
Surf Forecasts:
Matakana Island surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNW swell with 528 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Matakana Island this week:
The surf forecast for Matakana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Matakana Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Matakana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming down the pipe for Matakana Island.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a flat spell to get through. For the first few days, from Wednesday the 5th right through to Saturday the 8th, it’s all tiny dribble – knee-high at best, if that. You’d be better off cleaning the wax off your board or having a cold one. It’s clean, glassy even on Saturday morning, but there’s just no push. The combined swell energy is down in the teens and twenties, so that’s a dead quiet ocean.
Things finally wake up on Sunday the 9th, but it’s a rough start. The morning brings a chunky 7ft north swell with a short, wind-affected period of 7 seconds, and a stiff NNW crosswind chopping it up. That combined energy jumps hard, so there’s power, but it’s messy – better for the kite crew than paddle surfing. The afternoon is the real story, though. The wind swings offshore from the WNW, the swell pushes to 7ft from the NNW, period bumps to 8 seconds, and the energy rockets up. That’s a proper pulse of moderate-to-strong energy. The caveat is that kind of size is expert territory, and the short period means it’ll be a bit dumpy on the bank. Still, a clean, offshore, punchy 7ft wave is a standout if you’ve got the nerve for it.
Monday the 10th drops back to a much more manageable 4ft to 4ft from the north, period still short at 8 seconds. The wind stays clean and cross-offshore from the west. Energy drops. It’s surfable and clean, but very ordinary. Not a standout, just a solid grovel.
Tuesday the 11th is a write-off – onshore winds and rain. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th offer clean, glassy mornings with waist-high waves and light winds, but it’s nothing to write home about. Energy is low. Good for a longboard if you’re desperate.
Now, the real highlight of the whole run lands on Friday the 14th. The morning session delivers a clean, 7ft north swell, 8-second period, with a light offshore breeze from the SW. The combined energy is strong. That’s another solid, punchy, clean wave that will have the banks working. The afternoon gets a little cross-onshore, so the morning is the call. That Friday morning is the absolute pick of the 16 days for anyone who can handle a solid 6ft+ wave.
From Saturday the 15th onward, it fades fast. Saturday and Sunday the 16th see the swell drop to 3ft and then 1ft. The following week is essentially flat, with tiny, weak swells. A few days of clean conditions, but no power.
So, to sum it up: you sit through a dead flat first four days, get two solid expert-level pulses on Sunday the 9th afternoon and Friday the 14th morning, with a couple of clean but average days in between. The Friday morning is the true standout – 7ft, clean, offshore. Don’t miss it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 3°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat night, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | E 18 | NE 18 | E 6 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | N 4 | N 7 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
23 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 366 | 528 | 203 | 145 | 177 | 153 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:50PM1.76m | 11:19AM1.66m | 11:35PM1.74m | 12:09PM1.66m | 00:25AM1.72m | 1:03PM1.67m | 1:20AM1.70m | 2:03PM1.69m | 2:22AM1.69m | 3:07PM1.72m | 3:26AM1.70m | 4:11PM1.77m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:14AM0.23m | 5:29PM0.32m | 6:00AM0.23m | 6:19PM0.34m | 6:50AM0.23m | 7:14PM0.36m | 7:45AM0.23m | 8:15PM0.37m | 8:45AM0.22m | 9:19PM0.36m | 9:47AM0.19m | 10:25PM0.32m | |||||||
— | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 1 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ESE 4 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 16 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
23 | 22 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 319 | 203 | 145 | 177 | 153 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | SE 4 | E 15 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 16 | NE 10 | E 5 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | E 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 |
5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 18 | — | E 18 | NE 18 | E 9 | NE 10 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 6 | — | 6 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | SW 3 | S 3 | SE 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 7 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — |
25 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 366 | 528 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 146 | 50 | 146 | 114 | 114 | 159 | 114 | 114 | 207 | 121 | 114 | 130 | 198 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Matakana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Matakana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Matakana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Matakana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Matakana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Matakana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Matakana Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 15 km (9 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 65 km (40 miles) away, Cambridge, Hamilton and Whakatane.











