Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 19s period, E swell with 7 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.1m 19s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Well, it’s been a real flat stretch at Kaituna Cut. From Thursday 16 July right through to the morning of Saturday 25 July, there’s nothing worth paddling out for – just tiny ankle-biters around 0.3 ft, and mostly cross-off or onshore breezes. That’s a solid nine days of no surf. The water’s sitting at 57°F with an anomaly of about 2°F below average, so a bit colder than usual.
Then, finally, on the morning of Saturday 25 July, a pulse of 8 ft swell from the NNW shows up. Period’s a modest 8 seconds – short-period stuff, but the wind is offshore from the WSW at 12 mph, keeping it clean. Combined energy sits at 621 (moderate). This is a solid wave for experienced surfers – it’s over 5 ft, so a bit much for beginners. The break is fairly consistent here, but after this long dry spell, this morning window is the real standout. Crowds are possible sometimes, so expect company if you’re keen.
The afternoon of the 25th drops to 7 ft with cross-off wind – still rideable but the forecast calls it marginal. After that, things taper off fast: Sunday 26 July morning sees tiny 1 ft glassy surf but no real energy, and the rest of the week is mostly poor surf with small 0.7–4 ft swells and ordinary conditions. There’s a brief uptick on the morning of 30 July with 4 ft from the NW, but combined energy is only 94 and the comment says “surfable but ordinary”. Not a standout.
So – if you can get out on the morning of Saturday 25 July, that’s your window. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, but right now that’s the only real shot in the next two weeks.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 20 | E 19 | E 19 | E 19 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | 9:29AM1.81m | 9:57PM1.95m | 10:22AM1.77m | 10:47PM1.88m | 11:15AM1.71m | 11:36PM1.80m | 12:07PM1.65m | 00:24AM1.70m | 12:59PM1.60m | 1:14AM1.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | 3:28AM0.05m | 3:43PM0.03m | 4:19AM0.07m | 4:34PM0.10m | 5:09AM0.11m | 5:24PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.17m | 6:14PM0.29m | 6:45AM0.23m | 7:04PM0.38m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 4 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NW 5 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NW 4 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | N 7 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NW 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | E 20 | N 5 | NE 9 | — | — | — | — | N 9 | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | — | N 7 | N 8 | N 6 | N 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | — | E 19 | E 19 | E 19 | — | — | — | N 9 | — | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 7 | N 10 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | WSW 2 | WSW 2 | W 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 2 | — | — | WSW 2 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 83 | 83 | 58 | 83 | 83 | 83 | 111 | 133 | 166 | 163 | 165 | 165 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 165 | 165 | 165 | 125 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Kaituna Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
Nearest