Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NW swell with 124 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about the Nelson Harbour zone. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next 16 days look pretty slim. The only wave we’ve got to talk about is at Inner Cut, and it’s a tricky one.
Inner Cut is an inconsistent point break, so good days are few and far between. The forecast shows a lot of flat water and poor conditions. The wave energy is mostly weak, barely hitting triple digits, meaning there’s just no punch in the ocean. The water’s at 55°, which is normal for the time of year, nothing special.
The first real chance of a wave comes on Tuesday, September 15th, in the afternoon. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the NW, with a 6-second period, and 162 combined energy. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. It’s a wave, but it’s not clean.
Now, the one to circle on the calendar is Saturday, September 19th. The morning is looking at a 7ft swell from the NNW, with an 8-second period, and a massive 599 combined energy. That’s strong to very strong wave energy. This is the real deal. The wind is cross-shore, which will keep it from being a total mess, but at 7ft, this is for experts only. Beginners, don’t even think about it. The afternoon drops off, but the morning is the clear winner of the whole forecast.
After that, it’s back to small, weak, and mostly onshore slop. From the 22nd onward, it’s flat and glassy, but there’s no waves to ride. You’ll be staring at a mirror.
So, if you’re keen, the only real shout is the morning of Saturday, September 19th, at Inner Cut. It’s the only time the ocean shows any real power. Just remember, it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect it to be pumping all day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 20 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NNW 17 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 17 | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | NW 16 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 7 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 124 | 77 | 51 | 35 | 24 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | on | cross | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:27PM4.21m | 9:45AM4.09m | 10:04PM4.32m | 10:25AM4.21m | 10:40PM4.34m | 11:02AM4.24m | 11:15PM4.27m | 11:36AM4.19m | 11:49PM4.14m | 12:10PM4.08m | 00:23AM3.94m | 12:43PM3.91m | 00:59AM3.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:12PM0.66m | 3:29AM0.39m | 3:52PM0.49m | 4:07AM0.30m | 4:27PM0.40m | 4:43AM0.31m | 4:59PM0.42m | 5:17AM0.41m | 5:29PM0.53m | 5:50AM0.57m | 5:58PM0.71m | 6:25AM0.78m | 6:30PM0.95m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — |
 | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — |
mm | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 8 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 20 | NW 19 | NW 6 | NNW 4 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 17 | NNW 17 | NNW 5 | ENE 3 | NW 16 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | — | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 7 |
| kJ | 7 | 7 | 37 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 67 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 34 | — | 51 | 35 | 19 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NW 21 | E 4 | — | NW 18 | NNW 17 | NNW 5 | — | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | NW 5 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | N 15 | — | NW 11 | NW 11 | NNW 16 |
| kJ | 1 | 18 | 1 | — | 82 | 29 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 28 | 25 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — | 5 | 5 | 24 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 17 | NW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | NNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 2 | SW 3 | NNW 5 | — | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 2 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 124 | 77 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 96 | 94 | 68 | 68 | 113 | 101 | 128 | 68 | 68 | 113 | 68 | 68 | 113 | 68 | 68 | 2 | 123 | 2 | 118 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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