Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, N swell with 762 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, it’s Rusty here, giving you the real talk on Kaituna Cut.
We’re staring down a long, quiet stretch to kick things off. The first week of the outlook is a total dud. The water temp is about 58°, which is pretty standard for the season.
From Saturday the 1st all the way through to the 7th, it’s tiny, weak junk. We’re talking ankle-snappers from 0.6ft to 0.7ft with messy conditions. The wind does go glassy on the 4th afternoon and again on the 7th afternoon, but with no swell to push through, it’s just a pretty looking lake. Don’t drag your board out for that.
Then, boom – Saturday the 8th of August is the one to circle. The morning brings a 7ft swell. It’s a short-period windswell from the North, but the combined energy is 531 (moderate), and the wind is absolutely glassy. The surface will be like a sheet of glass. That’s the standout session of the whole run. The afternoon picks up to 8ft, which is for experts only, but the glassy wind will make for some serious, powerful waves if you’re keen.
Sunday the 9th of August morning is still a good look, with 5ft swell and glassy conditions, but the energy drops to 227. After that, the wind turns onshore and the waves get chopped up and messy for the next week.
The 14th of August is another bright spot. Friday morning serves up 5ft of NE swell, with a 10-second period, and light offshore wind. The energy is 648 (strong) – that’s a clean, powerful day. The afternoon is even better with glassy conditions on 5ft waves. Kaituna Cut is fairly consistent, so when it shows up, it’s a solid bet.
The weekend of the 16th has some decent offshore wind but the swell is a bit of a jumbled 5ft to 5ft with a short period, so it’s more of a gamble.
Bottom line: the 8th of August is the absolute standout, with that glassy, 7ft to 8ft wave. The 9th and 14th are your next best bets. The rest of the time, you’re just waiting for the next pulse.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 5 | N 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 33 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 130 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 6 | NNE 6 | N 6 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 4 | NNE 11 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | N 5 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 33 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 17 | NNE 17 | NNW 6 | NNE 16 | NE 4 | NE 7 | NE 15 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NW 5 | — | NE 7 | — | NNE 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 13 |
| kJ | 29 | 29 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 14 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 16 | — | N 6 | N 7 | NE 6 | N 6 | — | — | — | N 14 | NE 7 | NE 7 | N 18 | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 15 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 24 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 3 | SE 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | W 3 | W 3 | — | — | SE 2 | SE 2 | — | NNE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 5 | 8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | 130 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 125 | 23 | 83 | 165 | 141 | 166 | 165 | 98 | 165 | 183 | 141 | 141 | 133 | 0 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 147 | 83 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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