Steamer Lane-Middle Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

It’s a slow start, no doubt. The first few days are pretty weak, with tiny waves and a lot of cross-off or side winds. Monday morning and afternoon (20 July) have some little 0.5m to 0.6m swell, but it’s not doing much. Tuesday and Wednesday (21st-22nd) are the same story – small, weak, and messy. We’ve got a real gap from Thursday morning (23rd) all the way through Friday afternoon (24th) where there’s just nothing. The energy numbers are in the teens and twenties, with a few zeros. It’s flat.

Things perk up a little Saturday morning (25th July) with 0.9m of WNW swell and about 100 units of energy, but it’s still ordinary. Sunday (26th July) edges up to 1.0m to 1.3m, and Sunday afternoon goes glassy, which is a nice touch. Still, just “surfable.”

Now, the real deal. Monday 27th July is where it starts to get good at Steamer Lane-Middle Peak. It’s a reef break, so it handles swell well. Monday morning you’ve got 1.8m of NW swell with a combined energy of 655 – that’s a solid step up. The wind is cross-off and light, so it’s clean. Monday afternoon is even better with 1.5m and glassy conditions. That’s the kind of morning you dream about.

But if you can hold out, Tuesday 28th July is the star. Tuesday afternoon is the best of the whole forecast. You’re looking at 2.1m of WNW swell, a period of 9 seconds, and a combined energy of 774. The wind goes glassy, and the water is clean. That’s a world-class session. The swell direction is WNW, and the optimum for this spot is NW, so it’s a good fit. This break is a reef, very consistent, and for advanced surfers only. It gets crowded often, so be ready for a lineup.

Wednesday 29th July morning sees a big 2.5m of NW swell with a massive 1653 units of energy, but the wind goes cross-shore, so it’s a bit messy. That size is definitely for experts only. The rest of that week and into the second week holds some decent, clean waves in the 1.0m to 1.6m range, with a few more pulses on Monday 3rd August and Tuesday 4th August (morning) bringing 1.6m from the NW again, with good energy (551 and 632). Those are further out, so not as solid, but promising.

Water temp is 15°C, which is about average for the time of year.

Best bet: Without a doubt, Tuesday afternoon, 28th July at Steamer Lane-Middle Peak. That’s your day. Get out there.

Rusty.

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