Using Surf-Forecast’s Historical Surf Data To Find The Most Consistent Waves On Earth
Using our statistical data for 7000 spots dating back to 2006, we can find those waves that break the most, with the best winds.
Surf Forecasts:
Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand
48hr Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Wednesday 24 Dec 2025 NZDTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
18.6° C
(Which is 2.6°C warmer than normal for this time of year)How big are the waves at Outer Cut today?
The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 1AM is: 0.6m 5s primary swell from a North direction and 0.3m 2s secondary swell from a Southwest direction (forecast issued at 06:00pm December 24). An open ocean swell of 0.1m 11s is not directed at the surf break. The wind direction is predicted to be cross-shore.
| Time (NZDT) & Date | Wave Height | Wave Period |
|---|---|---|
| Morning (25 Dec) | 3ft (0.9m) | 6s |
| Afternoon (25 Dec) | 4.5ft (1.3m) | 5s |
| Evening (25 Dec) | 4ft (1.2m) | 6s |
Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | 4 PM | 7 PM | 10 PM | 1 AM | 4 AM | 7 AM | 10 AM | 1 PM | |
Rating (10 max) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Swell Height Map |    |    |    |    | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wave Height (m) & direction (?) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Period(s) (?) | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Wave (?)Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ (?) | 85 | 131 | 60 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 66 | 44 | 106 | 106 | 77 | 94 | 223 | 141 | 311 | 101 | 130 | 102 | 56 | 43 | 41 | 20 | 20 | 42 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Wind State (?) onshore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore offshore glassy | cross- on | cross- on | cross | cross | cross | cross | on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | cross- on | on | on | cross- on | cross- on | on | on | cross- off | cross | cross- off | glass | glass | cross- on |
High Tide / height (m) | 1:20PM 3.93 | 1:47AM 3.66 | 2:01PM 3.88 | 2:32AM 3.58 | 2:45PM 3.82 | 3:20AM 3.51 | ||||||||||||||||||
Low Tide / height (m) | 7:15PM 1.01 | 7:50AM 0.90 | 8:00PM 1.04 | 8:28AM 0.97 | 8:48PM 1.08 | 9:12AM 1.08 | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 24 | Thursday 25 | Friday 26 | Saturday 27 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunrise | - | - | - | - | - | 5:50 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:52 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5:52 | - | - |
| Sunset | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9:00 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
 | |  | | | | |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | | |
Rain (mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 1 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Temp. °C | 23 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 16 |
| Feels °C (?) | 18 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Outer Cut surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
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