Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.9° C
0.3° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, W swell with 3,182 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 18s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Fri 10th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 18s
Best Surf 9AM (Fri 10th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 18s
Most Powerful 6PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the cards for the coming weeks at Manu Bay.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, and a couple of sessions that are going to be seriously good. The water temp is sitting at 59°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.

Wednesday 8th is a bit of a slow starter. Morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the WSW with a nice 14-second period and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate, and the conditions are clean, but it’s not *the* standout. The afternoon is marginal with a bump in wind, so the morning is your better bet here.

Thursday 9th sees a proper ramp-up. The swell hits 8ft from the WSW with a long 16-second period. That’s a groundswell, and with energy jumping into the very strong range, it’s got real punch. Problem is, the wind is a moderate to fresh cross-off, and the forecast flags it as marginal. That size (over 8ft) puts it firmly in expert-only territory. The long period could make it a bit straight at the beach, but at a point break like Manu Bay, that’s where it’ll shine. If you’re advanced and hungry, the morning will be the pick, but it ain’t for everyone.

Friday 10th is the first real standout. Morning delivers a clean 6ft swell from the WSW, 18-second period – that’s very long period groundswell, meaning real energy and proper shape. The wind is light and cross-off, the combined energy is strong, and the break will be firing. The afternoon gets a bit crossed up with a light cross-shore, so the morning session is the one to point your board at. This is the best morning on offer in the first week.

Saturday 11th and Sunday 12th settle down into very good, solid surf. Saturday has 5ft to 4ft with glassy offshores and clean conditions, while Sunday morning has 5ft with a light breeze. Combined energy sits in the moderate-to-strong range. Both mornings are clean and super surfable, but not the absolute top pick.

Monday 13th drops right off. The swell fades to 3ft and the afternoon gets choppy. Not worth paddling out.

Tuesday 14th is a wildcard. The morning is glassy with a short-period 5ft swell from the WNW and only 8 seconds. That’s low energy and short-period mush, but glassy conditions are always a bonus for a clean, cruisy log session.

Now, Wednesday 15th is a bit of a worry. The afternoon pumps up to a very strong 8ft from the west with a 16-second period and combined energy that’s huge. That’s big, powerful groundswell. But the wind is onshore, and the forecast is marginal. That size and strength with onshore wind will be a washing machine. Only for the brave and the experienced.

Thursday 16th saves the week. Morning hits 7ft from the WSW, 16-second period, light offshore wind, and strong energy. The forecast is excellent for experienced surfers. This is your other standout – the best of the second half of the outlook. Clean, powerful, and well-shaped for the point. The afternoon stays good at 6ft with the same light offshores.

Friday 17th through Sunday 19th turns into a write-off. The swell drops, winds pick up into a fresh breeze, and conditions are poor across the board. There’s about three solid days of no real recommendation here – just keep the board in the car for a scenic drive.

Monday 20th is barely surfable with small, weak swell and moderate wind. Not worth the effort.

Tuesday 21st offers a tiny 2ft wave with a gentle offshore in the morning, but it’s clean. Only for a longboard if you’re desperate.

Wednesday 22nd brings the last real pop of the outlook. Morning hits 7ft from the SW with a 12-second period and a gentle cross-off. Combined energy is strong and the conditions are clean. Excellent for experienced surfers again – a solid finisher.

Thursday 23rd fades into poor conditions with short-period windswell and messy winds. That’s it for the run.

So, if I’m calling it: Friday 10th morning is your absolute standout – clean, long-period groundswell, and solid size. The backup is Thursday 16th morning – powerful, clean, and consistent. Get in the water early for both. Crowds are possible at Manu Bay, so don’t sleep in.

– Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
0
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
16
2.4
WSW
16
2.1
WSW
14
1.8
WSW
18
1.8
WSW
17
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
15
1.2
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
15
1
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
14
1.7
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.1
W
9
1.7
W
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
569
617
543
2682
2791
1809
1952
1938
1136
867
610
1255
1082
902
669
449
281
336
232
186
736
Wind (km/h)
10
S
15
SSW
20
S
25
S
30
S
25
S
15
S
10
SW
10
ESE
10
E
5
S
10
E
10
E
5
N
10
NE
15
ENE
15
N
15
N
5
NE
5
NW
10
NNW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
High Tide
3:52PM2.46m
4:13AM2.55m
4:54PM2.44m
5:17AM2.52m
6:11PM2.49m
6:32AM2.55m
7:29PM2.64m
7:49AM2.65m
8:32PM2.84m
8:54AM2.80m
9:25PM3.04m
9:49AM2.93m
10:15PM3.18m
Low Tide
9:42AM0.62m
10:08PM0.75m
10:36AM0.65m
11:11PM0.78m
11:43AM0.66m
00:28AM0.75m
1:02PM0.61m
1:44AM0.62m
2:13PM0.47m
2:46AM0.44m
3:11PM0.31m
3:40AM0.27m
4:03PM0.17m
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
13
15
11
11
11
10
10
11
8
9
10
8
10
12
9
12
14
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
10
11
7
5
4
4
6
8
5
6
7
5
7
9
6
8
11
9
13
13
11
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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