Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up folks, it's Rusty here with a look at the Kennet Rivermouth/Point forecast. This is a long-range outlook, so keep that in mind, but there’s some real promise on the horizon if you’ve got the experience for it.

The first action kicks off this Saturday morning, September 12th. We’ve got a solid 7ft groundswell rolling in from the southwest with a very long 15-second period. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much where you’d expect it for this time of year. That combined swell energy is a hefty 1976 (moderate wave energy), and with the wind being a slight cross-off from the NNE, the conditions are looking clean. This is serious, powerful stuff though – with a 15-second period, the set waves will have real grunt. It’s best for experienced surfers and the point setup should handle that long period well, giving you some proper lines.

Saturday afternoon sees the swell drop just a touch to 6ft, but the wind goes glassy. If you can get out there, the wave face will be like a mirror – that’s the best it gets for clean surf. The energy is still strong at 1462 (moderate wave energy).

Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are a bit of a write-off. The swell drops right off and the wind picks up, making for pretty ordinary conditions. The following Tuesday morning, September 15th, a big pulse of swell hits. We’re talking 12ft from the southwest with a combined energy of 6066 (strong wave energy). However, it’s blowing a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind from the WSW with rain showers, making it a marginal, nasty day. That’s expert-only territory and the conditions will be rough. The afternoon gets even worse with a 22 mph cross-shore wind. Wednesday stays big at 10ft but with onshore winds, making it choppy and poor. Thursday the 17th is a slight improvement with 7ft dropping to 6ft and lighter cross-shore winds, but it’s still not clean.

Then we get a standout. Friday morning, September 18th, the wind swings offshore from the northwest at a light 6 mph. The swell is a decent 4ft, but the real magic is the afternoon: 5ft of southwest groundswell with a very long 17-second period and light offshore wind from the WNW. The combined energy is 1927 (moderate wave energy) and the comment says "excellent" conditions. The crowd factor is "sometimes," which is fine for a point break that will groom that long-period swell into beautiful, rippable walls. That’s your pick of the first week.

The weekend after that, the 19th and 20th, is a bit messy with stronger cross-off winds and a drop-off in size. Monday the 21st sees a return of bigger swell but with messy chop. Tuesday the 22nd is huge again with a 12ft swell, but with a light cross-onshore wind from the ENE. The size is going to be intimidating and the shape won't be great. Wednesday the 23rd is another good call for the experienced crew – 7ft, clean with a gentle cross-off breeze from the north. The southwest direction is spot on for this break.

Looking further out, Friday the 25th gets blown out by strong winds, but the run to the end of the month has some big numbers floating around. Saturday the 27th of September is one to circle on the calendar if you’re an expert. The morning kicks off with a 8ft swell and a 17-second period, a combined energy of 3377 (strong wave energy), and a clean cross-off breeze from the northeast. The afternoon, however, is the standout of the whole forecast: 10ft of southwest swell, 17-second period, a combined energy of 4656 (strong wave energy), light offshore wind from the NW, and the forecast says "excellent." It’s all the way out on the 27th, so treat it as a promising but less certain long-range option, but if it comes together, that’s a big Sunday session for the brave.

Rusty.

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