Inner Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Inner Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 29 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Inner Cut sea temperature is
11.8° C
0.6° 

Inner Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Inner Cut surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, NNW swell with 397 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 5s period with NNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Thu 30th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 5s
Best Surf 3AM (Fri 31st Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 7s
Most Powerful12AM (Fri 31st Jul)6ft (1.9m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, with the same read in the old units.

First up, the outlook for the next 16 days is a real mixed bag. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions, but there is a glimmer of something decent way down the track. The water temp is sitting at 53°F, which is about 1°F cooler than the average for this time of year, so nothing too wild, just a bit nippy.

The first real chance to get wet looks like it'll be the morning of Saturday, August 1st. The swell is tiny at 2ft from the north, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak (90). It's glassy, though, which is a big plus. The call is "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", so it's a knee-high dribbler, not something to write home about. Still, on a glassy morning, any wave is a wave.

After that, things basically go quiet from the afternoon of Saturday, August 1st, all the way through to the morning of Wednesday, August 13th. That’s a massive gap of nearly two weeks. There are a few tiny pulses, like a 2ft north swell on Thursday, August 6th, and a 2ft north swell on Wednesday, August 12th, but the wind is light or the direction is off, and the combined energy is pitiful (22 and 21). It's just not worth paddling out for.

The only real standout, and I mean the only one, is the morning of Thursday, August 13th. Finally, we get some juice. The forecast is for a 4ft swell from the north, with a period of 10 seconds. That's a solid, long-period groundswell that'll have some push. The combined energy jumps to 299 (moderate) and the wind is forecast to be glassy from the SSW. That's the magic combo. "Expect good surf conditions" is what the data says, and for Outer Cut, with a light offshore wind and a clean, glassy surface, this could be the best we've seen in weeks. The swell direction is from the north, and the optimum swell for this spot is from the NW, so it's a little off, but the clean conditions and solid size will make it work. The break is inconsistent, so you'll be waiting for the sets, but when they come, they'll be worth it.

The afternoon of the 13th looks worse, with a cross-on wind shifting the swell, so all the focus is on that Thursday morning session. It's a long way off, so don't get your hopes up too high, but it's the only thing on the board.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 3°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NW
4
0.9
NNW
5
0.7
N
5
1
N
6
1.9
NNW
7
1
N
7
1.1
NNW
7
0.9
NNW
8
0.7
N
8
0.4
NNW
8
0.2
NNW
7
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
21
0.3
SW
3
0.1
N
11
0.1
NW
17
0.1
NW
16
0.1
NW
16
0.1
N
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
5
46
28
60
397
89
102
112
69
20
5
1
1
9
2
2
0
0
0
6
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
SSW
5
SW
15
NNW
5
SW
15
W
25
W
5
SSW
5
SSE
10
SSW
5
S
5
SW
5
NNE
20
SW
20
SW
15
WSW
5
N
10
SSW
10
N
5
WSW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
10:02PM3.92m
10:16AM3.74m
10:36PM4.04m
10:54AM3.84m
11:09PM4.12m
11:31AM3.88m
11:43PM4.17m
12:08PM3.87m
00:18AM4.15m
12:45PM3.83m
00:54AM4.06m
1:22PM3.77m
1:34AM3.92m
Low Tide
3:51PM1.04m
3:56AM1.05m
4:27PM0.84m
4:30AM0.92m
5:00PM0.70m
5:04AM0.80m
5:31PM0.63m
5:40AM0.73m
6:03PM0.64m
6:15AM0.70m
6:35PM0.72m
6:53AM0.75m
7:12PM0.85m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
light rain
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:37
7:35
7:35
7:33
7:33
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
 mm
8
2
2
2
2
Temp °C
10
8
10
13
11
10
9
8
8
10
4
8
8
10
14
14
9
11
12
9
Feels °C
8
6
8
10
10
5
3
6
5
5
0
5
5
4
9
10
6
9
8
7
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away

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