
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 5s period, N swell with 13 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.5m 5s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a real flat spell. The first ten days of the forecast are pretty much a write-off for any proper surfing. Swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, and even when there’s a touch of energy, it’s just poor surf. You’ll be sitting on your board doing nothing. The best you’ll get in that first stretch is a bit of glassy, clean water on the afternoon of the 21st and the morning of the 22nd, but with waves only 0.7ft to 1.0ft, it’s more of a paddle than a surf. The combined wave energy is barely registering, so don’t even bother.
Things start to look a little more interesting right around the 24th of July. The Friday afternoon sees a tiny bump to 2ft from the NE with a 7-second period, glassy conditions, and the wave energy climbs to 61 – still weak, but the first sign of life. Then Saturday the 25th is where it gets good. The morning shows 3ft from the NE, energy jumping to 118 (moderate), and the wind is light and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. But the standout is the Saturday afternoon. We’re looking at 4ft of NE swell, 9-second period, glassy conditions, and the combined energy hits 239 – that’s legit moderate energy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing wild. This is the best session on offer. Kaituna Cut is a beginner-friendly spot, and this swell is perfect for that. It’s not too big, and with glassy wind, it’ll be a dream. Just be aware that crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get out early.
Sunday the 26th still has 4ft from the NE, but the wind goes cross-onshore in the afternoon, messing with the surface. The morning is still clean with cross-offshore breeze, so it’s a solid option, but not as pristine as Saturday.
Monday the 27th morning brings another good window: 3ft from the NE, 11-second period (a touch longer, so more energy), glassy, and energy at 216. This is a very close second to Saturday afternoon. The longer period will mean better shaped waves, but at a beach break setup like this, it might run a bit straight. Still, clean and waist-high is hard to beat.
After that, the swell backs off. Tuesday the 28th afternoon has a weird spike to 5ft, but it’s from the NNW with a short 6-second period, and cross-shore wind – messy and not worth it. The energy is high (249), but the quality is poor.
The very end of the forecast, the 30th, has a morning with 3ft from the NNE, 8-second period, clean offshore wind, and energy at 100. It’s surfable, but ordinary.
Bottom line: If you’ve got a board, the clear winner is the afternoon of Saturday the 25th of July. Glassy, 4ft of NE swell, clean waves. Monday the 27th morning is a close second. The rest of the 16 days? Mostly flat, with a few small, clean windows that are only good for a longboard or a paddle. Don’t get your hopes up for the first ten days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | E 20 | E 19 | E 19 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | SE 3 | N 10 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NE 4 | NE 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
29 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 6:42AM1.82m | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:41AM0.16m | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | 3:28AM0.05m | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | ||||||||
— | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | |
— | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | NNE 5 | N 4 | NE 10 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 5 | — | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | — | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NE 4 | NE 5 |
29 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | N 4 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 10 | E 7 | N 8 | N 9 | N 10 |
5 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 10 | E 20 | E 19 | E 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 8 | N 10 | — | N 9 | NE 6 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | W 3 | WSW 2 | — | — | WSW 2 | W 3 | SW 3 | — | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 98 | 142 | 166 | 163 | 165 | 167 | 86 | 83 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 98 | 111 | 133 | 133 | 142 | 141 | 131 | 141 | 141 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











