Fitzroy Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Fitzroy Beach over the coming weeks.

The first proper surf shows up on Sunday the 16th, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag to start. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell pushing in from the WSW with a very long 15 second period, which means proper groundswell energy and power – the combined energy is a hefty 2424, so there’s a fair bit of water moving. The wind is a fresh SSE offshore, keeping things clean. It’s rated as marginal though, likely due to tide issues, so don’t expect perfection. Water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.

Monday the 17th is a step down in size to 5ft, but the wind stays kind with a gentle cross-offshore breeze. The long period (15 seconds) is still there, giving the waves shape and punch. It’s clean and should be fairly consistent. Tuesday the 18th morning is more of the same with 5ft swell and light cross-off winds, but the afternoon turns ugly with a WSW cross-shore wind making it messy.

The real standout in this first week is Wednesday the 19th through to Thursday the 20th morning. On Wednesday we get 5ft and 4ft swells with light to near-glass winds out of the SSE. The combined energy sits around 1028 to 1104, which is moderate but with that WSW direction (right in the sweet spot) and clean conditions, it will be worth a paddle. Then Thursday morning is absolute gold – glassy conditions, zero wind, and a 5ft groundswell at 14 seconds. That’s the pick of the first week, no doubt. The water is calm, waves are clean, and it’ll be a joy.

Thursday afternoon and Friday see the quality drop off fast with onshore winds and choppy, poor surf. From Friday through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s pretty grim – onshore slop with rain showers and gusty winds. Saturday morning even has a short period windswell of 6ft at just 7 seconds – not worth your time.

Now, the second week gets interesting again but comes with a warning. Monday the 24th sees a big jump in size: 10ft to 12ft from the west, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s serious energy (5242 to 5933). This is expert-only territory. The wind is cross-shore to cross-onshore, so it’ll be lumpy and tough. Only for the brave and experienced. That big groundswell will be breaking straight at the beach – points and reefs would be better, but we only have Fitzroy Beach here.

Tuesday the 25th through Wednesday the 26th stay big (7ft to 10ft) but the wind swings onshore and it’s messy, with rain and even a risk of thunderstorms on Wednesday arvo. Not a good time.

The final weekend starts to look promising again. Saturday the 29th is a nice setup: 6ft to 7ft swell, offshore winds, and clean conditions. The period drops to 7-8 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell, but the offshore breeze will keep it tidy. Combined energy is moderate at 773 to 1113. Then Sunday the 30th gets bigger again – 8ft to 10ft from the WNW with 10 second period and fresh offshore winds. It’ll be powerful and clean, but again, that’s bigger stuff only for experienced surfers.

Monday the 31st has a drop back to 5ft and then a tiny 3ft in the afternoon with a very long 18 second period – clean but small.

So overall, the top session is Thursday 20th morning with glassy conditions and solid 5ft groundswell. Wednesday 19th is also very good. The big swells on the 24th and 30th are for experts only. Avoid the 22nd to 26th unless you love choppy onshore mush.

Rusty.

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