Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Look, I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days are a tough read for Kaituna Cut. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat, poor conditions before a brief window of something a little more interesting shows up at the end of the first week. The first real pulse of swell isn't until Friday, July 31st, and even then, it's a mixed bag.

For the most part, the early part of the week is a write-off. From Wednesday, July 29th, right through to the end of the month, we're dealing with tiny, weak waves. The combined swell energy is only 8 (total dud territory) on Wednesday, and it barely gets a heartbeat. Thursday the 30th is glassy in the morning, but the swell is still 0.3 ft from the north with a period of 12 seconds – that's not enough to push a piece of seaweed. It's a frustrating start.

Alright, Friday, July 31st, we finally see a kick. The morning brings a 6 ft swell from the NNW, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 521 (moderate), which is a solid jump. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the west, so it'll be clean. The rating is marginal, and the difficulty is beginner, so it's not world-class, but it's the most surfable pulse we've seen. The afternoon drops off a bit to 5 ft, still clean, but the energy drops to 214. Don't expect perfection, but it's the best of a bad run.

Saturday, August 1st, the swell backs right down. The morning is 3 ft from the NNW with a 7-second period, and the energy is just 84. The wind is glassy from the SW, so it'll be clean, but the waves are ordinary. The afternoon is a total non-event with a storm risk and a pitiful 0.7 ft.

From Sunday, August 2nd, through to the end of the second week, we go back into a deep lull. The swell is consistently 0.7 ft or less, with combined energy figures in the teens and twenties. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore for a lot of it, which would be great if there was any swell to work with. There isn't.

We do see a bit of a bump on Friday, August 7th, with a 5 ft swell from the north, period of 7 seconds, and energy of 210. But the wind is a light cross-shore, and the conditions are marginal. The following day, Saturday, August 8th, the swell jumps to 7 ft from the NNE with a period of 7 seconds (energy 489), but it's onshore, rainy, and messy. At 7 ft, that's getting into expert-only territory, and with the onshore wind, it's going to be a beast. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The final few days, from August 9th to August 13th, are a write-off with strong onshore winds and heavy rain. The swell energy is high (343-539), but the quality is zero. It's a stormy mess.

So, the standout? It's got to be Friday morning, July 31st. That 6 ft, clean, cross-offshore window is the only real chance of a paddle. It's for beginners, but it's the best on offer. The Saturday, August 8th pulse has the size, but the wind and rain ruin it.

Rusty, signing off.

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