts right through to the end of the forecast on Monday the 17th.
So, bottom line: if you can, get out Sunday the 2nd for a clean start, but the absolute best sessions are Tuesday the 11th afternoon and Friday the 14th morning – both glassy or offshore and offering well overhead, powerful SSW groundswell. Don't sleep on them.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | SSE 8 | SSW 20 | S 19 | S 19 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1264 | 916 | 468 | 207 | 139 | 101 | 83 | 184 | 135 | 192 | 176 | 137 | 181 | 69 | 364 | 486 | 476 | 438 | 475 | 357 | 193 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:10AM0.69m | 9:56PM0.86m | 11:43AM0.76m | 11:03PM0.78m | 12:19PM0.83m | 00:21AM0.72m | 12:58PM0.91m | 1:47AM0.66m | 1:42PM0.98m | 3:15AM0.63m | 2:29PM1.05m | 4:40AM0.62m | 3:20PM1.10m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:53PM0.51m | 5:02AM0.23m | 5:17PM0.46m | 5:38AM0.28m | 6:37PM0.39m | 6:18AM0.34m | 7:51PM0.29m | 7:00AM0.40m | 9:00PM0.19m | 7:44AM0.46m | 10:06PM0.10m | 8:30AM0.50m | 11:08PM0.03m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
1264 | 916 | 468 | 207 | 139 | 98 | 25 | 184 | 88 | 113 | 103 | 137 | 181 | 162 | 90 | 92 | 476 | 438 | 475 | 357 | 193 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | S 7 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | E 8 | E 8 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 |
59 | 28 | 10 | 66 | 63 | 101 | 83 | 42 | 15 | 57 | 50 | 34 | 21 | 54 | 364 | 486 | 69 | 48 | 96 | 83 | 23 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 18 | SE 14 | SE 14 | N 3 | ESE 5 | SSW 16 | S 20 | SSW 20 | S 19 | S 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | E 12 | SE 14 | SE 14 | E 11 |
— | 6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 32 | 135 | 192 | 176 | 65 | 50 | 69 | 6 | 88 | 78 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | — | N 3 | N 3 | — | WSW 2 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | — | — | — | — | N 2 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 |
3 | — | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 21 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Carlton Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Carlton Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carlton Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carlton Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carlton Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carlton Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania? If you are looking for accommodation near Carlton Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Coast of Tasmania, consider staying in Hobart which is 28 km (17 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Port Arthur which is 33 km (20 miles) away











