Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Marengo over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, with some real gems and some serious slop to sit out.

We start off a bit slow, but things get interesting. The first real action is on Wednesday morning, the 8th. The swell is already pushing 5 ft from the SW, with a long period of 18 seconds – proper groundswell pushing a ton of energy (2212). That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is a light cross-on from the NE, so it’s workable, but the sea surface won’t be perfect. The water is sitting at 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner suit.

Thursday morning, the 9th, is a standout. The swell drops a little to 4 ft, but the wind goes glassy with a light NNE breeze. That’s the kind of morning you wait for – clean, smooth, and the wave quality is good. The period is still long at 15 seconds, so there’s proper shape. The energy is solid (756). This is the best early session to get on.

Friday morning, the 10th, is also very clean. The swell holds at 4 ft from the SW, period 15 seconds, and the wind goes cross-off from the NNW. That’s a clean, groomed line. The energy is moderate (716). A good, long session on the cards.

Now, Saturday the 11th goes a bit sideways. The swell drops to 3 ft, but the wind is howling at 22 mph from the NNW. It’ll be clean but wild, and the energy is weak (316). Not worth the paddle.

Sunday the 12th is a no-go for me. Swell jumps to 6 ft, wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-off from the WNW, but the energy is high (1364). The sea state will be messy and the wind is going to make it a battle.

Monday the 13th is a big red flag. The swell is pumping to 10 ft on the morning and then 21 ft in the afternoon. That’s huge, and the wind is offshore at 25 mph. The energy is staggering (3839 and 26086). This is for experts only, if anyone. The comment says it’s too big for the break. I’d leave it.

The second week, from the 15th, it’s still big. Wednesday the 15th has 20 ft swell with strong cross-off winds. The energy is immense (21625). That’s a big, serious ocean. The swell drops to 7 ft on Thursday the 16th, but the wind is still cross-off and the period shortens to 11 seconds. The energy is moderate (1690). It’s clean but not great.

The real standout of the second week comes on Friday the 17th. The swell is a friendly 4 ft from the SW, but the period is a lovely 18 seconds, and the wind goes light offshore from the W. The energy is good (1311). That’s a perfect, clean, long-period point wave. The best wave of the second week.

Saturday the 18th is also clean and similar, with 4 ft swell and cross-off NW winds. Very consistent.

After that, the forecast gets ugly. From Sunday the 19th through Tuesday the 22nd, the wind is strong and cross-shore, the swell is small, and the energy is weak. A few days of flat, choppy junk.

Then, a bit of a late bonus. Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd both have solid 7–8 ft SW swell with a long period (15–16 seconds) and light cross-off winds. The energy is high (2954 and 1741). These are excellent for experienced surfers, but the crowd profile says “sometimes” so expect a few heads out. The 23rd morning is the perfect one to aim for.

So, overall, the best on offer is Thursday morning the 9th for the glassy, clean conditions, and then Friday the 17th for the long-period, offshore perfection later in the run. The 22nd and 23rd are also serious calls for the bigger groundswell.

Rusty out.

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