Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin’ in with the local outlook for Kaituna Cut.

We’re in for a pretty bleak stretch to start. The next week to ten days is lookin’ flat and uninspiring, with only a tiny pulse of energy on the Friday morning of the 31st of July. That morning we’ll see a 7ft swell from the NNW, but it’s short-period stuff at 8 seconds and the wind is a cross-off from the W at 12 mph. The combined energy is about 755 – moderate, but the report calls it marginal, and honestly, it’s a tricky one. After that, we hit a dead zone. From Saturday the 1st of August right through to the 9th of August, there’s practically nothing rideable. A few days with tiny waves under 1ft, if that. It’s a long, quiet gap. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Then, on the morning of Sunday, the 9th of August, we get a little blip. Glassy conditions with light rain, a 3ft swell from the NE at 8 seconds and combined energy of 125. It’s surfable but ordinary – just enough to get wet if you’re desperate.

The real standout, and the one to circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning brings a solid 8ft NE swell with an 11-second period, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy clocks in at 1336 – that’s strong. The wind is a cross-shore from the NW at 9 mph, and the report says it’s marginal due to tide, but this is the biggest pulse of the whole outlook. It’s a powerful, long-period swell, which means it’ll bend and stand up nicely at a river mouth setup like Kaituna Cut. That said, with 8ft, this is only for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets messy with onshore wind, so hit it early.

The following morning, Wednesday the 12th of August, is almost as good. A 5ft NE swell, still 11 seconds, with a light offshore from the WSW at 3 mph. The combined energy is 664 – still solid – and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your cleanest window of the whole run. Glassy, offshore, decent size. Early morning will be the pick.

After that, it fades out again through the second week into smaller, cleaner but weaker swells.

So, if you’re holding out, the best on offer is the Tuesday morning the 11th for power, and Wednesday morning the 12th for absolute clean conditions. The rest is mostly flat or ordinary.

Rusty.

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