Outer Cut 48 hour detailed Surf Forecast

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Issued: 5 am 13 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in hr min

Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is

11.9° C

Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.

Surf Forecasts:

How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (13 Jul):

Morning surf: Morning surf (13 Jul, local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 4s period with NNW swell.
Afternoon surf: Afternoon surf (13 Jul, local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 5s period with N swell.
Evening surf: Evening surf (13 Jul, local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with N swell.

The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 8AM is: 0.4m 4s primary swell from a North-northwest direction and 0.3m 3s secondary swell from a North direction, 0.1m 15s secondary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 05:00am July 13). The wind direction is predicted to be glassy.

Time (NZST) & Date	Wave Height	Wave Period
Morning (13 Jul)	1.5ft (0.4m)	4s
Afternoon (13 Jul)	2ft (0.6m)	5s
Evening (13 Jul)	4.5ft (1.3m)	6s

Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)

	Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds.
	Monday 13							Tuesday 14								Wednesday 15								Thu 16
	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM	3 AM	6 AM	9 AM	12 PM	3 PM	6 PM	9 PM	12 AM
Rating (10 max)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	1
Swell Height Map See all maps
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s)	NW 15	NW 3	NNW 4	N 4	N 5	N 5	N 6	NNW 7	N 8	N 8	N 8	N 8	NNW 8	N 7	NNW 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	NNW 7	NW 5	NNW 6	N 6
Wave Graph
kJ	0	1	5	9	15	50	120	547	187	110	89	89	191	86	222	77	58	44	32	31	51	67	84	32
Wind (km/h)	SW	SSW	SW	WNW	ENE	NNW	N	NNW	SW	SSW	SW	W	NE	S	SSW	S	S	S	SSW	NW	NE	ESE	S	S
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy	cross	glassy	cross	glassy	cross-off	cross-on	cross-on	glassy	cross-off	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy
High Tide			8:15AM3.86m					9:11PM4.11m				9:16AM4.02m				10:00PM4.35m				10:12AM4.14m				10:45PM4.49m
Low Tide	2:06AM0.88m				2:30PM0.94m					3:03AM0.69m				3:32PM0.75m				3:56AM0.52m				4:27PM0.59m


	—	7:50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:48	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7:48	—	—	—	—	—	7:48
	—	—	—	—	5:15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	5:16	—	—	5:16
mm	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Temp °C	7	7	7	10	11	12	12	11	11	9	9	11	12	11	12	12	11	11	11	13	14	13	12	11
Feels °C	5	5	5	8	9	9	6	11	10	8	7	10	10	10	11	11	10	10	10	12	13	12	11	10
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	N 3	N 4	N 4	N 5	—	—	N 7	N 8	N 7	N 8	N 8	N 7	NW 13	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 6	N 5	N 5	N 6
kJ	—	1	2	9	15	—	—	276	187	108	89	89	88	7	83	77	58	44	32	31	21	25	29	32
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	NW 15	NW 15	N 15	N 15	N 14	—	—	—	—	N 8	—	NW 20	NW 12	N 10	NW 13	NNW 12	NW 18	NNW 17	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NW 16	NNW 16
kJ	9	9	4	4	4	—	—	—	—	110	—	16	5	2	7	15	12	29	69	66	63	62	39	24
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	W 11	—	—	N 10	NW 18	NW 12	NW 12	—	—	—	—	—	—
kJ	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	—	—	2	13	6	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	NW 3	NNW 4	—	—	N 5	N 6	NNW 7	—	—	—	—	NNW 8	N 7	NNW 7	—	—	—	—	—	NNW 7	NW 5	NNW 6	—
kJ	—	1	5	—	—	50	120	547	—	—	—	—	191	86	222	—	—	—	—	—	51	67	84	—
Nearest Offshore or Glassy	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Whites Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Waipapa Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Waipapa Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Delaware Bay (East end) Nelson - Tasman Bay	Ward Beach Kaikoura and Marlborough	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay
Rating (10 max)	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	3	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Distance (km)	68	68	68	102	102	118	118	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	20	101	0	0	0	0
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay								Inner Cut	Delaware Bay Point	Schnappers Point	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Inner Cut	Inner Cut	Schnappers Point	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay Point	Whangamoa		Schnappers Point	Schnappers Point	Schnappers Point	Schnappers Point
Rating (10 max)								3	2	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	1	1		1	1	1	1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Whale Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Mangamaunu Kaikoura and Marlborough	Papatowai Catlins	Makorori Centre Gisborne and Mahia	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Stent Road Taranaki	Stent Road Taranaki	Purakaunui Bay Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Shingles West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Fox River West Coast South Island
Rating (10 max)	3	3	2	2	2	1	4	4	3	3	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	4	4	4	5
Header Global	Etang-Sale Reunion	Morne Rights Mauritius	Chameau Mauritius	Black Rocks Mauritius	Benkunqut Indonesia	Benkunqut Indonesia	Benkunqut Indonesia	Gas Bay Australia	Bancoora Australia	Cobblestones Australia	Cathedral Rock Australia	Lebu Chile	Buchupureo Chile	Point Roadnight Australia	Point Roadnight Australia	Shingles New Zealand	Spooky's New Zealand	Fox River New Zealand	Cathedral Rock Australia	Cathedral Rock Australia	Asu Indonesia	Asu Indonesia	Antiques Maldives	Fox River New Zealand
Rating (10 max)	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	6	5	5	9	9	7	8	8	6	7	6	7	7	4	4	4	5

Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)

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Outer Cut 48 hour detailed Surf Forecast

How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (13 Jul):

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