Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with 181 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a coffee, let's have a look at what's on the cards for The Cut. It’s a bit of a flat spell to kick things off, I won't lie to ya. From Saturday the 29th of August right through until the 8th of September, it’s mostly tiny, messy, or blown-out junk. The swell is small, the wind is either cross or cross-on, and the energy is weak. We're talking combined swell energy barely cracking 100 (66) at best on the Saturday morning, and then it just drops away. There are long gaps here with nothing worth paddling out for, especially through that first week of September.
Now, there is a glimmer, but it's a long way off. Keep your eye on Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning session at Inner Cut (Nelson Harbour) is the one standout in the whole run. We've got a solid 8ft swell thumping in from the NNW, and with a period of 10 seconds, that's got some proper groundswell grunt to it. The combined energy is pumping hard at 1848 – that's strong to very strong energy. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSW, which should keep the face clean. This is big, powerful stuff though; over 8ft means this is strictly for the experienced crew. The swell direction from the NNW is a good match for the NW optimum. It’s inconsistent here at The Cut, so don't expect non-stop sets, but when they come, they'll be worth waiting for. Water temp is about average for this time of year.
Before that, the afternoon of Monday the 7th of September might offer a salvage session with a 5ft swell from the N and a clean cross-off wind, but it's only rated as marginal, so temper your expectations. The morning of Thursday the 10th will be tiny and glassy, but with only 3ft on offer, it's a longboard or a miss.
So, to sum it up: we've got a long, flat, and rubbish first week and a half, then one very promising, powerful day for the experts on the 9th. After that, it looks like it drops off again. Keep your wetsuit ready for that Wednesday morning.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the SW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Mon night, calm by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NW 5 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 5 | N 8 | N 4 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
262 | 65 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 32 | 35 | 48 | 38 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 10:12PM4.10m | 10:34AM3.92m | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | 12:55PM3.93m | 1:10AM3.90m | 1:33PM3.76m | 1:58AM3.66m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:10AM0.73m | 4:32PM0.52m | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | 6:26AM0.61m | 6:47PM0.72m | 7:07AM0.80m | 7:31PM0.95m | |||||||
— | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 7 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 15 | NW 7 | NNW 5 | N 8 | NW 14 | NE 4 | NNW 6 | NW 5 | NW 15 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 |
262 | 65 | 30 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 54 | 11 | 30 | 29 | 153 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 35 | 48 | 38 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 19 | N 8 | NW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 7 | NW 15 | NW 10 | NW 14 | — | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | — | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 |
— | — | — | 14 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 10 | 34 | 28 | 53 | — | 22 | 22 | 9 | — | 9 | 8 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 13 | N 21 | — | NW 18 | N 8 | — | — | — | NNW 14 | N 13 | — | NNW 6 | — | NW 18 | — | — | — | — |
— | 7 | 8 | — | 12 | 1 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 | — | 4 | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WSW 2 | SW 3 | SW 2 | — | NW 6 | NW 5 | WSW 3 | NW 7 | NW 6 | — | N 4 | — | WSW 3 | — | NNW 5 | NW 7 | NNW 6 | — |
— | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | 46 | 40 | 3 | 60 | 231 | — | 30 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 173 | 137 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 19 | 68 | 102 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 102 | 101 | 215 | 202 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 2 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











