Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NNW swell with 1,022 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got coming up.
Honestly, it's a pretty disappointing stretch for Inner Cut at The Cut-Nelson-Harbour. We're looking at a long, flat, and messy run that barely offers a sniff of decent surf. There's a big gap of nothing useful from now until the 3rd of September, and even then, it's hardly worth getting excited about.
The best we can hope for lands on Thursday, September 3rd. The morning sees a tiny 3ft swell from the NNW with a short period of 6 seconds, and the energy is weak (68). The wind is glassy, though, so it’ll be clean. The afternoon is a little better with a 3ft swell from the same direction, still short period, and glassy again. It's surfable, but very ordinary. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Then we get a bit of a tease on Friday, September 4th. The morning shows a solid 8ft swell from the NNW with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy is strong (1403). That's a big one, but it's blown out by a fresh cross-shore wind. That's expert territory, and the wind is going to make it a mess. Not one for the average punter.
After that, we're back to small, weak, and mostly onshore junk for days. There's a brief moment on the morning of September 7th with a 5ft, long-period 16 second swell from the NNW (energy 988), but the cross-shore wind will spoil it with a cross-chop. The long period might make it a bit wally at a beach break, but it's a point break here, so that actually helps. Still, the wind is the killer.
The very end of the outlook shows a glimmer on the 15th of September. The Tuesday morning has a 6ft swell from the NW with a 6-second period, and the wind is glassy. The energy is moderate (240). It's surfable, but very ordinary again. Given the long-term forecast, it's something to keep an eye on, but it's a long way off.
So, the standout to point at is that Thursday, September 3rd. It's small, clean, and glassy. If you're desperate for a paddle, that's your window. The bigger stuff on the 4th is for the brave and the wind-weary, and the 7th is a tease. Otherwise, it's a blank run. The spot is inconsistent, and this forecast proves it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Mon morning, calm by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 14 | NNW 6 | NNW 15 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 7 | NNW 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
4 | 22 | 8 | 118 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 71 | 64 | 85 | 92 | 1022 | 169 | 88 | 33 | 20 | 25 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | 12:55PM3.93m | 1:10AM3.90m | 1:33PM3.76m | 1:58AM3.66m | 2:17PM3.53m | 2:56AM3.42m | 3:20PM3.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | 6:26AM0.61m | 6:47PM0.72m | 7:07AM0.80m | 7:31PM0.95m | 7:56AM1.04m | 8:32PM1.22m | 8:57AM1.27m | 10:03PM1.42m | |||||||
— | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 14 | NW 15 | NNW 15 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | — | NNW 6 | — | N 7 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NW 16 | NW 16 |
4 | 8 | 8 | 118 | 54 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 27 | — | 64 | — | 92 | 381 | 169 | 88 | 33 | 64 | 68 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | NW 11 | NW 14 | — | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 17 | — | N 15 | — | NW 15 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 8 | NW 8 |
38 | 31 | 54 | — | 4 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 | — | 4 | — | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 36 | 11 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | N 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — |
— | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 3 | WSW 2 | — | — | — | — | NNW 6 | NW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | — | — | — | NNW 5 | NNW 5 |
— | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 71 | 204 | 85 | 237 | 1022 | — | — | — | 20 | 25 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 118 | 101 | 102 | 113 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 10 | 113 | 2 | 19 | 118 | 118 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











