Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, N swell with 937 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break down what’s cooking at The Cut, Nelson Harbour. This point break is in a quiet stretch right now, and for the next couple weeks there’s really only one session that’s going to get the blood pumping.
Things start off flat as a pancake. Tuesday the 25th has a tiny 0.7ft NNW groundswell with a long 15-second period, but the wave energy is a weak 31. The morning is glassy, but there’s nothing to ride. Afternoon gets ugly—wind turns cross-on at 30 km/h and the swell drops to 1ft with a pathetic 3-second period. Forget it.
Wednesday the 26th is a blank until the afternoon when a small 3ft NNW swell shows, but it’s short period (5 seconds) and the energy is weak at 37. Thursday morning is clean with light offshore SE wind, but only 1ft on offer. Friday the 28th gets some size—8ft from the north in the morning—but a strong 40 km/h northerly cross-on wind makes it a total mess. The wave energy is up to 824, but it’s unsurfable. Afternoon is smaller at 6ft, but still cross-on and choppy.
Saturday the 29th afternoon is the first marginal look. 5ft NNW swell at 8 seconds, energy at 320, but the wind is light cross-onshore. Not clean enough to get keen. Sunday the 30th through to the 5th of September is a long run of tiny, weak swells—mostly under 3ft—with poor energy and often cross-shore winds. Nothing worth suiting up for.
Then comes the window. Monday the 7th of September morning delivers a solid 8ft NNW swell with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a very strong 1410, and the wind is a light 15 km/h WSW cross-shore, which will keep it fairly clean. The swell direction (NNW) lines up perfectly with the optimum NW for Inner Cut. This is big—over 8ft—so it’s for experienced surfers only. This spot is inconsistent, so be patient, but when a set comes, it will have plenty of grunt. Crowds are only “sometimes,” so it won’t be a zoo.
Tuesday the 8th of September morning is the clear standout. The swell drops to a more manageable 5ft from the NNW, period at 8 seconds, energy at a solid 379. The wind goes glassy—dead calm. The surface will be like butter. This is your one true gem. Clean, head-high waves at a point break with zero wind. Don’t miss it.
After that, Wednesday the 9th fades back to tiny 1ft glassy conditions. That’s it.
So for the experienced crew, mark your calendar for the morning of Tuesday, September 8th. The Monday the 7th is for the big-wave hunters only. Everything else is a flat spell.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | W 3 | W 4 | NW 4 | NNW 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 16 | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | NNW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
23 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 37 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 824 | 588 | 230 | 136 | 248 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 12 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 7:49AM3.20m | 8:29PM3.45m | 8:36AM3.41m | 9:06PM3.69m | 9:17AM3.61m | 9:39PM3.91m | 9:56AM3.79m | 10:12PM4.10m | 10:34AM3.92m | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:42AM1.54m | 2:01PM1.43m | 2:26AM1.36m | 2:50PM1.15m | 3:02AM1.15m | 3:27PM0.88m | 3:37AM0.93m | 4:01PM0.66m | 4:10AM0.73m | 4:32PM0.52m | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | |||||||
— | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | — | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NW 4 | NNW 5 |
23 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 5 | — | 17 | 8 | 5 | — | — | — | 230 | 136 | 63 | 40 | 9 | 4 | 15 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 15 | — | NW 14 | ENE 5 | ENE 3 | — | — | — | — | N 11 | NNW 5 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NNW 11 |
4 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 8 | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 14 | — | — | — | N 13 | N 16 | — | — | — | — | — | N 21 | — | — | N 7 | NW 16 |
— | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | 1 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 5 | — | W 3 | W 4 | — | NNW 5 | — | E 3 | — | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | — | — | NNW 8 | W 2 | SW 2 | — | — |
7 | — | 2 | 12 | — | 37 | — | 2 | — | 28 | 824 | 588 | — | — | 248 | 1 | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 101 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 113 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 140 | 113 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 21 | 68 | 102 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











