Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – for the Kaituna Cut, we’ve got a long, dry spell before anything really gets going. The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off, so don’t rush to wet a line just yet.

The next few days from Thursday the 9th through to Sunday the 19th are flat and uninspiring. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft from the NE or ENE, with short periods around 8-10 seconds. The combined energy is weak (43) or less. Winds are cross-off or cross, so it’s clean, but there’s just no power. By Sunday morning the 12th it’s glassy, but the swell is a pathetic 0.3ft with a combined energy of just 4 – perfect for a flat calm paddle, not for surfing.

Then we get a sniff of something on the 14th – a jump to 5ft from the N, but with a short 6-second period and moderate rain. Combined energy climbs to 181, but it’s still tagged as “poor surf conditions” with a score of 0. The wind is cross-on, so it’s messy. Not worth the effort.

The real story starts on Sunday the 19th. That’s our first standout. The morning brings a clean 6ft NNE swell with a 6-second period under a light offshore SW wind. Combined energy is 219 – moderate but building. Then the afternoon gets even better: 8ft from the NNE, period 7 seconds, cross-off wind from the W, and combined energy jumping to 558. This is a solid, clean option for the weekend. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and it’s fairly consistent, so expect a few others in the water, but it’s not crowded.

Monday the 20th is for experts only. The swell peaks at 12ft from the NNE with a 11-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. Combined energy is a massive 3042. Wind is glassy in the morning. This is powerful, heavy, and the forecast says it’s too big for this break. Only the experienced crew should be looking at this. Tuesday the 21st holds 8ft from the NNE with a 10-second period, glassy in the morning again, and combined energy of 2043. The note says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” – this is your other standout. The period is long enough to give good shape, but it’s still big, so keep that in mind.

Water temperature is sitting at 59°F, which is about normal for this time of year with a -0.7°F anomaly – nothing unusual.

So, the best on offer is the afternoon of the 19th and the morning of the 21st. After that, on the 22nd, it drops back to 5ft with a cross-shore wind and a combined energy of 411, but it’s marginal. The rest of the window fades into small, choppy junk.

Rusty.

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