Kaituna Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s goin’ on for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a solid run of tiny, weak surf for days on end, especially through the first week. The first half of the window is a write-off, but there’s a glimmer of hope later on if you’ve got some patience.

Kaituna Cut is the only break on the cards, and she’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The outlook starts off grim. Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are basically flat with a couple of 0.3 ft to 3.9 ft ripples. Tuesday afternoon sees a little 3.9 ft pulse from the NNW, but it’s a short-period 6-second windswell with a weak energy reading (98). The cross-offshore wind will keep it looking clean, but it’s still just ordinary. Wednesday through to the following Monday (15th to 21st) is a total flat spell. We’re talking 0.3 ft to 2.0 ft at best, with combined energy barely cracking 30. It’s a proper desert out there.

Things start to whisper to life on Tuesday the 22nd. The morning has a 1.6 ft swell from the north (9-second period) with a bit more energy (54), and the cross-offshore breeze keeps it clean. It’s still very ordinary, but at least you’re not paddling for nothing. Wednesday the 23rd is where the real interest begins. Thursday morning the 23rd sees a 3.6 ft swell from the NE, period 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 245 – that’s moderate wave energy. The wind is cross-offshore and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the standout of the whole run. The afternoon follows up with a 4.3 ft NE swell (289 energy), but it’s marked as marginal due to tide or conditions. Still, that Thursday morning is the best bet.

Friday the 24th morning is also promising. Another 3.6 ft NE swell (10-second period, 245 energy) with light offshore winds from the SSW and clean conditions. That’s a solid session for a beginner spot. The afternoon turns onshore, so get it early.

After that, the weekend of the 25th and 26th drops back to smaller, ordinary surf (2.0 ft to 2.3 ft) with less energy. Not terrible, but nothing to write home about. Monday the 27th offers a 4.3 ft N swell (6-second period, 122 energy), but it’s cross-shore wind and poor conditions. Tuesday the 28th sees a 4.9 ft to 6.2 ft N swell (8-second period, 319 to 439 energy), but the wind is onshore and strong (19 mph), so it’s a messy, poor-quality option. At that size, it’s still okay for a beginner if they’re keen, but the wind will chop it up.

So, the standout is Thursday the 23rd morning at Kaituna Cut. That 3.6 ft NE swell with cross-offshore wind and clean conditions is the only real highlight. Friday the 24th morning is a close second. The rest is a long, flat wait with a few mediocre days either side. Crowds can be around sometimes, so keep that in mind for the good windows.

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