Bells Beach - Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a serious pulse of swell hitting the Bowl (Bells Beach - Bowl) on Tuesday the 14th. That first morning is the standout. We’re looking at a solid 15 ft groundswell from the WSW with a very long 15-second period. The energy is massive – you can feel it in the numbers (11732). It’s a big, powerful ocean. The wind is a moderate cross-off at 16 mph, which will keep things clean for the experts. This is heavy, experienced-only territory. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about average for this time of year.

That Tuesday afternoon sees the swell drop to 8 ft, but the wind gets stronger and more cross-off. It’s still a big day, but the quality drops off.

As we move into Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th, the swell settles into a very clean, consistent 5 ft to 6 ft range from the SW. The wind is light and either cross-off or glassy. This is where the real magic happens. Thursday morning has a slight air and a 6 ft swell with an energy reading of 1396 – that’s moderate to strong. Conditions are clean, and the period is a delicious 15 seconds. This is the kind of day where the Bowl shows its class.

Friday the 17th is another absolute gem. Morning brings a light offshore from the NW with a 5 ft, 16-second swell. The afternoon? Flat calm, glassy, with a 5 ft, 17-second swell. The energy is pumping (1555) and the conditions are as good as it gets. That Friday afternoon is a true standout for quality.

Over the weekend and into the start of the next week, the swell drops away. Saturday the 18th is marginal with a 3 ft swell, and by Sunday the 19th, it’s down to 2 ft with very low energy. The 20th, 21st, and 22nd are pretty flat and ordinary, with swell under 3 ft and poor energy readings. It’s a quiet spell through the middle of the week.

Then we get a late-breaking pulse appearing around Thursday the 23rd. The morning sees a 5 ft swell from the SW with a moderate offshore wind from the NW at 16 mph. The energy is strong again (1513). It’s a clean, powerful option for experienced surfers. Friday the 24th holds similar size but the wind is getting stronger, and by the afternoon, it turns cross-shore with some rain. It’s a bit messy.

The following weekend, the 25th and 26th, is a write-off. The wind swings onshore from the SSE, making everything choppy and unappealing, despite the swell holding around 4 ft to 5 ft.

We do get a final flicker of life on Monday the 27th. The morning has a clean 6 ft swell from the SSW with a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (826). It’s the best of a very average-looking second week, but it’s worth a look if you’re keen.

After that, the window closes. Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th are flat and poor, with tiny swell and low energy.

So, the story here is clear. The first few days are the ones to circle on your calendar. Tuesday the 14th morning for the big, heavy groundswell for experts only, and then the Friday the 17th afternoon for the absolute glassy perfection. Don’t sleep on Thursday the 16th morning either – that’s a solid, clean session. The second week is a gamble, with only a brief, promising window on Monday the 27th morning.

Stay frothy, and get out there while the getting is good.

Rusty.

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