Inner Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Nelson Harbour area over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, so the honest truth is, it’s a pretty grim run for the next week or so. We’ve got a long, dry stretch with barely any swell to speak of, so don’t bother checking the cam until we get into the second week of July. From Sunday the 5th right through to the 15th, it’s mostly flat, or just tiny, weak dribbles that aren’t worth paddling out for. The wind is messy, too, often cross-off or light, but there’s just no energy.

The first real glimmer of hope arrives on Thursday, the 16th of July. Now, this is the one to circle. Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour) is looking like the standout. We’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the north, with a period of 8 seconds, and the morning is showing clean, glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (521). It’s not a giant swell, but it’s the biggest we’ve seen in a fortnight, and with that glassy wind, it’ll be clean. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The swell direction is NW, which is the optimum direction for this point break, so it should set up nicely. Just keep in mind, this spot is *inconsistent*, so it’s not a sure thing, but when it lines up like this, it’s the best shot we’ve got. The Thursday afternoon gets a bit bigger, up to 7ft, but the wind shifts to a light cross-on, so it might get a little bumpy, and that size is pushing into expert territory.

After that, Friday the 17th hangs in there with a smaller 3ft north swell and offshore winds, which is a decent fallback, but it’s not the same quality. The weekend then falls apart again with onshore winds and rain, so don’t get too excited.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the morning of Thursday, 16th July at Inner Cut. It’s a long wait, but it could be worth it. Keep your fingers crossed the inconsistency works in our favour.

- Rusty

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