Inner Cut Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Inner Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Inner Cut sea temperature is
11.8° C
0.8° 

Inner Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Inner Cut surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, N swell with 187 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Inner Cut this week:

The surf forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Inner Cut in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Tue 14th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 3AM (Tue 14th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 3AM (Tue 14th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Inner Cut over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, this is a pretty grim stretch for Inner Cut (Nelson Harbour). We’re looking at a long, dry spell with very little to get excited about. The forecast shows a gap of several days with no real surf to speak of, and what little bump does show up is small and weak. The water temp is sitting at 53°, which is about 1° cooler than average for the time of year – nothing too unusual, just a bit crisp.

The first sniff of anything rideable comes on Tuesday 14 July afternoon. We’ve got a tiny 3ft swell from the N, with a period of just 7 seconds that’s not doing much. The energy reading is a weak 86, so there’s barely any push. The big plus here is the wind – it’s glassy, which is a rare treat. It’ll be clean, but the waves are going to be weak and ordinary. It’s not a standout, just the best of a bad lot.

Wednesday 15 July afternoon is similar – 3ft from the NNW, period 7 seconds, energy 70. Again, glassy conditions, but the swell is just too small and short-period to give you anything with real shape. Fine for a splash if you’re desperate, but don’t expect much.

After that, it’s pretty much flat or close to flat right through to the end of the month. Most days show zero energy or just a tiny 0.3ft bump. The wind stays light and often favourable, but there’s simply no swell to work with. The only note is on Monday 28 July afternoon, when a 0.3ft, 20-second period pulse shows up – that’s a very long period for such a tiny wave, and the energy is only 14. It’s not going to be surfable; it’s just a whisper.

Overall, this is a quiet period for Inner Cut. If you’re keen, the best chance is the glassy, small waves on Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 6°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NNW
5
2.3
NNW
7
0.9
N
7
0.9
N
7
0.8
N
7
0.6
N
7
0.8
NNW
7
0.2
NNW
16
0.7
N
6
0.8
NW
6
0.3
NNW
4
0.2
NNW
5
0.1
NW
15
0.1
N
6
0.1
N
5
0.1
N
18
0.1
NW
18
0.1
N
9
0.3
NE
4
0.1
N
9
0.1
NW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
22
547
87
86
57
31
50
24
35
51
4
2
0
1
1
6
0
2
2
2
0
Wind (km/h)
5
NE
5
WNW
5
SW
5
ENE
5
SE
5
SSW
5
NNE
5
NW
15
SW
10
WSW
15
SW
10
SSW
5
N
5
S
10
SW
20
SW
5
SSE
5
SSE
5
N
5
SSE
5
SSW
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
9:11PM4.11m
9:16AM4.02m
10:00PM4.35m
10:12AM4.14m
10:45PM4.49m
11:04AM4.20m
11:28PM4.50m
11:52AM4.20m
00:10AM4.40m
12:37PM4.12m
00:52AM4.23m
1:19PM3.99m
1:34AM4.01m
Low Tide
3:03AM0.69m
3:32PM0.75m
3:56AM0.52m
4:27PM0.59m
4:46AM0.42m
5:14PM0.52m
5:32AM0.41m
5:56PM0.53m
6:16AM0.50m
6:35PM0.64m
6:58AM0.67m
7:12PM0.81m
7:41AM0.89m
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:20
5:21
 mm
4
1
Temp °C
12
12
11
12
11
13
14
12
13
13
9
11
12
8
11
14
9
11
11
7
9
Feels °C
10
8
10
11
10
12
13
11
9
10
6
9
9
6
7
9
6
9
9
4
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Inner Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Inner Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Inner Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Inner Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Inner Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Inner Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Inner Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 64 km (40 miles) away

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