Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 23 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
13.9°C
0.2° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,072 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 13s
Best Surf 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 13s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 24th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Manu Bay.

We're kicking off with a bit of a dud, to be honest. The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are looking pretty average. That big swell on Monday morning is a solid 12ft from the WSW with a 15-second period, so there's plenty of energy in the water (5025 combined energy), but it's coming in with a cross-shore wind, so it’s gonna be messy and lumpy. Not the Manu Bay we love.

The good news is that things clean up as we head into the second half of the week. On Thursday the 27th, we get a drop in size to around 5ft with a nice 13-second period from the WSW. It's still a bit onshore, but the wind is light, so the chop won't be too bad. It's not a standout, but a paddle-out is on the cards for the more dedicated crew.

Now, for the one that has me a little excited. You have to be patient, but look at Thursday the 3rd of September. That morning is looking like the real deal. We’ve got a big 12ft swell rolling in from the west, with a 16-second period and a massive 4993 combined energy. That's proper groundswell, folks. The magic ingredient is a light southerly breeze – that's cross-offshore for Manu Bay. That means clean, lined-up sets. This is a serious swell though, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The light offshore wind will be a major positive, making for some truly epic, clean waves at this famous point break. There'll be a few of us out, so expect some company.

The rest of the window is pretty much a mixed bag of onshore winds and lumpy conditions. There's a bump around Saturday the 29th with clean conditions and a lighter 5ft swell, but it's nothing to write home about. The main event is definitely that big Thursday the 3rd.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bit of a struggle with wind and size. The true standout is the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September – get that date in your head. For now, we wait.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
3
3
3
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
1
2
0
3
1
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
WNW
8
3
W
10
3
WSW
11
3.5
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.4
W
12
1.8
W
11
2.3
WNW
10
1.5
WNW
8
1.4
WSW
11
1.4
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
639
1767
1981
5025
4462
3296
2482
2162
1464
1423
1570
1043
744
522
584
762
963
306
463
423
273
Wind (km/h)
35
NW
30
WSW
25
WSW
20
SW
20
SW
15
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
W
5
WNW
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NE
25
N
10
W
15
NW
15
SSW
10
WSW
10
SW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:08PM2.28m
7:31AM2.25m
8:00PM2.43m
8:23AM2.39m
8:43PM2.59m
9:06AM2.54m
9:21PM2.75m
9:43AM2.69m
9:57PM2.89m
10:18AM2.81m
10:30PM3.00m
10:52AM2.91m
11:04PM3.07m
Low Tide
12:46PM0.98m
1:29AM0.97m
1:49PM0.84m
2:19AM0.80m
2:37PM0.67m
2:59AM0.62m
3:16PM0.49m
3:35AM0.45m
3:51PM0.34m
4:10AM0.30m
4:25PM0.21m
4:44AM0.19m
4:58PM0.14m
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:53
5:54
5:55
 mm
4
1
5
4
Temp °C
15
14
13
13
13
12
13
13
13
14
14
14
14
14
13
14
13
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
8
9
7
9
9
9
10
9
9
11
12
13
13
12
11
9
12
11
11
12
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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