Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, N swell with 405 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let's have a look at what's on the cards for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the opening stretch looks pretty grim. The forecast shows a lot of tiny, weak swell and we're looking at a real dry spell until the second week of August. You'll be twiddling your thumbs through the first week, with nothing but knee-high dribble and poor surf conditions. The wind's mostly offshore or light, so the water will be clean, but there's just no size at all. The swell energy is in the teens and twenties, which is barely a ripple.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday the 9th, but it's a slow build. The morning has a weak 3ft swell with a short period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of just 67, which is still very weak. The afternoon sees a jump to 5ft, but the period is still a short 6 seconds, so it will be a bit of a lumpy, weak wave. The wind is looking good though, light and cross-off. It's surfable, but nothing to write home about.
The standout period is shaping up for the middle of the week, from Tuesday the 11th through to Thursday the 13th. We get a proper pulse of swell from the NNE, and the wave heights start to push up. The best on offer is Wednesday the 12th. The morning sees a clean 6ft swell from the NNE with a period of 9 seconds and a solid combined energy of 464 (moderate wave energy). The wind is glassy, dead calm. That's a proper session. It's a bit of a step up in size, but for a beginner-friendly break, 6ft with glassy conditions is a hell of a window. The afternoon does turn onshore, so get out early.
The Thursday the 13th is also a good option, with a clean 4ft NNE swell, light winds in the morning, and glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is still strong at 263. It's a solid, consistent run of waves.
After that, the swell drops off again, and the final days of the window are back to the small stuff.
So, if you're looking for the best window, lock in the Wednesday the 12th morning. That's the pick of the bunch. The water temp is sitting around 57°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so grab a good wetsuit.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | N 18 | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 55 | 181 | 74 | 73 | 104 | 103 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross | off | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | -1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | ESE 4 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | NE 13 | NNW 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 16 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 113 | 74 | 73 | 104 | 61 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | NW 5 | NNE 12 | — | — | — | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 8 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 14 | — | — | — | 12 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 103 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | — | — | N 13 | — | N 18 | E 5 | E 5 | N 15 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 14 | N 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | — | NE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | SW 3 | S 4 | SSW 3 | S 3 | SSE 2 | SSE 2 | — | — | E 8 | — | WSW 2 | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | — | — | ESE 2 | — |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 55 | 181 | — | — | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 98 | 125 | 163 | 71 | 163 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 167 | 147 | 147 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 95 | 95 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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