Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with 778 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ll be honest with you – we’re looking at a long, quiet stretch ahead for the Lake Macquarie region. The next decent surf isn’t until Friday the 31st of July, so we’ve got a solid four-day gap with nothing worth paddling out for. From now until then, it’s flat, tiny, or just plain messy. Don’t bother, grab a coffee and wait it out.
Come Friday the 31st of July, the lake wakes up. Kaituna Cut is your spot. That morning, we’re expecting a solid 8ft swell from the NNW, and while it’s a bit short-period at 7 seconds, the combined energy is pumping at 505 (moderate to strong) – there’s plenty of push behind it. Winds are cross-offshore from the WNW at 9 mph, keeping it clean. This one’s got some punch, though. At that size, it’s getting up there for beginners; experienced surfers will have a blast. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about 1° cooler than average – nothing too wild, just a standard winter chill. Saturday the 1st of August morning holds a smaller but still fun 5ft NW swell with the energy still strong at 533, and clean cross-off winds again. Crowds are possible at Kaituna Cut, so get in early.
After Saturday, the surf drops off again quickly. Sunday the 2nd of August and beyond, we’re back to tiny waves under 3ft, with clean conditions but no real power or shape to speak of. The long-range outlook into the second week stays flat as a pancake through to Tuesday the 11th of August – tiny swells, short periods, and nothing that’ll get your heart racing.
So, the standouts are clear: Friday the 31st of July morning and Saturday the 1st of August morning at Kaituna Cut. Get out there for the morning sessions, because after that, it’s back to waiting.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 11 | E 18 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | N 9 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 69 | 489 | 534 | 367 | 341 | 41 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 21 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | 8:24AM1.59m | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | E 18 | N 10 | E 6 | E 5 | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | NE 18 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 13 | 3 | 13 | 367 | 175 | 41 | 22 | 25 | 22 | 21 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | — | — | N 11 | — | E 17 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 18 | E 12 | ENE 17 | NE 17 | NNW 8 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 6 | — | — | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 10 | — | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | N 9 | E 10 | N 19 | — | — | — | NE 11 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NW 7 | NE 7 | N 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | 5 | 29 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 3 | — | SSE 2 | SSE 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | W 4 | NW 8 | — | SSW 3 | SW 2 | SW 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 12 | 69 | 489 | 534 | 38 | 341 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 58 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 131 | 58 | 14 | 71 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 166 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 141 | 171 | 165 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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