Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 10s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, NNW swell with 1,676 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 5s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 5s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, listen up, crew. Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for our neck of the woods, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty grim run for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to get excited about. The only spot with any real potential is Inner Cut, and even that’s a tease.
The forecast starts off with a whole lot of nothing. Friday the 7th through to the end of the first week, we’re looking at flat, weak energy. The combined energy is barely a whisper, with readings like 5 and 30. It’s poor surf, plain and simple. You’ll be sitting on your board staring at a mirror.
Then, out of nowhere, Sunday the 9th throws a bit of a curveball. We get a solid pulse of swell from the NNW, hitting 10 ft, with a combined energy of 2589. That’s a lot of power. But the wind is a cross-shore from the SW at 19 mph, and the conditions are described as marginal. It’s a big, messy lump. For the experts only, and even then, it’s not pretty. After that, it’s back to the doldrums for days on end. The 10th through the 13th are all poor surf, with tiny waves and weak energy.
The only real standout, and I mean the *only* one, is way out there. You’ve got to look at Saturday, August 15th. Inner Cut is a point break, and it’s inconsistent, so it rarely lines up. When it does, it’s a treat. On the morning of the 15th, we’ve got a 2 ft swell from the NNW, but with a period of 13 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell with some real grunt. The combined energy is 217. The wind is onshore from the NW at 6 mph, which is a bit of a bummer, but that long-period energy will find the bank. It’s the only day in the entire 16-day window that even sniffs a “good” score internally. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is the one to circle on your calendar. The water is about 53°, which is just a touch cooler than normal for this time of year, so a good 4/3 is a must.
After that, the 16th through the 22nd are a total write-off. Flat, glassy, and not a single wave to be had. Just clean, empty water. It’s a long, frustrating gap, but that’s the way it goes sometimes. The forecasts can change, but for now, don’t hold your breath.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 5°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 8°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | NNW 11 | NW 6 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | NNW 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 | NNW 12 | N 5 | N 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 12 | 72 | 18 | 29 | 89 | 1676 | 394 | 186 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 117 | 61 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 178 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 3:39PM3.38m | 4:22AM3.42m | 5:04PM3.26m | 5:41AM3.39m | 6:54PM3.38m | 7:01AM3.50m | 8:09PM3.71m | 8:12AM3.70m | 9:02PM4.05m | 9:12AM3.92m | 9:47PM4.31m | 10:03AM4.11m | 10:27PM4.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:17AM1.22m | 10:14PM1.38m | 10:29AM1.36m | 11:41PM1.36m | 11:54AM1.37m | 00:58AM1.19m | 1:20PM1.22m | 2:04AM0.94m | 2:31PM0.97m | 2:59AM0.67m | 3:27PM0.72m | 3:47AM0.44m | 4:14PM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | |  | | | | |  | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 20 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 8 |
Temp °C | 8 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | N 5 | — | NW 18 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 | N 6 | N 7 | NNW 12 | NW 18 |
| kJ | — | 7 | 27 | 18 | — | 13 | 913 | 394 | 186 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 117 | 61 | 26 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | NNW 11 | NNW 10 | NNW 8 | — | — | — | NW 18 | NW 16 | NW 16 | NW 15 | NW 15 | N 14 | ENE 3 | NE 4 | N 13 | NNW 12 | NNW 12 | NNW 12 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 | — | — | — | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 29 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | N 10 | N 17 | N 16 | — | — | NW 20 | — |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | — | — | 15 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 4 | NW 6 | — | N 5 | N 6 | NNW 10 | — | — | SW 2 | — | NE 3 | ENE 5 | E 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | N 7 |
| kJ | — | 9 | 72 | — | 29 | 89 | 1676 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 178 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 68 | 0 | 28 | 68 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 28 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 102 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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