
Surf Forecasts:
Tora Point surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SE swell with 3,609 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tora Point this week:
The surf forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tora Point in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a coffee and settle in, because we’ve got a proper 16-day forecast for Tora Point, and it’s a story of patience and reward.
The first few days are a write-off, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Sunday the 27th, it’s a real struggle. There’s a little bump on Wednesday morning with 4ft south swell and glassy offshore wind, but it’s weak and the overall energy is low (433). The water temp is 54°, right on the money for this time of year, so no surprises there. But after that, it’s mostly small, messy, or blown out. Thursday the 23rd drops to 2ft, Friday the 24th is a pathetic 0.7ft, and the weekend is a total loss with howling cross-onshore winds and lumpy sea state. You’re looking at nearly five days of nothing worth paddling out for.
Now, hold onto your board. The 28th of July is where it all changes. Tuesday morning serves up a solid 10ft SE groundswell, with a very long period of 14 seconds, and light cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is massive (3639), and this is proper, powerful groundswell. This is a point break, so that long period works in our favour—it’ll wrap in with clean, lined-up sets. The water’s still the same temp, but who cares when the surf is this good. The afternoon goes glassy, 10ft from the ESE, with zero wind. It’s a standout. This is for experienced surfers only; 10ft is not for the faint-hearted.
Wednesday the 29th holds strong with 8ft ESE groundswell, offshore wind in the morning, and clean conditions. Energy is still high (2203). Another excellent day for the crew who know what they’re doing. The afternoon gets a bit windier but still surfable.
After that, things fade. Thursday the 30th drops to 6ft E swell, but the wind goes cross-onshore, and it’s messy. Friday the 31st is a blowout with strong winds, and the first weekend of August is a full-on stormy mess. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd see massive 13ft to 18ft south swells, but with howling cross-onshore winds, it’s just a white-knuckle, blown-out nightmare. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Then, as if the ocean remembers, Tuesday the 4th of August delivers a clean-up set: 7ft E groundswell, 14 second period, light cross-offshore wind, and energy through the roof (4198). The morning is clean and punchy. Wednesday the 5th keeps the trend alive with 6ft E swell and offshore winds, excellent for experienced surfers. Thursday the 6th is a little smaller, 5ft, but still clean and fun.
So, the true standouts? Without a doubt, Tuesday the 28th of July morning and afternoon, and Tuesday the 4th of August morning. Those are the sessions you mark on the calendar. The 28th is the biggest, cleanest, and has that glassy afternoon window. The 4th is a little smaller but still exceptional. Don’t sleep on the 29th morning either. Crowds are rare here, so you’ll likely have plenty of room.
Keep in mind, that long-range stuff on the 4th and 5th is promising but less certain. The near-term, though, for the 28th and 29th, I’m confident.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sat morning, light winds from the SW by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 14 | S 7 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | SSE 12 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
411 | 241 | 131 | 78 | 48 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 67 | 80 | 453 | 454 | 268 | 269 | 349 | 836 | 1190 | 2471 | 3609 | 3167 | 2491 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | off |
High Tide | 11:29AM1.38m | 11:51PM1.33m | 12:19PM1.36m | 00:41AM1.28m | 1:07PM1.36m | 1:28AM1.26m | 1:53PM1.36m | 2:15AM1.25m | 2:39PM1.37m | 3:00AM1.24m | 3:24PM1.38m | 3:44AM1.25m | 4:09PM1.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:44PM0.23m | 6:04AM0.23m | 6:35PM0.27m | 6:50AM0.27m | 7:24PM0.30m | 7:35AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.32m | 8:19AM0.31m | 8:57PM0.32m | 9:04AM0.30m | 9:43PM0.31m | 9:49AM0.29m | 10:29PM0.30m | ||||||||
7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | |
— | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | NE 5 | S 9 | ESE 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 14 | SSE 12 | SE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
411 | 241 | 131 | 78 | 48 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 67 | 80 | 43 | 119 | 268 | 246 | 136 | 836 | 1190 | 1966 | 3609 | 3167 | 2491 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | S 10 | S 12 | SSE 11 | NE 4 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 9 | ESE 13 | ENE 12 | E 11 | SE 16 | E 10 | E 11 | SE 13 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | ESE 14 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 10 |
22 | 71 | 73 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 91 | 201 | 108 | 112 | 142 | 34 | 39 | 1277 | 30 | 26 | 19 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | ESE 12 | SW 8 | SW 14 | SE 13 | SE 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | E 15 | SSW 11 | — | — | — | — | SW 18 |
— | 22 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 148 | 65 | 56 | 78 | 172 | 11 | — | — | — | — | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNE 3 | NNW 2 | NNW 3 | NNE 5 | NE 5 | NNW 4 | SW 3 | SSW 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 12 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 36 | 6 | 4 | 453 | 454 | 256 | 269 | 349 | 357 | 494 | 2471 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 61 | 212 | 172 | 172 | 0 | 154 | 174 | 1 | 79 | 127 | 89 | 85 | 124 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tora Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tora Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tora Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tora Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tora Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tora Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tora Point is 57 km (35 miles) from the city of Upper Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Upper Hutt. Upper Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










