Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NNW swell with 65 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Kaituna Cut has on offer over the next couple of weeks.
Right now, things are pretty flat – small cross‑shore bumps with poor conditions through Tuesday and Wednesday. Water temp is 58°, pretty much average for this time of year. Don’t bother paddling out yet; it’s a quiet start.
Thursday through most of next week (through about the 22nd) stays tiny – swell under 1.6 ft, mostly cross‑shore or onshore winds, and very low energy (combined energy between 2 and 65). Not worth wetting the board. There’s a solid gap of about a week where there’s nothing to recommend.
Then on Wednesday the 22nd we see a pulse of swell come in – 4.3 ft from the NE with a period of 7s, but cross‑shore wind keeps it messy (energy 263). That afternoon the swell jumps to 4.6 ft from the N with a longer 12‑second period, but it’s cross‑onshore and fairly choppy (energy 918). Still not the clean stuff we want.
Thursday the 23rd through Saturday the 26th sees a big, raw swell – 11.5 ft to 14.8 ft from NNE/NE, periods 11‑13s, combined energy shooting up into the thousands (3427 to 6839). That’s a heavy amount of water, but with strong cross‑onshore winds and a lot of chop it’s not rideable here at Kaituna Cut. The morning of the 25th even has a window where wind and tide align, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this beginner‑friendly break – only for experts, and even then the conditions aren’t clean. Kite surfers might fancy it, but for us paddle surfers it’s a no‑go.
Now, the real standouts come later. Monday the 27th morning: clean cross‑off wind from the S, 4.3 ft NE swell with an 11‑second period, combined energy 377 – solid,
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | E 11 | E 20 | E 19 | E 19 | E 19 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | ESE 3 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 58 | 49 | 39 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:24PM1.91m | 6:42AM1.82m | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:04PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.16m | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | 3:28AM0.05m | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 6 | N 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | — | E 7 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 39 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 11 | NE 11 | NNE 10 | NNW 6 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | — | — | — | — | N 9 | — | — | N 10 | N 8 | E 5 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | E 20 | E 19 | E 19 | E 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 10 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | W 4 | — | SW 2 | W 2 | WSW 3 | SSW 2 | — | SE 3 | SE 4 | ESE 3 | ESE 3 |
| kJ | 58 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 1 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 0 | 14 | 133 | 166 | 163 | 165 | 167 | 83 | 83 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 111 | 133 | 133 | 142 | 133 | 133 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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