Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 805 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at the forecast for Te Araroa.
We're in for a real mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. There's a lot of big swell on the horizon, but the wind and conditions are going to be a real battle for most of it. The early days are a write-off, but we've got one standout window that's worth setting the alarm for.
The first few days are a bit of a non-starter. Thursday the 30th through to Saturday the 2nd of August are mostly blown out or too messy. The wind is all over the place, keeping things choppy and uninviting. There's a brief window on the morning of Saturday the 1st with a gentle offshore, but the swell is only 3ft to 5ft and the period is a short 7 seconds, so it's weak and a bit lumpy. The combined energy (418) is moderate but nothing to get excited about.
Things get a bit flat from Sunday the 2nd through to Wednesday the 6th of August. The swell drops right off, with heights under 1ft, so it's basically a lake. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.
Now, here's the one that gets the heart rate up. On the morning of Friday the 7th of August, we've got a solid 10ft groundswell from the NW, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is glassy, dead calm. The combined energy (1204) is strong. This is a serious contender for the best session in the whole forecast. The only catch is that the afternoon swell is predicted to be too big for the break, so the morning is the window. Also, because it's a groundswell, it might be a bit straight at the beach, but the point should handle it beautifully. This is for experienced surfers only.
The following week is a write-off for paddle surfing. The period from the 9th to the 14th of August brings massive, dangerous swell. We're talking 13ft to 21ft with very strong energy readings (over 5000 and even 12000). The wind is often cross or cross-off, making it messy, and the size makes it completely unsuitable for surfing. The setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, to sum it up: the only real standout is the Friday morning of the 7th of August at Te Araroa. Glassy conditions and a solid 10ft NW swell. It's a big, powerful day, so only for the experienced. The rest of the window is either flat, blown out, or way too big.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Wed night, strong winds from the NW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 8 | NW 7 | SE 15 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SE 14 | SE 14 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | SE 20 | NE 12 | NNE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 789 | 541 | 408 | 331 | 805 | 585 | 84 | 233 | 89 | 100 | 66 | 34 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 23 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 6:55AM1.93m | 7:31PM2.01m | 7:36AM1.95m | 8:08PM2.03m | 8:15AM1.95m | 8:47PM2.04m | 8:55AM1.94m | 9:26PM2.03m | 9:35AM1.93m | 10:07PM2.02m | 10:19AM1.93m | 10:49PM2.00m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:02AM0.66m | 1:15PM0.53m | 1:44AM0.60m | 1:54PM0.47m | 2:26AM0.53m | 2:34PM0.43m | 3:08AM0.47m | 3:14PM0.41m | 3:49AM0.42m | 3:56PM0.42m | 4:31AM0.40m | 4:39PM0.46m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | 2 | — | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | WNW 6 | W 6 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 789 | 541 | 408 | 331 | 263 | 217 | 65 | 233 | 89 | 26 | 142 | 372 | 311 | 229 | 160 | 101 | 60 | 24 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SE 14 | SSE 11 | SE 14 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | SSE 11 | SE 16 | NNE 12 |
| kJ | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 55 | 109 | 41 | 100 | 143 | 29 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 45 | 67 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 19 | NE 19 | NE 18 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 16 | NE 16 | SE 14 | NE 15 | SSE 14 | SE 13 | S 21 | E 18 | SE 20 | NE 12 | E 16 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 84 | 76 | 87 | 40 | 66 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 97 | 23 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | S 12 | — | WNW 3 | W 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | — | 31 | 63 | 189 | 805 | 585 | 569 | — | 445 | 408 | 1912 | — | 3 | 81 | 123 | 160 | 36 | 356 | 735 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 18 | 18 | 116 | 67 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 222 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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