Outside Corner Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, buddy, Rusty here. Let’s break down this stretch of coast. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming, but it’s a slow burn. The first few days are pretty ordinary, so don’t rush out. Once we hit the end of the month, things start to clean up nicely.

Outside Corner is the only spot to talk about, and it’s a real one for the advanced crew. It’s a reef and point set-up, so not for beginners. The water is 79°, which is right about average for this time of year, so no need for a thick suit.

The first couple of days, Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, are a bit of a bust. Tuesday morning has rain showers, with a fresh 19 mph offshore from the ESE, and the swell is small, only 3 ft to 4 ft from the SSW. The energy is weak (732 and 644), and the call is marginal. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 30th is not much better. The swell picks up a touch to 5 ft, with a moderate offshore breeze, but the energy is still moderate (1268-1548), and the call is still marginal. You’d be better off waiting.

Now, Friday the 31st is where it starts to get interesting. The morning has a 4 ft SSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wind is a clean moderate offshore from the SE, and the energy is ramping up (1461). The commentary finally says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the first real window. That long period means the sets will be well-spaced, making the paddle out a bit easier, but it’s a reef break, so it’ll handle that period just fine.

The weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August is looking even better. Saturday sees the swell building to 6 ft by the afternoon, with a 16 to 18-second period and strong energy (2301). Sunday pumps with a clean 7 ft SSW swell, 17-second period, and very strong energy (2577). The wind is a steady moderate offshore all day. This is a classic weekend for anyone who knows what they’re doing. The crowd is likely to be “sometimes” present, so you’ll have company, but it won’t be a circus.

The first week of August keeps the good times rolling. Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th, we’ve got 5 ft to 6 ft SSW swell, moderate to gentle offshore breezes, and solid energy. The commentary keeps calling it “excellent” for experienced surfers. This is a solid run of clean, offshore waves.

Then on Thursday the 6th, the swell jumps again to 7 ft with a 17-second period and very strong energy (2488). The wind is still moderate offshore. This is getting into the “bigger” territory, and it’s still clean.

The 7th of August, the swell hits 8 ft, but the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph offshore. The commentary marks it as “marginal” again, likely because of the wind strength or tide issues. It’s still a big, clean wave, but it might be a bit on the windy side.

Now, the real standout. Saturday the 8th of August is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning is a bit messy with a 5 ft, 22-second period swell and fresh offshore wind, but the afternoon… that’s the magic. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the SSW with a 20-second period, and the energy is off the charts (6009). The wind drops to a moderate offshore from the SE, and the commentary says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers.” This is a rare, powerful, clean groundswell. For the experts, this is the session of the forecast.

Sunday the 9th of August, the swell peaks at 12 ft with an 18-second period, and the energy is massive (6641). The wind is moderate offshore in the morning, but it swings cross-offshore in the afternoon, which might make it a bit lumpy. Still, 12 ft of clean, long-period swell is a beast.

The following week, from the 10th to the 12th of August, the swell stays big, between 8 ft and 10 ft, with very strong energy. The wind stays moderate offshore, so it’s still excellent for the experienced crew, but the commentary flags some marginal conditions on the 12th, likely due to the size and wind. This is a long, sustained run of heavy surf.

Overall, if you’re an experienced surfer, this is a golden run. The standout is the afternoon of Saturday the 8th of August – that’s the one to hold out for. For everyone else, the small stuff early on isn’t worth it, and by the time it gets good, it’s too big for beginners. It’s a reef and point break, so the long-period swells will hold up well, but the size is only for the confident.

Rusty.

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