
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NNW swell with 385 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, groms, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Kaituna Cut. It’s gonna be a test of patience, that’s for sure. We’ve got a big gap of nothing to start.
From Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through until the morning of Friday the 31st, it’s flat. We’re talking about ankle-biters. The swell is tiny, from the wrong angle, and the period is short. The combined energy is basically non-existent. Don't get your hopes up.
But then, Friday afternoon, the 31st of July. That’s where the magic happens. The wind turns glassy and cross-offshore, and we get a clean 5ft wave from the NNW. The period is a moderate 7 seconds, but the energy is a solid 256. This is the one to circle. For a beginner-friendly spot, this is a dream. The water is a slightly cool 57°, which is a bit below average, but you won’t care when you’re sliding.
The winds are light and offshore, so the surface will be clean. The spot can get a bit crowded, so get out there early. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum, but it’s a hell of a lot better than anything else on offer.
After that, it fades. Saturday morning the 1st of August has a smaller 3ft wave, but the wind is onshore and the energy drops to 101. The rest of the forecast is back to flat, small junk. The very last day, Friday the 7th of August, has a glassy 0.6ft groundswell with a very long 15-second period, but the energy is so low (31) it’s just a tease.
Bottom line: if you want a wave, your only real shot is Friday afternoon, the 31st. Everything else is a skunk.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 10 | NNW 7 | E 14 | E 16 | E 17 | E 18 | N 11 | N 10 | E 18 | E 17 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 385 | 246 | 147 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | |
— | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | — |
— | 4 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 37 | 246 | 147 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | N 9 | — | E 17 | — | — | N 6 | E 18 | E 17 | — | NE 9 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 43 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | 6 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6 | — | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | E 14 | E 16 | — | E 18 | N 11 | — | E 14 | — | — | — |
— | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 5 | — | 6 | 2 | — | 4 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | WNW 4 | W 5 | WSW 4 | SSW 3 | — | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 14 | 385 | 29 | 74 | 24 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 165 | 170 | 177 | 170 | 166 | 166 | 170 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 86 | 58 | 58 | 14 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 71 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.










