
Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, W swell with 8,315 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, my fellow wave hunters, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on what's cooking.
It's gonna be a quiet start. The first few days are flat, so save your energy. The party doesn't start till Sunday the 5th.
Manu Bay (Raglan) sees the first real swell Sunday morning. A 2.2m (7 ft) WNW swell shows up, but it's only got a 10-second period, so it won't have that classic Manu drive. The wind's gonna be messy, making it a tough session.
Monday the 6th is a clean skip. Bumpy onshore wind with a 2.5m (8 ft) swell. The water's all churned up and tough.
Now, Tuesday the 7th is the first big highlight. A proper 3.0m (10 ft) WSW groundswell with a 16-second period hits. The wind switches to a clean cross-off. This is big, powerful, and long-lining. Only for the experts, but it's a beauty. The water will be pushing hard.
Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are easier. Swells drop to 1.5m (5 ft) to 1.7m (6 ft), but the wind is glassy or light cross-off. Clean, smooth walls for a solid crew.
If you want the best of the whole run, lock in Friday the 10th. A long-period 1.9m (6 ft) WSW swell with an 18-second period, and the wind stays cross-off. The energy is strong. This is the standout for experienced surfers looking for quality.
Heading into the second week, it's all about clean, manageable waves. From Saturday the 11th through Monday the 13th, you’ll find nice, offshore or cross-off winds on smaller swells around 1.0m (3 ft) to 1.4m (5 ft). The long period keeps the lines clean and the paddling easy.
Midweek, the swell bumps up again on Wednesday the 15th, but from the NW with a short 10-second period, so expect it to be a bit fat. Thursday the 16th is another standout: a 3.0m (10 ft) W swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon. Excellent, powerful surf for experts.
The run wraps on Saturday the 18th with clean, glassy leftover 1.3m (4 ft) waves.
Water temp is sitting at 15° (59°F), pretty average for July, so keep that winter rubber on.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 14 | W 13 | W 12 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | W 13 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 70 | 87 | 172 | 815 | 880 | 537 | 652 | 2223 | 2615 | 8315 | 3975 | 2247 | 1374 | 1053 | 768 | 402 | 582 | 929 | 936 | 2096 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:29AM2.89m | 12:52PM2.69m | 1:07AM2.84m | 1:31PM2.63m | 1:46AM2.77m | 2:14PM2.57m | 2:30AM2.69m | 3:01PM2.51m | 3:18AM2.61m | 3:52PM2.46m | 4:13AM2.55m | 4:54PM2.44m | 5:17AM2.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:22PM0.46m | 6:47AM0.52m | 7:00PM0.50m | 7:28AM0.53m | 7:41PM0.56m | 8:10AM0.55m | 8:25PM0.63m | 8:54AM0.58m | 9:14PM0.70m | 9:42AM0.62m | 10:08PM0.75m | 10:36AM0.65m | 11:11PM0.78m | 11:43AM0.66m | |||||||
— | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | |
5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 14 | W 13 | W 12 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | W 13 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 |
42 | 70 | 87 | 172 | 815 | 880 | 537 | 652 | 2223 | 2615 | 8315 | 3975 | 2247 | 1374 | 1053 | 768 | 169 | 478 | 929 | 936 | 2096 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | W 10 | W 9 | NW 5 | WSW 16 | W 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 15 | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | W 20 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 10 | SW 8 | — |
50 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 222 | 290 | 375 | — | 1118 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 402 | 582 | 308 | 157 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 4 | W 18 | W 20 | — | — | W 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | W 21 | W 19 | — |
— | — | 1 | 6 | 30 | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 230 | — | 36 | 580 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 7 | ENE 2 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 7 |
— | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 83 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 228 | 221 | 108 | 56 | 90 | 109 | 215 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











