Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s a slow start. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there. But we’ve got a long quiet spell to get through first. From today through to early next week, the surf is tiny, often under 1ft, and mostly messy with onshore or cross-off winds that are just not doing us any favours. There’s one little spike on Friday morning, July 31st, with a 7ft NNW swell, but that’s paired with a cross-off wind that’s a bit strong, and the energy is moderate at 783. It’s marginal, and I wouldn’t pin your hopes on it. After that, it’s back to flat, calm conditions but with next to no swell.

We hit a bit of a dry spell through the first week of August. There are a few glassy mornings, like Thursday the 6th, with a tiny 2ft swell, but the energy is weak at 41. It’s not worth paddling for. The weekend of the 7th and 8th brings some rain and stronger wind, with onshore conditions, so that’s a write-off. The following Monday and Tuesday, the 10th and 11th, see some size creep up, but it’s cross-shore or onshore, and the quality is poor.

Now here’s the light at the end of the tunnel. We’ve got a real standout shaping up for Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning at Kaituna Cut looks clean, with a solid 6ft NE swell, long period of 10 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is strong at 601. This is when it gets interesting. The crowd factor is listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might not have it to yourself, but it’s not packed.

The best of the whole run, though, is Wednesday the 12th of August. The morning starts glassy with a SW wind, near calm, and a 6ft NE groundswell with an 11-second period. That’s a clean, lined-up wave. The afternoon kicks it up a notch: 6ft NE swell, period still at 11 seconds, and clean offshore WNW wind. The combined energy jumps to 1558 – that’s strong. The reports say excellent for experienced surfers, and I’ll back that. The swell direction is right on the money for the optimum NNE direction this break likes.

A note of caution: by Thursday the 13th, the swell gets a bit too big. You’re looking at 8ft in the morning and a massive 13ft by the afternoon. The energy is enormous, over 2900. This break just can’t handle that size – it’s for experts only, if anyone. Friday the 14th stays big and clean with a strong cross-off, but again, too much for any but the most skilled.

To sum it up: the first week and a half is a bust. Mark your calendar for the 11th and 12th of August – that’s where the real action is. Get out on the Wednesday if you can; that afternoon window is the pick of the entire forecast.

Rusty.

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