Surf Forecasts:
Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 18s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, W swell with 3,302 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 11s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, it's Rusty. We're looking at a fairly long run of surf here at Raglan, so let's get into it.
The first bit of the forecast is a bit messy. Tuesday starts off with a small, weak 6ft WNW swell, but it's accompanied by a light cross-on breeze, so it's a bit bumpy and not worth getting too excited about. That swell hangs around for Wednesday and Thursday, actually building up to a solid 8ft by Wednesday arvo. The problem is the wind stays on it or cross-shore, so the surface is going to be a little chopped and the quality is just not there. The combined energy of all swells is moderate to strong (465 to 3258), but the conditions just aren't playing ball.
Then we get to the real standout. The end of the week into the weekend is where it's at. The swell is still coming from the WSW, but the big change is the wind. Sunday the 19th is the pick of the whole period. The morning sees a clean 6ft WSW groundswell with a long 17-second period, accompanied by a gentle offshore ESE breeze. The Raglan point break is going to be firing with super clean lines. The energy is strong (2183), and this is the kind of day that makes the paddle out easier and the waves just feel like they have a bit more punch. The water temp is sitting at 58°, right around average for this time of year, so you'll need a decent suit. This is a spot for the advanced crew, and with the quality that's on offer, it'll be a popular one, so be ready for some company.
Monday the 20th keeps the good vibes with a slightly smaller 5ft clean swell in the morning, still with offshore ESE winds. It's a good follow-up day, but Sunday is the real gem.
After that, the swell starts to fade. Tuesday the 21st is still clean but drops to 4ft, and by Wednesday the 22nd it's down to a tiny 3ft. The forecast then goes into a bit of a lull for the rest of the second week, with small waves and building winds. There's a little bump on Saturday the 25th with a 2ft swell and offshore winds, but it's not much to write home about. The following Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th have a small 4-4ft swell, but the wind is messy again, so it's a bit of a gamble. The last few days of the forecast window are pretty poor.
So, in short: get ready for a bit of a wait, but Sunday the 19th is the clear winner. Get down there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 17 | W 16 | W 15 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | W 19 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 352 | 209 | 279 | 2210 | 3258 | 2906 | 2386 | 2355 | 1873 | 1928 | 1939 | 2140 | 1913 | 1887 | 1026 | 2088 | 1830 | 1429 | 1045 | 899 | 668 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:49AM2.93m | 10:15PM3.18m | 10:40AM3.02m | 11:04PM3.25m | 11:28AM3.04m | 11:51PM3.24m | 12:14PM3.00m | 00:36AM3.14m | 12:59PM2.89m | 1:19AM2.99m | 1:43PM2.74m | 2:02AM2.79m | 2:27PM2.59m | 2:46AM2.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:03PM0.17m | 4:30AM0.15m | 4:51PM0.09m | 5:19AM0.11m | 5:38PM0.08m | 6:07AM0.13m | 6:24PM0.14m | 6:54AM0.20m | 7:08PM0.27m | 7:40AM0.31m | 7:54PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.46m | 8:40PM0.61m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 17 | W 16 | W 15 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | — | WSW 8 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 352 | 209 | 279 | 2210 | 3258 | 2906 | 2386 | 2355 | 1873 | 1928 | 1939 | 2140 | 1913 | — | 277 | 2088 | 1830 | 1429 | 1045 | 899 | 668 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 104 | 119 | 52 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 668 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 22 | W 20 | W 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 71 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1026 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1887 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 161 | 0 | 9 | 228 | 219 | 219 | 183 | 119 | 119 | 108 | 108 | 119 | 129 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Raglan and West Waikato | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest