
Surf Forecasts:
Marengo surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 7,672 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Marengo this week:
The surf forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Marengo in the next 16 days are 4.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Marengo over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here.
We’ve got a long window of swell at Marengo, running from today through to the end of the month, but it’s mostly for experienced crew. The standout day for the whole run is Tuesday 15th September morning, with a solid 15ft SW swell pushing in and combined energy readings up at 9788—that’s serious power, and it’s clean under a cross-off breeze. That’s not for the faint-hearted.
Let’s start with the early stuff. Today, Thursday 10th September afternoon, sees a 10ft SW swell at 16 seconds, but at 9 mph cross-off wind it’s just marginal—spot’s got some energy (3842), but not the best. Friday 11th September morning dials it back a bit: 8ft SW, 15-second period, with an almost still 3 mph cross-off breeze. The water temp is 57° and the anomaly is 0.9°, so pretty normal for the time of year. That morning is clean and good for experienced surfers.
Saturday 12th September afternoon is a glassy moment—6ft SW, 15-second swell, and glassy wind out of the ESE at 3 mph. That’s a real treat, clean and lined up, still for experienced folk only. Sunday 13th September gets hammered by 19 mph NNW cross-off wind in the morning, dropping the swell to 4ft and energy to 811—chop city, not worth it.
Monday 14th September morning brings a nice offshore from the WNW at 16 mph, 7ft WSW swell with 13-second period and energy at 2077. That’s clean and solid, again for experienced paddlers. The afternoon drops to a short 8-second period and only a 2/5 score internally, so forget it.
Now Tuesday 15th September morning is the big one: 15ft SW swell, 14-second period, cross-off wind, and combined energy of 9788. That’s a heavy, powerful groundswell—only for experts. The period’s long, so at a reef-and-point setup like Marengo, it’ll hold shape but be intense. If it’s too much, Wednesday 16th September morning has 8ft SW at 16 seconds, cross-off wind, energy 3619, and clean conditions—a better bet for strong surfers.
Thursday 17th September morning is another standout: 6ft SW, 15-second period, offshore wind from the W at 6 mph, energy 1462, and clean. That’s a good, manageable size for experienced intermediates, with clean faces. Friday 18th September afternoon sees a bump back to 10ft SW, 13-second period, cross-off wind, energy 4962—again, expert only.
The second week calms down. Saturday 19th September morning has 5ft SSW swell, 11-second period, offshore wind, energy 775—clean and still surfable for those who know what they’re doing. From Sunday 20th September onward, it drops to small stuff: 2ft on Sunday morning, then 2ft Sunday afternoon with a 16-second period and an offshore breeze—clean but tiny. Monday 21st September is glassy with 4ft SW at 15 seconds, energy around 500-600, but very weak.
The run kind of fizzles after that, with nothing over 6ft until the very end. Wednesday 23rd and Thursday 24th September have 4ft to 6ft SW swells, with some clean offshore windows, but energy stays moderate. By Friday 25th September, a 12ft S swell rolls in with 10-second period and energy up to 5854 in the afternoon—that’s a big, short-period pulse, messy under cross-off wind. Might be more interesting for kiting than paddling at a beachier setup, but Marengo is reef and point, so hold.
Overall, the best bet for experienced surfers is Tuesday 15th September morning for size and power, with Thursday 17th September morning as a cleaner, slightly smaller alternative. Beginners won’t find much love here—most waves are over 5ft and often over 8ft.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | W 8 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3842 | 2392 | 2276 | 3219 | 3098 | 1976 | 1581 | 1169 | 809 | 674 | 418 | 1778 | 692 | 3181 | 7086 | 3051 | 2383 | 3619 | 2933 | 2111 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 00:17AM1.97m | 12:30PM1.85m | 00:56AM2.06m | 1:20PM2.08m | 1:32AM2.11m | 2:03PM2.25m | 2:04AM2.12m | 2:41PM2.36m | 2:34AM2.10m | 3:17PM2.38m | 3:03AM2.04m | 3:51PM2.34m | 3:30AM1.96m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:43PM0.62m | 6:36AM0.75m | 6:42PM0.57m | 7:11AM0.53m | 7:29PM0.53m | 7:45AM0.36m | 8:10PM0.52m | 8:17AM0.23m | 8:47PM0.54m | 8:47AM0.16m | 9:22PM0.59m | 9:18AM0.14m | 9:54PM0.68m | |||||||
— | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | |
6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
3842 | 2392 | 2276 | 3219 | 3098 | 1976 | 1581 | 1169 | 809 | 674 | 418 | 268 | 81 | 695 | 2697 | 3051 | 2383 | 3619 | 2933 | 2111 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 26 | — | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 17 | — | — | NE 5 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SW 13 | SW 18 | S 15 | S 16 | — | — | S 15 | — |
— | 26 | — | 53 | 5 | — | 6 | — | — | 5 | 39 | 16 | 142 | 80 | 5 | 5 | — | — | 18 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 21 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 15 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | W 8 | WSW 13 | W 8 | WSW 12 | SW 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 245 | 1778 | 692 | 3181 | 7086 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 0 | 0 | 123 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 662 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Marengo Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Marengo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Marengo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Marengo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Marengo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Marengo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Marengo is 93 km (58 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










