Pipeline Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Howdy, Rusty here. Alright, looking over the next 16 days for the North Shore, it’s a pretty quiet run for Pipeline. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell and cross-off winds that don’t really set it up for a proper session. The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year.

From now, Saturday the 1st of August, through to Monday the 10th, it’s mostly small stuff. Saturday and Sunday have 2ft of SSW swell, with a 14-second period that gives it a bit of push, but the combined energy is weak to moderate (131 down to 98). Winds are a fresh cross-off from the ENE at 22 mph, which keeps the surface clean, but there’s just not enough size to get excited about. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions” across the board.

Monday the 3rd drops further to 1ft, and that small, weak trend continues right through to the 9th of August. Periods vary from 12 seconds up to 21 seconds on the 7th, but the swell height never gets above 2ft until the 10th. Energy values are mostly under 100 or just over, so it’s weak to low-moderate at best. Winds stay cross-off from the ENE or E, 12–19 mph. The morning of the 7th has a 21-second period, which is a very long groundswell, but at 1ft it’s barely a ripple.

The first hint of something better shows on Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th. Swell bumps up to 3ft–3ft from the SSW, with a 14–16 second period, and the combined energy jumps into the moderate range (444 on Monday morning). The wave comment calls it “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” and scores are a 1 out of 10. Winds are cross-off from the ENE/E at 16 mph. Still not a standout, but it’s the best on offer in this whole outlook.

After the 11th, it drops back to 2ft or less for the remainder, with energy falling to the 170–255 range. Winds remain cross-off and clean, but the size is never there to make Pipeline work. From the 12th to the 16th, it’s all “poor surf conditions” again, with the swell shifting to the W and eventually WNW, which is a better direction for the spot, but at just 2ft it’s not enough.

Bottom line: there’s no true standout in this 16-day window. The best chance for a paddle is around Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, with that slight bump to 3ft and moderate energy, but it’s marginal. For the rest, you’re looking at clean but tiny surf. If you’re desperate, you might find a knee-high wave, but don’t expect anything with any punch.

Rusty.

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