Surf Forecasts:
Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 12s period, SW swell with 6,099 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kennet Rivermouth/Point this week:
The surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kennet Rivermouth/Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew over what’s coming for Kennet Rivermouth/Point.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but don’t write it off. The first few days are pretty average, but the real juice is further out. The water is sitting at 58°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Thursday the 16th is a write-off with a messy 8ft SW swell and a cross breeze. Not worth paddling out for. Friday morning the 17th is where it starts to get interesting. The swell drops to a cleaner 7ft from the SW, with a very long 16-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNW. That’s groundswell, and it’s going to be clean. The afternoon goes glassy with 6ft SW swell and the same long period. This is a good window for experienced surfers who know this break.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th drop off a fair bit, with smaller swells in the 4ft to 2ft range, but with glassy conditions and offshore winds, it’ll be clean and fun for a beginner session or a longboard.
Now, the standout. You want to circle Thursday the 24th of July. We’re looking at a massive 16ft swell from the WSW, with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a whopper 12274 (moderate to very strong). That’s a serious amount of water moving. The wind is a fresh cross-off, so it won’t be perfect, but for experts only, this is a big-wave session. The following Friday the 25th is still big, but dropping.
Then, hold onto your board. Sunday the 26th afternoon sees an 12ft SW swell, clean with a light cross-off, and the energy is back up to 6401. Monday the 27th is the absolute peak for the true charger: an 12ft SSW swell with an 18-second period, exceptional conditions, and energy at 8173. That’s another very strong energy day. This is not for the faint of heart; it’s expert territory only. The long period means the sets will be powerful and spaced out, which is a blessing for getting out the back at this point break.
The following week tails off through the 28th to the 30th, with smaller but still clean swells on offer. The 30th of July has a glassy 6ft SSW swell, which is a lovely way to finish the run.
If you’re not an expert, the best of the manageable stuff is that Friday the 17th and the glassy Sunday the 18th. For the big stuff, the 24th and the 27th are the standouts. The 27th is the one. Crowds are possible at this spot, especially when it’s good, so get in early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2387 | 1669 | 2027 | 1654 | 924 | 639 | 451 | 219 | 140 | 123 | 150 | 326 | 174 | 211 | 264 | 459 | 400 | 125 | 136 | 189 | 254 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:24AM1.46m | 1:43PM1.86m | 1:29AM1.54m | 2:22PM1.87m | 2:26AM1.59m | 2:58PM1.85m | 3:20AM1.62m | 3:33PM1.80m | 4:10AM1.61m | 4:05PM1.72m | 4:58AM1.57m | 4:36PM1.63m | 5:45AM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:06PM0.72m | 6:52AM0.08m | 7:53PM0.56m | 7:45AM0.14m | 8:36PM0.41m | 8:33AM0.23m | 9:17PM0.30m | 9:18AM0.35m | 9:57PM0.23m | 10:01AM0.48m | 10:35PM0.21m | 10:42AM0.62m | 11:12PM0.23m | 11:23AM0.75m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:33 |
 | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | 5:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 6 |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 8 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 11 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 2387 | 1669 | 2027 | 1654 | 924 | 639 | 451 | 219 | 128 | 123 | 82 | 326 | 174 | 211 | 264 | 459 | 400 | 125 | 136 | 189 | 254 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 17 | — | — | — | — | SSW 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 10 | WSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 102 | 140 | 87 | 150 | 33 | 56 | 18 | 9 | 44 | 67 | 103 | 81 | 8 | 67 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | WSW 12 | — | SSW 10 | E 11 | E 10 | SSW 9 | E 10 | SW 14 | SW 15 | E 10 | E 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 60 | 58 | 57 | — | 19 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 32 | 9 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 2 | NW 2 | WNW 2 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kennet Rivermouth/Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kennet Rivermouth/Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kennet Rivermouth/Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Kennet Rivermouth/Point is 73 km (45 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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