Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with 501 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
Righto, let's have a look at what's on the table for the Nelson Harbour stretch. Bit of a quiet start, to be honest. We've got a few days of flatness or tiny, unrideable slop. From Friday the 11th through to Sunday the 13th, your best bet is to wax the longboard and stare at the horizon, 'cause the swell energy is all zeros. A real patience-testing start.
Come Monday morning the 14th, we finally see a pulse of life, but it's weak. A tiny 2ft swell from the NNW with a period of just 4 seconds (combined energy of 27) – that's a short-period wind swell, not much push. Wind is glassy though, so it’ll be clean, just not worth paddling out for.
The real flicker of hope shows up on Tuesday afternoon the 15th. The swell builds to 4ft from the NNW, with a period bumping up to 8 seconds giving it a combined energy of 286. That’s a moderate amount of energy starting to work. And the wind? Glassy again. This is the standout of the whole forecast period. If you can get on it at Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour) Tuesday arvo, it'll be the cleanest and biggest we’ll see for a while. Mind you, this spot is an inconsistent point break, so it doesn't fire often – when it does, get amongst it. It’s rated intermediate, so the 4ft is a nice fun size. Crowds can happen here sometimes, but on a Tuesday it might be alright.
After that, it fades again. Wednesday has a bit of energy on offer but it's ordinary. Thursday the 17th is mostly tiny or flat with a 16-second period groundswell that only manages 0.7ft – that long period means it'll be juiceless. The rest of the second week is a write-off. There's a tease on Friday the 25th with a 6ft swell from the NNW at 7 seconds and clean conditions in the morning (combined energy of 566 – moderate to strong), but that is more than 5ft and over the 8ft mark for the afternoon cross-on. Could get a bit heavy for beginners in the morning if the banks are shallow. But that's a long way off – promising, but less certain. For now, get excited about that Tuesday afternoon window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NNE 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | N 6 | NNW 6 | N 7 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | N 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 417 | 124 | 188 | 144 | 47 | 104 | 43 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:34PM3.43m | 6:00AM3.59m | 7:00PM3.55m | 7:10AM3.70m | 8:14PM3.81m | 8:15AM3.86m | 9:11PM4.11m | 9:16AM4.02m | 10:00PM4.35m | 10:12AM4.14m | 10:45PM4.49m | 11:04AM4.20m | 11:28PM4.50m | 11:52AM4.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:01AM1.26m | 12:12PM1.22m | 1:06AM1.08m | 1:23PM1.11m | 2:06AM0.88m | 2:30PM0.94m | 3:03AM0.69m | 3:32PM0.75m | 3:56AM0.52m | 4:27PM0.59m | 4:46AM0.42m | 5:14PM0.52m | 5:32AM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 |
 | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | 5:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Feels °C | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 18 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NNE 3 | N 4 | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 6 | N 5 | NNW 15 | NW 15 |
| kJ | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 8 | — | — | 124 | 98 | 59 | 47 | 48 | 43 | 11 | 2 | 22 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | N 15 | — | — | N 20 | — | NNW 12 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | N 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 4 | — | — | 8 | — | 15 | 76 | 64 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 1 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | N 5 | N 8 | — | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | — | NNW 6 | SW 2 | SW 3 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 15 | 42 | 417 | — | 188 | 144 | — | 104 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 94 | 68 | 97 | 97 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 101 | 68 | 28 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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