Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut, and I’ll tell it to you straight.

The next 16 days are a mixed bag, honestly. We’ve got a proper blank start with barely a ripple through the early part of the week, so patience is key. There’s a promising pulse of energy building for the end of the run, but we gotta get through some real quiet spells first.

Right now, we’re lookin’ at Monday, July 6th, and the swell is just startin’ to show, but don’t get too excited. There’s a 8ft, 8-second north swell rollin’ in, but it’s a bit of a mess with a cross-onshore wind kickin’ up chop. Combined wave energy is sittin’ at 684 (moderate), but the quality just ain’t there for a good surf session. The water temperature is 59°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year – no surprises there.

Tuesday the 7th is a write-off with poor conditions, and Wednesday the 8th is a tease. The swell drops to 4ft from the north, but the wind goes cross-off with a little SSW breeze, cleanin’ things up. It’s surfable for a beginner, but nothin’ to write home about – combined energy is a modest 369.

Thursday and Friday are a fade job. Swell drops below 3ft, and by Friday afternoon the energy is down to double digits. We’re talkin’ ankle-biters. Then from Saturday the 11th all the way through to Monday the 13th, it’s practically flat – combined energy in the single digits. You could walk across the lineup and not wet your hair. That’s nearly 4 days of nothin’.

But hang on, because it gets interesting. After a quiet spell, we see a small bump on Tuesday the 14th afternoon with 5ft of short-period north swell, but it’s messy with a strong cross-shore wind, so don’t bother.

Now, the real standout arrives on Sunday, July 19th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Kaituna Cut will see a 8ft, 10-second groundswell from the northeast, and the wind is light and cross-off from the SSE – that means clean, shapely surf. Combined energy hits a massive 1292 (strong). This is proper wave energy. Fair warnin’ though, at 8ft this is gettin’ into expert territory – too big for beginners. For the experienced crew, conditions are excellent. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and we’re gettin’ NE, so it’s close enough to dial it in nicely. Crowds can show up here sometimes, so keep an eye out.

The tail end on Monday the 20th holds the energy well, with 6ft droppin’ to 6ft through the afternoon, and Monday afternoon is lookin’ glassy as a mirror with that ENE breeze dyin’ off to nothin’. Combined energy is still strong at 898. Another very good window if you missed the Sunday peak.

After that, it fades quick into Tuesday the 21st with light cross-shore winds, and the surf turns marginal again.

So, if you’re askin’ me where to go, it’s Kaituna Cut on Sunday, July 19th – that’s your best bet. Clean, powerful, and well overhead. A close second is the glassy Monday afternoon session. The rest is mostly a waitin’ game.

Rusty.

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