Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 8s period, NE swell with 23 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days for Kaituna Cut are a proper bummer if you’re chasing a wave. The entire forecast window is a write-off, with nothing worth paddling out for.
We start on July 17th and it’s a flat, sad story. The swell hangs around a pathetic 0.3 ft to 1 ft for the first week and a half. The combined energy of all swells directed here is weak as, barely cracking double digits (3 to 6) most days. Sure, there are some glassy mornings on the 22nd and 24th, and a few light offshore breezes, but you can’t surf what isn’t there. The water’s sitting at 57° which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so even a good dawny won’t warm you up.
There’s a real gap of nothing until we finally see a pulse of energy on the 30th of July. The swell jumps to 3 ft from the ENE with a combined energy hitting 81 on Thursday morning and 106 by the afternoon. But the wind is a nightmare – strong cross-onshore, 25 mph, with thunderstorms and a risk of t-storms. It’s messy, choppy, and honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. That wave energy looks alright in the numbers, but the quality is gone.
The very end of the window, on August 1st, offers a slight tease: a 0.7 ft swell with a very long period of 15 seconds from the NNE, and glassy conditions in the morning. The combined energy is still low at 39. It’s a long-range whisper, promising but uncertain. For a point break like Kaituna Cut, that long period groundswell could shape up nicely if the winds stay glassy, but the size is barely a ripple.
Honestly, for an exposed spot that’s fairly consistent, it’s a blank run. Forecasts can change, but for now, leave the board in the car.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 19 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | SE 3 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | 1:52PM1.55m | 2:04AM1.54m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM0.05m | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | 7:32AM0.30m | 7:55PM0.45m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 7 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NW 5 | NW 4 | N 9 | — | — | N 8 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 9 | N 9 | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 19 | — | — | — | — | — | N 9 | — | — | — | N 9 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | — | — | N 7 |
| kJ | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | WSW 2 | WNW 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 83 | 98 | 111 | 165 | 125 | 133 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 | 157 | 165 | 141 | 142 | 165 | 165 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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