Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 11s period, NNE swell with 11 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 15th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's cut to the chase: Kaituna Cut is in a deep, flat slumber for the next stretch. From July 15th all the way through the 25th, it's a total washout. We're talking ankle-biters at best, with swell heights barely hitting 0.6ft to 0.9ft and the combined energy stuck in the low single digits. A few mornings are glassy or have a light offshore breeze, which would be a dream if there was even a ripple to ride, but you'd be out there staring at a flat ocean. It's a brutal, dry run.
Finally, on July 26th, we get a little flicker of life. The swell bumps up to around 3ft from the NNW, but it's short-period stuff at 5 seconds, so it's a bit weak and messy. The combined energy climbs to moderate (42), so there's a bit more grunt. The wind is a consistent cross-offshore from the W, keeping the surface clean. It's still beginner-friendly at that size, and crowds are only a sometimes thing. It's not a banner day, but it's the only real option in the entire 16-day window. The consistency is fair, so you'll get a few rides.
The water is sitting at 58°, which is a touch cooler than normal for this time of year. After that little pulse on the 26th, the energy drops back into the 20s and 30s, with the same small, short-period dribble through the end of the month. It's a bummer of a forecast, but that's the reality of the area sometimes. Keep hoping for a change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 19 | E 19 | E 19 | NE 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | 3:28AM0.05m | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Feels °C | 11 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 4 | NE 10 | NNW 3 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 10 | NW 5 | N 9 | — | N 9 | — | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NNE 4 |
| kJ | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 10 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | — | NE 9 | NW 4 | E 19 | E 19 | — | — | N 9 | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 7 |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | — | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 11 | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 8 | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | W 3 | WSW 2 | WNW 2 | WSW 3 | SW 2 | W 3 | WSW 3 | S 2 | — | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 147 | 165 | 133 | 166 | 166 | 86 | 83 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 98 | 125 | 133 | 133 | 141 | 141 | 163 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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