Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NNE swell with 596 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright crew, Rusty here for Kaituna Cut. This forecast has some waiting, then a couple of real gems, then a whole lot of nothing.
Saturday the 4th is a total dud – 2ft of weak swell with onshore wind. Don’t even bother.
Sunday the 5th morning is the first real highlight. A solid 6ft north swell rolls in, short period of 7 seconds, but the wind is offshore-light from the WSW, keeping it clean. The energy is moderate at (365). This is a beginner-friendly break, so for a learner, this is your session. Afternoon drops to 5ft with a cross-on breeze, still rideable but not as clean.
Monday the 6th is blown out. Onshore NNE winds at 15 mph, rain, and choppy 6ft surf. Skip it. Tuesday the 7th stays lumpy with cross-on winds and thunderstorms.
Wednesday the 8th is the real standout. Morning has 4ft of north swell (9-second period) with a light cross-offshore wind. Then Wednesday afternoon turns glassy – zero wind, 5ft north swell, period stretching to 9 seconds. That’s about as clean as it gets here. Energy is strong (408) and the waves will have proper shape. Crowds can be a factor sometimes, but a Wednesday arvo should give you plenty of space.
After Wednesday, it’s a long flat spell. Thursday the 9th drops to 3ft, then from the 10th through to the 15th, we’re mostly under 1ft. The energy falls to single digits (11, 5, 7). That’s a solid week of nothing to ride.
The 16th brings a pulse of 6ft north swell, but it’s accompanied by onshore winds at 15-18 mph and rain. The energy spikes to (608) but the conditions are sloppy and messy. Thursday 17th is more of the same – lumpy, windy, onshore. Saturday 18th afternoon goes glassy again, but with only 3ft of short-period swell, it’s just a mediocre session at best.
Water temp sits around 59°F, which is about 1° cooler than usual for this time of year. A little chilly, nothing crazy.
Your best bets are Sunday the 5th morning and Wednesday the 8th afternoon. Everything else is flat or blown out.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NNE 5 | N 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNW 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 7 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 127 | 119 | 117 | 328 | 227 | 129 | 318 | 337 | 209 | 159 | 287 | 201 | 251 | 380 | 190 | 80 | 36 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:31AM1.55m | 9:58PM1.69m | 10:13AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.68m | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:44PM0.28m | 4:19AM0.34m | 4:25PM0.30m | 5:00AM0.32m | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | 8:32PM0.36m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | |  |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — |
mm | — | — | 13 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NNE 7 | ENE 11 | NE 7 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 7 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 127 | 119 | 64 | 37 | 227 | 22 | 269 | 337 | 209 | 159 | 287 | 201 | 251 | 380 | 190 | 80 | 36 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 10 | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | — | 37 | 12 | — | 12 | 78 | 79 | 24 | 24 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | ENE 11 | — | — | W 4 | N 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 9 | N 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | 13 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 5 | N 7 | — | NNE 7 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | S 3 | S 3 | — | S 3 | — | — | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 117 | 328 | — | 129 | 318 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 12 | 95 | 24 | 138 | 3 | 83 | 99 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 26 | 125 | 133 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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