Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period, N swell with 88 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Well, grab a coffee, or maybe a beer, 'cause we've got a long stretch of quiet times ahead around Nelson. The Cut isn't exactly firing right now, and honestly, it's looking pretty bleak for the next week or so. We're in for a proper dry spell, so don't get your hopes up for anything decent until we're well into the second week of the forecast.
Starting now, from Monday the 6th of July right through to Sunday the 12th of July, there is basically nothing on offer. It's a total flat spell. We're talking waves so tiny they're barely a ripple, with the combined energy reading a pathetic 43 (weak) at best, and often just zero. Winds are mostly light, and we get a glassy moment Wednesday afternoon, but with swell heights of 0.3ft to 2ft, it's just not worth paddling out. The water temperature is sitting at 55°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The same quiet story continues into the second week. Monday the 13th of July we get a faint pulse of 0.3ft from the north with a very long period of 14 seconds, but the combined energy is only 4. It's glassy, but it's beggars-can't-be-choosers territory. Tuesday the 14th of July sees a bit of a spike, with a 4ft north swell hitting, but it's accompanied by a nasty 22 mph northerly wind. That's a cross-onshore mess, making the 105 combined energy (moderate) not worth the hassle. By Tuesday afternoon, the swell pushes up to 6ft, but again, conditions are lumpy and poor.
Actually, the only time things start to look even remotely interesting is on Saturday the 18th of July. We get a clean 4ft north swell on Saturday morning with a light cross-offshore breeze. Combined energy is a solid 190 (moderate), and the period is 8 seconds, which is alright. It's still not a standout by any means, but compared to the rest of this outlook, it's the closest thing we've got to a surfable wave. The break, Inner Cut, is a point break that's inconsistent and can get crowds sometimes, so keep that in mind. The swell direction is from the north, which is close to its optimum from the northwest. Saturday afternoon stays glassy with a 3ft wave, still clean. It's the best of a very poor bunch.
After that, it fades back to tiny, poor surf right through to Tuesday the 21st of July. A long, quiet stretch for Nelson.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 53mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 4°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 9 | N 8 | NW 17 | NNW 16 | N 20 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | N 15 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 36 | 66 | 33 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 2:03AM3.80m | 2:36PM3.50m | 2:52AM3.70m | 3:25PM3.46m | 3:47AM3.61m | 4:21PM3.42m | 4:51AM3.56m | 5:34PM3.43m | 6:00AM3.59m | 7:00PM3.55m | 7:10AM3.70m | 8:14PM3.81m | 8:15AM3.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:43PM1.03m | 8:06AM1.07m | 8:29PM1.18m | 8:57AM1.14m | 9:29PM1.31m | 9:56AM1.21m | 10:46PM1.35m | 11:02AM1.25m | 00:01AM1.26m | 12:12PM1.22m | 1:06AM1.08m | 1:23PM1.11m | 2:06AM0.88m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 |
 | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | 15 | 22 | 14 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | — | N 8 | NW 17 | NNW 16 | NW 15 | — | NW 18 | NE 4 | NW 16 | N 15 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | — |
| kJ | 65 | 36 | 66 | 33 | 4 | — | 1 | 12 | 24 | 9 | — | 12 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NNW 16 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | N 9 | — | — | — | — | NW 19 | — | NW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 15 |
| kJ | 7 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | NW 16 | NW 15 | E 7 | — | — | — | — | N 20 | NW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 5 | — | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SW 3 | — | SSW 2 | SW 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 64 | 29 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 192 | 0 | 74 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 97 | 102 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 97 | 94 | 102 | 94 | 68 | 94 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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