Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
15.0° C
0.4° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, WSW swell with 2,682 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Fri 10th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 18s
Best Surf 9AM (Fri 10th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 18s
Most Powerful 3PM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve got a solid stretch of surf on the horizon, starting right now. The opening days are where the real action is, with a powerful, long-period groundswell pushing in from the southwest. It’s going to be a proper run of waves for those who know what they’re doing.

The standout for the whole forecast is right now, starting Thursday, July 9th. Manu Bay (Raglan) is the spot. We’re looking at a solid 8ft to 8ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is strong at 2491, and the wind is a clean cross-off, keeping the faces smooth. The water temp is 59°, which is about average for this time of year. This is big, powerful, world-class point-break surf. It’s a bit much for beginners at this size, but for the experienced crew, it’s going to be pumping. Crowds are always a possibility at Raglan, so get in early.

Moving into Friday, July 10th, the swell drops a touch to 7ft, but the period stretches to 18 seconds, making it very clean in the morning. Still a big day for experienced surfers. Saturday, July 11th, sees the swell ease to 5ft, with a light easterly breeze keeping conditions clean. Sunday, July 12th, is a sleeper – the swell is 5ft, and the afternoon brings a glassy, offshore wind from the NNW, which is a rare treat. The energy is still moderate at 1082.

After that, the surf drops off significantly. Monday, July 13th, and Tuesday, July 14th, are nearly flat, with small, choppy waves. Not worth paddling out. Wednesday, July 15th, is a bit messy.

The next real pulse of energy hits around Thursday, July 16th, with another 7ft SW swell and a 15-second period, pushing the energy back up to 2083. The wind is a clean cross-off again. This is a promising second option, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

From about Friday, July 17th, the swell fades again, running at 5ft and smaller through the end of the week. The wind is clean, but the wave size is just okay. By Sunday, July 19th, the wind picks up to 19 mph from the east, making it windy and messy. The last week of the forecast from the 20th to the 24th is mostly blown out with strong easterly winds and small, poor-quality surf. There’s a late pulse on the 23rd and 24th that looks big again (7ft to 8ft), but the wind is strong, so it’s only for the hardcore crew.

So, the call is clear: get on it from Thursday through Sunday this week. The rest of the run is a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu morning, calm by Sat morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 7°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
3
2
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
WSW
16
2.4
WSW
16
2
WSW
14
2
WSW
18
1.8
WSW
17
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
16
1.3
WSW
15
1
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
14
1.3
NW
7
1.7
WNW
8
1.6
W
10
1.9
W
12
1.8
W
12
1.6
W
11
2.1
W
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2491
2682
1667
2330
1938
1136
879
610
1255
1082
914
669
400
285
153
414
470
986
872
635
1963
Wind (km/h)
20
S
30
S
20
S
15
S
10
SW
15
E
5
E
5
SSE
5
E
10
E
5
NNW
10
ENE
15
NE
15
N
20
NNE
10
WSW
10
WSW
0
W
10
NE
10
W
5
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
4:54PM2.44m
5:17AM2.52m
6:11PM2.49m
6:32AM2.55m
7:29PM2.64m
7:49AM2.65m
8:32PM2.84m
8:54AM2.80m
9:25PM3.04m
9:49AM2.93m
10:15PM3.18m
10:40AM3.02m
11:04PM3.25m
Low Tide
10:36AM0.65m
11:11PM0.78m
11:43AM0.66m
00:28AM0.75m
1:02PM0.61m
1:44AM0.62m
2:13PM0.47m
2:46AM0.44m
3:11PM0.31m
3:40AM0.27m
4:03PM0.17m
4:30AM0.15m
4:51PM0.09m
light rain
cloud
clear
clear
clear
cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:20
 mm
1
3
1
2
2
Temp °C
12
11
9
10
11
10
11
11
10
10
13
11
14
14
13
14
14
13
13
15
13
Feels °C
5
4
3
7
8
7
8
8
7
7
11
7
10
11
11
12
12
12
12
14
13
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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