Waipapa Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 42.22° S 173.86° E

Waipapa Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Waipapa Bay sea temperature is
11.3° C
0.5° 

Waipapa Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Waipapa Bay surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period, ESE swell with 665 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period with E swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Waipapa Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Waipapa Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Waipapa Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 7s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sat 11th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Best Surf 6PM (Sat 11th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 10s
Most Powerful12AM (Sat 18th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Waipapa Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Mon night, calm by Tue afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Fri
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
E
10
1.4
E
10
1.3
E
10
0.8
S
14
0.8
S
12
0.7
S
11
0.6
S
10
0.5
E
9
0.5
S
13
0.3
ESE
9
0.5
E
6
0.3
ESE
10
0.5
NE
6
0.4
E
12
0.4
E
12
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
ESE
13
0.5
ESE
16
0.9
ESE
16
1.1
ESE
15
1.2
ESE
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
500
377
320
264
184
110
70
42
85
15
19
21
15
45
44
53
56
144
380
539
627
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
10
W
5
S
5
NNW
10
N
15
NE
10
NNW
10
NNW
20
N
15
NNW
10
WNW
0
NNW
10
NW
10
NW
5
WNW
15
SSW
5
NNW
10
NE
10
N
5
NW
5
ESE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
on
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
on
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
00:59AM1.46m
1:31PM1.60m
1:55AM1.50m
2:28PM1.68m
2:53AM1.53m
3:25PM1.74m
3:50AM1.57m
4:22PM1.79m
4:47AM1.59m
5:19PM1.80m
5:44AM1.59m
6:15PM1.79m
6:41AM1.58m
Low Tide
7:09AM0.13m
7:48PM0.14m
8:05AM0.08m
8:47PM0.10m
9:02AM0.03m
9:46PM0.06m
10:00AM-0.01m
10:45PM0.02m
10:58AM-0.04m
11:42PM0.00m
11:56AM-0.05m
00:39AM-0.00m
12:54PM-0.04m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:48
7:48
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:07
5:08
5:09
5:10
5:10
5:12
5:13
 mm
Temp °C
6
9
9
6
9
10
8
12
14
12
16
16
14
17
17
10
12
14
12
13
13
Feels °C
2
6
6
3
5
5
5
9
9
6
14
15
11
15
15
6
10
12
10
11
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Waipapa Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Waipapa Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Waipapa Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Waipapa Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Waipapa Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Waipapa Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Waipapa Bay is 79 km (49 miles) from the city of Blenheim. If you plan a holiday in Kaikoura and Marlborough, look for hotels and other accommodation in Blenheim. Blenheim has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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