Pipeline Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the surf. We got a bit of a dry spell at the start, but there’s some decent energy on the horizon. Don't get too excited for the first few days, but things start to wake up early next week, and there's a proper pulse heading into the middle of the month.

The first stretch is pretty flat and messy. From Thursday the 27th through the end of August, it’s a wasteland. Swell is tiny, around 0.6ft to 2.3ft, with periods all over the shop – some long-period stuff but not enough size to do anything with. The wind is a constant cross-offshore ENE breeze, 15 to 18 mph, which keeps things clean but there’s just nothing to ride. The water’s on the warmer side of average for this time of year, which is a nice touch for a paddle, but that's about it.

We go through a real flat patch from the 2nd to the 4th of September where there’s literally no swell forecast. Zero. It's dead. If you're jonesing, that's a stretch to find something else to do.

Now, the first sign of life shows up on the 5th. Still small, but there's a pulse. By the morning of Sunday the 6th, we're looking at 2.6ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period. The energy is starting to build – the combined energy jumps to 298. That's moderate, but it's finally something. The wind is light, 6-9 mph and cross-offshore, so it's looking clean.

The standout window is Monday, September 7th. That morning, Pipeline (North Shore) is the place to be. We're looking at 3.9ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period. The combined energy is strong at 907. That's a solid push of groundswell. The wind is light E at 6 mph, cross-offshore, so it's going to be glassy. This is the best of the bunch. It's a steep, powerful reef wave, but the conditions will be making it look pretty special. The swell direction is SSW, right in line with what the spot wants. This is your window if you're an advanced surfer.

After that, the swell backs off but stays rideable. The 8th still has 3.6ft of SSW swell, but it gets a bit messier with a moderate ENE breeze. It's a step down in quality. Then from the 9th onwards, it's a slide back into smaller, less consistent surf. The period drops, the energy fades, and we're back to poor conditions through the 11th. There are a few windows where it's just marginal, but nothing that'll get your heart racing.

So, keep your finger on the pulse. The first real day is the 6th, but Monday the 7th is the one to circle. It’s a long-range call so treat it with a bit of caution, but the ingredients are there. There are no other standouts in that second week. Just a long, slow fade back to smallness.

Stay wet.

Read more