
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SE swell with 1,365 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, Rusty here. Looks like we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead for Te Araroa. The first week is pretty messy with onshore winds and lumpy conditions, but there’s some real promise in the second week, especially around the 14th and 15th of July. The water temp is sitting at 62°F, which is about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.
The first real surf kicks off Saturday morning, July 4th. We’ve got a 6ft easterly swell with a 12-second period, but the wind is a light cross from the NW. It’s clean enough for a paddle, but the wave comment says it’s marginal, so don’t expect perfection. The combined energy is moderate (861). It’s a consistent spot, never crowded, so you’ll have your pick. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum, but it’s doable.
Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th are pretty grim. On Sunday, we’ve got 19 mph cross-onshore winds and a messy 4ft east swell. The energy drops to 574. Monday morning bumps up to 8ft from the north, but it’s cross-on and lumpy, with a short 8-second period. That’s not beginner territory—over 8ft is only for the experienced. The afternoon doesn’t get any better.
Tuesday the 7th is still onshore and messy, with 7ft waves and a short period. The energy is moderate (977), but the wind is on it, making it a write-off.
Wednesday the 8th finally shows a glimmer of hope. The wind switches to a cross-off from the south, and we’ve got 8ft from the NNW with a 10-second period. The energy is strong (1616). The waves are clean, but the score is still marginal. It’s a beach and point setup, so the longer period will give better shape, but it’s still a bit raw.
Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th see the swell drop to 4-5ft, with clean conditions and cross-off winds. The energy is weak to moderate (394-461). Friday afternoon is a standout: 5ft from the ESE with an 11-second period, and the wind is offshore from the SSW at 12 mph. The wave comment says expect very good surf conditions. The energy is moderate (532). This is your best bet in the first week.
Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th morning are flat, with tiny 0.3ft swell. The wind is offshore, but there’s nothing to ride. Sunday afternoon, the 12th, fires up again: 8ft from the SE with a 9-second period, and the wind is offshore. The energy is moderate (962). The wave comment says expect very good surf conditions. This is a solid option for experienced surfers, as it’s over 8ft.
Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are solid. Tuesday morning, the 14th, is a standout: 7ft from the ESE with a 10-second period, cross-off wind, and the energy is moderate (973). The wave comment says expect very good surf conditions. The afternoon is similar, with 7ft and clean conditions. This is the best stretch of the outlook.
Wednesday the 15th is magic. The wind is glassy from the ESE at 3 mph, with a 6ft easterly swell and a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (527). The wave comment says expect very good surf conditions. It’s a consistent spot, never crowded, so you’ll have it all to yourself. This is the pick of the entire forecast.
Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th turn ugly. Onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Friday the 17th has a huge 8ft swell from the SE with a very long 18-second period, but the wind is 19 mph cross-on, making it a mess. The energy is extreme (4554), but it’s only for kite surfers, not paddle surfers.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th improve. Saturday has 7ft from the SE with a 14-second period, onshore but light. The energy is strong (1670). Sunday morning, the 19th, is a gem: 4ft from the SE with a 13-second period, light cross-off wind, and the wave comment says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. The energy is moderate (1129). The long period will make it clean and powerful at the point.
So, overall, the standouts are Friday afternoon the 10th and Wednesday the 15th of July. Wednesday the 15th is the absolute best, with glassy conditions and a clean 6ft swell. The second week has more promise, but it’s a bit further out, so keep an eye on it.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun night, min 11°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | NNW 7 | E 10 | N 8 | NW 8 | NNW 7 | N 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 10 | NNW 10 | N 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | N 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
857 | 688 | 434 | 290 | 669 | 237 | 767 | 355 | 327 | 517 | 621 | 981 | 1075 | 796 | 491 | 402 | 356 | 269 | 452 | 499 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:22AM1.94m | 9:59PM2.03m | 10:01AM1.92m | 10:40PM2.03m | 10:43AM1.90m | 11:20PM2.02m | 11:30AM1.89m | 00:02AM2.02m | 12:22PM1.90m | 00:47AM2.01m | 1:17PM1.94m | 1:37AM2.02m | 2:14PM1.99m | 2:36AM2.04m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:42PM0.49m | 4:18AM0.57m | 4:22PM0.49m | 5:01AM0.54m | 5:03PM0.52m | 5:45AM0.52m | 5:48PM0.58m | 6:30AM0.50m | 6:39PM0.64m | 7:17AM0.51m | 7:36PM0.68m | 8:09AM0.53m | 8:38PM0.70m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 6 | E 11 | NW 8 | E 9 | N 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 10 | NNW 10 | N 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | NW 7 |
857 | 688 | 434 | 290 | 242 | 132 | 267 | 355 | 229 | 517 | 621 | 981 | 1075 | 796 | 491 | 402 | 356 | 269 | 452 | 499 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | — | E 10 | E 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | N 8 | NNE 8 | S 6 | SSE 7 | W 5 | E 10 | N 13 |
4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 237 | 132 | 236 | 44 | 239 | 356 | 464 | 541 | 482 | 277 | 67 | 54 | 91 | 4 | 33 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | E 9 | S 20 | S 18 | S 17 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 14 | S 13 | NW 8 | NE 8 | NW 7 | NNW 7 | W 5 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | 239 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | N 8 | WNW 8 | NNW 7 | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | S 5 | SSE 5 | S 6 | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 10 |
— | — | 105 | 284 | 669 | 103 | 767 | 96 | 327 | — | — | — | 19 | 16 | 62 | 39 | 165 | 330 | 217 | 183 | 2216 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 120 | 67 | 120 | 115 | 79 | 18 | 115 | 67 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 39 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










