Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, W swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period, W swell with 6,267 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 17s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 17s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like Raglan’s Manu Bay is gonna be the main game for the next couple of weeks, with a real mix of conditions. The water temp sits at about 59°F which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year down here.
First up, Saturday the 4th is a bit of a write-off. The swell is tiny at 2ft from the west with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is weak (94). The wind is cross-off but the surf is just too poor to bother. Sunday the 5th improves a bit with 7ft swell from the west-northwest on Sunday morning, but it’s a bit onshore wind and the period drops to 10 seconds, which makes it messy. The combined energy jumps to moderate (994) but it’s still marginal.
The real standout in the first week is looking like Thursday the 10th. The swell pulses up to 6ft from the west-southwest with a very long 18-second period, giving a solid groundswell. The combined energy is strong (2162). The wind is cross-off from the south, keeping things clean. This is a proper point break wave, so that long period will wrap in beautifully. Just be aware that with that size it’s getting into expert territory. This is the best on offer in the early part.
The second week has a couple of gems. Sunday the 12th is a ripper: in the afternoon you’ve got 5ft from the west-southwest with a 15-second period, and the wind goes glassy – absolutely dead calm. The combined energy is moderate (867). That’s clean, lined-up point surfing. Then on the 19th of July, Sunday morning brings 6ft from the west-southwest with a 16-second period, and it’s glassy again. The combined energy is strong (1687). The data says it’s excellent for experienced surfers – and at that size, it is. That’s your other standout, but it’s a long way out so keep an eye on it.
The middle of the second week, around the 15th and 16th, gets a bit messy with onshore wind and bigger swell that’s too short-period for the point. The 16th has 10ft from the west-northwest but it’s cross-shore and lumpy with a fresh breeze – that’s more for the kite crew than paddle surfers.
So to wrap it up: Thursday the 10th morning is your top pick early on. Sunday the 12th afternoon and Sunday the 19th morning are the long-range standouts, but they’re promising. Raglan’s fairly consistent, so it won’t stay flat for long.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sat night, fresh winds from the NW by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | W 12 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | WNW 10 | W 12 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 87 | 172 | 703 | 772 | 383 | 625 | 2823 | 2939 | 4694 | 2794 | 1956 | 1114 | 702 | 700 | 454 | 554 | 793 | 1443 | 2162 | 1674 | 917 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:52PM2.69m | 1:07AM2.84m | 1:31PM2.63m | 1:46AM2.77m | 2:14PM2.57m | 2:30AM2.69m | 3:01PM2.51m | 3:18AM2.61m | 3:52PM2.46m | 4:13AM2.55m | 4:54PM2.44m | 5:17AM2.52m | 6:11PM2.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:00PM0.50m | 7:28AM0.53m | 7:41PM0.56m | 8:10AM0.55m | 8:25PM0.63m | 8:54AM0.58m | 9:14PM0.70m | 9:42AM0.62m | 10:08PM0.75m | 10:36AM0.65m | 11:11PM0.78m | 11:43AM0.66m | 00:28AM0.75m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 21 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | W 12 | NW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 10 | WNW 10 | W 12 | W 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | 87 | 172 | 703 | 772 | 383 | 625 | 2823 | 2939 | 4694 | 2794 | 1956 | 1114 | 702 | 700 | 454 | 452 | 793 | 1443 | 2162 | 1674 | 917 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 18 | WSW 16 | W 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 15 | — | W 18 | — | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 7 | W 20 | W 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 10 | W 19 | — | — | SW 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 52 | 222 | 290 | 304 | — | 1087 | — | 180 | 193 | 64 | 9 | 67 | 311 | 554 | 258 | 475 | — | — | 75 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 20 | — | — | W 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 21 | NW 7 | — | W 24 | W 21 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 30 | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | — | 11 | 80 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 2 | N 5 | ENE 4 | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 28 | 5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 228 | 205 | 108 | 114 | 154 | 109 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | 199 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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