Fitzroy Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, this is Rusty. We’ve got a solid 16-day window to look at here, and the main attraction is definitely Fitzroy Beach – it’s the only break on the radar, and it’s got the goods for a good chunk of the period. The water’s sitting around 57°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. Let’s get into it.

The first real action kicks off late in the week, but there’s a bit of a slow start. Thursday the 13th has some swell, but the wind is messy and cross-off, so it’s not the best bet. Things get going properly on Friday the 14th. The morning is looking tidy with a 4ft swell from WSW, a solid 16-second period giving it some real grunt, and clean conditions with light offshore SE wind. The combined wave energy is moderate (1035) and the setup is good for intermediate surfers. The afternoon drops a bit in size (3ft) but stays clean with a long period (18 seconds) and light cross-off wind. Good, solid surf.

Now, Saturday the 15th is where it gets proper. We’re talking a solid 7ft swell in the morning, jumping to 7ft in the afternoon, both from the WSW with a 17 and 16-second period. That’s real groundswell energy. The combined energy is off the charts – 2382 in the morning and 2662 in the afternoon. This is clean surf with light cross-off wind. It’s getting into expert territory size-wise, especially in the arvo, and there’s a note about it being excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the top pick of the outlook.

Sunday the 16th sees the same size swell (7ft) hanging around, but the wind cranks up to a fresh 22 mph offshore. The forecast says marginal due to the wind, but it will be clean and lined up. It’s a bit of a wild card – good for the brave. Monday the 17th drops back to a more manageable 5ft in the morning with light wind and clean conditions, but the afternoon gets chopped up by a moderate cross-shore wind. Tuesday the 18th repeats the pattern – a clean 5ft morning with a moderate 14-second period and light wind.

The real standout after Saturday is Wednesday the 19th. The afternoon shows a 6ft swell from WSW at a 16-second period, clean as a whistle with very light cross-off wind from the SSW. The energy is decent (1362) and it’s marked as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s another killer session.

From the 20th onwards, the quality starts to fade. The mornings are still clean and rideable (4ft to 5ft), but the afternoons get cross-onshore and choppy. The wind goes wrong and the swell backs off. From the 22nd right through to the 27th, it’s mostly a write-off – onshore wind, chop, and poor conditions. The swell is small, the energy is weak, and it’s a bit of a flat and messy run.

Then, a wild card shows up on Friday the 28th. The morning has a massive 13ft swell from the west at a 10-second period, with glassy conditions and no wind. The combined energy is huge (3664). The problem? The surf forecast itself says the swell is predicted to be too big for Fitzroy Beach. This is a serious, heavy, expert-only situation if it comes together, but at that size and short period, it’s going to be a washing machine for anyone but the absolute best. It’s a long-range note, so keep an eye on it, but be real careful.

In summary, the best surf on offer is Saturday the 15th for a solid, powerful groundswell with clean conditions, and Wednesday the 19th afternoon for a slightly smaller but equally clean session. The rest of the window has a few fun mornings, but those two days are the ones to circle. There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the 22nd to the 27th, so make the most of the good ones.

Rusty.

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