Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SE swell with 2,535 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down Te Araroa.
This spot is a consistent beach and point break, open to the swell. Water temp is around 60°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The whole run starts off on Monday morning with clean conditions. There’s a 5ft ESE groundswell at a 13-second period, pushing moderate energy. A gentle offshore breeze keeps it smooth. Monday afternoon holds similar, with the swell bumping to 5ft. That’s a solid kickoff.
Tuesday steps up. Morning brings 6ft ESE swell, still clean under a moderate offshore. By Tuesday afternoon, it’s hitting 8ft from the SE with strong energy. That’s expert territory because of the size, but for those who can handle it, the conditions are excellent. Wednesday is another gem. Morning waves at 6ft under a clean offshore, and then Wednesday afternoon goes glassy with 7ft, 12-second ESE swell. That’s a prime window for experienced surfers.
Thursday the wind turns cross-shore and the quality drops. From there, we hit a gap through Friday into Saturday morning. Friday brings a 10ft NNW windswell with a short 7-second period and strong cross-onshore winds—total mess. Not worth it.
Saturday afternoon shows a glimmer with 6ft NW swell and a cross-offshore breeze, but it’s brief. Sunday and Monday are tiny and weak.
Look ahead to Tuesday, August 4th. That morning is a standout: 7ft SE swell with a 14-second period, strong energy, and light offshore winds. That’s premium for the experienced crew. Wednesday morning, August 5th, offers another solid session with 5ft SE, 13-second swell in clean conditions.
After that, the second week fades into smaller swells and mostly poor conditions. There’s a tease on Sunday, August 9th with 6ft SE swell but only marginal conditions.
Best bets: Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th of July, and Tuesday morning, August 4th. The rest is either too small, too messy, or too big for most.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Fri morning, light winds from the SW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NNW 7 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SE 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SE 14 | SE 13 | NE 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 679 | 722 | 749 | 983 | 1703 | 2270 | 1126 | 1098 | 789 | 635 | 495 | 366 | 778 | 1688 | 2342 | 159 | 475 | 145 | 66 | 61 | 34 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 5:26PM1.93m | 5:23AM1.86m | 6:11PM1.96m | 6:11AM1.89m | 6:52PM1.98m | 6:55AM1.93m | 7:31PM2.01m | 7:36AM1.95m | 8:08PM2.03m | 8:15AM1.95m | 8:47PM2.04m | 8:55AM1.94m | 9:26PM2.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:06AM0.66m | 11:32PM0.77m | 11:52AM0.63m | 00:18AM0.72m | 12:34PM0.58m | 1:02AM0.66m | 1:15PM0.53m | 1:44AM0.60m | 1:54PM0.47m | 2:26AM0.53m | 2:34PM0.43m | 3:08AM0.47m | 3:14PM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 10 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | SSE 10 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | NW 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | W 5 |
| kJ | 679 | 722 | 537 | 983 | 1703 | 1541 | 1126 | 1098 | 789 | 635 | 495 | 366 | 355 | 283 | 170 | 106 | 475 | 503 | 401 | 281 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | ESE 13 | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | S 19 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 16 | SE 16 | NW 8 | NW 7 | W 5 | SSE 16 |
| kJ | 179 | 217 | 749 | 508 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 37 | 35 | 159 | 151 | 145 | 54 | 23 | 48 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 19 | NE 19 | NE 18 | ENE 18 | NE 18 | E 11 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | NE 15 |
| kJ | 57 | 33 | 17 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 31 | 48 | 63 | 123 | 66 | 61 | 34 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SE 13 | — | — | — | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NW 8 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | SSW 6 | S 12 | WSW 5 | S 11 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 552 | 742 | 1555 | 1400 | 826 | 2270 | — | — | — | 14 | 8 | 88 | 778 | 1688 | 2342 | 1119 | 113 | 2502 | 7 | 2041 | 823 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 67 | 122 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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