Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, NNW swell with 186 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it, looking at the Kaituna Cut. This is a pretty bleak outlook for the next couple of weeks. The pattern is flat and lifeless for the vast majority of the period, with a big gap of nothingness before we see a glimmer of hope way down the line.
We start off with a bit of a tease on Saturday, July 25th. The morning has some 4.3ft swell from the NNW, but it's a short-period, wind-bumped 7 seconds, and the cross-off wind is a moderate 12 mph. The afternoon picks up with a 22 mph WSW wind, making it a write-off. The energy is moderate at 228, but it's just not happening.
Then it all goes quiet. From Sunday, July 26th, all the way through to Saturday, August 8th, we're looking at a solid two-week stretch of tiny, near-flat conditions. The swell drops to 0.7ft, then to 0.3ft and stays there. The combined energy dips into double digits, sometimes as low as 6. It's a skeletal, empty ocean. The wind is often light, with some glassy moments, particularly on the Tuesday and Thursday mornings, but it doesn't matter because there's nothing to ride.
The only real standout, and it's a long way off, is on Sunday, August 9th. That morning, the forecast shows a massive 9.8ft swell from the NE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is a whopping 1891. That's a ton of water. The wind is light and offshore from the SSW. But here's the catch – this is a beginner-friendly break, and a 9.8ft swell is well into expert territory. It's going to be a washing machine. For a regular paddler, it's a "look but don't jump" kind of day, unless you're a seasoned big-wave charger. For the advanced crew, that morning could be a wild, heavy session with a clean offshore wind, but it's a month away, so keep an eye on it.
Honestly, for the next two weeks, the kites might have a better time than the surfers, because there's just no wave energy to work with. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the outlook.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri night, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 10 | E 15 | E 16 | E 17 | E 17 | NNW 6 | E 17 | E 17 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | N 4 | NNW 4 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 230 | 186 | 183 | 46 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | E 17 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | NNW 3 | E 5 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 37 | 186 | 183 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 17 | — | — | E 17 | — | E 17 | E 10 | N 9 | E 16 | E 5 | NE 11 | E 6 |
| kJ | — | 42 | 40 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — | — | 6 | — | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 8 | — | NW 4 | E 15 | E 16 | — | E 17 | — | N 11 | N 6 | N 10 | E 16 | E 16 | N 9 | E 15 | E 10 | E 14 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 5 | 5 | — | 5 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | SW 3 | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | — | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | SE 2 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 230 | 14 | 26 | 21 | 2 | — | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 24 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 71 | 170 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 122 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 166 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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