Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. We've got some solid size coming in from the get-go, but the wind is just wrecking it. Tuesday morning has a decent 8ft swell from the WSW, but that 12 mph cross-wind is chopping it all up. It's a tough one to get excited about. The energy is there, massive actually (2482), but it's not doing us any favours.

Wednesday and Thursday look a little more promising, but still not firing. The swell drops a touch, but we start to see some cleaner conditions. By Thursday morning, we get a light offshore from the NNW, and the swell is a solid 5ft at 13 seconds. That's a nice, long period groundswell. The energy is still moderate (841), but with that offshore wind, Manu Bay (Raglan) should start to look a bit more like itself. The cool water is about what you'd expect for this time of year.

The real standout, the one you'd be mad to miss, is shaping up for Friday the 4th of September. The morning session is the absolute pick. We've got a perfect offshore wind from the SE, barely a breath at 3 mph, and a solid 7ft WSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The energy is pumping (2104), and the conditions are described as clean. That's going to be absolutely world-class at Manu Bay. It's an advanced wave, and with that size, it's one for the experienced crew. The crowds are a thing here, so expect some company.

After that, the swell backs off a lot. Saturday the 5th has a tiny 4ft wave, and it's not worth the paddle. But then, look at this – Sunday the 7th of September morning has a lovely 5ft, 16-second groundswell from the WSW with a light offshore cross-off from the ENE. The energy is back up (2047), and it's clean. That's another very good morning.

And then we've got a monster lurking in the deep. The second week of September, specifically Tuesday the 9th, shows a massive 15ft swell from the W. That's a big, powerful groundswell with a 15-second period. The energy is off the charts (8474). This is for experts only. The wind is light, but it's cross-on, so it might not be as clean as the standouts earlier. Still, if you're a charger and the conditions line up, that's a session to remember.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a grind, but the reward is Friday the 4th of September and Sunday the 7th of September. Those are your clean, powerful days. The second week has a massive swell that could be epic if the wind plays nice, but it's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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