Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Issued: 5 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.9° C

Normal for this time of year

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 16s period, W swell with 8,315 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 4.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Tue 7th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 15s
Best Surf 6PM (Tue 7th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 15s
Most Powerful12AM (Tue 7th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, my fellow wave hunters, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown on what's cooking.

It's gonna be a quiet start. The first few days are flat, so save your energy. The party doesn't start till Sunday the 5th.

Manu Bay (Raglan) sees the first real swell Sunday morning. A 2.2m (7 ft) WNW swell shows up, but it's only got a 10-second period, so it won't have that classic Manu drive. The wind's gonna be messy, making it a tough session.

Monday the 6th is a clean skip. Bumpy onshore wind with a 2.5m (8 ft) swell. The water's all churned up and tough.

Now, Tuesday the 7th is the first big highlight. A proper 3.0m (10 ft) WSW groundswell with a 16-second period hits. The wind switches to a clean cross-off. This is big, powerful, and long-lining. Only for the experts, but it's a beauty. The water will be pushing hard.

Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th are easier. Swells drop to 1.5m (5 ft) to 1.7m (6 ft), but the wind is glassy or light cross-off. Clean, smooth walls for a solid crew.

If you want the best of the whole run, lock in Friday the 10th. A long-period 1.9m (6 ft) WSW swell with an 18-second period, and the wind stays cross-off. The energy is strong. This is the standout for experienced surfers looking for quality.

Heading into the second week, it's all about clean, manageable waves. From Saturday the 11th through Monday the 13th, you’ll find nice, offshore or cross-off winds on smaller swells around 1.0m (3 ft) to 1.4m (5 ft). The long period keeps the lines clean and the paddling easy.

Midweek, the swell bumps up again on Wednesday the 15th, but from the NW with a short 10-second period, so expect it to be a bit fat. Thursday the 16th is another standout: a 3.0m (10 ft) W swell with glassy conditions in the afternoon. Excellent, powerful surf for experts.

The run wraps on Saturday the 18th with clean, glassy leftover 1.3m (4 ft) waves.

Water temp is sitting at 15° (59°F), pretty average for July, so keep that winter rubber on.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the NW by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
0
6
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.4
WSW
14
0.5
W
13
0.8
W
12
2.1
NW
10
2.2
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
9
1.9
W
10
2.5
W
13
2.5
W
13
4
W
16
3
WSW
16
2.2
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
16
1.4
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
50
70
87
172
815
880
537
652
2223
2615
8315
3975
2247
1374
1053
768
402
582
929
936
2096
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
10
ENE
15
ENE
20
NNE
25
N
10
NNE
20
NNW
25
ENE
35
NW
25
N
20
ENE
20
E
15
ESE
5
SE
0
S
10
S
10
SSE
15
SSE
10
SSW
15
S
10
SSE
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
00:29AM2.89m
12:52PM2.69m
1:07AM2.84m
1:31PM2.63m
1:46AM2.77m
2:14PM2.57m
2:30AM2.69m
3:01PM2.51m
3:18AM2.61m
3:52PM2.46m
4:13AM2.55m
4:54PM2.44m
5:17AM2.52m
Low Tide
6:22PM0.46m
6:47AM0.52m
7:00PM0.50m
7:28AM0.53m
7:41PM0.56m
8:10AM0.55m
8:25PM0.63m
8:54AM0.58m
9:14PM0.70m
9:42AM0.62m
10:08PM0.75m
10:36AM0.65m
11:11PM0.78m
11:43AM0.66m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
heavy rain
light rain
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:15
5:15
5:15
5:15
 mm
6
1
4
17
2
2
1
2
Temp °C
12
10
12
14
13
14
13
11
11
11
8
12
13
9
10
11
10
12
13
9
12
Feels °C
10
7
8
10
10
12
10
8
4
5
4
8
9
6
7
8
7
9
10
6
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
13
0.4
WSW
14
0.5
W
13
0.8
W
12
2.1
NW
10
2.2
WNW
10
1.8
WNW
9
1.9
W
10
2.5
W
13
2.5
W
13
4
W
16
3
WSW
16
2.2
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
13
1.2
SW
8
1.4
WSW
11
1.4
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
15
1.9
WSW
18
Energy kJ
42
70
87
172
815
880
537
652
2223
2615
8315
3975
2247
1374
1053
768
169
478
929
936
2096
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
16
0.2
W
10
0.2
W
9
0.5
NW
5
0.3
WSW
16
0.6
W
18
0.7
WSW
17
0.9
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
18
0.2
W
20
1.1
WSW
13
1
WSW
16
1.3
WSW
10
1.1
SW
8
Energy kJ
50
8
6
14
53
222
290
375
1118
30
402
582
308
157
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NW
4
0.1
W
18
0.2
W
20
0.1
W
24
0.6
W
18
0.2
W
21
0.9
W
19
Energy kJ
1
6
30
11
230
36
580
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
7
0.2
ENE
2
0.4
NE
3
0.5
E
3
0.9
SSW
7
Energy kJ
2
1
2
5
83
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
4
2
2
4
4
1
1
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
Distance (km)
0
0
9
228
221
108
56
90
109
215
56
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
56
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
4
4
2
4
5
7
6
9
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
8
5
4
5
5
9
6
7
6
9
7
5
6
9
9
9
6
5
6
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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