Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 15 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.6° C
0.2° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 3,900 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 16s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 16s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 19th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Manu Bay. This is a classic point break, and it’s a fairly consistent setup, so there’s plenty to talk about. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing too unusual there.

The forecast period kicks off on Thursday the 16th of July, and straight away we’ve got a solid 7ft of swell from the WSW, with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The energy is strong, pushing 2224 (moderate to strong wave energy). The wind is a cross-on though, so it’s not going to be perfect. It’s a bit of a mixed bag for the first few days, honestly. The wind stays cross or cross-on for most of the first week, and the swell is hovering around 6ft to 7ft. The conditions are described as marginal, so you’ll be scratching around for the good ones through Thursday, Friday, Saturday, and Sunday.

Now, there’s a bit of a gap in the quality, but Monday the 20th of July afternoon is a real standout. The swell drops a touch to 5ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is moderate at 961. But the wind? It goes glassy. Absolutely flat calm. That’s the kind of session you wait for at a point like Manu Bay. Clean, lined-up waves. That’s the best on offer in the first week. Tuesday the 21st also looks promising with glassy conditions and lighter swell, around 4ft, clean and easy.

The second week starts to look a bit more interesting for the experienced crew. Wednesday the 29th of July morning is a beauty. You’ve got 7ft of WSW swell at 14 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the SE. The energy is strong at 1775. This is excellent surf, but at 7ft, it’s getting into the more serious territory, better for those who know what they’re doing. The wind stays clean and light for the next few days, and the swell holds around 6ft to 6ft, making for some very good surf through the 30th and 31st of July. The crowds at Manu Bay can be an issue sometimes, so for those standout glassy sessions, get in early.

Overall, the pick of the forecast is that glassy Monday afternoon on the 20th of July, and then the clean, offshore conditions on the 29th and 30th of July for the stronger, more powerful swell. It’s a classic point break, so the long-period groundswell will be peeling nicely down the line.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wed
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
4
2
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
16
2.1
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.2
WSW
15
2.5
WSW
17
1.9
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
14
1.6
WSW
14
1.4
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
1.2
WSW
13
1
WSW
13
0.9
WSW
12
0.7
WSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2687
2224
2002
1499
1207
2220
2526
2198
2140
3900
1875
1611
1646
1187
961
704
475
461
312
230
125
Wind (km/h)
10
NW
10
WNW
15
W
15
SW
20
SW
25
SW
20
SW
20
SW
25
WSW
25
SW
25
SW
20
SW
5
SSW
10
NE
5
NNE
10
E
10
E
0
SW
5
ENE
5
NNE
15
WSW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
cross
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
High Tide
11:04PM3.25m
11:28AM3.04m
11:51PM3.24m
12:14PM3.00m
00:36AM3.14m
12:59PM2.89m
1:19AM2.99m
1:43PM2.74m
2:02AM2.79m
2:27PM2.59m
2:46AM2.59m
3:14PM2.43m
3:36AM2.41m
4:08PM2.31m
Low Tide
5:19AM0.11m
5:38PM0.08m
6:07AM0.13m
6:24PM0.14m
6:54AM0.20m
7:08PM0.27m
7:40AM0.31m
7:54PM0.43m
8:23AM0.46m
8:40PM0.61m
9:08AM0.61m
9:29PM0.79m
9:56AM0.75m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:30
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
14
14
14
13
13
12
12
12
13
13
14
14
12
12
12
11
12
14
11
13
13
Feels °C
14
12
11
10
8
7
8
8
8
7
9
10
10
11
11
9
10
13
10
11
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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