Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, W swell with 3,470 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 18s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Alright, we’ve got a solid run of surf coming in for the next couple of weeks. The big highlight will be Friday morning, July 10, and then Thursday morning, July 16, for the advanced boys.
Right out of the gate, Wednesday afternoon the 8th sees a clean 4ft swell from the WSW with a moderate cross-off breeze at 15 mph. There’s decent juice in it (522), but it’s a bit marginal. Not the main event. Thursday the 9th cranks up big time—an 8ft WSW swell on a 16-second period, with fresh cross-off winds at 18 mph. That’s over 8 feet, so it’s only for the experienced crew. Energy is heavy (2887).
The first standout is Friday morning, July 10. You’ve got a 6ft WSW swell with an 18-second period—that’s proper long-period groundswell. The wind is a light cross-off breeze at just 6 mph, keeping it clean. The energy is strong (1975) and it’s labeled excellent for experienced surfers. Manu Bay will be handling this like a machine. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so expect a few others, but nothing wild.
Saturday the 11th is a glassy day. Morning has a 5ft swell, then afternoon goes calm with 4ft and a 3 mph SSE breeze. Energy is a solid 1132. Perfect weekend conditions. Sunday the 12th offers a clean 5ft early with a 16-second period.
From Monday the 13th through Tuesday the 15th, there’s a drop in size down to around 2-3ft with moderate energy. Wednesday the 15th has a pulse to 5ft and then 7ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes cross-on with a risk of thunderstorms—not the best.
The second standout is Thursday morning, July 16. A 8ft WSW swell with a 16-second period and true offshore wind from the SE at 3 mph. Glassy and big. The energy is massive (2644). This is strictly for the advanced crew. A long-range call, so keep an eye on it.
Friday the 17th is a write-off with lumpy onshore winds. Saturday the 18th cleans up with a 3ft swell and offshore ESE winds at 6 mph. From the 19th to the 23rd, it’s a steady run of clean 2ft to 4ft waves with offshore and cross-off breezes. The water temp is 59°, right about average for this time of year, so a 4/3 wetsuit will be fine.
Bottom line: Friday morning, July 10 is your best bet for a clean, strong groundswell session. Thursday morning, July 16 is the one for the big-wave hunters. Saturday the 11th is a solid glassy backup.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 5°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 11 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 534 | 2582 | 3116 | 1667 | 2240 | 1674 | 1136 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 902 | 669 | 400 | 285 | 228 | 331 | 293 | 807 | 711 | 644 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:13AM2.55m | 4:54PM2.44m | 5:17AM2.52m | 6:11PM2.49m | 6:32AM2.55m | 7:29PM2.64m | 7:49AM2.65m | 8:32PM2.84m | 8:54AM2.80m | 9:25PM3.04m | 9:49AM2.93m | 10:15PM3.18m | 10:40AM3.02m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:08PM0.75m | 10:36AM0.65m | 11:11PM0.78m | 11:43AM0.66m | 00:28AM0.75m | 1:02PM0.61m | 1:44AM0.62m | 2:13PM0.47m | 2:46AM0.44m | 3:11PM0.31m | 3:40AM0.27m | 4:03PM0.17m | 4:30AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.09m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | |  | |
 | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — |
 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 |
| kJ | 534 | 2582 | 3116 | 1667 | 2240 | 1674 | 1136 | 879 | 610 | 1255 | 1082 | 902 | 669 | 400 | 285 | 228 | 331 | 293 | 807 | 711 | 465 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 18 | — | W 21 | WSW 19 | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | W 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | 307 | — | 142 | 608 | — | — | 36 | 194 | 522 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 107 | 152 | 133 | 227 | 273 | 644 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 20 | — | W 21 | W 22 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 71 | — | 80 | 36 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 108 | 108 | 108 | 191 | 165 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 112 | 0 | 122 | 56 | 56 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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