
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SE swell with 3,502 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 5.5m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Te Araroa over the next couple of weeks.
First off, it's a pretty slow start. The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year at 59°F, so nothing unusual there. The first few days are a bit of a write-off. We've got a tiny bit of swell on Tuesday afternoon, but it's coming from the north with a short period, and while the wind is light cross-off, it’s just not enough to get excited about. Wednesday and Thursday are pretty ordinary with cross-shore and cross-on winds messing up the weak, short-period swell. Friday actually sees some height, with waves hitting 7ft, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore, making it a choppy, messy affair. That’s not really surfable for anyone.
Then we get a bit of a break. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th offer some cleaner conditions with cross-off winds on Saturday and offshore winds on Sunday, but the swell is inconsistent and small, around 4ft to 5ft. It’s rideable, but nothing to write home about. Then Monday the 17th drops off completely with no swell at all. This is a bit of a flat spell, but it doesn't look like it'll last.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Mark your calendars for Tuesday the 18th of August. That’s the standout. We’ve got a proper SE groundswell rolling in, hitting 10ft with a long period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 2244, which is very strong. The wind is a light cross-off in the morning, cleaning it up nicely. This is big, powerful stuff. For the experienced surfers at Te Araroa, this is going to be excellent. The north-east facing break is perfect for this swell direction. Just be aware, with a 10ft swell, this is not for beginners; it’s expert territory. The afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore, still holding at 8ft.
After that peak, it drops off again. Wednesday and Thursday are flat. But then Friday the 21st of August brings back some clean, fun-sized waves. The morning has a 4ft SE swell with a light offshore wind, and the afternoon gets even better – glassy conditions with a 4ft SE swell. The combined energy is moderate (251-302), but the clean conditions will make for a lovely session.
The following week is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell is small, with the occasional pulse, but the periods are long, which can mean the waves are a bit too straight for the beach break. The water will be glassy on the morning of Tuesday the 25th, but with only 1ft of swell, you’ll be hard-pressed to find a wave. The rest of the week is small and clean, but frankly, it’s a bit of a frustrating wait for any real energy.
So, to wrap it up: the absolute best on offer is Tuesday the 18th of August. The combination of a strong, long-period groundswell and clean offshore winds is a proper treat. The next best bet is the clean, glassy surf on Friday the 21st. Everything else is just small or messy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu night, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Fri night, strong winds from the S by Sun afternoon). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | SE 12 | SE 10 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
168 | 215 | 135 | 167 | 250 | 157 | 173 | 269 | 357 | 420 | 189 | 170 | 257 | 295 | 232 | 108 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 5:19PM2.18m | 5:30AM2.06m | 6:14PM2.27m | 6:28AM2.08m | 7:05PM2.30m | 7:24AM2.10m | 7:53PM2.28m | 8:15AM2.12m | 8:41PM2.22m | 9:04AM2.11m | 9:29PM2.15m | 9:52AM2.08m | 10:17PM2.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:32PM0.59m | 11:51AM0.39m | 00:32AM0.53m | 12:44PM0.36m | 1:27AM0.45m | 1:38PM0.35m | 2:19AM0.39m | 2:31PM0.36m | 3:08AM0.36m | 3:21PM0.38m | 3:54AM0.35m | 4:09PM0.42m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | — | — | SSE 12 |
168 | 215 | 135 | 104 | 163 | 157 | 173 | 74 | 41 | 420 | 189 | 170 | 257 | 295 | 232 | 108 | 43 | — | — | 3287 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 10 | NE 11 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 8 | N 11 | — | — | — |
174 | 103 | 54 | 167 | 250 | 120 | 95 | 17 | 18 | 65 | 118 | 119 | 106 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 2 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 14 | NE 11 | NNW 13 | SSE 8 | NW 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | ESE 11 | — | — | — | — |
7 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 30 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SSE 4 | ESE 4 | E 5 | — | — | — | NE 6 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 |
163 | 21 | 12 | 27 | — | — | — | 269 | 357 | — | — | — | — | — | 126 | 877 | 2245 | 2646 | 2745 | 8188 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 47 | 166 | 18 | 18 | 47 | 79 | 79 | 47 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 39 | 47 | 6 | 243 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











