Inner Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat, let’s talk about what’s happening. Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch for the next couple of weeks around here. We’re looking at a long, long dry spell.

For the rest of this week and deep into next week, it’s basically flat. From Wednesday the 8th all the way through to Saturday the 18th of July, there’s nothing that’s worth paddling out for. You’ll see tiny little 0.3ft to 2ft slop with barely any energy – the combined swell energy is mostly in the single digits or low double digits, just weak (1 to 34). The water temperature is sitting at about 55°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

We do get a little spike of energy on Monday the 13th of July with a 5ft swell from the north, but the wind is howling at 16 mph from the north, making it a choppy, cross-onshore mess. That’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. It’s a beach-and-reef setup, but with that wind and chop, honestly it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The only real glimmer in this whole 16-day window comes on Saturday the 18th of July. The morning at Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour) shows a 2ft swell, period of 8 seconds, from the north. The wind is a light 6 mph from the south, a clean cross-offshore breeze. Combined swell energy is a moderate 55, which is the most we’ll see. It’s described as surfable but very ordinary – a 1 out of 10. It’s inconsistent here, and it’s a point break, so that longer period (8 sec) will help shape things up a touch. Crowds are only *sometimes* an issue, so you might have it to yourself. That is your one and only standout, and it’s a pretty low bar. The rest of that day and the following week, we’re back to tiny, weak dribble with almost no energy.

So yeah, it’s a tough outlook. Save your energy for that Saturday morning session, or just sit this one out. Forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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