Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, NNW swell with 122 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's comin' our way for the next couple of weeks.
First off, it's a bit of a slow start. We've got a real flat spell on our hands for the first week and a half or so. Honestly, from now through to around the 19th of July, there's just nothin' doing. We're talking barely a ripple at Kaituna Cut, with tiny little 0.2ft to 0.7ft slop. The combined energy is weak (as low as 2 mm), and the forecasts are all saying poor surf. It's a long dry spell, but that's how it goes sometimes.
The first real glimmer of life shows up on the morning of Sunday, the 20th of July. The swell finally starts to nudge up to 3ft, coming from the NE with a period of 9 seconds (combined energy hitting 188 mm). It's clean with a light S wind, but still just surfable, nothing to write home about. The afternoon gets a tad bigger at 4ft, but that cross-on wind from the NNE makes it a bit messier.
Now, the standout window is Tuesday the 21st through to the end of the forecast. On the morning of the 21st, we see a solid 4ft of NE swell with clean conditions and a cross-off wind from the south (combined energy climbs to 337 mm). That's the first session worth paddling out for properly.
However, the true highlight, the one to circle on your calendar, is the 24th of July, Friday. The morning session is looking absolutely premium. We'll have a solid 6ft of NE swell hitting with a long 12-second period, bringing serious energy (combined energy of 1119). The wind is light from the SSW, giving us clean, cross-off conditions. That's excellent quality for experienced surfers; the size and power will be a lot of fun. Following that, the 25th and 26th keep the goods coming, with 6ft to 8ft of NE swell, and clean offshore winds in the mornings.
So, to wrap it up: be patient through the first ten days of flatness. The real action starts around the 21st, with the absolute pick of the bunch being the morning of Friday the 24th of July. Get out there and enjoy that stretch.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 11 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 77 | 108 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.75m | 5:26PM1.84m | 5:44AM1.79m | 6:24PM1.91m | 6:42AM1.82m | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | 11:04AM0.09m | 11:40PM0.23m | 12:04PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.16m | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | 3:28AM0.05m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
Feels °C | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | E 9 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | — | NE 4 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 43 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | NE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | N 10 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 9 | N 10 | — | NE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 11 | N 5 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ENE 4 | NE 10 | N 5 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | — | N 12 | E 8 | N 9 | E 8 | — | — | — | E 11 | N 6 | NNE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 19 | NE 10 | E 19 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 10 | 77 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 133 | 133 | 165 | 142 | 58 | 0 | 14 | 133 | 166 | 142 | 133 | 133 | 83 | 12 | 12 | 83 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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