Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Alright, straight up – it’s gonna be a lean few weeks here, with a real dry spell to kick things off. We’ve got a gap of nearly a week before anything even remotely worth paddling out for shows up.

The only break we’re tracking is Kaituna Cut. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent but exposed, and it likes swell from the NNE. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so keep that in mind.

From Thursday July 9 through to Monday July 13, it’s pretty much a write-off. Tiny little waves, mostly under 2ft, with periods barely scraping 10 seconds, combined wave energy sitting in the weak range (just 3 to 67). Winds are mostly cross-off or glassy at times, which is usually a good sign, but there’s just nothing to work with. Sunday afternoon the 12th goes glassy with 0.7ft – calm as a lake, but no surf.

Tuesday July 14 mornings finally sees a pulse. Swell pushes up to 5ft from the north, with a period of 7 seconds, and combined energy jumps to a moderate 178. Winds are light and cross-off from the west, making it clean. It’s still ordinary conditions, but it’s the first surfable window. Afternoon drops a touch to 4ft, still clean. Not a standout, but something to wet the whistle.

Wednesday July 15 mornings goes glassy again, but the swell has dropped back to 2ft with a short 6-second period and weak energy (42). Not much to get excited about.

Then we hit the big one. Saturday July 18 morning – this is the standout, no question. We’re looking at a solid 13ft swell from the NNE, period of 10 seconds, and combined energy rips right up to a very strong 2753. Winds are gentle cross-shore from the SE. However – and this is a big however – at this size, Kaituna Cut is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, a 13ft groundswell with that period will likely be breaking too straight for easy paddling. If you’re not a seasoned charger, give this one a miss. The afternoon gets messy with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions.

Sunday July 19 stays big – 6ft to 6ft from the NE and NNE, but winds get fresh and lumpy, and the combined energy is still strong (793). Poor surf conditions overall, and honestly, with the wind and size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

From Monday July 20 onwards, the swell gradually fades back down to under 4ft, and the winds turn onshore and fresh, making it ugly. By Wednesday July 22, we’re back to tiny waves, under 2ft, with lumpy cross-onshore winds. Not worth the effort.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a bust. Tuesday July 14 offers a clean, small session for beginners. The one true standout is Saturday July 18 morning, but only for experts – and even then, it’s a cautionary call. The long-range forecast for the tail end of the second week shows small, choppy junk. It’s a tough outlook, but that’s how it goes sometimes.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts – things can change.

Rusty.

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