Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 07 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
13.8° C
0.9° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, N swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, NNE swell with 3,492 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 9th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Fri 14th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 8s
Most Powerful 3PM (Fri 14th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got for Kaituna Cut.

Honestly, it’s a pretty flat run for the most part. The first week or so is mostly tiny, weak, and pretty ordinary. The real story is that big pulse of swell that shows up in the second week, but it comes with its own problems.

We start off almost flat. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are a write-off, with waves barely a whisper. Sunday the 9th picks up a little, with a 1.0 ft to 2 ft swell from the NNW, but the period is a short, choppy 5–6 seconds. The combined energy is moderate on Sunday afternoon at 152, but it’s messy with light rain and cross-shore winds. It’s not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see tiny, knee-high swell around 2 ft to 3 ft from the north. The energy is low (117 and 75). Monday has clean conditions with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and Tuesday morning turns glassy. It’s surfable and clean, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit onshore and messy again.

Wednesday the 12th turns ugly. The swell jumps to 5 ft to 6 ft from the NNE, but with a howling onshore easterly wind hitting 15 mph, it’s a choppy, blown-out mess. The energy is strong (329), but it’s not for surfing – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday the 13th is a bit better in the morning. The swell is 4 ft from the NNE, period a mediocre 7 seconds, energy moderate at 191, but it’s glassy. Clean, but those waves are just ordinary.

Now, here’s the standout, but it comes with a major caveat. On Friday the 14th, a huge swell arrives. We’re talking 12 ft to 13 ft from the NNE, with a period of 9–10 seconds. The combined energy is massive – 1834 in the morning, and a whopping 6270 in the afternoon. That’s a lot of power. The wind is cross-on at 13 mph, but the report says wind and tide are favorable. However, the swell is simply too big for this break. Even for experts, 13 ft at Kaituna Cut is a monster. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious session.

The rest of the 16-day window drops back into tiny, weak surf. From Saturday the 15th onwards, the swell fades. The 15th has a 7 ft to 8 ft drop, but with strong cross-shore winds, it’s poor. By Sunday the 16th, we’re back to 3 ft and below, and the last few days of the window are flat with 0.3 ft to 2 ft, mostly clean but completely small.

Water temperature is around 57°F, which is a bit cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing wild.

So, the best on offer? If you’re a very experienced surfer who likes big, heavy waves, that Friday the 14th is the only real pulse. For everyone else, it’s a long wait for very little. The break is fairly consistent, but the waves aren’t cooperating.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 40mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the ENE by Wed afternoon).

Fri
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
16
0.2
N
13
0.2
N
13
0.2
N
12
0.1
NE
13
0.9
NNW
5
1.4
NNW
6
1
N
7
1
N
7
1
N
8
0.8
N
7
0.8
N
7
0.7
N
7
0.7
N
7
1.5
NNE
6
1.9
NNE
7
1.6
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
7
1.1
N
7
2.3
N
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10
14
13
12
7
30
142
89
108
111
70
66
46
44
139
326
252
191
127
557
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
15
SW
5
WSW
15
NW
10
S
10
NW
15
NW
10
SW
15
W
15
W
10
SW
5
SSW
5
ENE
0
E
20
ENE
25
ENE
10
NE
5
N
10
N
10
E
Wind State
cross
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:19AM1.67m
2:02PM1.66m
2:20AM1.66m
3:05PM1.70m
3:24AM1.67m
4:09PM1.75m
4:28AM1.70m
5:10PM1.81m
5:30AM1.74m
6:08PM1.88m
6:29AM1.78m
7:02PM1.93m
Low Tide
7:13PM0.35m
7:43AM0.21m
8:13PM0.35m
8:43AM0.20m
9:17PM0.34m
9:45AM0.17m
10:23PM0.30m
10:48AM0.13m
11:27PM0.24m
11:48AM0.09m
00:26AM0.17m
12:45PM0.05m
1:22AM0.11m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
light rain
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:07
7:05
7:05
7:03
7:03
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:36
 mm
5
2
1
3
20
13
4
2
13
Temp °C
10
8
10
12
11
12
13
12
14
16
11
11
11
13
14
13
15
15
15
16
Feels °C
6
4
7
8
9
10
11
11
10
12
8
9
9
10
10
8
15
16
14
13
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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