Raglan-Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's take a look at what's cooking for Raglan. The big picture is we've got plenty of swell on the way, but for a while there, the wind is going to be the main challenge. The water is sitting at about 57°F, which is dead average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about there.

The next few days are a bit of a bust. Thursday the 27th has some chest-high 6ft swell from the WSW with a 13-second period, but the wind is all over the place – side-shore in the morning and onshore in the afternoon, so it's going to be messy. Friday and Saturday are even smaller and the wind is either side-shore or side-onshore, making it choppy and average. The energy is moderate at best. Not worth paddling out for.

Sunday the 30th is where we see a real jump in size, but it comes with a strong side-shore to side-onshore wind. We're looking at an 8ft to 10ft swell from the WSW, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the wind is fresh, creating lumpy, poor conditions. The energy is getting up there, but it's a mess. Monday the 31st sees that swell pump up to a solid 13ft, but with 20 mph winds, it's a total no-go for paddling. This is strictly for the experienced and the crazy, or maybe the kite crew.

The first half of the following week (Tuesday 1st to Thursday 3rd September) continues with big, powerful swell (12ft to 8ft) from the WSW, but the wind is still cross to cross-onshore, keeping it bumpy and uninviting. The energy is strong, but the conditions are poor. Friday the 4th is more of the same with onshore winds and a 10ft to 8ft W swell.

Now, let's talk about the standout. Keep your eyes on Tuesday the 8th of September. This is the one that has me a little excited. We've got a solid 12ft groundswell from the W, with a 12-second period – that's a lot of energy and it's got some grunt. But the real kicker is the wind: glassy in the morning from the ENE. That's absolutely perfect for a point break like this. The swell direction is a bit north of the optimum SW, but for a W swell, Raglan's Indicators can handle it. The size is big, so this is strictly for advanced surfers, but if you're in that crew, this could be a session to remember. Glassy conditions on an 12ft swell at Raglan? That's worth marking on the calendar.

After that, the 9th and 10th get messy again with onshore winds, and then the 11th of September looks like a solid, but very windy, 15ft swell from the W. That's a massive amount of energy, but with 25 mph winds, it's more of a weather event than a surf session.

So, to sum it up: the next week and a half is mostly a write-off due to wind, but that Tuesday the 8th is a real gem if you're an expert. The rest of the period is big and powerful but blown out.

Rusty

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