
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SE swell with 1,249 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Te Araroa over the next couple of weeks.
First up, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but Wednesday the 29th of July is where it’s at. That morning, Te Araroa is pumping with a solid 6ft swell from the ESE, and the period is a nice 13 seconds – that’s real groundswell energy, with power to it. The combined energy is a strong 1126, and we’ve got a light cross-offshore breeze from the SW at just 3 mph. This is going to be clean, lined-up surf, perfect for experienced surfers. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing to write home about, but the conditions are the standout. That afternoon, it drops off a bit with a cross-on wind, so make the most of the morning.
Thursday the 30th sees the wind swing around to the NNW and bump up to 12 mph, making it choppy and messy. The swell drops to 5ft, but it’s just not worth it with that cross-onshore junk. Friday the 31st is a write-off – we’ve got a big 10ft swell from the NW, but the period is a short, weak 8 seconds, and the wind is howling at 18-19 mph. It’s a lumpy, cross-shore mess. That’s one for the kite surfers, not the paddle crew.
We then hit a long, flat, and quiet spell. Saturday the 1st of August has a tiny 2ft wave, but it’s clean with light winds. It’s surfable, but barely. From Sunday the 2nd right through to Thursday the 7th of August, we’re looking at a real dry spell with waves mostly under 3ft and often under 2ft. The wind is often offshore or glassy, which is a silver lining, but there’s just no energy. The combined energy readings are in the double digits, which is weak. This is a classic blank run for this area.
Things start to flicker back to life on Friday the 7th of August. The morning session sees a 4ft swell from the NNW, and with a glassy SSW breeze at 3 mph, it’s clean. The period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s weak, but it’s a start. Saturday the 8th of August brings a bigger 8ft swell from the NNW, but it’s got a moderate onshore wind from the NNE at 12 mph, making it messy and lumpy. By Sunday the 9th, the wind is up to 18 mph, the swell is 8ft from the N, and it’s just poor conditions. These bigger swells are all wind-affected.
From the 10th onwards, the pattern is more of the same: onshore winds from the NE or NNE, and swell hanging around 5ft to 6ft, but with a short period and a lot of chop. The combined energy is moderate, but the quality is poor. It’s not worth paddling out for. The whole second week is a bit of a bust, with no real standouts. The only true winner is that Wednesday morning on the 29th of July.
Stay safe, and keep your eyes on the horizon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, strong winds from the NW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 7°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the S on Sat night, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 8 | NW 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | NW 7 | SE 14 | SE 14 | NE 15 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | NE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2180 | 1126 | 967 | 789 | 541 | 408 | 331 | 930 | 565 | 91 | 109 | 119 | 72 | 65 | 34 | 156 | 88 | 46 | 6 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:11AM1.89m | 6:52PM1.98m | 6:55AM1.93m | 7:31PM2.01m | 7:36AM1.95m | 8:08PM2.03m | 8:15AM1.95m | 8:47PM2.04m | 8:55AM1.94m | 9:26PM2.03m | 9:35AM1.93m | 10:07PM2.02m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:18AM0.72m | 12:34PM0.58m | 1:02AM0.66m | 1:15PM0.53m | 1:44AM0.60m | 1:54PM0.47m | 2:26AM0.53m | 2:34PM0.43m | 3:08AM0.47m | 3:14PM0.41m | 3:49AM0.42m | 3:56PM0.42m | |||||||
— | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 10 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
Feels °C | 6 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | SSE 11 | WNW 6 |
1457 | 1126 | 967 | 789 | 541 | 408 | 331 | 263 | 217 | 91 | 259 | 119 | 26 | 65 | 28 | 156 | 88 | 170 | 52 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | — | — | S 19 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | E 11 | SE 14 | NE 15 | NE 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | ESE 7 | SSE 11 |
10 | — | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 53 | 109 | 66 | 72 | 36 | 34 | 237 | 164 | 46 | 68 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 19 | NE 19 | NE 18 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 16 | ESE 12 | NW 6 | W 6 | NE 15 | SSE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
— | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 60 | 76 | 87 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | SW 5 | S 4 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | SSE 7 |
2180 | — | — | — | 11 | 67 | 207 | 930 | 565 | 554 | 3 | 34 | 560 | 1094 | 714 | 1 | 21 | 122 | 83 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 118 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 35 | 39 | 47 | 243 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










