Tora Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee and let’s look at what’s on the cards for Tora Point. We’ve got a classic run of small, clean groundswell at the start of the week, then the ocean gets real messy, before maybe cleaning up again towards the back end of the 16-day window. There’s a big gap of blown-out junk right through the middle, so don’t get too excited about the long-range.

The first surf worth paddling out for kicks off now, Friday 3rd July. Tora Point, that exposed point break, will be handling a tidy east swell of 4ft coming in with an 11-second period. The wind is light offshore from the NNW, so the surface will be clean as a whistle. Wave energy is sitting at 374 (moderate) – plenty of push for a log or a fish. The water temp is 55° with a tiny anomaly of +0.7°, so pretty average for this time of year – wetsuit territory, but nothing insane. This is the pick of the early window. The crowds are rare here, so you’ll have it mostly to yourself. Short-period swells under 8 seconds? Not here. This is proper groundswell with a period over 11 seconds, meaning better shaped waves and that nice lull between sets to paddle back out. Perfect.

Saturday 4th July stays similar: 4ft from the east, 12-second period, and a gentle northerly offshore wind. The water is glassy in the morning, and the consistency is fair. Another day of clean walls at Tora Point. Wave energy is 487 – still moderate but solid.

Sunday 5th July sees the swell bump up to 6ft from the east-northeast, but the period drops to 9 seconds. Still a clean offshore NNW wind (25 km/h in the morning, easing a bit arvo). Wave energy jumps to 552 – getting punchy. This is the most size you’ll see before it all falls apart. Not a day for learners (6ft is pushing into intermediate territory), but for anyone comfortable, it’ll be fun.

Now the ugly bit. From Monday 6th July right through to Sunday 12th July, forget it. The wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, the swell gets big and messy, and there’s poor conditions plastered across the data. Light rain, moderate rain, strong breezes – you’re looking at a 7-day blank run. The wave energy peaks at 3490 (very strong) on Thursday 9th July with a 15ft SSE swell, but it’s blowing 22 mph onshore. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle-surfing one. Don’t bother.

Alright, now the second week. After that nasty stretch, things start looking up again on Monday 13th July. The wind goes glassy in the morning – northerly at 3 mph – and the swell is 4ft from the southeast on a 10-second period. Wave energy is 808 (moderate to strong). Clean, small, and user-friendly. That’s a standout for the second week, but it’s a long way out so keep your expectations in check.

Wednesday 15th July is the big one to circle. Offshore northerly breeze at 9 mph, 5ft swell from the southeast, and the period stretches out to 13 seconds. Wave energy hits 1047 (strong). That’s excellent groundswell – long-period, good shape, plenty of energy. The wind is offshore, the sets will be well-spaced, and the break will be handling it beautifully. If this holds, it’ll be the best day of the whole outlook. After that, Thursday 16th July looks like it gets a bit tricky again with rain and cross-shore winds, and then the last few days of the run get clobbered by strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy seas.

So, the pick of the whole 16 days is this Friday 3rd July morning – clean, 4ft east swell, offshore NNW wind, and you’ll have the place nearly to yourself. The long-range promise is Wednesday 15th July, but treat that as a hopeful whisper for now.

Rusty.

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