
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 15s period, SE swell with 1,472 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.8m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a slow start at Te Araroa, but the second half of the outlook is where it gets interesting.
The first few days are a write-off with poor surf and messy winds. Monday 13 July and Tuesday 14 July are all cross-shore or cross-onshore breezes with small, weak swell – not worth paddling out for. Wednesday 15 July stays marginal, though the morning offers a clean 1.3m cross-off wind, but it’s a short-period 5-second swell with moderate energy (207), so it’s still a struggle.
Thursday 16 July brings a cleaner morning with 0.6m from the ESE and a 14-second period, low energy (206), but it’s rideable. The afternoon gets a bigger 0.8m pulse with a 18-second period and a jump in energy (461), but still just marginal.
Now, Friday 17 July morning is the real standout. We’ve got 1.6m from the ESE with a 15-second period – that’s proper groundswell – and a combined energy of 1193, strong. Light offshore wind from the west, clean conditions. This is for experienced surfers only, as it’s over 1.5m, and the long period means it’s best handled at the point break. Saturday 18 July morning is another cracker: 1.6m from the SE, 15-second period, strong energy (1124), and glassy offshore wind from the SSW. Clean as a whistle. The afternoon gets a bit more wind but still offshore from the south at 35 km/h, with 1.4m and 14-second period – still good for the experienced.
Sunday 19 July morning is milder but still clean with 1.1m from the SE, 13-second period, and a light offshore. Crowds are never an issue here, so you’ll have it to yourself. The following week from Monday 20 July to Wednesday 22 July drops off – small ESE swell around 0.6m to 0.9m, mostly clean but low energy, only worth a paddle if you’re desperate.
Thursday 23 July is a write-off – poor conditions with fresh cross-off wind and short-period swell. Friday 24 July morning gets good again: 1.3m from the ENE with an 11-second period, solid energy (693), and a clean offshore from the SSW. Saturday 25 July is glassy in the morning with 0.9m from the ENE, moderate energy (438), and a light SSE breeze – a nice little session. Sunday 26 July is also glassy with 0.8m from the SE, 13-second period, and calm winds.
Looking further out, Monday 27 July morning has a glassy 1.7m from the NNW, but it’s short-period at 6 seconds – a bit wonky but clean. The afternoon jumps to 3.0m from the NNW, 7-second period, and strong energy (1193), but that’s only for experts and the wind turns cross-shore, making it messy. Tuesday 28 July is a no-go with onshore wind and 2.2m short-period swell.
The best on offer is the Friday 17 July morning and Saturday 18 July morning – both have strong groundswell, clean offshore wind, and Te Araroa’s consistent point break will handle that long-period energy well. Get in before the crowds (which are never an issue).
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Thu night, fresh winds from the S by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sun 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | ESE 14 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
235 | 148 | 101 | 74 | 66 | 115 | 224 | 136 | 124 | 39 | 165 | 360 | 818 | 1193 | 1386 | 1306 | 1124 | 834 | 540 | 444 | 326 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross |
High Tide | 4:46AM2.13m | 5:35PM2.22m | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | 8:16PM2.40m | 8:34AM2.20m | 9:06PM2.36m | 9:25AM2.17m | 9:57PM2.28m | 10:17AM2.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:46PM0.66m | 11:15AM0.49m | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | 1:58PM0.34m | 2:40AM0.49m | 2:50PM0.35m | 3:31AM0.45m | 3:42PM0.39m | 4:22AM0.43m | 4:33PM0.45m | |||||||
— | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | |
— | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
235 | 148 | 101 | 74 | 46 | 26 | 58 | 66 | 36 | 33 | 165 | 360 | 818 | 1193 | 1386 | 1306 | 1124 | 834 | 540 | 444 | 326 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ESE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SSE 8 | S 8 | WNW 5 | W 5 |
3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 63 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 24 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | S 11 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 11 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | NE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 10 | S 7 | SSE 6 | S 11 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | S 22 | SSE 8 | SSE 21 |
6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 63 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 88 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | SSE 4 |
— | — | 1 | 8 | 66 | 115 | 224 | 136 | 124 | 39 | 37 | 97 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 69 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











