Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, N swell with 367 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cookin' at Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour).
Right from the get-go, it’s dead flat. Saturday the 11th through Monday morning the 13th – not a ripple. A long, quiet start with zero energy.
Monday afternoon the 13th finally shows a pulse: 3ft from the north, but with a pitiful 6-second period. Weak, gutless, not worth paddling out for.
Tuesday the 14th is where the magic happens. Tuesday morning, the swell builds to 3ft from the north, period stretches to 8 seconds, and the energy hits a moderate 119. Glassy calm winds. That’s a good sign. But the real standout is Tuesday afternoon: the swell peaks at 4ft from the NNW, same 8-second period, and the energy jumps to a strong 279. Dead calm, glassy conditions. That’s the best surf window in the whole outlook, no question. Water temp is 55°F, which is right on average for this time of year.
Wednesday the 15th drops off again – morning is 2ft, afternoon picks up to 4ft from the NNW but the period falls back to 6 seconds, so it’s weak and messy.
From Thursday the 16th all the way through to Sunday the 26th, it’s a long, flat run. There are a few tiny bumps – 0.7ft here, 2ft there – but they’re all short period, blown out by cross or onshore winds, and the energy never really gets going. Nothing rideable.
So here’s the call: Tuesday afternoon, July 14th is your one good chance. Clean, glassy, 4ft from the NNW. That’s the pick of the bunch. After that, it’s a waiting game.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 15 | N 6 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 7 | N 6 | NNW 6 | N 6 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | NNW 4 | NW 21 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 367 | 111 | 191 | 78 | 39 | 88 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off |
High Tide | 7:00PM3.55m | 7:10AM3.70m | 8:14PM3.81m | 8:15AM3.86m | 9:11PM4.11m | 9:16AM4.02m | 10:00PM4.35m | 10:12AM4.14m | 10:45PM4.49m | 11:04AM4.20m | 11:28PM4.50m | 11:52AM4.20m | 00:10AM4.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:06AM1.08m | 1:23PM1.11m | 2:06AM0.88m | 2:30PM0.94m | 3:03AM0.69m | 3:32PM0.75m | 3:56AM0.52m | 4:27PM0.59m | 4:46AM0.42m | 5:14PM0.52m | 5:32AM0.41m | 5:56PM0.53m | 6:16AM0.50m | ||||||||
 |  | | | |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 |
 | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | 5:19 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 11 |
Feels °C | 6 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 4 | N 6 | — | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | NNW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 40 | — | 111 | 88 | 78 | 39 | 44 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 15 | N 14 | — | N 20 | — | NNW 12 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | NW 14 | E 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 8 | — | 14 | 43 | 64 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 7 | NW 21 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 8 | — | NNW 8 | — | — | NNW 6 | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — | — | SW 2 | SSE 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 367 | — | 191 | — | — | 88 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 97 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 68 | 28 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 97 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
Nearest