Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 6s period, NW swell with 164 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get down to it for Kaituna Cut. We got a whole lot of nothing on the horizon, and it’s gonna stay that way for a while. The first week and a half is looking poor, with tiny waves in the range of 0.3ft to 1ft, maybe touching 2ft on a few occasions. There’s a light offshore breeze on Tuesday morning that keeps things slick, but the energy is pathetic, maybe 20 units. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.
Come Sunday the 23rd, we see a bump up to around 5ft, but it’s short-period windswell at 6 seconds, so it’ll be a messy, crumbly mess. The energy reads 171, which is moderate, but the cross-off wind won’t do it any favors. It’s a whole lot of effort for a poor wave.
The week after that stays small, just ankle to knee high dribble. Water temp is around 58°, which is pretty typical for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Then, on Tuesday, September 1st, things go wild. The model shows a huge 10ft swell rolling in with a 9-second period and a massive energy reading of 1706. It sounds epic, but that’s a monster for Kaituna Cut. It’s way too big for a beginner break like this. Anything over 8ft is only for the experts, and this is going to be a washing machine. The morning is glassy, but no one should be out there. The afternoon drops to 8ft, still way too big and crossed up.
Wednesday the 2nd looks more moderate at 6ft, but it’s still not great. Not a terrible day, but not a “drop everything and go” day, either.
So, there it is. We’ve got a long flat spell with no good options for over a week, and the one big pulse that finally comes through is just too much for this spot. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not that unusual. But don’t lose hope—these things can change quick. I’ll be watching.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | N 12 | N 15 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 16 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 164 | 123 | 33 | 10 | 5 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:44AM1.73m | 11:01PM1.75m | 11:32AM1.67m | 11:47PM1.65m | 12:20PM1.60m | 00:34AM1.57m | 1:10PM1.54m | 1:24AM1.50m | 2:03PM1.50m | 2:16AM1.45m | 2:58PM1.48m | 3:11AM1.43m | 3:53PM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:54PM0.23m | 5:20AM0.18m | 5:40PM0.32m | 6:05AM0.26m | 6:27PM0.40m | 6:51AM0.34m | 7:17PM0.47m | 7:40AM0.40m | 8:09PM0.53m | 8:32AM0.43m | 9:04PM0.55m | 9:26AM0.44m | 10:00PM0.54m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 5 | — | N 12 | NW 4 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 13 | N 13 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 5 |
| kJ | 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 5 | — | E 5 | — | N 15 | N 11 | NE 11 | — | N 10 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 2 | — | SSW 3 | S 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | S 2 | — | — | — | WNW 3 | WNW 3 | — | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 7 | W 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | W 3 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 25 | 42 | 164 | 123 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 58 | 185 | 141 | 133 | 133 | 83 | 83 | 133 | 163 | 165 | 170 | 165 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 167 | 83 | 58 | 166 | 167 | 166 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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