Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,001 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, it’s a pretty quiet start. The first few days are gonna be a slow grind, with only small, weak swell. The water is sitting at 60°F which is about average for this time of year. Nothing to get too excited about just yet.
We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Monday, August 10th when the wind finally goes glassy. The swell is a modest 6ft from the N, but it’s a short period swell (7 seconds) so it won’t have much punch. Still, it’ll be clean, and that’s a step in the right direction.
The standout window is Tuesday, August 11th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. By the morning, we’re looking at a solid 8ft NE swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is clean cross-off. The combined energy is pumping (1136). By the afternoon, it gets even better – swell bumps up to 8ft, period stretches to 11 seconds, and the wind goes dead glassy. The energy is through the roof (1557). This is excellent, powerful surf, but at 8ft, it’s strictly for the experienced crew. Te Araroa is the spot to be, an exposed beach and point that handles the NE swell direction perfectly. It’s a consistent break, so you can count on it firing. The only downside? It’s a consistent spot, so expect a few heads in the water.
After that peak, things get messy. The swell drops and the wind turns onshore and cross-shore, making for choppy, poor conditions through the middle of the second week. By Friday, August 14th, there’s another pulse of 8ft NW swell, but the cross-on wind will ruin it.
The final weekend, August 16th, fades back into small, weak surf. It’s glassy, which is nice, but with waves around 2ft, you’re really just bobbing around.
So, to sum it up: the humble start is a write-off. The real show is all about Tuesday, August 11th at Te Araroa. That’s the best bet for a proper session. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big for the average punter.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | SE 16 | SE 14 | NE 15 | SE 12 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | NNE 10 | NW 3 | NW 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 147 | 87 | 130 | 35 | 120 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 35 | 68 | 11 | 7 | 120 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 8:47PM2.04m | 8:55AM1.94m | 9:26PM2.03m | 9:35AM1.93m | 10:07PM2.02m | 10:19AM1.93m | 10:49PM2.00m | 11:06AM1.93m | 11:34PM1.98m | 11:58AM1.95m | 00:22AM1.98m | 12:53PM1.96m | 1:16AM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:34PM0.43m | 3:08AM0.47m | 3:14PM0.41m | 3:49AM0.42m | 3:56PM0.42m | 4:31AM0.40m | 4:39PM0.46m | 5:14AM0.39m | 5:26PM0.52m | 5:59AM0.41m | 6:18PM0.57m | 6:49AM0.46m | 7:16PM0.62m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — |
 | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | SE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | W 6 | SSE 17 | SSE 18 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 13 |
| kJ | 147 | 65 | 130 | 504 | 179 | 251 | 186 | 130 | 104 | 62 | 23 | 255 | 103 | 491 | 414 | 378 | 359 | 247 | 185 | 130 | 215 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | SE 16 | NW 6 | NE 15 | SE 12 | SSE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 17 | WNW 5 | NNE 12 | SSE 18 | NNE 11 | SE 16 | NNW 4 | SE 14 | NNW 4 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 |
| kJ | 109 | 87 | 20 | 35 | 120 | 39 | 28 | 28 | 105 | 46 | 54 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 12 | 38 | 4 | 68 | 4 | 237 | 147 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 15 | ESE 11 | NE 16 | NW 6 | NE 15 | NE 14 | SE 12 | NE 7 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NW 4 | NNE 11 | SE 16 | NNE 11 | SE 15 | NNW 4 | NNE 10 | SE 13 | NNW 13 |
| kJ | 76 | 40 | 40 | 6 | 34 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 3 | 11 | 42 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | W 5 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 6 |
| kJ | 21 | 92 | 218 | — | — | — | 21 | 98 | — | 31 | 170 | 686 | 560 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 120 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 35 | 35 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 229 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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