Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNW swell with 585 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, listen up. This is your regional surf outlook, and I'm Rusty. Let's get straight into it.
It's going to be a frustrating stretch here at Kaituna Cut for the first week and a half, with most days offering next to nothing. The combined swell energy is looking weak, often below 100, so don't expect much. The water temp is sitting at about 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
We've got a long dry spell before anything worth paddling for shows up. From the 26th of July right through until the afternoon of the 31st, the surf is essentially flat or tiny, with most heights hovering around 0.3ft to 1ft. There are a few glassy mornings in there, but on tiny surf, that just means flat and pretty.
The first glimmer of hope comes on the afternoon of Friday the 31st of July. We see a pulse of 7ft swell from the NNW with a 7-second period. The combined energy jumps to 992, which is a serious step up. The wind is cross-off from the WNW, so it'll be clean. This is more of a power session for experienced folks, as 7ft is approaching expert territory.
Moving into Saturday the 1st of August, the morning has a cleaner 5ft swell with a cross-off breeze, but the energy has dropped to 290. It's okay, but nothing special. After that, it flatlines again for the whole first week of August.
The real standout is on Monday the 10th of August. The morning session is the pick of the entire outlook. You’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the NNE pumping in with a 10-second period and a combined energy reading of 1007 – that's strong. The wind is light and cross-off from the SSW, which is going to keep the lines clean. This is excellent surf for the experienced crew, just be aware that at this size it’s not for beginners. The afternoon also holds in at 8ft with an 11-second period and 1150 energy, though the wind goes a little cross-off and it’s classed as marginal for tide. Stick to the morning window for the best bet.
Remember, the first week and a half is a write-off, so don't get your hopes up until we hit that 10th of August. That's the one to circle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the N by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 15 | NNW 8 | E 17 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 11 | E 18 | E 17 | E 16 | E 16 | N 12 | NE 12 | NNW 4 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 8 | N 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | N 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 151 | 397 | 585 | 142 | 220 | 159 | 24 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | 8:24AM1.59m | 8:49PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  |  | | |  | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 18 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 |
Temp °C | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | — | E 17 | E 6 | E 5 | — | NNW 4 | E 6 | E 10 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | N 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 397 | 391 | 142 | 220 | 159 | 24 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 17 | — | — | N 11 | N 6 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | E 10 | E 6 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 18 | NE 18 | NE 17 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNW 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 47 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | E 15 | E 16 | — | — | — | — | E 18 | — | E 16 | E 16 | N 12 | NE 12 | E 10 | E 14 | — | E 13 | E 12 | NNE 17 | NNE 17 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 1 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 29 | 30 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | — | SSE 2 | SSE 3 | — | SSE 2 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | NNW 4 | N 6 | — | NNW 8 | W 3 | — | — | S 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 29 | 151 | — | 585 | 6 | — | — | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 12 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 71 | 14 | 14 | 138 | 14 | 12 | 166 | 166 | 23 | 71 | 167 | 0 | 12 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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