Super Tubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right. G’day crew, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. To be straight up with you, it’s a pretty quiet run ahead. The best surf is mostly small and only really works when the wind plays nice, and that’s not a given. There’s a few windows of clean conditions but nothing that’s gonna blow your socks off.

Let’s talk about Super Tubes. This is a reef set-up, an advanced wave, and it rarely breaks. That’s a clue straight away – we’re not dealing with consistent surf. The water is sitting at 71°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a big anomaly of over 7°F. That’s very unusual.

We kick off the forecast period this Tuesday, July 28th. Through the morning it’s a light cross-onshore breeze with a 3ft SSW swell, period of 17 seconds. The combined energy is moderate, reading 600. That’s a long period for such small surf, which usually means better shaped waves, but at a deep reef like this, it might be a bit fat and inconsistent. The afternoon cleans right up, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the WNW and a similar 3ft swell. This is the best window in the first few days. Wednesday and Thursday follow a similar pattern: mornings are blown out by a light S or SSW wind, then the afternoons turn clean with a cross-offshore. On Thursday afternoon the swell bumps up to 4ft from the south. That’s the best size we see, but still only moderate.

Friday the 31st sees a slight increase in swell height to 4ft, but the period drops back to 14 seconds. The morning is messy, and the afternoon has a moderate breeze that cleans it up. Saturday the 1st of August offers a clean morning with a 3ft south swell, period 12 seconds. It’s surfable, but once again, this break is rarely breaking so you’re relying on a very specific swell window.

From Sunday the 2nd of August onwards, things really turn off. The swell drops to around 1ft through the week, with combined energy readings falling into the low two-digits and even triple digits below 100 for a while. That is weak energy, barely a ripple. Winds are mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the wave comment calls it poor conditions. A blank run of about six or seven days sets in here through to around Saturday the 8th.

There’s a very slight uptick on Sunday the 9th of August, with 2ft SSW swell and moderate energy around 255 to 270. Still, it’s poor to marginal. Then into the second week, around the 10th of August, there’s a glimmer: a 1ft SW swell on Monday afternoon, but with a period of 20 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, but tiny. The energy is moderate (196). For a reef break, that long period might just wrap in something rideable, but it’s a gamble.

The standout, such as it is, is Thursday afternoon July 30th at Super Tubes. It’s clean, a cross-offshore breeze, with a 4ft south swell. For a break that rarely breaks, this ticks the most boxes: clean wind, a bit of size from the optimum south-west direction, and a moderate amount of energy (623). After that, it’s a long wait.

These long-range standouts around the 10th-12th of August look promising on paper – a 20 second period swell is rare – but with only around 1ft to 2ft of height, it’s a real maybe. Forecasts change, and with a break as fickle as Super Tubes, I wouldn’t be booking time off work.

There’s no major swell on offer. For the most part the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing through those windy, choppy days. Keep an eye on the sky.

Rusty.

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