Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, N swell with 876 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here with a look at your local stretch. Let's be straight with you – the forecast for Inner Cut (Nelson Harbour) over the next 16 days is a real scratch-and-claw affair. For the vast majority of this period, we're looking at poor surf conditions. The first solid bit of action doesn't come around until the first week of September, with a real standout way out near the end of the run.
The opening stretch from late August right through the first few days of September is a write-off. We've got a mix of weak swells and wind that's just not playing nice. There's a big gap of over a week with practically nothing to recommend. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.
Then, around the 4th of September (Friday), we finally see the window crack open just a little. The morning is glassy, with a small 3 ft swell from the NNW. The combined wave energy is weak (70). It's surfable, but very ordinary. The afternoon stays glassy with the same small wave. It's a paddle-out for the desperate, not a destination.
Things get blown out again through the 5th and 6th, with more messy cross-shore winds.
Now, hold onto your board, because the true standout is on Saturday the 12th of September. We finally get a real pulse of energy. The morning calls for a clean 6 ft swell from the NNW, with a light offshore wind from the SE. The combined energy is a solid moderate (372). The break is described as clean. This is what we've been waiting for. That size is right on the edge for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the session of the forecast. It's a point break that's inconsistent, so you'll have to be patient, and crowds are possible here, but when a set comes through, it'll be worth the wait. The swell direction matches the optimum, and that offshore wind will make it a pleasure.
The rest of the period fades back to tiny, weak waves with no real power. A long, quiet run for sure.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun night, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NW 6 | NNW 16 | WSW 3 | NNW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 5 | N 18 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
22 | 517 | 876 | 258 | 65 | 42 | 18 | 16 | 54 | 24 | 3 | 86 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:39PM3.91m | 9:56AM3.79m | 10:12PM4.10m | 10:34AM3.92m | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | 12:55PM3.93m | 1:10AM3.90m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:37AM0.93m | 4:01PM0.66m | 4:10AM0.73m | 4:32PM0.52m | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | 6:26AM0.61m | 6:47PM0.72m | |||||||
— | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | |
mm | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 16 | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NW 15 | NNW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 |
10 | — | — | 258 | 65 | 42 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 55 | 86 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 21 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 21 | NW 19 | NW 4 | N 9 | NNW 12 | NNW 5 | — | NNW 10 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NW 4 | NW 16 |
— | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 2 | — | 9 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 9 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | W 13 | N 13 | — | NW 18 | NW 16 | NNW 16 | N 6 | — | NNW 15 | — | — | — | N 18 | NW 17 | — |
— | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | 12 | 10 | 24 | 1 | — | 22 | — | — | — | 6 | 11 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | — | WSW 2 | — | SW 3 | SW 3 | NW 6 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | — | NW 6 | — | NE 2 | — | WSW 2 | — | — |
22 | 517 | 876 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 54 | 5 | 3 | — | 136 | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 68 | 133 | 140 | 0 | 68 | 19 | 68 | 101 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 101 | 358 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 101 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away











