
Surf Forecasts:
Tora Point surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, ESE swell with 724 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tora Point this week:
The surf forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tora Point in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tora Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, with the full outlook for Tora Point. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, then a wild ride, so let’s get into it.
The first week is pretty quiet, nothing to get excited about. Monday the 10th is a write-off with weak 3ft SSE swell and a cross-shore wind, not worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 11th kicks up a bit to 6ft S swell, but it’s short period (8 seconds) and messy. The energy is there (1121), but the wind is all wrong, and the conditions are marginal. Wednesday and Thursday stay small and average, with the best of that period being Thursday morning – a clean 2ft ESE swell with light NNE cross-offshore wind, but honestly, it’s just ordinary.
Friday the 14th morning is the first real glimmer of hope. The wind drops to glassy – a slight air from the WSW – and the swell hits 5ft from the ENE. The energy is moderate (379), and the conditions are glassy. That’s a small window of clean, fun waves for a beginner or longboarder, but it’s only a couple of hours. By Friday afternoon, the wind swings onshore, and it’s over.
Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are a mess. Strong cross-onshore winds, rain, and lumpy surf. The swell is up to 7ft, but it’s ugly. The energy is massive (1282 on Sunday), but you’d be fighting a losing battle. This is kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.
Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th stay poor – strong winds, cross-onshore, messy. The swell is mostly 5ft to 7ft, but the wind ruins it. Tuesday afternoon the energy spikes to 1544 with a 7ft SSW swell, but the wind is howling at 28 mph cross-onshore. No good.
Now, here’s where it gets nuts. Wednesday the 19th morning, the forecast shows a massive 25ft S swell with a 16-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is insane (27887), but it’s too big for Tora Point. The model says it’s too big for this break. That’s expert-only, and even then, you’d be risking it. Thursday the 20th is still huge at 13ft and 12ft, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are poor. This is a big event, but it’s not user-friendly.
The standout comes on Friday the 21st. Finally, the stars align. The swell drops to 5ft from the SSW, with a lovely 11-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the NW, and the conditions are clean. The energy is 1114, which is strong. This is the best on offer: clean, punchy, and well-shaped for a point break. The water temperature is about 53°F, which is normal for this time of year – no anomaly to worry about. Crowds are rare at Tora Point, so you should have it mostly to yourself. Saturday morning the 22nd offers a smaller 3ft S swell, clean, but it’s a step down.
Sunday the 23rd morning brings another 7ft S swell with clean cross-offshore wind – that’s a solid session, but the period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s a bit weaker and more wind-swell. Still, 976 energy is decent. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th both have clean mornings, with Monday pushing 8ft S swell (12 seconds) and Tuesday 6ft SE swell (11 seconds), both with light cross-offshore winds. Those are good, solid sessions for experienced surfers.
So, the high point is Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd morning – clean, offshore, decent swell, and no crowds. That’s your window. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too big. Stay safe, and I’ll see you out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, strong winds from the SSW by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ENE 6 | ESE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
110 | 365 | 488 | 252 | 257 | 109 | 67 | 103 | 62 | 78 | 197 | 258 | 484 | 556 | 263 | 363 | 647 | 661 | 612 | 432 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:49AM1.44m | 3:19PM1.64m | 3:46AM1.46m | 4:16PM1.65m | 4:42AM1.47m | 5:12PM1.65m | 5:38AM1.48m | 6:07PM1.63m | 6:33AM1.48m | 7:01PM1.58m | 7:27AM1.47m | 7:54PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:43PM0.09m | 8:57AM0.05m | 9:41PM0.06m | 9:55AM0.02m | 10:38PM0.04m | 10:53AM0.01m | 11:34PM0.03m | 11:50AM0.01m | 00:29AM0.03m | 12:46PM0.02m | 1:22AM0.05m | 1:42PM0.06m | 2:14AM0.08m | |||||||
— | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 2 | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Feels °C | 8 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4 | -2 | -3 | -3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SE 12 | S 8 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 15 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 |
110 | 212 | 392 | 252 | 257 | 109 | 67 | 60 | 62 | 44 | 40 | 66 | 21 | 435 | 143 | 136 | 647 | 661 | 612 | 432 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
74 | 23 | 223 | 121 | 47 | 26 | 52 | 51 | 32 | 21 | 25 | 31 | 12 | 22 | 22 | 223 | 273 | 234 | 217 | 142 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | E 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | S 12 | S 11 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | S 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 11 | SSW 16 | E 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | — | — | SE 16 |
11 | 3 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 24 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 7 | — | — | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | S 8 | S 8 | — | NE 11 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 6 | S 6 | S 7 | S 7 |
3 | 365 | 488 | — | 5 | 59 | 93 | 103 | 58 | 78 | 197 | 258 | 484 | 556 | 263 | 363 | 116 | 255 | 453 | 357 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 74 | 72 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 85 | 150 | 182 | 258 | 201 | 298 | 253 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tora Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tora Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tora Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tora Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tora Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tora Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Tora Point is 57 km (35 miles) from the city of Upper Hutt. If you plan a holiday in The Wairarapa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Upper Hutt. Upper Hutt has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











