Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range forecast is a bit of a slow burn, but there’s a light at the end of the tunnel. We’re looking at a run of small, weak surf for the better part of the next two weeks. It’s not going to be a total write-off, but you’ll be working for every scrap of wave you can find, especially early on.

The first real window of opportunity kicks off on Monday the 10th. The swell is still small, around 5ft, but it’s from the north with an 8-second period, and the morning has a light cross-off breeze making things clean. The wave energy is moderate (259). It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s the best of a pretty ordinary bunch for the first week. The afternoon drops off a bit in size, so make the most of the morning.

Tuesday the 11th has a tiny pulse of energy, but it’s pretty average. The morning is glassy, which is a huge plus, but the swell is only 3ft and the energy is weak (101). It’s surfable, but you’ll be hunting for the sets. The afternoon turns onshore and the quality drops.

The next real highlight is Thursday the 14th. We’ve got another clean morning with a glassy surface and a 4ft NNE swell. The energy is back up into the moderate range (240). It’s a similar setup to Monday, but the period is a touch shorter, so keep your expectations in check. The afternoon stays around 4ft but goes glassy, so if you miss the morning, it’s still an option.

After that, things get pretty grim. From the 15th through the 22nd, we’re looking at a solid stretch of tiny, weak surf. The energy readings drop into the double digits, and we’re dealing with ankle-biters. You’ll see a few days with clean conditions, but there just won't be any power behind it. It's a classic flat spell, and with a beach break like this, that means it's going to be a barren run. Kite surfing might be the only way to get a hit during this period.

Now, for the long-range standout. Mark your calendars for Sunday the 23rd of August. That’s when the ocean wakes up. We’ve got a solid 7ft NNE swell in the morning with a long 12-second period. The energy reading is a massive 1315, which is strong. The wind is light and it’s clean, and the direction is right in the optimum zone for Kaituna Cut. This is the one to wait for. The afternoon holds size, pushing to 8ft, but the wind turns a bit cross-on, so it’ll get a little lumpy. If you can, get on it in the morning. This is a proper session on the cards, but it’s far out, so we’ll have to keep an eye on it. With that kind of size and a 12-second period, it’s going to have some push to it.

So, the summary is: a couple of small, clean windows early on, then a long flat spell, and one potentially excellent day on the 23rd. Be patient.

Rusty

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