Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, ENE swell with 660 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – the next two and a half weeks are skinny, real skinny. There’s a tiny pocket of surfable waves, but mostly you’re staring at a long stretch of flatness. Let’s run through it, starting with the only bit that’s worth your time.
The only spot firing at all is Kaituna Cut. It’s a beginner wave, so if you’re just getting on it or want an easy session, it’s your only option. Water temp is 57°F, which is about average for the time of year, no big anomaly.
Tuesday morning, August 11th – this is the pick of the lot. A small 4ft swell from the north, with a short 8-second period. Total wave energy is weak (153). But the wind is glassy, coming in at 3 mph from the SSW. That’s a huge positive – the surface will be clean as a mirror. The conditions are ordinary but surfable. Honestly, this morning is the standout.
From Tuesday afternoon through Thursday, August 13th, the wind shifts onshore or cross-onshore, and it gets messy. Small swell stays around 4ft to 5ft from the NNE, but the period is short (7-8 seconds). It’s poor.
Friday, August 14th brings a swell jump to 6ft-7ft from the NE. That’s too big for this beginner wave, and with a short 7-second period and cross-onshore wind blowing 15 mph, it’s choppy and ugly. Pass.
Saturday, August 15th morning might give a brief clean-up – a 4ft NE swell with a light SSE wind making things clean, but energy is weak (149). It’s surfable but nothing special.
Sunday, August 16th afternoon is another small window. Swell drops to 4ft from the ENE, period stretches to 9 seconds, and the wind goes glassy again. Energy is moderate at 273, and the call is for good surf conditions. For this stretch, that’s as good as it gets.
Then it’s a wasteland. From Monday, August 17th all the way to Wednesday, August 26th, it’s mostly flat with scraps of tiny swell (0.3ft to 3ft) and zero quality. The wind is often clean, but there’s nothing to ride. That’s a dry spell of over a week.
So, bottom line: if you’re desperate to get wet, your only real shot is Tuesday morning, August 11th at Kaituna Cut, or maybe the glassy Sunday afternoon on the 16th. After that, leave the board at home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 9°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 37mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 149 | 142 | 189 | 180 | 192 | 215 | 199 | 170 | 382 | 341 | 423 | 153 | 147 | 588 | 346 | 330 | 270 | 126 | 61 | 48 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | 6:29AM1.78m | 7:02PM1.93m | 7:24AM1.81m | 7:54PM1.96m | 8:17AM1.82m | 8:43PM1.95m | 9:07AM1.81m | 9:30PM1.90m | 9:56AM1.78m | 10:16PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | 12:45PM0.05m | 1:22AM0.11m | 1:39PM0.03m | 2:14AM0.06m | 2:30PM0.04m | 3:03AM0.05m | 3:19PM0.08m | 3:50AM0.07m | 4:07PM0.14m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | |  | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | N 11 | NE 7 | N 11 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 149 | 142 | 189 | 180 | 192 | 215 | 199 | 170 | 2 | 341 | 2 | 153 | 147 | 588 | 346 | 330 | 270 | 126 | 61 | 48 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | — | N 13 | N 13 | — | — | N 12 | N 11 | — | N 11 | — | NNE 10 | N 10 | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 12 | N 11 | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 11 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 11 | — | N 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 5 | — | — | NE 7 | — | NE 7 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 4 | S 3 | S 2 | — | SSW 2 | S 4 | S 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | — | — | 382 | — | 423 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 95 | 54 | 3 | 98 | 54 | 54 | 67 | 95 | 23 | 99 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 54 | 133 | 13 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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