
Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, N swell with 956 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest with ya, it’s a slow start and a long wait for anything decent.
The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off. We’ve got a long stretch starting Thursday, the 6th of August, right through to the middle of the month where the surf is either flat or junky. The early days are tiny, with swell heights barely hitting 0.7ft and the energy is pathetic – we’re talking values as low as 9 (combined energy). The winds are all over the place, mostly cross or cross-off, but with no swell it doesn’t even matter. It’s a real bummer, just a lot of flat, clean water with nothing to ride.
We finally see a pulse of energy arrive around Monday the 10th, but it’s messy. The swell jumps up to 6ft from the north, but the period is a short, weak 7 seconds, and it’s lumpy with cross-shore winds. The combined energy hits 292 (moderate), but the conditions are poor. The next day, Tuesday the 11th, the swell holds around 7ft from the north with a slightly better 9-second period, and the energy gets real strong at 803 (combined energy). But again, the wind is a problem, making it choppy and marginal. This is too big for beginners and not clean enough for anyone else.
Now, here’s the one true standout for the whole forecast. Wednesday morning, the 12th of August. This is the window. The swell drops a touch to 7ft from the north, still a solid 9-second period, and the energy is pumping at 635 (combined energy). But the magic is in the wind – it’s glassy. Dead calm. For a spot like Kaituna Cut, which is exposed to the north-northeast, this is as good as it gets. The swell direction is right on the money (NNE) for the optimum. This is a session for the experienced crew only, as 7ft is pushing into expert territory, but if you’ve got the skills, this is the day to be in the water. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget the booties.
After that peak, it fades fast. Thursday the 13th is still rideable with 5ft from the NNE and glassy conditions in the morning, but the energy drops to 286 (moderate). By Friday the 14th, the wind swings onshore and ruins it. The rest of the second week sees the swell drop back to small, weak, and mostly unremarkable. There’s a tiny glimmer on Friday the 21st of August, with a glassy morning and a 3ft swell from the north-northeast with a long 10-second period, giving a moderate energy of 308 (combined energy). It’s a sneaky good option for a longboard or a fun twinny, but it’s a far cry from that Wednesday morning.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a total bust. The 12th of August is your best bet, a proper glassy, solid north swell. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 46mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, calm by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | N 16 | NE 16 | N 14 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 | NE 13 | N 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
12 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 188 | 286 | 348 | 450 | 803 | 840 | 516 | 635 | 506 | 463 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | 3:05PM1.70m | 3:24AM1.67m | 4:09PM1.75m | 4:28AM1.70m | 5:10PM1.81m | 5:30AM1.74m | 6:08PM1.88m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | 8:43AM0.20m | 9:17PM0.34m | 9:45AM0.17m | 10:23PM0.30m | 10:48AM0.13m | 11:27PM0.24m | 11:48AM0.09m | 00:26AM0.17m | ||||||||
7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | — | 19 | 12 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | N 14 | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 |
5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 803 | 840 | 516 | 635 | 506 | 463 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | E 6 | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | — | NE 14 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
12 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 8 | — | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | N 16 | NE 16 | E 8 | NE 16 | N 10 | NE 14 | N 10 | NE 13 | NE 13 | N 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 3 | — | — | — | NW 2 | WSW 3 | — | NW 2 | — | — | N 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 51 | 188 | 286 | 348 | 450 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 141 | 143 | 141 | 133 | 174 | 163 | 142 | 165 | 141 | 163 | 166 | 166 | 141 | 141 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.











