Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NNW swell with 103 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve had a proper look at the charts for Kaituna Cut, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a lean run for the next 16 days. There’s a massive gap of nothing but flat or tiny, junk waves for the first week and a half. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Monday, August 3rd.
Before that, it’s a tough watch. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are write-offs, with tiny, messy swell and rain. The whole of the following week, from the 27th of July right through to the 1st of August, is basically flat. You’ll be staring at a lake with a few ripples – maybe 1 foot or less. The winds are all over the place, but there’s just no energy in the water. There’s a tiny pulse on the 31st of July, but it’s short period (5 seconds) and cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and not worth the drive. On Saturday the 1st of August, the afternoon goes glassy, but the swell is tiny and weak, so it’s a non-event.
The real story is the start of August. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget a good steamer.
Monday, August 3rd, is the standout. The morning session is the pick of the entire outlook. We’ve got a clean 4 feet swell from the ENE, with a 9-second period and a solid energy reading of 239. The wind is light and offshore from the SW, so the break will be clean and lined up. This is a beginner-friendly spot, and it’s fairly consistent, so it’ll be a great morning for a longboard or a funboard. Crowds are possible here, so get there early. The afternoon holds up too, but it gets a little cross-onshore, so stick to the morning.
Tuesday, August 4th, is also a good one. Similar swell size, about 4 feet from the NE, with a 10-second period and energy around 288. The winds are light and variable – glassy in the afternoon. This is clean, consistent surf, and the biggest energy of the run. Another solid option.
After that, it fades out again. Wednesday the 5th through to the 9th sees the swell drop back down to under 3 feet, with moderate cross-shore breezes making for choppy, average conditions. Not worth a special trip.
So, to sum it up: the best bet in the whole 16-day window is Monday morning, August 3rd, at Kaituna Cut. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | E 10 | E 15 | NNW 8 | E 17 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 11 | E 17 | E 17 | E 16 | N 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | E 15 | N 3 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 226 | 192 | 46 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 64 | 53 | 73 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 3:37PM1.51m | 3:47AM1.47m | 4:28PM1.52m | 4:38AM1.48m | 5:18PM1.55m | 5:27AM1.50m | 6:05PM1.59m | 6:14AM1.52m | 6:49PM1.64m | 6:59AM1.55m | 7:31PM1.68m | 7:42AM1.57m | 8:11PM1.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:11AM0.39m | 9:40PM0.53m | 10:02AM0.40m | 10:34PM0.53m | 10:53AM0.38m | 11:26PM0.50m | 11:42AM0.35m | 00:15AM0.46m | 12:29PM0.31m | 1:02AM0.41m | 1:13PM0.28m | 1:46AM0.36m | 1:56PM0.25m | 2:28AM0.31m | |||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — |
mm | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 10 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 11 | E 13 | N 6 |
| kJ | 226 | 192 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 73 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | — | — | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | E 17 | N 10 | — | E 10 | E 9 | NE 11 | NE 11 | E 13 | NE 18 | NE 17 |
| kJ | 43 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | — | NW 4 | E 15 | E 16 | E 17 | — | — | — | E 17 | E 6 | E 16 | N 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | E 15 | E 14 | E 7 | NE 11 | NE 11 |
| kJ | — | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | SSW 3 | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | — | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | SE 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 5 | N 5 | — |
| kJ | 13 | 18 | 22 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 64 | 53 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 50 | 165 | 0 | 12 | 98 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 58 | 86 | 58 | 14 | 58 | 75 | 12 | 12 | 75 | 95 | 157 | 166 | 163 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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