Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,295 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Raglan-Manu Bay. This point break is fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s dialed in for a solid SW groundswell. Water temp is 57°F, which is about average for this time of year—nothing too unusual.
The outlook starts Monday the 3rd of August, but don’t get your hopes up. Monday morning you’ve got a 3ft W swell with a 19-second period—that’s a very long period groundswell, which can give good shape, but the wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore from the SW, making it lumpy. The combined energy is strong (1015), but the surf quality is poor. Monday afternoon stays similar, 4ft WSW, still cross and messy. Tuesday the 4th brings a bigger pulse: 10ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, combined energy of 4295 (very strong). That’s expert territory, over 8ft, and the wind is still a fresh 30 km/h cross-shore, so it’s marginal. Tuesday afternoon drops to 5ft WSW with a cleaner cross-off breeze, but still only a 3/10 score.
Wednesday the 5th is similar: 6ft WSW in the morning, 5ft in the arvo, moderate cross-off winds, but all rated marginal. Thursday the 6th gets small—3ft to 2ft—and the wind goes light, so it’s clean but tiny. Friday the 7th is a dud: 1ft to 1.0ft, poor conditions. Saturday the 8th sees a 7ft WNW swell, but it’s onshore, rainy, and choppy—not worth it.
Now, here’s the standout. Sunday the 9th of August is the move. Morning brings a 6ft W swell, 9-second period, combined energy 969 (moderate), and a light cross-off breeze from the ENE. The call is “expect very good surf conditions.” Then Sunday afternoon gets even better: 6ft W swell, 10-second period, and glassy conditions—wind is 5 km/h from the W, dead calm. The energy is 914 (moderate). This is the best on offer: clean, glassy, and a solid 6ft to 6ft on a point break. That’s a proper session. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
Monday the 10th keeps the quality going: 5ft to 5ft WSW swell, 13 to 16-second periods, light cross-off winds, and clean conditions. Another good window. Tuesday the 11th drops off a bit with 4ft, and by Wednesday the 12th the wind picks up, making it marginal. Thursday the 13th has some rain and cross-on wind, but Friday the 14th of August looks promising again: a 5ft W swell with a 16-second period, combined energy 1354 (strong), and a light offshore from the SE in the morning. That’s “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The afternoon goes cross-off and clean. After that, it’s a slow decline into the second week—Saturday the 15th through Monday the 18th are mostly cross-shore winds, moderate chop, and marginal conditions. The 10ft pulse on Tuesday the 4th is too big for anyone but experts, and the winds are messy, so Sunday the 9th and Friday the 14th are your true standouts.
Keep an eye on the long-range for the 14th—it’s a bit further out, but the signs are good. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon night, light winds from the SE by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 6°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 10 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 713 | 1081 | 4277 | 4295 | 906 | 615 | 1143 | 659 | 451 | 190 | 129 | 104 | 56 | 37 | 145 | 597 | 676 | 348 | 550 | 546 | 415 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 1:02PM2.81m | 1:15AM2.90m | 1:41PM2.73m | 1:56AM2.79m | 2:24PM2.63m | 2:43AM2.66m | 3:16PM2.53m | 3:41AM2.53m | 4:24PM2.44m | 4:57AM2.44m | 5:57PM2.45m | 6:27AM2.46m | 7:20PM2.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:13PM0.40m | 7:38AM0.39m | 7:55PM0.51m | 8:20AM0.48m | 8:42PM0.64m | 9:07AM0.60m | 9:38PM0.77m | 10:04AM0.73m | 10:47PM0.86m | 11:21AM0.81m | 00:15AM0.85m | 12:53PM0.75m | 1:36AM0.69m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 14 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 19 | WSW 18 | — | — | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WSW 18 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 10 | W 9 |
| kJ | 713 | 1081 | — | — | 850 | 615 | 1143 | 659 | 451 | 190 | 129 | 104 | 56 | 37 | 145 | 597 | 104 | 348 | 550 | 546 | 225 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | — | W 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | W 15 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | W 17 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 906 | 565 | — | 55 | 51 | 44 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 35 | 35 | 31 | 217 | 300 | 360 | 415 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 21 | W 21 | W 19 | W 18 | WNW 7 | — | W 18 | — | W 9 | W 20 | NW 7 | W 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 34 | 29 | 26 | 10 | — | 25 | — | 39 | 119 | 8 | 163 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 302 | 545 | 4277 | 4295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 676 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 224 | 249 | 247 | 96 | 168 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 222 | 219 | 109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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