Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this stretch over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a tough start. We’re looking at a long, barren run of nothing. For the first ten days, from Tuesday the 21st of July right through to the end of the month, the surf is basically flat. There’s not a single day worth paddling out at Kaituna Cut. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak (values between 2 and 46), and the conditions are just poor. You’d be better off checking the kite gear because the wind is going to be howling on the 25th with a fresh breeze, but for a surfboard, there’s zero to work with.

Then, finally, a glimmer. On the morning of Friday the 31st of July, it looks like we get a pulse. The swell jumps to 7ft from the North, with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 520, which is moderate, and the wind is glassy—slight air, offshore from the SSW. That’s a major positive for clean conditions. But here’s the thing: that 7ft is getting big for a beginner’s spot like Kaituna Cut, and the short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy. It’s the only show in town for that week, so it’s the standout, but it’s not perfect.

The next morning, Saturday the 1st of August, is where things get heavy. The forecast shows a 10ft swell from the NNW, with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy is through the roof at 1269, which is strong. But that size is too big for this break. It’s only for experts. The wind is cross-offshore from the West, which will keep it clean, but the sheer power is daunting. After that, the swell backs off.

By Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re looking at a solid 5ft from the NNW with a 9-second period. The energy is 361, and we get a light offshore wind from the SW in the morning. That’s a good, clean option. It’s manageable, and the long period will give those waves a bit of shape, but it’s still a beach break, so it might go a bit straight.

The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

Overall, the best bet is the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. It’s the cleanest, most manageable swell of the whole run. The 31st of July morning is a close second, but that size is pushing it for the average surfer.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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