
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with 671 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. The first decent surf doesn’t show up until the morning of Friday the 17th, so we’re talkin’ a solid two-week gap of flat, small, or messy conditions. The few moments we get a wave, the wind’s wrong or the swell’s just too weak. It’s a real bummer.
Okay, let’s break it down. Friday the 3rd kicks off with a tiny 2ft ENE swell, but the cross-off wind is just about the only thing goin’ for it. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The swell energy is weak (92) and the water is sittin’ at 59°, which is about average for this time of year. After that, it’s a whole lot of nothin’. Saturday the 4th through Tuesday the 8th is a write-off – onshore winds, rain, and even a risk of a thunderstorm. Keep the board in the car.
We get a little glimmer on the morning of Sunday the 5th – a clean 4ft NNE swell with a light offshore wind. But the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s gonna be a bit weak and crumbly. The combined energy is still low (149). It’s a surfable wave, but it’s not gonna set the world on fire. Wednesday the 9th morning has a clean offshore wind and a tiny 2ft swell, but it’s just not enough to get excited about.
Then the well goes dry. From the 10th of July right through the 16th, we’re talkin’ ankle-snappers in the 0.3ft range. The wind is clean, but there’s no power behind it. The swell energy drops to single digits. It’s a total flat spell.
Now, hang on, because there’s a light at the end of the tunnel. Friday the 17th finally sees a pulse of life. By the afternoon, we’ve got a 4ft N swell (104 combined energy) with a clean offshore wind. Surfable, but still ordinary.
But the real standout is the morning of Saturday, the 18th of July. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The forecast is showin’ a solid 7ft N swell with a clean, gentle offshore wind. The combined energy jumps to a strong 551, and the period is a workable 8 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the offshore wind is gonna make it glassy. The break is exposed to the NNE, and the swell is comin’ from the north, so it’s lining up nicely. For an exposed spot like Kaituna Cut, this is gonna be the best session in weeks. Keep in mind it’s over 5ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but the experienced crew are gonna have a blast.
Later that afternoon on the 18th, the swell jumps to 10ft, and the energy goes through the roof at 1251. That is a serious wall of water, and the forecast is callin’ it too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s probably gonna be a washing machine. The morning is the call.
So, to sum it up: the next two weeks are mostly a ghost town, but mark your calendar for the morning of Saturday the 18th. That’s where the magic is. Keep the faith, and I’ll see you in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 14 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
92 | 78 | 75 | 127 | 106 | 157 | 112 | 73 | 164 | 275 | 132 | 79 | 59 | 121 | 73 | 70 | 60 | 107 | 59 | 17 | 11 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:19PM1.69m | 9:31AM1.55m | 9:58PM1.69m | 10:13AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.68m | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:04PM0.26m | 3:38AM0.35m | 3:44PM0.28m | 4:19AM0.34m | 4:25PM0.30m | 5:00AM0.32m | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | ||||||||
7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | — | 1 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | ENE 10 | N 7 | NE 7 | N 7 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
92 | 78 | 52 | 127 | 106 | 44 | 112 | 73 | 33 | 275 | 42 | 79 | 59 | 121 | 73 | 70 | 60 | 107 | 59 | 17 | 11 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 16 | ENE 14 | N 11 | NE 10 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | NE 8 | N 6 | E 8 | NNW 8 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | E 11 | E 12 | NE 7 | E 9 |
— | 10 | 75 | 2 | 4 | — | 35 | 35 | — | 26 | 22 | 69 | 31 | 5 | 44 | 16 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 11 | — | — | — | N 10 | — | — | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 9 | E 9 | — | E 13 | E 10 | N 8 |
— | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 20 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 16 | — | 3 | 9 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 | — | — | N 6 | WNW 4 | NNW 7 | — | SE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | S 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 |
— | — | — | — | — | 157 | — | — | 164 | 21 | 132 | — | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 125 | 166 | 0 | 78 | 95 | 177 | 166 | 166 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.










