Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 22 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
13.9° C
0.2° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 5,827 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Wed 26th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Wed 26th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 14s
Most Powerful12PM (Mon 24th Aug)11ft (3.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Raglan.

Right now, the window’s not looking great for a paddle. The first few days are a write-off. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are just messy with onshore and strong cross-onshore winds, making for choppy, poor conditions. You wouldn’t want to be out there unless you’re after a fight. The swell’s not working with the wind at all.

Monday the 24th sees a big jump in size – we’re talking a solid 12ft groundswell out of the WSW, with a very long 15-second period, pumping moderate wave energy (5752). But it’s marred by a moderate cross-shore wind and a cross-chop, so it’s a marginal call at best. This one’s only for the experienced crew, and even then, it’s a question of tide and timing. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is Monday the 31st of August at Raglan-Manu Bay. Early morning, we’ve got a 10ft swell from the WSW, with that lovely long 15-second period, and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the SSW. That combo is the recipe for clean, excellent conditions, especially for seasoned surfers (it’s over 8ft, so it’s expert territory). The energy readings are high at 4253. It’s a point break that handles a long-period groundswell like this beautifully, but keep in mind it’s *sometimes* crowded – get there early. This is the best on offer, no question.

After that, the surf gets a bit messy again through the start of September, with strong winds and lumpy conditions. Then, another promising window pops up for Thursday the 3rd of September. The morning is looking sharp – a very solid 15ft swell from the west with an 11-second period, but with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE. That’s clean and powerful (energy at 4519), so again, strictly for the experts. It’s a big, strong swell, and the long period means it’ll have plenty of grunt.

The week after that settles down into more modest, clean conditions. The morning of Sunday the 6th of September is worth a mention – a nice 6ft WSW swell with a 14-second period and a light cross-offshore ESE breeze. It’s clean, with moderate energy (1334), and the crowd situation is less frantic than the big days. A good option for a less hectic session.

So, to boil it down: the first week is mostly a write-off. The clear standout is Monday the 31st of August and Thursday the 3rd of September for the big, clean, expert-level waves. The second week shapes up for some nicer, smaller windows that are more forgiving. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – it’s promising but could still shift.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the WSW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
2
0
2
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
WSW
14
0.6
WSW
14
0.6
WSW
13
2.4
WNW
8
3
W
10
3
WSW
11
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.3
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
13
1.1
WSW
12
0.9
WSW
12
1
WSW
12
1.5
W
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
459
147
135
727
1773
1932
5752
4875
3360
2482
2264
1614
1433
1644
1122
793
560
377
218
303
272
Wind (km/h)
15
W
15
WNW
25
NW
35
NW
25
WSW
30
WSW
20
SW
20
SW
15
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
5
WNW
5
NNW
10
NW
5
NE
10
NNE
15
NW
15
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross
cross
on
cross
High Tide
5:56PM2.19m
6:26AM2.15m
7:08PM2.28m
7:31AM2.25m
8:00PM2.43m
8:23AM2.39m
8:43PM2.59m
9:06AM2.54m
9:21PM2.75m
9:43AM2.69m
9:57PM2.89m
10:18AM2.81m
10:30PM3.00m
Low Tide
11:19AM1.01m
00:17AM1.08m
12:46PM0.98m
1:29AM0.97m
1:49PM0.84m
2:19AM0.80m
2:37PM0.67m
2:59AM0.62m
3:16PM0.49m
3:35AM0.45m
3:51PM0.34m
4:10AM0.30m
4:25PM0.21m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:54
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:53
5:54
 mm
1
8
Temp °C
13
13
13
14
14
13
13
13
12
13
13
13
14
14
13
15
15
13
14
15
13
Feels °C
8
9
8
8
10
7
8
9
9
9
9
10
12
12
13
14
14
13
11
12
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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