Surf Forecasts:
Kaituna Cut surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 13s period, NE swell with 27 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kaituna Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Kaituna Cut in the next 16 days are 0.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kaituna Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s translate that for the imperial crew.
Right off the bat, we’ve got Kaituna Cut. A beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, taking swell from the NNE, and it’s exposed. Straight up – for the next week and a half, it’s a flat, poor run. Tiny ripples, no energy to speak of, and a real bummer. From now until the 10th of August, you’re looking at ankle-snappers and glassy mornings that look pretty but offer nothing. The combined energy is tiny, like a measly 35 (weak) on the 2nd, dropping even lower. Water temp is 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Then, we hit Monday the 10th of August. The swell tries to wake up in the afternoon with a 5ft from the north, but the period is a short, mushy 6 seconds and it’s onshore. Not worth paddling out. The next morning, Tuesday the 11th of August, is the only true standout in this whole 16-day window. Glassy conditions, light air, and a 7ft NNW swell with an 8-second period. The combined energy jumps to a solid 969 (strong), and the break is supposed to be "very good". This is for experts only – 7ft is steep, but if you’ve got the skills and can handle a bit of heft, that morning is your window. The afternoon drops off to a smaller 5ft with cross-on wind, so get it while it’s clean.
After that, it’s back to poor. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th see messy, cross-on conditions with rain and rising wind. By Friday the 14th of August, the swell height hits a big 10ft from the north, but it’s hammered by a 22 mph onshore – so unless you’re into tow-in or kite surfing, that’s a no-go. The energy is huge at 1725, but the quality is garbage. The last few days from the 15th onward fizzle out with dropping swell and onshore slop.
So here’s the bottom line: the first week and a half is a write-off. The one bright spot is Tuesday morning, the 11th of August. That’s the day. The rest is a long, flat, or blown-out wait. Stay patient, keep an eye on that Tuesday window, and if it cleans up, don’t hesitate.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 16 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | N 18 | NE 18 | NE 11 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | NE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:06AM1.61m | 9:28PM1.74m | 9:48AM1.62m | 10:07PM1.74m | 10:31AM1.63m | 10:48PM1.73m | 11:17AM1.64m | 11:33PM1.71m | 12:07PM1.64m | 00:23AM1.69m | 1:02PM1.65m | 1:19AM1.67m | 2:02PM1.66m | 2:20AM1.66m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:18PM0.24m | 3:49AM0.24m | 3:59PM0.25m | 4:30AM0.22m | 4:42PM0.27m | 5:12AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.30m | 5:58AM0.21m | 6:18PM0.32m | 6:48AM0.21m | 7:13PM0.35m | 7:43AM0.21m | 8:13PM0.35m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | NNE 15 | NNE 15 | NNE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 |
| kJ | 6 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 27 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 16 | NNE 5 | NE 7 | NE 15 | NE 6 | NE 7 | WNW 5 | NW 5 | — | — | — | N 18 | NE 18 | — | NE 16 | N 14 | N 14 | NE 15 | NE 10 | NE 14 | — |
| kJ | 25 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | — | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 7 | NE 6 | N 6 | — | — | WNW 4 | — | — | — | N 11 | — | — | N 15 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 14 | NE 10 | NE 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 3 | — | — | W 2 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | SSW 3 | — | SE 2 | SSE 2 | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 83 | 165 | 165 | 166 | 170 | 98 | 165 | 265 | 58 | 111 | 133 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 | 133 | 163 | 141 | 141 | 165 | 141 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Bay of Plenty | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kaituna Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kaituna Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kaituna Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kaituna Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kaituna Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kaituna Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Kaituna Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 25 km (16 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 46 km (29 miles) away, Whakatane and Cambridge.
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