Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, N swell with 357 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Howdy, Rusty here.
Let me be straight with you. This two-week stretch around The Cut, Nelson Harbour is mostly a write-off. There’s a long, flat gap before anything even remotely surfable shows up. The first glimmer of hope isn't until Tuesday, July 14th.
From now through the next several days, it’s flat or tiny, weak junk. You’re looking at close to a week of nada. Water temp is about 55°F, which is normal for this time of year.
The only real pulse comes on the morning of Tuesday, July 14th. Inner Cut gets a north swell running about 6ft with an 8-second period and moderate energy (327). That’s the biggest and best we've got in the whole run. The wind will be dead calm, so the surface will be glassy and clean. That’s your only real shot. At 6ft, it's a bit much for beginners, but for anyone else, it’s your window. That afternoon, the swell backs down to about 5ft and the energy drops to 263, but a light offshore breeze picks up.
Wednesday morning the 15th still has some north swell at about 2ft with glassy conditions, but it’s weak (energy 43). Then it fades out again. From Thursday the 16th onward, it’s back to tiny, weak leftovers and lots of flat spells. There’s a sniff of a long-period groundswell (16-second interval) on Friday the 17th, but the swell height is pathetic at about 2ft and a strong cross-wire blows it out.
No standouts here, folks. If you’re really jonesing, make it Tuesday the 14th morning at Inner Cut. That’s your one and only shot. Otherwise, save your energy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 2°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Mild temperatures (max 9°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | NW 18 | NNW 16 | N 21 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | N 14 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 33 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 89 | 302 | 327 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:52AM3.70m | 3:25PM3.46m | 3:47AM3.61m | 4:21PM3.42m | 4:51AM3.56m | 5:34PM3.43m | 6:00AM3.59m | 7:00PM3.55m | 7:10AM3.70m | 8:14PM3.81m | 8:15AM3.86m | 9:11PM4.11m | 9:16AM4.02m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:29PM1.18m | 8:57AM1.14m | 9:29PM1.31m | 9:56AM1.21m | 10:46PM1.35m | 11:02AM1.25m | 00:01AM1.26m | 12:12PM1.22m | 1:06AM1.08m | 1:23PM1.11m | 2:06AM0.88m | 2:30PM0.94m | 3:03AM0.69m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 |
 | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | 5:15 |
mm | 20 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | SE 4 | — | — | NW 18 | NNW 16 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NW 18 | NW 16 | — | NW 18 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | — | N 6 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 33 | 15 | — | — | 12 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | — | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | — | 29 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 15 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | — | — | NW 15 | NW 19 | — | — | NW 16 | N 14 | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | N 15 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 9 | 14 | — | — | 10 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 4 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 7 | — | — | — | N 22 | N 21 | NW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | — | — | — | 9 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SSW 2 | — | — | SSW 2 | S 3 | — | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 |
| kJ | 20 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 89 | 302 | 327 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 97 | 97 | 94 | 94 | 97 | 28 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 68 | 94 | 94 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 28 | 0 | 118 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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