Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 24 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,072 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Manu Bay.
We're kicking off with a bit of a dud, to be honest. The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are looking pretty average. That big swell on Monday morning is a solid 12ft from the WSW with a 15-second period, so there's plenty of energy in the water (5025 combined energy), but it's coming in with a cross-shore wind, so it’s gonna be messy and lumpy. Not the Manu Bay we love.
The good news is that things clean up as we head into the second half of the week. On Thursday the 27th, we get a drop in size to around 5ft with a nice 13-second period from the WSW. It's still a bit onshore, but the wind is light, so the chop won't be too bad. It's not a standout, but a paddle-out is on the cards for the more dedicated crew.
Now, for the one that has me a little excited. You have to be patient, but look at Thursday the 3rd of September. That morning is looking like the real deal. We’ve got a big 12ft swell rolling in from the west, with a 16-second period and a massive 4993 combined energy. That's proper groundswell, folks. The magic ingredient is a light southerly breeze – that's cross-offshore for Manu Bay. That means clean, lined-up sets. This is a serious swell though, over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The light offshore wind will be a major positive, making for some truly epic, clean waves at this famous point break. There'll be a few of us out, so expect some company.
The rest of the window is pretty much a mixed bag of onshore winds and lumpy conditions. There's a bump around Saturday the 29th with clean conditions and a lighter 5ft swell, but it's nothing to write home about. The main event is definitely that big Thursday the 3rd.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a bit of a struggle with wind and size. The true standout is the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September – get that date in your head. For now, we wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun morning, light winds from the WSW by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | W 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 12 | W 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 639 | 1767 | 1981 | 5025 | 4462 | 3296 | 2482 | 2162 | 1464 | 1423 | 1570 | 1043 | 744 | 522 | 584 | 762 | 963 | 306 | 463 | 423 | 273 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:08PM2.28m | 7:31AM2.25m | 8:00PM2.43m | 8:23AM2.39m | 8:43PM2.59m | 9:06AM2.54m | 9:21PM2.75m | 9:43AM2.69m | 9:57PM2.89m | 10:18AM2.81m | 10:30PM3.00m | 10:52AM2.91m | 11:04PM3.07m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:46PM0.98m | 1:29AM0.97m | 1:49PM0.84m | 2:19AM0.80m | 2:37PM0.67m | 2:59AM0.62m | 3:16PM0.49m | 3:35AM0.45m | 3:51PM0.34m | 4:10AM0.30m | 4:25PM0.21m | 4:44AM0.19m | 4:58PM0.14m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — |
mm | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 16 | W 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | W 12 | W 11 | WNW 10 | WNW 8 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 |
| kJ | 135 | 1767 | 380 | 5025 | 4462 | 3296 | 2482 | 2162 | 1464 | 1423 | 1570 | 1043 | 744 | 522 | 584 | 762 | 963 | 306 | 463 | 423 | 258 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | W 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | W 15 | W 15 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | W 19 |
| kJ | 54 | 205 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 59 | 86 | 112 | 155 | 246 | 98 | 67 | 273 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 24 | W 23 | W 22 | W 21 | NW 7 |
| kJ | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | 84 | 141 | 26 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | — | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 639 | — | 1981 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 249 | 247 | 191 | 238 | 249 | 249 | 249 | 252 | 249 | 140 | 247 | 56 | 56 | 228 | 0 | 249 | 135 | 56 | 0 | 101 | 108 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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