Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NNW swell with 573 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 8s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the Nelson Harbour area. This is a bit of a quiet stretch we’re looking at. The only spot with anything going for it over the next 16 days is the Inner Cut. It’s a point break that’s inconsistent, so we’re not talking about a guaranteed session. When it does work, it gets fun, but you’ve got to be patient.
For the first week and a bit, honestly, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny waves, mostly under 3 ft, with cross or cross-onshore winds and messy conditions. The combined swell energy is weak, often under 100, and the forecasts are poor. You’d be wasting your time. This blank run stretches from the start of the period right through until Thursday, September 10th.
Now, the first true standout arrives on Thursday, September 10th. The morning session at Inner Cut is where you want to be. We’ve got a clean 5 ft swell coming from the NNW, with light cross-offshore winds out of the SSW. The combined energy hits 245, which is moderate but punchy enough for a point break. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. The best part is that wind – light and clean, so the waves should have some shape. Just keep in mind, it’s inconsistent, so you might be waiting between sets. And crowds are possible, as they’re ‘sometimes’ around this break.
After that morning, it drops away again pretty quickly. The afternoon on the 10th is back to weak swells, and the rest of the second week stays small and messy. There’s a glassy morning on Monday, September 14th, with 2 ft swell, but it’s short-period windswell and the energy is only 43. Not worth the drive. The long-range stuff is just too uncertain and weak to get excited about.
So, bottom line: if you’re keen, your one real window is the morning of Thursday, September 10th. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 14 | NNW 7 | NNW 15 | NNW 6 | N 18 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | N 8 | N 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
81 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 32 | 31 | 54 | 60 | 334 | 190 | 84 | 32 | 11 | 18 | 277 | 481 | 169 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | 12:55PM3.93m | 1:10AM3.90m | 1:33PM3.76m | 1:58AM3.66m | 2:17PM3.53m | 2:56AM3.42m | 3:20PM3.27m | 4:11AM3.25m | 5:04PM3.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | 6:26AM0.61m | 6:47PM0.72m | 7:07AM0.80m | 7:31PM0.95m | 7:56AM1.04m | 8:32PM1.22m | 8:57AM1.27m | 10:03PM1.42m | 10:17AM1.43m | 11:40PM1.39m | |||||||
— | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 14 | NW 15 | NNW 15 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 16 | NNW 6 | NW 15 | NW 15 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | — | NNW 16 |
81 | 54 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 31 | 8 | 9 | 334 | 190 | 84 | 32 | 17 | 18 | — | — | 25 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 17 | — | N 15 | — | — | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 8 | NW 15 | — | — | — |
6 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 | — | 4 | — | — | 10 | 10 | 9 | 55 | 11 | 58 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 55 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | — | NW 7 | W 2 | — | — | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | NNW 7 | N 8 | N 8 |
3 | — | 27 | 1 | — | — | 32 | 124 | 54 | 60 | 861 | — | — | — | 62 | — | 277 | 481 | 169 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 101 | 2 | 101 | 102 | 102 | 293 | 10 | 101 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











