Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 13s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, ESE swell with 2,717 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty comin’ at ya from right here, lookin’ at the whole 16-day picture for Te Araroa. This place is a beach and point setup, consistent, and it likes a NE swell. Water temp? Feelin’ about average for this time of year.
The first few days are a bit of a bust, to be honest. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd are real small, with weak energy and funky wind. You’d be wastin’ wax.
Friday the 24th ain’t much better, just a messy, choppy cross-shore with a weak little 2ft, 9-second E swell. By Saturday the 25th, the energy jumps up, but that 8ft NW swell is short-period and lumpy with a fresh breeze. It’s a bit of a dog.
Now, here’s where it gets good. The real standout is Monday the 27th of July. That’s the one. We got a clean 6ft ESE groundswell with a lovely 13-second period, and a solid offshore wind. The energy is pumpin’. It’s right in the sweet spot for experienced surfers. Tuesday the 28th is on the bigger side at 8ft from the same ESE direction, but that strong southerly wind is gonna make it a wrestle, so Monday gets my pick for the best early call.
Then we hit Wednesday the 29th of July, and wow. Glassy conditions, 8ft ESE groundswell at 12 seconds. That is a heavy, beautiful, clean beast. This is one for the experienced crew only. Thursday the 30th pushes even bigger, to a solid 10ft from the same direction with a clean offshore breeze. That’s a serious, powerful day for the top dogs only.
The first week of August stays solid. There’s a good run through the weekend and into Monday the 3rd, with clean offshore winds and dropping swell, from 6ft down to a more manageable 4ft. The quality stays high.
The second week looks a bit more unsettled. Tuesday the 4th of August and Wednesday the 5th show a shift to a short-period NNW swell with cross-shore winds, making for some messy, choppy conditions. And on August the 5th, it gets ridiculously big – a 13ft NNW swell. That’s too much for Te Araroa. Thursday the 6th looks similar, another 13ft pulse, this time from the SE, but same deal – too big and messy for a good paddle.
So, if you’re lockin’ in a day, Monday the 27th of July is the smart bet for good, clean size without it bein’ a total monster. For the true big-wave hunters, Wednesday the 29th of July is where the magic is.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Sun morning, strong winds from the S by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | E 8 | E 9 | E 12 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | E 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 168 | 55 | 42 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 78 | 322 | 690 | 604 | 695 | 151 | 246 | 427 | 965 | 1144 | 1823 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:24AM2.05m | 12:54PM1.94m | 1:10AM1.99m | 1:46PM1.90m | 1:56AM1.93m | 2:39PM1.88m | 2:45AM1.88m | 3:36PM1.88m | 3:38AM1.85m | 4:34PM1.90m | 4:32AM1.84m | 5:26PM1.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:47AM0.51m | 7:03PM0.64m | 7:35AM0.57m | 7:58PM0.71m | 8:26AM0.62m | 8:54PM0.76m | 9:20AM0.66m | 9:50PM0.79m | 10:15AM0.67m | 10:42PM0.79m | 11:06AM0.66m | 11:32PM0.77m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 8 | E 9 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | NW 9 | WNW 8 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
| kJ | 168 | 96 | 37 | 26 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 46 | 78 | 322 | 342 | 287 | 695 | 183 | 246 | 427 | 965 | 1144 | 1823 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | E 13 | ESE 11 | SE 18 | SE 17 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | E 12 | NW 7 | NW 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 55 | 42 | 25 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 10 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 77 | 130 | 121 | 174 | 67 | 55 | 680 | 648 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | NW 9 | E 4 | E 5 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 11 | S 9 | SE 13 | ESE 13 | E 11 | E 11 | NW 7 | — | — | NW 8 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 184 | 151 | 65 | — | — | 22 | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 8 | — | SSE 9 | SSE 7 | SSE 10 | W 6 | W 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 12 | 36 | 310 | 690 | 604 | 477 | — | 161 | 588 | 778 | 16 | 80 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 121 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 121 | 67 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 47 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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