
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNE swell with 589 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it's Rusty here with a look at what's coming our way. I'll be honest, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there is one clear window that’s got my attention.
We’re looking at a real slow start. The first proper surf we can get into isn't until Monday the 10th, and even then it's just the morning session that’s worthwhile. Before that, Sunday the 9th is a write-off with onshore winds and weak, short-period junk. That’s a full day of nothing.
The standout of the entire forecast is definitely Monday morning, August 10th at Kaituna Cut. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is light and offshore from the southwest, which is exactly what you want. The combined energy is moderate (353), so there's some push behind it. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about a degree and a half colder than usual for this time of year, so you might want a hood. For a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent, this is your best shot. It’s not a massive day, but the conditions are going to make it fun.
Later on Monday the 10th, the swell drops to 4ft and the wind goes cross-off, so it’s still surfable but nothing special. Tuesday the 11th has a tiny 3ft morning session with glassy conditions, but the energy is low (127). Worth a paddle if you're keen, but it won't blow your mind.
After that, things get pretty grim. From Wednesday the 12th all the way through to Sunday the 23rd of August, it’s mostly poor conditions. We see a lot of onshore winds, weak swells, and combined energy readings mostly under 200. There’s a brief flicker on Saturday the 15th with a 4ft north-east swell and a longer 9-second period (energy at 431), but the wind is a moderate cross-off at 12 mph. It’s marginal, but it might be worth a look for the more experienced guys.
Then from around the 17th, the swell just dies. We’re looking at ankle-snappers for the better part of a week. It's a proper flat spell. Finally, on Monday the 24th of August, we see a pulse of 3ft swell from the north-northeast with clean cross-off winds and moderate energy (180). It’s surfable, but nothing to get overly excited about.
So, to wrap it up: don't waste your time this weekend. Get your board waxed for Monday morning the 10th at Kaituna Cut. That’s your window. After that, it’s a long, quiet stretch until the very end of the outlook period.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 63mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NNW 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
40 | 244 | 332 | 320 | 223 | 125 | 119 | 114 | 153 | 147 | 183 | 199 | 159 | 173 | 206 | 172 | 372 | 450 | 392 | 439 | 134 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | 6:29AM1.78m | 7:02PM1.93m | 7:24AM1.81m | 7:54PM1.96m | 8:17AM1.82m | 8:43PM1.95m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | 12:45PM0.05m | 1:22AM0.11m | 1:39PM0.03m | 2:14AM0.06m | 2:30PM0.04m | |||||||||
7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
— | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 6 | 15 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 9 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | NE 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | N 12 | N 12 | NNE 7 | N 11 | NE 11 | N 11 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 |
3 | 7 | 332 | 320 | 223 | 125 | 119 | 114 | 153 | 147 | 3 | 3 | 159 | 2 | 29 | 2 | — | 450 | 392 | 439 | 134 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 11 | N 13 | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | — | — | — | — | E 9 | NE 9 |
7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 43 | 118 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | — | — | — | — | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | NE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 9 |
2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NNW 6 | — | — | NW 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | — | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | SSE 3 | NW 4 | — | W 3 |
40 | 244 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 183 | 199 | — | 173 | 206 | 172 | 372 | 4 | 12 | — | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 163 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 54 | 3 | 125 | 95 | 67 | 67 | 23 | 142 | 147 | 3 | 0 | 60 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











