Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with 768 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 4s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 4s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 4s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk feet and miles, folks. Rusty here.
We’ve got a long quiet spell, but there’s a proper window coming up for the weekend of the 8th of August. The first week is a dud.
From Saturday the 1st through Friday the 7th, it’s flat. Swell heights are 0.6ft to 2ft, with weak energy. The combined energy of all swells (66) on Saturday morning is barely a whisper. It’s a big gap of nothing, so don’t even think about it.
The big moment is Saturday morning, August 8th. Kaituna Cut gets a clean 6ft swell from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is glassy – dead calm from the SSE. That’s a major positive. The water temp is 58°, which is pretty average for the time of year. The combined energy hits 447 (moderate), so there’s some real weight behind it. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so the size is manageable. The offshore direction is SW, but with the glassy start, it’ll be clean. The swell direction is north, a bit off the optimum NNE, but it’s working. This is the best wave of the period.
Saturday afternoon (still the 8th) the swell holds at 6ft north, but the wind swings NW and goes cross, making it ragged. The combined energy is 544 (moderate), but the quality drops. It’s a marginal call.
Sunday morning, August 9th, the swell drops to 4ft north, but the wind is up from the SE at 12 mph, making it cross and choppy. The combined energy is 202, still moderate, but it’s not clean. Conditions are poor.
After that, it’s all downhill. From Monday the 10th onward, we’re back to tiny, lumpy swell with strong onshore winds. The combined energy drops to 18 or less, and the wind is fresh from the east, blowing everything out. There’s a little 2ft spike on Wednesday the 12th, but with 18 mph cross-on winds, it’s a mess. That’s the end of the decent run.
Summary: The standout is Saturday morning, August 8th. Glassy, clean 6ft north swell at Kaituna Cut. That’s your one. The rest is a long wait or a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNE 17 | NNE 16 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 33 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 366 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 8:49PM1.73m | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:37PM0.24m | 3:09AM0.28m | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NE 15 |
| kJ | 33 | 20 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 17 | NNE 17 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NE 7 | NE 15 | NE 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | — | N 7 | NE 8 | — | N 11 | NNE 11 | ENE 4 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | — |
| kJ | 29 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 10 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 16 | NE 4 | NE 4 | N 7 | NE 6 | N 6 | NE 7 | — | — | N 14 | — | — | N 18 | NE 18 | NNE 11 | — | N 14 | N 14 | — |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 6 | 12 | 11 | — | 4 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 3 | SE 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | WNW 4 | W 4 | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 10 | 12 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | 366 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 125 | 23 | 83 | 165 | 147 | 166 | 167 | 54 | 173 | 163 | 141 | 141 | 163 | 14 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 95 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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