Tora Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, with the full outlook for Tora Point. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, then a wild ride, so let’s get into it.

The first week is pretty quiet, nothing to get excited about. Monday the 10th is a write-off with weak 3ft SSE swell and a cross-shore wind, not worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 11th kicks up a bit to 6ft S swell, but it’s short period (8 seconds) and messy. The energy is there (1121), but the wind is all wrong, and the conditions are marginal. Wednesday and Thursday stay small and average, with the best of that period being Thursday morning – a clean 2ft ESE swell with light NNE cross-offshore wind, but honestly, it’s just ordinary.

Friday the 14th morning is the first real glimmer of hope. The wind drops to glassy – a slight air from the WSW – and the swell hits 5ft from the ENE. The energy is moderate (379), and the conditions are glassy. That’s a small window of clean, fun waves for a beginner or longboarder, but it’s only a couple of hours. By Friday afternoon, the wind swings onshore, and it’s over.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are a mess. Strong cross-onshore winds, rain, and lumpy surf. The swell is up to 7ft, but it’s ugly. The energy is massive (1282 on Sunday), but you’d be fighting a losing battle. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th stay poor – strong winds, cross-onshore, messy. The swell is mostly 5ft to 7ft, but the wind ruins it. Tuesday afternoon the energy spikes to 1544 with a 7ft SSW swell, but the wind is howling at 28 mph cross-onshore. No good.

Now, here’s where it gets nuts. Wednesday the 19th morning, the forecast shows a massive 25ft S swell with a 16-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is insane (27887), but it’s too big for Tora Point. The model says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert-only, and even then, you’d be risking it. Thursday the 20th is still huge at 13ft and 12ft, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are poor. This is a big event, but it’s not user-friendly.

The standout comes on Friday the 21st. Finally, the stars align. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSW, with a lovely 11-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NW, and the conditions are clean. The energy is 1114, which is strong. This is the best on offer: clean, punchy, and well-shaped for a point break. The water temperature is about 53°F, which is normal for this time of year – no anomaly to worry about. Crowds are rare at Tora Point, so you should have it mostly to yourself. Saturday morning the 22nd offers a smaller 3ft S swell, clean, but it’s a step down.

Sunday the 23rd morning brings another 7ft S swell with clean cross-offshore wind – that’s a solid session, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s a bit weaker and more wind-swell. Still, 976 energy is decent. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th both have clean mornings, with Monday pushing 8ft S swell (12 seconds) and Tuesday 6ft SE swell (11 seconds), both with light cross-offshore winds. Those are good, solid sessions for experienced surfers.

So, the high point is Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd morning – clean, offshore, decent swell, and no crowds. That’s your window. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too big. Stay safe, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty.

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