
Surf Forecasts:
Marengo surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, SW swell with 3,686 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:
The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s ahead for Marengo, a reef and point setup that’s pretty exposed to the south-west. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on.
The first real chance to get wet kicks off Friday, July 31st. The morning starts clean with a light offshore breeze from the WNW, and a solid 4ft SSW swell with a nice 12-second period pushing in. The combined energy is moderate (544). It’s a decent beginner-friendly wave to ease into the weekend. The afternoon holds similar, with a 4ft SW swell and clean conditions.
Now, Saturday August 1st is where things get interesting. The morning is a bit messy with a cross-shore wind, but the afternoon? That’s a standout. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SW with a very long 17-second period, and the energy is strong (2787). The wind goes light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. This is going to be a proper groundswell, and at a point and reef break like Marengo, those long-period lines will wrap in beautifully. It’s getting a bit big for beginners, but experienced surfers are going to have a ball.
The good run continues Sunday August 2nd, but the wind picks up to a moderate breeze on the morning, making it clean but a bit bumpy. The swell holds at 6ft, though the period drops to 16 seconds. Monday morning is similar, but the Monday afternoon window on August 3rd is another standout. The wind goes offshore again, a moderate breeze from the WNW, and the swell is 6ft from the SW with a 14-second period, delivering strong energy (1544). It’s October-level quality for experienced paddlers.
Tuesday August 4th morning is for the brave only. The swell hits 10ft from the WSW. That’s big, expert territory, but the wind is offshore and the energy is enormous (3277). Paddle out if you’ve got the skill, but this is a heavy session.
After that, the swell drops right off. Wednesday August 5th through Friday August 7th sees smaller surf, 2ft to 4ft, but with very long periods (15-19 seconds) and light winds, including a glassy morning on Friday August 7th. It’s clean, but tiny. Good for a longboard and a sunrise.
Then we hit a bad run. From Saturday August 8th through Sunday August 9th, the wind is strong and cross-shore, making a mess of the 5ft swell. Poor conditions. That continues into Monday August 10th, with a lot of wind, making it marginal at best.
Hold on, because Tuesday August 11th is a monster. The swell is forecast at 20ft from the WSW. That’s a massive, dangerous amount of water, and the energy is off the charts (21239). The wind is offshore, but the swell is way too big for Marengo, even for the experts. This is a survival day, not a surfing day.
The wind turns nasty on Wednesday August 12th with a strong breeze from the WSW, making the 5ft swell a complete write-off.
But look at the end of the window. Thursday August 13th and Friday August 14th are a fantastic one-two punch. On Thursday, the swell is 8ft to 8ft from the SW with a very long 19-second period. The wind is light, making it clean. The energy is very strong (over 4000). This is a proper groundswell of the highest quality, and at a point break, it’s going to be epic. Expert territory for sure. Friday holds similar, with 8ft from the SW and an 18-second period, clean and offshore. This is the best run of the outlook, far out in the forecast, so it’s a promising one to keep an eye on.
Saturday August 15th wraps it up with a smaller but still fun 6ft SW swell and clean conditions.
Honestly, the standout is the combination of Saturday afternoon August 1st and the Monday afternoon August 3rd, with the massive groundswell at the end of the month being the real long-range prize. Crowds are possible at Marengo, so get in early.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
637 | 496 | 428 | 347 | 663 | 1882 | 2220 | 1591 | 1170 | 936 | 856 | 1426 | 1246 | 2459 | 499 | 316 | 369 | 463 | 530 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:00AM2.20m | 1:41PM1.64m | 2:27AM2.23m | 2:22PM1.76m | 2:52AM2.22m | 3:01PM1.86m | 3:16AM2.17m | 3:40PM1.94m | 3:40AM2.10m | 4:19PM2.00m | 4:03AM2.02m | 5:00PM2.02m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:24AM0.87m | 7:46PM0.49m | 8:48AM0.74m | 8:23PM0.50m | 9:11AM0.61m | 8:59PM0.53m | 9:36AM0.48m | 9:35PM0.60m | 10:01AM0.36m | 10:10PM0.69m | 10:29AM0.25m | 10:47PM0.82m | |||||||
— | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 7 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SSW 8 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
637 | 496 | 428 | 347 | 663 | 1882 | 2220 | 1591 | 1170 | 936 | 856 | 1426 | 1013 | 655 | 455 | 316 | 88 | 463 | 530 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 23 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SE 16 | NE 4 | WSW 17 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WSW 12 |
21 | 45 | 134 | 162 | 278 | 905 | 27 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 675 | 118 | 192 | 163 | 218 | 212 | 369 | 221 | 93 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 13 | — | SW 20 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 9 | S 9 |
4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68 | — | 143 | 137 | 171 | 88 | 39 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | N 3 | NW 3 | WNW 3 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 10 | — | SW 7 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1246 | 2459 | 499 | — | 160 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











