Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.5°C
0.7° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 7,902 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Tue 15th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 15s
Best Surf 6AM (Tue 15th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 15s
Most Powerful12PM (Sat 12th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Raglan over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot that’s been singled out, so we’ll keep it tight.

We’re starting off on Saturday the 12th of September, and it’s a bit of a rough start. There’s a big, beefy 13ft WSW groundswell rolling in with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is a hefty 7856 – proper strong. But the wind is a fresh cross-shore at 22 mph, which is just going to chop it up and make it lumpy. It’s poor conditions for paddling, honestly. This continues into Sunday and Monday, with the wind staying cross or cross-off, and the swell slowly dropping from 12ft to 8ft. The energy is still very strong, between 6582 and 2948, but the clean windows are small. Monday morning is the first time we see “clean” conditions, with a gentle cross-off breeze on an 8ft swell, but the score is still only a 3, so it’s marginal.

The middle of the week (Tuesday 15th to Thursday 17th) sees the swell drop further to around 3ft to 6ft, with energy falling into the hundreds to low thousands. Winds are light to gentle but often cross or onshore, so the surf is small and bumpy. Not worth getting wet for.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 18th of September morning is a real standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft groundswell from the WSW with a 16-second period, and a gentle cross-off breeze from the south. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers, and the energy is a moderate 1830. The wave direction is a solid SW, matching up with the optimum. This is the pick of the run so far for a clean, well-shaped wave. Raglan-Manu Bay is a point break and fairly exposed, so this long-period swell should set up well. Remember, it’s advanced territory with 5ft faces, and it can get crowded sometimes.

We get another nice morning on Sunday the 20th of September. The wind swings to a gentle offshore from the SE, the swell is 10ft from the WSW with a shorter 9-second period, energy is 1721. It’s clean but that shorter period means it might be a bit fat and less defined, though still fine for experienced surfers.

Then, mark your calendar for Monday the 21st of September morning. It’s glassy – zero wind – and the swell is 8ft from the WSW with a 15-second period. Energy is 2322, and conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is another absolute beauty. The glassy conditions will make it smooth as silk.

After that, the forecast gets a bit more mixed. We see some promising signs on the 22nd and 23rd of September. Tuesday the 22nd has a clean 8ft swell with a gentle offshore, but the period drops to 11 seconds. Wednesday the 23rd morning brings a solid 10ft, 17-second groundswell with a clean cross-off breeze and energy of 4290 – very strong. But the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph in the afternoon, ruining it. Thursday the 24th is another clean morning with 8ft from the WSW and a 16-second period.

After that, from the 25th of September through to the 27th, the swell eases back to 5ft to 6ft, and the winds are mostly onshore or cross, so the quality drops off.

Overall, the standout sessions are clear: Friday the 18th morning and Monday the 21st morning are your gems. Both have clean, offshore or glassy winds, moderate to strong groundswell of 8ft and 5ft, and excellent conditions. The wave direction matches up perfectly for the point. It’s going to get busy at Manu Bay, especially on those days, but it’s worth it.

There’s a bit of a dry spell from the 12th to the 17th of September with poor conditions, so don’t bother until Friday.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the SSW by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
0
0
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
WSW
17
4
WSW
16
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
17
3
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
16
2.2
WSW
15
2.1
WSW
15
1.8
WSW
15
1.7
WSW
15
1.4
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
13
0.8
WSW
13
1.1
WSW
13
1.7
W
11
1.4
WSW
15
1.6
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
7019
7856
7396
6150
6582
5583
3800
2948
2348
1776
1413
1145
811
506
219
418
734
784
988
Wind (km/h)
35
WSW
35
SW
35
SW
30
SW
35
SW
25
SW
20
SW
15
SSW
20
SW
15
SW
15
SW
15
SW
10
WSW
10
W
15
WNW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
5
E
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
on
cross-off
High Tide
10:25PM3.13m
10:46AM3.02m
11:03PM3.11m
11:23AM3.01m
11:39PM3.02m
11:58AM2.94m
00:13AM2.89m
12:32PM2.83m
00:47AM2.73m
1:07PM2.69m
1:23AM2.55m
1:46PM2.53m
2:07AM2.37m
Low Tide
4:38AM0.02m
4:55PM0.04m
5:17AM0.03m
5:33PM0.11m
5:54AM0.10m
6:09PM0.23m
6:30AM0.22m
6:46PM0.40m
7:06AM0.38m
7:25PM0.59m
7:43AM0.57m
8:09PM0.78m
clear
part cloud
clear
cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:24
6:22
6:20
6:20
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
13
12
13
14
12
13
13
12
13
13
13
13
13
13
16
16
13
Feels °C
7
5
6
5
6
9
8
9
8
9
10
10
11
11
10
11
14
13
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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