Surf Forecasts:
Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SW swell with 3,761 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Kennet Rivermouth/Point this week:
The surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Kennet Rivermouth/Point in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 20th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on Kennet Rivermouth/Point. This river and point set-up takes a little while to get going, but there’s some juice later on.
First few days are flat out weak. Sunday the 16th through Wednesday the 19th, we’re looking at swell around 2 to 5 ft, with combined energy numbers from 190 up to 1098—nothing to write home about. Winds are cross or cross-on, a little chop, and the scores are low. There’s a couple-day gap where you’re better off doing something else.
Thursday the 20th cleans up a bit: 3 ft SW swell, gentle offshore NW wind, clean. The energy is still light (356–386). Not a standout, but a beginner could get wet.
Friday the 21st is where it perks up. Morning brings 4 ft of SW groundswell, 15-second period, clean under moderate NNW offshore wind, with energy hitting 943. Then Friday afternoon cranks: 7 ft of WSW swell, 14-second period, and the energy jumps to 2927. Winds are offshore from the WNW, moderate, and it’s clean. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. First real standout.
Saturday the 22nd is mixed with cross-shore winds and 7 ft swell—messy.
Sunday the 23rd is the big one. Morning and afternoon both deliver 8 ft and 7 ft of SW groundswell, 15-second period, and offshore NW winds. Energy is strong—2423 and 1801. The river/point will handle that long-period energy beautifully. Best session of the forecast for experienced surfers.
The following week fades. Monday the 24th is clean but smaller at 5 ft, then it gets windy and choppy through Tuesday to Thursday the 27th. Friday the 28th afternoon turns glassy with 3 ft of very long-period SW swell (19 seconds), energy at 840. Not big, but slick as glass.
Saturday the 29th morning brings 5 ft of SW swell, 16-second period, clean under light N winds, with energy at 1403. Good for experienced surfers again. Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st are both glassy and clean, with 4 ft to 5 ft swell—nice and mellow.
Water temp is about 57°, average for this time of year. No major anomaly.
Bottom line: Sunday the 23rd is the standout—8 ft, offshore wind, long period, and the point will handle it like a champ. Friday the 21st afternoon is a close second. The rest is a mix of clean small days and some wind-affected slop in the second week. That Sunday is the one to circle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the NNE by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 17 | W 13 | WSW 11 | SW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 590 | 507 | 854 | 1027 | 868 | 412 | 496 | 287 | 178 | 156 | 103 | 188 | 1834 | 1695 | 953 | 1134 | 1271 | 1832 | 2534 | 1985 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:20AM1.69m | 2:29PM1.77m | 3:04AM1.73m | 3:00PM1.74m | 3:46AM1.72m | 3:30PM1.68m | 4:25AM1.67m | 3:58PM1.61m | 5:05AM1.60m | 4:25PM1.53m | 5:46AM1.51m | 4:51PM1.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:11PM0.27m | 8:22AM0.34m | 8:48PM0.17m | 9:02AM0.42m | 9:22PM0.13m | 9:39AM0.52m | 9:56PM0.14m | 10:14AM0.62m | 10:29PM0.18m | 10:48AM0.73m | 11:02PM0.25m | 11:23AM0.84m | 11:39PM0.33m | |||||||
 |  | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | ENE 6 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 11 | SW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 |
| kJ | 590 | 507 | 854 | 1027 | 868 | 412 | 496 | 287 | 178 | 32 | 103 | 151 | 213 | 189 | 953 | 357 | 1271 | 1832 | 2534 | 1985 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 11 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 5 | — | WSW 15 | NE 5 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 19 | SW 11 | — | — | S 16 | — |
| kJ | 313 | 145 | 93 | 58 | 60 | 36 | 30 | 10 | — | 156 | 7 | 188 | 132 | 208 | 299 | 194 | — | — | 21 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | SSW 10 | SW 18 | S 9 | — | — | — | SW 19 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | SW 19 | SW 18 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 6 | 14 | — | 18 | 255 | 6 | — | — | — | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 535 | 455 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 5 | ESE 5 | — | E 6 | E 5 | NE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NW 2 | — | W 13 | WSW 11 | — | WSW 11 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 24 | 13 | — | 62 | 42 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 1 | — | 1834 | 1695 | — | 1134 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 80 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 21 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Cape Otway | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Kennet Rivermouth/Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Kennet Rivermouth/Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Kennet Rivermouth/Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Kennet Rivermouth/Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Kennet Rivermouth/Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Kennet Rivermouth/Point is 73 km (45 miles) from the city of Geelong West. If you plan a holiday in Cape Otway, look for hotels and other accommodation in Geelong West. Geelong West has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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