Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, N swell with 749 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 18s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf for Inner Cut (The-Cut-Nelson-Harbour).
Right now, it’s flat. The first few days from Thursday the 9th through to the 13th of July are just tiny 0.3ft pulses and long stretches with no waves at all. Water temperature is 55°F, which is about average for the time of year.
The first real action hits on Tuesday the 14th of July. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell from the north, with a 9-second period and combined energy of 1096 – that’s strong. The wind is glassy, light from the south, so it’s clean. That morning is a standout, but at 7ft, it’s for experts only. The swell direction is north, and the optimum here is northwest, so it’s not perfect, but it’s good. The afternoon drops to 5ft from the NNW, still glassy, energy at 380.
The next big one is Sunday the 19th of July. Morning brings 5ft from the north with a 14-second period – that’s a long-period groundswell, and for a point break, that’s a treat. The wind is a clean 6 mph cross-off from the SSW, making for lovely waves. Energy is 704 – strong. The afternoon sees 6ft from the north, 13-second period, energy 1170, but the wind turns cross-on from the north, so it gets bumpy.
Keep in mind, Inner Cut is an *inconsistent* spot that only breaks sometimes, so these windows are not a sure thing. But when it fires, it’s worth it.
After the 19th, it fades fast. The 20th has some 5ft swell but with cross-shore winds and chop, it’s messy. The 21st is small, and from the 22nd onward it’s mostly tiny, poor surf. The last few days from the 24th are flat again.
So, the best calls are Tuesday morning the 14th of July for big, clean expert waves, and Sunday morning the 19th of July for a cleaner, more user-friendly long-period groundswell. The rest of the window is mostly quiet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu afternoon, min 2°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 20 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | N 14 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | N 3 | N 15 | N 4 | NNE 7 | N 9 | NNW 8 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 186 | 710 | 261 | 36 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 28 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:21PM3.42m | 4:51AM3.56m | 5:34PM3.43m | 6:00AM3.59m | 7:00PM3.55m | 7:10AM3.70m | 8:14PM3.81m | 8:15AM3.86m | 9:11PM4.11m | 9:16AM4.02m | 10:00PM4.35m | 10:12AM4.14m | 10:45PM4.49m | 11:04AM4.20m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:46PM1.35m | 11:02AM1.25m | 00:01AM1.26m | 12:12PM1.22m | 1:06AM1.08m | 1:23PM1.11m | 2:06AM0.88m | 2:30PM0.94m | 3:03AM0.69m | 3:32PM0.75m | 3:56AM0.52m | 4:27PM0.59m | 4:46AM0.42m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 |
 | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | 5:16 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 5 | NE 4 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 18 | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | N 3 | — | NW 14 | N 9 | N 8 | N 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 1 | — | 8 | 386 | 119 | 36 | 17 | 18 | 4 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 15 | NW 19 | — | — | — | N 14 | — | — | — | — | — | N 15 | — | — | — | NW 20 | NNW 12 | NW 12 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 17 |
| kJ | 9 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | 15 | 15 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 16 | — | N 7 | — |
| kJ | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | — | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 | N 4 | NNE 7 | N 9 | NNW 8 | — | SW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 14 | 186 | 710 | 261 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 97 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 68 | 68 | 97 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 118 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 96 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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