Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, NNW swell with 226 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch. We're looking at a long, quiet run with barely a ripple for the first ten days or so. From Monday the 20th right through to the end of July, the waves are tiny, mostly under 1 foot, and the combined energy is weak, sitting in the single digits. It's frustrating, plain and simple. There are some glassy mornings and light offshore winds in there, like Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd, but with no swell to work with, it's just a flat, clean lake. Not a paddle in sight.
We finally get a little pulse of life on Friday the 24th. The afternoon brings a jump to 4 feet from the NNW, but it's a messy, wind-affected 5-second period and the energy only hits 90 (moderate). The wind is howling cross-shore at 15 mph, so it's just choppy and poor. Saturday the 25th is a bit of a tease. The morning cleans up with a good offshore wind from the WSW at 15 mph, and we see 3 feet from the NNW. The conditions are clean, but the swell is still weak and the energy is only 75. It's surfable, but very ordinary. The same goes for the 1st of August, where we see a bit more energy (76) but the swell is only 1 foot. It's a dribbler, not a proper wave.
Hold on though. The real glimmer of hope, and I mean the only proper standout in this whole 16-day window, is looking at Tuesday the 4th of August. The morning session is where it's at. We've got a solid 5 feet swell from the N, but it's a short period of 7 seconds. The real kicker is the combined energy, which jumps right up to 214 (strong). The wind is a clean cross-off from the SSW at 9 mph, and the forecast is for good surf conditions. This is the one window where Kaituna Cut might actually have some push and a bit of a wall. It's still a beach break, so that short period means it might be a bit dumpy, but with that much energy in the water, it'll be the best we've seen in weeks. The afternoon stays rideable at 4 feet and energy of 159, but the wind shifts more onshore, so get on it early.
For the rest of the time, it's mostly a waiting game. The consistency is fair, but the swell just isn't there. It's a dry spell, but forecasts can always change.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | NE 4 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NNE 8 | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 154 | 153 | 34 | 23 | 99 | 51 | 10 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | — | — | 6 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 7 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 154 | 153 | 34 | 23 | 99 | 51 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 8 | N 7 | NE 4 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | E 12 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 18 | — | 10 | 10 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 7 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 7 | NNE 8 | — | — | E 9 | NE 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | — | — | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 4 | NW 5 | WSW 4 | SSW 3 | SSE 2 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 36 | 14 | 17 | 13 | 80 | 10 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 145 | 141 | 165 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 170 | 177 | 177 | 71 | 0 | 165 | 170 | 190 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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