Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 16s period, W swell with 2,791 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
G’day, it’s Rusty. Raglan-Manu Bay is about to fire over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a serious run of long-period southwest groundswells, and the winds are lining up clean for plenty of it. Water temp’s about normal for the time of year here.
Kicks off this Saturday, July 11. Morning brings a 5ft WSW swell at 15 seconds, light east cross-off breeze. Sets have proper energy (1073) and the point should be reeling. Saturday afternoon holds 4ft, still clean. Sunday the 12th is even better: 5ft to 5ft WSW swell with a 16-second period. Sunday afternoon goes glassy, zero wind. That’s a top pick for the first weekend—dead calm, long lines.
Monday the 13th drops off. Swell backs to 4ft, wind gets messy. Tuesday the 14th stays marginal with short 8-second swell—best left alone.
Then the real juice arrives. Wednesday July 15 morning: 6ft W groundswell at 12 seconds, ENE cross-off, energy jumps to 1471. Great for experienced surfers. Wednesday afternoon gets bigger at 8ft but onshore wind ruins it. Thursday the 16th is a beauty: 7ft W swell at 15 seconds, clean cross-off in the morning, then a similar afternoon. Friday the 17th is glassy offshore in the morning with 6ft swell—another standout for the skilled crew. Saturday the 18th goes onshore and rainy—give it a miss.
Sunday July 19 fires back: 7ft WSW swell at a very long 17 seconds, solid southeast offshore breeze (20 mph). Energy is high (2537). Afternoon holds 7ft, still clean offshore. Monday the 20th keeps the theme: 7ft to 8ft, clean offshore or cross-off all day. This whole window from Wednesday 15th through Monday 20th is the main event—powerful, consistent, mostly clean, and the swell direction suits the point perfectly.
Tuesday July 21 is quieter (3ft to 4ft), but Wednesday the 22nd turns glassy both sessions with small 3ft to 2ft surf. Thursday and Friday the 23rd and 24th bring another pulse of 7ft to 8ft W swell, cross-off winds, and strong energy. Friday afternoon sees a big 8ft WSW swell (3639 energy) but wind goes onshore. The weekend of July 25-26 still has size (7ft to 7ft) and cross-off mornings, but afternoons get choppy.
Best bets: Sunday 12th afternoon (glassy, 5ft, 16 seconds), Friday 17th morning (glassy offshore, 6ft), and the whole Wednesday 15th to Monday 20th stretch—especially Thursday 16th morning and Sunday 19th morning. Manu Bay can get crowded sometimes, so on those days expect company. It’s a world-class point that loves this southwest swell direction—you’ll get long walls when it’s on.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 12 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1082 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 914 | 669 | 565 | 277 | 145 | 277 | 211 | 553 | 902 | 2743 | 2469 | 2325 | 2125 | 1924 | 1464 | 1095 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:32AM2.55m | 7:29PM2.64m | 7:49AM2.65m | 8:32PM2.84m | 8:54AM2.80m | 9:25PM3.04m | 9:49AM2.93m | 10:15PM3.18m | 10:40AM3.02m | 11:04PM3.25m | 11:28AM3.04m | 11:51PM3.24m | 12:14PM3.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:28AM0.75m | 1:02PM0.61m | 1:44AM0.62m | 2:13PM0.47m | 2:46AM0.44m | 3:11PM0.31m | 3:40AM0.27m | 4:03PM0.17m | 4:30AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.09m | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.08m | 6:07AM0.13m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | NW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 12 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 1082 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 914 | 669 | 565 | 277 | 101 | 277 | 211 | 553 | 902 | 2743 | 2469 | 2325 | 2125 | 1924 | 1464 | 1095 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | W 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 18 | W 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 |
| kJ | 7 | 194 | 522 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 145 | 102 | 101 | 162 | 569 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 247 | 154 | 0 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 228 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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