
Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, N swell with 121 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: if you’re chasing waves around The Cut over the next couple of weeks, you’re going to need a whole lot of patience. The Inner Cut is a point break that only breaks sometimes, and for the most part, this stretch looks pretty gutless.
We start off with almost nothing. Wednesday’s got a tiny 0.3ft northerly bump with a long 10-second period, but the energy reading is a pathetic 3. It’s glassy, sure, but there’s nothing to ride. Thursday sees a slight pulse to 3ft, but it’s still coming from the north, which is cross to the optimum NW direction, with only a moderate energy of 135. The wind’s light and the surf’s clean, but it’s “surfable” at best, not good. That’s about as good as it gets for the first week.
After that, it completely flatlines. From Friday the 15th through to the following Thursday the 21st, we’re looking at a big run of days with no swell at all – just 0.0ft and no energy. That’s a solid week of nothing. The water temp at the start is 53°, which is about average for this time of year.
A couple of tiny pulses try to show up around the 21st and 22nd, but they’re just ankle-biters at 0.3ft to 1.0ft. Not worth getting wet for.
The only real, and I mean *real* glimmer of hope, comes in on Thursday the 27th of August. That’s a full two weeks out, so take it with a grain of salt, but the models are showing something with actual push – 6ft of north swell with a 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps up to a strong 377. It’s still onshore by the afternoon, but the morning has glassy conditions making the most of that NW-angled swell direction. This is the one standout of the entire run, but it’s a long way off and far from certain. For a break that rarely fires, you’d want to be watching the charts closely. There is just nothing else on the table, so that’s where we stand.
Signing off,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 5°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 5 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 | N 5 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 3 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2 | 9 | 89 | 111 | 117 | 24 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:12AM3.92m | 9:47PM4.31m | 10:03AM4.11m | 10:27PM4.45m | 10:48AM4.23m | 11:06PM4.46m | 11:29AM4.26m | 11:44PM4.38m | 12:07PM4.20m | 00:21AM4.22m | 12:43PM4.06m | 00:58AM4.02m | 1:19PM3.88m | 1:37AM3.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:27PM0.72m | 3:47AM0.44m | 4:14PM0.53m | 4:30AM0.31m | 4:54PM0.43m | 5:10AM0.30m | 5:30PM0.44m | 5:47AM0.40m | 6:03PM0.54m | 6:23AM0.57m | 6:34PM0.71m | 7:00AM0.80m | 7:07PM0.95m | ||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | N 5 | N 8 | NNW 10 | N 7 | N 6 | N 5 | N 4 | NNW 8 | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | ENE 6 | E 3 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 3 |
3 | 9 | 89 | 20 | 89 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 13 | NNW 11 | NW 17 | NNW 12 | NNW 11 | NW 9 | NNW 8 | NW 19 | N 7 | N 7 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | — | — | NW 4 | — | — | — |
1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | NW 16 | NW 19 | N 15 | — | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 18 | — | — | — | E 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 14 |
2 | 10 | 15 | 4 | — | 12 | 11 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 4 | — | N 8 | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | SE 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 3 | — | 111 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 94 | 94 | 28 | 94 | 96 | 94 | 97 | 28 | 28 | 68 | 113 | 94 | 68 | 113 | 94 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











