
Surf Forecasts:
Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,756 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kennet Rivermouth/Point this week:
The surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kennet Rivermouth/Point in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming our way.
We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but you’ll need to pick your moments. The whole period is focused on one spot: Kennet Rivermouth/Point. It’s a river/point setup that picks up SW swell, and the water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is just about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The big news is the mid-week pulse. Wednesday, August 12th is the absolute standout. We’re looking at a serious SSW swell building to 13ft. This is legit groundswell with a period of 16-17 seconds, packing a massive punch – the combined energy is a whopping 10129 on Wednesday morning and even higher at 11782 in the afternoon. That’s a lot of power. It’s clean, with a cross-offshore wind, but let’s be real, at 13ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers only. The long period will make for some proper walled-up waves at the point, but it’ll be a handful. This is a real event, but it’s not for the faint-hearted.
Thursday the 13th through Saturday the 15th sees the swell slowly dropping from 10ft down to 7ft. The winds are mostly cross-off, keeping things reasonably clean, but the energy is still strong (values in the 3000s down to 1700s). The quality is just okay, not the same magic as that Wednesday peak. Tuesday morning, August 11th is actually a nice little warm-up: 5ft of SW swell with a 14-second period and gentle offshore NW wind. The combined energy is 981, which is moderate, but the conditions are described as "very good." Clean, glassy-ish conditions with a bit of power – that’s a solid session for a Tuesday.
After that big pulse, things settle down. From Sunday the 16th onward, the swell drops steadily. By the 17th and 18th, we’re down to 3ft-4ft, and the winds go light and cross or cross-on. The energy drops into the 600-700 range, and the surf is pretty marginal. It’s not terrible, but it’s a big step down.
Then there’s a quiet gap. From the 19th to the 22nd, we’ve got small, clean surf with swell around 2ft to 4ft. The winds are light and often glassy or offshore, which is lovely for a longboard or a foiler, but there’s just not much push. The 23rd and 24th get blown out by strong 16 mph winds, making it a write-off.
The very end of the run, on Wednesday August 26th, has a bit of a revival. The afternoon session shows 5ft of SW swell with a shorter 10-second period, but the wind is a gentle offshore NNW. The energy is 842, which is moderate, and the conditions are described as "very good." It’s a nice little finish, but nothing like that big Wednesday the 12th.
So, to sum it up: Wednesday, August 12th is the one to circle on the calendar if you’ve got the skills for big, powerful groundswell. For the everyday surfer, Tuesday morning, August 11th or the glassy mornings around the 20th-22nd offer the best clean, manageable waves.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
911 | 757 | 1381 | 8016 | 9441 | 3634 | 3745 | 3288 | 3880 | 3619 | 2944 | 2553 | 2048 | 1785 | 1421 | 1094 | 899 | 791 | 614 | 636 | 763 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:57PM1.31m | 10:57AM1.58m | 9:46PM1.30m | 11:55AM1.65m | 11:20PM1.38m | 12:41PM1.72m | 00:31AM1.50m | 1:20PM1.76m | 1:29AM1.61m | 1:55PM1.78m | 2:20AM1.69m | 2:29PM1.77m | 3:04AM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:22PM1.06m | 3:20AM0.25m | 4:57PM0.96m | 4:41AM0.25m | 6:01PM0.79m | 5:50AM0.24m | 6:50PM0.60m | 6:48AM0.25m | 7:32PM0.42m | 7:37AM0.28m | 8:11PM0.27m | 8:22AM0.34m | 8:48PM0.17m | ||||||||
7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
911 | 757 | 1381 | 2113 | 2316 | 3634 | 3745 | 3288 | 3880 | 3619 | 2944 | 2553 | 2048 | 1785 | 1421 | 1094 | 899 | 791 | 614 | 636 | 763 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 19 | NE 4 | — | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | — | — | SSE 14 | S 15 | — | — | SSE 15 | — | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | SE 5 |
68 | 224 | 3 | — | 25 | 23 | 24 | 23 | — | — | 20 | 18 | — | — | 21 | — | 10 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 22 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 11 | E 5 |
2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 58 | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNW 3 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | — | ESE 5 | — | E 5 | ESE 5 |
— | — | 7 | 8016 | 9441 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | 33 | — | 23 | 58 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 17 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 80 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kennet Rivermouth/Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kennet Rivermouth/Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kennet Rivermouth/Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Kennet Rivermouth/Point is 73 km (45 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











