Fitzroy Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been lookin’ hard at what’s comin’ our way. Right now, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start, but the next couple of weeks have some serious potential if you know when to paddle out. Let’s get into it.

We’re kicking off with nothin’ much on the menu for the first few days. Wednesday the 22nd is a write-off with a messy cross-shore wind and a weak 5ft swell from the WSW that’s all over the shop. The combined energy is only 318 – weak and unappealing. Thursday the 23rd looks a bit better with a solid 4ft groundswell, but it’s a cross-off/onshore mess and the tide’s tricky. You’ll be fightin’ the conditions, not enjoyin’ ’em. Friday the 24th is a hard pass – big onshore winds and a bloated 10ft NW swell that’s short period (8 seconds) and lumpy. That’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

The real action starts to build from Saturday the 25th, but be careful what you wish for. The swell jumps to 15ft from the WSW with a combined energy of 3839 – that’s strong stuff. The wind is a cross-shore breeze, so it’s gonna be a raw, powerful day. This is strictly for experts only. The swell is way too big for beginners or intermediates. Sunday the 26th is when we start to see the payoff. The morning brings a 8ft W swell with a 15-second period – that’s long-period groundswell, full of energy and shape. The wind is offshore from the SE, makin’ for clean, peelin’ waves at Fitzroy Beach. The combined energy is 3151, so there’s plenty of punch. This is a standout for experienced surfers. The crowd factor is ‘often’, so expect company, but it’s worth it.

Monday the 27th is another beauty. The morning session is the pick of the whole forecast: 7ft from the W, 13-second period, and glassy conditions with barely a breath of wind. The combined energy is 1606, and the waves will be clean, lined up, and forgiving. This is the best on offer for the near term. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore, so get in early.

The second week has some promising windows but comes with a bit more uncertainty. Tuesday the 28th is small – 3ft – but clean, so a longboard session is on the cards. Wednesday the 29th sees a 8ft swell buildin’, but the wind turns cross-onshore, so it’s choppy. Thursday the 30th is a monster swell again – 15ft to 16ft with combined energy over 4000 – that’s too big for this break, and the wind is cross-shore. Only for the brave. Friday the 31st is a redemption day: 10ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, and a light offshore wind from the SSE. Clean, powerful, and for experts only. The weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August settles down to 6ft to 8ft swells, with consistent cross-off winds. Good for intermediates, but not a standout.

The last few days of the forecast, around the 4th and 5th of August, we see another pulse of big swell – 13ft on the 4th – but it’s too big again. The 5th and 6th mellow out to 4ft to 6ft clean swells, perfect for a morning surf.

The water temperature at Fitzroy Beach is 59°F with a 1° anomaly, so it’s about average for the time of year – pretty standard for a winter dip.

All in all, your best bets are the morning of Monday the 27th for glassy, clean waves, and the afternoon of Sunday the 26th for bigger, more powerful groundswell. After that, keep an eye on the 31st of July for a clean, strong session. The long-range stuff around the 4th to 6th of August is promising but less certain – forecasts can change.

Stay stoked, and don’t get caught inside on the big days.

Rusty.

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