Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty talkin’. We’re dialin’ into one spot for the next couple weeks, and it’s got a story to tell.

We’re lookin’ at Kennet Rivermouth/Point – a classic river mouth and point setup, pretty exposed to the swell, and it likes the swell from the S. That’s a solid starting point for some proper groundswell. The water’s sittin’ at about 57°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so nothin’ wild on the temp front.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a cracker on Friday morning, the 7th of August. You’ve got a clean 5 ft SW groundswell with a super long 16-second period – that’s real energy (1023) – and a light NW offshore breeze. That’s a recipe for clean, lined-up waves. Friday afternoon goes glassy with a 4 ft SW swell and 15-second period (1099). That first session is the pick of the early run.

Saturday the 8th is a bit of a write-off. The northerly wind picks up to 12 mph and goes cross-off, which ruins the shape. The swell’s still there, around 4 ft, but the wind’s gonna chop it up. Not worth paddlin’ out.

Sunday the 9th is a full washout. Light rain and a strong 19 mph NNE cross-off wind, with the swell droppin’ to 3 ft. That’s a day for fixin’ dings, not surf.

Monday the 10th gets wild, but not for us. The morning is a blown-out mess with 25 mph WSW winds, but the afternoon swell jumps to a massive 13 ft SW groundswell with 17-second period. The combined energy is a ridiculous 13564. That’s not a paddle session – that’s a tow-in or a kite mission. Way too big for a beginner, and honestly, it’s only for experts with big balls. The wind is still cross-off, so it’s messy for a wave that size.

Tuesday the 11th is a nice reset. The swell drops to 5 ft in the morning, still a nice 14-second SW groundswell, and we get a clean NW offshore breeze at 16 mph. That’s a solid, surfable day. The afternoon stays offshore but a bit windier.

Wednesday the 12th, the swell bumps up to 7 ft with a 17-second period (2865 energy) and a fresh NW offshore. That’s a good, punchy wave. But the afternoon turns ugly with 25 mph WSW cross-off winds. Get your session in early.

Now, here’s where it gets heavy again. Thursday the 13th – the morning shows a colossal 20 ft WSW groundswell with 16-second period. The energy reading is 22210. That is a beast. The file flat out says it’s too big for this break. That is a “don’t even bother” kind of day unless you’re just watchin’ from the cliff.

From Friday the 14th through Saturday the 15th, we’re still dealin’ with big, messy surf. Waves from 7 ft to 10 ft, but the wind is cross-off or onshore. The setup is more for a kiteboard than a surfboard during this stretch. The swell is too powerful and the conditions aren’t clean.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th, the swell backs down. Monday morning the 17th is a real gem – glassy conditions with a light 3 mph W wind and a clean 4 ft SW groundswell at 15 seconds. That’s gonna be a fun, clean morning session.

Tuesday the 18th is another glassy morning, but the swell is a bit smaller at 4 ft from the WSW. Wednesday the 19th and Friday the 21st both have clean morning sessions with offshore or glassy winds and solid 4 ft to 5 ft SW groundswells. Those are your long-range standouts, but remember, we’re talkin’ over a week out, so keep an eye on it.

The real standout window is that Friday morning the 7th and Monday morning the 17th. The first is the best quality, the second is the most reliable lookin’ at the forecast.

Alright, that’s the story. A couple of magic windows in there, but a lot of wind and big water to work through. Stay safe out there.

- Rusty

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