
Surf Forecasts:
Tora Point surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with 4,546 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tora Point this week:
The surf forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tora Point in the next 16 days are 4.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Tora Point. Things start a bit slow, but there are a couple of real gems in the mix if you’re patient.
We’ve got a pretty quiet start for the first couple of days. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are only offering tiny, poor quality swell with onshore winds. Not worth wetting a suit for, really. The water temp here is sitting at 55°F, about a degree warmer than normal for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary for a winter wetsuit session. By Friday the 18th we start seeing signs of life. A modest 3ft ESE swell on Friday morning builds from a moderate 100 combined wave energy, with a light cross-offshore wind, keeping things clean. It’s not huge, but definitely surfable.
Now Saturday the 19th is where your ears should prick up. The morning brings a glassy 3ft swell from the SSW with a very long 15-second period—classic groundswell. Combined energy is strong at 560, and with no wind and clean conditions, this is shaping up to be one of the true standouts of the forecast. A point break like Tora Point loves that long-period SSW energy; it should wrap in with some proper shape. The Saturday afternoon keeps it going with a similar 3ft SSW swell and gentle offshore winds. This is the one to circle.
Hold onto your board for Sunday the 20th though—it takes a turn. Swell jacks up to 10-12ft but with fresh cross-onshore winds creating lumpy, choppy conditions. That’s more of a battle than a pleasure. Monday the 21st gets even bigger, with a 13ft SSW swell on the morning that pushes the combined energy into the thousands (7207)—that’s a serious amount of water moving. It’s simply too big for this spot. However, Monday afternoon drops to a more manageable 8ft S swell and goes glassy, which is an excellent window for experienced surfers only. This would be another standout for the crew who can handle it. The rest of the week and into the following days becomes a mix of smaller, messy swells with onshore winds and a return to more marginal conditions.
Moving into the second week, things settle down. Saturday the 26th morning looks tidy with a 5ft SSW groundswell and offshore winds, but don’t expect the same quality as the previous Saturday. Sunday the 27th has moderate offshore winds and a 4ft S swell, good for a cruisey session. The 30th of September also offers clean 4ft S swell on the Wednesday morning with moderate offshore flow.
It’s worth noting that in the long range, towards the end of the period, we see some small, clean offerings around the 1st of October, but the wind starts to howl from the NW at 25 mph—strong offshore and clean, but you’ll be doing some serious paddling to get out. Not for the faint-hearted.
So to sum it up: Saturday the 19th is your top pick for clean, fun waves with a proper long-period groundswell hitting that SSW optimum direction. If you’re experienced, Monday afternoon the 21st also delivers some excellent, glassy, powerful surf. Everything else is worth a paddle if you’re keen, but those two days are what you’re waiting for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Wed morning, calm by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Sat night, calm by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | Tuesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SW 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 14 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | 43 | 81 | 68 | 64 | 77 | 255 | 264 | 228 | 339 | 437 | 172 | 1014 | 2117 | 3918 | 4427 | 1201 | 367 | 180 | 323 | 232 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | off | cross | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 9:07PM1.34m | 9:29AM1.41m | 9:56PM1.30m | 10:18AM1.39m | 10:44PM1.27m | 11:05AM1.37m | 11:31PM1.25m | 11:53AM1.35m | 00:17AM1.23m | 12:39PM1.34m | 1:02AM1.22m | 1:25PM1.34m | 1:47AM1.22m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:01PM0.19m | 3:18AM0.23m | 3:51PM0.23m | 4:04AM0.27m | 4:39PM0.27m | 4:51AM0.30m | 5:26PM0.30m | 5:36AM0.32m | 6:12PM0.31m | 6:21AM0.32m | 6:58PM0.32m | 7:06AM0.32m | 7:43PM0.31m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ENE 11 | SSW 11 | S 11 | S 9 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | S 7 |
35 | 43 | 81 | 68 | 64 | 59 | 255 | 264 | 228 | 339 | 437 | 172 | 79 | 45 | 22 | 2612 | 1201 | 367 | 42 | 56 | 130 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SE 8 | SSW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | ESE 14 | S 6 | SSW 6 | SSW 15 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | SE 11 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | SW 14 | E 10 | SW 12 | SSW 16 |
21 | 16 | 18 | 54 | 45 | 77 | 60 | 29 | 193 | 195 | 126 | 126 | 33 | 36 | 31 | 133 | 36 | 51 | 8 | 37 | 232 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | S 8 | NNE 4 | SW 14 | SW 16 | NE 7 | NE 8 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | ESE 10 | SW 16 | E 9 | E 10 | SSW 18 | SE 12 |
44 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 54 | 65 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 20 | 22 | 3 | — | — | 35 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 31 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 2 | WNW 4 | NW 3 | NNE 3 | NNE 4 | SSW 6 | — | ESE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | NW 2 | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | — | — | SSW 8 | S 8 | — |
1 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 23 | — | 6 | 13 | — | — | 1 | 1014 | 2117 | 3918 | 4427 | — | — | 180 | 323 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 61 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 78 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tora Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tora Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tora Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tora Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tora Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tora Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tora Point is 57 km (35 miles) from the city of Upper Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Upper Hutt. Upper Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










