
Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with 2,330 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 18s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright surfers, Rusty here with the outlook for the coming weeks. We’ve got one genuine standout setting up, and it’s a ripper, but we’ve got to be patient and pick our moments.
The upcoming pattern is all about a long-period groundswell from the southwest that’s gonna pulse through the region. For a spot like Raglan-Manu Bay, this is pure magic. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there.
The real action kicks off this Friday morning, July 10th. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the WSW with a very long 18-second period, packing a massive wallop of energy (2330). That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a clean cross-off from the south, so it’s going to be a proper session for experienced surfers. This is the standout of the whole period. The swell is big, but it’s a point break, so it handles that size perfectly. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Friday afternoon drops a little to 6ft but the wind goes a bit cross, making it less ideal. Still plenty of juice (1674), but the morning is the go.
Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th see the swell easing slightly, but holding very nicely at 4ft to 5ft from the WSW. The wind is mostly cross-off or light, with Sunday afternoon going glassy (0 mph wind). That’s a dream window for clean, user-friendly waves. The energy is still strong (around 1073 to 914), and the 15-16 second period means those waves have great shape.
Monday the 13th the swell drops off to 4ft, still clean but smaller. The energy drops to 478. Good for a grovel, but not a highlight.
Now, we hit a bit of a rough patch. Tuesday the 14th brings a short-period, wind-affected northwest swell (8 seconds, 420 energy) – not the smartest play. The waves are there but the quality is marginal.
Wednesday the 15th is a redemption day. A new pulse of 5ft WSW swell at 12 seconds arrives, with clean cross-off wind. The real winner is Wednesday afternoon: glassy conditions, 5ft and a long 16-second period, ramping up the energy (1569). That’s a magic afternoon session.
Thursday the 16th morning is another excellent window for experienced surfers – 7ft from the WSW (2083 energy) and clean cross-off. That’s a big, powerful point break. The afternoon gets cross-on and choppy, so stick to the morning.
Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th are a mixed bag. Friday morning offers clean 5ft surf with offshore wind, a great window. But the wind picks up later in the week, and from Saturday afternoon onward, the conditions go downhill with fresh southerlies and poor surf. You can get a wave, but it’ll be a battle.
The second week of the forecast is a bit of a write-off. From Sunday the 19th through to the 22nd, strong winds and dropping swell make for poor to marginal conditions. Keep an eye on Tuesday the 21st morning for a brief window of clean 3ft surf, but it’s not worth getting excited about. Wednesday the 22nd morning has a glassy 2ft, but it’s tiny.
Then, on Friday the 24th, we get another late entry. The morning is a bit messy with a 7ft, short-period WNW swell, but the afternoon… whoa. A 10ft pulse from the west (1897 energy) with clean cross-off wind. That’s a massive, powerful swell for experts only. It’s a promise, but long-range, so keep an eye on it.
So, in short: Your absolute best bets are Friday July 10th morning and Thursday July 16th morning for the biggest, cleanest, most powerful waves. And don’t sleep on the glassy Sunday afternoon the 12th or Wednesday afternoon the 15th for a more mellow but still excellent session.
Stay stoked, and don’t forget the wax.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WSW 13 | W 12 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1582 | 2330 | 1674 | 1136 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 914 | 669 | 478 | 281 | 145 | 306 | 234 | 277 | 664 | 1175 | 2186 | 2083 | 1795 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:17AM2.52m | 6:11PM2.49m | 6:32AM2.55m | 7:29PM2.64m | 7:49AM2.65m | 8:32PM2.84m | 8:54AM2.80m | 9:25PM3.04m | 9:49AM2.93m | 10:15PM3.18m | 10:40AM3.02m | 11:04PM3.25m | 11:28AM3.04m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:11PM0.78m | 11:43AM0.66m | 00:28AM0.75m | 1:02PM0.61m | 1:44AM0.62m | 2:13PM0.47m | 2:46AM0.44m | 3:11PM0.31m | 3:40AM0.27m | 4:03PM0.17m | 4:30AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.09m | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.08m | |||||||
— | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | |
— | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | NW 6 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 12 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 |
1582 | 2330 | 1674 | 1136 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 914 | 669 | 478 | 281 | 58 | 306 | 234 | 205 | 664 | 1175 | 2186 | 2083 | 1795 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | W 11 | — | — | — |
608 | — | — | 36 | 194 | 522 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 145 | 105 | 131 | 277 | 437 | 394 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | W 18 | WSW 21 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 70 | 162 | 151 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 274 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











