Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 6s period, NNW swell with 271 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's run through the same story in feet and miles per hour.
The first ten days are a total washout. Don't bother paddling out. Swell heights are barely cracking 2 feet, and the wind, while often light or glassy, just has nothing to work with. It's a quiet, empty stretch for the region.
The whole game changes on the 11th of August. Tuesday morning brings a real pulse of energy. The swell comes up to 5ft from the NE, with a period of 12 seconds. That's a proper groundswell with some punch. The combined energy sits at 571 (moderate wave energy), and we've got a clean cross-off breeze from the SSE. It's a marginal call on the tide, but the quality is there. This is the pick of the whole forecast.
The swell builds into the 11th afternoon, hitting 5ft from the NE, and the energy jumps to 738. The wind stays clean. By the 12th of August, Wednesday morning, the swell is still 5ft, but the period stretches to 15 seconds (very long). The energy is now 1070 (strong wave energy). This is a serious, long-period groundswell. It's got a catch, though. The wind swings to a moderate cross-shore from the SE, which will create some chop. And that long period means the waves might be a bit walled or straight at the beach, but Kaituna Cut is about as exposed as it gets, so there will be power. This is strictly for experienced surfers; the size is into expert territory.
Summary: The first ten days are a dead zone. The window to score is the 11th and 12th of August. The 11th is the best bet for clean conditions with a solid 5ft to 5ft NE swell. The 12th has more grunt but rougher wind. Kaituna Cut is the only spot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | N 12 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 6 | NNE 16 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NE 16 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 154 | 212 | 117 | 82 | 47 | 31 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | 8:24AM1.59m | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 5 | — | N 4 | E 5 | E 13 | E 13 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 6 | NNW 6 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NE 13 | NW 5 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 117 | 82 | 47 | 31 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 18 | NE 18 | NE 17 | NNE 17 | NNE 17 | SE 4 | N 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 16 | NNE 13 | NW 5 | NW 4 | — | NW 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | N 12 | E 14 | N 19 | NE 11 | E 12 | E 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 16 | NE 10 | NE 7 | E 10 | NE 10 | — | — | NW 5 | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 2 | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | WNW 4 | WSW 3 | — | S 3 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | — | WSW 3 | W 4 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | — | NW 7 | SW 2 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 154 | 212 | 16 | 3 | — | 4 | 9 | 2 | — | 3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 62 | 60 | 12 | 166 | 166 | 12 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 83 | 163 | 141 | 125 | 167 | 125 | 141 | 165 | 165 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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