Surf Forecasts:
Maketu Bar surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with 639 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Maketu Bar this week:
The surf forecast for Maketu Bar over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Maketu Bar in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Maketu Bar over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. Rusty here with the long-range look for the Bay of Plenty.
Look, I’m not gonna beat around the bush – the next week and a half is a bit of a tough slog for surfers around here. There’s a lot of flat, or near-flat, days on the horizon. We’ve got a solid stretch from now until at least the 9th of August that’s just not worth paddling out for, with tiny, poor-condition waves and energy readings as low as 14. It’s a proper gap.
The main show, the only real glimmer of hope, kicks off on the 11th of August and builds through the middle of the month. The standout is Maketu Bar (Maketu-Bar). Now, this is a point break, and it’s an inconsistent setup, so when it comes alive, you gotta be on it.
The first session that gets my blood pumping is the afternoon of the 11th. The swell is a north 5ft with a period of 9 seconds, pushing an energy reading of 323. But the kicker? We’ve got a light, cross-offshore breeze from the SE. That is going to be clean. It’s a solid beginner to intermediate size, and the forecast actually says "expect good surf conditions". That’s the one to aim for.
The following morning on the 12th is still surfable but more ordinary with a 4ft north-northeast swell. The real stand-out, though, is the morning of the 14th of August. That’s a glassy session, with a 6ft north swell and a beefy energy reading of 674. Clean, glassy, and a decent size – that’s a morning for the experienced intermediate crew to have some fun on the bar. The afternoon looks too big and questionable, though.
After that, it really drops off again through the 16th and beyond, with only tiny leftover bumps. So, there’s not much on the menu, but if you’re patient, that window from the afternoon of the 11th through to the morning of the 14th is your best bet. Don’t hold your breath for the rest of it.
Stay patient,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | N 18 | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | N 7 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 402 | 542 | 247 | 212 | 208 | 187 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | NE 13 | NE 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 14 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 247 | 212 | 208 | 187 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | — | — | N 18 | NE 18 | E 8 | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | NE 14 | NE 13 | — | — | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | 7 | 7 | — | — | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 5 | N 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 14 | N 10 | NE 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSW 3 | S 3 | S 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | NW 2 | WSW 2 | — | — | NNW 3 | N 7 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 4 | 402 | 542 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 163 | 84 | 130 | 130 | 144 | 162 | 144 | 144 | 168 | 150 | 144 | 166 | 166 | 139 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Maketu Bar Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Maketu Bar provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Maketu Bar can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Maketu Bar surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Maketu Bar) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Maketu Bar may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Maketu Bar, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 27 km (17 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 47 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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