Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with 198 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for this neck of the woods.
Honestly, looking at the whole 16-day window, there’s barely a pulse. The Cut doesn’t fire much, and this run is a real quiet spell. We’re looking at mostly flat, choppy, or just plain messy water. For a break that’s already inconsistent, this is a long stretch of nothing special. The first real nod to any surfable waves doesn’t even show up until Sunday, September 6th, so we’re talking about a full week of dullness before that.
Let’s walk through it. From Sunday, August 30th, right through to Saturday, September 5th, it’s a total write-off. Tiny 0.3ft to 3ft windswell with cross-onshore breezes, mostly from the WSW or W, making it choppy and poor. Not a single decent wave in that whole first week.
Then we get to Sunday, September 6th. For the morning, it’s actually glassy with a calm wind. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the NNW with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 144. It’s surfable, but the conditions are described as very ordinary. The Cut is a point break, so the short period windswell won’t wrap in with any real shape. It’s a glimmer, but not a standout.
The next little spike hits on Tuesday, September 8th. The morning shows a 7ft swell from the NNW with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps up to 965 (moderate-strong). That’s the biggest swell of the whole period. But here’s the kicker: the wind is a moderate cross-shore from the SW at 12 mph, creating a cross-chop. The guidance says the break is a point, and the optimum swell direction is from the NW. The swell is coming from the NNW, which is close but not perfect. The size is over 5ft, so it’s pushing into intermediate territory. The conditions are considered marginal or tricky. This is probably the most interesting day, but it’s not a clean, classic day at The Cut.
After that, it’s back to the doldrums. The rest of the second week from Wednesday, September 9th, onward is just small, weak, and cross-onshore. Nothing to get excited about. The morning of Saturday, September 12th, is glassy, but the swell is only 2ft – not enough to push through.
So, the best bet on offer is the morning of Tuesday, September 8th. It’s the biggest swell, but it’s a bit of a gamble with the cross-shore wind. If you’re an expert looking for some power, it might be worth a paddle. For everyone else, it’s a long wait for very little. The Cut is a point break, so the long gaps between sets might make it feel even slower.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | N 8 | NW 6 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 14 | NNW 15 | N 18 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | N 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
18 | 5 | 34 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 6 | 23 | 127 | 106 | 62 | 54 | 43 | 84 | 44 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | 12:55PM3.93m | 1:10AM3.90m | 1:33PM3.76m | 1:58AM3.66m | 2:17PM3.53m | 2:56AM3.42m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | 6:26AM0.61m | 6:47PM0.72m | 7:07AM0.80m | 7:31PM0.95m | 7:56AM1.04m | 8:32PM1.22m | |||||||
— | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 14 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 14 | NNW 6 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | — | N 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 |
18 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 55 | 12 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 23 | — | 106 | 62 | 54 | 31 | 84 | 44 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 19 | N 8 | NNW 16 | NW 16 | NNW 7 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 14 | NW 10 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NW 17 | — | N 15 | — | NW 15 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 |
14 | 5 | 26 | 38 | 5 | 54 | 54 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 9 | 11 | — | 4 | — | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 18 | N 7 | — | — | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | N 18 | NW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 12 | 1 | — | — | 26 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 2 | — | NW 6 | — | NW 4 | — | — | — | N 6 | — | W 4 | — | NNW 6 | — | — | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | — |
1 | — | 34 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 12 | — | 1 | — | 127 | — | — | 128 | 43 | 246 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 101 | 101 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 133 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 118 | 2 | 68 | 0 | 2 | 101 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











