Arawhata Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a yarn about what’s coming up at Arawhata.

Alright, so the next 16 days at Arawhata are a bit of a mixed bag, but there are some absolute guns hiding in there if you’re patient. This reef break is fairly consistent, and when it lines up with the right SW swell and clean wind, it can be magic. Water temp is sitting at 58.8°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

First up, the early days are pretty average. Saturday the 4th has a small 3ft W swell with a 12-second period, but that NNE wind is howling at 19 mph, making it a cross-off mess. Combined energy is 430 (moderate), but honestly, it’s not worth paddling out for. Sunday morning the 5th is a write-off too—rain, 8ft NW swell (10-second period), and a cross-off wind. The energy jumps to 1703 (strong), but the conditions are marginal at best.

Monday the 6th is where things start to get interesting. Monday afternoon, you’ve got an 8ft WSW swell with a very long 16-second period (groundswell), and the combined energy is pumping at 3968 (very strong). The wind swings light from the east at just 6 mph, keeping it clean. This is excellent for experienced surfers only—that’s big, powerful, straight-shooting surf at a beach-friendly reef. It’ll be walled up and take some serious skill.

Tuesday the 7th morning is still good: 7.5ft WSW swell, 15-second period, combined energy of 2258 (strong), and light ENE wind at 6 mph keeping it glassy. Again, this is expert territory—big, fast, and powerful. By Tuesday afternoon the wind swings to a 16 mph cross-shore, and it gets lumpy. Not your pick.

Then we hit a lull. Wednesday the 8th through to the 12th you’ve got a stretch of small to moderate swell (3ft to 5.5ft) but the wind is either cross-on or cross-shore, or just plain messy. There’s a brief highlight on Sunday morning the 12th with a 4.5ft WSW swell (16-second period) and a light 12 mph cross-off breeze keeping it clean—combined energy is 1073 (moderate). It’s a solid option for intermediates, not a standout, but the best of that week.

Now, Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th bring clean conditions with a 4ft to 3ft WSW swell (14- and 13-second periods). The wind is light and offshore (3-6 mph). Combined energy drops to moderate (562-279). It’s good fun for a grovel on a log or a fish, but nothing to write home about.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see a tiny 2.3ft to 2.6ft WSW swell (12-16 seconds) with clean offshore winds. Energies are weak (235-488). It’s a longboard session if you’re desperate.

Now, the real standout is Sunday the 19th. Sunday morning you get an 8ft WSW swell with a 15-second period, combined energy of 2837 (very strong), and glassy conditions with a light 3 mph NE offshore breeze. The break is Arawhata (reef), so this long-period groundswell will wrap in and hold its shape beautifully. This is an excellent session for experienced surfers only—big, powerful, and clean. Crowds are possible here on a day like this, so you might have a few locals out, but it’s worth the paddle. That’s your pick.

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