Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with 282 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Rusty here, giving you the lowdown in feet and miles per hour. For Kaituna Cut, it’s a long wait for the good stuff, but there’s a big caveat.
The water is sitting at about 58°F, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year.
The first week or so is a write-off. From Thursday the 23rd of July through Wednesday the 30th of July, the surf is flat or tiny. There’s a little bump on Saturday the 25th morning with a 5ft swell from the NNW and a clean cross-off wind, but the energy is only moderate and the period is short. Not worth getting wet for.
After that, we hit a long stretch of glassy, flat days.
The action kicks off on Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. A 8ft NE swell with a 15-second period rolls in. The wind is glassy, and the combined energy is strong at 554. This is your best bet, but it’s a beginner break, and at this size it’s too much for learners. That afternoon, it pumps up to 10ft from the NNE, but the forecast says it’s too big for this spot. Wednesday the 5th brings 10ft and a massive 1827 energy, again too big for the break. The wind is clean and cross-off, so the waves could be lined up, but this is expert territory.
The swell backs off through the end of the week. Thursday the 6th sees 7ft to 7ft from the NNE, with fresh southerly winds keeping it clean but gusty. The energy is still high, but conditions are marginal. By Friday the 7th, we’re down to 4ft and 4ft, clean but nothing special.
So, for the experienced crew, the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August is the real standout—big, glassy, and powerful. Beginners should sit this one out. Crowds are possible here, so plan accordingly.
That’s all from me. Keep your board waxed.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NW 7 | E 10 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 11 | E 18 | E 17 | E 13 | NE 9 | NW 4 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 268 | 199 | 116 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 199 | 116 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NNW 9 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | N 11 | N 10 | — | E 13 | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 43 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 8 | — | — | — | — | E 8 | ENE 11 | NW 5 | — | E 9 | — | — | — | — | E 18 | E 17 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | W 4 | W 5 | WSW 4 | — | SE 3 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 9 | 268 | 50 | 70 | 10 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 165 | 170 | 165 | 170 | 166 | 166 | 196 | 54 | 58 | 58 | 14 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 122 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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