Marengo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.78° S 143.67° E

Issued: 9 pm 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Marengo sea temperature is
14.8° C

1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Marengo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Marengo surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, WSW swell with 2,649 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:

The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 6th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sun 12th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been reading the water at Marengo. This reef and point break is the only spot worth talking about for the next couple of weeks—got clean glass, some real power, and a few days that’ll test your nerve.

The first real surf shows up Monday, July 6th. Marengo’s picking up a solid SSW groundswell, 6ft with a 14-second span. The combined energy is 1443, and with glassy conditions and a light N breeze, it’s gonna look perfect. Water temp’s about average for the time of year. This is good quality, but at that size and period, it’s for experienced surfers—beginners will want to sit this one out.

Tuesday the 7th stays glassy in the morning, 4ft SSW swell, but the period jumps to 17 seconds. That’s long-period groundswell—shapes up nice on the point, but might break a bit straight on the beach. Energy’s still solid at 786. By the arvo, a cross-on wind messes it up a bit.

Wednesday the 8th brings a big pulse. Morning: 5ft SW swell, 18-second period, offshore E wind, energy at 2168. Clean, powerful, but tide-dependant. Afternoon jumps to 7ft at 17 seconds, energy at 2327—again, questionable. This is expert territory.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th offer a breather. Thursday morning is glassy with 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds—a proper session without the chaos. Friday morning is cross-off, clean, 4ft at 15 seconds, energy 800. Solid.

Saturday the 11th is blown out by a strong N cross-wind at 30 km/h—small, weak 3ft swell, energy barely 350. Sunday the 12th starts with strong offshore wind and tiny 1ft—kite-surfing weather. The afternoon picks up to 6ft but with a short 9-second period and strong W wind; it’s messy.

Now the big one. Monday, July 13th afternoon: a monster 13ft SW swell, 12-second period, energy at 7698. Moderate offshore wind. This is exceptional for experts only—size, power, and clean faces. If you’ve got the stones, go.

Tuesday the 14th stays big: 10ft morning, 7ft afternoon with offshore wind. Both clean, but all about positioning on the reef. The week after settles into a nice groove—Wednesday the 15th, Thursday the 16th, and Friday the 17th have clean, glassy or cross-off mornings with 5ft to 6ft SW swell and good 14-16 second period. Energy stays moderate to strong. These are your best all-round days.

The final week gets wind-affected and smaller. By Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, the wind’s up and the swell’s messy.

Bottom line: the first few days are clean and quality for experienced surfers, Monday the 13th is a bomb for experts, and the middle of the second week offers the best balance.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the N by Sat morning).

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sun
12
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
4
3
2
3
2
1
3
2
2
3
1
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
13
1.1
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
18
2
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.3
SW
17
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.6
WSW
12
0.4
WSW
13
1.9
SW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2563
1244
862
472
611
803
763
1702
2327
1314
734
535
1050
763
574
509
390
357
101
62
547
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
5
N
5
SE
5
NNW
5
SSW
5
SE
10
ENE
10
E
10
E
5
NNE
5
NNW
5
E
10
NNW
10
N
10
NNW
20
NNW
30
N
30
N
25
NW
30
WNW
35
W
Wind State
on
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
4:10AM2.12m
4:33PM1.72m
4:35AM2.01m
5:22PM1.75m
5:01AM1.90m
6:17PM1.79m
5:28AM1.80m
7:21PM1.83m
5:59AM1.71m
8:35PM1.88m
6:39AM1.63m
9:50PM1.97m
7:35AM1.57m
Low Tide
10:37AM0.58m
10:20PM0.68m
11:06AM0.48m
11:02PM0.83m
11:38AM0.39m
11:47PM0.99m
12:15PM0.32m
00:42AM1.16m
1:00PM0.27m
1:58AM1.31m
1:55PM0.25m
3:47AM1.37m
3:04PM0.25m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:15
5:15
5:16
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
 mm
21
3
2
Temp °C
10
12
11
11
13
13
13
13
12
10
12
12
10
13
14
10
14
14
10
10
10
Feels °C
3
10
9
9
11
11
10
10
9
7
10
10
8
10
11
6
7
8
3
2
3
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.3
SSW
16
1.7
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
13
1.1
SW
17
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.6
SW
18
2
SW
17
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.3
SW
17
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
14
1
SW
14
0.6
WSW
12
0.5
NE
6
1.3
SW
8
Energy kJ
2563
1244
862
472
611
803
763
1702
2327
1314
734
535
1050
763
574
509
390
357
101
16
224
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ESE
6
0.8
ESE
6
0.4
ESE
5
0.8
SSW
12
0.3
ESE
4
0.4
SW
22
1.1
SW
14
0.4
ESE
4
0.4
ESE
5
0.3
ESE
5
0.2
WSW
19
0.1
E
8
0.4
SSW
12
0.4
WSW
13
0.5
SW
13
Energy kJ
80
38
10
171
3
174
466
7
10
4
37
1
59
62
80
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SW
19
0.3
ESE
5
0.4
ESE
4
0.2
ESE
12
0.3
SW
20
0.1
E
10
0.1
E
12
0.4
SW
12
0.5
SW
16
Energy kJ
130
4
4
13
61
2
3
36
129
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
E
6
1.3
E
6
0.2
ENE
7
0.2
NNE
5
0.2
ENE
3
0.7
NE
5
0.2
NNW
2
1.9
SW
9
Energy kJ
141
119
5
3
1
25
1
547
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
7
4
3
2
3
3
5
7
7
5
3
4
3
3
2
2
3
2
1
1
2
Distance (km)
56
0
0
0
0
20
18
18
18
18
0
18
0
0
0
20
41
197
21
35
351
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
4
8
7
5
5
7
8
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
3
2
4
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
6
5
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
6
7
8
8
6
9
6
4
9
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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