Surf Forecasts:
Te Araroa surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, ESE swell with 1,423 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Te Araroa this week:
The surf forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Te Araroa in the next 16 days are 1.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Te Araroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Te Araroa. This is a beach and point setup that’s consistent, exposed, and picks up swell best from the NE. Clean conditions are going to be the key here, and there’s a few windows that’ll get the pulse going.
The first real stand-out is Friday the 17th of July. You’ve got a 5ft to 6ft swell running from the ESE with a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, pushing a lot of energy (1279 to 1423). The wind is glassy in the morning, then switching to a light cross-off in the arvo. That’s clean, lined-up surf, but with that long period, it’s going to be better on the point section at Te Araroa, not so much the beach. The break is consistent, so you’ll get plenty of waves. Water temps are about average for the time of year, nothing weird. This is the top pick for experienced surfers – the size is over 5ft, so it’s not for beginners.
The following week, there’s another promising window on Tuesday the 21st of July. The morning shows a 5ft SE swell with a shorter period of 8 seconds, but combined energy is solid (571), and it’s clean with a light cross-off. That’s a good bet for a fun session, and with the shorter period it’ll be more user-friendly on the beach. Wednesday the 22nd of July morning is also looking tidy with a 6ft SE swell at 10 seconds, again clean (614 energy). That’s a decent run of surf.
Looking further out, Monday the 27th of July has a 3ft swell from the SE with a very long 17 second period, and it’s glassy. That’s a beautiful morning for a sleek, long-period wave, but the energy is moderate (802), so it’ll be cleaner on the point. The Tuesday the 28th of July ramps up again with a 6ft to 6ft SE swell, period 12 to 13 seconds, and energy over 1000, but the wind turns cross-on, so the quality is marginal. That one is for the keen.
Apart from these, there’s a lot of days with poor surf or very ordinary conditions, especially through the first week. The run from the 14th to the 16th is a write-off – small, short period, choppy, no good. There’s a gap of a few days after the 17th before the next proper call on the 21st. The second week has more surf, but it’s mixed with onshore winds, so don’t expect perfection.
Overall, Friday the 17th is the standout. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are solid secondary options. The rest is waiting for that clean window.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the S by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | ESE 13 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 64 | 87 | 127 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 56 | 167 | 464 | 1018 | 1225 | 1423 | 1238 | 961 | 731 | 540 | 400 | 418 | 514 | 243 | 174 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 5:48AM2.18m | 6:34PM2.33m | 6:46AM2.21m | 7:26PM2.39m | 7:41AM2.21m | 8:16PM2.40m | 8:34AM2.20m | 9:06PM2.36m | 9:25AM2.17m | 9:57PM2.28m | 10:17AM2.12m | 10:47PM2.19m | 11:09AM2.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:49PM0.62m | 12:12PM0.42m | 00:48AM0.58m | 1:06PM0.36m | 1:46AM0.54m | 1:58PM0.34m | 2:40AM0.49m | 2:50PM0.35m | 3:31AM0.45m | 3:42PM0.39m | 4:22AM0.43m | 4:33PM0.45m | 5:11AM0.43m | 5:23PM0.51m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 |
mm | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 15 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SSE 8 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 64 | 47 | 26 | 58 | 66 | 62 | 33 | 167 | 464 | 1018 | 1225 | 1423 | 1238 | 961 | 731 | 540 | 400 | 418 | 514 | 256 | 174 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | ESE 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ESE 13 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SSE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | SSE 22 | S 17 | ESE 12 | SSE 19 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 44 | 206 | 73 | 45 | 55 | 9 | 45 | 6 | 243 | 36 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 11 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 10 | W 5 | SSE 8 | NW 6 | — | S 19 | SSE 8 | SSE 23 | WNW 5 | S 21 | S 20 | N 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 34 | 53 | 15 | — | 7 | 37 | 101 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | S 5 | S 8 | — | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | — | SSE 6 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 16 | 87 | 127 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 42 | 16 | 31 | 88 | 4 | 273 | — | 14 | 44 | — | 186 | 450 | 168 | 970 | 426 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 91 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 242 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 39 |
Best forecast wave conditions in East Cape | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Te Araroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Te Araroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Te Araroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Te Araroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Te Araroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Te Araroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in East Cape? If you are looking for accommodation near Te Araroa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in East Cape, consider staying in Gisborne which is 119 km (74 miles) away.
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