Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.3° C
0.0° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, WSW swell with 12,177 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sun 26th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Best Surf 6AM (Sun 26th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 6PM (Sat 25th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Righto, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks.

Alright, Raglan. Manu Bay is the spot we’re talking about here. It’s fair to say the start of this run is pretty ordinary. Saturday the 25th of July is a write-off – howling westerlies and a messed up ocean. You wouldn’t even look at it. We’ve got a massive 16 ft swell on Saturday afternoon, but it’s ugly and blown out with a combined energy reading of 7907, which is enormous, but completely unusable for us. Let’s just skip that.

The real deal starts to show on Sunday the 26th. Sunday morning is looking mint. We’ve got a solid 10 ft W groundswell, with a very long 15-second period pushing in, and the wind is a light, clean cross-off from the ESE at 6 mph. The combined swell energy is 4075, so it’s got proper grunt. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – that’s the standout of the whole run. The water temp is sitting on 58°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, nothing weird there.

Sunday afternoon stays good with a 8 ft WSW swell and light cross-off wind, still clean and strong. Then Monday the 27th morning holds in at 6 ft (1245 energy) with clean conditions. It’s all very good, but by Monday afternoon the wind swings around and gets cross, messing the shape up a bit, and the score drops.

Tuesday the 28th is worth a paddle. Morning is clean with a 4 ft WSW swell and glassy offshores from the ENE at just 3 mph. That’s a fun morning on a longboard or a fish. The energy is low at 437 but it’s clean. Wednesday the 29th drops right off – tiny 3 ft surf, not much happening. There’s a bit more size on Thursday the 30th but the wind is a bit scratchy.

Now, here’s a heads-up: we hit a bit of a funk. From Thursday afternoon through to Saturday the 1st of August morning, it’s a bit messy, but then the wind goes glassy on Friday afternoon the 31st. That’s a sneaky good session – 6 ft WSW swell with glassy conditions, energy at 1433. That’s a real treat if you can get out. Saturday the 1st of August is clean again with a 6 ft WSW swell and gentle offshore winds. Good solid weekend waves.

Sunday the 2nd of August is another beauty – 7 ft WSW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. But after that, Monday the 3rd of August kicks up a notch into 8 ft and then 10 ft, but with strong winds, so it’s lumpy. That’s only for the experienced crew, and even then it’s marginal.

After that, the surf slowly winds down through the week, with some clean but small waves on Friday the 7th of August (3 ft) and then very small into the second weekend. By Sunday the 9th of August, it’s down to 1.0 ft and not worth getting wet. The run fizzles out.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday the 26th of July morning is the standout, with that big 10 ft groundswell and clean offshores. The second best is Sunday the 2nd of August afternoon for the glassy 7 ft conditions. Everything else is small, clean but small, or blown out. If you’re a beginner, stay away from anything over 5 ft here – that Sunday morning surf is only for the experienced crew.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat morning, calm by Mon night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
4
5
4
4
3
1
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
0
4
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
W
8
5
W
12
4.5
WSW
15
3
W
15
2.5
WSW
14
2
W
14
1.9
W
13
1.8
WSW
13
1.6
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
12
1.1
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
0.8
WSW
15
1.3
WSW
14
1.1
WSW
13
1.5
W
13
1.4
WSW
16
1.8
WSW
14
2.3
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1064
7907
8067
4075
2444
1668
1245
1109
692
437
325
210
167
161
252
580
390
723
871
1249
2106
Wind (km/h)
35
WSW
45
SW
30
SW
10
ESE
15
SSW
10
SSE
10
SSE
20
SW
10
SE
5
ENE
10
SSW
10
E
10
ENE
5
WNW
10
ENE
15
ENE
15
NNE
15
NNE
20
N
5
SSE
5
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-on
glassy
off
High Tide
7:41PM2.38m
8:00AM2.34m
8:29PM2.52m
8:48AM2.46m
9:10PM2.65m
9:30AM2.58m
9:47PM2.78m
10:08AM2.69m
10:22PM2.88m
10:43AM2.78m
10:57PM2.97m
11:17AM2.84m
11:31PM3.01m
Low Tide
1:21PM0.87m
1:57AM0.90m
2:16PM0.77m
2:43AM0.78m
3:01PM0.66m
3:23AM0.66m
3:40PM0.54m
3:59AM0.55m
4:16PM0.43m
4:35AM0.45m
4:50PM0.35m
5:10AM0.38m
5:24PM0.29m
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
7
1
3
9
Temp °C
11
12
11
11
12
9
10
11
9
9
9
9
9
10
9
12
12
11
12
11
10
Feels °C
4
3
2
8
8
5
6
6
5
7
6
6
7
7
6
8
8
8
8
10
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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