Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, W swell with 3,302 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. We’re lookin’ at a couple weeks of waves here at Manu Bay (Raglan). Water temp is about 58°, right where it should be for this time of year.
The first few days are a bit of a bust. From Wednesday the 15th through Saturday the 18th, the wind is messy – cross-shore and cross-onshore – with a lot of chop. Swell is there, 7ft to 8ft from the west, with a long 16 to 17-second period, and the energy is strong (2253 to 3258). But the wind’s just ruining it. Not worth a paddle.
Then Sunday the 19th is the real deal. Morning has a clean 7ft west-southwest swell, 16-second period, with a gentle offshore breeze from the ESE. Energy is pumpin’ (2663). This is the standout. Afternoon drops to 6ft but stays clean with a light offshore. This is a session for experienced surfers – that 7ft has some serious punch. Expect crowds sometimes.
Monday the 20th is still very good, but smaller. Morning has a clean 5ft from the same direction, light offshore, moderate energy (1076). Get on it early.
Tuesday the 21st is glassy in the morning – 4ft, 13-second period, light easterly breeze, flat water. Fun little session for anyone. Energy is moderate (507).
From Wednesday the 22nd, it gets quiet. Swell drops, winds turn onshore or cross-shore, and energy gets weak (265 or less). There’s a long gap of poor surf until the end of July. A few days show a little bump, like Saturday the 25th with a 3ft, 17-second groundswell and clean cross-offshore wind, but it’s small and the wind is strong (25 km/h), so it’s marginal.
Monday the 27th brings a big pulse – 12ft of west-southwest swell with 16-second period, strong energy (6201). That’s expert-only, but the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. More of a kite session.
The last good window is Wednesday the 29th. Morning looks clean again with a 6ft west-southwest swell, 11-second period, and a light offshore ESE breeze. Energy is moderate (737). A solid session, but not as big as that Sunday.
Bottom line: Sunday the 19th is the one. Don’t miss it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2237 | 3258 | 2687 | 2224 | 1960 | 1499 | 1546 | 2220 | 2450 | 2198 | 2140 | 2357 | 2663 | 1631 | 1472 | 1076 | 874 | 613 | 499 | 390 | 307 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 10:40AM3.02m | 11:04PM3.25m | 11:28AM3.04m | 11:51PM3.24m | 12:14PM3.00m | 00:36AM3.14m | 12:59PM2.89m | 1:19AM2.99m | 1:43PM2.74m | 2:02AM2.79m | 2:27PM2.59m | 2:46AM2.59m | 3:14PM2.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:51PM0.09m | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.08m | 6:07AM0.13m | 6:24PM0.14m | 6:54AM0.20m | 7:08PM0.27m | 7:40AM0.31m | 7:54PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.46m | 8:40PM0.61m | 9:08AM0.61m | 9:29PM0.79m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | — | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 2237 | 3258 | 2687 | 2224 | 1960 | 1499 | 1546 | 2220 | 2450 | 2198 | — | 2357 | 2663 | 1631 | 1472 | 1076 | 874 | 613 | 499 | 390 | 307 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 74 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 20 | — | W 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 15 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2140 | 336 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 247 | 56 | 194 | 183 | 122 | 119 | 108 | 119 | 119 | 129 | 96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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