Marengo Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.78° S 143.67° E

Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 3 pm 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Marengo sea temperature is
14.5° C
0.9° 

Marengo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Marengo surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 21ft (6.5m), 15s period, SW swell with 21,098 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:

The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 6.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sat 25th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 1AM (Wed 29th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s
Most Powerful 1AM (Wed 29th Jul)21ft (6.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab your board, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here at Marengo, and it’s starting with a bang. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much normal for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real action kicks off on Friday afternoon, the 24th of July. There’s a serious 16ft SW groundswell hitting the reef and point. The swell energy is massive, and we’ve got a fresh 19 mph offshore wind from the W keeping it clean. This is a big, powerful swell – it’s not for the faint-hearted, and definitely for experts only. The period is 14 seconds, a proper groundswell that will wrap nicely into the point, but it’ll be a handful at the reef.

The swell eases a bit through Saturday the 25th, but we’re still looking at 13ft SW swell on the morning with an 19 mph WSW offshore. The energy is still strong. The wind stays offshore all day, keeping it clean, but the size is still well over 8ft, so it’s expert territory.

The standout window, and the best on offer, actually looks like Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning shows a solid 7ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The wave energy is moderate. But the afternoon is where it gets special – the wind goes glassy (3 mph from the WNW), with the same 7ft SW swell. The energy is moderate, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That glassy afternoon session is the one to circle. The long period will make the waves at this reef and point break beautifully, with long, clean lines.

There’s a bit of a lull in the middle of the week. After the initial big swell, Sunday the 26th drops to 5ft, but it’s clean and gentle. The energy fades significantly. From Monday the 27th through to Thursday the 30th, the swell dips under 5ft, but the wind stays mostly offshore or cross-offshore, so it stays clean. The energy is weak to moderate. It’s small, but if you’re on a longboard, it’s workable.

The swell picks up again late in the first week. Tuesday the 28th sees an 12ft WSW swell with a moderate 12-second period, but the wind is strong and offshore. The energy is strong. The problem is consistent rain showers that day, keeping it marginal. Thursday the 30th then drops to a clean 5ft SW swell with a 13-second period and light offshore winds. The energy is weak, but it’s clean and small.

The second week (starting August 1st) is a bit more mixed. The first week of August has a couple of promising days. Sunday the 2nd is the standout, as mentioned. Monday the 3rd is smaller and cross-shore, so it’s less ideal. The 6th and 7th of August see a return of bigger, long-period swell from the SW, but the wind turns cross-shore, creating a chop. The energy is strong again, but the quality drops. The 8th of August shows a fresh 8ft SW swell with an 19 mph offshore wind, which will be clean and powerful, but again, experts only.

The biggest issue is the long period swells. They’re prone to breaking straight at beach breaks, but here at Marengo, it’s a reef and point setup, so it should handle the 15-17 second period swells well. The main drawback is the crowds – this spot is listed as “sometimes” crowded, so you can expect company during the good windows.

So, to sum it up: the best call is on the afternoon of Sunday the 2nd of August. That glassy, 7ft SW groundswell is a proper session. The early part of the forecast is for the big-wave chargers only. The rest of the window is smaller and cleaner, but nothing else comes close to that Sunday.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Fri afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Sun afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Tue afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Wed night).

Fri
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
4
4
2
2
2
1
2
1
4
1
!
4
3
4
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
5
SW
14
4.5
SW
13
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
12
3
SW
12
1.5
SSW
11
1.3
SSW
11
1.2
SW
11
1.1
SW
11
1.1
SW
13
1.3
SW
14
3.5
WSW
12
1.7
SW
15
6.5
SW
15
3
SW
15
2.5
SW
15
2.1
SW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.3
SSW
13
1.4
SW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
10299
7356
5242
3746
2559
543
382
341
278
437
726
3881
1204
21098
4585
2784
1547
816
512
711
Wind (km/h)
30
W
25
W
30
WSW
25
W
20
W
20
W
15
W
15
NW
15
NNW
20
NNW
35
NW
25
WNW
40
W
30
SSW
20
SSW
15
SW
10
WSW
10
WNW
15
W
15
NW
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
8:47PM1.79m
6:48AM1.51m
10:02PM1.80m
7:34AM1.41m
11:14PM1.86m
9:13AM1.34m
00:12AM1.95m
10:53AM1.35m
00:56AM2.05m
12:02PM1.42m
1:30AM2.14m
12:56PM1.53m
2:00AM2.20m
Low Tide
2:29AM1.28m
2:07PM0.50m
4:25AM1.33m
3:17PM0.56m
6:03AM1.28m
4:30PM0.58m
6:59AM1.19m
5:31PM0.57m
7:32AM1.10m
6:22PM0.53m
7:59AM0.99m
7:06PM0.50m
light rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
 mm
1
5
1
1
2
5
2
Temp °C
11
13
13
13
12
14
14
12
15
15
13
11
10
11
12
11
10
11
11
10
Feels °C
4
8
7
8
8
11
12
10
11
10
6
6
0
3
7
6
7
7
7
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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