
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SE swell with 509 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Te Araroa over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we've got a beautiful little window opening up. Sunday morning the 19th is looking like the standout. We’ve got a clean 4 ft of swell from the SE, with a solid 13-second period on it, meaning proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light cross-off, and the water temp is about average for the time of year. The combined energy is sitting at a solid 509 (moderate), and the conditions are being described as very good. It’s a consistent setup, so I’d be getting in the water early. Sunday afternoon holds up nicely too, with glassy conditions on a 4 ft SE swell; that’s a real treat for a clean session.
Monday morning the 20th takes a step back. The wind picks up to 15 mph from the S, making it cross-off, and the swell drops to 3 ft. The energy drops to 205 (weak). It’s still clean, but the quality is marginal. Monday afternoon is worse, and Tuesday the 21st is pretty ordinary with small 2 ft waves and weak energy.
Wednesday the 22nd through to Friday the 24th is a real flat spell. The swell stays tiny, below 2 ft, with weak energy readings. The winds are all over the place, and by Friday we’ve got strong onshore winds making a mess of things. Honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about for a few days there.
Now, Saturday the 25th morning brings a change. We get a spike in swell to 5 ft from the NNW, but it’s got a short 7-second period, so it’s windswell. The energy is moderate at 266, and the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean. That said, 5 ft can be a bit much for beginners, and the short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy. Saturday afternoon drops off fast.
The following week, from the 26th to the 28th, is a mixed bag. The swell hovers around 2 ft to 2 ft with moderate energy (94 to 263). The wind is generally cross-off or offshore, keeping things clean, but the waves are just very ordinary.
Then we get a promising run from the 29th of July into the 30th. Wednesday the 29th morning sees a 2 ft SE groundswell with a 14-second period, clean conditions, and an energy of 236 (moderate). Thursday the 30th morning is the best bet in this second week: 4 ft from the SE with an 11-second period, light winds, and a strong energy reading of 486 (moderate). It’s a great call for a clean session. Thursday afternoon gets a bit dicey with a cross-shore wind picking up.
From the 31st, we’re back into onshore winds and messy conditions through to the 1st of August. The only later note is on Monday the 3rd of August, which shows a 3 ft SE swell with a 14-second period, offshore wind, and a very high energy of 501 (moderate). It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a promising signal for a clean, quality swell.
So, to wrap it up: Sunday the 19th is your best bet by a long shot, with Thursday the 30th morning being a solid second option if you’re planning ahead. The rest of the period is average to poor, with a few flat days in the middle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NW by Fri afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | E 8 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
607 | 509 | 424 | 255 | 205 | 177 | 130 | 126 | 109 | 168 | 55 | 53 | 25 | 47 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 34 | 238 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:57PM2.28m | 10:17AM2.12m | 10:47PM2.19m | 11:09AM2.06m | 11:36PM2.11m | 12:02PM2.00m | 00:24AM2.05m | 12:54PM1.94m | 1:10AM1.99m | 1:46PM1.90m | 1:56AM1.93m | 2:39PM1.88m | 2:45AM1.88m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:22AM0.43m | 4:33PM0.45m | 5:11AM0.43m | 5:23PM0.51m | 5:59AM0.46m | 6:12PM0.57m | 6:47AM0.51m | 7:03PM0.64m | 7:35AM0.57m | 7:58PM0.71m | 8:26AM0.62m | 8:54PM0.76m | |||||||
— | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 9 |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 |
607 | 509 | 424 | 255 | 205 | 177 | 130 | 126 | 109 | 168 | 96 | 70 | 79 | 33 | 30 | 15 | 25 | 31 | 39 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 23 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | SSE 20 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | N 8 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 10 |
401 | 104 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 76 | 311 | 140 | 37 | 1 | 55 | 53 | 25 | 47 | 11 | 29 | 26 | 18 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | SSE 23 | SSE 21 | SSE 16 | SSE 20 | NW 5 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NW 7 | N 7 | ESE 12 | ESE 5 | E 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | S 9 | S 9 |
21 | 293 | 178 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | — | — | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SSE 16 | — | — | WNW 3 | ESE 3 | ENE 3 | — | N 4 | N 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 |
58 | — | — | 15 | 48 | 74 | 53 | 22 | 288 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 14 | 27 | 34 | 238 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 56 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 8 | 67 | 18 | 67 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










