Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.0°C
0.3° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 18s period, WSW swell with 3,705 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Best Surf 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 13s
Most Powerful12PM (Sun 30th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Raglan.

The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag, but when we get the right conditions, this place can be world-class. The first surfing recommendation is for Monday, 24th August. The ocean is already pumping with a solid 11.5 ft swell from the WSW, but the 15-second period is a dream. The wind is coming from the southwest at 12 mph, creating a cross-shore breeze. The water is sitting at 57.2°, which is pretty much spot-on for this time of year. The day will bring a large amount of wave energy (4957), so expect some power. It’s not picture-perfect, though, as the cross-shore is creating a bit of a cross-chop. This is a big swell, over 8 ft, so this is for the experts only. The high tide might make for some tricky sections.

Tuesday, 25th August, the swell drops to 7.9 ft on the morning, still with a 15-second period from the WSW, but the wind is a cross-shore from the WSW at 9 mph. The afternoon turns into a cross-on wind from the west at 12 mph, making it choppy and poor. Not a day to hang your hat on.

Wednesday, 26th August, the swell is 6.6 ft, with a 14-second period. The wind is a cross-on from the WSW at 9 mph in the morning, then a lighter cross-on from the WNW at 6 mph in the afternoon. It’s still a bit rough. The wave energy is moderate (1592).

Thursday, 27th August, the swell drops to 5.2 ft with a 13-second period. The wind is offshore from the NNW at 6 mph in the morning, which is a good sign, but the scores aren’t rating it. The afternoon is also offshore from the NW at 6 mph. The wave energy is weak (841).

Friday, 28th August, the swell is 5.6 ft, but the period drops to 10 seconds in the morning and 8 seconds in the afternoon. The wind is a cross-shore from the NNE at 12 mph in the morning, then onshore from the NNW at 9 mph in the afternoon. This is a poor, short-period swell, and the energy is low (717). Skip it.

Saturday, 29th August, the swell plummets to 3.0 ft in the morning with a 13-second period, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the SW at 3 mph. The energy is very weak (576). The afternoon gets a bit more size at 4.6 ft, but the wind goes cross-on from the WSW at 9 mph, making it poor. A slow day.

Sunday, 30th August, the size jumps back up to 7.2 ft in the morning, with a long 18-second period from the WSW. The wind is a cross-shore from the WSW at 19 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy. The wave energy is strong (3102). The afternoon drops to 8.2 ft, but the period is a short 9 seconds, and the wind is cross-on and lumpy. Not clean.

Monday, 31st August, the swell is 9.8 ft with a 14-second period from the WSW. The wind is a cross-shore from the WSW at 19 mph, creating a fresh cross-chop. The wave energy is strong (2951). Again, this is expert-only territory due to the size, and the wind isn’t helping.

Tuesday, 1st September, we see a big 11.5 ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period in the morning. The wind is a cross-shore from the WSW at 16 mph. The afternoon drops to 9.8 ft, but the wind goes cross-on from the WSW at 16 mph, turning it choppy. The wave energy is very strong (6019).

Wednesday, 2nd September, the swell is 8.2 ft with

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sat night).

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
0
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
3
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
2
WSW
14
1.8
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
12
1.7
W
10
1.7
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
0.9
WSW
13
1.4
WSW
11
1.6
WSW
8
2.2
WSW
18
2.5
WSW
9
2.5
WSW
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
4957
4462
3296
2482
2104
1484
1592
1592
1139
841
732
608
596
404
464
289
439
283
3102
1076
1220
Wind (km/h)
20
SW
20
SW
15
WSW
15
WSW
20
W
15
W
15
WSW
10
WNW
10
W
10
NNW
10
NW
10
NE
20
NNE
15
NNW
20
N
5
SW
15
WSW
25
SW
30
WSW
30
WSW
30
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
8:00PM2.43m
8:23AM2.39m
8:43PM2.59m
9:06AM2.54m
9:21PM2.75m
9:43AM2.69m
9:57PM2.89m
10:18AM2.81m
10:30PM3.00m
10:52AM2.91m
11:04PM3.07m
11:25AM2.96m
11:37PM3.09m
Low Tide
1:49PM0.84m
2:19AM0.80m
2:37PM0.67m
2:59AM0.62m
3:16PM0.49m
3:35AM0.45m
3:51PM0.34m
4:10AM0.30m
4:25PM0.21m
4:44AM0.19m
4:58PM0.14m
5:18AM0.12m
5:32PM0.12m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
 mm
2
4
1
1
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
14
13
15
16
13
14
14
12
14
13
14
Feels °C
9
9
9
10
10
10
12
12
13
13
12
11
11
13
10
11
11
7
8
7
8
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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