Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Thursday the 23rd of July and we’ve got a big one on the way for Kennet Rivermouth/Point. The first half of this outlook is about power – and I mean serious power. We’re talking a solid SW groundswell that hits hard from day one.

This Thursday morning we see a 15 ft SW swell rolling in with a 14-second period and the combined energy is pumping at 10,722. Winds are a cross-off from the WSW at 15 mph so it’s clean, but with that size, this is strictly for experienced crew. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Thursday afternoon the swell pushes up to 16 ft from SW, still a 14-second period, energy ramping to 12,114. Winds stay cross-off but pick up to 19 mph. It’s still clean but that’s massive – expert only territory.

Friday the 24th carries on the same theme: 16 ft SW swell in the morning with a long 15-second period and energy at 16,534, the strongest we see. Winds are cross-off from the W at 16 mph. Afternoon holds 16 ft at 14 seconds, energy at 13,626. This is the peak of the size.

By Saturday the 25th the swell eases but stays chunky: 13 ft SW in the morning at 13 seconds (energy 6,813), dropping to 12 ft in the afternoon. Winds remain cross-off and clean throughout the day. Still a wave for experienced surfers only.

Sunday the 26th is the first day things get more manageable. Morning brings 5 ft SSW swell with an 11-second period, energy down to 574, and we get offshore WNW winds at 9 mph. That’s gentle offshore and clean. Afternoon drops to 5 ft SW with light cross-off winds. This is the best window for intermediate surfers to get a piece.

Monday the 27th has 4 ft SW in the morning with offshore NW winds at 16 mph – moderate offshore and clean, but small. The afternoon improves: 5 ft SW, 13-second period, cross-off breeze, and the energy is 796. The comment says ‘very good surf conditions’ on that afternoon session. Keep an eye on it.

Tuesday the 28th sees the swell building again: 6 ft SW in the morning with a 15-second period, cross-off winds, energy at 1,650. Afternoon goes to 8 ft SW, same long period and cross-off breeze. That extra size and long period makes it a groundswell that’ll love the point setup here, but the period is long enough that it might straighten out a bit on the bank – still, a good session for experienced paddlers.

Wednesday the 29th turns ugly. Early cross-onshore southerly winds at 12 mph hit a 16 ft SW swell – energy at 14,938 – that’s messy, choppy, and not fun. Afternoon a little better with a 13 ft SW and lighter cross-onshore, but still not clean.

Thursday the 30th drops to 7 ft SSW with ESE cross-onshore wind – small ripples, not great. Afternoon improves a touch with 6 ft SSW and SE onshore breeze, but nothing to get excited about.

Friday the 31st is small: 4 ft SSW in the morning, light cross-off W wind, clean but small. Afternoon holds at 3 ft SSW. A relaxing skateboard session.

Then we get a standout for the second week. On Saturday the 1st of August, morning delivers 6 ft SW swell with a 15-second period, offshore WNW wind at 9 mph, and the comment says ‘excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers’. Combined energy is 1,338. That’s a clean, long-period groundswell perfect for the point. Afternoon drops to 5 ft with a 16-second period – very long period – and cross-off winds. The Saturday morning is the pick.

Sunday the 2nd of August morning has 5 ft SW, 15 seconds, light offshore W breeze – very good surf conditions. Monday the 3rd morning brings 5 ft SW with a 15-second period and light NNW cross-off wind – clean again. Tuesday the 4th is smaller but moderate offshore winds from the NNW keep it tidy.

Wednesday the 5th onwards holds consistent 4 ft to 6 ft SW swells with clean cross-off or glassy conditions. The real highlight in the second week is Friday the 7th of August morning: 6 ft SW, a 17-second period – that is a very long, powerful groundswell – with glassy N wind at 3 mph. The energy is 2,050 and the comment says ‘excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers’. Glassy and long period on the rivermouth point – that’s the one to circle on your calendar. Crowds are possible at this spot, so get there early.

Overall, the best on offer is that Friday the 7th morning for the glassy, long-period stand-out session. The Saturday the 1st morning is a close second.

Rusty.

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