
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SE swell with 1,939 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 12s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Right now, it’s a slow start. There’s nothing worth paddling out for on the first few days of the forecast. The surf is tiny and messy with poor conditions. The wait is on until the weekend.
The first real chance for a wave comes on Saturday, July 26th. Te Araroa (beach and point) will see a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the ESE with a very long 14 second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with a light SSW offshore breeze in the morning, it’s going to be glassy. The combined energy is a solid 549 (moderate), so there’s some push behind it. The water temp is sitting at 60°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. This is a consistent break, so you can trust it’ll have waves. The offshore wind is the big story here; it’s going to be clean.
The pick of the whole run, though, is Monday, July 28th. Monday afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft from the SE with a 12 second period, and the combined energy rockets up to 2045 (strong). That’s serious power. The wind will be blowing offshore from the SSW, so the faces will be clean and lined up. This is excellent surf, but at a solid 8ft, it’s for experienced surfers only. The consistent nature of this spot means you’ll get plenty of waves, and with that offshore flow, the crowds won’t be an issue.
Tuesday, July 29th holds similar quality. Morning sees 8ft from the SE, offshore wind from the SSW, and energy at 1713 (strong). The water is still clean. Another day for the experienced crew to get stuck in.
Wednesday, July 30th morning is still a beauty, with 6ft from the ESE at 13 seconds, and a light offshore wind shifting to W. The energy is 1134 (strong), and it’s clean. A solid option for the week.
After that, the wheels fall off a bit. From Wednesday afternoon through the end of the month, the wind turns onshore and the waves get lumpy and messy. Then a big gap sets in. From July 31st all the way through to August 7th, it’s a write-off. Strong winds, poor quality, and incoming swell that’s just ugly. There’s a big swell on August 5th (10ft from the ESE, energy 3084, very strong) but with strong cross-offshore winds, it’s marginal and messy. Not worth the drama.
The outlook finally turns again on Saturday, August 8th. A small clean 3ft swell from the SE with a 12 second period and offshore SSW wind. The energy is low at 208 (weak), but it’s clean, and it’s a sign of life returning. A gentle, fun-sized session to finish the run.
The standout by a long shot is the Monday afternoon, July 28th, and Tuesday, July 29th. Big, powerful, clean surf for the experienced surfers. Don’t sleep on that Saturday morning, July 26th, either, for a clean, glassy session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri night, light winds from the SSW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 10 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
50 | 130 | 426 | 750 | 878 | 1375 | 549 | 522 | 476 | 700 | 1599 | 1939 | 1706 | 1725 | 1427 | 1134 | 914 | 692 | 500 | 385 | 355 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:39PM1.88m | 2:45AM1.88m | 3:36PM1.88m | 3:38AM1.85m | 4:34PM1.90m | 4:32AM1.84m | 5:26PM1.93m | 5:23AM1.86m | 6:11PM1.96m | 6:11AM1.89m | 6:52PM1.98m | 6:55AM1.93m | 7:31PM2.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:54PM0.76m | 9:20AM0.66m | 9:50PM0.79m | 10:15AM0.67m | 10:42PM0.79m | 11:06AM0.66m | 11:32PM0.77m | 11:52AM0.63m | 00:18AM0.72m | 12:34PM0.58m | 1:02AM0.66m | 1:15PM0.53m | 1:44AM0.60m | ||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | NW 10 | WNW 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SSE 11 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
50 | 130 | 244 | 298 | 244 | 1375 | 291 | 522 | 476 | 550 | 1599 | 1939 | 1706 | 1725 | 1427 | 1134 | 914 | 692 | 500 | 385 | 355 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 13 | SE 17 | E 11 | ESE 14 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | S 19 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
10 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 77 | 149 | 549 | 96 | 23 | 700 | 427 | 17 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | NE 9 | SE 18 | SE 13 | SE 16 | SSE 7 | S 16 | S 15 | NW 8 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 19 |
8 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 203 | 78 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 6 |
6 | 29 | 426 | 750 | 878 | 146 | 275 | 186 | 468 | 1452 | 3649 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 35 | 195 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 18 | 75 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










