Marengo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Marengo over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, the first few days are a mixed bag for this reef and point break. The water temperature is sitting at 59°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year – not a big deal, just a little note for the wetsuit zip.

Tuesday the 7th starts off with a real tease. Early morning, the wind is dead glassy, and we’ve got a 4ft SW groundswell rolling in with a long 17-second period. The water will be like glass, and the combined energy is moderate at 788, so it’s not a monster, but those long lines from a solid direction should make for some clean, lined-up waves. It’s the pick of the first few days, for sure. But the afternoon goes a bit wonky with onshore breezes and questionable tides, so make the most of that dawn session.

Wednesday the 8th is a write-off. The swell bumps up, but the wind is cross-onshore in the morning and becomes onshore in the afternoon, turning the 5ft to 7ft SW swell into a messy crumble. Even with good energy (2212 in the morning), the wind kills it.

Thursday the 9th gives us another early window. Glassy conditions again with a clean 4ft SW swell at 15 seconds. It’s not huge, but the energy is moderate (756), and with offshores that early, it’ll be a fun, smaller session before the wind shifts onshore by the arvo.

Friday the 10th is a good day. The morning is clean with a cross-offshore breeze and a 5ft SW swell. By the afternoon, the wind goes glassy again, and that 4ft SW swell will be clean and workable. This is two good sessions in a row.

Now, Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th get blown out. Strong winds hitting 18-21 mph on Saturday turn the surf into a mess, and Sunday sees a building 6ft to 8ft SW swell, but with strong cross-off to fresh offshores, it’ll be clean but very raw and hard to manage.

But here’s where things get heavy. Monday the 13th is the standout, but only for experts. We’re looking at a massive 20ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is through the roof at 22123 – that’s a BIG ocean. The wind is moderate offshore, so it should be clean, but that size is too big for anyone but the most experienced crew. Tuesday the 14th drops to a still-serious 8ft from the same direction with fresh offshores, again only for the confident surfer.

That whole middle period from about the 11th to the 14th is for the hardcore only, with strong winds and a lot of power.

We have a bit of a lull from Sunday the 18th into Monday the 20th. The swell drops to 2ft and winds are moderate, making for poor conditions. But then things start to look promising again for the last part of the run.

Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are another big pulse. Tuesday afternoon sees a 12ft SW swell with fresh offshores and a very high energy reading of 9203. Wednesday morning pushes even bigger to 13ft with a 15-second period and strong offshores, giving an energy reading of 11685. This is another window for experienced surfers only, but the quality looks high. Wednesday afternoon drops slightly to 10ft from the SSW.

So bottom line: if you’re a beginner, skip the first week and a half. For experienced surfers, Tuesday morning the 7th and Friday the 10th are your fun, manageable windows. Sunday the 13th and Tuesday/Wednesday the 21st-22nd are the big, serious, expert-only swells. Over 8ft at a reef and point means it’s no place for the faint-hearted.

– Rusty

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