
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,824 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Te Araroa over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a solid stretch of poor conditions to kick things off. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until Saturday morning, the 1st of August. That morning, we’re looking at a clean 4ft swell from the NW with a short period of 7 seconds, and a cross-offshore breeze from the SSE at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 343, so it’s not a powerhouse, but it’s clean and rideable. Nothing to get too excited about, but it’s a start.
The standout in this whole forecast, the one that’s got my attention, is Thursday morning, the 6th of August. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the NNW, and the wind is going glassy – dead calm at 3 mph from the WNW. That’s a rare treat. The combined energy is a solid 268, so there’s some push behind it. The water is sitting at 60°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no crazy temperature surprises. The kicker is, the swell period is only 6 seconds, so it’s a bit of a short-period, wind-swell affair. It’ll be fun, but not the kind of groundswell that’s going to peel for days. Still, for clean, glassy waves, you’d be a fool to miss it.
Now, that same afternoon, the 6th, things get a bit wild. The swell jumps to 12ft from the NW and the combined energy goes through the roof to 1768. That’s a lot of water moving around. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph, and it’s going to be choppy. This is expert territory only – way too big for beginners, and honestly, with that onshore wind, it’s going to be a messy, powerful beast. If you’re not a pro, sit this one out.
After that, the second week gets a bit patchy. Sunday morning, the 9th of August, we get a clean 5ft SE swell with a 7-8 second period and a cross-offshore breeze. Combined energy around 327 – it’s a solid, clean option. Then on Wednesday morning, the 12th, there’s a 6ft swell from the E with a 12-second period (groundswell), and the combined energy hits 1123. The wind is light onshore, but that long period means it’ll be better suited for the point than the beach, as it might break too straight for the sand. It’s a promising one, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep your fingers crossed.
The long and short of it: Thursday the 6th is your best bet for glassy, clean waves. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu night, light winds from the WSW by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SE 15 | NW 7 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | NE 15 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 7 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
408 | 331 | 1020 | 803 | 84 | 158 | 87 | 100 | 142 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | 19 | 18 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:31PM2.01m | 7:36AM1.95m | 8:08PM2.03m | 8:15AM1.95m | 8:47PM2.04m | 8:55AM1.94m | 9:26PM2.03m | 9:35AM1.93m | 10:07PM2.02m | 10:19AM1.93m | 10:49PM2.00m | 11:06AM1.93m | 11:34PM1.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:44AM0.60m | 1:54PM0.47m | 2:26AM0.53m | 2:34PM0.43m | 3:08AM0.47m | 3:14PM0.41m | 3:49AM0.42m | 3:56PM0.42m | 4:31AM0.40m | 4:39PM0.46m | 5:14AM0.39m | 5:26PM0.52m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | 4 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | WNW 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 |
408 | 331 | 263 | 217 | 65 | 158 | 67 | 21 | 192 | 366 | 311 | 180 | 130 | 105 | 46 | 61 | 247 | 215 | 153 | 153 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | SE 16 | SE 16 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | NE 15 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | SSE 11 | WNW 5 | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | NE 11 | NE 4 |
5 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 55 | 109 | 87 | 100 | 142 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 74 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 19 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 19 | NE 19 | NE 18 | SE 15 | SE 15 | ESE 11 | NE 16 | NW 6 | NE 15 | SSE 14 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 9 | SSE 17 | SSE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | SSE 17 | NE 11 |
5 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 84 | 76 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 34 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 27 | 23 | 22 | 28 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | SSE 5 | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 |
56 | 260 | 1020 | 803 | 503 | 33 | 432 | 415 | — | — | — | 57 | 154 | 130 | 17 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 18 | 67 | 67 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 73 | 6 | 73 | 127 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











