Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
14.7° C
0.4° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, N swell with 66 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Tue 14th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s
Best Surf 3AM (Tue 14th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s
Most Powerful 6PM (Tue 14th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with ya – the early part of the forecast is a real flat spell. We’re looking at a solid gap of about nine days where there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. From Sunday the 12th right through to the afternoon of Monday the 21st, it’s all tiny slop and poor surf conditions. The combined swell energy is mostly in the single digits or low double digits (5 to 91), so there’s just no grunt in the water. You’d be wasting your time.

Now, things start to get interesting on Tuesday the 21st. The afternoon brings a bit of a pulse – swell height hits 6 ft from the ENE, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph, making it choppy. The combined energy jumps to 400 (moderate), but the quality isn’t there for a clean session. It’s more of a messy, blown-out affair.

The real standout, though, is Wednesday the 22nd. This is the big one. The morning shows a solid 15 ft swell from the NE with a long period of 11 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 6112 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The only catch? This is far too big for a beginner-friendly break like Kaituna Cut. At over 8 ft, this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon stays glassy with a 13 ft swell (4550 energy), but again, it’s massive. If you’re experienced and looking for a charge, this is the day, but know your limits.

Thursday the 23rd is still big, with a 10 ft swell in the morning (1792 energy) and clean cross-offshore winds, but it’s still pushing into expert territory. The afternoon drops to 8 ft, but the wind swings onshore and the forecast gets questionable. Not the best window.

Friday the 24th morning is your best bet for something more manageable. The swell drops to 5 ft from the ENE with a long 11-second period, and it’s glassy with light winds from the south. The combined energy is 698 (moderate to strong). This is the sweet spot – clean, solid waves that are still within reach for strong intermediates, but the size is getting there. The afternoon sees a bit of a cross-onshore breeze, so get out early.

After that, Saturday the 25th starts with a glassy 4 ft swell (354 energy), but the wind stays light and variable. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The rest of the outlook fades out again into flat, small conditions through the end of the month.

So, to sum it up: the first nine days are a write-off. The best bet for the whole forecast is the morning of Friday the 24th – clean, 5 ft groundswell from the ENE, and glassy conditions. If you’re an expert looking for a real adrenaline hit, the morning of Wednesday the 22nd is the big one, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
6
0.1
E
9
0.1
N
12
0.1
NE
12
0.1
NE
12
0.9
NNW
5
0.9
N
5
1
N
5
0.9
N
6
0.6
N
6
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
11
0.3
N
4
0.1
E
21
0.1
E
19
0.1
E
19
0.1
E
18
0.1
E
18
0.1
NE
10
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
1
3
6
5
37
45
57
60
22
11
11
4
8
7
7
6
6
4
2
2
Wind (km/h)
5
S
5
N
5
S
5
SE
5
E
15
NW
15
NW
10
NW
5
WSW
5
NW
10
NW
10
WSW
10
W
15
WSW
5
SSW
10
SW
15
WSW
15
W
10
SW
20
ESE
15
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross
cross
High Tide
4:26PM1.76m
4:43AM1.75m
5:26PM1.84m
5:44AM1.79m
6:24PM1.91m
6:42AM1.82m
7:20PM1.97m
7:39AM1.84m
8:14PM2.00m
8:35AM1.84m
9:06PM1.99m
9:29AM1.81m
9:57PM1.95m
Low Tide
10:04AM0.14m
10:38PM0.28m
11:04AM0.09m
11:40PM0.23m
12:04PM0.03m
00:41AM0.16m
1:01PM-0.01m
1:39AM0.11m
1:57PM-0.03m
2:35AM0.07m
2:50PM-0.02m
3:28AM0.05m
3:43PM0.03m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:24
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:10
5:12
5:13
5:13
5:14
5:15
5:15
 mm
1
2
1
1
Temp °C
11
11
10
9
13
13
14
15
14
13
15
14
14
15
11
13
14
12
14
15
10
Feels °C
9
8
7
7
11
9
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
8
10
10
10
9
11
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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