Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, WSW swell with 2,675 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line.
We’ve only got one spot on the radar for this outlook, and it’s a classic: Raglan-Manu Bay (point). This is advanced territory, a proper point break that needs a good groundswell to sing. Water temp's sitting at 57°F, which is bang on average for this time of year – not a shock to the system.
Right now, it’s a bit of a slow start. We’ve got nothing recommended for the first few days – a bit of a flat patch before the real action kicks off on Thursday, August 14th. The wait is worth it though.
Thursday the 14th gets us going with a morning session that’s looking very good. Swell is 4ft from the WSW with a long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. Winds are light and variable from the east, keeping it clean. Combined wave energy is strong at 913. That’s a solid, clean point-break day for the crew who know what they’re doing.
Now, the real standout window hits over Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th of August. This is the big pulse. Swell pushes up to 7ft on Saturday afternoon, still from the WSW, with a 16-second period. Combined energy goes through the roof – 2458 on Saturday arvo and 2170 on Sunday morning. That’s serious power. Winds stay light from the south, keeping the face clean. This is expert territory – over 7ft on a point break with that much push is not for beginners. This is the best on offer by a long shot. These are the sessions to circle on the calendar.
We get a bit of a breather mid-week before another pulse shows up. Monday the 25th of August fires up again – 10ft swell from the WSW, period 11 seconds, and clean offshore ESE winds. That’s a big, heavy day. Combined energy at 2473 on the afternoon. This one is absolutely for experts only. The following Wednesday the 26th keeps the offshore flow with ESE winds at 16 mph and a 7ft swell, still very punchy and clean.
There's a lot of good surf to be had here, but the crown jewels are that Saturday-Sunday window and that Monday the 25th. Get on it if you’ve got the skill.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 18 | W 17 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WNW 10 | W 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 401 | 307 | 240 | 290 | 203 | 177 | 170 | 564 | 596 | 644 | 644 | 953 | 1523 | 2458 | 2398 | 2170 | 2034 | 1624 | 1873 | 1772 | 1142 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:14PM3.02m | 9:39AM2.92m | 10:03PM3.17m | 10:26AM3.02m | 10:47PM3.24m | 11:09AM3.06m | 11:29PM3.22m | 11:50AM3.03m | 00:09AM3.12m | 12:29PM2.93m | 00:46AM2.97m | 1:07PM2.80m | 1:23AM2.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:02PM0.35m | 3:29AM0.27m | 3:51PM0.17m | 4:16AM0.12m | 4:36PM0.05m | 5:01AM0.05m | 5:19PM0.03m | 5:44AM0.05m | 5:59PM0.09m | 6:26AM0.12m | 6:39PM0.22m | 7:05AM0.24m | 7:19PM0.40m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | |  | |
 | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 17 | WSW 16 | W 11 | WNW 10 | W 13 | W 11 | W 11 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 401 | 307 | 189 | 290 | 203 | 89 | 170 | 564 | 351 | 269 | 644 | 953 | 1523 | 2458 | 2398 | 2170 | 2034 | 1624 | 1873 | 1772 | 1142 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 18 | WSW 12 | W 13 | W 16 | W 14 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | W 10 | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 41 | 26 | 240 | 55 | 31 | 177 | 150 | 307 | 596 | 644 | 149 | — | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | W 18 | — | — | — | — | — | W 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 35 | 135 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NE 3 | NE 3 | NE 3 | ENE 3 | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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