Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period, SE swell with 2,067 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.4m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Howdy, Rusty here. Let’s talk Te Araroa over the next 16 days. This is a beach and point break that’s consistent and likes a NE swell best.
We kick off Sunday the 12th with a clean 4.6ft SE swell, 9-second period, and light offshore wind. Wave energy is 334 (moderate) – solid enough for a fun session, especially for beginners. Monday the 13th morning turns glassy with a 3ft ESE swell – tiny, but that flat water makes it a gem for a relaxed paddle. After that, the surf goes flat and choppy until Wednesday.
Thursday the 16th afternoon brings a clean 2.3ft ESE swell with a long 14-second period, energy around 308 (moderate). It’s clean, with a bit of groundswell pulse – the point should offer some lined-up sets.
Friday the 17th morning is the pick of the first week. A 5.2ft ESE swell with a very long 15-second period and energy at 1185 (strong). Winds are light cross-shore. The long period will create proper, powerful waves, but it’ll favour the point break over the beach. It’s the best quality on offer.
From Saturday the 18th onward, the swell keeps climbing. By Sunday the 19th we’re at 7.5ft, and Monday the 20th shows 9.8ft to 11.5ft swells. Anything over 8ft is expert-only here. By Tuesday the 21st it’s a monstrous 21.3ft ESE swell with 12-second period and energy of 11357 (very strong). That’s a full-on big-wave event – not for paddle surfing. Winds stay mostly clean but the size is overwhelming.
Best call: Friday the 17th morning – good size, excellent period, and passable wind. The second week is all huge, dangerous swell with no let-up. Water temp anomaly isn’t listed, so no word there. Only one break in this area.
Watch this space – once that big energy passes, it might settle into something more friendly.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Sat 18 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 649 | 321 | 255 | 235 | 148 | 101 | 74 | 47 | 120 | 193 | 93 | 77 | 56 | 163 | 161 | 973 | 1178 | 1396 | 1340 | 1111 | 934 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:41AM2.08m | 4:27PM2.12m | 4:46AM2.13m | 5:35PM2.22m | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | 8:16PM2.40m | 8:34AM2.20m | 9:06PM2.36m | 9:25AM2.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:42PM0.69m | 10:12AM0.55m | 10:46PM0.66m | 11:15AM0.49m | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | 1:58PM0.34m | 2:40AM0.49m | 2:50PM0.35m | 3:31AM0.45m | 3:42PM0.39m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — |
 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 405 | 321 | 255 | 235 | 148 | 101 | 74 | 47 | 26 | 58 | 66 | 62 | 56 | 163 | 161 | 973 | 1178 | 1396 | 1340 | 1111 | 934 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | S 11 | SSE 11 | S 8 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 10 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 11 | ESE 10 | NNE 5 | ESE 18 | NNW 4 | SSE 6 | S 6 | — | NW 5 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 133 | 4 | 11 | 34 | — | 22 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | S 11 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | S 9 | NNE 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | — | S 26 | SSE 23 |
| kJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | — | 13 | 102 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SSW 5 | S 7 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | NW 5 | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 |
| kJ | 649 | 43 | 61 | — | — | — | 21 | 46 | 120 | 193 | 93 | 77 | 22 | 11 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 26 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 75 | 18 | 18 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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