Surf Forecasts:
Shelly Point surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 17 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 24 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNE swell with 699 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 17 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelly Point this week:
The surf forecast for Shelly Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Shelly Point in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 24) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 17th Oct) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 24th Oct) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelly Point over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 17 | Sunday 18 | Monday 19 | Tuesday 20 | Wednesday 21 | Thursday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 5 | SE 8 | NE 5 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | NE 5 | NE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 44 | 16 | 73 | 31 | 43 | 79 | 31 | 17 | 69 | 37 | 29 | 67 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 24 | 26 | 54 | 44 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:32AM0.91m | 1:16PM1.14m | 3:24AM0.92m | 2:00PM1.11m | 4:11AM0.92m | 2:47PM1.08m | 4:52AM0.93m | 3:38PM1.05m | 5:27AM0.95m | 4:32PM1.03m | 6:00AM0.97m | 5:28PM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:11AM0.74m | 8:38PM0.40m | 8:03AM0.76m | 9:22PM0.40m | 8:58AM0.75m | 10:03PM0.39m | 9:53AM0.71m | 10:44PM0.38m | 10:46AM0.66m | 11:23PM0.37m | 11:37AM0.59m | 00:03AM0.37m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 14 | 20 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 22 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | SSE 16 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 4 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 18 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 25 | 37 | 29 | 67 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 44 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 8 | SE 7 | E 11 | E 11 | S 17 | E 11 | SE 16 | S 15 | S 15 | — | — | NE 8 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | ENE 7 | SE 18 |
| kJ | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 26 | 20 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 16 | S 16 | E 10 | E 11 | S 15 | E 6 | E 11 | SW 10 | NE 11 | E 11 | — | S 14 | E 11 | E 11 | S 8 | — | SSE 16 | SE 15 |
| kJ | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | — | 24 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | — | NNE 6 | NE 6 | — | — | NE 6 | — | N 2 | NW 3 | SSE 3 | — | ENE 3 | — | — | NE 5 | NW 2 |
| kJ | 44 | 3 | 73 | — | 43 | 79 | — | — | 69 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 54 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 41 | 41 | 25 | 51 | 61 | 25 | 41 | 30 | 25 | 41 | 41 | 25 | 41 | 66 | 30 | 41 | 30 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Tasmania | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Shelly Point surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Shelly Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Shelly Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelly Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelly Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelly Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelly Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Coast of Tasmania? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelly Point, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Coast of Tasmania, consider staying in Hobart which is 61 km (38 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Port Arthur which is 65 km (40 miles) away
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