Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NW swell with 720 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 9s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 8s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, with the lowdown on Te Araroa. This beach and point break works best with a NE swell, and the water’s running about normal for this time of year. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a rollercoaster, so let’s get into it.
The first real action hits Sunday, August 30th. The morning’s packing a clean 8ft NE swell, with light cross-off winds smoothing things out. The combined energy’s a solid 765, and the period’s short at 8 seconds, so expect punchy, fun waves. By the afternoon, it drops to 5ft from the NE, still clean, with energy at 639. Good day overall, but the wind’s staying cross-off, not glassy.
From Monday, August 31st, through Wednesday, September 4th, it’s a flat spell. Swells stay under 2ft, and the wind’s blowing hard from the W and WNW at 15 to 18 mph or more. That’s about five days of nothing—energy numbers barely hitting 100.
Come Thursday, September 5th, things perk up again, but it’s rough. Friday the 6th shows a 7ft NW swell with 392 energy, period at 7 seconds, and cross-shore winds at 15 mph stirring up chop. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 10ft NW with 907 energy, and the wind’s gusting to 18 mph from the NW, making it lumpy and messy. Over 8ft is expert-only, and this is no exception.
The real standout shows up on Tuesday, September 10th, and Wednesday, September 11th. We’re talking 12ft NW swell with periods of 8 to 9 seconds, and energy numbers hitting 1655 and 1990. That’s strong to very strong energy, but the forecast says it’s too big for Te Araroa. The wind’s cross-on or cross, and conditions are rough—only seasoned pros should even think about it. For kites, maybe, but not for paddling.
After that, it fades. Saturday, September 14th, morning has a tiny 2ft NNE swell with clean offshore winds from the S at 9 mph, but energy’s weak at 51. It’s surfable but nothing special. The rest of the second week is flat and dull.
The best bet is Sunday, August 30th. That morning’s 8ft NE swell with clean cross-off winds is your window. It’s not world-class, but it’s clean, consistent, and the break is beginner-friendly. Crowds are never a problem here. The afternoon’s still decent at 5ft, but the morning’s the winner. For the brave, the big stuff on the 10th and 11th is there, but it’s a mess—leave it to the madmen.
Keep your head up, and don’t force it when it’s not there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the W by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
737 | 338 | 276 | 41 | 33 | 68 | 59 | 45 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 415 | 299 | 423 | 492 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:13PM2.04m | 8:30AM1.97m | 8:54PM2.02m | 9:12AM1.99m | 9:39PM2.00m | 9:57AM2.00m | 10:26PM1.98m | 10:46AM1.99m | 11:14PM1.98m | 11:39AM1.98m | 00:05AM1.98m | 12:38PM1.96m | 00:59AM1.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:05PM0.40m | 2:38AM0.36m | 2:49PM0.39m | 3:20AM0.32m | 3:34PM0.40m | 4:03AM0.32m | 4:20PM0.43m | 4:47AM0.34m | 5:09PM0.47m | 5:36AM0.39m | 6:02PM0.53m | 6:28AM0.44m | 7:01PM0.58m | ||||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | WNW 7 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ENE 10 | WNW 7 | NW 6 |
737 | 338 | 276 | 41 | 33 | 68 | 140 | 145 | 263 | 196 | 123 | 83 | 81 | 56 | 25 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 10 | 230 | 80 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | NNW 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | NE 9 | SSE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SSE 12 | NE 9 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | SSE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
21 | 287 | 81 | 40 | 21 | 73 | 59 | 45 | 260 | 12 | 61 | 59 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | WNW 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 9 | SE 16 | N 12 | N 12 | NE 9 | SSE 18 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | N 11 | N 11 | SE 11 | N 10 | SE 11 | S 11 | ENE 10 | SSE 9 | S 8 |
11 | 62 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 3 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | — | W 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 7 | — | — |
— | 3 | 426 | 663 | 858 | 865 | 461 | 443 | — | 182 | 193 | 350 | 411 | 424 | 415 | 299 | 423 | 492 | 348 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 127 | 67 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 67 | 67 | 56 | 73 | 115 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.











