Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NNW swell with 456 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here again, but this time in feet and miles. Let’s break down Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks. First off, it’s a barren start. From July 22 right through to August 3, you’re looking at maybe a few ankle‑slappers but nothing worth paddling out for. The first real surf shows up on the morning of July 25 – 4ft from the NNW with a moderate 244 units of energy and a clean offshore breeze, but it’s short‑period and only marginal. Not a day to write home about.
Then things go quiet again until the end of July and early August – tiny, weak waves, barely a ripple.
But hold on – August 4 is where it gets real. The morning of August 4 brings a solid 7ft north swell, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 537 – that’s strong wave energy. The water’s about normal for the time of year. The next morning, August 5, is even better: 7ft from the north, glassy again, with a combined energy of 800 – that’s very strong. That’s the best of the whole 16‑day window. Kaituna Cut is a beginner spot, but with waves over 5ft, it’s stepping into intermediate territory. The north swell matches the optimum NNE exposure, so the waves should have good shape. Crowds are sometimes a factor, but on a day this good, you’ll have company.
August 6 morning still offers a clean 3ft north swell with a 10‑second period and 348 energy – a nice finisher, but not a standout.
So the bottom line: the first week and a half is a dud. Then August 4 and 5 are your golden days. If you’ve got one session to chase, make it the morning of August 5 – that glassy 7ft north swell with 800 energy is the best wave of the forecast. Get out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri night, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Fri night, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 7 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | N 9 | E 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | E 17 | E 18 | E 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 278 | 202 | 151 | 25 | 8 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | |||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 7 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 12 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | N 9 | E 10 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | N 8 | E 18 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 28 | 202 | 151 | 25 | 8 | 40 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 8 | N 7 | — | N 8 | — | N 7 | NE 8 | N 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NNW 8 | E 11 | E 11 | E 5 | SE 4 | N 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 9 | N 9 | E 6 | E 6 | N 7 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 7 | NW 4 | E 9 | E 9 | E 17 | E 18 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | — | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | SSE 3 | SSE 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 4 | SW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 278 | — | 5 | 4 | — | 7 | 21 | 19 | 8 | 11 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 165 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 170 | 165 | 170 | 166 | 50 | 32 | 0 | 12 | 54 | 133 | 60 | 165 | 165 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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