Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, N swell with 588 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at the story for Kaituna Cut.
We've got a real split forecast here. A couple of clean, surfable sessions to start, then a long stretch of near-flat, messy conditions, before a couple of hopeful windows show up late in the run.
The pick of the whole period is this Sunday morning, July 5th. We're looking at a solid 7ft swell from the north with a short, punchy 7-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WNW at 10 km/h, so the surface will be glassy clean. The water temp sits at 59°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year, so it's a bit chilly but nothing wild. The combined energy is strong at (450), so there's plenty of grunt. This is your standout session – solid size, clean, and that offshore breeze is a massive bonus. Just a heads up, crowds can be around here.
After that Sunday, the wheels fall off. Monday the 6th brings onshore wind at 25 km/h from the north, churning it into a choppy mess. That kicks off a nasty, long dry spell. From Tuesday the 7th all the way through Wednesday the 15th of July, it's basically flat with tiny, weak energy (combined energy dropping to just 6) and poor conditions. A solid 9-day stretch to leave the board in the car.
Looking into the second week, there's a flicker. On Thursday morning, July 16th, a new 6ft NE swell arrives with a short 6-second period, but the wind is a clean cross-off from the WNW at 20 km/h. The combined energy is moderate at (248). It's promising, but it's a long way off and the period is short. Friday the 17th is similar with another clean cross-off and a 7ft NNE swell.
The last interesting window is Monday afternoon, July 20th. We're looking at a 4ft north swell with a 9-second period and a clean offshore wind from the SW at 20 km/h. The combined energy is (343), and with that offshore breeze, it should clean up nicely. Again, this is a long-range call, but it's the best looking bet that far out.
Sunday morning is your clear winner. A long, flat lull follows, then a couple of hope spots in the second week. Stay tuned.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 56mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNW 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | ENE 10 | E 7 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 413 | 233 | 90 | 517 | 505 | 169 | 167 | 434 | 529 | 436 | 388 | 184 | 98 | 61 | 36 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:13AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.68m | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | 3:25PM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:25PM0.30m | 5:00AM0.32m | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | 8:32PM0.36m | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — |
mm | 4 | — | 15 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | — | NNW 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 7 | E 7 | E 10 |
| kJ | 37 | 233 | 90 | — | 505 | 169 | 167 | 434 | 529 | 436 | 388 | 184 | 98 | 61 | 36 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | — | NE 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | — | ENE 9 | N 12 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | E 10 | E 7 |
| kJ | — | 33 | 19 | — | 143 | 133 | 142 | — | 25 | 71 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 11 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 12 | — | — | — | ENE 11 | ENE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | NE 8 | SE 4 |
| kJ | — | 23 | 11 | — | 13 | — | — | — | 12 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | — | — | NNE 7 | — | SE 3 | — | — | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | S 3 | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 | S 3 |
| kJ | 413 | — | — | 517 | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 95 | 166 | 166 | 3 | 54 | 142 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 58 | 13 | 98 | 86 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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