
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, NNW swell with 302 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Kaituna Cut has got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a quiet start. We're looking at a stretch of tiny, weak waves for a good long while. The first few days are barely a ripple, with nothing to get excited about. Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are a write-off for any real surfing. We're talking ankle-snappers at 0.3ft or 0.3ft. The energy is barely registering (5), and it's just not worth paddling out for.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday the 25th. The morning sees a bump in swell to 4ft from the NNW, with a fresh cross-offshore wind from the W at 19 mph. The combined energy jumps to a solid 191 – that's a real kick of power. The wind is clean, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so these are windswell waves, not the kind that wrap in with real purpose. It's a bit of a messy, choppy prospect, but it'll be the best wave we've seen all week.
Sunday the 26th morning is a bit of a letdown. The swell is 4ft from the NW, but the energy is moderate (104) and the wind is light and cross-off. The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," which is about right. It's not a standout.
Then we hit another dry spell. From Monday the 27th right through to Friday the 31st, it's back to tiny, weak surf. The swell drops to 0.3ft or 1.0ft, and the energy is in the single or double digits. It's a real bummer of a gap.
The next moment that might raise an eyebrow is on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning brings a 3ft swell from the NNE, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (120), and the report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." The wind is clean, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it's still a windswell event. It's a step up from the flat spell, but nothing to write home about.
After that, it's a slow fade back into the doldrums. The rest of the forecast through to Wednesday the 5th of August is a mix of tiny 0.7ft to 1ft waves and onshore junk. The energy is weak, and the wind is either cross-on or straight onshore and strong, which is a write-off.
So, the best on offer in this whole 16-day window? Honestly, it's a tough call. If you're desperate for a paddle and have low expectations, the Saturday the 25th morning session is your best bet. That 4ft NNW swell with the clean cross-off wind is the only real pulse of energy we see. But for any real quality, we're looking at a long, long wait. The whole period is a struggle for consistent, quality surf. It's one of those times when the forecast can change, but right now, it's looking like a lean run.
Stay patient, keep an eye on the sky, and maybe wax up the longboard for a very small day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | ENE 11 | NW 5 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 18 | E 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 85 | 135 | 50 | 23 | 96 | 296 | 80 | 12 | 6 | 6 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
— | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 20 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 7 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | ENE 11 | E 10 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | N 7 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 50 | 135 | 50 | 23 | 8 | 296 | 80 | 12 | 5 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | N 10 | N 8 | N 7 | NE 4 | — | N 7 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | ENE 11 | E 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NW 6 | — | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 7 | E 18 |
1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 56 | 44 | 5 | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 6 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | E 6 | — | N 7 | — | NNE 8 | — | — | — | NNW 8 | — | E 15 | E 17 | E 18 | E 18 | E 7 |
2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | — | 6 | — | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | W 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | NW 5 | — | SSE 4 | S 3 | SW 3 | SSW 3 |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 85 | 27 | 28 | 7 | 96 | — | 19 | 8 | 2 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 98 | 143 | 141 | 165 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 157 | 165 | 165 | 173 | 166 | 166 | 955 | 23 | 0 | 54 | 54 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.










