
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, N swell with 1,142 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 5s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at Kaituna Cut and what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, the first week is a bit of a write-off. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing really happening from Monday, August 3rd right through to Saturday, August 8th. Tiny waves, less than 1ft, with a few glassy mornings but no energy to speak of. It’s the kind of spell where you’re better off checking the tides for a fish or fixing that ding. The combined energy is in the low double digits (mostly 11 to 30), which is basically flat.
The first real glimmer of hope comes on Sunday, August 9th. The morning sees a pulse of 4ft NNE swell with a short period of 6 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 106 (moderate wave energy) and it’s glassy. It’s surfable, but nothing to call home about. Then, the afternoon of the same day is where things get properly wild. The swell jumps to 10ft from the north, with period at 8 seconds. The combined energy hits 1891 (strong wave energy). I’d be hyped if it wasn’t likely too big for this break. That’s expert territory, maybe more suited for a jet ski. The wind is dead calm, so it’d be clean, but this is a lot of water moving.
After that big pulse, Monday the 10th drops to 6ft from the north with a 9-second period. The energy is still moderate (481), but the wind is cross or onshore, making it a bit of a mess. It’s marginal.
The rest of the second week looks average. We get a bit of a run from Wednesday, August 12th afternoon through to Sunday, August 16th. On Wednesday afternoon, we see 4ft from the NE with a 9-second period, a gentle offshore wind from the SW, and clean conditions. The combined energy is 206 (moderate). Thursday, August 13th morning is the pick of the second week: 4ft from the NE, a 11-second long period, glassy conditions, and combined energy of 331 (moderate). That’s a proper little window. The water temperature is about average for the time of year here.
After that, it fades back to smaller, cleaner but weaker waves through the 16th and 17th, with a final pulse of 5ft NNW on the 18th, but that comes with a moderate breeze making it messy.
So, if you’re looking for the best on offer, it’s the Sunday afternoon, August 9th, for sheer size and power, but only for experts. For the everyday surfer, the standout is Thursday morning, August 13th. That 4ft NE groundswell, glassy, with a long period – that’s your session. The crowds can be around sometimes, but for that quality, it’s worth the paddle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | N 18 | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | |||||||
— | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Temp °C | 9 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | NNW 4 | N 12 |
21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 15 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NW 6 | NW 5 | SE 4 | N 13 | — | N 18 | NE 18 | E 5 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | N 12 | NE 13 |
2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 6 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | 12 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NE 6 | N 6 | — | E 9 | NW 4 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | N 16 | — | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 14 | NE 10 |
1 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | — | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 4 | W 3 | WSW 4 | S 3 | S 3 | SSW 3 | S 3 | SSE 2 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 |
— | — | 12 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 163 | 166 | 173 | 98 | 165 | 125 | 62 | 163 | 133 | 133 | 141 | 145 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 165 | 166 | 166 | 165 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











