Tora Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up. Rusty here, looking down the line for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but this forecast has some serious potential, and one day that’s an absolute all-timer if you can handle it.

The next few days are a write-off. Thursday (the 10th) is all over the shop with fresh winds and junk waves. We're looking at around 2ft of messy, short-period ESE swell in the morning and it just gets worse. We'll have to sit on our hands for a couple of days, which is never fun. The swell energy is weak, only around 73 on the gauge, so it's not like we're missing much.

Then things start to get interesting. The standouts are clear.

Friday the 11th is your first real window. Early doors, it’s looking proper clean with a light NNW offshore wind. The swell is small, 3ft, but it’s from the SSW with a solid 18-second period, and the energy is building to a moderate 549. That’s some proper groundswell moving in. Tora Point (Taranaki) will have some shape to it for the morning. The afternoon’s okay, but the wind picks up and it gets a bit trickier.

Now, here’s the big one. Saturday the 12th of September. Look, I have to be straight with you. The morning is a mess thanks to rain and onshore winds. But the afternoon? That’s the biggest swell we see in this whole window. We’re talking a massive 15ft of SSW groundswell, and the combined energy is off the charts at 13027. That’s not a number I see every day.

Here’s the catch: it is way, way too big for this spot. Tora Point is not going to handle it. The forecast literally says it’s too big for the break. That’s a day for the experts, and honestly, it’s probably more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. The water will be moving with a force you can feel in your chest. It’s a spectacle, not a surf session.

After that giant pulse, it backs off a touch. Monday the 14th is your second standout. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 7ft, still from the south, and we’ve got a glassy morning with no wind at all. Conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the one you want if Saturday’s monster is too much. The offshore winds are set to be light and clean for the next couple of days, with energy in the 1000s, as it slowly drains away into the middle of the week.

The action goes quiet again from Tuesday the 15th through to Thursday the 17th. The swell drops right off to under 4ft. It’s clean at times, with some offshore winds, but it’s small and weak. There are some tiny waves on offer but nothing that will get the heart rate up.

But we’re not done. Friday the 18th of September is another cracker. The morning looks outstanding. We’ve got 6ft of S swell with a 10-second period and moderate offshore winds from the NNW. The energy is healthy at 1135, and conditions are called “excellent for experienced surfers.” This one will be cleaner and more organised than the big Saturday pulse. That’s a proper surf day. The arvo gets blown out by a strong cross-offshore wind, so get your session in early.

The weekend and the early part of the following week are a bit of a write-off again. The wind is all over the place, it’s small, and the energy is weak.

The final flash of hope comes on Sunday the 20th of September. The swell is back up to 3ft, but it's a long-period 17-second SSW groundswell. The afternoon looks unbelievable with glassy conditions and light airs. It’ll be small, but if you just want a clean, long-period wave to yourself, this is a great call. Energy is a moderate 667.

After that, we’re into a block of strong offshore winds and poor conditions to close out the window, so don’t hold your breath for that last week.

So, in a nutshell: Friday the 11th is your clean start, Monday the 14th is a really solid session, and Friday the 18th is the pick of the trip. Saturday the 12th is a monster, but it’s for the brave or the kites. It’s a run of extremes, but it’s got some great days in it.

Stay safe.

Rusty.

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