Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about Kennet Rivermouth/Point. This is a river/point break that’s beginner-friendly, fairly consistent, and it’s exposed to southerly swells. The water temp right now on July 19 is 58°F, which is about normal for this time of year – no major surprise there.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag over the next 16 days. The first few days are small but clean. Sunday afternoon (July 19) we’re looking at 2.6 ft of SSW swell with a 11-second period, glassy ENE wind at 3 mph. Expect clean, small waves – good for a beginner session. Monday morning (July 20) sees a touch more energy: 2.6 ft of WSW swell, 16-second period, and a light offshore NNW breeze at 6 mph. That’s a nice long-period groundswell, but it’s small. Tuesday morning (July 21) picks up a bit to 3.9 ft from the SW, 14 seconds, offshore NNW 9 mph. That’s a solid little window for a fun session – the combined energy is moderate (534). The break is a river/point, so that long-period swell will shape up nicely.

Then things get wild. From Wednesday afternoon (July 22) through the weekend, a massive SW swell arrives. Wednesday afternoon shows 7.9 ft at 10 seconds, but with 16 mph cross-off wind and rain – messy. Thursday (July 23) and Friday (July 24) are honking: 16.4 ft to 19.7 ft SW swell, 13-15 second periods, but cross-off winds at 19-22 mph and rain showers. The combined energy is huge (11,000-17,000) – that’s serious power. But the wind is strong and the conditions are marginal. For a beginner break, that’s way too big – over 8 ft means experts only. Even then, the wind won’t make it pleasant. Honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

After that, the swell drops. Saturday (July 25) still big (16.4 ft, 13s) but cross-shore wind and lumpy. Sunday (July 26) down to 4.9 ft, but cross-shore wind and small crossing ripples. Not great.

The real standout comes a week later on Thursday, July 30. Morning sees 5.6 ft of SSW swell, 11-second period, with a moderate offshore WNW wind at 12 mph. The combined energy is 815 – moderate, but the conditions are clean and offshore. That’s a solid, fun size for intermediate surfers – not too big, not too small. The afternoon is even better: 6.9 ft from the same direction, 11 seconds, still offshore WNW 12 mph, energy 1143. That’s the pick of the whole forecast. The swell direction (SSW) is close to the optimum S, so it’ll wrap in nicely at the river mouth. Crowds are sometimes possible, but with that quality, expect a few others. This is the one to circle.

The rest of the period fades out. Friday July 31 has 6.2-6.6 ft but strong cross-shore winds, lumpy. Saturday August

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