Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with ya – the early part of the forecast is a real flat spell. We’re looking at a solid gap of about nine days where there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. From Sunday the 12th right through to the afternoon of Monday the 21st, it’s all tiny slop and poor surf conditions. The combined swell energy is mostly in the single digits or low double digits (5 to 91), so there’s just no grunt in the water. You’d be wasting your time.

Now, things start to get interesting on Tuesday the 21st. The afternoon brings a bit of a pulse – swell height hits 6 ft from the ENE, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph, making it choppy. The combined energy jumps to 400 (moderate), but the quality isn’t there for a clean session. It’s more of a messy, blown-out affair.

The real standout, though, is Wednesday the 22nd. This is the big one. The morning shows a solid 15 ft swell from the NE with a long period of 11 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 6112 (very strong wave energy). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, keeping things clean. The only catch? This is far too big for a beginner-friendly break like Kaituna Cut. At over 8 ft, this is strictly for experts only. The afternoon stays glassy with a 13 ft swell (4550 energy), but again, it’s massive. If you’re experienced and looking for a charge, this is the day, but know your limits.

Thursday the 23rd is still big, with a 10 ft swell in the morning (1792 energy) and clean cross-offshore winds, but it’s still pushing into expert territory. The afternoon drops to 8 ft, but the wind swings onshore and the forecast gets questionable. Not the best window.

Friday the 24th morning is your best bet for something more manageable. The swell drops to 5 ft from the ENE with a long 11-second period, and it’s glassy with light winds from the south. The combined energy is 698 (moderate to strong). This is the sweet spot – clean, solid waves that are still within reach for strong intermediates, but the size is getting there. The afternoon sees a bit of a cross-onshore breeze, so get out early.

After that, Saturday the 25th starts with a glassy 4 ft swell (354 energy), but the wind stays light and variable. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The rest of the outlook fades out again into flat, small conditions through the end of the month.

So, to sum it up: the first nine days are a write-off. The best bet for the whole forecast is the morning of Friday the 24th – clean, 5 ft groundswell from the ENE, and glassy conditions. If you’re an expert looking for a real adrenaline hit, the morning of Wednesday the 22nd is the big one, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Rusty.

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