Outer Cut 48 hour detailed Surf Forecast

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Issued: 5 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in hr min

Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is

12.6° C

Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.

Surf Forecasts:

	Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 5°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Mon night, calm by Tue morning).
	Sunday 12							Monday 13								Tuesday 14								Wed 15
	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM
Rating (10 max)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1
Swell Height Map See all maps
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s)	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 15	NW 15	NW 2	NW 3	N 15	N 5	NNW 5	N 5	N 6	N 7	N 8	N 8	N 8	N 8	NNW 8	N 8	NNW 7	N 7
Wave Graph
kJ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	10	33	64	143	420	239	177	114	92	220	90	222	76
Wind (km/h)	S	S	S	NW	N	NE	SE	SW	SW	SW	SSW	NNW	NE	N	N	NW	SSW	SW	SW	W	N	SE	S	SSW
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy	cross-off	cross-off	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	cross-on	cross-on	on	cross-off	cross	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy
High Tide			7:10AM3.70m				8:14PM3.81m				8:15AM3.86m					9:11PM4.11m				9:16AM4.02m				10:00PM4.35m
Low Tide	1:06AM1.08m				1:23PM1.11m				2:06AM0.88m				2:30PM0.94m					3:03AM0.69m				3:32PM0.75m


	—	7:50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:48	—	—	—	—	—	7:48
	—	—	—	—	5:14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:15	—	—	5:16
mm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Temp °C	5	4	5	9	9	8	7	8	7	7	7	9	10	12	12	12	10	10	10	12	14	12	11	10
Feels °C	2	1	2	7	7	6	5	6	5	5	5	7	8	9	6	9	9	8	9	12	13	11	10	9
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 15	NW 15	—	—	N 4	N 5	N 5	—	—	N 7	N 8	N 8	N 8	N 8	N 8	N 13	N 7	N 7
kJ	10	10	10	10	10	10	9	9	—	—	2	10	16	—	—	220	239	177	114	92	93	4	83	76
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	NW 15	—	N 15	N 15	N 14	—	—	—	—	N 8	N 20	NW 20	N 14	—	NW 13	NNW 12
kJ	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9	—	4	4	4	—	—	—	—	118	8	16	4	—	7	15
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	NW 15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	N 18	NW 19
kJ	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	14
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	NW 2	NW 3	—	—	NNW 5	N 5	N 6	N 7	—	—	—	—	NNW 8	N 8	NNW 7	—
kJ	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	2	—	—	33	64	143	420	—	—	—	—	220	90	222	—
Nearest Offshore or Glassy	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Waipapa Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Rabbit Island Nelson - Tasman Bay	Tahunanui bar Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Tahunanui bar Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay
Rating (10 max)	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	4	1	2	1	1	1	2	1
Distance (km)	94	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	102	118	102	10	2	0	2	0	0	0
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay																		Ruby Bay	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Schnappers Point	Schnappers Point
Rating (10 max)																		1	2	2	1	1	2	1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Stent Road Taranaki	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Whale Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Mangamaunu Kaikoura and Marlborough	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Makorori Centre Gisborne and Mahia	Punakaiki West Coast South Island	Tauranga Bay West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Charleston West Coast South Island	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Takou Bay Northland	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins
Rating (10 max)	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	4	4	3	3	3	1	4	4
Header Global	Albatross South Africa	Kaifu Rivermouth Japan	Kaifu Rivermouth Japan	Kaifu Rivermouth Japan	Kaifu Rivermouth Japan	Etang-Sale Reunion	Etang-Sale Reunion	Etang-Sale Reunion	Etang-Sale Reunion	Bluff Panama	Etang-Sale Reunion	Ilot Sancho Mauritius	Black Rocks Mauritius	Black Rocks Mauritius	Black Rocks Mauritius	Benkunqut Indonesia	Black Rocks Mauritius	Gas Bay Australia	Cobblestones Australia	Point Roadnight Australia	Point Roadnight Australia	Point Roadnight Australia	Buchupureo Chile	Point Roadnight Australia
Rating (10 max)	4	7	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	6	5	9	9	9	6	7

Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)

Latest Updates

Ben Mondy

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