Tora Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The long-range forecast for our stretch of coast is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a serious run of swell early on, but it’s going to be messy and too big for Tora Point. After that, things drop off dramatically, and we’ll be waiting over a week for any meaningful waves to return. The standout window is right at the end of the run, so keep that in mind.

Wednesday the 19th kicks things off with a building swell. We’re looking at a solid 15ft of south swell with a 14-second period, which is a lot of juice. The combined energy is a massive 15170, but it’s just too much for this spot. The wind is cross-onshore out of the south at 25 km/h, so it’s going to be choppy and unruly. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty. The afternoon drops slightly to 12ft, but still too big and lumpy. Water temp is a normal 53°F, so nothing out of the ordinary there.

Thursday the 20th sees the swell backing off fast. The morning is a weak 3ft, and the afternoon is a junky 5ft with a short 8-second period. There’s not enough energy to do anything with it. The tide is iffy, onshore winds are light, and it’s just a write-off.

Friday the 21st is the first real chance to get a surf, but it’s not a standout. The morning has 5ft of south swell, a 16-second period, and light cross-offshore winds, so it will be clean. There’s some energy in the water (1313) and it’s a step in the right direction, but it’s not the best day. The afternoon eases to 5ft, still clean, but the magic just isn't quite there.

The weekend is a bust. Saturday the 22nd is blown out with a near-gale force northwest wind hitting 50 km/h in the morning. There’s a little 3ft swell, but you won’t be able to paddle into it. Sunday the 23rd is similar, with strong winds and tiny waves. It’s not worth the effort.

Monday the 24th brings a return of some shape. The morning is a clean 5ft of SSW swell at 16 seconds, but the tide is questionable. The afternoon is the better bet, with the wind going light offshore, leaving clean 5ft surf. Still, it’s a modest, average day.

From Tuesday the 25th through to Wednesday the 2nd of September, it’s mostly poor to non-existent. We’ve got a long stretch of small or onshore slop, with strong winds on the 25th and relentless southerly winds early the next week. There are a couple of tiny windows on the 27th and 28th, but they are marginal at best. This is a barren patch, with only small, weak waves on offer. It’s a trough, and you’ll be waiting it out.

Then, we get to the real highlight. Thursday the 3rd of September is the day to circle. The forecast shows a clean 6ft of SSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The wind is forecast to be glassy, dead calm in the morning. The combined energy is a solid 1592, making it the best quality surf of the whole period. This is a point break and it’s taking that long-period swell beautifully. It’s going to be clean, powerful, and well-shaped. It’s still a bit strong for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the pick of the fortnight. The afternoon stays glassy with the same size. This is what we’ve been waiting for. It’s a long-range call, so don’t book the time off just yet, but this one looks special.

Rusty

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