Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 01 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.0°C
0.3° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with 7,546 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 6PM (Mon 7th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, I'm Rusty, and here's what's shaking on the Raglan coast for the next 16 days. We're looking at a pretty grim start with a lot of wind and messy conditions, but there's a light at the end of the tunnel for the middle of the second week.

The first week is a write-off, unfortunately. It's all about a strong, powerful groundswell from the WSW, but the wind is just relentless. From Tuesday the 1st through to Monday the 7th, we're dealing with strong to fresh cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes, which is just trashing the surface. There's plenty of energy in the water – with combined energy readings in the thousands (6101 on Tuesday morning) – but it's a messy, choppy, cross-chop mess. The water's sitting at 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

We get a bit of a reprieve from the wind on Thursday the 9th morning, with a light breeze, but the swell is down to 5ft and it's still a bit onshore. The energy is moderate (712). It's still a bit of a gamble. Then we get a weird one on the 10th – a pulse of swell with a super long 21-second period, but winds are strong and cross-shore, so it's not going to be pretty.

Now, the first real standout shows up on Tuesday the 15th of September. The wind swings to a light ENE cross-offshore, and the swell is still a solid 6ft from the WSW. The energy is moderate (1413), and it's described as "clean." This is the best session on offer, and the Manu Bay point will be handling this long-period groundswell beautifully. It's a bit of a decent size, so it's for the more experienced crew, but it's going to be pumping.

The next day, Wednesday the 16th, offers another good option. The wind turns clean offshore from the ESE, with a light 9 mph breeze. The swell is a bit smaller at 5ft, which is excellent for a broader range of surfers, and the energy is moderate (977). It's a bit more manageable and will be super clean. This is a solid second-choice.

So, the long story short: the first week is a complete washout. The second week starts to look more promising, with the 15th and 16th being the real windows to get out there and score. Don't bother paddling out before that. Keep it on the radar, eh?

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue morning, light winds from the W by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WNW on Fri morning, light winds from the WNW by Sat night).

Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
14
2
WSW
15
1.8
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
1.7
W
10
1.7
WSW
15
3
W
10
3
W
15
3
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
14
2.5
W
15
2
WSW
16
3.5
W
16
4
WSW
12
4
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
6101
5239
3446
2321
1803
1846
1385
1106
621
1220
1532
3582
3805
3519
2736
2760
1938
6001
4512
7042
5164
Wind (km/h)
40
SW
35
SW
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
15
WNW
20
WNW
20
NW
35
NW
30
WSW
30
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
10
N
20
NNE
40
NNW
30
W
40
WSW
40
WSW
25
SW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
12:34PM2.93m
00:48AM2.95m
1:13PM2.84m
1:30AM2.81m
1:58PM2.70m
2:20AM2.63m
2:55PM2.54m
3:28AM2.45m
4:16PM2.42m
4:58AM2.37m
5:54PM2.44m
6:25AM2.41m
7:10PM2.60m
Low Tide
6:47PM0.28m
7:10AM0.28m
7:30PM0.44m
7:53AM0.44m
8:21PM0.62m
8:44AM0.63m
9:22PM0.79m
9:48AM0.80m
10:41PM0.90m
11:16AM0.88m
00:11AM0.85m
12:46PM0.78m
1:27AM0.67m
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:37
6:35
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
 mm
7
1
18
6
1
Temp °C
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
13
14
14
12
14
15
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
5
5
8
9
10
10
12
12
11
8
9
7
9
10
10
9
8
8
3
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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