Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 3,900 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Manu Bay. This is a classic point break, and it’s a fairly consistent setup, so there’s plenty to talk about. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing too unusual there.
The forecast period kicks off on Thursday the 16th of July, and straight away we’ve got a solid 7ft of swell from the WSW, with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is strong, pushing 2224 (moderate to strong wave energy). The wind is a cross-on though, so it’s not going to be perfect. It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the first few days, honestly. The wind stays cross or cross-on for most of the first week, and the swell is hovering around 6ft to 7ft. The conditions are described as marginal, so you’ll be scratching around for the good ones through Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.
Now, there’s a bit of a gap in the quality, but Monday the 20th of July afternoon is a real standout. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is moderate at 961. But the wind? It goes glassy. Absolutely flat calm. That’s the kind of session you wait for at a point like Manu Bay. Clean, lined-up waves. That’s the best on offer in the first week. Tuesday the 21st also looks promising with glassy conditions and lighter swell, around 4ft, clean and easy.
The second week starts to look a bit more interesting for the experienced crew. Wednesday the 29th of July morning is a beauty. You’ve got 7ft of WSW swell at 14 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the SE. The energy is strong at 1775. This is excellent surf, but at 7ft, it’s getting into the more serious territory, better for those who know what they’re doing. The wind stays clean and light for the next few days, and the swell holds around 6ft to 6ft, making for some very good surf through the 30th and 31st of July. The crowds at Manu Bay can be an issue sometimes, so for those standout glassy sessions, get in early.
Overall, the pick of the forecast is that glassy Monday afternoon on the 20th of July, and then the clean, offshore conditions on the 29th and 30th of July for the stronger, more powerful swell. It’s a classic point break, so the long-period groundswell will be peeling nicely down the line.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2687 | 2224 | 2002 | 1499 | 1207 | 2220 | 2526 | 2198 | 2140 | 3900 | 1875 | 1611 | 1646 | 1187 | 961 | 704 | 475 | 461 | 312 | 230 | 125 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:04PM3.25m | 11:28AM3.04m | 11:51PM3.24m | 12:14PM3.00m | 00:36AM3.14m | 12:59PM2.89m | 1:19AM2.99m | 1:43PM2.74m | 2:02AM2.79m | 2:27PM2.59m | 2:46AM2.59m | 3:14PM2.43m | 3:36AM2.41m | 4:08PM2.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.08m | 6:07AM0.13m | 6:24PM0.14m | 6:54AM0.20m | 7:08PM0.27m | 7:40AM0.31m | 7:54PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.46m | 8:40PM0.61m | 9:08AM0.61m | 9:29PM0.79m | 9:56AM0.75m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | — | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 2687 | 2224 | 2002 | 1499 | 1207 | 2220 | 2526 | 2198 | — | 3900 | 1875 | 1611 | 1646 | 1187 | 961 | 704 | 475 | 461 | 312 | 230 | 125 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 20 | W 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 25 | 58 | 51 | 81 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 6 | — | — | — | WSW 15 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | WSW 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 68 | — | — | — | 2140 | — | 245 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 84 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 56 | 194 | 183 | 119 | 119 | 108 | 119 | 119 | 129 | 136 | 140 | 179 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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