Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, NNE swell with 600 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 2.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, gang, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Kaituna Cut. The next week or so starts off slow, but there are a couple of sweet spots in there.
Friday, July 3rd, we’ve got small, weak surf. The combined energy is only 92 (weak). It’s a feeble 2ft from the ENE with a 10-second period. The morning has a light cross-offshore breeze from the south, so it’s clean, but it’s pretty average.
That flat trend hangs on into Saturday, with tiny 2ft waves and poor wind. Energy bumps up to 118 and 126, but the cross and cross-onshore winds kill it. Not worth your time.
Sunday, July 5th, things wake up. The morning is clean with a 5ft swell from the north, but it’s short-period (7 seconds). Energy hits 276 (moderate). The wind is a light offshore from the SW, making it glassy. This is the first standout – good size for beginners, clean, and the crowds are just “sometimes.” The short period means it won’t have tons of push, but it’s fun.
Monday morning gets hammered with heavy rain and a nasty onshore wind, pushing the swell to 6ft. Energy is strong at 392, but the conditions are marginal. Only for experienced heads.
Tuesday fades again, but Wednesday, July 8th, is the gem. The morning is glassy with 5ft waves from the NNE, and the energy jumps to 473 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW, but the afternoon goes completely glassy. That afternoon session will have the cleanest, most lined-up waves of the whole run.
After that, it’s dead. From Thursday, July 9th, through Tuesday, July 14th, the swell plummets to less than 1ft. That’s an 8-day flat spell – no waves to speak of.
Finally, on the 17th and 18th of July, we get a pulse. Friday the 17th morning has a clean 4-5ft from the ENE (short period, 7 seconds). By the afternoon, the swell hits 5-6ft with a moderate offshore wind from the SW – energy at 308 (moderate). This is a strong, clean finish. Saturday the 18th brings a clean 5ft swell from the NE with a 9-second period and a gentle offshore breeze, giving us a combined energy of 399 (strong). It’s a promising run, but it’s a long way off, so don’t get too hyped yet.
Water temps are about average for this time of year.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat night, min 8°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thu 9 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 14 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NNE 5 | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 97 | 92 | 78 | 76 | 113 | 119 | 90 | 255 | 124 | 108 | 351 | 203 | 94 | 104 | 302 | 600 | 439 | 360 | 224 | 99 | 69 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:49AM1.56m | 9:19PM1.69m | 9:31AM1.55m | 9:58PM1.69m | 10:13AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.68m | 10:56AM1.53m | 11:17PM1.68m | 11:42AM1.54m | 00:00AM1.67m | 12:32PM1.55m | 00:48AM1.67m | 1:26PM1.59m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:55AM0.37m | 3:04PM0.26m | 3:38AM0.35m | 3:44PM0.28m | 4:19AM0.34m | 4:25PM0.30m | 5:00AM0.32m | 5:07PM0.32m | 5:42AM0.30m | 5:52PM0.34m | 6:27AM0.28m | 6:40PM0.36m | 7:15AM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  |  | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | 1 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 10 | ENE 12 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 97 | 92 | 78 | 52 | 113 | 119 | 64 | 255 | 124 | 33 | 27 | 203 | 94 | 104 | 31 | 600 | 439 | 360 | 224 | 99 | 69 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 16 | ENE 14 | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | ENE 10 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | — | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | E 9 | ENE 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | — | — | 10 | 76 | 5 | 4 | — | 21 | 38 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 25 | 51 | — | 40 | 34 | 16 | 31 | 17 | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 11 | — | — | — | E 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 18 | 14 | — | 39 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | NNE 5 | — | — | N 6 | N 7 | — | — | SE 3 | NNE 7 | SE 3 | SSE 4 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | S 2 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 90 | — | — | 108 | 351 | — | — | 2 | 302 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 3 | 166 | 163 | 0 | 12 | 95 | 166 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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