Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 01 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.0° C
0.1° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 3,967 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3PM (Sat 1st Aug)8ft (2.4m) 13s
Best Surf 3PM (Sat 1st Aug)8ft (2.4m) 13s
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 3rd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Raglan and Manu Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid pulse of swell for the first weekend. Saturday the 1st of August is looking like the standout for the whole period, no question. Manu Bay is a classic point break, and it’s going to be handling a good-sized, long-period groundswell from the WSW. Saturday morning, we’re looking at a solid 10 ft swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the east at 6 mph. That’s clean, powerful surf – the combined energy is pumping at 2846 (moderate to strong wave energy). Water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. This is expert territory at that size, but it’s prime for those who can handle it. Saturday afternoon eases a touch to 8 ft, still clean, still excellent. Crowds can be a thing here, but with that size, it’ll thin out the pack.

Now, Sunday the 2nd of August morning is a real treat. The swell drops to 4 ft from the WSW, but the wind goes glassy – dead calm. That’s a major positive. The period is a nice 11 seconds, and combined energy is 446 (moderate). That’s going to be clean, user-friendly waves for the experienced crew. It’s a nice change of pace after the Saturday thumpers.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Sunday afternoon through Tuesday the 4th of August, the wind goes cross or cross-shore, and the conditions get lumpy. The swell is still around, but the quality drops. Monday the 3rd of August has a 19-second period swell at 3 ft, but the wind is screaming from the WSW at 16 mph, creating a nasty cross-chop. That’s not for paddling.

We get a little window on Wednesday the 5th of August morning. The swell is 5 ft from the WSW, 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the east at 6 mph. Clean waves, combined energy at 917 (moderate). It’s a good session, but not quite the standout of the first weekend.

From Thursday the 6th of August through to the start of the second week, the surf tapers off. The swell drops to under 3 ft, and while the wind is often clean, the waves are just too small for anything exciting. There’s a gap of several days here with no real recommendations.

Then, we’ve got a promising but less certain run for the second week. Monday the 10th of August and Tuesday the 11th of August, the wind is clean cross-off, but the swell is only around 3 ft to 3 ft – not enough to get excited about. The real interest picks up from Friday the 14th of August afternoon. We see a 4 ft swell from the WSW with a 17-second period, and combined energy jumps to 1292 (moderate). The wind is a bit fresh from the ENE at 19 mph, though, so it’s a bit bumpy.

Saturday the 15th of August morning has a 5 ft swell with a 15-second period, but the wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NE, creating a slight chop. Not ideal.

The best of the second week looks like Sunday the 16th of August morning. The swell is 5 ft from the WSW, 14-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the ENE at 9 mph. Combined energy is 998 (moderate). That’s clean, decent-sized surf for experienced surfers. The afternoon sees a jump to 8 ft with a 15-second period, but the wind goes light cross-shore – still rideable, but the morning window is the pick.

Overall, the first weekend is the clear winner. Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd of August morning are the best on offer. The second week has some potential, but it’s less certain and the conditions are more mixed. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the SW by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
4
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
WSW
13
2.4
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
11
1.2
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
12
1
W
19
2.2
WSW
18
2.5
WSW
17
1.5
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
16
1.7
WSW
15
1.5
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.7
WSW
12
0.5
WSW
13
0.4
WSW
12
1
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2846
1945
852
416
343
153
713
3067
3876
1077
906
1275
917
506
321
217
131
92
57
137
403
Wind (km/h)
10
E
10
ESE
10
ESE
5
ESE
10
SW
5
SW
25
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
25
SW
25
SW
10
ESE
10
E
5
SW
5
ENE
5
ENE
5
SSW
10
E
15
ENE
10
N
10
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
11:51AM2.86m
00:05AM3.02m
12:26PM2.85m
00:39AM2.98m
1:02PM2.81m
1:15AM2.90m
1:41PM2.73m
1:56AM2.79m
2:24PM2.63m
2:43AM2.66m
3:16PM2.53m
3:41AM2.53m
4:24PM2.44m
Low Tide
5:59PM0.28m
6:22AM0.31m
6:35PM0.32m
6:59AM0.33m
7:13PM0.40m
7:38AM0.39m
7:55PM0.51m
8:20AM0.48m
8:42PM0.64m
9:07AM0.60m
9:38PM0.77m
10:04AM0.73m
10:47PM0.86m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
7:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
5:37
 mm
2
2
5
Temp °C
11
13
8
10
10
11
13
13
13
12
12
8
8
9
8
9
11
9
11
14
12
Feels °C
8
9
3
7
7
8
8
7
7
6
6
4
6
6
6
8
9
6
8
12
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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