Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, N swell with 537 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve had a proper look at the charts for the next 16 days, and honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch for Kaituna Cut. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year. Don’t get your hopes up for any big sessions, but there’s a couple of windows worth keeping an eye on.
The first few days are a write-off. From Wednesday, August 5th through to the end of the first week, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves – mostly 0.3ft to 0.7ft. The swell energy is pathetic (14 and below), and the wind is all over the shop. It’s just not worth paddling out. There’s a gap of about four days where you’re better off doing something else.
Then things start to get a little more interesting around the second week. On Monday, August 10th, we get a spike of 7ft swell from the north, but it’s short period (7-8 seconds) and the wind is cross-onshore and choppy. The combined energy jumps to 377 (moderate), but the surf quality is poor. This setup is more for the kite surfers than paddle surfers, to be honest.
Now, the best chance for a decent surf comes on Friday, August 14th. The morning looks glassy with a clean 6ft swell from the NNE, period of 8 seconds, and a combined energy of 389 (moderate). The wind is glassy, so it’ll be clean. The swell is big enough for a fun wave but not too big for a confident beginner. This is the standout window. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore and choppy, so get on it early.
After that, Saturday, August 15th offers a smaller 3ft to 2ft swell from the NE with period of 9 seconds, and the wind is offshore and cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The energy is weaker (158 to 117), but it’s a solid, surfable wave for a relaxed session. August 20th shows a small uptick to 4ft NE swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s a bit marginal.
Overall, target Friday, August 14th morning for the best shot. The rest of the run is ordinary, with small, weak waves and plenty of days where you’ll be staring at flat water. Second week options are there but nothing to write home about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | N 18 | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | N 14 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NNW 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 64 | 371 | 484 | 282 | 203 | 201 | 186 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 11 | 2 | — | — | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | NNW 4 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 282 | 203 | 201 | 186 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 18 | E 6 | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 14 | — | NE 13 | N 12 | N 12 | — | — | NE 12 | NE 11 | N 13 | N 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | — | 7 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 18 | E 6 | N 16 | NE 16 | E 8 | NE 16 | N 10 | — | N 10 | NE 13 | N 12 | N 9 | N 9 | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 |
| kJ | — | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 2 | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | S 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NNW 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 45 | 64 | 371 | 484 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 133 | 133 | 141 | 165 | 133 | 141 | 168 | 163 | 142 | 147 | 141 | 147 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 3 | 95 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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