
Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 5 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, N swell with 1,437 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 5s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's look at what's cookin' at The Cut.
Honestly, this is a tough stretch for us at Inner Cut. The next week and a half is pretty much a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. We've got a long dry spell from now all the way through to Thursday the 17th of July. For the better part of two weeks, the swell is tiny—knee-high or less, if it's even breaking at all—and the wind is mostly junk or just not cooperating. The wave energy is pitiful, sitting at values under 20 or even zero for days on end. It's a classic early-winter lull for this spot. This is the kind of run where you don't even bother checking the cam; you just wait for the forecast to turn.
Now, let's fast-forward to the far end of the outlook. The one and only true standout arrives on Friday morning, the 18th of July. That's our window. We’ve got a clean 1.5m (5 ft) swell from the north with moderate energy building in the water (566). The wind is a light, clean cross-off from the SSW, which should set up some proper lines peeling down the point. This is the only time in the 16-day window where the forecast says "expect good surf conditions." It's a long way out, so take it with a grain of salt, but that's the one to circle on the calendar.
Later that same day, the wind swings around and the quality drops, but then Saturday afternoon, the 19th of July, looks like another cracker. We see another pulse of 1.6m (5 ft) swell from the NNE with a decent period of 9 seconds and moderate wave energy (394). The wind goes totally glassy. That is clean, clean surf. For a point break that favors an optimum swell from the NW, this north swell might not wrap in perfectly, but with those conditions, it'll still be worth a paddle for anyone who's been jonesing.
Apart from these two distant dates, the combined energy (like the 270 on a messy, wind-blown 1.7m/6 ft day) is just noise. Don't get excited about the bigger numbers mid-month; that was just a choppy, cross-on mess. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about half a degree cooler than average right now, so nothing unusual there—just your standard chilly winter water. Suit up.
So, save your energy for the 18th and 19th. Before that, it's a waiting game unless you're keen on a flat spell. It tends not to stay this poor forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue afternoon, min 3°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 9 | NNW 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNE 6 | N 6 | SW 3 | N 14 | N 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | N 21 | N 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 11 | 97 | 139 | 270 | 1437 | 343 | 105 | 43 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:48AM3.76m | 00:03AM3.98m | 12:28PM3.72m | 00:41AM3.94m | 1:09PM3.65m | 1:20AM3.89m | 1:51PM3.57m | 2:03AM3.80m | 2:36PM3.50m | 2:52AM3.70m | 3:25PM3.46m | 3:47AM3.61m | 4:21PM3.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:55PM0.86m | 5:57AM0.97m | 6:29PM0.86m | 6:37AM0.98m | 7:04PM0.92m | 7:20AM1.02m | 7:43PM1.03m | 8:06AM1.07m | 8:29PM1.18m | 8:57AM1.14m | 9:29PM1.31m | 9:56AM1.21m | 10:46PM1.35m | ||||||||
7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 6 | 12 | — | — | 2 | — | 11 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | NNE 5 | N 6 | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NW 13 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NNE 6 | N 6 | NW 15 | N 14 | NW 14 | — | — | NE 4 | NW 19 |
11 | 3 | 39 | — | — | 656 | 167 | 105 | 43 | 46 | 64 | 40 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 8 | — | — | 1 | 14 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | — | — | — | — | N 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NNW 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 6 | — | N 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | — |
3 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 12 | 10 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | 7 | 12 | 10 | 10 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | — | — | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 21 | N 15 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 9 | NNW 9 | — | — | SW 2 | SSW 4 | ESE 4 | SSW 4 | — | SW 3 | SW 4 | S 3 | SSW 3 | — | — | — |
— | 11 | 97 | 139 | 270 | 1437 | 343 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 20 | 5 | — | 5 | 18 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 97 | 118 | 0 | 118 | 123 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 128 | 102 | 28 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 96 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 97 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away










