Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.6° C
0.2° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, W swell with 7,492 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Mon 20th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 15s
Best Surf12AM (Mon 20th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 15s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sat 25th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a real mixed bag for Raglan over the next couple of weeks. The standout is going to be Manu Bay, but we’ve got to wade through a fair bit of junk to get to the good stuff. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet is Sunday the 19th. It’s not gonna be pretty, but there’s a 7 ft swell from the WSW with a 16-second period – that’s proper long groundswell energy (2254). The issue is the cross wind from the SW at 9 mph, making it a bit of a mess. It’s more of a look-and-see session for the brave. Not a standout.

Monday the 20th is where the vibe shifts. Morning sees a 5 ft WSW swell at 14 seconds, with a light E wind at 6 mph blowing cross-off. The energy is solid (1076), and the conditions are clean. This is a proper session. The afternoon holds the same 5 ft swell, still clean with the cross-off breeze. The water temperature anomaly is about average, so it’s comfortable.

Tuesday the 21st is clean again in the morning, with a 4 ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and a light ESE breeze at 3 mph. Energy is moderate (522). It’s smaller, but the point will be running nicely. The afternoon turns a bit average with the cross wind.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Monday the 27th, it’s poor. The wind goes onshore or cross, and the swell gets blown out. There’s big swell in there – 12 ft and 13 ft on the 25th and 26th – but with strong cross and cross-onshore winds pushing 28 mph, it’s a washing machine. That’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. Honestly, the breaks will be a mess.

Now, for the real standout. Thursday the 23rd morning is worth a mention. The 4 ft WSW swell, 14-second period, and a glassy ENE breeze at 3 mph cross-off. The energy is moderate (668), and it’s clean. This is a solid option, but the real gold is on the horizon.

The best of the week lands on Friday the 31st of July. Morning brings a 10 ft swell from the W, with an 11-second period and a clean cross-off SSW breeze at 9 mph. The energy is strong (2334). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – it’s a big, powerful, and clean groundswell on the point. The wind is light and offshore, so Manu Bay will be firing. This is the one to circle. The afternoon is a bit meatier with the cross wind, but the morning is a standout.

Saturday the 1st of August has a chance, but the wind goes onshore, so it’s a maybe. The 8 ft W swell at 12 seconds has energy (1888), but the NW wind at 12 mph will mess it up. After that, it’s back to poor conditions through to the end of the window.

So, overall, the best on offer is the morning of Friday the 31st of July at Manu Bay. That’s a proper, solid, clean groundswell for the experienced crew. The early part of the week (Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st) is a good warm-up, but that last Friday is the one to wait for.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Thu morning, near gales from the WSW by Fri night).

Sun
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
4
3
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
12
1.5
WSW
7
1.1
WSW
7
1.3
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
12
1.6
W
8
1.9
W
9
2.5
W
14
3.5
W
16
4
W
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2254
1472
1076
886
649
522
396
321
187
218
113
668
683
594
182
358
537
2702
6227
7124
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
5
E
10
E
15
E
15
E
5
ESE
10
SW
5
SW
20
SW
25
SW
10
S
5
ENE
5
NW
15
WNW
25
N
35
WSW
45
WNW
45
WSW
30
W
45
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:02AM2.79m
2:27PM2.59m
2:46AM2.59m
3:14PM2.43m
3:36AM2.41m
4:08PM2.31m
4:37AM2.28m
5:20PM2.24m
5:51AM2.22m
6:41PM2.28m
7:02AM2.25m
7:41PM2.38m
Low Tide
7:54PM0.43m
8:23AM0.46m
8:40PM0.61m
9:08AM0.61m
9:29PM0.79m
9:56AM0.75m
10:27PM0.93m
10:54AM0.87m
11:38PM1.01m
12:10PM0.91m
00:57AM0.99m
1:21PM0.87m
1:57AM0.90m
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
mod rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:24
5:25
5:27
 mm
4
3
7
1
1
3
12
7
2
1
9
Temp °C
14
13
10
10
9
10
11
12
13
14
12
11
13
12
12
13
12
11
13
14
Feels °C
10
13
7
7
6
9
8
8
8
9
9
10
12
10
6
7
5
2
4
6
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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