
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, NNE swell with 516 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut, and I’ll tell it to you straight.
The next 16 days are a mixed bag, honestly. We’ve got a proper blank start with barely a ripple through the early part of the week, so patience is key. There’s a promising pulse of energy building for the end of the run, but we gotta get through some real quiet spells first.
Right now, we’re lookin’ at Monday, July 6th, and the swell is just startin’ to show, but don’t get too excited. There’s a 8ft, 8-second north swell rollin’ in, but it’s a bit of a mess with a cross-onshore wind kickin’ up chop. Combined wave energy is sittin’ at 684 (moderate), but the quality just ain’t there for a good surf session. The water temperature is 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year – no surprises there.
Tuesday the 7th is a write-off with poor conditions, and Wednesday the 8th is a tease. The swell drops to 4ft from the north, but the wind goes cross-off with a little SSW breeze, cleanin’ things up. It’s surfable for a beginner, but nothin’ to write home about – combined energy is a modest 369.
Thursday and Friday are a fade job. Swell drops below 3ft, and by Friday afternoon the energy is down to double digits. We’re talkin’ ankle-biters. Then from Saturday the 11th all the way through to Monday the 13th, it’s practically flat – combined energy in the single digits. You could walk across the lineup and not wet your hair. That’s nearly 4 days of nothin’.
But hang on, because it gets interesting. After a quiet spell, we see a small bump on Tuesday the 14th afternoon with 5ft of short-period north swell, but it’s messy with a strong cross-shore wind, so don’t bother.
Now, the real standout arrives on Sunday, July 19th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Kaituna Cut will see a 8ft, 10-second groundswell from the northeast, and the wind is light and cross-off from the SSE – that means clean, shapely surf. Combined energy hits a massive 1292 (strong). This is proper wave energy. Fair warnin’ though, at 8ft this is gettin’ into expert territory – too big for beginners. For the experienced crew, conditions are excellent. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and we’re gettin’ NE, so it’s close enough to dial it in nicely. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so keep an eye out.
The tail end on Monday the 20th holds the energy well, with 6ft droppin’ to 6ft through the afternoon, and Monday afternoon is lookin’ glassy as a mirror with that ENE breeze dyin’ off to nothin’. Combined energy is still strong at 898. Another very good window if you missed the Sunday peak.
After that, it fades quick into Tuesday the 21st with light cross-shore winds, and the surf turns marginal again.
So, if you’re askin’ me where to go, it’s Kaituna Cut on Sunday, July 19th – that’s your best bet. Clean, powerful, and well overhead. A close second is the glassy Monday afternoon session. The rest is mostly a waitin’ game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Mon 13 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | N 10 | N 12 | NE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
202 | 186 | 200 | 498 | 402 | 300 | 144 | 74 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.75m | 5:26PM1.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | 8:32PM0.36m | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | 11:04AM0.09m | ||||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | |
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | |
mm | 12 | 3 | 12 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 |
202 | 186 | 200 | 498 | 402 | 300 | 144 | 74 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | N 8 | NE 8 | E 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 9 | E 7 | NE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | N 12 | NE 12 |
191 | 153 | 164 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | ENE 12 | N 12 | — | — | — | — | N 7 | — | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | E 9 | NE 8 | N 12 | N 11 | N 10 | E 8 | E 8 |
— | — | — | 13 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | SSW 2 | SSE 2 | SSE 3 | S 3 | SSW 4 | S 4 | S 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 71 | 3 | 95 | 125 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 125 | 131 | 13 | 14 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 133 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











