Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, N swell with 382 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Kaituna Cut.
We’ve got a bit of a tricky run ahead. The first real chance to get wet is Monday, August 10th, but honestly, it’s a short-lived window. The setup’s a bit of a tease.
Monday morning, August 10th is the standout, and it’s the only one that’s really worth paddling out for. We’ve got a clean 5 ft swell from the north with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is a light offshore from the southwest. The combined energy is moderate (353), and it’s glassy clean. This is your best shot. The water temp is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
That same afternoon, the swell drops to 4 ft, and the wind goes cross-offshore. It’s still clean, but the energy drops (234) and the quality falls off. It’s a "marginal" call, honestly.
Tuesday, August 11th starts with a smaller 4 ft north swell and cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is weak (150). It’s surfable, but only just. The afternoon turns onshore and messy, so forget it.
From Wednesday, August 12th all the way through to Sunday, August 16th morning, it’s a write-off. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, the swell is short-period and weak. The energy readings are all over the place (187 to 58), but the quality is poor. There’s a bit of a tease on Saturday, August 15th – glassy conditions with a 4 ft north-northeast swell, but the energy is still low (188) and the waves are described as "very ordinary." It’s a glassy bump, but not worth the drive.
Then we hit a proper flat spell. From Sunday afternoon, August 16th right through to the end of the forecast on Tuesday, August 25th, the swell is tiny – mostly under 2 ft, with combined energy readings in the single digits and low double digits. That’s flat. The wind is good some days (glass, offshore), but there’s simply no water moving. For a spot like Kaituna Cut, which is fairly consistent, this is a proper dry spell. It won’t stay this way forever, but that’s the reality of the next two weeks.
So, to wrap it up: Monday morning, August 10th is your only real window. Get it while you can. After that, the board stays in the bag.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 82mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Thu night, calm by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 215 | 347 | 228 | 152 | 146 | 142 | 235 | 184 | 192 | 242 | 160 | 202 | 302 | 91 | 197 | 63 | 170 | 131 | 54 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | 6:29AM1.78m | 7:02PM1.93m | 7:24AM1.81m | 7:54PM1.96m | 8:17AM1.82m | 8:43PM1.95m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | 12:45PM0.05m | 1:22AM0.11m | 1:39PM0.03m | 2:14AM0.06m | 2:30PM0.04m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | |  |  |  | | |  |  | | |
 | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 37 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 3 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 12 | NE 7 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NE 6 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 215 | 347 | 228 | 152 | 146 | 142 | 235 | 184 | 133 | 3 | 160 | 2 | 12 | 91 | 197 | 63 | 170 | 131 | 54 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 14 | — | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | — | N 12 | NE 11 | N 11 | N 7 | NE 10 | N 7 | NE 11 | N 7 | N 8 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 46 | 31 | 18 | 48 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 14 | — | — | NE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 10 | — | NE 10 | — | NNW 10 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | 27 | — | 18 | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 2 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | — | — | NNE 8 | NE 8 | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | — | — | — | S 2 | SSW 2 | SW 3 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 192 | 242 | — | 202 | 302 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 58 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 138 | 95 | 95 | 147 | 95 | 98 | 95 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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