Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at the next couple of weeks for Manu Bay, Raglan. It’s a classic point break, and this forecast has some real gems for the experienced surfer.

We kick off Monday the 6th of July with a stormy, choppy mess – not worth paddling out on. Tuesday the 7th clears up nicely, though. We’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell coming from the WSW, 7ft on Tuesday morning and 6ft in the afternoon. That’s a 16-second period, so this is serious energy with long lulls, perfect for a point break like Manu Bay. The wind is cross-offshore, making for clean faces. The combined energy is high, hitting 2530. It’s good, but still a bit "marginal" with the tide.

Wednesday the 8th is smaller – 5ft morning and 5ft afternoon – and that fresh south-westerly kicks up in the arvo, making it sloppy. Skip that.

Thursday the 9th is where things start heating up. Thursday morning is solid at 7ft from the WSW (16 seconds), with a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The afternoon looks even better: 8ft, clean, and the energy is pumping at 2633. This is excellent for experienced surfers. The swell is a bit big for beginners, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, this is a standout session.

Friday the 10th is another beauty. Morning sees 7ft of WSW swell at an 18-second period – that’s very long period groundswell, which will wrap perfectly down the point. Afternoon drops a touch to 6ft but stays clean. Both sessions are excellent.

The pick of the whole run, however, looks like Saturday the 11th of July. It’s not the biggest swell, at 4ft, but that glassy morning wind and clean afternoon trade-off make it a dream. The water temp is 59°, which is just about normal for this time of year. For a point break like Manu Bay with its long wall, this is a day for carving.

The weekend of the 18th also has a cracker. Saturday the 18th morning is 8ft from the WSW with glassy conditions and a 14-second period. That’s deep, powerful water and clean as a whistle. For experts only at that size, but the energy is through the roof at 2504.

The week in between has some smaller, cleaner days – Sunday the 12th looks fun with 5ft and glassy afternoon. And Monday the 13th, Tuesday the 14th are pretty small and poor, so you’ll want to give those a miss.

The long range into the 20th and 21st looks promising but less certain. We’re seeing 5ft and glassy on Tuesday morning the 21st, so keep an eye on that one.

So, your two standouts: definitely Thursday afternoon the 9th for that punchy, clean 8ft, and the glassy Saturday the 11th for pure, clean lines.

Rusty

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