Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the stretch ahead for Kaituna Cut.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’re starting off with a whole lot of nothing, then there’s a pulse of energy mid-period that looks promising, but it fades out again as we head into the back half. Patience is going to be the key word.

The opening days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th have just tiny, weak waves. We’re talking ankle-biters with a combined energy of only 11 and 9. There’s nothing to get excited about. Saturday and Sunday aren’t much better, with the swell starting to fill in a bit but still mostly weak. Sunday afternoon sees a jump in energy to 123 as a fresh breeze kicks up some lumpy, cross-onshore conditions, so it’s pretty messy.

The real story starts on Monday the 10th. The swell finally shows up. We’ve got a clean 5ft from the north with a period of 8 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind. The combined energy is a solid 301. This is when it starts to get interesting. The morning is looking much better than the afternoon, with that offshore wind grooming things nicely. Tuesday morning is still surfable but the wind goes a bit cross-shore and the energy dips to 207. It’s not terrible, but it’s not as clean.

Now, if you can wait, my pick of the whole run is Wednesday morning, August 12th. The forecast is for a glassy 5ft of north swell with an energy reading of 360. It’s not huge, but with the water at 57°F, which is about 1°F cooler than usual for the time of year, you’ll want a good hood. This is going to be the cleanest, most fun you’ll see for a while. A proper little window of joy. Thursday settles down a bit with smaller waves, still clean in the morning, but nothing to rival Wednesday.

Then things get a little tricky. There’s a bit of a bump on Saturday the 15th, but the wind swings onshore, making it messy. It’s a lot of raw energy—the combined energy jumps way up to 1160—but the quality is just not there. It’s a classic case of too much wind and chop chopping it all up. Not the one.

But wait. The standout, the real gem, is Sunday morning, August 16th. We’ve got a clean 4ft from the northeast with a 9-second period and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is a decent 421. After a week of building and sloppy conditions, this is when it all comes together for a few clean, fun waves. This will be the second standout of the forecast. As the week goes on, it fades fast. By Monday the 17th, the energy has dropped back to 57 and we’re dribbling out into nothing again. After that, it’s flat. The 19th through the 21st is seeing nothing but tiny, glassy dribble, which is about as exciting as watching paint dry.

So if you’re keen, circle Wednesday the 12th and Sunday the 16th. Those are your days. Everything else is a gamble, and the start and end of the period are just not worth suiting up for.

Rusty out.

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