Outer Cut Surf Forecast and Surf Reports

(Nelson – Tasman Bay, New Zealand)

Forecast
- Hourly Forecast
- 16 Day Forecast
Maps
Live
Weather State
Spot Information

Outer Cut Surf Guide

Outer Cut in Nelson - Tasman Bay is a fairly exposed point break that has unreliable waves with no particular seasonal pattern. The best wind direction is from the southeast and there is no shelter here from cross shore breezes. Tends to receive distant groundswells and the best swell direction is from the north northwest. No point break here. Best around low tide. Unlikely to be too crowded, even when the surf is up. Be wary of rips - they make surfing here dangerous.

Outer Cut Spot Info

Type:	Rating:	Reliability:	Todays Sea Temp*:
Point	4	inconsistent	16.4°C*ocean temperature recorded from satellite

Surfing Outer Cut:

The best conditions reported for surf at Outer Cut occur when a North-northwest swell combines with an offshore wind direction from the Southeast.

Hourly Forecast

16 Day Forecast

What's the best time of year to surf Outer Cut (for consistent clean waves)?

juneBest Season: winter

The best time of year for surfing Outer Cut with consistent clean waves (rideable swell with light / offshore winds) is during Winter and most often the month of June. Clean surfable waves are typically found 5% of the time in June while 16% of the time it tends to be blown out. For the remaining 79% of the time it is considered too small by most surfers but may still be OK for beginners and groms at times.

clean

Surfable waves that hold up well for longer rides in prevailing cross-offshore, offshore or light wind conditions.

blown out

16%

Surfable sized waves that are of poorer quality due to prevailing onshore, cross-onshore or windy conditions (may be preferable for kitesurfing).

too small

79%

Waves usually considered too small for good surf. Some wave-magnet breaks may still work though if conditions are right (on occasion).

Explore Outer Cut Location Map

Interactive Outer Cut surf break location map. View information about nearby surf breaks, their wave consistency and rating compared to other spots in the region. Current swell conditions from local buoys are shown along with live wind speed and direction from nearby weather stations. Click icons on the map for more detail. The closest passenger airport to Outer Cut is Nelson Airport (NSN) in New Zealand, 6 km (4 miles) away (directly). The second nearest airport to Outer Cut is Woodbourne Airport (BHE), also in New Zealand, 58 km (36 miles) away.

Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)

Please note that some surf spot locations are approximate to protect their exact location while others are not shown at close zoom level.

Outer Cut Surf Forecasts:

Hourly Forecast

16 Day Forecast

Todays Surf Summary
Wednesday, 6 May 2026, 23:29 Local Time

m, °C	Wed	Thursday 07
ft, °F	9PM	0AM	3AM	6AM
Wave (m)	NNW	N	N	NNW
Period (s)	6	6	5	5
Wind (km/h)
Wind State	glass	glass	glass	glass

What does Outer Cut look like?

Latest photos from Outer Cut. Upload your own or view all photos on the gallery page.

Credit: Rob Davies Credit: Rob Davies Credit: Rob Davies Credit: Rob Davies Credit: Kevin Toughey

Tides at Outer Cut

Current tide and informaton

For Nelson, New Zealand, 1 km from Outer Cut.

Next High Water: 12:32am | 3.73m

Next Low Water: 06:24am | 1.17m

NEXT	IS AT (local time)	remaining
high tide
low tide

Outer Cut Sea Temperature

The water temperature (16.4 °C) at Outer Cut is quite cool. If the sun shines as we have forecast, it should feel warm enough to surf in a good spring wetsuit. Effective windchill factor of (15.0 °C) will make the air and water feel about the same temperature.

Today, many surfers would wear a spring wetsuit.

Current Temp*: 16.4°C*ocean temperature recorded from satellite