
Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, W swell with 5,465 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way for Raglan's Manu Bay over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, with some absolute beauty days on the horizon, but we’ve got to wade through a bit of ordinary stuff first.
We’re kicking off Friday with small, clean conditions. The swell is a tiny 1ft to 1ft from the WSW, a very long period groundswell of 13 to 16 seconds. The water temp is 59°, pretty much spot on for this time of year. The wave energy is weak (91-92), so it's not going to get your heart racing, but with glassy afternoon conditions, it’s a good excuse to get wet on a longboard.
Saturday gets a bit grim. The wind picks up from the NNE and swings cross-shore, making a mess of things. The swell bumps up to 3ft, with moderate energy (207), but the conditions are poor. Not one for the quiver.
Sunday morning sees the swell jump to 6ft from the WNW with a short period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a moderate 873, but a cross-onshore wind blows it out. It’s marginal at best, and this is a beach-and-reef setup, so those bumpy conditions make it look more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. Afternoon doesn’t improve with heavy onshore winds.
Monday is a write-off. Heavy rain and howling NW winds up to 22 mph batter the coast. The swell is a messy 8ft from the W with very strong energy (2293-3566). Just stay home and watch the cams.
Now, here’s where it gets juicy. Tuesday the 7th of July is our first standout. Early morning you’ve got a big 10ft WSW groundswell (period 16 seconds) with a very strong energy reading of 3924, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the east. This is big and powerful – that’s heavy water only for experienced surfers. But the real gold is Tuesday afternoon. The swell drops to a still solid 8ft from the WSW, and the combined energy is a very strong 2511, but it’s clean as a whistle with glassy offshore winds. That’s an excellent window for the pros.
The next big standout is Friday the 10th of July. This one feels like a special session. Morning brings a clean 6ft WSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period and solid energy (1687). The wind is a light cross-off. Then Friday afternoon goes glassy with a 5ft, 17-second swell and a combined energy of 1398. This is a longer-period groundswell, which will wrap beautifully into the point. The crowd might be present, but with this quality and near-perfect wind, it’s a no-brainer for anyone who can handle the lineup.
The following week (from the 13th) settles down. We’ve got a run of smaller, cleaner days. Monday the 13th morning is a nice 4ft from the WSW with a clean cross-off, and then Saturday the 18th finishes the outlook with a smaller 4ft swell from the NW with a short period. It’s fun, small-wave surfing, but nothing that’s going to blow your socks off compared to the earlier gems. There’s a rough patch of poor wind and onshore slop from the 15th to the 16th, so don’t plan anything for those days.
Keep your eyes locked on the Tuesday afternoon (7th July) session and that magical Friday (10th July). Those are the absolute standouts. The rest is a waiting game for the next pulse.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Mon morning, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | W 13 | W 12 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | W 13 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
67 | 50 | 70 | 87 | 172 | 958 | 651 | 567 | 800 | 2293 | 2615 | 5067 | 3924 | 2511 | 1435 | 1176 | 522 | 679 | 714 | 929 | 716 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:14PM2.73m | 00:29AM2.89m | 12:52PM2.69m | 1:07AM2.84m | 1:31PM2.63m | 1:46AM2.77m | 2:14PM2.57m | 2:30AM2.69m | 3:01PM2.51m | 3:18AM2.61m | 3:52PM2.46m | 4:13AM2.55m | 4:54PM2.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:22PM0.46m | 6:47AM0.52m | 7:00PM0.50m | 7:28AM0.53m | 7:41PM0.56m | 8:10AM0.55m | 8:25PM0.63m | 8:54AM0.58m | 9:14PM0.70m | 9:42AM0.62m | 10:08PM0.75m | 10:36AM0.65m | 11:11PM0.78m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 | W 13 | W 12 | WSW 16 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | W 13 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
67 | 42 | 70 | 87 | 172 | 52 | 651 | 567 | 800 | 2293 | 2615 | 5067 | 3924 | 2511 | 1435 | 1176 | 522 | 679 | 714 | 929 | 716 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | WSW 16 | W 10 | W 9 | W 18 | W 20 | W 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 15 | — | W 18 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | W 18 | SW 7 | W 21 | WSW 19 |
24 | 50 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 222 | 290 | 380 | — | 951 | — | — | — | — | — | 197 | 162 | 86 | 81 | 497 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 20 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 7 | NE 2 | NNW 5 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 6 | — |
— | — | 4 | 1 | 29 | 958 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 228 | 146 | 108 | 56 | 56 | 140 | 215 | 197 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 56 | 108 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










