Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, NNW swell with 327 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
First up, I gotta be straight with you: the immediate outlook is a bit of a flat spell. We’re looking at a solid stretch of tiny, weak swell with hardly any energy to speak of. For the first full week, the swell is barely a ripple, and the combined energy readings are all in the single digits or low teens (4 to 46). It’s not gonna be worth wetting the suit for.
The pattern finally shifts around Saturday the 25th of July. We get a pulse of swell from the NNW, pushing about 5 ft in the morning. The combined energy jumps to 296 (moderate), which is the most we’ll see this whole forecast. The wind is cross-offshore from the W, so the surf should be reasonably clean. Still, the period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, not a groundswell. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and at 5 ft, that’s getting towards the bigger end for learners, so keep your wits about you. The break is exposed to the swell, and the optimum direction is NNE, so this NNW swell isn’t a perfect alignment, but it’s the best on offer.
The water temperature is sitting at 57°F, which is about 2° cooler than average for this time of year. Not a huge anomaly, but it’s a touch on the colder side, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.
After that Saturday morning pulse, the swell drops right back down again. Sunday the 26th through the rest of the window is all tiny stuff, under 2 ft, with combined energy values mostly below 30. The wind is generally light and clean, but there’s just no push to the waves. The break is fairly consistent, so it’s not a spot that normally goes quiet for this long, but the forecasts are what they are. There’s nothing else in the 16-day window that comes close to that Saturday morning window.
So, to wrap it up: your best bet, and really the only decent window, is Saturday morning, July 25th. Get out there early for the cleanest lines before the wind picks up. It won’t be perfect, but it’s the only show in town.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 10 | N 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | E 10 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 11 | N 10 | E 17 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 326 | 253 | 181 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | N 7 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | NW 4 | N 10 | NW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 253 | 181 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | — | N 8 | NE 4 | N 7 | — | N 7 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 12 | — | — | — | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 10 | — | N 7 | N 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | E 8 | NW 4 | NW 4 | — | E 9 | E 17 | — | N 11 | N 11 | — | E 17 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | — | ESE 2 | SE 3 | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — | WSW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 326 | 29 | 48 | 9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 165 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 170 | 165 | 170 | 166 | 71 | 165 | 58 | 58 | 125 | 58 | 12 | 12 | 58 | 58 | 98 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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