Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, W swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 10,017 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 12s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a classic West Coast setup on the cards for Raglan-Manu Bay – a world-class point break that only really works when it’s working. The next few days are a write-off, I’m not gonna lie to you. Wednesday and Thursday this week are a total mess with poor conditions and cross-shore winds ruining the shape. We’ll have to sit tight.
The real action kicks off later. Sunday, July 26th is where things start to get interesting. The morning brings a solid 10-foot groundswell out of the west with a period of 15 seconds and clean conditions. The afternoon turns on with a stout 8-foot W swell and offshore southeast winds – that’s proper Manu-Bay territory. The water is sitting at 58°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The combined energy is strong at 2679, so you’ll feel the power.
The standout window, though, is the following week. Monday, July 27th, early morning is looking very clean with an 8-foot WSW swell and a 13-second period, combined energy of 1901, and light offshore cross-off winds. That’s an excellent call for experienced surfers – the crowd can be around sometimes, but on a Monday morning with this quality, you’ll want to be in the water early.
Then, hold onto your board, because Monday, August 3rd is the real hidden gem here. The morning session has a 5-foot WSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period and light east winds. The afternoon is pure glass – wind drops to 0 mph, almost glassy, with a 6-foot WSW swell at 16 seconds. Combined energy is 1464. That’s the kind of day where the point just turns on and gives you long, arcing walls. The long period means the sets will be clean and powerful, perfect for the point. For this one, crowds are possible, but the quality will be worth it.
The second week has some promise, but it’s less certain. We’ll see a couple of solid days around August 6th with a 8-foot WNW swell and clean cross-off winds, but that’s a long way out. For now, circle July 26th and 27th, and absolutely lock in August 3rd. That’s the one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Wed night, strong winds from the WSW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Sun afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Sat morning, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 7 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 390 | 173 | 94 | 501 | 595 | 551 | 217 | 317 | 1027 | 3937 | 10017 | 6625 | 3762 | 2679 | 2185 | 1901 | 1935 | 419 | 416 | 475 | 631 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:08PM2.31m | 4:37AM2.28m | 5:20PM2.24m | 5:51AM2.22m | 6:41PM2.28m | 7:02AM2.25m | 7:41PM2.38m | 8:00AM2.34m | 8:29PM2.52m | 8:48AM2.46m | 9:10PM2.65m | 9:30AM2.58m | 9:47PM2.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:56AM0.75m | 10:27PM0.93m | 10:54AM0.87m | 11:38PM1.01m | 12:10PM0.91m | 00:57AM0.99m | 1:21PM0.87m | 1:57AM0.90m | 2:16PM0.77m | 2:43AM0.78m | 3:01PM0.66m | 3:23AM0.66m | 3:40PM0.54m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 7 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | WSW 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | — | — | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 16 | W 16 |
| kJ | 390 | 94 | 68 | 501 | 595 | 551 | 217 | 161 | — | — | — | 6625 | 3762 | 2679 | 2185 | — | — | 387 | 196 | 5 | 21 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 6 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | — |
| kJ | 51 | 49 | 94 | 33 | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 15 | — | — | — | WSW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 71 | — | — | — | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 11 |
| kJ | — | 173 | — | — | — | — | 16 | 317 | 1027 | 3937 | 10017 | — | — | — | — | 1901 | 1935 | 419 | 416 | 475 | 631 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 140 | 219 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 219 | 222 | 228 | 169 | 247 | 268 | 56 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 56 | 0 | 129 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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