Weld Road Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, we’ve got one spot on the radar for the next 16 days, and it’s a bit of a beast. Weld Road is the only game in town, and it’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent when the conditions line up. Right now, though, the ocean is pumping with serious energy, and for most of the window, it’s just too much of a good thing—this wave is gonna be well overhead and thumping. You’ll need to be on your game, and even then, only the most experienced crew should be looking at it.

Let’s kick off on Tuesday the 1st of September. We’re straight into the deep end: a 18 ft swell from the WSW with a 13-second period, hammering in with 10666 combined energy (strong to very strong). The wind is a cross-offshore SW breeze at 22 mph, which would normally have the place looking perfect, but the wave is just too big for a reef like this—it’s an expert-only zone. Water temp is sitting about average for the time of year.

Wednesday the 2nd sees the swell drop a touch to 12 ft in the morning, still packing 3926 energy (very strong), with cross-shore wind creating a bit of chop. By the afternoon, the quality goes south with cross-onshore wind, and the surf gets messy. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are write-offs—rain, lumpy conditions, and onshore winds turning it into a washing machine. Saturday the 5th might look tempting with a 13 ft WSW swell and 6586 energy, but the cross-shore wind and sheer size make it a no-go for most.

Sunday the 6th is a shocker—heavy rain and strong onshore winds up to 25 mph with 10 ft of bumpy surf. Monday the 7th brings the biggest pulse of the whole run: a 18 ft WSW swell with a 15-second period and 11657 energy (very strong), but again, the cross-off wind keeps it clean while the size keeps it out of reach. Then on Tuesday the 8th, we get a golden moment. The morning is glassy—zero wind—with a 12 ft WSW swell and 4840 energy. That’s still a solid wave, but with the calm conditions, the reef will be offering up some truly beautiful, long lines. It’s still big for most, but for the experienced surfer, this is the standout of the whole outlook. The afternoon gets a bit of cross-onshore breeze and drops to a 3/10 call, so don’t sleep in.

From Wednesday the 9th, it gets bleak. Swell drops to 6 ft, but the wind turns onshore and lumpy, and there’s a run of days with poor surf right through to the 15th. Thursday the 10th has a massive 21-second period swell at 7 ft with a fresh offshore SSE breeze—sounds good, but the energy is 5035 (very strong) and the wave is still big, and the call is “marginal.” The 11th offers a 10 ft clean wave with cross-off wind, but 6114 energy and the size again steps it into expert territory. Saturday the 12th morning is glassy again with a 12 ft WSW swell—another beautiful, clean look, but only for the brave.

After that, the second week gets sloppy. Sunday the 13th through to Wednesday the 16th sees persistent cross-onshore winds, rain, and messy surf with swells ranging from 8 ft to 15 ft but all with poor conditions. The last few days of the run are a write-off with strong onshore wind and heavy rain—not worth paddling out.

To wrap it up: the only standout is Tuesday the 8th of September in the morning—glassy, clean, and a solid 12 ft swell from the WSW at Weld Road. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Everything else is either too big, too messy, or just not worth the paddle. Keep an eye on the forecasts though—things can change.

Rusty.

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