Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.3° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 6s period, NNW swell with 271 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 1st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 1st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 3AM (Fri 31st Jul)6ft (1.9m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag with a slow start, but there’s a proper pulse of energy coming through if you’re patient.

The first week is pretty lackluster. We’ve got a long stretch of minimal to no surf from the 29th of July right through until the 10th of August. For the first few days, the swell is barely a ripple, with heights around 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft, and the combined energy is weak, mostly in the teens (8). It’s not worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday the 31st of July sees a bit of a jump, with a 5 ft swell from the NNW, but with a short period of 7 seconds and a cross-offshore wind, it’s still a marginal call. The combined energy picks up to 227, which is moderate, but it’s messy and not really worth the effort. Saturday the 1st of August offers a little 3 ft swell with clean conditions and a light offshore, but the energy is weak (86). It’s surfable for a beginner, but nothing to get excited about.

The real story is the second week. The surf goes quiet again until the 8th and 9th of August, but those days are blown out by strong SE winds, 30 km/h to 35 km/h, with a lumpy cross-chop. The swell is around 4 ft to 5 ft, but it’s a mess.

Then, from the 11th of August, things start to get interesting. Kaituna Cut wakes up proper. On Tuesday the 11th, the morning session is a standout. You’ve got a 5 ft swell from the NE with a 11-second period, which is a nice groundswell, and the wind is a gentle breeze from the SSE, keeping it clean. The combined energy is a solid 588, which is strong energy. The break is exposed to the NNE, and this swell is coming from the right direction. This is the best on offer in the whole window. The sets will have some punch, and the crowds here are sometimes, so you might have a few others out, but it’s worth it.

The following morning, Wednesday the 12th of August, is also a cracker. The swell bumps up to 6 ft from the NE, period 12 seconds, and the combined energy is 993. The wind is light and clean from the SSW. This is proper surf.

Thursday the 13th of August is the big one. The swell is 7 ft from the NE, with a very long 13-second period, and the water is glassy, with a slight air from the SSW. The combined energy is a massive 1519. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The only caveat is that with such a long period, it might break a bit straight at the beach, but for a point or reef, it’ll be lined up. For the afternoon, the swell drops to 6 ft, still with good energy (1107), but the wind goes light cross-onshore, so the morning is the call.

So, to sum it up: the first 10 days are a write-off, but hold tight. The window from the 11th of August morning through to the 13th of August morning is the real deal, with the 13th being the best of the lot. Get out there if you can.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu night, calm by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
E
16
0.1
E
16
0.4
NW
4
0.7
NNW
4
1.7
NNW
6
1.5
NNW
7
1.2
N
7
1
N
7
0.8
NNW
7
0.6
N
6
0.2
NNE
16
0.2
NNE
16
0.2
NNE
15
0.2
NNE
15
0.1
NE
15
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5
5
3
18
185
206
159
97
53
30
24
25
21
21
9
17
17
16
15
14
Wind (km/h)
10
N
5
WNW
5
S
20
NNW
30
NNW
20
W
25
W
20
W
5
SW
15
SSE
25
SSE
15
SSW
5
S
10
SW
10
W
15
WSW
5
S
10
WSW
20
WSW
10
SW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
High Tide
6:49PM1.64m
6:59AM1.55m
7:31PM1.68m
7:42AM1.57m
8:11PM1.71m
8:24AM1.59m
8:49PM1.73m
9:06AM1.61m
9:28PM1.74m
9:48AM1.62m
10:07PM1.74m
10:31AM1.63m
10:48PM1.73m
Low Tide
1:02AM0.41m
1:13PM0.28m
1:46AM0.36m
1:56PM0.25m
2:28AM0.31m
2:37PM0.24m
3:09AM0.28m
3:18PM0.24m
3:49AM0.24m
3:59PM0.25m
4:30AM0.22m
4:42PM0.27m
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
cloud
light rain
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:15
7:13
7:13
7:11
7:11
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:29
 mm
1
7
1
Temp °C
11
12
13
14
14
13
13
11
13
10
7
10
12
9
12
15
11
13
15
10
Feels °C
9
10
10
10
9
8
7
6
11
6
0
6
8
5
8
11
8
9
10
7
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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