Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, NNE swell with 715 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve been over the charts for Kaituna Cut. For the next couple of weeks, it’s a real mixed bag, and you’ll need to be patient.
The water's sitting right around average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the Thermals just yet.
There's not a single standout day here where everything clicks perfectly, but there are a couple of windows where it cleans up enough to be worth a look. Overall, we’ve got a long stretch of flat or junky conditions bookending a few sessions that’ll hold some shape. The first real chance you get is on Wednesday morning the 8th. The swell drops a little to 5ft, but the wind swings to the south, which puts us in a cross-off position. That means the surface will be clean, which is a massive positive for this exposed spot. The combined energy is moderate (628), so there's enough push for a fun session. It’s not pumping, but it’s surfable.
Thursday the 9th morning is similar, with clean 3ft surf from the NNE. The energy is weak (86), but if the tides are right for a beginner-friendly wave, it’ll be worth a paddle. This spot is fairly consistent and good for learning, so don’t expect perfection.
After that, we hit a long, flat spell. From Friday the 10th all the way through to Wednesday the 16th, the swell drops out completely. It’s a full week of tiny, unrideable waves. You’ll be looking at 0.3ft to 2ft for days on end. Don’t bother.
Now, the promising part comes in later. On Thursday the 17th of July, the first morning session looks like the best on offer in the whole outlook. The swell jumps back up to a solid 6ft from the north-east, but the wind is light from the SSW, giving us a clean cross-off. The combined energy is strong (602), so it’ll have some punch. This one’s a true standout for the period—good size, glassy surface, and the general forecast points to very good conditions. This will be the one to circle on the calendar.
The following morning, the 18th, has a smaller 2ft option with glassy conditions early on Saturday, but it’s really just a morning coffee wave after the main event.
So to wrap it up: sit tight through the flat spell in the middle of the month, and target the mornings of the 8th, 9th, and especially the 17th of July.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 44mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the E by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | N 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 469 | 706 | 159 | 177 | 247 | 715 | 320 | 244 | 183 | 72 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | 1:42AM1.67m | 2:24PM1.63m | 2:40AM1.68m | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | 7:34PM0.36m | 8:08AM0.22m | 8:32PM0.36m | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | |  | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — |
mm | 13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 9 | N 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | 469 | 588 | 159 | 142 | 217 | 715 | 320 | 244 | 183 | 72 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | — | N 8 | NE 8 | — | ENE 12 | NE 9 | N 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 12 | N 12 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 21 | — | 157 | 177 | — | 13 | 290 | 130 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | — | ENE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 7 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | — | N 10 | N 11 | N 11 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 16 | — | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 8 | — | — | NE 8 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | S 3 | S 4 | S 4 | SSW 4 | S 4 | SSE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 |
| kJ | — | 706 | — | — | 247 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 11 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 50 | 3 | 54 | 142 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 131 | 125 | 83 | 133 | 58 | 58 | 14 | 98 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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