Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, SE swell with 832 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 11s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Te Araroa.
We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands, but some real gems are showing up later in the month. The first few days offer a taste of fun, then a quiet spell, before a big pulse of energy arrives for the final weekend. The water temp is sitting at 59°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
The action kicks off Saturday afternoon, August 15th. It’s a bit messy with rain showers and a cross-off wind from the SSE at 9 mph, but the swell is a clean 7 ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 698, and it’s looking like very good surf. This is a solid start for a beach and point setup.
Sunday the 16th is a good call for the morning. The wind has swung offshore from the S at 16 mph, cleaning up a 5 ft SE swell. Not a huge wave, but with that offshore flow and a moderate energy reading of 441, it’ll be a fun, manageable day. The afternoon drops off a bit with a smaller 3 ft swell.
Monday the 17th is a write-off with strong winds, and Tuesday the 18th is the real standout for the first week. Tuesday morning brings a 6 ft swell from the SE, with a 10-second period and a solid combined energy of 640. The wind is light offshore from the SSW at 9 mph, making for gentle, clean conditions. This is the pick of the early period – a proper glassy morning with some decent push.
There’s then a frustrating gap. From Tuesday afternoon on the 18th right through to the end of the week, the surf goes flat and small. There are a few days in there with weak energy readings (22, 93, 67, 14) and nothing worth paddling for. It’s a real dry spell, so save your energy.
Things finally start to revive on Thursday the 20th. The morning shows a 5 ft SE swell with a 9-second period and a moderate 446 combined energy. The wind is light offshore from the S at 9 mph, offering clean, gentle conditions. The afternoon holds similar quality with a 5 ft swell. This is a good, solid day to get back in the water.
After that, the surf goes quiet again until the final week. The real fireworks are saved for the last weekend of the month.
Friday the 28th of August is a monster. The afternoon sees a massive 13 ft swell from the NNW, packing a huge combined energy of 2506. That is serious power. The wind is offshore from the S at 16 mph, so it’s clean. But keep in mind, this is a beach and point set-up, and waves over 8 ft are for experts only. This is a big, powerful, heavy day for experienced surfers only.
Saturday the 29th is the absolute standout of the whole outlook. The morning brings a 7 ft swell from the N with a 9-second period and a combined energy of 795. The wind is light offshore from the S at 9 mph, giving you gentle, clean conditions. The afternoon is even better for the experienced crew – a 10 ft swell from the NNW with a 9-second period and a massive 1230 combined energy. The wind is light from the S at 6 mph, making it glassy. This is a world-class couple of sessions; the morning for the strong intermediate, the afternoon for the expert.
Sunday the 30th is still good, but the energy is dropping. The morning shows a 8 ft swell from the NNW with 890 combined energy, and the afternoon holds a 8 ft NW swell with 940 combined energy. Both have cross-off winds, so it’s still clean, but not quite the perfection of Saturday.
So, to sum it up: the first week has a great Tuesday morning (August 18th) and a solid Thursday (August 20th). Then a long flat spell. The big prize is the final weekend – Friday the 28th is a monster for experts, and Saturday the 29th is the best all-round day of the whole outlook. Go get it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sat night, strong winds from the S by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue night, calm by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
574 | 413 | 277 | 165 | 39 | 180 | 125 | 69 | 612 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 696 | 446 | 321 | 211 | 69 | 41 | 25 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:41PM2.22m | 9:04AM2.11m | 9:29PM2.15m | 9:52AM2.08m | 10:17PM2.09m | 10:40AM2.03m | 11:03PM2.04m | 11:28AM1.97m | 11:46PM1.99m | 12:17PM1.92m | 00:29AM1.93m | 1:07PM1.88m | 1:13AM1.87m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:08AM0.36m | 3:21PM0.38m | 3:54AM0.35m | 4:09PM0.42m | 4:40AM0.38m | 4:54PM0.47m | 5:24AM0.43m | 5:39PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.50m | 6:27PM0.64m | 6:53AM0.57m | 7:20PM0.72m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | E 9 | W 6 | W 5 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 11 |
574 | 413 | 149 | 165 | 39 | 180 | 125 | 1045 | 612 | 655 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 696 | 446 | 321 | 211 | 69 | 41 | 70 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | NNW 6 | ENE 8 | WNW 6 | NW 6 | — | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SE 16 | — | — | SSE 17 | W 5 | SE 13 | S 19 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 7 |
122 | 135 | 15 | 103 | 3 | 1 | — | 69 | 28 | 16 | 10 | — | — | 28 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 36 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 12 | S 21 | NNW 6 | SE 15 | — | — | NW 10 | W 5 | E 18 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 10 |
2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 24 | 26 | 25 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | W 5 | SSE 10 | — | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | W 5 | S 10 | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 |
— | — | 277 | 156 | 248 | 1417 | 1780 | 1 | 1433 | — | 1146 | 1461 | 1283 | 2 | 771 | — | 1 | 24 | 105 | 35 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 364 | 330 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











