Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Kaituna Cut.

It’s a pretty quiet start, to be honest. For the first week, from Sunday the 2nd right through to the morning of Saturday the 8th, the swell is barely a whisper. We’re looking at tiny 0.7ft to 1.0ft waves. The energy is weak, with values like 32 (moderate energy) dropping down to 14. The wind is mostly light and clean, but there just isn’t enough ocean to work with. It’s a flat spell you’d spend fixing your gear.

Things start to nudge up on Saturday the 8th morning. The swell hits 4ft from the north, with a short period of 7 seconds, and the energy climbs to 142 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but the waves are pretty ordinary. Not something to get excited about.

Then, from Sunday the 9th onward, we see a serious ramp-up. The swell builds from 4ft to over 7ft by Monday the 10th. The swell direction swings around from the east-northeast, and the period jumps to 10 seconds. The energy starts to get serious: 743 (moderate wave energy) on Monday morning, then 927 (strong wave energy) by Monday afternoon. But the wind is messy—cross-shore and cross-onshore, making for choppy conditions. The surf is marginal at best through the middle of the week.

The real standout, though, is the stretch from the morning of Friday the 14th through the weekend. Friday morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the east-northeast, with a period of 11 seconds. The wind is glassy from the south, and the conditions are described as “good surf conditions.” The energy is 355 (moderate wave energy). It’s a beautiful morning for a paddle.

But the absolute best of the lot is Saturday the 15th. The morning starts glassy with a 8ft swell from the north-northeast, period of 7 seconds. The energy is 605 (moderate wave energy). The forecast says “very good surf conditions.” Then, by the afternoon, it gets bigger: 10ft from the north-northeast, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy jumps to 1072 (strong wave energy). The wind is clean and cross-off. However, at 10ft, this is proper big-wave territory. The file says it’s too big for this break. For the experienced crew, the energy is there, but you’d need to be cautious.

Sunday the 16th morning is another highlight: 8ft from the north-northeast, period of 9 seconds, energy of 1662 (strong wave energy). The wind is light and cross-off, and the surf is described as “excellent” for experienced surfers. That’s your main window for the strongest, cleanest swell.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Remember, Kaituna Cut is a fairly consistent break, but it’s exposed to the swell. The optimum direction is NNE, which is exactly what we’re getting on those big days. Crowds are sometimes a factor, so you might have some company on the best mornings.

So, to call it: Friday morning the 14th is a lovely, glassy, manageable session. But the real standout is the Sunday morning of the 16th—that’s the one with the most power, cleanest lines, and the best energy for the experienced surfer. The Saturday afternoon is too big for most.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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