Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NNW swell with 225 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming.
Right now, it’s dead flat. We’re stuck in a long stretch of tiny, un-surfable waves through the end of July and into the first week of August. The water temp at Kaituna Cut is around 58°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
The first real sign of life pops up on Friday, July 31st. We get a pulse of swell out of the NNW, pushing about 5ft. The period is short, only 7 seconds, so it’s a windswell, but the energy is moderate (241). The wind is cross-off in the morning, keeping the surface clean. It’s not perfect, but after this dry spell, it’ll feel like a win.
The big one, the one you’re waiting for, is Wednesday, August 12th. The morning shows a solid 7ft of NNE groundswell with a 13-second period. The afternoon bumps it to 8ft with a 12-second period. The combined energy is huge (1584 in the morning, 1660 in the afternoon). That’s expert territory – too big for beginners. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. The swell direction is a good match for the break. Circle that date.
Before that, Saturday, August 1st, has some tiny, knee-high waves with offshore wind, but it’s very weak. And Tuesday, August 11th, shows a 5ft north pulse, but with a messy cross-shore wind, so it’s a pass.
So, to wrap it up: a long flat run, a small bump on the 31st, and then a serious, clean, powerful swell for the experienced crew on the 12th of August. That Wednesday is the day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | E 18 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | N 12 | N 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNE 16 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NE 15 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 176 | 225 | 155 | 77 | 68 | 51 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 9 | 17 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | 8:24AM1.59m | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | |  | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | — | E 17 | E 6 | E 5 | — | N 3 | NE 11 | E 13 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 155 | 77 | 68 | 51 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | E 18 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | E 16 | — | E 5 | NE 11 | E 12 | E 12 | NE 17 | NE 17 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NW 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 15 | E 6 | NNE 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 29 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 10 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | N 9 | N 12 | E 14 | — | NE 18 | NE 18 | E 14 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 6 | N 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 7 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | — | 13 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | N 5 | NNW 6 | — | WNW 4 | W 3 | — | — | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | S 3 | SSW 3 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 16 | 176 | — | 7 | 8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 62 | 131 | 14 | 95 | 58 | 12 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 125 | 141 | 163 | 125 | 98 | 83 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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