Nazare Big Wave Challenge Gets Yellow Alert, Could Run Saturday in Giant Waves
70-foot plus waves predicted for Portuguese big wave tow surfing competition.
Surf Forecasts:
Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Thursday 11 Dec 2025 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
19.6° C
(Which is 4.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Outer Cut today?
The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 3PM is: 0.5m 15s primary swell from a North direction and 0.1m 15s secondary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 12:00pm December 11). An open ocean swell of 0.1m 15s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (11 Dec) | 0.5ft (0.1m) | 17s |
| Afternoon (11 Dec) | 1.5ft (0.5m) | 15s |
| Evening (11 Dec) | 1.5ft (0.4m) | 4s |
Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Thursday 11 | Friday 12 | Saturday 13 | Sunday 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 17 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 6 | 4 | 112 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 50 | 129 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- off | cross | cross | cross- off | cross- off | glass | cross- on | cross | cross- off | cross- off | off | off | glass | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- off | cross- off | glass | glass |
High Tide / height (m) | 3:31PM 3.68 | 4:09AM 3.49 | 4:30PM 3.51 | 5:01AM 3.40 | 5:33PM 3.43 | 5:54AM 3.35 | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 9:09AM 1.15 | 9:52PM 1.20 | 10:00AM 1.31 | 10:53PM 1.33 | 11:02AM 1.43 | 11:55PM 1.41 | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 11 | Friday 12 | Saturday 13 | Sunday 14 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:47 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:47 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:47 |
| Sunset | - | - | - | 8:52 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8:52 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8:52 | - | - | - | - |
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Temp. °C | 18 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| Feels °C (?) | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Buy Less, Surf More This Black Friday
Surf-forecast is providing a free, all-access pass to our premium features and 12-day forecasts all weekend.
Quiksilver Teams Up With PrimaLoft® For World’s First Thermal Layering System for a Wetsuit.
Previously used in our snow jackets for mountain conditions, PrimaLoft® technology is making its debut in the surf industry. The aim is to bring mountain-grade warmth to the waves.
Vancouver Island’s Day Of Days With Reed Platenius
Surf-Forecast recently helped the 21-year-old Canadian pro surfer and adventurer score some cold water perfection at home.
Read more
Discover more articles and updates in the Greenroom.
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Outer Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Nearest