Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Marengo over the next couple of weeks.

First up, that water temp is sitting around 57°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The week kicks off with a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday the 5th has some solid 7ft SW swell rolling in, but that 19-22 mph wind is going to mess with the surface, leaving it clean but a bit blown out. Not the one to get excited about.

Sunday the 6th is where it starts to feel better. The swell drops a touch to 4-5ft from the SW, but the offshore wind swings in – gentle on the morning, moderate in the arvo – and the combined swell energy is a moderate 1039, dropping to 734. It’s clean, it’s shaping up. This is a good day for a beginner to get out there and feel the glide.

Monday the 7th is a weird one. The morning is tiny at 2ft, but the afternoon jumps to 7ft from the SW, but with a short period of 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and weak. Combined energy sits at 1145. It’s surfable, but not pretty.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is a real standout. The swell is 4ft to 5ft from the SW, but the period stretches out to 17-18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. That combined energy is a solid 1367 to 1588. With a light W wind offshore and glassy conditions, the point and reef setup at Marengo is going to be clean. This is for the experienced crew; the water will have that long-period push and longer lulls.

Wednesday the 9th gets intense. The swell pumps up to 13ft in the morning and a massive 20ft in the afternoon from the SW, with a very long 16-18 second period. The combined energy is enormous, over 30,000 in the arvo. Look, this is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a beast. The reef will hold it, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. The wind is moderate offshore and cross-off, but the sheer size is the story.

Thursday the 10th still has plenty of power, 12ft to 13ft SSW at 16-17 seconds. The wind is looking better, offshore and glassy at times, but again, this is for experienced surfers only with that size.

Friday the 11th is a nice drop back to 8ft to 8ft SW, period at 14 seconds. Cross-off wind and light breezes keep it clean. The energy is moderate at around 2185. A solid, surfable day without the jeopardy of the big stuff.

Saturday the 12th is a beauty. The swell is 6ft to 7ft from the SW with a 15-16 second period. The wind is glassy – dead calm in the morning, and a glassy 3 mph from the east in the arvo. That’s about as clean as it gets. Combined energy is moderate at 1384 to 2045. This is the other real standout for the fortnight. Grab it.

After that, the swell fades. Sunday the 13th drops to 4-5ft, then Monday the 14th is tiny at 2-3ft. The week of the 15th picks up again, but it’s a mixed bag of onshore and cross-shore winds. The swell bumps back to 8ft on the morning of the 15th but it gets a bit choppy. The 16th has more solid groundswell but the wind is cross-off. The 17th and 18th are small and marginal. The last weekend on the 19th and 20th shows some swell returning to 4-6ft with long periods, but the onshore and cross-shore winds mean it won’t be the cleanest.

If I’m being honest, the best windows are Tuesday the 8th for that long-period, clean offshore glass, and Saturday the 12th for the glassy conditions and solid SW groundswell. Don’t sleep on those. The mid-week big stuff is for the brave.

Rusty.

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