
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,331 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Te Araroa over the next couple of weeks. Right off the bat, the weekend’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s some solid potential further out. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing too wild on that front.
We kick off on Friday the 3rd with chest-high swell around 6ft from the east, periods of 12 seconds giving it some decent push, but a light cross-shore wind and marginal tide conditions mean it’s a bit average—good for a paddle but nothing to set the world on fire. The combined energy is moderate (780).
Saturday the 4th morning is where it gets interesting. Glassy conditions, 6ft east swell, and that 12-second period rolling in. The energy’s still moderate (861), but with the wind flat, it’s going to be clean. This is your standout for the near term—Te Araroa’s a consistent beach and point that’s beginner-friendly, and with no crowds to worry about, you’ll have it pretty much to yourself. Swell direction’s from the east, which isn’t the optimum NE direction, but the size and clean conditions make it a solid goer.
Sunday the 5th is a write-off—onshore slop and junk. Monday’s no better. Tuesday the 7th afternoon sees a glassy window again with 5ft from the NNE, short 9-second period, and moderate energy (767), but it’s a quick window before the next pulse.
Now, Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th rolls in a proper run. Wednesday morning hits with 7ft from the ESE, clean cross-off wind, and strong energy (1975). The swell period’s 10 seconds, so it’s a mix of power and shape. Thursday the 9th afternoon goes offshore with 8ft from the ESE and fresh offshore wind—clean and punchy, but this is starting to get sizey for beginners. Friday the 10th morning is the big one: 12ft from the SE, 11-second period, and a massive 2487 energy reading. That’s strong to very strong energy, and the offshore wind (SSW) makes it look unreal, but the swell’s too big for the break—only for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon drops to 8ft SE, still offshore, and it’s excellent for those who can handle it.
The following week eases off. Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th hold clean, offshore conditions with chest to head-high swell (5ft–8ft) from the SE, moderate energy. Monday the 13th morning is glassy with 5ft SE and an 11-second period—clean and fun again. But then from Tuesday the 14th onward, the wind shifts and the quality drops off.
Jumping to Thursday the 16th, we’ve got a very long-period groundswell from the SE (14 seconds) pushing 12ft, with massive energy (4300), but with cross-shore wind and size too big for the break—this is for experts only, and at a point or reef setup it might be okay, but at Te Araroa’s beach and point, it’ll be a handful. Friday the 17th morning offers a more manageable 8ft from the ESE, 13-second period, light cross-off wind, and strong energy (2448)—that’s the later standout, promising but further out and less certain.
So, for the best of it: hit Saturday 4th morning for the glassy, clean, chest-high waves with no crowds. And if you’re experienced, Friday 10th morning and Friday 17th morning are the ones to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the NNW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon morning, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thu 9 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | NNW 7 | E 10 | E 10 | N 6 | NW 8 | E 10 | E 9 | NNE 9 | E 11 | N 10 | N 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
639 | 778 | 948 | 1039 | 857 | 599 | 434 | 758 | 294 | 237 | 356 | 277 | 219 | 201 | 346 | 804 | 1012 | 770 | 641 | 1022 | 1045 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:44AM1.95m | 9:17PM2.03m | 9:22AM1.94m | 9:59PM2.03m | 10:01AM1.92m | 10:40PM2.03m | 10:43AM1.90m | 11:20PM2.02m | 11:30AM1.89m | 00:02AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.90m | 00:47AM2.01m | 1:17PM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:54AM0.62m | 3:02PM0.51m | 3:35AM0.59m | 3:42PM0.49m | 4:18AM0.57m | 4:22PM0.49m | 5:01AM0.54m | 5:03PM0.52m | 5:45AM0.52m | 5:48PM0.58m | 6:30AM0.50m | 6:39PM0.64m | 7:17AM0.51m | ||||||||
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | |
— | — | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | NW 8 | NNE 7 | E 9 | NNE 9 | E 11 | N 10 | N 9 | ESE 10 | NNE 8 | ESE 10 |
639 | 778 | 948 | 1039 | 857 | 599 | 434 | 290 | 294 | 237 | 220 | 269 | 183 | 201 | 346 | 804 | 963 | 770 | 641 | 119 | 817 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 8 | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 7 | E 10 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NNE 8 | S 12 | NNE 8 |
14 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 26 | 277 | 186 | 110 | 201 | 587 | 1012 | 680 | 326 | 12 | 76 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 10 | — | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 6 | NE 10 | S 21 | E 10 | NNE 7 | E 10 | NNE 8 | S 16 | S 9 | S 13 | — | S 18 |
3 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 4 | 9 | 219 | 72 | 220 | 202 | 5 | 14 | 14 | — | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | N 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | 13 | 147 | 758 | 261 | 109 | 356 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 29 | 1022 | 1045 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 120 | 116 | 107 | 18 | 8 | 91 | 67 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 35 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











