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Outer Cut Surf Forecast
/ Nelson – Tasman Bay (18 surf breaks) /
Surf Forecasts:
Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 5 am Sunday 31 May 2026 NZSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
14.8° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (31 May):
- Morning surf: Morning surf (31 May, local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with N swell.
- Afternoon surf: Afternoon surf (31 May, local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period with N swell.
- Evening surf: Evening surf (31 May, local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period with N swell.
The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 9AM is: 1.4m 8s primary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 05:00am May 31). The wind direction is predicted to be cross-onshore.
| Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (31 May) | 4.5ft (1.4m) | 8s |
| Afternoon (31 May) | 7ft (2.1m) | 9s |
| Evening (31 May) | 8ft (2.4m) | 10s |
Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 164mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 31 | Monday 1 | Tuesday 2 | Wed 3 | |||||||||||||||||||||
3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | 3 AM | 6 AM | 9 AM | 12 PM | 3 PM | 6 PM | 9 PM | 12 AM | |
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 10 | |
92 | 199 | 241 | 450 | 691 | 865 | 1026 | 891 | 942 | 961 | 884 | 873 | 1069 | 980 | 986 | 1183 | 890 | 942 | 627 | 413 | 277 | 133 | 56 | 94 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | |
High Tide | 9:31AM3.74m | 10:02PM4.04m | 10:08AM3.72m | 10:35PM4.07m | 10:46AM3.70m | 11:08PM4.03m | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:19AM1.00m | 3:36PM0.97m | 3:53AM0.99m | 4:13PM0.99m | 4:25AM0.99m | 4:52PM1.01m | ||||||||||||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | — | — | — | 7:43 |
 | — | — | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:05 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 10 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | — | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 10 |
 kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 942 | 961 | — | — | 1069 | 980 | 986 | — | 890 | 552 | 388 | 275 | 173 | 133 | 53 | 94 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 10 | N 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 56 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | — | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | — | — | SW 2 |
| kJ | 92 | 199 | 241 | 450 | 691 | 865 | 1026 | 891 | 745 | 701 | 884 | 873 | 792 | 730 | 759 | 1183 | — | 942 | 627 | 413 | 277 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 68 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 184 | 177 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 102 | 191 | 102 | 102 | 118 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
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