Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
13.8°C
0.1° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,801 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Best Surf 6PM (Thu 27th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 13s
Most Powerful 3PM (Mon 31st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s the surf outlook for Raglan-Manu Bay. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a pretty mixed bag over the next 16 days, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll get the heart racing. The water’s sitting at 56.8°—right on the money for this time of year, no anomalies to worry about.

First up, Thursday the 27th of August. It’s a bit of a slow starter. Morning has some clouds with a light NE breeze, 3 mph, cross, and we’ve got a 5.2 ft swell from the WSW at 13 seconds. Combined energy is moderate at 841. It’s not clean, but it’s not terrible either—just a bit marginal. The afternoon sees a NW wind, 6 mph, onshore, with the swell dropping to 4.9 ft. Honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off for quality.

Friday the 28th is a dud. Cloudy, NNE wind kicking up to 12 mph, cross-shore and choppy. Swell’s still around 4.9 ft from the WNW, but the period’s dropped to 8–9 seconds, and the energy’s weak at 539–562. This is one of those days you stay home.

Saturday the 29th has a flicker of hope. Early morning, heavy rain, but the wind swings ESE at 6 mph, cross-offshore, and the swell is 3.9 ft from the WNW at 8 seconds. Energy’s low at 366, but with that clean wind, it’s the best we’ve seen in a while—just tiny. The afternoon turns messy with SSW wind at 16 mph.

Sunday the 30th gets big but ugly. WSW wind at 19–22 mph, cross to cross-on, and the swell jumps to 7.2–7.5 ft from the WSW at a long 17–18 seconds. Energy’s strong at 2955–3216, but the wind is fresh and lumpy. This is expert territory, and even then, it’s a battle.

Monday the 31st through to Wednesday the 2nd of September—big numbers, bad conditions. Swell sits at 7.2 ft to 11.5 ft, with periods 13–15 seconds, and energy through the roof (2174–5801). But the wind is relentless from the WSW or WNW, 12–22 mph, cross-on or cross. It’s heavy, lumpy, and only for the brave or the kites. For kite surfing, this setup is actually interesting—steady wind, solid swell. For paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

Thursday the 3rd of September, the swell drops to 3.9 ft (WSW, 15 seconds) but the wind is still onshore, 16 mph. Energy’s moderate at 1198, but the conditions are poor. The afternoon spikes to 8.2 ft from the W at 10 seconds, but it’s onshore again.

Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th of September: onshore winds from the NW, 12–16 mph, with 8.2 ft to 5.9 ft swell. Energy’s strong (1447–3647), but the wind’s on the nose. Not happening.

Sunday the 6th of September: big swell again, 11.5 ft from the WNW at 11 seconds, energy 4227–4301, but NNW wind at 16–19 mph, onshore and choppy. Expert only, and even then, not great.

Now here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 7th of September, the wind shifts to SW at 19 mph, cross, with 9.8 ft swell from the W at 14 seconds. Energy’s 3361. It’s marginal, but the cross-shore wind is a sign of change.

Tuesday the 8th of September is a standout. Morning: clear skies, SSW wind at 16 mph, cross-offshore, 11.5 ft from the W at 14 seconds. Energy’s 5077. Afternoon gets even better: SW wind drops to 9 mph, gentle cross, with a 13.1 ft swell from the W at 16 seconds—very long period groundswell. Energy’s massive at 8145. This is a point break, so that long period will work beautifully, wrapping in with power. But at 13.1 ft, it’s only for advanced surfers. Crowds are possible at Manu Bay, so get in early.

Wednesday the 9th of September is

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon night, light winds from the W by Tue night).

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
WSW
13
1.5
WSW
13
1.3
WSW
12
1.5
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
0.9
WSW
13
1
WSW
10
2.2
WSW
18
2.3
WSW
17
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
13
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
15
3
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
14
2.3
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
841
721
519
306
338
378
175
231
210
2955
3216
4741
4691
5801
5785
4984
3826
2566
2107
1965
1974
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
10
NW
15
ENE
20
NNE
20
NNE
15
NNE
10
ESE
25
SSW
25
SW
30
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
30
WSW
40
W
25
WSW
25
WSW
15
W
20
W
20
WNW
30
WNW
Wind State
cross
on
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
9:43AM2.69m
9:57PM2.89m
10:18AM2.81m
10:30PM3.00m
10:52AM2.91m
11:04PM3.07m
11:25AM2.96m
11:37PM3.09m
11:59AM2.97m
00:12AM3.05m
12:34PM2.93m
00:48AM2.95m
1:13PM2.84m
1:30AM2.81m
Low Tide
3:51PM0.34m
4:10AM0.30m
4:25PM0.21m
4:44AM0.19m
4:58PM0.14m
5:18AM0.12m
5:32PM0.12m
5:54AM0.11m
6:09PM0.17m
6:31AM0.17m
6:47PM0.28m
7:10AM0.28m
7:30PM0.44m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:48
6:47
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:53
5:54
5:55
5:57
5:58
5:59
5:59
 mm
5
29
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
14
15
13
15
16
14
12
12
12
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
14
Feels °C
13
14
11
11
12
12
10
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
8
8
9
10
10
9
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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