Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.2° C
0.0° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 19s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, W swell with 6,508 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 11s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Wed 29th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 11s
Best Surf 9AM (Mon 3rd Aug)8ft (2.5m) 19s
Most Powerful12AM (Sat 1st Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, listen up, you salty dogs. Let's break down the next couple of weeks. It's a proper rollercoaster, but there's some proper gems if you've got the patience.

The overall picture is a big, long-period swell trying to sort itself out, but the wind is going to be a pain in the arse for a few days around the end of July. Water temp is just about where it should be for this time of year, nothing to worry about.

The absolute standout, no question, is Monday, August 3rd. We're looking at a solid 8ft swell from the WSW with a massive 19-second period – that's a proper groundswell with a ton of energy (4455). And the wind? Glassy in the morning. That's a potential all-timer at Raglan-Manu Bay. It's a point break, so a long-period swell like this will set up perfectly, not just close out. At over 8ft, this is strictly for the experts. It's fairly consistent, but with that much energy, it'll be a hell of a paddle. The crowds are sometimes a factor, but on a day this size, only those with big cojones will be out.

The next big highlight is the morning of Tuesday, August 4th. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft, but it's still a long 16-second period from the WSW (1723). A light SSW cross-off breeze will have it looking like a mirror. That's a beautiful, long day of waves for the advanced surfer.

Then Wednesday, August 5th morning is another beauty. The swell holds at 5ft from the WSW, period drops to 14 seconds, and the wind is glassy again. The energy is a bit lower (904) but it'll be a dream to paddle out.

Don't get your hopes up for the start. Wednesday, July 29th is tiny, with 3ft waves. The afternoon gets glassy, so you might pinch a few, but it's real ordinary. Thursday, July 30th sees a jump to 5ft, but the wind is messy and cross-shore, killing the shape. July 31st is a total washout – big, windy, and rainy. August 1st brings a massive 12ft swell from the WSW, but the morning is chopped to bits by a cross-onshore wind. The afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind, but it's still 10ft and only for the mad men.

There's a dry spell from August 6th through the 11th. The swell is small and weak, with energy values dropping to 155. You'll be hunting for knee-high dribblers. August 12th and 13th start to show some life again with waist-high swells and long periods, but the wind is flukey. August 13th morning looks the best of that late stretch, with a 3ft, 17-second swell (961) and a light offshore breeze.

So, the first week is a battle with the wind. The real magic is in the first few days of August, especially the mornings of the 3rd and 4th. Keep those dates marked.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 34mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Fri afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
2
1
2
5
2
2
4
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
1.5
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
14
1.3
WSW
14
1.9
NW
7
2.4
W
10
3
W
9
4
W
15
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
12
1.6
WSW
11
1.5
WSW
10
1.3
WSW
9
2.5
WSW
19
2.5
WSW
18
1.6
WSW
17
1.5
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
206
202
886
735
631
331
1070
1561
6508
4756
3827
1399
608
442
280
4455
4792
1398
1064
1068
1393
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
5
NNW
10
ENE
15
NE
15
N
25
N
25
W
30
W
25
WNW
20
W
25
S
25
S
10
S
25
SSW
15
SSW
5
SSE
30
SW
25
SW
10
SSW
20
SW
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
10:08AM2.69m
10:22PM2.88m
10:43AM2.78m
10:57PM2.97m
11:17AM2.84m
11:31PM3.01m
11:51AM2.86m
00:05AM3.02m
12:26PM2.85m
00:39AM2.98m
1:02PM2.81m
1:15AM2.90m
1:41PM2.73m
1:56AM2.79m
Low Tide
4:16PM0.43m
4:35AM0.45m
4:50PM0.35m
5:10AM0.38m
5:24PM0.29m
5:45AM0.33m
5:59PM0.28m
6:22AM0.31m
6:35PM0.32m
6:59AM0.33m
7:13PM0.40m
7:38AM0.39m
7:55PM0.51m
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:34
5:35
 mm
1
18
3
3
9
1
1
3
1
3
Temp °C
10
12
10
11
14
13
13
12
11
12
9
6
9
10
8
12
13
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
7
10
7
8
11
9
8
5
5
6
3
-1
4
3
4
8
7
6
9
8
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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