
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SE swell with 1,037 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Righto, here's the outlook for Te Araroa for the next couple of weeks.
We’re in for a mixed bag, but there are a few windows of proper fun surf. The big news is the consistent, clean groundswell that rolls in this weekend, though a fair bit of wind is going to make things interesting. Let's break it down.
The first real action is Saturday the 11th. We’ve got a solid 7ft to 8ft SE swell pushing in with 9-second periods, giving us moderate wave energy (792 and 1434). The problem is the southerly wind. Saturday morning it’s a 16 mph offshore, which will keep the peak at the point clean and lined up, but it’s a fresh breeze. By the afternoon it swings cross-offshore, still surfable but a bit messier. This is gonna be a grunty day, not one for the groms at over 5ft. The water temp is pretty average for this time of year, nothing special.
Sunday the 12th eases off a touch with a 5ft to 5ft SE swell, and the wind drops to a gentle breeze. That morning is offshore and you’ll find clean, fun waves. The energy is back to moderate (334 and 644), so it’s a proper surf day. This is the pick of the weekend for most skill levels.
Monday the 13th offers a brief lull. The morning is glassy with a tiny 3ft ESE swell, and the energy is weak (150). It’d be a cruise, but not a standout. The afternoon turns onshore and choppy, so forget it.
Then we hit a bit of a dry spell. From Tuesday the 14th through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s a mix of onshore and cross-shore winds with weak, short-period swell. The energy stays low (under 200), and the wave quality is poor. Thursday the 16th is also small, but the afternoon shows a pulse of very long period 15-second groundswell from the ESE at 3ft, energy of 312. It’s clean but weak.
Now, the real standout of this outlook is Friday the 17th. Friday morning is absolutely pristine. We have a glassy, calm sea state, and a 5ft ESE groundswell with a solid 15-second period. That’s a very long period, which means long walls and plenty of power. The energy jumps to 1065, which is strong. Because it’s a point break setup, this long-period groundswell will be a dream – long, racy lines. This is excellent for experienced surfers; it’s a little heavy for beginners at that size, but for anyone who knows what they’re doing, it’s the best session of the whole forecast. The wind is non-existent, so it will be clean as a whistle.
Saturday the 18th is still worth a look with a 4ft ESE groundswell and a lighter wind, but not as perfect.
From Sunday the 19th onwards, things get blown out. A strong southerly breeze kicks in (25-28 mph) and while the surf is clean in the sense of no waves getting chopped, the wind is howling. It’s a cross-offshore, but that strength is just miserable. The energy is moderate to strong, but you’ll be fighting the wind more than riding the waves. The swell hangs around through to Wednesday the 22nd, but that wind will kill it for paddling.
Thursday the 23rd brings a shift with a 8ft to 8ft NW swell, but it’s short period at 7 seconds. This is a messy, lumpy swell, and at that size, it’s only for experts, and with a cross-offshore breeze from the SE, it’s going to be a tricky, bumpy session. The energy is moderate (580-725).
The last few days from the 24th to the 26th fizzle out with weak, poor-condition waves. A small glassy morning on the 24th (3ft), but that’s about it.
So, to wrap it up: your best bet is Friday morning the 17th. The combination of glassy wind, that very long period 5ft groundswell, and a point break setup is a rare treat. Sunday the 12th is a solid second pick for the weekend warrior with clean, head-high waves.
Stay salty.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Fri night, calm by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | ESE 10 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1264 | 783 | 863 | 654 | 321 | 379 | 246 | 145 | 101 | 74 | 95 | 148 | 185 | 84 | 68 | 36 | 86 | 256 | 838 | 1028 | 961 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 2:36AM2.04m | 3:17PM2.05m | 3:41AM2.08m | 4:27PM2.12m | 4:46AM2.13m | 5:35PM2.22m | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | 8:16PM2.40m | 8:34AM2.20m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:08AM0.56m | 9:42PM0.69m | 10:12AM0.55m | 10:46PM0.66m | 11:15AM0.49m | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | 1:58PM0.34m | 2:40AM0.49m | 2:50PM0.35m | ||||||||
— | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | |
— | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 14 | NW 13 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NW 6 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 |
7 | 7 | 564 | 446 | 321 | 255 | 246 | 145 | 101 | 74 | 47 | 26 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 18 | 256 | 838 | 1028 | 961 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | N 11 | NW 13 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 12 | S 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 10 | SE 8 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 6 |
11 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 39 | 4 | 75 | 33 | 21 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 21 | S 21 | NW 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 12 | SE 11 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | S 8 | NE 11 | S 8 | S 9 | NE 11 | ESE 15 | S 18 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
— | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 86 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 5 | SE 9 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | — | NW 6 | — | — | — |
1264 | 783 | 863 | 654 | 36 | 379 | — | — | — | 14 | 95 | 148 | 185 | 84 | 68 | 24 | — | 52 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 67 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 39 | 56 | 56 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











