Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, N swell with 1,148 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about the next couple of weeks for your local stretch.
The outlook is a bit of a struggle, honestly. The biggest action comes much later, but there’s a sprinkling of promise if you’re patient. The first week is mostly flat or blown out, with only a few fleeting moments that barely qualify as surfable.
We’ve got a massive south swell blowing through late August, but it’s useless for paddling. On Friday the 28th, the wind is howling from the north at 25 mph, and the swell is a messy 8 ft cross-on shore. The wave energy is 825, which is huge, but the conditions are poor. For a point break like Inner Cut, that north wind is a killer. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Saturday the 29th morning. Overnight the wind goes glassy from the southwest, and the swell settles to 3 ft from the north with a 8-second period. The energy is moderate at 113. It’s small, but it’s clean. That’s about as good as it gets for the first week. The crowds are only sometimes a problem here, so you might have it to yourself.
The real stand-out, and the only one I’m calling a highlight, arrives on Wednesday the 9th of September. We’ve got a clean 5 ft northwest swell rolling in by the afternoon. The period is 6 seconds, so it’s short-period wind swell, but the wind is glassy from the northeast. The energy is 204, which is a solid moderate pulse. It’s surfable, clean, and the biggest cleaner swell we’ve seen by far. The early morning on the 9th is also glassy, with a 4 ft swell from the northwest, but the afternoon is the pick. That’s the one to circle.
The rest of the second week is a lot of small, cross-off or onshore days with hardly any energy. Thursday the 10th has a 5 ft swell from the north-northwest, but it’s cross-shore and messy, with a light chop. It’s not worth the paddle.
So, the long story short: the first week is a write-off except for a brief, clean Saturday morning. The second week builds to a single, true glassy Wednesday afternoon on the 9th of September. That’s your best bet. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in, but it’s got the best combo of size and wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed night, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the N by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 2°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | NW 4 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | N 5 | N 16 | N 4 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 11 | NNW 12 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NNW 16 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
12 | 7 | 47 | 89 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 825 | 766 | 258 | 113 | 107 | 55 | 11 | 13 | 193 | 0 | 94 | 7 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:36AM3.41m | 9:06PM3.69m | 9:17AM3.61m | 9:39PM3.91m | 9:56AM3.79m | 10:12PM4.10m | 10:34AM3.92m | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:26AM1.36m | 2:50PM1.15m | 3:02AM1.15m | 3:27PM0.88m | 3:37AM0.93m | 4:01PM0.66m | 4:10AM0.73m | 4:32PM0.52m | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | |||||||
— | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 14 | NW 15 | — | NNW 5 | N 5 | NNW 5 | NW 10 | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | — | NNW 7 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NW 4 | NNW 6 |
8 | 8 | — | 27 | 8 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 258 | 113 | — | 55 | 29 | 8 | 193 | 158 | 10 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 14 | — | — | NW 14 | NW 13 | N 16 | NW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 19 | NNW 11 | NNW 7 | — | — | NNW 16 | NW 14 |
33 | — | — | 7 | 7 | 5 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | 11 | 9 | — | — | 94 | 51 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 17 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 21 | — | — | NW 18 | NNW 12 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | — | — | 12 | 13 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | NW 4 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | E 4 | E 3 | N 4 | N 8 | N 9 | — | — | NNW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | W 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — |
12 | 7 | 47 | 89 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 825 | 766 | — | — | 107 | 151 | 215 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 184 | 121 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 0 | 101 | 140 | 0 | 68 | 68 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











