
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NNE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NNE swell with 1,464 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Kaituna Cut.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a real mixed bag, and honestly, for the most part, it's looking pretty slim. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing much at the start. The first real, rideable surf doesn't show up until Monday the 10th of August, and even then it's pretty ordinary. The sea temp is hanging around 57°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there.
The first hint of something to paddle out for comes Monday morning, the 10th. We’re looking at a small 4ft swell from the north, with a period just under 8 seconds. The wind is clean, light offshore from the SSW, which is a major plus. The combined energy is moderate (170), so there's a little push, but it’s not going to blow your socks off. The afternoon hangs in there with a similar 4ft north swell and clean cross-offshore wind. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.
Tuesday the 11th is a bit of a step down. The morning sees a 3ft north swell, still clean, but the energy is dropping (91). By the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it turns ugly. We then hit a nasty patch. Wednesday the 12th is a write-off with strong onshore winds and rain, and Thursday the 13th, while glassy in the morning, only offers a weak 3ft swell.
Now, the real standout, and the only one worth getting excited about, is Saturday the 15th of August. The morning session is the pick of the whole forecast. The swell is a solid 7ft from the north, with a period of 9 seconds, packing a ton of energy (1133). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the WNW, which will keep the surface smooth. This is proper groundswell energy, and at that size, it’s only for experienced surfers. The afternoon drops a bit to 5ft, but it’s still clean. The crowds at Kaituna Cut can be around sometimes, so get in early for the cleanest waves.
After that, it’s a slow taper back down to nothing. Sunday the 16th has a cleaner 3ft early morning with offshore wind, but it’s a shadow of the day before. From Monday the 17th right through to the end of the forecast on the 22nd, we’re looking at tiny, gutless waves under 2ft, or just flat. It's a classic lull.
So, to sum it up: don't even bother until the 10th. The only real standout is Saturday the 15th of August, with a solid 7ft north swell and clean conditions. Get on it if you can handle the size. Otherwise, it's going to be a quiet couple of weeks.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Mon morning, fresh winds from the ENE by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | N 7 | N 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 38 | 160 | 198 | 164 | 146 | 93 | 82 | 48 | 296 | 135 | 245 | 138 | 89 | 47 | 314 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | 6:29AM1.78m | 7:02PM1.93m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | 12:45PM0.05m | 1:22AM0.11m | ||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 8 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 |
Feels °C | 5 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NNW 4 | N 12 | NE 13 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 13 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | N 7 | N 11 |
4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 198 | 164 | 146 | 93 | 82 | 48 | 3 | 135 | 245 | 138 | 89 | 47 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | NE 14 | N 12 | NE 13 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 13 | E 5 | — | E 5 | E 5 | NNE 10 | — |
4 | 4 | 8 | — | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | — | 2 | 2 | 21 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | NE 16 | N 10 | NE 14 | N 10 | NE 13 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | N 14 | — | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | — |
1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 2 | — | NW 2 | — | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | — | SSW 2 | WNW 3 | — | — | NE 4 | NE 6 | — | — | — | — | ENE 5 | N 6 |
— | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 160 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | 20 | 296 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 314 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 133 | 147 | 141 | 142 | 165 | 147 | 166 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 67 | 67 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 95 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











