Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.82° S 174.83° E

Raglan-Manu Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Raglan-Manu Bay sea temperature is
14.1°C
0.4° 

Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, WSW swell with 5,153 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Raglan-Manu Bay this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Raglan-Manu Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 31st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Raglan’s Manu Bay over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight up, the next few days are gonna be a grind. We’ve got a strong, lumpy 7ft WSW swell on Sunday, but that fresh cross-shore wind is just ruining it. The water temp isn’t flagged as anything unusual, so it’s pretty average for the time of year, but you won’t care much about that when you’re fighting a choppy lineup. The combined energy on Sunday morning sits at a moderate 775, and it only gets uglier into the afternoon at 919.

Monday the 31st sees the swell push up to 12ft from the WSW, but again, those cross and cross-onshore winds in the 18-22 mph range make it a messy, lumpy affair. The energy jumps to 4218, which is strong, but it’s not clean. This size, over 8ft, is expert territory anyway, and the conditions aren’t doing it any favours. Tuesday the 1st of September is more of the same: 12ft swell, strong breeze, poor surf. We’re looking at a solid gap with no real recommendations here for days.

Things don't really let up through the week. Wednesday the 2nd drops to a 8ft swell with moderate cross-shore wind, but still choppy and marginal. The energy is still strong at 2163, but the quality isn't there. We’ve got a run of poor surf stretching right through until the morning of Monday the 8th of September.

Now, that morning of Tuesday the 8th of September is the standout. A 7ft WSW swell, but the wind switches to a light offshore from the ESE at just 6 mph. That’s going to clean it right up. For an advanced point like Manu Bay, that’s excellent. The combined energy is a solid 2575, and with that long 14-second period, those waves will have real push and shape, though it’s a long period groundswell so expect longer lulls between sets. It’s the best on offer, hands down. Keep an eye out though, the crowds here are sometimes, so expect company.

Later that afternoon, the wind swings back to a fresh cross-shore and the quality drops off a cliff. After that, we’re back into poor conditions for the rest of the run, with an 12ft swell on Thursday the 10th and another strong energy reading of 5810, but the winds never play ball. The final morning on Monday the 14th sees a 5ft WSW swell, but still with a moderate cross-shore and a cross-chop. It’s not the finish we’d hope for.

So, to wrap it up: the only real window to get excited about is the morning of Tuesday, the 8th of September. Set your alarm for that one. Everything else is a messy wait.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sat night, strong winds from the WSW by Sun afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0
2
1
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
19
2.1
WSW
8
2.5
WSW
8
3
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3.5
WSW
14
3
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
14
2.1
WSW
14
1.2
WSW
15
2.5
W
10
2.2
W
11
1.7
WSW
14
2.5
W
16
2.4
W
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
188
468
919
4272
4218
5107
5083
5120
4618
3397
2096
1755
1610
580
1275
1086
1090
3287
2650
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
30
SW
35
WSW
35
WSW
30
WSW
35
WSW
35
WSW
40
WSW
30
SW
25
WSW
20
WSW
20
W
25
WNW
25
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
30
NW
25
W
25
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:04PM3.07m
11:25AM2.96m
11:37PM3.09m
11:59AM2.97m
00:12AM3.05m
12:34PM2.93m
00:48AM2.95m
1:13PM2.84m
1:30AM2.81m
1:58PM2.70m
2:20AM2.63m
2:55PM2.54m
Low Tide
5:18AM0.12m
5:32PM0.12m
5:54AM0.11m
6:09PM0.17m
6:31AM0.17m
6:47PM0.28m
7:10AM0.28m
7:30PM0.44m
7:53AM0.44m
8:21PM0.62m
8:44AM0.63m
9:22PM0.79m
light rain
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:57
5:58
5:59
5:59
6:00
6:00
 mm
4
1
1
1
3
3
5
6
1
Temp °C
12
14
14
13
14
13
13
13
13
13
14
14
14
15
15
14
15
15
14
Feels °C
9
8
8
6
7
6
6
5
6
7
10
10
9
12
12
11
11
11
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Raglan-Manu Bay:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Raglan-Manu Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Raglan-Manu Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Raglan-Manu Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Raglan-Manu Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Raglan-Manu Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Raglan-Manu Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Raglan-Manu Bay is 42 km (26 miles) from Hamilton. If you plan a holiday in Raglan and West Waikato, look for hotels and other accommodation in Hamilton. Hamilton has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest