Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.3° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 3,799 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 16s
Best Surf 6PM (Sun 19th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 16s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 19th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. We've got a mixed bag of a forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days. The good news is there's a solid run of groundswell on the way, but the wind is going to be the main character here, and it's not always a friendly one. The first few days are a write-off, so let's get into it.

The water's sitting at 59°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

Alright, the week starts rough. Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are a no-go. We've got a solid 7ft to 8ft WSW swell, but it's coming with a nasty 16 mph cross wind. The energy is massive (2252 and 2925 combined energy), but it's all messy cross-chop. You'd be battling for nothing. Just don't bother.

Monday the 20th is where it starts to turn. The swell drops to 5ft-5ft from the WSW, but the wind swings around to a light easterly, giving us a clean cross-off breeze. The energy is a solid 1076 (moderate). It's a good, clean day for a session, but not a standout.

Tuesday the 21st sees the swell dropping further to 4ft, and the morning still has that clean cross-off wind. It's a small, clean day, but the energy is dropping (490). The afternoon gets a bit messy as the wind shifts.

We then hit a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd are small, inconsistent, and not worth getting excited about. The swell is under 3ft, and the wind is all over the place. There's a gap of a few days of average conditions.

Friday the 24th is a dud in the afternoon. A short-period 6ft NW swell with a cross-on wind makes for a choppy, ugly mess. Better to stay home.

Saturday the 25th is another one to skip. A 8ft WSW swell, but with a 22 mph cross wind, the energy is huge (2031 to 2119), but it's just a lumpy, blown-out beast. This is kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle.

Now, here's the standout. Sunday the 26th. This is the best on offer. We've got a 8ft to 8ft WSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 15-second period. The energy is massive (2383). But the magic is the wind: a light ESE offshore breeze in the morning, turning glassy. For a point break like Manu Bay, this is the recipe for perfection. It's a big, powerful swell, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experienced surfers. The long period will make it a bit walled-up on the beach, but on a point, it's going to be some of the longest, cleanest waves you'll see. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

Monday the 27th is still good, with a 6ft swell and clean cross-off wind, but it's a step down from Sunday.

The second week has some promising days. Tuesday the 28th is a small, glassy morning with a 4ft swell. Wednesday the 29th sees a clean 4ft swell with a 14-second period, and Thursday the 30th brings a 6ft to 6ft swell with clean morning conditions. Friday the 31st has a bigger 8ft swell, but the wind is a bit cross, so it's not as clean. The weekend of August 1st and 2nd looks like it fades out, with smaller, less consistent surf.

So, if you're looking for the one true standout, it's the morning of Sunday the 26th. Get on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WSW
15
2.5
WSW
17
2.3
WSW
16
2.2
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
12
0.7
WSW
12
0.6
WSW
12
1
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
12
1.8
NW
7
2
WSW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2169
3799
2925
2535
1472
1076
886
649
490
396
321
187
125
93
331
491
447
213
344
560
Wind (km/h)
25
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
25
SW
5
ESE
10
E
15
E
10
E
10
E
10
SW
10
S
10
SSW
15
SW
5
ENE
10
ENE
5
NW
10
NNW
15
NNE
20
NNW
25
SSW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
1:19AM2.99m
1:43PM2.74m
2:02AM2.79m
2:27PM2.59m
2:46AM2.59m
3:14PM2.43m
3:36AM2.41m
4:08PM2.31m
4:37AM2.28m
5:20PM2.24m
5:51AM2.22m
6:41PM2.28m
Low Tide
7:08PM0.27m
7:40AM0.31m
7:54PM0.43m
8:23AM0.46m
8:40PM0.61m
9:08AM0.61m
9:29PM0.79m
9:56AM0.75m
10:27PM0.93m
10:54AM0.87m
11:38PM1.01m
12:10PM0.91m
00:57AM0.99m
cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:30
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:24
5:25
 mm
1
1
1
1
3
5
Temp °C
13
13
14
14
13
13
12
11
11
12
11
13
13
12
11
12
11
13
13
12
Feels °C
8
7
9
10
13
10
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
10
9
10
9
9
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Raglan-Manu Bay:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest