Kennet Rivermouth/Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good, hard look at what’s coming our way for Kennet Rivermouth/Point. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands, but there’s some serious potential lurking in the second week if you’ve got the patience.

The pattern starts off with a lot of wind and tricky conditions. Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are all about strong cross-off winds and solid, long-period SW groundswell, but it looks pretty average. The sheer size is there—over 8ft—but with that much juice and a 16-second period, this spot is really for experienced surfers only, and the wind doesn’t have it looking clean enough to get excited about. Combined wave energy is hefty (4161 on Thursday morning), but the score just isn’t there.

Now, Saturday the 15th morning is where it gets interesting. We’ve got a 7ft SW swell with a 15-second groundswell pulse, and the wind swings light from the SW at just 3 mph, putting it in a cross-off position that should leave the faces nice and clean. The energy is still strong (2150), and the report says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. That’s the clear standout early on, but keep in mind this is a river/point setup—long period swells like this can run a bit straight in certain spots, but this break handles it well when the wind cooperates.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th see the swell drop under 5ft and the wind goes cross-on from the east, so it’s gonna be choppy and less appealing. We’re in a bit of a lull through the middle of the week. Tuesday the 18th has some clean-looking morning surf with a little 3ft SW swell and NNE cross-off breeze, but there’s just not enough push. From the 19th through the 21st, it’s small and marginal, though Friday the 21st afternoon goes glassy with WSW wind at 0 mph and a clean 4ft swell—a nice little surprise for anyone who just wants to get wet without any drama.

Then we roll into the second week and things start to heat up again. Saturday the 22nd morning looks promising with a 5ft SW swell and 16 mph NW offshore wind, clean and punchy. But the real monster arrives on Monday the 24th afternoon. We’re looking at a 15ft WSW swell, period 16 seconds, and the wave energy goes absolutely bonkers at 12479. That is serious, powerful groundswell—definitely for experts only, and you’ll need to be on your game. The wind is cross-off from the west at 19 mph, keeping things clean, but this is a heavy-water situation.

Tuesday the 25th holds the size at 12ft with similar SW groundswell, still cross-off, still clean, but very demanding. Wednesday the 26th the swell direction shifts to a shorter-period SSW, dropping size but the wind turns onshore and choppy. The real hidden gem might be Thursday the 27th morning: glassy conditions with a 4ft SW swell and a very long 17-second period. That’s the kind of setup that can produce some silky, lined-up waves at a point or river mouth, and with 1200 energy for a smaller swell, it’s quality, not quantity.

Honestly, if I had to pick one absolute standout, I’d be eyeing Saturday the 15th morning for the best blend of size, clean conditions, and manageable power. The second standout is definitely Monday the 24th afternoon if you’re after a big, challenging session—but that’s for the experienced crew only.

Stay safe, be smart about the size, and I’ll see you out there.

- Rusty

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