Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what we’ve got for Kaituna Cut.

Honestly, it’s a pretty flat run for the most part. The first week or so is mostly tiny, weak, and pretty ordinary. The real story is that big pulse of swell that shows up in the second week, but it comes with its own problems.

We start off almost flat. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are a write-off, with waves barely a whisper. Sunday the 9th picks up a little, with a 1.0 ft to 2 ft swell from the NNW, but the period is a short, choppy 5–6 seconds. The combined energy is moderate on Sunday afternoon at 152, but it’s messy with light rain and cross-shore winds. It’s not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see tiny, knee-high swell around 2 ft to 3 ft from the north. The energy is low (117 and 75). Monday has clean conditions with a gentle cross-offshore breeze, and Tuesday morning turns glassy. It’s surfable and clean, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. Tuesday afternoon gets a bit onshore and messy again.

Wednesday the 12th turns ugly. The swell jumps to 5 ft to 6 ft from the NNE, but with a howling onshore easterly wind hitting 15 mph, it’s a choppy, blown-out mess. The energy is strong (329), but it’s not for surfing – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Thursday the 13th is a bit better in the morning. The swell is 4 ft from the NNE, period a mediocre 7 seconds, energy moderate at 191, but it’s glassy. Clean, but those waves are just ordinary.

Now, here’s the standout, but it comes with a major caveat. On Friday the 14th, a huge swell arrives. We’re talking 12 ft to 13 ft from the NNE, with a period of 9–10 seconds. The combined energy is massive – 1834 in the morning, and a whopping 6270 in the afternoon. That’s a lot of power. The wind is cross-on at 13 mph, but the report says wind and tide are favorable. However, the swell is simply too big for this break. Even for experts, 13 ft at Kaituna Cut is a monster. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s a serious session.

The rest of the 16-day window drops back into tiny, weak surf. From Saturday the 15th onwards, the swell fades. The 15th has a 7 ft to 8 ft drop, but with strong cross-shore winds, it’s poor. By Sunday the 16th, we’re back to 3 ft and below, and the last few days of the window are flat with 0.3 ft to 2 ft, mostly clean but completely small.

Water temperature is around 57°F, which is a bit cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing wild.

So, the best on offer? If you’re a very experienced surfer who likes big, heavy waves, that Friday the 14th is the only real pulse. For everyone else, it’s a long wait for very little. The break is fairly consistent, but the waves aren’t cooperating.

Rusty.

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