
Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period, ESE swell with 1,498 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. First up, we’ve got a solid pulse of energy coming through Te Araroa, a beach and point setup that’s exposed and consistent, with a NE optimum swell direction. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
The real standout is the Friday morning, July 17th. Glassy conditions, no wind, and a nice 6ft ESE swell rolling in with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy is pumping at 1498 (moderate to strong). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers – the point will be handling that long-period energy beautifully, with clean, lined-up waves. It’s a bit much for beginners at that size, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the best on offer by a long shot.
Friday afternoon holds up just as well, still glassy, 6ft from the ESE, 15-second period, energy at 1423. More of the same goodness.
Saturday the 18th drops off a bit. Morning has 5ft ESE swell but a cross-off wind from the west at 12 mph, which will put a bit of bump on the surface. Score is marginal. The afternoon is better, 5ft from the SE with lighter cross-off wind, cleaner, and more surfable.
Sunday the 19th is a nice little run. Morning is glassy again, 4ft SE swell with a 13-second period, energy at 509. Very good conditions. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-off breeze.
Monday the 20th is still rideable, but the swell is fading. Morning glassy with 3ft SE swell, then the afternoon goes flat with 3ft and glassy conditions. Ordinary.
From Tuesday the 21st through to Thursday the 24th, it’s a real dry spell. Swell drops below 2ft, wind is messy, and the energy values are in the dumps (down to 27). Just a few days of nothing worth paddling out for.
Then we get a pulse on Saturday the 25th of July – 7ft from the NNW, but it’s a short-period wind swell (7-8 seconds) and the wind is howling onshore or cross-shore. Energy is there (603-845), but it’s messy, lumpy, and poor quality. This setup would be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Sunday the 26th cleans up nicely. Morning has 6ft NW swell with cross-off wind, very good conditions. The afternoon gets a bit marginal with a risk of storms and a cross-wind, but the morning window is solid.
From Monday the 27th through to Thursday the 30th, the swell fades again but stays clean. A few days of 3ft to 4ft with offshore or cross-off winds, good for a fun session if you’re not chasing size.
Friday the 31st of July throws a curveball. Morning is small and clean, but the afternoon brings a 10ft NW swell with a short 8-second period. The energy is high at 1524, but the wind is light cross-shore, and the period is short, so it’ll be fat and lumpy. Marginal.
Saturday the 1st of August finishes with a glassy 3ft SE swell, 14-second period, energy at 377. Good, clean conditions to wrap things up.
So, bottom line: the best bet is Friday the 17th of July, morning or afternoon, for that long-period ESE groundswell with glassy winds. After that, keep an eye on Sunday the 19th morning and Sunday the 26th morning for solid, clean surf. The second week is smaller and more inconsistent, but there are still a few clean windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1498 | 1423 | 1190 | 947 | 811 | 607 | 509 | 424 | 324 | 205 | 177 | 130 | 82 | 82 | 58 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 34 | 30 | 18 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:06PM2.36m | 9:25AM2.17m | 9:57PM2.28m | 10:17AM2.12m | 10:47PM2.19m | 11:09AM2.06m | 11:36PM2.11m | 12:02PM2.00m | 00:24AM2.05m | 12:54PM1.94m | 1:10AM1.99m | 1:46PM1.90m | 1:56AM1.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:50PM0.35m | 3:31AM0.45m | 3:42PM0.39m | 4:22AM0.43m | 4:33PM0.45m | 5:11AM0.43m | 5:23PM0.51m | 5:59AM0.46m | 6:12PM0.57m | 6:47AM0.51m | 7:03PM0.64m | 7:35AM0.57m | 7:58PM0.71m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 8 |
1498 | 1423 | 1190 | 947 | 811 | 607 | 509 | 424 | 324 | 205 | 177 | 130 | 82 | 82 | 37 | 83 | 81 | 68 | 93 | 90 | 35 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | SSE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 20 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | WNW 4 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 10 |
7 | 9 | 68 | 37 | 24 | 89 | 61 | 33 | 5 | 22 | 27 | 227 | 216 | 197 | 58 | 29 | 27 | 6 | 34 | 30 | 19 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 5 | S 5 | WNW 5 | — | S 26 | SSE 23 | SSE 23 | SSE 22 | SSE 16 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | N 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 14 | N 9 | S 15 | ESE 10 | WNW 4 | N 10 | SE 11 |
5 | 8 | 14 | — | 13 | 401 | 296 | 91 | 26 | 38 | 73 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 18 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | — | WNW 4 | W 4 | SSW 3 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 |
— | — | — | 72 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | 39 | 33 | — | 13 | 39 | 3 | — | 1 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 116 | 18 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.










