Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.1° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, W swell with 3,302 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 17s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 17s
Most Powerful 6PM (Wed 15th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. We’re lookin’ at a couple weeks of waves here at Manu Bay (Raglan). Water temp is about 58°, right where it should be for this time of year.

The first few days are a bit of a bust. From Wednesday the 15th through Saturday the 18th, the wind is messy – cross-shore and cross-onshore – with a lot of chop. Swell is there, 7ft to 8ft from the west, with a long 16 to 17-second period, and the energy is strong (2253 to 3258). But the wind’s just ruining it. Not worth a paddle.

Then Sunday the 19th is the real deal. Morning has a clean 7ft west-southwest swell, 16-second period, with a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE. Energy is pumpin’ (2663). This is the standout. Afternoon drops to 6ft but stays clean with a light offshore. This is a session for experienced surfers – that 7ft has some serious punch. Expect crowds sometimes.

Monday the 20th is still very good, but smaller. Morning has a clean 5ft from the same direction, light offshore, moderate energy (1076). Get on it early.

Tuesday the 21st is glassy in the morning – 4ft, 13-second period, light easterly breeze, flat water. Fun little session for anyone. Energy is moderate (507).

From Wednesday the 22nd, it gets quiet. Swell drops, winds turn onshore or cross-shore, and energy gets weak (265 or less). There’s a long gap of poor surf until the end of July. A few days show a little bump, like Saturday the 25th with a 3ft, 17-second groundswell and clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s small and the wind is strong (25 km/h), so it’s marginal.

Monday the 27th brings a big pulse – 12ft of west-southwest swell with 16-second period, strong energy (6201). That’s expert-only, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. More of a kite session.

The last good window is Wednesday the 29th. Morning looks clean again with a 6ft west-southwest swell, 11-second period, and a light offshore ESE breeze. Energy is moderate (737). A solid session, but not as big as that Sunday.

Bottom line: Sunday the 19th is the one. Don’t miss it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
4
4
4
3
2
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
W
17
2.5
W
16
2.5
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
16
2
W
16
1.9
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.3
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2
WSW
17
2.2
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2237
3258
2687
2224
1960
1499
1546
2220
2450
2198
2140
2357
2663
1631
1472
1076
874
613
499
390
307
Wind (km/h)
10
NNE
10
WNW
5
NW
10
WNW
15
W
15
SW
20
SW
20
SW
20
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
15
ESE
5
SE
10
E
10
E
5
SW
5
ESE
5
E
10
SW
0
ESE
Wind State
cross
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
glassy
High Tide
10:40AM3.02m
11:04PM3.25m
11:28AM3.04m
11:51PM3.24m
12:14PM3.00m
00:36AM3.14m
12:59PM2.89m
1:19AM2.99m
1:43PM2.74m
2:02AM2.79m
2:27PM2.59m
2:46AM2.59m
3:14PM2.43m
Low Tide
4:51PM0.09m
5:19AM0.11m
5:38PM0.08m
6:07AM0.13m
6:24PM0.14m
6:54AM0.20m
7:08PM0.27m
7:40AM0.31m
7:54PM0.43m
8:23AM0.46m
8:40PM0.61m
9:08AM0.61m
9:29PM0.79m
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
 mm
2
1
1
Temp °C
14
15
14
14
15
13
13
12
12
13
13
13
12
13
12
11
12
11
10
11
11
Feels °C
13
13
13
12
13
10
9
8
8
8
8
7
8
11
10
9
10
9
8
8
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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