Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Kennet Rivermouth/Point.

Right now, the water temp is sittin’ at 59°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year. Not a huge deal, but it’s a little touch of tropical in the air.

The first real windows of surf start on Tuesday afternoon, July 7th. It’s small though, with a 4 ft SW swell – very long period at 16 seconds. That kind of long period loves a rivermouth or point break, so the shape should be there, but the energy is weak (900). The wind is light cross-on from the ENE, so nothing special. It’s a warm-up, not a standout.

Wednesday morning, July 8th, is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a proper 5 ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period – that’s very long. The energy jumps up to 2212 (moderate), and the wind is a light cross-off from the NNE. That’s clean. For experienced surfers, this is a solid morning session. The afternoon gets a bit bumpier with cross-on wind, but the morning is the call.

Thursday morning, July 9th, is glassy. 4 ft SW, 15-second period, and the wind is dead calm (glassy). The energy is lower at 756, but when it’s that clean at a point break, you don’t need much size. This is a real treat if you can get out.

Friday, July 10th looks good too. Clean cross-off winds in the morning, 4 ft SW at 15 seconds, with moderate energy (714). Consistent, clean lines.

Now, Saturday July 11th is a write-off. Tiny swell (3 ft) and strong 35 km/h (22 mph) NNW winds. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday July 12th, though... watch out. A big 15 ft WSW swell rolls in with a 13-second period. That’s a lot of water moving – energy is 8361 (very strong). Wind is offshore from the NW, which is perfect for Kennet. But 15 ft is well over the 8 ft mark – experts only. Beginners, stay on the sand.

Monday July 13th keeps the big stuff coming. 12 ft SW at 16 seconds in the morning (6187 energy), with offshore WNW winds. That’s clean and powerful. In the afternoon it jumps to a massive 20 ft SW – that’s 21957 energy. The report says it’s too big for this break, and I agree. That’s more of a show than a surf for most.

The first truly standout, though, is Wednesday morning, July 8th, at Kennet Rivermouth/Point. The combination of a very long-period SW groundswell (5 ft, 18 seconds), light cross-off wind, and moderate energy makes it the pick of the first week for anyone with some experience.

The second standout is further out: Sunday morning, July 12th. A big 15 ft WSW swell with fresh offshore NW wind. The energy is massive (8361), and it’s clean. It’s a heavy day, but for an expert, that’s the one to circle on the calendar.

After that first week, we get into a run of solid but not perfect surf through the middle of July. The 13th and 14th have big swells (12 ft to 16 ft) but the winds are more cross-off, and some sessions are marginal due to tide. Still, there are good windows for experienced surfers on the 15th (Wednesday morning 8 ft SSW, cross-off, clean) and 16th (Thursday morning 8 ft SW, offshore, clean).

Late in the period, around July 17th and 18th, we see a return to cleaner conditions with offshore winds and chest-to-head high swell (6–6 ft). The 17th Friday morning has a 6 ft SW swell at 18 seconds – that’s long period, clean, and offshore. Very tempting.

But by July 20th and beyond, the wind starts howling (40-50 km/h or 25-31 mph) and the surf drops off. It gets messy. The last few days of the forecast are not worth chasing.

So, to wrap it up: the first standout is Wednesday July 8th morning with clean 5 ft SW at 18 seconds. The second standout, for experts only, is Sunday July 12th morning with 15 ft WSW and offshore wind.

Get out there when it’s clean and stay safe when it’s big.

Rusty

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