Nazare Big Wave Challenge Gets Yellow Alert, Could Run Saturday in Giant Waves
70-foot plus waves predicted for Portuguese big wave tow surfing competition.
Surf Forecasts:
Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Monday 15 Dec 2025 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
19.7° C
(Which is 4.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Outer Cut today?
The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 4PM is: 1.5m 6s primary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 12:00pm December 15). The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (15 Dec) | 2ft (0.6m) | 4s |
| Afternoon (15 Dec) | 4.5ft (1.3m) | 6s |
| Evening (15 Dec) | 4.5ft (1.4m) | 6s |
Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Monday 15 | Tuesday 16 | Wednesday 17 | Thursday 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 3 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 13 | 60 | 146 | 141 | 148 | 222 | 368 | 535 | 933 | 203 | 382 | 134 | 88 | 52 | 37 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | on | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross- off | cross | cross | cross- off | cross- off | cross | glass | glass | cross | cross |
High Tide / height (m) | 7:28PM 3.45 | 7:54AM 3.40 | 8:16PM 3.48 | 8:52AM 3.54 | 9:01PM 3.51 | |||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 1:16PM 1.44 | 1:43AM 1.38 | 2:09PM 1.39 | 2:27AM 1.31 | 2:54PM 1.32 | 3:08AM 1.25 | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 15 | Tuesday 16 | Wednesday 17 | Thursday 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:48 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:48 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:48 |
| Sunset | - | - | - | 8:54 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8:55 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8:55 | - | - | - | - |
 | | |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Temp. °C | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| Feels °C (?) | 16 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
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