Tora Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our little slice of coast. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag, and I’ll be honest with you—there are some proper blank days ahead before anything gets interesting. We’re looking at Tora Point as the main player, and it’s a spot that needs the stars to align. It’s a point break, fairly consistent, but it can be a bit fickle if the conditions aren’t spot on.

The water’s sitting at 53°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no dramas there. You won’t be needing the thickest hood just yet, but a good fullsuit is still mandatory.

Right off the bat, from Wednesday the 12th through to the morning of Saturday the 15th, it’s pretty flat and messy. The swell is weak, with energy readings down around 148 to 184, and the wind is mostly cross-off or light. There are waves, but they’re tiny and the conditions are just ordinary. Not worth getting wet for, unless you’re desperate for a splash. The glassy spells on Thursday and Friday with the ENE swell are about the only saving grace, but with sub-3ft surf, it’s more of a longboard or a bodyboard session.

Then things change Saturday afternoon. The swell starts to pick up, but so does the wind. By Sunday the 16th, we’ve got a solid 8ft of S swell hitting, but the cross-on wind is cranking at 18 mph, and it’s lumpy as. The energy is jumping past 1292, but it’s just a mess. This is one of those days you look at the ocean and decide to do something else. It stays poor through Monday and Tuesday— the swell’s still there, but the onshores are killing it. On Monday afternoon it hits 8ft from the SSW, but it’s cross-shore and choppy. Not a good look.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 19th is the big one, but it’s not for everyone. The models are showing a serious pulse of groundswell from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds and energy readings of 28,516. That is *huge* energy, but the swell is predicted at 18ft. That’s well over the 8ft expert-only mark, and frankly, at Tora Point, that’s just too big. The wind is light, so it will be clean, but it’s going to be a washing machine. This is a day for the tow-surfers or the absolute lunatics. I’d be watching this one from the car park.

Once that monster fades, we get to the real standout of the whole period. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st. The swell drops back to a more manageable 6ft to 7ft, still from the S/SSW, with periods in the 11 to 18-second range. The energy is still strong, around 1012 to 2454. Thursday morning is looking glassy with light NNE winds, and Friday has moderate offshore winds from the NNW. This is a classic point break setup. That long-period S groundswell will wrap in nicely, and the offshore winds will groom it. This is the window for experienced surfers to get some proper, clean waves. The direction is also right in the sweet spot for the break, which is a big tick.

After that, the swell backs off for the weekend. Saturday the 22nd has some clean conditions with offshore winds, but the swell is only around 5ft, and it’s looking a bit secondary. By Sunday the 23rd, the wind swings back onshore and it’s all over again. The last few days, into the 26th and 27th, are looking pretty weak, with some clean spells but nothing with any real power.

So, my call: if you’re a confident surfer, don’t miss the morning sessions on the 20th and the 21st. That’s your window. Everything else is either too big, too small, or blown out. It’s a classic case of waiting for the right day.

Rusty.

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