Kaituna Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.75° S 176.44° E

Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Kaituna Cut sea temperature is
14.1° C
0.9° 

Kaituna Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NNW swell with 481 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Sat 25th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 9AM (Sat 25th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 3AM (Sat 25th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let me tell ya how it's lookin' out there. This is Rusty, and I've been watchin' the charts for Kaituna Cut. The next two weeks are a bit of a slow burn, but there's a real cracker of a session lined up if you're patient.

Right now, we're in a flat spell that drags on for a good few days. The water temp is sittin' around 57°, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time of year, but nothin' too wild.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Saturday the 25th of July. The morning will see a clean 4ft swell from the NNW, with a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 246, and it's clean. By the afternoon, the wind swings to a solid offshore from the SW at 16 mph, with the swell droppin' slightly to 4ft. It's still clean, and the energy is still moderate at 228. It's not gonna blow your mind, but it's the first proper surfable day after a long lull.

Then we hit a quiet patch again until the very end of the month. The standout is Friday the 31st of July. The morning session is the best on offer. We're looking at a solid 8ft swell from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is a light offshore from the SSW, so it'll be clean. The combined energy is strong at 862. Now, this one is for the experienced crew only – at 8ft, it's too big for beginners. The swell is a bit short-period, so it'll be punchy, but with that offshore wind, it'll hold up nicely. The afternoon is a bit of a question mark with a cross-on breeze, so hit the early morning. Crowds are possible here, so get there early.

The first of August keeps the party goin'. Saturday morning, 1st of August, serves up another clean one with a 7ft NNW swell, light offshore wind, and strong energy at 647. The afternoon is similar, with a 8ft swell and a cross-off breeze, energy at 661. This is still expert territory, but it's a solid weekend.

Things ease off into Sunday the 2nd of August, with 5ft swell and clean conditions. That's a bit more manageable for a strong intermediate. After that, the swell drops off into the flat zone again for the rest of the window.

So, the standout is undeniably the morning of Friday the 31st of July. For the rest of the first week, it's a waiting game. Don't bother paddling out before the 25th. The forecast is solid for that late-July spike, and the long-range stuff for the first of August looks promising too, but you know how that goes.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Fri night, calm by Sun morning).

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
10
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
8
0.2
ENE
7
0.3
ENE
6
0.4
ENE
7
0.4
ENE
8
2.2
NNW
7
1.3
NNW
8
1.2
NNW
8
0.3
ENE
11
0.2
E
11
0.2
NNW
7
0.1
E
11
0.1
E
18
0.1
E
18
0.1
E
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2
2
2
2
1
1
4
8
18
21
444
202
187
26
9
5
2
6
6
6
Wind (km/h)
10
N
10
SSW
5
WSW
10
WNW
10
SSE
5
S
10
N
5
SSW
5
SSW
15
N
35
NNW
10
WSW
25
SW
20
SW
5
SW
15
ENE
25
SSE
15
SSW
15
SW
10
SW
Wind State
cross-on
off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
off
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
00:24AM1.70m
12:59PM1.60m
1:14AM1.61m
1:52PM1.55m
2:04AM1.54m
2:44PM1.52m
2:55AM1.49m
3:37PM1.51m
3:47AM1.47m
4:28PM1.52m
4:38AM1.48m
5:18PM1.55m
Low Tide
6:14PM0.29m
6:45AM0.23m
7:04PM0.38m
7:32AM0.30m
7:55PM0.45m
8:21AM0.36m
8:47PM0.50m
9:11AM0.39m
9:40PM0.53m
10:02AM0.40m
10:34PM0.53m
10:53AM0.38m
11:26PM0.50m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
light rain
light rain
clear
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:20
7:18
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:17
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:22
5:22
 mm
9
1
1
10
9
Temp °C
12
11
12
14
11
10
11
10
12
14
14
12
11
10
10
10
8
10
11
7
Feels °C
9
8
10
12
9
8
9
8
9
9
10
9
5
4
6
6
3
5
6
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.

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