Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. The first decent surf doesn’t show up until the morning of Friday the 17th, so we’re talkin’ a solid two-week gap of flat, small, or messy conditions. The few moments we get a wave, the wind’s wrong or the swell’s just too weak. It’s a real bummer.

Okay, let’s break it down. Friday the 3rd kicks off with a tiny 2ft ENE swell, but the cross-off wind is just about the only thing goin’ for it. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The swell energy is weak (92) and the water is sittin’ at 59°, which is about average for this time of year. After that, it’s a whole lot of nothin’. Saturday the 4th through Tuesday the 8th is a write-off – onshore winds, rain, and even a risk of a thunderstorm. Keep the board in the car.

We get a little glimmer on the morning of Sunday the 5th – a clean 4ft NNE swell with a light offshore wind. But the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s gonna be a bit weak and crumbly. The combined energy is still low (149). It’s a surfable wave, but it’s not gonna set the world on fire. Wednesday the 9th morning has a clean offshore wind and a tiny 2ft swell, but it’s just not enough to get excited about.

Then the well goes dry. From the 10th of July right through the 16th, we’re talkin’ ankle-snappers in the 0.3ft range. The wind is clean, but there’s no power behind it. The swell energy drops to single digits. It’s a total flat spell.

Now, hang on, because there’s a light at the end of the tunnel. Friday the 17th finally sees a pulse of life. By the afternoon, we’ve got a 4ft N swell (104 combined energy) with a clean offshore wind. Surfable, but still ordinary.

But the real standout is the morning of Saturday, the 18th of July. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The forecast is showin’ a solid 7ft N swell with a clean, gentle offshore wind. The combined energy jumps to a strong 551, and the period is a workable 8 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the offshore wind is gonna make it glassy. The break is exposed to the NNE, and the swell is comin’ from the north, so it’s lining up nicely. For an exposed spot like Kaituna Cut, this is gonna be the best session in weeks. Keep in mind it’s over 5ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but the experienced crew are gonna have a blast.

Later that afternoon on the 18th, the swell jumps to 10ft, and the energy goes through the roof at 1251. That is a serious wall of water, and the forecast is callin’ it too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s probably gonna be a washing machine. The morning is the call.

So, to sum it up: the next two weeks are mostly a ghost town, but mark your calendar for the morning of Saturday the 18th. That’s where the magic is. Keep the faith, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty.

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