Marengo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.78° S 143.67° E

Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Marengo sea temperature is
14.3° C
0.7° 

Marengo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Marengo surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 14,602 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:

The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s
Most Powerful 7AM (Wed 29th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, let’s talk about the surf window here at Marengo. This is a reef and point setup, a pretty forgiving wave for the beginners out there, exposed to a fair bit of swell. The water is sitting at 58°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing to fret about.

We’ve got a bit of a wait for the good stuff. The first few days are a bit of a tease. Tuesday the 28th is a write-off with that strong NNW cross-off wind and a messy 5ft SW swell. The energy is weak (1264), so don’t bother. Wednesday the 29th though, that’s where it kicks off. We’re looking at a solid 16ft SW groundswell in the morning, and a 15ft in the afternoon. The period is a long 16 seconds, so this is proper groundswell rolling in. The combined energy is massive (18706), but the wind is a strong cross-off from the SW and WSW, so it’s going to be clean but powerful. This is expert territory. The wave size is over 8ft, so it’s not for the faint of heart.

After that big pulse, we get a nice breather. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell drop to a much more manageable 4ft to 5ft from the SSW and SW. The wind goes offshore and light, giving us clean, glassy conditions. The energy drops right down to the 500-1000 range, but the quality is there. This is a great window for the beginners and intermediates to get some clean, fun waves.

The real standout of the whole period, the one that’s going to be a mission, is Saturday the 1st of August. The morning is a bit mixed with a cross-shore, but the afternoon. Oh, the afternoon. A 7ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 18 seconds, combined with a light NNW cross-off breeze. The energy is strong (3367) and the conditions are going to be excellent for experienced surfers. That long period will make it line up perfectly on the point, but it’s a serious paddle. With crowds listed as “sometimes,” you can expect a few others in the water for this one.

Moving into the second week, things get more complicated. Sunday the 2nd offers some clean 6ft SW swell, but it’s not the standout. The next Monday the 3rd has a massive 15ft WSW swell, but it’s wind-affected by a cross-on breeze. The rest of the week from the 4th through the 6th is poor with onshore winds and small, weak swell. There’s a slight uptick on the 7th with a 6ft SW swell, but the wind is cross or cross-on, so it’s marginal. The 8th and 9th are mostly messy with a lot of cross-chop.

The very end of the window, around the 12th of August, shows a 7ft SW swell with a 19-second period, but the wind is a cross-shore, making it choppy. It’s promising but less certain this far out.

So, the best bet is hands down the Saturday afternoon session on the 1st of August for the experienced crew, and the Thursday and Friday before that for a clean, fun session for everyone else.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue night, light winds from the W by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
2
6
7
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
2
4
3
3
3
3
7
3
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SW
16
1.9
SW
15
2.5
SW
14
5
SW
16
4.5
SW
15
4
SW
14
1.4
SSW
10
1.2
SW
12
1.3
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
1.1
SW
12
1.4
SW
17
2
SW
18
2.1
SW
17
1.7
SW
16
1.7
SW
16
3
WSW
14
4.5
WSW
14
1.7
SSW
14
1.5
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
906
1547
2822
12049
7795
5612
386
423
494
428
421
379
1172
2475
2330
1482
1410
3702
8530
1127
688
Wind (km/h)
30
NNW
30
WNW
40
W
40
SW
30
WSW
20
WSW
20
W
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
W
5
SW
10
N
10
N
10
NNW
20
NNW
20
NW
20
SSW
15
SSE
10
SSE
10
SSE
15
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
High Tide
10:53AM1.35m
00:56AM2.05m
12:02PM1.42m
1:30AM2.14m
12:56PM1.53m
2:00AM2.20m
1:41PM1.64m
2:27AM2.23m
2:22PM1.76m
2:52AM2.22m
3:01PM1.86m
3:16AM2.17m
3:40PM1.94m
3:40AM2.10m
Low Tide
5:31PM0.57m
7:32AM1.10m
6:22PM0.53m
7:59AM0.99m
7:06PM0.50m
8:24AM0.87m
7:46PM0.49m
8:48AM0.74m
8:23PM0.50m
9:11AM0.61m
8:59PM0.53m
9:36AM0.48m
9:35PM0.60m
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:31
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
5:37
 mm
9
11
1
1
2
1
1
Temp °C
13
10
9
11
11
11
12
12
10
12
12
11
14
14
10
14
12
10
11
11
11
Feels °C
6
4
0
3
4
4
7
7
7
9
10
9
10
10
5
9
8
7
7
8
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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