Outer Cut 48 hour detailed Surf Forecast

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.26° E

Issued: 12 am 05 Nov 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in hr min

Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is

15.8°C

Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.

Surf Forecasts:

How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (05 Nov):

Morning surf: Morning surf (05 Nov, local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 6s period with N swell.
Afternoon surf: Afternoon surf (05 Nov, local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 5s period with N swell.
Evening surf: Evening surf (05 Nov, local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 5s period with N swell.

The current surf forecast for Outer Cut at 8AM is: 0.4m 6s primary swell from a North direction and 0.1m 9s secondary swell from a North direction (forecast issued at 12:00am November 05). The wind direction is predicted to be glassy.

Time (NZDT) & Date	Wave Height	Wave Period
Morning (05 Nov)	1.5ft (0.4m)	6s
Afternoon (05 Nov)	1ft (0.3m)	5s
Evening (05 Nov)	1.5ft (0.5m)	5s

Table - waves today at Outer Cut. (Swell directed towards the surf break)

	Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.
	Thursday 5								Friday 6								Saturday 7								Sun 8
	1 AM	4 AM	7 AM	10 AM	1 PM	4 PM	7 PM	10 PM	1 AM	4 AM	7 AM	10 AM	1 PM	4 PM	7 PM	10 PM	1 AM	4 AM	7 AM	10 AM	1 PM	4 PM	7 PM	10 PM	1 AM	4 AM	7 AM
Rating (10 max)	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Swell Height Map See all maps
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s)	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 5	N 5	N 5	NNW 6	N 5	N 5	N 5	N 5	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	NNW 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7
Wave Graph
kJ	18	16	10	9	5	5	5	17	13	18	24	35	39	50	64	52	75	23	22	23	24	32	32	22	22	15	15
Wind (km/h)	S	S	SSW	N	NNE	NE	ENE	NE	NE	NNE	NNE	NNE	NNE	NE	NE	NE	ENE	NNE	ENE	N	NNE	NNE	NE	ENE	ESE	SSE	SSE
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy	glassy	glassy	glassy	cross-on	cross-on	cross	cross-off	cross	cross	cross	cross-on	cross	cross	cross	cross	cross-off	cross-off	glassy	glassy	cross-on	cross-on	cross	cross-off	cross-off	glassy	off	glassy
High Tide				7:24AM3.46m				8:02PM3.65m				8:19AM3.61m				8:48PM3.79m				9:09AM3.76m				9:29PM3.90m
Low Tide		1:22AM1.06m				1:42PM1.16m				2:13AM0.93m				2:34PM1.00m				2:56AM0.82m				3:17PM0.86m				3:35AM0.75m


	—	6:09	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6:07	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6:07	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	6:05	—
	—	—	—	—	—	—	8:10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8:12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8:14	—	—	—	8:15
mm	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	5	2	1	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Temp °C	13	13	13	16	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	16	16	16	15	15	15	15	17	17	17	17	15	14	13	13
Feels °C	13	13	13	16	15	14	14	14	14	13	14	14	15	15	15	14	15	16	16	18	18	16	16	15	14	13	13
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 5	N 5	N 9	N 5	N 11	N 11	N 11	N 11	N 16	—	—	N 11	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7	N 7
kJ	18	16	10	9	5	5	1	14	2	2	2	2	5	—	—	2	41	23	22	23	24	32	32	22	22	15	15
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	N 9	N 9	N 9	N 10	N 9	N 9	N 11	N 11	NW 13	W 12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	NNW 8	NNW 8	NNW 8	N 10	N 10	N 10	N 16	N 16	N 16	N 16
kJ	2	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	6	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	7	6	2	2	2	5	5	5	5
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s)	N 14	N 12	N 12	—	—	—	W 7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	N 15	N 15	N 10	N 15	N 15	N 15	—	N 10	N 13	N 13
kJ	4	3	3	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4	4	2	4	4	4	—	2	4	4
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s)	—	—	—	—	—	—	N 5	NNW 6	N 5	N 5	N 5	N 5	N 6	N 6	N 6	N 6	NNW 6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
kJ	—	—	—	—	—	—	5	17	13	18	24	35	39	50	64	52	75	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nearest Offshore or Glassy	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Waipapa Bay Kaikoura and Marlborough	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Outer Cut Nelson - Tasman Bay	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Delaware Bay Point Nelson - Tasman Bay	Delaware Bay (East end) Nelson - Tasman Bay	Fergusons Beach Nelson - West Coast	Little Wanganui West Coast South Island	Anatori River Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast	Whangamoa Nelson - Tasman Bay	Farewell Spit Nelson - West Coast
Rating (10 max)	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	2
Distance (km)	94	94	97	97	94	94	94	97	97	102	102	102	118	97	102	0	0	97	19	20	97	102	97	94	94	28	94
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay																Inner Cut	Schnappers Point		Delaware Bay Point	Delaware Bay (East end)						Whangamoa
Rating (10 max)																1	1		1	1						1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Papatowai Catlins	Stent Road Taranaki	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Punakaiki West Coast South Island	Meatworks Kaikoura and Marlborough	Raglan-Manu Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Westport Breakwater West Coast South Island	Raglan-Whale Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Whale Bay Raglan and West Waikato	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Nine Mile West Coast South Island	Matauri Bay Northland	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Papatowai Catlins	Makorori Centre Gisborne and Mahia	Papatowai Catlins	Punakaiki West Coast South Island	Raglan-Indicators Raglan and West Waikato	Makorori Centre Gisborne and Mahia	Moureeses Northland	Takou Bay Northland	Blaketown Wedge West Coast South Island
Rating (10 max)	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3
Header Global	Bay of Skaill United Kingdom	Bay of Skaill United Kingdom	Bay of Skaill United Kingdom	Cow Bombie Australia	Cow Bombie Australia	Barrancon Chile	Lebu Chile	Lebu Chile	Ranches United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Ranches United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Bancoora Australia	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Boners United States	Cojo United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Lincoln City Nelscott Reef United States	Gerickes Point South Africa
Rating (10 max)	4	4	4	5	5	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	8	8	7	6	5	6	5	5	9	9	7	7	6	5

Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)

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Outer Cut 48 hour detailed Surf Forecast

How big are the waves at Outer Cut today (05 Nov):

Short Range Forecast

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