Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNE swell with 211 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 8th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's run it down for Kaituna Cut. The next week and a half is pretty quiet for a proper surf. The only real action kicks off Wednesday morning, July 8th, with a clean 4ft swell from the north, 9-second period. Water temp is about 59° – right where it should be for this time of year. Wind is a light cross-offshore from the south, so conditions will be clean for the beginners. Wave energy is moderate (363), so it’s rideable but not pumping. That’s your only real window for a while.
From Wednesday afternoon through to Monday, July 20th, the surf gets tiny – knee-high junk at best, with a lot of cross-shore wind and onshore chop. A couple glassy moments on Sunday afternoon, July 12th, and Tuesday morning, July 14th, but with swell heights of 0.3ft to 3ft, it’s not breaking properly. That’s over a week of flatness or near-flat conditions.
Then Tuesday, July 21st, the ocean goes nuts. We’ve got a massive 13ft north-east groundswell hitting in the morning, with a very long 10-second period. The combined energy is off the charts at 3266 – that’s strong to very strong energy. Wind is a moderate cross-shore from the southeast, so some chop is likely, but the real problem is size. This is experts only. A 13ft wave at a beach break like Kaituna Cut will be dangerous for anyone not seasoned. The swell direction (NE) matches well, but at this size, it’s a beast. Wednesday morning, July 22nd, still pumps at 7ft from the north-east, with 1012 energy – still a heavy day, but maybe a touch more manageable for strong intermediates. Wind is cross-shore again.
The standout is Tuesday, July 21st, but that’s a big-boy session. Don’t take a beginner out. For a clean, fun wave, your only real shot is Wednesday morning, July 8th. After that, pack a longboard and a book for two weeks. Water temp stays about normal for July, so a 4/3 wetsuit will do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NW on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the S by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 9 | N 12 | E 9 | E 5 | NE 12 | NNE 4 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 220 | 250 | 110 | 64 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 30 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | off |
High Tide | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.75m | 5:26PM1.84m | 5:44AM1.79m | 6:24PM1.91m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | 8:32PM0.36m | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | 11:04AM0.09m | 11:40PM0.23m | 12:04PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.16m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 5 | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 |
| kJ | 220 | 250 | 110 | 64 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 32 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 6 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 6 | E 9 | NE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | NE 12 | E 5 | E 8 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 112 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | S 3 | — | NE 9 | E 9 | — | N 14 | E 7 | N 13 | NE 9 | E 10 | NE 8 | N 12 | — | N 10 | E 8 | E 8 | — | — | N 11 | E 8 |
| kJ | 31 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 3 | — | SSW 2 | S 2 | S 4 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | S 3 | S 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | N 5 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 22 | 6 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 52 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 58 | 133 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 58 | 14 | 98 | 98 | 83 | 133 | 133 | 12 | 166 | 14 | 133 | 133 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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