Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, NNW swell with 286 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty checkin’ in from Kaituna Cut. Let’s be straight with you – the next week and a half is pretty grim, with barely a ripple worth paddling for. The first real window of hope doesn’t open up until late in the run, and it’s got some teeth to it.
We’ve got a long, quiet stretch ahead. From Thursday the 23rd of July right through to Friday the 31st of July, it’s mostly tiny dribble or blown-out junk. You’ll see a few mornings with glassy conditions, but the swell is laughably small – think ankle-snappers in the 0.3ft to 1ft range. The combined wave energy is well under 100, often single digits. Not worth wetting a suit for.
Things finally start looking up on Saturday the 25th of July with a pulse of 4ft from the NNW, period around 8 seconds, and clean cross-off wind from the west. The combined energy hits 248 – moderate, but decent. It’s got a score that suggests marginal surf, and the tide could be a factor. Not a standout, but the first sign of life after a long sleep.
The real standout, and I mean the only one worth circling on the calendar, is Saturday the 1st of August. This is a big, powerful swell for experienced surfers only. We’re looking at 8ft of NE swell with a 9-second period, and the combined wave energy is a strong 1115. Morning brings an offshore breeze from the WSW at 3 mph, which means clean, lined-up waves. This is a heavy setup though – over 8ft is expert territory, so if you’re not comfortable on a bigger day, sit this one out. The crowds at Kaituna Cut can show up sometimes, but on a day this size, the lineup might thin out a bit. The swell direction from the NE is right in the sweet spot for the break.
Following that, Sunday the 2nd of August morning still offers a decent 5ft swell from the NNE, with 9-second period and a moderate offshore wind from the SW at 12 mph. The energy is a solid 607, so it’s got some push. Good for strong intermediates, but it’s a step down from the Saturday peak.
For the rest of the first week of August, it tails off into surfable but ordinary waves – 2ft to 4ft with offshore or cross-off winds, but the energy drops and the conditions are just okay. Nothing to write home about.
Water temperature? It’s about average for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there.
Bottom line: sit tight through a long flat spell, then lock in Saturday the 1st of August for the big, clean groundswell. That’s your day if you’ve got the skills.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 10 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | E 17 | E 18 | E 18 | E 17 | E 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 286 | 202 | 185 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 10 | N 10 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 40 | 202 | 185 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 4 | N 7 | — | N 7 | — | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | E 17 | — | E 18 | E 17 | E 17 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | — | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | E 8 | — | E 10 | NW 4 | E 12 | E 9 | — | E 18 | N 11 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 4 | — | SE 4 | S 4 | SSW 3 | — | SSW 2 | S 2 | — | SSE 2 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 286 | 38 | 73 | 13 | — | 15 | 9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 141 | 165 | 170 | 177 | 170 | 166 | 12 | 165 | 12 | 125 | 125 | 58 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 58 | 58 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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