Inner Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Inner Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Inner Cut sea temperature is
11.6° C
0.7° 

Inner Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Inner Cut surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, NNW swell with 611 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.8m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sun 9th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 9s
Best Surf 9AM (Sun 9th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 9s
Most Powerful 6PM (Sun 9th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range looks a bit bleak for now, but we’ve got a couple of windows worth getting excited about. The first real chance is on Sunday, the 9th, and the standout day is shaping up to be the one after that. After that, we’re looking at a long, flat spell.

The action kicks off on Saturday afternoon the 8th, but honestly, it’s a write-off. A tiny 1ft swell from the NNW with a short 8-second period, and it’s bumpy with a light cross-shore wind. There’s nothing to get excited about. The water’s sitting at 53°, which is about normal for this time of year.

Now, Sunday the 9th is the real deal. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell coming in, around 6ft in the morning from the NNW with a 9-second period. The energy is moderate, with a combined reading of 816. The wind is light from the south, making it cross-offshore and clean. Yeah, the surf is up. It’s a bit big for the groms at over 5ft, but for the intermediate crew, this is going to be fun. By the afternoon, it drops slightly to 6ft, but the wind goes glassy from the east. That’s the kind of clean, lined-up surf you dream about. The energy is still strong at 757. This is the highlight of the whole run.

Monday the 10th is still surfable in the morning but the size backs right down to 2ft from the north. It’s glassy with a light SSW air, so it will be clean, but just small. The energy has dropped off a cliff to just 81, so it’s weak. The afternoon is a no-go.

From Monday afternoon through to the end of the forecast, it’s a long, flat grind. We’re talking about a solid week-and-a-half with no swell worth paddling for. Waves drop to 1ft and below, with periods that are all over the place, but no power. There’s a few days there with just nothing at all, and the energy readings are barely registering – we’re talking single digits and zeros. There’s a brief pulse on the 13th, but it’s only 4ft with a short period and onshore winds, so it’s messy. Forget it.

The long-range stuff later in the second week, like the 16th, shows some long-period energy (16 seconds), but it’s only 0.7ft – not enough to ride. There’s a tiny bump again on the 22nd and 23rd, with a period of 22 seconds, but again, it’s only 0.3ft to 1ft. These are just ghosts, barely registering on the energy scale.

So, the take-home is this: Sunday the 9th is the day. Get onto Inner Cut early and enjoy the clean conditions and the solid size. It’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but when they come, it’ll be worth it. Keep in mind that this spot doesn’t break all that often, so when it’s on, you make the most of it. It’s a point break, so that NNW groundswell will wrap in nicely. Crowds are possible, so get in the water early.

After that, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts change, but right now, it’s looking like a long stretch of flat. Stay tuned, cause it won’t stay poor forever.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 40mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
N
5
1.3
N
6
1.8
NNW
9
1.7
NNW
9
1
N
10
0.7
N
9
0.6
N
9
0.4
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.3
N
8
0.2
N
7
0.1
N
10
0.6
N
7
1.1
N
8
1.2
N
7
0.9
NNE
6
1
NNW
6
0.7
N
6
0.6
N
6
0.3
NNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
13
106
510
477
186
81
55
21
10
10
4
2
33
142
134
62
72
35
26
12
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
20
NE
10
S
5
E
5
SSW
5
SSW
10
N
5
SW
5
SSE
5
N
5
S
0
SSE
0
WSW
5
S
10
NE
15
NE
10
ENE
0
SSW
5
NNW
5
WSW
Wind State
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
High Tide
5:04PM3.26m
5:41AM3.39m
6:54PM3.38m
7:01AM3.50m
8:09PM3.71m
8:12AM3.70m
9:02PM4.05m
9:12AM3.92m
9:47PM4.31m
10:03AM4.11m
10:27PM4.45m
10:48AM4.23m
11:06PM4.46m
Low Tide
11:41PM1.36m
11:54AM1.37m
00:58AM1.19m
1:20PM1.22m
2:04AM0.94m
2:31PM0.97m
2:59AM0.67m
3:27PM0.72m
3:47AM0.44m
4:14PM0.53m
4:30AM0.31m
4:54PM0.43m
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:39
5:40
5:42
5:43
5:44
 mm
28
4
3
3
4
30
Temp °C
12
12
12
13
9
14
13
10
11
11
9
12
10
11
12
12
12
13
13
12
Feels °C
10
8
11
12
6
12
10
9
9
9
8
11
9
11
11
9
10
13
12
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away

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