Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Kennet Rivermouth/Point, a river/point setup that’s fairly consistent and works best with a southerly swell direction. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The first real action kicks off on Monday, 13 July with a big 12 ft SW swell, but that 35 km/h WNW wind is a bit of a handful – it’s just cross-off, so the surface will be clean enough, but the energy is massive with combined swell energy coming in at a whopping 5507 (moderate). That’s a lot of water moving around. This one is best left for the experienced crew.

Things get really interesting on Tuesday, 14 July. The swell pumps up to 18 ft from the SW, with a 16-second period – that’s classic groundswell, long and powerful. The wind is a fresh 30 km/h cross-off in the morning, and the combined energy is off the charts at 18822 (strong to very strong wave energy). It stays big and clean through the afternoon. This is expert territory only – over 8 ft, it’s not for the faint-hearted. This is the standout of the whole outlook.

Wednesday, 15 July sees the swell backing down to 13 ft in the morning with a lighter 15 km/h cross-off, but the period drops to 14 seconds. Still decent, but the energy is dropping. By afternoon it’s down to 7 ft, clean and glassy – much more manageable, but the score drops off. Thursday, 16 July is a similar story: 8 ft in the morning with a light breeze, clean, but the energy is winding down. The point break nature of this spot will handle the long-period swell well, keeping the waves lined up.

Friday, 17 July is where it gets glassy. Morning has 6 ft SW swell with a 16-second period and glassy conditions – absolute magic. The combined energy is still solid at 2375 (moderate). Afternoon is even better: 7 ft, 17-second period, glassy as a mirror. If you can sneak out then, it’ll be clean and uncrowded, though this spot can get busy sometimes.

From Saturday, 18 July through to Wednesday, 23 July, the surf drops off significantly. Waves hover between 4 ft and 2 ft, with very light winds and glassy conditions, but the energy is weak (under 1000). The outlook is a bit flat – surfable, but you’ll be scratching for a decent ride. There’s a long gap of several days with no real standouts.

Then on Thursday, 24 July, a new pulse shows up. Morning has 6 ft SW swell with an 18-second period – that’s a very long-period groundswell – and glassy conditions. The combined energy is 2251 (moderate). The afternoon is 7 ft with a 17-second period and glassy, but watch out: the optimum direction is SW, and this swell is right on the money for the point. This is a promising late-run option, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as a hopeful but not a sure thing.

Saturday, 25 July onward gets messy with onshore winds and dropping energy, so the window closes fast. The final decent look is on Monday, 27 July with a 5 ft SW swell, 17-second period, and a moderate cross-off, but it’s marginal. After that, it’s small and ordinary.

Best bet: Tuesday, 14 July for the big, powerful groundswell (experts only), and Friday, 17 July for glassy, clean conditions on a solid swell.

Rusty.

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