
Surf Forecasts:
Tora Point surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 6,253 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tora Point this week:
The surf forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tora Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The forecast’s got a bit of everything, so let’s break it down proper.
The early part of this stretch is looking pretty average – nothing to get too fired up about. The swell’s small and the conditions are a bit messy, so you’re not gonna be scrambling for your board just yet. We’ve got a couple of days there where it’s just not worth the paddle.
Then things start to clean up around Friday the 18th. That’s when we see the first real glimmer of hope. Glassy conditions and a building swell start to make Tora Point (Tora-Point) look respectable. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and it’s a sign of things to come.
The standout, and I mean the real standout, is the Monday the 21st. That morning is where it’s at. We’re looking at a solid 8ft of SSW groundswell at Tora Point, and with that light offshore breeze, it’s going to be proper. The energy’s pumping – 1257 combined – and the sets are gonna have some push. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still a week out, so don’t book the day off work just yet, but this has all the makings of a cracker.
There’s another spike on Tuesday the 29th afternoon – 8ft from the south with a clean offshore wind. That’s promising too, and the energy is solid at 1413. It’s a similar setup to the 21st, so keep an eye on that.
Then we get a late one on the 30th – Wednesday afternoon is looking glassy with 8ft of SSW swell. The energy readings are huge – 2446 in the morning, dropping to 1998 in the arvo – and it’s all pointing to some serious power. That’s the kind of swell that gets the heart rate up.
Now, for Tora Point, remember it’s exposed and the optimum direction is SSE, so we’re getting a bit of cross-off or side-angle juice on these swells, but it’s still working. It’s a point break, so the longer period swells (14-15 seconds) are going to wrap in nicely and give you some proper lines. The Saturday the 19th morning has a 14-second period too, and at 3ft it’s a small but clean option.
One thing to keep in mind – when the swell gets over 8ft, like on the 23rd, it’s going to be big and the onshore wind will just wreck it. That’s a day for the experienced crew only, and even then, it might be more of a mess than a surf. We’re looking at a combo of big swell and cross-onshore winds – that’s more of a kite-surfing day, if anything.
Water temp is around 55°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. Nothing crazy going on there.
So, to sum it up: the first few days are quiet. The real winners are the 21st, and possibly the 29th and 30th if the winds hold. The 21st is the pick – bigger swell, good direction, clean conditions. The long-period groundswell is going to make it bend around the point and give you some proper long rides. Just be aware the crowd might be around for that one – it’s rare to have it this good, so a few others will have the same idea.
Alright, I’ll catch you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Wed morning, calm by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 13 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SW 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 14 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
169 | 72 | 44 | 43 | 82 | 68 | 64 | 75 | 212 | 195 | 202 | 264 | 341 | 129 | 529 | 1441 | 3919 | 1230 | 544 | 154 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross | glassy | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:17PM1.39m | 8:41AM1.43m | 9:07PM1.34m | 9:29AM1.41m | 9:56PM1.30m | 10:18AM1.39m | 10:44PM1.27m | 11:05AM1.37m | 11:31PM1.25m | 11:53AM1.35m | 00:17AM1.23m | 12:39PM1.34m | 1:02AM1.22m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:30AM0.19m | 3:01PM0.19m | 3:18AM0.23m | 3:51PM0.23m | 4:04AM0.27m | 4:39PM0.27m | 4:51AM0.30m | 5:26PM0.30m | 5:36AM0.32m | 6:12PM0.31m | 6:21AM0.32m | 6:58PM0.32m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 17 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 15 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | S 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
169 | 72 | 35 | 43 | 82 | 68 | 64 | 43 | 94 | 195 | 202 | 130 | 341 | 129 | 58 | 46 | 3919 | 1230 | 544 | 154 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 13 | S 8 | SE 8 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | ENE 5 | SE 12 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 14 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SW 16 | ENE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | E 11 | SSW 13 |
51 | 64 | 20 | 16 | 18 | 56 | 45 | 10 | 212 | 77 | 52 | 264 | 126 | 84 | 64 | 9 | 46 | 18 | 20 | 67 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SE 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | S 8 | NE 12 | ESE 14 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | E 10 | — | E 11 | SSW 16 | ESE 10 |
20 | 17 | 44 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 75 | 18 | 31 | 146 | 140 | 127 | 26 | 17 | 2 | — | 9 | 25 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 3 | NE 4 | — | WNW 3 | NW 3 | NNE 3 | NE 4 | SSW 3 | — | — | SSW 7 | — | — | W 3 | S 7 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | W 4 |
3 | 7 | — | 10 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | — | — | 125 | — | — | 8 | 529 | 1441 | — | — | — | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 61 | 118 | 172 | 56 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tora Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tora Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tora Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tora Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tora Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tora Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tora Point is 57 km (35 miles) from the city of Upper Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Upper Hutt. Upper Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










