Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.0°C
0.3° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,761 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 1st Sep)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the Manu Bay area.

Alright, look, this is a bit of a mixed bag for the next 16 days. We've got plenty of swell, that's for sure, but the wind is going to be our biggest enemy for most of it. We're looking at a solid run of days that are just blown out. The water is sitting at 57°, which is right where it should be for this time of year, so nothing to complain about there.

The first real chance of a surf is on Saturday afternoon, the 29th of August. It's not big, just a 2ft groundswell from the WSW, but the wind is set to go glassy. That's the kind of magic that makes a point break like Manu Bay come alive. The energy is moderate (332), so it won't be a grunt to paddle out, and with the period up at 13 seconds, you'll get those nice, long, lined-up rides. It's a small window, but it's a standout.

We then get slapped by a huge pulse of swell. Sunday the 30th brings 7ft to 7ft, but the wind is a nasty cross-shore, so it's going to be lumpy. The energy is very strong (2715-2876), but it's a mess. This pattern continues into the next week. The swell gets even bigger, hitting 13ft on Monday the 31st of August, with massive energy (3433-5433). This is expert-only territory, and even then, the cross-shore winds are going to make it a battle. The whole first week of September is a write-off for quality surfing at Manu Bay. It's just too much wind and too much size.

The standout for the whole forecast is shaping up to be Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. The swell is a solid 7ft from the WSW, with a strong energy reading of 1783. But the wind is forecast to be dead calm, glassy. That's a rare combination for this size. The swell direction is a perfect match for the optimum, and the period of 13 seconds means long, powerful lines. It's a bit big for beginners, but for experienced surfers on a point break, this is the day to circle. The only downside? It's a long way off, so keep your fingers crossed that the forecast holds. Crowds are likely at a spot like this, especially on a clean day.

So, to sum it up: the next week is mostly a kite-surfing show with the big swell and strong winds. The only real chance for a paddle is that glassy Saturday afternoon (29th August) for some small, clean waves. The real prize is that Wednesday morning (9th September) – a day of potential perfection for those who can handle the size.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon night, light winds from the W by Wed afternoon).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
0.7
WSW
13
0.5
W
19
2.2
WSW
18
2.4
WSW
17
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
13
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
14
4
WSW
13
3
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
15
2.1
W
14
2.1
W
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
339
188
140
188
3071
3316
4272
4665
5433
5099
5524
5106
3813
2499
2182
1807
716
1830
797
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
NE
5
NE
25
SSW
35
SW
35
WSW
35
WSW
40
WSW
30
WSW
40
W
40
WSW
35
SW
20
SW
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
20
WNW
20
WNW
20
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
High Tide
10:30PM3.00m
10:52AM2.91m
11:04PM3.07m
11:25AM2.96m
11:37PM3.09m
11:59AM2.97m
00:12AM3.05m
12:34PM2.93m
00:48AM2.95m
1:13PM2.84m
1:30AM2.81m
1:58PM2.70m
2:20AM2.63m
Low Tide
4:44AM0.19m
4:58PM0.14m
5:18AM0.12m
5:32PM0.12m
5:54AM0.11m
6:09PM0.17m
6:31AM0.17m
6:47PM0.28m
7:10AM0.28m
7:30PM0.44m
7:53AM0.44m
8:21PM0.62m
light rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:59
5:59
6:00
 mm
5
7
2
3
1
2
Temp °C
13
13
14
12
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
13
13
13
15
15
14
Feels °C
11
12
14
6
8
7
6
5
6
6
5
4
6
8
8
9
11
12
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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