Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 13s period, SE swell with 1,475 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.1m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 11s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down in feet and miles for the crew that thinks that way.
First few days, Friday the 24th through Saturday the 25th, are total junk. Small, choppy, cross-winds. Don’t bother.
Sunday the 26th morning, the wind goes light offshore from the SSW, and we get a 4ft groundswell from the ESE with a 14-second period. The combined energy is moderate (557). Water temp is about 60°, pretty normal for the season. Clean enough for a fun session on the point.
Monday the 27th is the real deal. Morning: 5ft ESE swell, offshore wind, energy climbing (889). By afternoon, it’s firing: 5ft, still offshore, energy up to 1249. That’s expert-level, clean, powerful surf. This is the best window.
Tuesday the 28th morning keeps it heavy with a 7ft SE groundswell, offshore wind, and energy at 1442. Afternoon backs off a bit but stays clean. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are still in the 5ft range, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s a little less perfect.
Then a lull from Friday the 31st into early August. But Saturday the 1st of August morning, the wind goes glassy, and we get an 8ft NW swell. Short period (7 secs), so it’s lumpy, but glassy. Only for the experienced.
Then a big dry spell from Sunday the 2nd to Wednesday the 5th – tiny surf or blown out. Thursday the 5th and 6th sees a massive 16ft+ swell, but with near-gale winds. That’s not for paddle boards – that’s kite-surfing or a hard pass. Energy is huge (6395), but it’s unsurfable.
Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th settle down with smaller, cleaner waves, but nothing special.
Best call: Monday the 27th afternoon. Te Araroa, 5ft ESE groundswell, offshore wind, clean, and plenty of power. That’s your session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri night, light winds from the SSW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 10 | NW 6 | E 11 | NW 8 | NW 10 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 50 | 130 | 455 | 309 | 878 | 992 | 557 | 522 | 476 | 835 | 785 | 1475 | 1435 | 1380 | 1151 | 958 | 784 | 703 | 626 | 589 | 461 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:39PM1.88m | 2:45AM1.88m | 3:36PM1.88m | 3:38AM1.85m | 4:34PM1.90m | 4:32AM1.84m | 5:26PM1.93m | 5:23AM1.86m | 6:11PM1.96m | 6:11AM1.89m | 6:52PM1.98m | 6:55AM1.93m | 7:31PM2.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:54PM0.76m | 9:20AM0.66m | 9:50PM0.79m | 10:15AM0.67m | 10:42PM0.79m | 11:06AM0.66m | 11:32PM0.77m | 11:52AM0.63m | 00:18AM0.72m | 12:34PM0.58m | 1:02AM0.66m | 1:15PM0.53m | 1:44AM0.60m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | — | — | 9 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 10 | E 11 | N 8 | E 11 | NW 10 | WNW 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 50 | 130 | 244 | 309 | 244 | 992 | 277 | 522 | 476 | 835 | 785 | 1475 | 1435 | 1380 | 1151 | 958 | 784 | 703 | 626 | 589 | 461 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | SE 17 | E 11 | ESE 14 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | SSE 9 | ESE 13 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | — | — | — | S 18 | SE 18 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 10 | 11 | 11 | 298 | 77 | 149 | 557 | 84 | 23 | 140 | 433 | 12 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 26 | 12 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | NE 9 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 16 | SSE 8 | S 16 | S 14 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | NE 11 | NE 19 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 203 | 64 | 5 | 4 | 54 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 6 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | S 6 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 6 | 33 | 455 | 508 | 878 | 170 | 248 | 123 | 311 | 908 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 15 | 29 | 20 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 18 | 118 | 18 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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