Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 06 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.2°C
0.4° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 10,834 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 2.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Mon 7th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 14s
Most Powerful 6PM (Fri 11th Sep)15ft (4.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here, looking at what we've got on the cards for the next couple of weeks. There's a big, long period groundswell from the WSW that's going to dominate the outlook, but we've got to deal with some pretty wild wind to get the good ones. The water is sitting at 58°, which is about what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing too unusual.

We're kicking off on Sunday, the 6th, but honestly, it's a write-off. The swell is a solid 8ft from the W with a 16-second period, packing a heap of energy (3977), but the wind is a howling onshore from the NNW at 16 mph. It's just messy out there, so I'd give it a miss.

Monday the 7th is still rough. The swell drops a touch to 7ft, but the wind is still up and onshore. Not worth your time.

We finally get a bit of a window on Tuesday morning, the 8th. The swell has backed off to 5ft from the WSW, and the wind swings to a light SSW cross-offshore at 12 mph. The wave energy is moderate (918), and the conditions are clean. It's not going to be huge, but it'll be a fun, rideable wave at Manu Bay. The crowd could be there, though, so keep an eye out.

Wednesday morning, the 9th, is another quiet one. Swell is small at 4ft, but the wind is light and offshore from the ENE at 6 mph. It'll be glassy clean, but you'll be scratching for waves. The energy is weak (393).

The pattern really shifts on Friday, the 11th. A massive swell starts to fill in, hitting 13ft from the WSW with a 16-second period and a massive 9157 of energy. The problem is the wind is a strong cross-shore at 22 mph, making it lumpy and messy. This is for experts only, and if you're thinking of going out, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. This size of swell is going to be a handful for anyone.

Saturday the 12th is the same story – 13ft swell, but the wind is still strong and cross-shore. It's a beast of a wave, but ugly.

Sunday the 13th is still big, with the swell at 12ft to 13ft, and the wind is still cross-shore. It's going to be a messy, lumpy, powerful ocean. Not a day for a fun session.

Now, here's the standout. Monday morning, the 14th of September. The swell is still a solid 8ft from the WSW, with a long 15-second period. The energy is strong (2976). But the game-changer is the wind: a light S at 3 mph, which is a clean cross-offshore. The report says it's "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is a true gem. The wind will be glassy, the waves will have power and shape, and Manu Bay will be at its finest. This is the best on offer. The crowd could be an issue, but for a wave like that, it's worth the company.

Tuesday the 15th is a step down. The swell drops to 4ft, and the wind goes onshore again. Not great.

The second week is a bit of a mixed bag. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are back to the big, windy, messy stuff. Swells of 10ft to 12ft, but with strong cross-shore winds. Forget it.

Friday the 18th is a bit calmer, with a 10ft swell and a gentle cross-shore wind. It's not clean, but it's rideable for the experienced.

Saturday the 19th is another potential highlight, but it's further out so less certain. The swell is a solid 10ft from the WSW with a very long 17-second period, packing a massive 5163 of energy. The wind is a light W at 3 mph, maybe a touch cross-on, but it's light enough to keep it clean. The long period will make the waves powerful and well-shaped, but it can be a bit straight at a beach break. At Manu Bay, a point break, it'll be a dream. This is a promising one.

After that, Sunday the 20th is smaller and more onshore, and Monday the 21st is back to strong, messy onshore winds and big swell. We'll have to see how that plays out.

So, the pick of the bunch is the 14th. If you're free, be there. The 19th is a long-range promise that could also be a cracker.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun night, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Sat morning).

Sun
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
3
2
0
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
W
16
2.4
WSW
16
2.1
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
15
1.9
WNW
9
1.4
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
11
1.3
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
11
1
WSW
10
1
WSW
11
1.5
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
16
2.4
WSW
18
4
WSW
18
4
WSW
17
4
WSW
16
4
WSW
16
4
WSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3977
2872
2107
1674
586
746
480
454
270
218
273
485
363
2958
3550
9157
9078
8097
8298
6871
Wind (km/h)
25
NNW
30
NNW
15
NNW
25
NNW
10
ESE
20
SSW
25
SW
10
SSW
10
ENE
10
W
15
W
15
W
30
WNW
30
WSW
40
SW
35
WSW
35
SW
45
SW
40
WSW
40
SW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
5:54PM2.44m
6:25AM2.41m
7:10PM2.60m
7:36AM2.55m
8:09PM2.79m
8:34AM2.72m
8:59PM2.96m
9:23AM2.87m
9:44PM3.08m
10:07AM2.98m
10:25PM3.13m
10:46AM3.02m
11:03PM3.11m
Low Tide
00:11AM0.85m
12:46PM0.78m
1:27AM0.67m
1:54PM0.57m
2:25AM0.44m
2:48PM0.34m
3:14AM0.23m
3:34PM0.16m
3:57AM0.09m
4:16PM0.06m
4:38AM0.02m
4:55PM0.04m
cloud
light rain
light rain
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:31
6:31
6:28
6:28
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:02
6:04
6:04
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
 mm
3
4
3
6
5
2
1
3
2
1
2
Temp °C
14
15
14
14
11
12
13
11
13
13
12
13
13
11
13
13
12
12
12
11
Feels °C
10
10
12
10
9
6
7
8
11
10
7
9
7
4
4
5
5
2
3
2
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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