Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, N swell with 53 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Alright, let's get into it.
Right off the bat, the next week and a half is a write-off for Kaituna Cut. The combined swell energy is barely a whisper, struggling to hit even triple digits, and the waves are tiny, mostly around 0.6ft to 1ft, with some short, weak periods. The wind is often a cross-off or cross, which would be fine, but there just isn't enough swell to work with. It's frustrating.
The one and only time this forecast comes alive is centered around Monday, July 21st. We've got a serious pulse of swell arriving, with the combined energy jumping to a massive 2615 in the morning and 2734 in the afternoon. Swell heights hit a solid 12ft, pushing in from the NNE. However, and it's a big however, the files keep telling me that at this size, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. The afternoon winds shift onshore too. The Tuesday morning before that looks like the only window it *might* be doable, with cross-off winds and a still massive 12ft swell, but again, flagged as too big.
So, for a beginner-friendly spot that is fairly consistent, that 12ft is a beast. That's big-wave territory, experts-only, and even then, the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than a standard paddle session if the conditions get messy.
The nearest we get to something you could possibly ride is early on Saturday, July 25th – about two weeks out. We see the energy drop back to a moderate 283, with a 4ft swell from the ENE. The wind stays a light, clean cross-off from the west, which is promising for clean conditions. But it's far out, so treat it as a hopeful whisper, not a sure thing. The water temp is sitting at a very average 59°F, completely normal for this time of year.
Honestly, this is a long, quiet stretch. Nothing jumps out as a true standout. You're looking at a solid 10-day dry spell before any real swell, and even then it's either too big or too uncertain to get excited about.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 7 | E 6 | N 11 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 5 | E 20 | SE 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 40 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.75m | 5:26PM1.84m | 5:44AM1.79m | 6:24PM1.91m | 6:42AM1.82m | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:32PM0.36m | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | 11:04AM0.09m | 11:40PM0.23m | 12:04PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.16m | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 7 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 4 | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 50 | 40 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | N 10 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 9 | N 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | E 7 | N 13 | SE 4 | — | E 8 | E 8 | N 11 | N 12 | E 8 | N 9 | E 8 | — | N 11 | — | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 20 | E 19 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | SSE 3 | — | SE 2 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | NNE 3 | N 4 | N 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 |
| kJ | 14 | 13 | 9 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 15 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 58 | 58 | 125 | 133 | 141 | 147 | 166 | 83 | 141 | 125 | 141 | 147 | 141 | 133 | 157 | 111 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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