
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, ESE swell with 1,222 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a slow burner for the next couple of weeks, but there are some real gems tucked in there if you’re patient. The water’s sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus to start.
Te Araroa has a solid run of clean surf kicking off this Saturday morning, July 11. The swell is 7ft from the SE with a 9-second period, and the wind is a clean offshore from the S. The wave energy is moderate (745). It’s a consistent spot, so you can expect good, punchy waves. Saturday afternoon the swell picks up to 8ft (energy jumps to 1434), still from the SE with the same offshore wind. This is getting into the territory where it’s more suited to experienced surfers, so keep that in mind.
Sunday morning, July 12, the swell drops to 5ft from the SE, wind is light offshore from the S – clean and fun. The energy dips to 334. Sunday afternoon, the wind swings to a cross-offshore from the SE, swell at 4ft, still clean. Good, easy waves for a range of abilities.
The best of the lot, though, is looking like Friday morning, July 17. The swell is 5ft from the ESE, but the period jumps to a very long 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The wind is glassy from the SSW, and the energy is strong at 847. This is a standout – clean, powerful, and those long-period lines will wrap nicely around the point. It’s a consistent break, so the sets will be solid. The water is still a touch warmer than normal, so it’s all lining up.
The next day, Saturday morning, July 18, is also excellent – 6ft from the ESE, 14-second period, cross-offshore wind from the WSW, and energy at 1140. This is again for the more experienced crew, but the quality is there.
There’s a long gap of pretty ordinary conditions after that, with nothing really worth highlighting until the end of the second week. The swell gets huge from July 23 onwards, with waves over 12ft and up to 16ft, but the wind is cross or cross-on, and the energy is extreme (over 5000). It’s simply too big for this break, and the conditions look messy. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for paddle surfing, it’s a pass.
In summary, your best bets are Saturday July 11 for a solid session, and the absolute standout is Friday morning July 17 – glassy, groundswell, and clean. Saturday July 18 is also a cracker for the experienced lot. The second week is a write-off, but those first two days in the second week are worth waiting for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
736 | 863 | 446 | 321 | 255 | 211 | 148 | 101 | 75 | 84 | 172 | 222 | 109 | 101 | 37 | 158 | 204 | 627 | 829 | 987 | 1222 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:17PM2.05m | 3:41AM2.08m | 4:27PM2.12m | 4:46AM2.13m | 5:35PM2.22m | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | 8:16PM2.40m | 8:34AM2.20m | 9:06PM2.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:08AM0.56m | 9:42PM0.69m | 10:12AM0.55m | 10:46PM0.66m | 11:15AM0.49m | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | 1:58PM0.34m | 2:40AM0.49m | 2:50PM0.35m | ||||||||
7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 6 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 |
736 | 564 | 446 | 321 | 255 | 211 | 148 | 101 | 75 | 46 | 26 | 38 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 158 | 204 | 627 | 829 | 987 | 1222 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 13 | NW 13 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | S 5 | SSE 5 |
7 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 12 | 15 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | S 21 | NW 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | S 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | S 8 | ESE 12 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 5 |
2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SE 9 | S 5 | S 5 | S 7 | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 |
761 | 863 | 51 | 50 | 36 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 84 | 172 | 222 | 109 | 101 | 9 | — | — | — | — | 28 | 81 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 91 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










