Steamer Lane-Middle Peak Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into the outlook for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a classic summer pattern in the books. The first few days are a bit flat and weak, but there’s a nice pulse of energy building from the middle of next week, and the real standout arrives on the second weekend.

Steamer Lane-Middle Peak is the only game in town, and it’s a reef setup that’s very consistent, so it’s always got a pulse. To start things off, Sunday the 26th is a total write-off, with zero wave energy – don’t even bother. Monday the 27th morning sees a tiny 3 ft swell from the WNW with a short 6-second period, just 93 units of combined energy, and a cross-off shore breeze. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Tuesday the 28th is a bit better, with 4 ft to 5 ft WNW swell, periods around 7 seconds, and combined energy climbing into the 160s to 180s. Still clean, but nothing to get excited about.

Then Wednesday the 29th rolls in, and things start to pop. The morning brings a 6 ft NW swell with an 8-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 613 (moderate). The wind is light cross-off. It’s a good day. Thursday the 30th keeps it going with solid 5 ft WNW swell, and the Thursday afternoon session turns glassy – that’s a major plus for a clean face. Friday the 31st backs off a bit, and the afternoon goes cross-shore, not ideal.

The first real standout: Saturday the 1st of August. Morning swell is 6 ft from the NW, period 8 seconds, and 597 combined energy. The wind is light cross-off, keeping it clean. Sunday the 2nd of August is the absolute best of the run. The morning sees a 7 ft NW swell, 9-second period, and a massive 1209 combined energy – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a light cross-off. This is the one. It’s a good size, but at 7 ft, it’s pushing into expert territory, so it’s not for the groms.

After that, the forecast gets a bit messy. Monday the 3rd through to the end of the first week of August sees the swell dropping, and the wind turning more cross-shore, making conditions marginal or poor. The combined energy drops back into the 100s and low 200s. There’s a long gap of several days with no real recommendations here.

The second week picks up again around Saturday the 8th of August, with 4 ft to 5 ft WNW swell, periods of 9 seconds, and combined energy in the 300s. Winds are cross-off again, so it’s clean and fun. Sunday the 9th of August holds similar conditions, with 4 ft swell and 10-second periods, offering 397 to 415 energy. This is a mellow, clean run. It’s not the size of the 2nd, but it’s consistent and surfable. The last few days of the outlook on the 10th of August get a bit cross-shore again, so they’re marginal.

The water temperature is sitting at 60°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit.

The top pick for the whole period is hands down Sunday the 2nd of August morning. That 7 ft NW swell with the light offshore wind and strong energy is the one to circle. The second best is the solid run from Saturday the 8th through Sunday the 9th – clean, consistent, and very user-friendly for a reef.

Rusty out.

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