Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, NNE swell with 659 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 4th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, this is a lean forecast. There's a big, frustrating gap of almost no real surf to speak of. The first hint of anything worthwhile doesn't come until Sunday the 5th of July, and even then, it's a short-lived event. We're looking at a mostly flat spell after that, with a long stretch from the 10th right through to the 14th where you'd be better off waxing your board and admiring it in the shed. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
Your only real chance to score something decent here is Sunday morning, July the 5th. We've got a nice little pulse of swell coming in from the north at 4.3ft. The period is short at 6 seconds – a bit of a windswell – but what makes this a standout is the wind. It's a clean offshore breeze from the southwest at 6 mph. That's going to put some nice lines on it. The wave energy is sitting at moderate (273). It's not epic, but for a spot that's been quiet, it's the best we've got. A beginner-friendly size, but don't expect perfection.
Sunday afternoon the wind swings onshore and it gets messy, and Monday the 6th brings a bigger 6.6ft swell from the NNE, but it arrives with a strong 12 mph crosswind and the energy number jumps to (461). That's going to be a raw, bumpy mess – honestly, with the wind howling and that setup, it might be more fun for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.
Wednesday the 8th is worth a mention. The morning has a solid 6.2ft swell from the NE with a longer, better 9-second period. The winds are cross-offshore and clean, and the energy is strong (522). However, it's a bit of a gamble; the forecast calls it "marginal," so keep your expectations in check. That's the last real look we get before the tank runs dry. From the 10th onwards, wave heights drop to 1.3ft and below, and energy levels crash into the single and low double digits. There's a brief ghost of a chance on the morning of Tuesday the 15th with a glassy 4.3ft swell from the NNE, but the energy is weak (117) and it's so far out that the certainty is low. Might be the one to watch, but don't hold your breath.
Stay patient, mates. The swell window just isn't open this time around.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the E by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 14 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | N 5 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 75 | 113 | 119 | 124 | 123 | 82 | 188 | 450 | 129 | 96 | 104 | 163 | 346 | 514 | 244 | 154 | 101 | 55 | 44 | 24 | 17 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | cross | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:19PM1.69m | 9:31AM1.55m | 9:58PM1.69m | 10:13AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.68m | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:38AM0.35m | 3:44PM0.28m | 4:19AM0.34m | 4:25PM0.30m | 5:00AM0.32m | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 |
mm | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | — | 7 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | N 6 | NNE 6 | ENE 11 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
| kJ | 52 | 113 | 119 | 64 | 91 | 82 | 37 | 450 | 129 | 96 | 104 | 163 | 346 | 514 | 244 | 154 | 101 | 55 | 44 | 24 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 14 | N 11 | N 10 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 10 | — | E 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | N 9 | E 10 | — | — | N 7 | N 7 | E 12 | E 11 | N 8 |
| kJ | 75 | 2 | 2 | — | 24 | 33 | — | 11 | 86 | 45 | 23 | 23 | 246 | 8 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | — | — | — | ENE 10 | N 10 | — | — | ENE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 12 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | 35 | 2 | — | — | 14 | 24 | 24 | 13 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 5 | N 6 | — | NNE 6 | — | NNE 7 | — | SE 2 | SSE 3 | SSE 4 | S 4 | S 4 | S 4 | SSW 3 | — | SW 3 | SSW 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 124 | 123 | — | 188 | — | 76 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 3 | — | 2 | 7 | 8 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 3 | 54 | 163 | 0 | 12 | 99 | 71 | 32 | 0 | 95 | 99 | 95 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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