
Surf Forecasts:
Marengo surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 6,777 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:
The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 1PM (Mon 21st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright surfers, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks, but there are a couple of windows where Marengo will absolutely turn it on. Let’s get into it.
This forecast is all about Marengo, a reef and point set-up. It’s a beginner-friendly spot that’s fairly consistent and gets pretty exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there.
We kick things off with a bit of a wait. The surf coming in on Tuesday the 15th is big, with swell heights around 15 ft and a solid 13-second period from the SW. The combined energy is huge (8827), but honestly, with a fresh cross-off breeze at 19 mph, it’s not going to be that clean. It’s a bit of a beast, and the conditions are marginal. Wednesday the 16th is much the same story: big 10 ft SW swell, still a bit windy, and the tide might mess with the quality. It’s not the best time to paddle out unless you’re really keen on big, windy waves.
Now, things start to clean up on Thursday the 17th. We’ve got a 7 ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind swings offshore from the WSW at 9-12 mph. That’s the good stuff. The combined energy is still significant (1644), and the forecast calls for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is a definite standout, but remember, with 7 ft waves and that long period, it’s a proper groundswell that will be firing down the point. It might be a bit much for the beginners, but for the rest of you, this is the window to clear your schedule.
Friday the 18th keeps the fun going with a similar 7 ft SW swell and a very long 17-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, so the waves will be clean and lined up. The energy is high (3326), and it’s another day of excellent conditions. This is your second standout of the first week.
We drop off a bit over the weekend. Saturday the 19th sees the swell drop to 4 ft, and Sunday the 20th starts small and windy before a massive pulse hits Sunday afternoon with a 16 ft WSW swell. That is huge, and with a fresh offshore wind, it will be a wall of water for experts only. The energy reading is through the roof (8122). For most of us, this is a "watch from the cliff" day.
The following week is a bit of a mixed story. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd have moderate to solid swell (7 ft to 10 ft), but the winds are a problem, turning onshore and choppy. Not worth the drive. We get a few smaller, cleaner days around Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th, but the swell is tiny.
Here’s the real gem for the second week. Keep an eye on Friday the 25th. The morning is looking glassy with a 5 ft SW swell and very light winds. It’s going to be clean as a whistle. Then, Saturday the 26th is looking absolutely prime. The morning has a 6 ft SW swell with a 19-second period, and it’s clean. But the afternoon? It goes completely glassy with a 10 ft SW swell and a 19-second period. That’s a massive, long-period groundswell with zero wind. The energy reading is massive (5766) and the forecast says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. That afternoon session on Saturday the 26th is the best call of the whole forecast. It’s still a week and a half away, so don’t hold me to it, but if it comes together, it will be a day to remember.
After that, the last few days of the month have some clean but smaller surf, with a 5 ft to 5 ft SW swell and offshore winds. A nice way to finish the run, but not the headline act.
So, to wrap it up: the first real standout is Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th for solid, clean waves. But the absolute best on offer is that Saturday afternoon on the 26th of September. Mark it on the calendar and hope the forecast holds.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 6°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | WSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 15 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
79 | 6777 | 4976 | 5453 | 3573 | 3487 | 2736 | 1644 | 1512 | 1667 | 2320 | 1694 | 1094 | 394 | 488 | 216 | 309 | 6763 | 2281 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:34AM2.10m | 3:17PM2.38m | 3:03AM2.04m | 3:51PM2.34m | 3:30AM1.96m | 4:25PM2.23m | 3:55AM1.85m | 5:01PM2.08m | 4:19AM1.74m | 5:40PM1.92m | 4:42AM1.62m | 6:30PM1.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:47AM0.16m | 9:22PM0.59m | 9:18AM0.14m | 9:54PM0.68m | 9:47AM0.17m | 10:25PM0.79m | 10:17AM0.24m | 10:55PM0.92m | 10:47AM0.34m | 11:27PM1.05m | 11:20AM0.47m | 00:06AM1.19m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — | |
mm | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 16 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 22 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
75 | 2050 | 2763 | 3525 | 3573 | 3487 | 2736 | 1644 | 1329 | 1667 | 2320 | 1694 | 1094 | 394 | 488 | 216 | 192 | 1359 | 884 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | — | — | S 15 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 15 | — | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 15 | — | SW 15 |
79 | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | — | 1512 | 59 | 985 | 4 | — | 308 | 15 | 50 | 309 | — | 209 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 16 | S 16 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 5 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | W 3 | WSW 12 | SW 12 |
37 | 6777 | 4976 | 5453 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6763 | 2281 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 557 | 729 | 276 | 374 | 241 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 563 | 37 | 59 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Marengo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










