
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, N swell with 753 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the stretch ahead for Kaituna Cut.
The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We’re starting off with a whole lot of nothing, then there’s a pulse of energy mid-period that looks promising, but it fades out again as we head into the back half. Patience is going to be the key word.
The opening days are a write-off. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th have just tiny, weak waves. We’re talking ankle-biters with a combined energy of only 11 and 9. There’s nothing to get excited about. Saturday and Sunday aren’t much better, with the swell starting to fill in a bit but still mostly weak. Sunday afternoon sees a jump in energy to 123 as a fresh breeze kicks up some lumpy, cross-onshore conditions, so it’s pretty messy.
The real story starts on Monday the 10th. The swell finally shows up. We’ve got a clean 5ft from the north with a period of 8 seconds, and a gentle offshore wind. The combined energy is a solid 301. This is when it starts to get interesting. The morning is looking much better than the afternoon, with that offshore wind grooming things nicely. Tuesday morning is still surfable but the wind goes a bit cross-shore and the energy dips to 207. It’s not terrible, but it’s not as clean.
Now, if you can wait, my pick of the whole run is Wednesday morning, August 12th. The forecast is for a glassy 5ft of north swell with an energy reading of 360. It’s not huge, but with the water at 57°F, which is about 1°F cooler than usual for the time of year, you’ll want a good hood. This is going to be the cleanest, most fun you’ll see for a while. A proper little window of joy. Thursday settles down a bit with smaller waves, still clean in the morning, but nothing to rival Wednesday.
Then things get a little tricky. There’s a bit of a bump on Saturday the 15th, but the wind swings onshore, making it messy. It’s a lot of raw energy—the combined energy jumps way up to 1160—but the quality is just not there. It’s a classic case of too much wind and chop chopping it all up. Not the one.
But wait. The standout, the real gem, is Sunday morning, August 16th. We’ve got a clean 4ft from the northeast with a 9-second period and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is a decent 421. After a week of building and sloppy conditions, this is when it all comes together for a few clean, fun waves. This will be the second standout of the forecast. As the week goes on, it fades fast. By Monday the 17th, the energy has dropped back to 57 and we’re dribbling out into nothing again. After that, it’s flat. The 19th through the 21st is seeing nothing but tiny, glassy dribble, which is about as exciting as watching paint dry.
So if you’re keen, circle Wednesday the 12th and Sunday the 16th. Those are your days. Everything else is a gamble, and the start and end of the period are just not worth suiting up for.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Sun night, calm by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 16 | NE 16 | N 14 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
5 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 113 | 678 | 295 | 208 | 229 | 198 | 233 | 412 | 360 | 313 | 264 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross | off |
High Tide | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | — | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NNW 3 | N 12 | NE 13 | NE 12 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
5 | — | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 295 | 208 | 229 | 198 | 233 | 412 | 360 | 313 | 264 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | NE 14 | N 12 | NE 13 | N 12 | — | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | N 14 | N 13 | — | — | N 12 |
1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 16 | NE 16 | E 8 | NE 16 | N 10 | NE 14 | N 10 | NE 13 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | — | — | — | — |
5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | — | NW 2 | — | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 113 | 678 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 141 | 133 | 174 | 141 | 141 | 147 | 147 | 166 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











