Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
14.2° C
0.8° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, N swell with 303 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 25th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 25th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Most Powerful 9AM (Fri 31st Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, listen up, it's Rusty here. Let's get one thing straight from the start: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for the most part. We've got a long stretch of small, weak, and often messy conditions before we finally see a pulse of energy. The only real standout on the cards is that first day of August, but we've got to get through the quiet first.

The opening days are a write-off. Friday the 24th is glassy, but the swell is a pathetic 1 foot from the ENE. Saturday the 25th sees a jump to 5 feet from the NNW, but it's accompanied by light rain and the combined energy is only moderate (286). It's a clean wave, but it's marginal. From Sunday the 26th all the way through to Thursday the 31st of July, it's a near-total flat spell. We're looking at tiny 0.3 to 2.3 foot swell with weak energy, mostly under 30. The wind is often glassy or light, which is nice, but there's no wave to surf. It's a full week of almost nothing.

Now, here's the one highlight. On Friday the 31st of July, things start to change. The morning brings a 5.6 foot swell from the north with a period of 7 seconds, kicking up a strong wave energy (317). The wind is light offshore from the WNW, keeping it clean. The afternoon is still solid, with 4.6 feet from the north and a clean offshore breeze from the SW. The combined energy stays strong (234). This is the best run of the whole forecast period, and it's at Kaituna Cut. This spot is a beginner-friendly break that's fairly consistent, but it's exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting around 57.6°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing too wild.

After that brief window, it's back to the doldrums. Saturday the 1st of August sees the swell drop back to 1.6 feet with a strong onshore wind, ruining any chance of a decent surf. From there, it's a sea of tiny, weak, and often cross-shore or onshore wind-affected conditions for the rest of the second week. The energy readings are all in the low double digits, and the swell is rarely above 0.7 feet. It's a long, flat run.

So, to sum it up: the only real window to get wet is the morning of Friday the 31st of July through to the afternoon. It's a solid, clean north swell at Kaituna Cut, but it's a short-lived event. For the rest of the 16 days, you're better off checking the kite forecast, because the paddle surfing is going to be a struggle.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
9
1.7
NNW
7
1.5
NNW
8
1.4
NNW
8
0.6
NNW
9
0.2
E
10
0.2
NNW
7
0.1
E
16
0.1
E
16
0.2
NNW
6
0.2
NNW
6
0.1
E
18
0.1
E
17
0.1
E
17
0.1
E
17
0.1
E
16
0.1
N
9
0.4
NNW
4
0.7
NNW
4
1.3
N
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10
25
257
244
238
49
8
5
5
5
4
4
6
6
6
6
5
2
5
21
105
Wind (km/h)
0
SW
25
NNW
20
WNW
15
W
25
WSW
20
SW
10
WSW
10
SSE
20
SSE
10
SSW
5
WSW
10
SSW
5
S
10
N
5
SSE
5
SSW
10
N
5
S
5
SSE
10
NNW
15
NNW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
High Tide
2:44PM1.52m
2:55AM1.49m
3:37PM1.51m
3:47AM1.47m
4:28PM1.52m
4:38AM1.48m
5:18PM1.55m
5:27AM1.50m
6:05PM1.59m
6:14AM1.52m
6:49PM1.64m
6:59AM1.55m
7:31PM1.68m
Low Tide
8:47PM0.50m
9:11AM0.39m
9:40PM0.53m
10:02AM0.40m
10:34PM0.53m
10:53AM0.38m
11:26PM0.50m
11:42AM0.35m
00:15AM0.46m
12:29PM0.31m
1:02AM0.41m
1:13PM0.28m
1:46AM0.36m
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
5:22
5:23
5:24
 mm
5
1
1
Temp °C
13
14
13
11
12
11
12
13
7
11
13
8
9
10
9
9
10
9
10
13
12
Feels °C
9
9
9
7
7
5
8
9
2
7
10
4
7
7
6
7
7
7
8
10
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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