Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, WSW swell with 3,876 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 21s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 2s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s coming up for Manu Bay. This classic point break is gonna have some moments, but it’s a mixed bag, so listen up.
The water’s at 57°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The real standout is Saturday afternoon, August 1st. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the WSW, a 13-second period, and an easterly breeze keeping it clean. The combined energy is a strong 1945, and it’s gonna be a proper session for experienced surfers. That’s the pick of the whole run.
Sunday morning, August 2nd, is another good look. The swell drops to 4ft from the WSW, 11-second period, and the wind is glassy out of the east – absolute magic for clean lines. The energy is a moderate 446, so it’s not thumping, but it’ll be fun.
From Monday, August 3rd, through to Sunday, August 9th, things get messy. Cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions take over, with a lot of marginal or poor surf. There’s a small window Wednesday morning, August 5th, with a clean 5ft WSW swell and light cross-off breeze, but it’s nothing special.
The second week kicks off with a bit of hope. Sunday, August 9th afternoon, and Monday, August 10th, both have clean 3ft to 3ft WSW swells, with periods around 15–16 seconds, giving you some long-period groundswell for that point break. It’s not big, but it’ll be workable.
Then, hold onto your board – Saturday morning, August 15th, gets chunky again. A 7ft WSW swell, 16-second period, clean with light east winds, and the energy is a massive 2525. That’s a serious set-up for experienced surfers, but it’s still over a week away, so keep an eye on it.
The last day, Sunday, August 16th, brings a 10ft WSW swell, but it’s got cross-shore winds and a shorter period, so it’s more for experts only, and the quality is questionable.
So, the best on offer is that Saturday afternoon, August 1st, with the 8ft clean swell. If you’re after a second option, Sunday morning, August 2nd, is your glassy, smaller wave. The long-range big day on August 15th is promising, but the weather’s a gamble.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the WSW by Mon night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 3°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | W 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1945 | 852 | 416 | 359 | 153 | 713 | 1081 | 3876 | 1077 | 906 | 1275 | 811 | 506 | 265 | 172 | 99 | 90 | 57 | 96 | 383 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:05AM3.02m | 12:26PM2.85m | 00:39AM2.98m | 1:02PM2.81m | 1:15AM2.90m | 1:41PM2.73m | 1:56AM2.79m | 2:24PM2.63m | 2:43AM2.66m | 3:16PM2.53m | 3:41AM2.53m | 4:24PM2.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:59PM0.28m | 6:22AM0.31m | 6:35PM0.32m | 6:59AM0.33m | 7:13PM0.40m | 7:38AM0.39m | 7:55PM0.51m | 8:20AM0.48m | 8:42PM0.64m | 9:07AM0.60m | 9:38PM0.77m | 10:04AM0.73m | 10:47PM0.86m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 13 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | W 19 | WSW 18 | — | WSW 16 | WSW 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 1945 | 852 | 416 | 359 | 153 | 713 | 1081 | — | 1077 | 590 | 1275 | 811 | 506 | 265 | 172 | 99 | 90 | 22 | 96 | 383 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 21 | W 20 | W 19 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | — | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | W 9 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | — | 9 | 30 | 29 | 86 | — | — | — | — | 906 | — | — | 60 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 57 | 60 | 71 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 15 | W 20 | W 18 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 17 | 30 | 27 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 11 | WSW 8 | WSW 17 | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 540 | 430 | 3876 | 687 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 0 | 224 | 249 | 238 | 140 | 140 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 90 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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