Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SE swell with 1,480 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright Rusty here again, let's break that down in feet and miles per hour.
First things first, July 5th and 6th are a total loss. Northerly winds and sloppy surf, don't even bother.
The turnaround comes Tuesday the 7th. The wind goes glassy in the morning with a clean 5.6ft NW swell. The water’s 16.4°, which is a bit warmer than usual for this time of year – nice little bonus.
Wednesday the 8th is the real deal for the experienced crew. A solid 9.8ft NNW swell with clean offshore south winds. The wave energy is strong and the 10-second period gives it real shape. Too big for beginners.
The swell backs off Thursday the 9th, but it’s still clean at 4.6ft from the ESE.
There’s a flat spot over the 11th, but Sunday the 12th picks up again with a 7.5ft SE swell, good energy, and clean offshores.
The big one to watch is Wednesday the 16th. We’re talking a massive 13.1ft NNW swell, but the model says it’s just too big for this break. The wind is cross-onshore too. This one is for big wave specialists only, if anyone at all.
The rest of the window into late July is a write-off with onshore northerlies and poor conditions. Keep your board in the car, but maybe not this week.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 62mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Thu night, fresh winds from the S by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | E 10 | NNE 6 | N 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NNW 10 | NNW 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | NW 13 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 788 | 282 | 320 | 1075 | 612 | 429 | 564 | 967 | 1470 | 920 | 523 | 402 | 356 | 363 | 248 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 1312 | 1187 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:40PM2.03m | 10:43AM1.90m | 11:20PM2.02m | 11:30AM1.89m | 00:02AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.90m | 00:47AM2.01m | 1:17PM1.94m | 1:37AM2.02m | 2:14PM1.99m | 2:36AM2.04m | 3:17PM2.05m | 3:41AM2.08m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:22PM0.49m | 5:01AM0.54m | 5:03PM0.52m | 5:45AM0.52m | 5:48PM0.58m | 6:30AM0.50m | 6:39PM0.64m | 7:17AM0.51m | 7:36PM0.68m | 8:09AM0.53m | 8:38PM0.70m | 9:08AM0.56m | 9:42PM0.69m | 10:12AM0.55m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  |  | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 |
 | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | 5:04 |
mm | 6 | — | 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NNW 10 | NNW 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | W 6 | N 14 | W 6 | NW 13 | N 12 | SE 10 |
| kJ | 242 | 282 | 242 | 181 | 458 | 429 | 564 | 967 | 1470 | 920 | 523 | 402 | 356 | 363 | 248 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1187 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NNE 6 | — | S 21 | E 9 | NNE 8 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | — | N 13 | S 21 | S 21 | N 12 |
| kJ | 3 | 110 | — | 9 | 171 | 219 | 288 | 520 | 608 | 468 | 299 | 133 | 82 | 31 | 17 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 7 | — | — | S 20 | E 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | SSW 9 | S 14 | S 13 | SSE 7 | SSE 6 | NE 9 | NNW 8 | N 15 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 63 | — | — | 8 | 198 | 183 | 338 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 58 | 43 | 20 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | — | NNE 6 | N 8 | NW 9 | — | — | — | SSE 3 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | S 6 | S 6 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 788 | — | 320 | 1075 | 612 | — | — | — | 6 | 59 | 88 | 212 | 148 | 115 | 603 | 1958 | 1792 | 2189 | 2118 | 1312 | 2115 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 120 | 18 | 116 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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