Marengo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.78° S 143.67° E

Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Marengo sea temperature is
14.9° C
1.2° 

Marengo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Marengo surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 14,567 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:

The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 5.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 9th Jul)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Most Powerful 4PM (Tue 14th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here, giving you the rundown on Marengo in feet. This reef and point loves a solid SW groundswell, and the next couple of weeks have a real mix.

To start, the water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing strange. Thursday the 9th morning is a beauty. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, total energy of 742, and a dead flat, glassy 3 mph northerly wind. That’s prime real estate at the point, clean and lined up. Crowds can pop here, but for that quality, you deal with it. This one’s a standout.

Thursday afternoon gets onshore, so hit it early. Friday the 10th is still good with a slight cross-off breeze and the same 4ft swell.

Saturday the 11th is a mess. Wind hits 22 mph, dropping the swell to 3ft. That’s kite-surfing weather, not for a paddle board.

Then things get serious for the heavy crew. From Sunday the 12th to Tuesday the 14th, Marengo is a big-wave beast. Sunday morning the 12th has 8ft of SW swell with 25 mph offshore winds, energy at 2886. Sunday afternoon jumps to 13ft with 8152 energy. Monday the 13th afternoon peaks at 20ft of WSW swell and 14519 energy with 25 mph offshore wind. Tuesday the 14th afternoon is 18ft with 19547 energy and 28 mph offshore wind. It’s clean, it’s powerful, and with a 16-17 second period on a reef, it’s for experts only. This is a major standout for the big-wave chargers, but absolutely not for the average surfer.

The cross-shore wind messes things up from the 15th, and Friday the 17th is a total blown-out washout.

We get a nice mellow gap on Saturday the 18th afternoon. Glassy conditions, 5ft of SSW swell, energy at 1083, and zero wind. That’ll be a beautiful, clean little session.

The following week is steady but smaller with clean offshore breezes. Monday the 20th afternoon shows a long-period 3ft SW swell with a clean offshore wind.

The big long-range call is Thursday the 23rd. Thursday afternoon shows a clean 10ft SW swell with a 16-second period, energy at 4034, and a light 6 mph cross-off breeze. That’s huge, clean, and lined up. It’s two weeks out, so keep an eye on it, but that’s the one to get excited about.

Bottom line: For the big stuff, circle Thursday the 23rd afternoon. For the classic, smaller, clean waves, go for Thursday the 9th morning or Saturday the 18th afternoon.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sat morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Tue morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the WNW on Mon night, strong winds from the WSW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wed
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
5
6
1
7
4
3
7
7
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
15
1.6
SW
16
1.3
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1
SW
15
0.9
SW
14
0.9
WSW
14
1.6
SW
12
2.5
SW
14
4
SW
13
5
WSW
13
2.3
SW
16
6
WSW
13
3.5
SW
15
3.5
SW
17
5.5
WSW
16
4.5
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.2
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1200
724
606
1215
714
574
418
305
347
694
2886
5603
8425
2484
11548
4578
6554
14567
9299
2721
2089
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
5
N
5
E
10
NNW
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
NNW
35
NNW
30
WNW
35
W
40
W
35
W
25
NW
35
WNW
40
W
30
W
35
WNW
45
WSW
35
SSW
20
SSE
10
SSE
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
5:28AM1.80m
7:21PM1.83m
5:59AM1.71m
8:35PM1.88m
6:39AM1.63m
9:50PM1.97m
7:35AM1.57m
10:59PM2.08m
9:00AM1.52m
11:59PM2.20m
10:38AM1.55m
00:50AM2.30m
11:59AM1.64m
Low Tide
11:47PM0.99m
12:15PM0.32m
00:42AM1.16m
1:00PM0.27m
1:58AM1.31m
1:55PM0.25m
3:47AM1.37m
3:04PM0.25m
5:18AM1.33m
4:20PM0.24m
6:21AM1.22m
5:30PM0.21m
7:10AM1.07m
6:31PM0.20m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:16
5:17
5:19
5:19
5:20
5:21
5:21
 mm
13
6
6
4
1
8
2
1
Temp °C
9
12
12
10
13
13
11
14
11
9
12
13
13
12
11
12
12
12
12
12
11
Feels °C
6
11
10
7
10
10
7
7
5
1
3
6
6
4
2
5
5
3
5
6
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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