Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, W swell with 6,652 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Raglan-Manu Bay (Raglan-Manu-Bay). The water’s sitting at 57°, which is dead average for this time of year, nothing weird.
The first few days are a bit of a bust. Wednesday the 29th is tiny at 3ft from the WSW with a short 11-second period and weak energy (344). Not worth a look. Thursday the 30th gets a bit more size, 5ft from the WSW, but it’s a messy cross-shore from the NE with moderate energy (724). Still not happening.
Friday the 31st is ugly. We’ve got a 8ft to 10ft swell from the WNW, but it’s getting hammered by strong cross-onshore winds, and the period drops to 8-9 seconds, so it’s just lumpy junk. Hard pass.
Now, here’s the one. Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is still a bit wild with a 13ft WSW swell and cross-shore wind, but the afternoon… that’s the ticket. The swell drops to 10ft from the W, a solid 14-second period, and the wind turns to a clean cross-offshore from the SSW. The energy is massive (3495), and it’s going to be clean. This is for experienced surfers only – 10ft is big, but this point break will handle that long-period groundswell like a dream. Crowds are possible, so be early. That’s the best of the first week.
Sunday the 2nd is a nice breather: 4ft from the WSW, light offshore from the SSE, clean. Good for a fun session.
The second week has some quieter gems. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th are blown out, forget it. Wednesday the 5th through Friday the 7th look clean and small, 4ft to 5ft, with light offshore or cross-off winds, nice for a lazy paddle.
Then, a real sleeper: Saturday the 8th is tiny at 1ft, but Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th start to hum. Sunday the 9th has a 4ft to 5ft WSW swell, 16-second period, and clean offshore from the ESE. The energy is moderate to strong (688-906), and the wind is offshore. That’s some very good, clean, lined-up surf. Monday the 10th is similar: 5ft, 15-second period, light offshore, clean. That’s the long-range standout – promising, but not locked in yet.
Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th fade off, but then Thursday the 13th of August throws a big one. A 10ft WNW swell, 10-second period, clean in the morning, but it’s big and the period is short, so it’ll be a bit raw. For experts only.
Bottom line: Saturday afternoon the 1st of August is the absolute winner – big, clean, powerful groundswell at the point. The second standout is Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th – smaller but super clean and consistent. The first few days are a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 14 | WSW 14 | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 202 | 886 | 724 | 631 | 284 | 766 | 1218 | 6419 | 6217 | 3495 | 1028 | 431 | 446 | 247 | 919 | 5037 | 1201 | 1064 | 1803 | 1091 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:22PM2.88m | 10:43AM2.78m | 10:57PM2.97m | 11:17AM2.84m | 11:31PM3.01m | 11:51AM2.86m | 00:05AM3.02m | 12:26PM2.85m | 00:39AM2.98m | 1:02PM2.81m | 1:15AM2.90m | 1:41PM2.73m | 1:56AM2.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:16PM0.43m | 4:35AM0.45m | 4:50PM0.35m | 5:10AM0.38m | 5:24PM0.29m | 5:45AM0.33m | 5:59PM0.28m | 6:22AM0.31m | 6:35PM0.32m | 6:59AM0.33m | 7:13PM0.40m | 7:38AM0.39m | 7:55PM0.51m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | — | — | WSW 14 | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | — | — | WSW 9 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 |
| kJ | 202 | 886 | 724 | 631 | 269 | 361 | — | — | 6217 | 3495 | 1028 | 431 | 446 | 247 | — | — | 586 | 1064 | 1803 | 1091 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | NNW 4 | — | W 16 | W 18 | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | W 19 | WSW 18 | — | — | WSW 17 | WSW 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 142 | — | 11 | — | 190 | 160 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 30 | 29 | 109 | — | — | 1201 | 460 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 6 | NW 7 | WNW 8 | W 9 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 5 | WSW 8 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 52 | 284 | 766 | 1218 | 6419 | — | — | — | — | — | 60 | 919 | 5037 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 221 | 109 | 112 | 112 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 224 | 247 | 306 | 0 | 0 | 249 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest