Surf Forecast Surf Report
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Outer Cut surf break
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Outer Cut location map

Outer Cut surf Forecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand

12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 11 pm Friday 10 May 2024 NZST
Forecast update in  hr  min  s Update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is 15.4°C (Statistics for 10 May 1981-2005 - mean: 14.7 °C max: 15.8 °C min: 12.8 °C)
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.leaflet.map_placeholder_alt">Map Placeholder Alt</span>
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is 15.4°C (Statistics for 10 May 1981-2005 - mean: 14.7 °C max: 15.8 °C min: 12.8 °C)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outer Cut this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Outer Cut in the next 12 days are 1.0m 5s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (May 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (May 14) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 6PM (Tue 14th May)3.5ft (1.0m) 5s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outer Cut over the next 12 days.

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Quick surf report for Outer Cut:

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Updates in  hr  min  s Update imminent
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wed
22
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.1
SW
0.1
SW
0.1
NW
0.2
NNW
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.2
NNE
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.4
NW
0.4
NNW
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.2
NNW
0.6
N
0.5
N
0.4
N
0.2
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.3
WSW
0.1
NW
0.3
NNW
0.2
NNW
0.1
NW
0.1
NW
0.1
NW
0.1
NW
0.1
N
0.1
NW
0.1
NW
0.1
SW
0.4
WSW
0.1
NW
Period(s) (?)22183334151414134412127877766315418161615141416172314
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)0001001444345335412715311103300000400030
Wind
(km/h)
10
S
5
S
10
N
10
S
5
SSW
10
N
10
SSW
5
SSW
10
NNE
5
S
5
SW
5
N
10
SSW
15
SW
10
NW
5
SSE
5
SW
10
N
10
S
5
SSW
5
NNE
20
SW
15
WSW
15
ENE
5
W
10
SW
15
WSW
0
S
15
WSW
5
WSW
10
S
10
S
5
N
10
S
5
S
5
N
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
crossglasscross-
off
crossoncross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
crosscrosscross-
off
cross-
on
crosscross-
on
glasscrosscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:33PM
4.27
11:43AM
3.96
12:12AM
4.09
12:28PM
3.73
12:51AM
3.86
1:17PM
3.49
1:35AM
3.60
2:13PM
3.30
2:27AM
3.36
3:15PM
3.19
3:38AM
3.18
4:19PM
3.15
5:01AM
3.16
5:18PM
3.18
6:10AM
3.27
6:15PM
3.25
7:00AM
3.42
7:09PM
3.38
7:40AM
3.57
7:59PM
3.55
8:16AM
3.68
8:44PM
3.75
8:51AM
3.77
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:25AM
0.65
5:50PM
0.83
6:08AM
0.88
6:34PM
1.05
6:56AM
1.11
7:20PM
1.26
7:52AM
1.32
8:09PM
1.44
8:59AM
1.48
9:05PM
1.57
10:13AM
1.56
10:16PM
1.61
11:24AM
1.56
11:35PM
1.55
12:22PM
1.48
12:37AM
1.41
1:08PM
1.34
1:24AM
1.27
1:46PM
1.18
2:03AM
1.14
2:20PM
1.03
2:38AM
1.02
2:53PM
0.90
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wed
22
Sunrise-7:24--7:24--7:26--7:26--7:28--7:28--7:30--7:31--7:31--7:33--7:33--7:35-
Sunset--5:21--5:20--5:19--5:17--5:16--5:15--5:15--5:14--5:14--5:13--5:12--5:10
clearclearclearpart cloudclearclearpart cloudclearclearclearclearclearpart cloudclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearpart cloudpart cloudrain showersclearpart cloudrain showersclearmod rainclearpart cloudpart cloudclearclearclear
Rain (mm)
------------------------4--1-10------
Temp. °C71011812129131310121291516111415101413101412101214101213791061111
Feels °C (?)4785109711109101071213912138121167888108810466398

Short Range Forecast: Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 6-9 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Long Range Forecast: Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 3°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

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Information about the Outer Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outer Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Outer Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outer Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outer Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outer Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Outer Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 65 km (40 miles) away

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