Surf Forecasts:
Inner Cut surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, N swell with 1,159 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:
The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for Inner Cut over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s been a tough stretch, and it’s going to stay that way for a while.
Right now, the water temp is sitting dead on average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The problem is the swell. For the first week, we’re looking at nearly zero surfable energy. The combined energy is a measly 17 or less most days. We’re talking about tiny, weak waves, barely above flat. The wind is messed up too – that big northerly blow on the 28th August kicks up a lumpy 8ft, but it’s cross-onshore and messy, so it’s not one for the log. That’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle situation.
We’ve got a long, dry gap here. The first real hope doesn’t come until the 5th September. That Saturday morning, the wind drops to glassy calm, and we get a clean 4ft from the N. The energy is still weak (111), but it’s at least smooth. It’s surfable, but very ordinary – not something to get excited about.
The real standout, if you’re patient, is the 7th September. Monday afternoon brings a glassy 4ft from the N with a combined energy of 197. The wind is dead calm, so it’ll be clean. That’s the best of the whole run. The 6th September also has a glassy morning, but the swell is only 1ft, so it’s not worth the paddle out.
For the rest of the second week, it’s a mix of very small surf and funky winds. The 10th September has a better energy reading (183) but it’s cross-shore, so it’s not going to be peak. The long-period swell on the 8th and 9th September (16 and 18 seconds) is a bit of a tease – it’ll break straight at the beach, so it’s not ideal for Inner Cut unless you’re on a point.
Bottom line: this is a poor run. You’ve got a solid week of nothing, then a couple of days where it’s just about rideable. The 7th September afternoon is the only real window for a decent session. Fingers crossed the forecasts change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 8°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the N by Fri morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sun night, light winds from the WSW by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 5 | N 16 | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 10 | WSW 3 | NNW 7 | NNW 5 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | N 19 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 742 | 917 | 219 | 86 | 81 | 28 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:06PM3.69m | 9:17AM3.61m | 9:39PM3.91m | 9:56AM3.79m | 10:12PM4.10m | 10:34AM3.92m | 10:44PM4.23m | 11:10AM4.01m | 11:17PM4.27m | 11:46AM4.05m | 11:52PM4.22m | 12:20PM4.02m | 00:29AM4.09m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:02AM1.15m | 3:27PM0.88m | 3:37AM0.93m | 4:01PM0.66m | 4:10AM0.73m | 4:32PM0.52m | 4:42AM0.57m | 5:03PM0.45m | 5:15AM0.48m | 5:36PM0.47m | 5:49AM0.49m | 6:09PM0.55m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
Feels °C | 13 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NW 16 | — | — | N 9 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 | NW 15 | NW 15 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 4 |
| kJ | 18 | 8 | 4 | 10 | — | — | 219 | 86 | 81 | 28 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 56 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 14 | N 13 | N 16 | — | — | — | — | — | N 21 | NW 19 | NW 18 | NNW 10 | NW 15 | NNW 7 | — | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NNW 15 | NW 15 |
| kJ | 7 | 3 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 57 | 9 | — | 22 | 21 | 22 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 16 | NNW 7 | — | — | NW 10 | — | — | N 19 |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 5 | — | — | 17 | — | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 3 | E 3 | N 5 | N 8 | N 9 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | NW 4 | NW 6 | WSW 3 | W 3 | NNW 5 | — | NE 3 | — | WSW 3 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 27 | 742 | 917 | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 132 | 5 | 1 | 14 | — | 3 | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 108 | 102 | 68 | 68 | 184 | 118 | 0 | 2 | 68 | 19 | 21 | 101 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Inner Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away
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