
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SE swell with 2,230 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here, talkin' Te Araroa for the next couple weeks. Gotta be straight with you, it's a slow burn, but there's some serious firepower coming if you've got the patience and the guts.
The first few days are a washout. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th, the wind is all wrong, a nasty cross-off that's just trashing the lineup. The water's a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sittin' at 62°, but that's the only good thing I can say. You're better off stayin' home.
Things get real on Saturday the 11th. We get a proper offshore wind, and the swell starts to fill in. Saturday morning is a beauty, with a 7ft SE swell and clean offshore conditions. A moderate energy pulse (805), a solid start. Then Saturday afternoon gets even better, with the swell jumpin' to 8ft and the wind goin' glassy off the SSW. This is proper stuff for experienced surfers, with a strong energy readin' (1495). Sunday the 12th keeps the quality high with a clean 6ft swell in the morning. The wind stays light offshore, makin' for some long, clean walls. Energy is still solid (856).
By Monday the 13th, the swell drops right off, and we're into a flat spell. The next few days are small and sloppy, with onshore winds and choppy conditions. Tuesday the 14th is a total loss, with junk wind. It's a dead zone for a few days.
Now, here's the one. The real standout is Friday the 17th of July. Circle this one. We've got a long-period SE groundswell, a proper 16-second pulse, rollin' in at 7ft in the morning with a clean offshore breeze. The energy is massive (2036). The afternoon gets even bigger, with 8ft of clean, long-period swell and a moderate offshore wind, energy readin' a whopping 2346. This is big, powerful, clean groundswell. For a spot like Te Araroa, a beach and point setup, that long period will be a dream on the point, but a handful out the back. Saturday the 18th is still excellent, with a 6ft swell and clean offshore winds, energy droppin' slightly but still impressive (1185).
Then, hold on to your leash. Monday the 20th of July. We're lookin' at a massive 15ft NW swell. That's a monster. The energy readin' is off the charts at 9527. The wind is clean, but this is only for the absolute experts. Anyone else, stay on the beach. This is a beast. Tuesday the 21st is still big, with 8ft from the NW, but it's a bit more manageable.
The last few days, from the 22nd onward, drop back into smaller, less consistent surf, with the wind turnin' messy again. It's a fade-out.
So, yeah. The best of the best? Without a doubt, the 17th and 18th of July. That's the sweet spot. A long run of clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. The 20th is for the heroes only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SSE on Thu night, light winds from the S by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | N 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNE 6 | E 10 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
349 | 294 | 0 | 2026 | 1290 | 796 | 924 | 744 | 515 | 266 | 216 | 155 | 102 | 67 | 56 | 121 | 257 | 103 | 34 | 50 | 215 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 1:37AM2.02m | 2:14PM1.99m | 2:36AM2.04m | 3:17PM2.05m | 3:41AM2.08m | 4:27PM2.12m | 4:46AM2.13m | 5:35PM2.22m | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:36PM0.68m | 8:09AM0.53m | 8:38PM0.70m | 9:08AM0.56m | 9:42PM0.69m | 10:12AM0.55m | 10:46PM0.66m | 11:15AM0.49m | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | |
5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | 5:07 | |
mm | 2 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | W 6 | W 6 | SE 10 | NW 13 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNE 6 | E 10 | ESE 14 |
349 | 294 | 3 | 1 | 1290 | 7 | 564 | 471 | 328 | 266 | 216 | 155 | 102 | 67 | 56 | 30 | 257 | 103 | 28 | 50 | 215 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 8 | S 19 | N 14 | NW 14 | N 11 | NW 13 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 4 | ESE 10 | NE 5 | ESE 10 | NW 7 | NW 5 | WNW 4 |
76 | 33 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 30 | 57 | 46 | 13 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | S 21 | — | S 18 | — | S 21 | S 21 | NW 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | S 9 | S 8 | NE 11 | SE 8 | ENE 5 | ESE 10 | NNE 6 | NE 5 |
1 | 9 | — | 6 | — | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 34 | 10 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | N 4 | N 5 | — | — | S 3 | — | SSE 5 |
574 | 898 | 2149 | 2026 | 2164 | 796 | 924 | 744 | 515 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 30 | 121 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 39 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 67 | 118 | 122 | 47 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











