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Outer Cut Surf Forecast
/ Nelson – Tasman Bay (18 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 5 pm Sunday 31 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
14.4° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (31 May):
- Afternoon surf: Afternoon surf (31 May, local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with N swell.
- Evening surf: Evening surf (31 May, local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with N swell.
The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 10PM is: 2.5m 10s primary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 05:00pm May 31). The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (31 May) | - | - |
| Afternoon (31 May) | 7ft (2.2m) | 9s |
| Evening (31 May) | 8ft (2.5m) | 10s |
Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 175mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun night, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun night, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 31 | Monday 1 | Tuesday 2 | Wed 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NNW 7 | |
775 | 984 | 1255 | 900 | 1026 | 961 | 849 | 961 | 865 | 740 | 818 | 926 | 745 | 575 | 669 | 430 | 177 | 142 | 159 | 92 | 65 | 41 | 26 | 10 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | |
High Tide | 10:02PM4.04m | 10:08AM3.72m | 10:35PM4.07m | 10:46AM3.70m | 11:08PM4.03m | 11:24AM3.68m | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:36PM0.97m | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:13PM0.99m | 4:25AM0.99m | 4:52PM1.01m | 4:57AM1.00m | ||||||||||||||||||
 |  | |  | | |  | | | | | |  | |  |  | |  |  | |  | |  | | |
 | — | — | — | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | 5:07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:05 |
13 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 14 |
11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 12 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NNW 7 |
 kJ | — | — | — | — | 1026 | 961 | — | 961 | 865 | 740 | — | 926 | 745 | — | 414 | 276 | 177 | 142 | 159 | 92 | 65 | 41 | 26 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 10 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 33 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 13 | — | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | — | — | — | SW 2 | SW 2 | WSW 2 | — | — |
| kJ | 775 | 984 | 1255 | 900 | 821 | 761 | 849 | 701 | 640 | — | 818 | — | — | 575 | 669 | 430 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 96 | 15 | 118 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 101 | 101 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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