Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.4° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with 5,936 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sat 5th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 15s
Best Surf 6AM (Sun 6th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 31st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break this down for the next couple weeks at Manu Bay.

Look, the first week is a total mess. Wind screaming from the southwest and west, mostly cross or cross-on, with swell sizes from 7 ft up to 13 ft. Combined wave energy bounces between moderate and very strong (754 to 5618), but it’s all junk. Water temp at Raglan-Manu Bay is about 57°, which is normal for the season, nothing out of the ordinary. You don’t want to be out for the first seven days.

Sunday 30th August through Monday evening 7th September – write it off. Winds are strong, swell is big, and periods go from short 8 seconds to very long 14–16 seconds, but the wind just tears up the faces. Lumpy cross-chop and messy conditions. Even when the swell drops a little around 7–8 ft, the wind is still rough. The one small bright spot is Saturday afternoon 5th September: swell still 10 ft from the WSW with a 15-second period, and the wind eases to a gentle cross-shore. Combined energy strong (3482), but the wave comment is still “marginal.” Not a standout.

Sunday 6th September sees lighter northeast cross-shore winds in the morning, swell 10 ft at 16 seconds, energy very strong (4003). A bit cleaner, but still not the best.

Now the first real highlight. Tuesday 8th September – Tuesday morning the wind goes light east-southeast cross-offshore, swell 8 ft from the west at 13 seconds, combined energy moderate-strong (2223). Wave comment says “excellent surf for experienced surfers.” Tuesday afternoon goes glassy – zero wind, clean, swell 7 ft from the west at 13 seconds. That’s the best window. Crowds can be an issue sometimes at Manu Bay, so if it’s good, expect company. Swell is over 7 ft, so you need to be experienced.

After that, it drops hard. Wednesday 9th through Friday 11th September – small, weak, onshore junk. Swell down to 4–6 ft with poor wind.

Saturday 12th September brings another window. Saturday afternoon the wind goes light south-southwest cross-offshore, 7 ft west swell at 13 seconds, combined energy moderate (1417). Wave comment: “excellent surf for experienced surfers.” Clean. That’s your second bet.

Sunday 13th September starts clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, but swell drops to 5 ft. Wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” A smaller, more accessible day. By afternoon it’s cross-shore and dropping – not worth it.

Monday 14th September morning has a light east cross-offshore breeze with 5 ft WSW swell at 16 seconds (combined energy 1067). Wave comment: “expect very good surf conditions.” Clean and fun for a wider range.

Standout is Tuesday 8th September – that glassy afternoon with clean 7 ft west swell is the best on offer, but it’s for experienced crew. Second standout is Saturday 12th September afternoon with clean cross-offshore winds and 7 ft swell. The smaller clean mornings on the 13th and 14th are good options too.

First week is a dud, then it gets interesting for a few days. Be patient and watch that Tuesday.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
WSW
8
2.5
WSW
8
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
15
4
WSW
14
4
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
2.3
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
15
2.1
W
8
2.5
W
10
2.5
W
10
1.6
WSW
14
2.5
W
16
2.5
W
15
2.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
447
1032
4272
4382
5394
5874
5618
4683
2993
1962
1755
1028
569
1299
1225
975
3371
2754
2935
3482
3675
Wind (km/h)
30
SW
35
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
30
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
20
W
20
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
20
WNW
30
WNW
30
WSW
15
WSW
20
WSW
15
WSW
10
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
11:25AM2.96m
11:37PM3.09m
11:59AM2.97m
00:12AM3.05m
12:34PM2.93m
00:48AM2.95m
1:13PM2.84m
1:30AM2.81m
1:58PM2.70m
2:20AM2.63m
2:55PM2.54m
3:28AM2.45m
4:16PM2.42m
Low Tide
5:32PM0.12m
5:54AM0.11m
6:09PM0.17m
6:31AM0.17m
6:47PM0.28m
7:10AM0.28m
7:30PM0.44m
7:53AM0.44m
8:21PM0.62m
8:44AM0.63m
9:22PM0.79m
9:48AM0.80m
10:41PM0.90m
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:57
5:58
5:59
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
 mm
1
1
1
1
3
3
6
4
Temp °C
14
14
13
13
13
13
12
12
13
14
14
14
15
15
15
16
14
13
14
14
12
Feels °C
8
8
6
6
6
6
4
4
8
10
10
9
11
11
11
11
9
9
10
11
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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