Carlton Rivermouth Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.88° S 147.64° E

Carlton Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 am 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Carlton Rivermouth sea temperature is
11.2° C
0.9° 

Carlton Rivermouth surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Carlton Rivermouth surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SSW swell with 1,081 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Carlton Rivermouth this week:

The surf forecast for Carlton Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Carlton Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 2nd Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 2nd Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sun 2nd Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Carlton Rivermouth over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at Carlton Rivermouth for the next couple of weeks.

The first real standout is on Sunday, 2nd August. The morning sees a 5ft southerly swell, period a massive 17 seconds – proper groundswell, with combined energy at 1323 (moderate). The wind is a light northerly, cross-offshore, so the waves are clean and lined up. Water temp is 52°, about average for the time of year. The afternoon stays clean with a 4ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and offshore northerly winds. This is the best of the early run – clean, well-shaped, and that long period is going to produce some nice lines, though being a beach/sandbar setup, the long period might make it a bit straight.

Monday morning, 3rd August, drops to 3ft SSW swell, still a nice 14-second period, with glassy offshore winds from the NNE. Good for a smaller, clean session. The afternoon turns a bit messy with cross-shore winds and the swell fading to 2ft.

There’s a lull from Tuesday morning through to Friday – very small waves, mostly under 2ft, with ordinary onshore or cross-onshore winds. Not worth getting wet for.

Saturday, 8th August, brings cleaner conditions – 3ft SSW swell with 16-second period, light offshore northerly winds in the morning and a cross-offshore breeze in the afternoon. Combined energy around 367-617. Decent for a smaller board.

The real highlight is further out. On Thursday, 13th August, the morning swell pumps up to 6ft from the SSW, period 17 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1814 (moderate-strong). Winds are cross-offshore from the NW, so it stays clean. This is a powerful, long-period groundswell. But at 6ft, it’s pushing into the “too big for beginners” zone, and with that very long period, the sets will be fat and powerful, best suited for confident intermediate to advanced surfers on a point or reef setup. The afternoon gets messy with onshore winds, so morning is the go.

Friday, 14th August, is another big day – 6ft SSW swell in the morning, 17-second period, combined energy a massive 4197 (strong). Winds are cross-shore from the WNW, so there’ll be a bit of a cross-chop, but plenty of push. The afternoon switches to a shorter-period 7ft SSE swell (10 seconds), which is messy and less appealing.

After that, it drops off again. Saturday, 15th August, sees a cleaner 5ft morning session, but by Sunday the 16th, strong cross-onshore winds and rain ruin the party. Monday, 17th August, stays choppy and cross-shore. So the second week is a case of pick your window carefully.

Overall, the best on offer is Sunday morning, 2nd August, and Thursday morning, 13th August. Sunday is cleaner and more manageable, Thursday is bigger and more powerful but still a great option if you’re keen for a challenge. Crowds can be around at Carlton Rivermouth sometimes, so get in early.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 4°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
S
17
1.3
SSW
16
1
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
12
1.1
SE
8
0.4
SSW
20
0.5
S
19
0.4
SSW
19
0.9
ESE
10
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
19
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
19
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
19
0.8
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1264
916
468
226
139
101
83
151
136
192
115
140
50
73
459
492
437
534
366
617
270
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
N
10
N
5
NNE
10
WNW
5
NW
5
NW
5
S
5
WNW
5
W
10
SSW
10
NW
10
NW
10
W
10
WSW
10
WNW
5
SSE
10
NNW
10
N
15
NE
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
glassy
on
cross
cross
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
11:10AM0.69m
9:56PM0.86m
11:43AM0.76m
11:03PM0.78m
12:19PM0.83m
00:21AM0.72m
12:58PM0.91m
1:47AM0.66m
1:42PM0.98m
3:15AM0.63m
2:29PM1.05m
4:40AM0.62m
3:20PM1.10m
Low Tide
3:53PM0.51m
5:02AM0.23m
5:17PM0.46m
5:38AM0.28m
6:37PM0.39m
6:18AM0.34m
7:51PM0.29m
7:00AM0.40m
9:00PM0.19m
7:44AM0.46m
10:06PM0.10m
8:30AM0.50m
11:08PM0.03m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:13
7:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:13
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:16
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
9
13
10
7
11
11
8
11
12
9
13
13
9
10
10
7
12
13
10
Feels °C
11
12
5
10
7
4
9
9
6
9
10
7
10
9
5
7
7
4
8
9
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Carlton Rivermouth Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Carlton Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Carlton Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Carlton Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Carlton Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Carlton Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania? If you are looking for accommodation near Carlton Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Coast of Tasmania, consider staying in Hobart which is 28 km (17 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Port Arthur which is 33 km (20 miles) away

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