Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 17s period, NNW swell with 28 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 0.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
Look, I’ll be straight with you—this is a tough run for Inner Cut. The next week and a half is mostly flat with tiny, poor quality waves. You’re looking at a big gap from now until about Monday the 24th of August where there’s just nothing worth paddling out for. A few little bumps pop up here and there, but they’re all under 1ft with weak energy (7) and no real push. The water is sitting at 53°, which is pretty average for this time of year—nothing wild going on there.
The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Monday the 24th of August, but it’s far from perfect. That morning brings 6ft swell from the N with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 391—moderate and getting interesting. But the wind is cross-shore and the conditions are messy, with the report saying it’s marginal. Not the cleanest, and at that size it’s a bit much for beginners. The afternoon gets bigger with 6ft from the NNW and energy up to 1115 (strong), but the wind strengthens to a moderate cross-shore with cross-chop. That’s expert-only territory, and the quality is still ordinary.
The standout window? I’d point you toward Saturday the 29th of August. The morning starts with a glassy 3ft from the N, 9-second period, and a combined energy of 180 (moderate). The wind is glass—dead calm—so the surface will be like a mirror. It’s surfable but still only rated as very ordinary. Still, that glassy morning is your cleanest shot. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so you might have company, but with conditions that average, it shouldn’t be too packed.
Overall, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the 29th morning is the pick. Just don’t expect barrels.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 3°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 16 | NW 15 | NE 4 | NW 15 | NW 14 | NW 14 | SW 2 | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | N 14 | N 3 | NW 5 | N 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross |
High Tide | 11:29AM4.26m | 11:44PM4.38m | 12:07PM4.20m | 00:21AM4.22m | 12:43PM4.06m | 00:58AM4.02m | 1:19PM3.88m | 1:37AM3.78m | 1:55PM3.67m | 2:18AM3.51m | 2:35PM3.45m | 3:08AM3.25m | 3:23PM3.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:30PM0.44m | 5:47AM0.40m | 6:03PM0.54m | 6:23AM0.57m | 6:34PM0.71m | 7:00AM0.80m | 7:07PM0.95m | 7:39AM1.04m | 7:44PM1.24m | 8:21AM1.28m | 8:33PM1.52m | 9:11AM1.50m | 9:52PM1.75m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
Feels °C | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 17 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | — | NW 17 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 4 | N 3 | N 4 | NNW 4 |
28 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 9 | 9 | — | 8 | 8 | — | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | — | — | — | — | ENE 4 | — | — | NW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 14 | NW 5 | — | N 14 |
1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 14 | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 16 | N 6 | NW 14 |
— | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 1 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 2 | — | — | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SSE 3 | — | NE 4 | — | SSW 2 | — | SW 2 | SSW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | WSW 2 |
1 | — | — | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 28 | 94 | 96 | 102 | 97 | 97 | 97 | 94 | 148 | 68 | 68 | 148 | 97 | 94 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 97 | 68 | 68 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











