Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, NNE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNE swell with 224 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Kaituna Cut are lookin' pretty grim. We're in for a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to get excited about. The water's a bit colder than normal for this time of year, sittin' at 57°, which is a touch on the chilly side.
For the first week, it's a bust. Saturday the 18th through to Thursday the 24th, we're talkin' flat, tiny dribbles. The swell is a measly 0.3ft to 2ft from the NE and ENE, with periods so short – 4 to 9 seconds – there's just no energy in the water. The combined energy is weak, mostly under 100 (e.g., 3, 12, 59). Even when the wind goes glassy or offshore, there's nothin' to ride. It's heartbreaking.
We finally see a tiny pulse on Friday the 24th morning, with a slightly bigger 3ft swell from the NE and a period of 8 seconds. The wind's glassy, so it would be clean, and the energy bumps up to 128 (moderate). The call is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," so it's a maybe for a longboard if you're desperate, but honestly, I wouldn't bother.
The weekend of the 25th and 26th sees a bit more wind, with a strong offshore SW breeze at 16 mph on Saturday morning, but the swell drops back to 2ft. It's clean, but not enough to push you around.
The second week continues the struggle. From Monday the 28th through to Sunday the 2nd of August, the swell stays tiny, rarely cracking 2ft. The winds are a mix of glassy and light offshore, but the energy is weak (single and double digits). The only interesting thing is the end of the month, where the period jumps up to 15-20 seconds, but the swell height is still only 1ft to 1ft. That long period (groundswell) would be better suited for a point break or reef, but here at this exposed beach, it's just a long wait between tiny, weak waves. It's a no-go for paddle surfing.
Look, there's no standout session here. The best you could hope for is a very ordinary paddle on a longboard on Friday the 24th morning, but don't hold your breath. The rest of the month is a write-off. For kite surfing, even that's a stretch with the tiny swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | WNW 5 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 10 | SE 3 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | N 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | N 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 61 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |  |  | | |  | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | WNW 5 | NW 4 | N 9 | — | — | E 7 | NE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NNE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 10 | N 10 | — | — | NE 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | SE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 61 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 98 | 111 | 165 | 133 | 133 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 98 | 171 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 163 | 165 | 165 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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