Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 14s period, W swell with 3,788 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.
We’re looking at a classic West Coast setup, with a solid run of south-west groundswells lighting up the point. The water temperature is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real action kicks off on Saturday, the 1st of August. The morning’s looking clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the ESE. Swell is a solid 10 ft from the WSW, with a long 13-second period. That’s some serious groundswell energy, and the combined energy of all swells directed here is a meaty 2846. This is going to be pumping, but at that size, it’s strictly for the experienced crew. The afternoon cleans up even more with a true offshore ESE breeze at 9 mph, dropping the swell to 8 ft but still packing that long period. This is your standout session for the whole forecast, no doubt. Manu Bay will be the spot.
Sunday the 2nd of August is a different story. The morning is glassy, absolutely dead calm, with the swell dropping to 4 ft. It’s clean and perfect for a longer board, a real cruisy session. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-onshore breeze.
Monday the 3rd of August is a write-off. Strong cross-shore winds and rain showers make for poor conditions, despite a big 8 ft swell with a very long 18-second period. That energy is there (3328), but the wind is just ruining it.
The middle of the week, Wednesday the 5th of August, offers a nice little window. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze, and 5 ft of WSW swell at 14 seconds. It’s a good, solid, workable wave. The afternoon goes glassy again with 4 ft swell. Nice conditions.
After that, things get a bit inconsistent and small for a few days, with a few surfable but ordinary sessions. The wind flips around and gets messy.
The next proper standout is looking like Saturday the 15th of August. The morning is glassy again, with a 8 ft swell from the WNW at 11 seconds. That’s a lot of juice (1587 combined energy), and with no wind, it’s going to be a clean, powerful wave. The afternoon holds at 8 ft with a light offshore breeze. This is a long-range promise, so keep an eye on it, but it looks like a real cracker if it holds.
To put it simply, the best on offer is the Saturday the 1st of August run, with the Saturday the 15th of August as a very promising, but less certain, second standout. Manu Bay is the place to be.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | W 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 887 | 4074 | 2846 | 1945 | 852 | 416 | 194 | 153 | 713 | 3328 | 1382 | 2358 | 906 | 1275 | 917 | 586 | 321 | 172 | 115 | 364 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:31PM3.01m | 11:51AM2.86m | 00:05AM3.02m | 12:26PM2.85m | 00:39AM2.98m | 1:02PM2.81m | 1:15AM2.90m | 1:41PM2.73m | 1:56AM2.79m | 2:24PM2.63m | 2:43AM2.66m | 3:16PM2.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:24PM0.29m | 5:45AM0.33m | 5:59PM0.28m | 6:22AM0.31m | 6:35PM0.32m | 6:59AM0.33m | 7:13PM0.40m | 7:38AM0.39m | 7:55PM0.51m | 8:20AM0.48m | 8:42PM0.64m | 9:07AM0.60m | 9:38PM0.77m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | W 19 | — | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 |
| kJ | — | 4074 | 2846 | 1945 | 852 | 416 | 194 | 147 | 713 | — | 1382 | 2358 | 906 | 1275 | 917 | 586 | 321 | 172 | 111 | 364 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 21 | W 20 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | — | — | — | WSW 11 | — | — | W 18 | WSW 16 | W 9 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 9 | 30 | 117 | 153 | — | — | — | — | 452 | — | — | 25 | 51 | 6 | 115 | 67 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 19 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 21 | W 20 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 18 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 887 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 248 | 3328 | 422 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 109 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 247 | 247 | 247 | 56 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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