Te Araroa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Te Araroa over the next sixteen days.

Right off the bat, the water temp is sittin’ around 58°, which is pretty much average for this time of year – nothin’ to write home about, just your standard autumn cool.

The forecast starts quiet, real quiet. From now through to Thursday the 17th, it’s pretty much a write-off. We’ve got tiny swell and poor surf conditions with cross-onshore or cross-shore winds making a mess of things. You’d be better off stayin’ home. There’s a few days of nothin’ worth paddling out for.

Then things start to look up. Friday the 18th morning is where it gets interesting. We get a nice 3ft swell from the southeast with a 13 second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The wind is offshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so clean lines. The combined energy is a solid 838 (moderate energy). This is the standout session of the whole run. The break is a beach and point setup, and with that long period, the point should offer up some nice shaped waves, though at a beach break it might be a bit straight. Still, it’s the best on offer. The crowds? This spot says “never,” so you might have it to yourself.

Saturday the 19th keeps the fun rolling with a smaller 3ft southeast swell in the morning, offshore wind from the SW at 9 mph. Clean and fun. The energy drops to 277, so still moderate. It’s a good backup.

After that, from Sunday the 20th through to Thursday the 24th, it fades away again. Tiny waves, glassy mornings but no real push. Just long flat spells.

Now, later on, things get a bit more interesting again. Friday the 25th afternoon has a 2ft ESE swell with a 13 second period, and the wind goes glassy – calm, dead flat. That’ll be clean as a whistle. Combined energy of 211. Worth a look if you’re keen.

And then – and this is a big one but it’s a long way off – Tuesday the 29th morning. The models are sayin’ an 12ft swell from the northwest, but the comment says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. The combined energy is a massive 1932 (strong energy), but honestly, that’s for experts only, if anyone. So keep that in the back of your mind, but don’t book your flights yet. The wind is offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, so it’ll be clean – but it’s a beast.

Overall, the real standout is Friday the 18th morning. That’s your best chance for a proper session with clean, surfable waves and nobody else around.

Rusty.

Read more