
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NNW swell with 709 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, gather 'round. Rusty here. Lookin' at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it's a bit of a slow burn. We've got a decent pulse or two developing, but you're gonna have to be patient. The first real chance for a wave doesn't come until the end of July, and even then, it's a short-lived window.
The setup here at Kaituna Cut is a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent but exposed to the north-northeast. Water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.
Things kick off on Thursday, July 30th... nah, don't bother. That's a write-off with tiny 2-foot swell and a funky cross breeze. The first glimmer of hope is Friday morning, July 31st. We've got a clean 6-foot swell from the NNW, with a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate (353), and a period of 7 seconds is alright, but not a stand-out. It's a solid beginner wave, but I'd call it a "marginal" window. That afternoon, the swell drops a bit to 5 feet but the wind picks up to 25 km/h from the west, still cross-off, so it's clean but a little wind-affected. The energy drops to 224.
Then... crickets. There's a massive gap from Saturday, August 1st right through to Wednesday, August 6th. During that whole stretch, the swell is tiny, 0.7 feet to 2 feet, with poor conditions. It's a total flat spell. You'll be chasing sea foam.
Alright, the next real event pops up on Thursday, August 6th. The morning shows a building 6-foot swell from the NNW, but it's a short, weak 6-second period, crossing up with some clouds. By the afternoon, that swell jumps to 8 feet from the NNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy surges to a strong 1187. That's a big, powerful wave. But here's the catch: that's big for this spot. For a beginner, 8 feet is too much. For an experienced surfer, this is the best window of the whole period. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it won't be perfect, but it's the only real size on offer. I'd watch that afternoon session closely.
After that, the rest of the forecast is a write-off. The swell drops again, and the wind turns onshore or sideways, making a mess of things. Tuesday, August 12th morning shows a glassy 5-foot swell from the north with a 6-second period, but the energy is only moderate (254) and the period is short. It's a "good" window, but not the standout.
The only true standout here is the Thursday afternoon, August 6th session. 8 feet of strong, punchy NNW swell (energy 1187). It's not for the faint of heart, but for the crew who can handle it, that's the best we'll see. The rest of the fortnight is pretty much for the kite surfers, especially on those windy, choppy days.
Stay tuned, forecasts can change. Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu night, calm by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 135 | 327 | 203 | 86 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross |
High Tide | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | 8:24AM1.59m | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | E 13 | NNW 7 | NE 18 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 |
1 | 3 | 327 | 13 | 86 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | NE 11 | NE 18 | E 12 | NE 17 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | WNW 3 | NE 15 | NE 8 | NW 5 | — | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | — | NE 8 |
3 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | — | NE 18 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 17 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 5 | NE 7 | — | NE 7 | N 7 | E 7 | NE 8 | N 15 | N 19 | NE 18 |
4 | — | 13 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NNW 6 | — | NNW 7 | WSW 3 | — | SE 2 | SE 3 | — | — | — | WNW 2 | WNW 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 |
12 | 135 | — | 203 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 166 | 12 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 23 | 125 | 143 | 141 | 166 | 165 | 165 | 125 | 166 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











