Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NNW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for The Cut, Nelson Harbour, for the next couple of weeks. Let’s just say it’s a bit of a mixed bag, and you’ll need to be patient. The first real chance for a decent paddle comes late on Saturday the 29th of August, but before that, it’s mostly small and messy.
The first few days are a write-off. From Saturday the 22nd through to Friday the 28th, we’ve got weak, short-period slop with barely any energy – the combined energy is mostly under 100 (weak) and the swell heights are tiny, often under 3 ft. The winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, chopping things up. There’s a glimmer early on Tuesday the 25th with glassy conditions and a 3 ft swell from the NW, but it’s just ordinary, not worth a drive.
Saturday the 29th of August is the standout. The morning looks clean as a whistle with glassy conditions and a 5 ft NNE swell at 8 seconds. The combined energy here is a moderate 315, which is the most push we’ve seen all week. The water temp is about 54°F, which is pretty standard for this time of year, so no worries there. The wind is dead calm, so the Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour) will be super clean. The swell direction is a little off from the optimum NW, but it’s still a solid offering. The tricky bit is the break is inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but the quality will be there. Crowds are possible, so get in early.
There’s a drop-off on Sunday afternoon, and the second week looks grim. From the 30th through to the 6th of September, the swell drops to 0.7 ft to 3 ft, and the energy is pathetic – mostly under 100 (weak). There’s a little bump on the 3rd and 4th of September with some clean offshore winds and 3 ft to 4 ft from the NNW, but it’s still just ordinary. A long-period 17-second groundswell on the 1st is too weak to do anything. Honestly, the best bet is to target the 29th of August morning and then hang the board up for a week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | N 9 | N 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 15 | NNW 7 | NNW 15 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | N 5 | NNW 6 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
43 | 158 | 332 | 235 | 94 | 91 | 18 | 23 | 54 | 50 | 90 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 114 | 47 | 121 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:34PM3.07m | 5:30AM2.94m | 6:21PM3.05m | 6:49AM3.02m | 7:41PM3.22m | 7:49AM3.20m | 8:29PM3.45m | 8:36AM3.41m | 9:06PM3.69m | 9:17AM3.61m | 9:39PM3.91m | 9:56AM3.79m | 10:12PM4.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:30PM1.80m | 11:30AM1.74m | 00:46AM1.71m | 12:54PM1.66m | 1:42AM1.54m | 2:01PM1.43m | 2:26AM1.36m | 2:50PM1.15m | 3:02AM1.15m | 3:27PM0.88m | 3:37AM0.93m | 4:01PM0.66m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | — | N 9 | N 9 | NNW 8 | N 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 15 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | — | NW 16 | NNW 5 | NW 9 | N 6 |
4 | — | 332 | 235 | 94 | 29 | 18 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 12 | — | 10 | 35 | 3 | 53 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 17 | N 18 | NNW 13 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 7 | NNW 15 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | N 13 | — | — | NW 10 | N 14 | — |
— | — | 6 | 6 | 16 | 91 | 58 | 4 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 17 | — | — | N 15 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | 4 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 9 | — | WSW 3 | — | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | WNW 6 | SW 3 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | N 5 | NNW 6 |
43 | 158 | 807 | — | 7 | — | — | 7 | 54 | 50 | 90 | 2 | 18 | 51 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 114 | 47 | 121 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 118 | 2 | 113 | 113 | 2 | 68 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 68 | 118 | 68 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











