Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NNW swell with 117 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the first week and a half is a write-off. We’re looking at a long, dry spell from now until the 22nd of July with nothing worth paddling out for. Tiny waves, poor conditions, the whole lot. You’re better off doing a gear check or going for a fish. The wait is real, but it won’t last forever.
Then, things get interesting. The standout window kicks off on the morning of Wednesday the 23rd. Kaituna Cut is the place to be. This is a big swell event, but it’s not for everyone. We’re talking a solid 10ft swell from the northeast, with a period of 10 seconds and the combined energy is pumping hard at 3144. That’s a lot of power. The wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy with chop, but the water is about average for the time of year. This is expert territory only – over 8ft and it’s a beast. The swell direction is a good match for the break, and it’s a fairly consistent spot, though crowds are possible. The morning of the 24th is similar, with 12ft from the northeast and a period of 11 seconds, combined energy at 2688, and again, cross-shore winds. It’s still only for the crew who know what they’re doing.
For the rest of that week and into the next, the swell stays big but gets messier. The 25th drops to 8ft from the northeast, but the wind shifts more onshore, making it choppy. By the 26th, it’s a fresh onshore mess with rain showers, so that’s a no-go.
So, the call is simple: if you’re an experienced surfer, circle the morning of the 23rd and the 24th. That’s your best shot. For everyone else, sit this one out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 6 | E 9 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 5 | NE 10 | E 19 | E 18 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 91 | 117 | 45 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | off | off | cross | off | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:25PM1.69m | 3:41AM1.71m | 4:26PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.75m | 5:26PM1.84m | 5:44AM1.79m | 6:24PM1.91m | 6:42AM1.82m | 7:20PM1.97m | 7:39AM1.84m | 8:14PM2.00m | 8:35AM1.84m | 9:06PM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:04AM0.18m | 9:34PM0.33m | 10:04AM0.14m | 10:38PM0.28m | 11:04AM0.09m | 11:40PM0.23m | 12:04PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.16m | 1:01PM-0.01m | 1:39AM0.11m | 1:57PM-0.03m | 2:35AM0.07m | 2:50PM-0.02m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | — | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 |
| kJ | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 5 | 86 | 45 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 6 | NE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | N 10 | NE 12 | NE 12 | N 9 | N 10 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NNW 6 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | E 9 | — | N 12 | N 11 | N 9 | E 8 | — | — | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 11 | NNW 6 | E 10 | NW 6 | E 11 | NW 5 | E 19 | E 18 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | SE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | W 3 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 21 | 91 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 13 | 13 | 58 | 58 | 83 | 133 | 133 | 142 | 142 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 133 | 166 | 133 | 142 | 133 | 83 | 83 | 83 | 62 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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