Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, N swell with 775 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s switch to feet and Fahrenheit for the landlubbers and the old school crew.
Right now, Kaituna Cut is pretty much a desert. The first few days – from Sunday, 26 July through to the end of the month – are flat as a pancake. The combined wave energy is a paltry 15 (weak energy) on Sunday morning, and it never gets above a whisper. We’re looking at waves 0.3ft to 0.7ft, with periods all over the place – some too short, some too long for the size. The water temp is about normal for the season, nothing to write home about.
The first real pulse finally shows up on Friday, 31 July. The morning is a mess: a strong 25 mph north wind blowing up a 7ft swell with a short 7-second period, and combined energy of 456 (moderate). Not surfable. But Friday afternoon – that’s the one. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the WNW at 6 mph, and the swell hits 8ft from the north, still short-period at 7 seconds, but the energy jumps to 813 (moderate to strong). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s the biggest and cleanest swell of the whole 16 days. At 8ft, it’s expert-only territory – beginners stay out of the water. The short period means it’ll be a bit dumpy, but with that glassy wind, it’s your best chance.
After that, it drops off quick. Saturday, 1 August morning has 3ft from the NNW with a light offshore, but it’s only “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – combined energy 157 (moderate). The rest of the first week is tiny and cross-shore chop. Then another small bump on Friday, 7 August afternoon with 5ft from the NE, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. The second week has a bigger pulse: Saturday, 8 August morning shows 7ft from the NNE with cross-shore winds and combined energy of 767 (strong), but it’s described as “marginal” with a cross-chop. That afternoon is 8ft again but choppy and cross-onshore. Sunday, 9 August has 4ft but still choppy.
So the clear standout is Friday, 31 July afternoon – the only solid window with clean conditions and real size. Everything else is either flat, windy, or too small to paddle for. If you’re into kite surfing, the 31 July morning and 8 August could be fun, but for a surfboard, it’s a long, dry spell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat night, calm by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu night, min 8°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 9 | E 10 | E 15 | NNW 8 | E 17 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 11 | E 17 | E 17 | N 10 | E 16 | E 12 | E 9 | NE 12 | N 5 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 43 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 440 | 775 | 178 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | ||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  | | |
 | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 11 | 8 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | E 17 | E 17 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | — | N 3 | E 8 | E 12 | ENE 18 | N 7 |
| kJ | 43 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 178 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 6 | N 10 | N 10 | E 16 | E 12 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 11 | NE 18 | E 11 | NE 17 |
| kJ | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | E 15 | E 16 | E 17 | — | — | — | — | E 12 | — | N 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 12 | E 14 | — | E 14 | E 13 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 4 | SSW 2 | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | — | SE 3 | S 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | N 5 | N 7 | N 8 | — |
| kJ | 17 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 51 | 440 | 775 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 12 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 12 | 58 | 83 | 58 | 58 | 14 | 71 | 13 | 14 | 71 | 166 | 166 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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