Te Araroa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk waves, or lack of them. The next 16 days are looking lean for Te Araroa. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf and messy winds. Honestly, there’s nothing here that’s gonna get you too excited. The energy levels are mostly weak, and we’re looking at a long, flat spell with only a couple of brief flashes of something rideable. There's a massive gap with no real surf on offer from now all the way through the 21st. You’re gonna want to find something else to do for the next week and a half.

For the early part, it’s all small and poor. On Friday the 11th, we’ve got 1ft of northeast swell, but with winds all over the place. The water temp is sitting around 58°F and that’s about average for this time of year, so no surprises on the thermometer. Saturday the 12th has some clean morning conditions with a light offshore, but the swell is still anemic at 1ft and the energy is weak. Sunday sees that swell shrink even more, and the energy just drops out. It’s really not worth paddling out for any of this.

The whole stretch through to the 21st is just a write-off. We’re looking at waves under 3ft, if that, with a lot of poor conditions, cross-shore winds, and just nothing doing. There’s a brief window on the 15th where a 5ft WNW swell rolls in, but it’s short-period, just 5 seconds, and the energy is only moderate, plus it’s cross-onshore. Not worth the effort. The 17th has a little 3ft bump but again, chopped up. This whole week plus is a bust.

Now, I’m gonna tell you about the one thing that actually caught my eye. We’re looking at Tuesday the 22nd, morning. This is the standout of the whole period, and honestly, it’s the only thing with any real promise. There’s a 5ft swell coming from the northwest with a strong energy reading, the strongest we see in this whole forecast. It’s still a short-period swell at 8 seconds, but with glassy conditions, that could set up some fun, clean waves at this beach and point break. The winds are light, which is a massive plus. It’s not a giant day, but compared to everything else, it’s the one to watch. Keep your fingers crossed the forecast holds; it's a while away, so don’t book the day off work just yet.

Beyond that, it’s back to the flatness and poor conditions through the 26th. There are some clean mornings here and there, but the swell is just gone. It’s the kind of long, blank run that can happen in this area, but given Te Araroa is usually consistent, I wouldn’t expect this to last forever. Keep an eye on the charts, because things can change.

This is Rusty, signing off. Keep the faith.

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