Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NNW swell with 104 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you right off the bat – the next couple of weeks at Kaituna Cut are looking pretty grim for a paddle. There’s a big, long flat spell on the cards, so don’t bother waxing up just yet.
From Monday the 20th through to Thursday the 30th of July, we’re looking at a real stretch of nothing. Day after day of tiny, weak dribble with combined swell energy barely cracking double digits (1 to 92). The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, which is a small comfort, but there’s just no power anywhere. On Friday the 24th, a brief spike of 3 ft from the NNW shows up, but with a short 5-second period and a moderate cross-shore, it’s choppy and messy. That’s not for us.
The real silence here is a long one – nearly ten days of poor or unsurfable conditions. The break is inconsistent and rarely worth a look when it’s this flat, so this kind of blank run is more normal for the area.
Now, if you’ve got patience and you’re an experienced surfer, there’s a light at the end of the tunnel. On Friday the 31st of July, Kaituna Cut finally wakes up. The morning brings a 8 ft swell from the NNW, with a solid 9-second period and light cross-off wind. The combined energy jumps to 1022, which is strong, and the report says it’s excellent for experienced surfers – but at over 8 ft, this is expert-only territory. The wind is clean, so it’ll look good, but it’s a powerful, heavy wave. The swell direction from the NNW is a good match for the break’s optimum from the NNE, so it’s working well. This is the standout of the whole outlook, but it’s a long way off and less certain this far out. Still, it’s worth circling on the calendar. Saturday the 1st of August holds a similar 6-7 ft NNW swell, still big for most, but the note is “very good conditions” for the morning before it drops off.
For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The forecast can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long, but right now, the only real chance is that late-July/early-August bump. Keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | SE 3 | ENE 6 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NNW 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 60 | 43 | 33 | 87 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — |
mm | — | — | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 2 | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | — | ENE 5 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | ENE 11 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 40 | 56 | 28 | 33 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 8 | ENE 6 | N 8 | — | N 9 | N 8 | NE 4 | NE 4 | E 6 | N 7 | N 6 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNW 6 | NE 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 43 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | N 10 | N 8 | N 10 | E 6 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | E 6 | — | — | N 9 | NE 8 | — | — | ENE 9 | NE 9 | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 8 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 2 | SE 3 | SE 3 | SE 2 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | W 3 | — | W 3 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 49 | 4 | — | 5 | 87 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 133 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 | 165 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 165 | 133 | 166 | 166 | 71 | 50 | 166 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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