Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with 265 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Kaituna Cut over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, this is a tough stretch. The numbers are telling me we're looking at a long, dry spell with next to nothing worth paddling out for. The wave energy is weak, and the swell is tiny. There's a bit of a bump on the 25th of July, but it's not enough to get excited about.
Let's break it down. Kaituna Cut is an exposed spot that likes a northerly swell, and it's a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent break. We start on Friday morning the 24th of July with glassy conditions but only a 1ft swell from the ENE with a short period of 7 seconds. The energy is a measly 12 – it's flat. Friday afternoon gets worse with a strong cross-onshore wind.
Saturday the 25th of July is the only real chance in this whole outlook. The morning brings a 4ft swell from the NNW with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy hits 228, which is moderate, and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the W. It's rideable, but that's about it. The afternoon picks up a fresh breeze and the swell drops a touch. It's not a standout, but it's the best we've got. For a beginner, that 4ft is a decent size, but it's not too big.
After that, it's a ghost town. From Sunday the 26th of July all the way through to Saturday the 8th of August, every single session is scored as poor surf. The swell barely registers above 0.7ft, and the wave energy is almost always in the single digits. We're talking about a solid two-week gap with no worthwhile waves. You'll see some glassy mornings and clean conditions, but with no swell, it doesn't mean a thing. There's a slight uptick in period toward the end – a few 16-second and 21-second pulses – but the swell height is still 0.3ft or 0.7ft. That's a tease, not a wave.
Honestly, if you're desperate for a paddle, the Saturday morning of the 25th is your window. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. Otherwise, save your energy. This is one of those times where the forecast can change, but as it stands, it's a quiet period for the Cut.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 10 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | E 16 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 10 | 25 | 265 | 186 | 171 | 27 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 2:04AM1.54m | 2:44PM1.52m | 2:55AM1.49m | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:21AM0.36m | 8:47PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | 8 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 186 | 171 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NW 9 | — | — | — | N 11 | N 10 | — | — | E 16 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 42 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 5 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | E 9 | E 17 | E 17 | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 7 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 15 | 265 | 18 | 58 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 170 | 165 | 170 | 166 | 166 | 170 | 23 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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