Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 18 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
14.0° C
1.1° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, NNE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNE swell with 224 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sat 25th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 5s
Best Surf12PM (Sat 25th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Most Powerful 6PM (Sat 25th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Kaituna Cut are lookin' pretty grim. We're in for a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to get excited about. The water's a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sittin' at 57°, which is a touch on the chilly side.

For the first week, it's a bust. Saturday the 18th through to Thursday the 24th, we're talkin' flat, tiny dribbles. The swell is a measly 0.3ft to 2ft from the NE and ENE, with periods so short – 4 to 9 seconds – there's just no energy in the water. The combined energy is weak, mostly under 100 (e.g., 3, 12, 59). Even when the wind goes glassy or offshore, there's nothin' to ride. It's heartbreaking.

We finally see a tiny pulse on Friday the 24th morning, with a slightly bigger 3ft swell from the NE and a period of 8 seconds. The wind's glassy, so it would be clean, and the energy bumps up to 128 (moderate). The call is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so it's a maybe for a longboard if you're desperate, but honestly, I wouldn't bother.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees a bit more wind, with a strong offshore SW breeze at 16 mph on Saturday morning, but the swell drops back to 2ft. It's clean, but not enough to push you around.

The second week continues the struggle. From Monday the 28th through to Sunday the 2nd of August, the swell stays tiny, rarely cracking 2ft. The winds are a mix of glassy and light offshore, but the energy is weak (single and double digits). The only interesting thing is the end of the month, where the period jumps up to 15-20 seconds, but the swell height is still only 1ft to 1ft. That long period (groundswell) would be better suited for a point break or reef, but here at this exposed beach, it's just a long wait between tiny, weak waves. It's a no-go for paddle surfing.

Look, there's no standout session here. The best you could hope for is a very ordinary paddle on a longboard on Friday the 24th morning, but don't hold your breath. The rest of the month is a write-off. For kite surfing, even that's a stretch with the tiny swell.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.2
WNW
5
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
8
0.1
N
10
0.5
SE
3
0.3
NE
4
0.3
NE
4
0.1
N
9
0.2
ENE
5
0.2
ENE
4
0.2
ENE
6
0.2
ENE
5
0.2
ENE
6
0.2
N
7
0.3
ENE
6
0.3
ENE
8
1.1
N
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
5
3
3
2
2
2
4
3
4
4
7
11
61
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
20
W
15
WSW
20
WSW
5
SW
10
SE
10
SSE
10
E
15
SSE
10
S
10
N
5
SSW
5
SW
10
SW
10
SSE
5
SSE
10
N
5
SSW
5
SW
10
N
5
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
9:29AM1.81m
9:57PM1.95m
10:22AM1.77m
10:47PM1.88m
11:15AM1.71m
11:36PM1.80m
12:07PM1.65m
00:24AM1.70m
12:59PM1.60m
1:14AM1.61m
1:52PM1.55m
2:04AM1.54m
2:44PM1.52m
2:55AM1.49m
Low Tide
3:43PM0.03m
4:19AM0.07m
4:34PM0.10m
5:09AM0.11m
5:24PM0.19m
5:57AM0.17m
6:14PM0.29m
6:45AM0.23m
7:04PM0.38m
7:32AM0.30m
7:55PM0.45m
8:21AM0.36m
8:47PM0.50m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:20
 mm
1
Temp °C
13
14
11
15
17
13
13
14
11
11
12
11
13
14
11
11
11
10
12
12
10
Feels °C
9
10
7
11
15
9
9
11
6
9
10
9
11
11
8
9
9
8
10
9
8
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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