Rincon - Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for us. Let’s get into it.

Straight up, the best window is this upcoming Sunday and Monday morning. We’ve got a sweet little south-southwest groundswell rolling in with a long 19-second period, pushing 2ft to 3ft of clean, lined-up swell. The water is sitting at 70°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable without a thick suit.

The standout is Rincon - Rivermouth. Sunday morning, we’ve got 2ft of swell from the SSW with a 19-second period, and light cross-offshore winds from the WSW at 6 mph. That’s going to groom it beautifully. The combined energy is moderate at 414 (moderate wave energy), and with that long period, the waves will have real shape and push. It’s a point break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely. Expect clean, glassy lines. Crowds are often here, so get in early. This is the pick of the whole forecast.

Sunday afternoon stays similar, 2ft from the SW with 18-second period, still clean. Monday morning sees a slight shift to a cross-shore breeze, but still 2ft from the SW with 19-second period, and the energy bumps up to 468 (moderate wave energy). The wind is light, so it’ll still be surfable, but it won’t be as pristine as Sunday.

After Monday, things get ordinary. From Tuesday through to Thursday morning, the swell drops and the wind turns more cross to cross-on, with the period shortening. The combined energy drops into the 200s and 300s, and the wave comment is “marginal” or “poor.” Still, Tuesday morning has 3ft from the SSW with 18-second period and clean conditions, but the scores are lower. It’s surfable, but not a standout.

From Thursday afternoon through to the end of the first week, we hit a flat spell. Swell drops to 2ft or less, period plummets to 8 seconds or lower, and the energy drops to 46 or 70 (weak wave energy). The wind is light, but the waves are weak and short-period. The outlook is “poor” or “very ordinary.” Not worth paddling out for.

The second week starts with a little bump on Sunday, August 2nd. Morning sees 3ft from the WNW with a 9-second period, and energy at 146 (moderate wave energy). Winds are light cross-off. It’s small and short-period, but clean. Then it fades again through Monday and Tuesday.

We get a real tease on Friday, August 7th. Morning brings 2ft from the SSW with a 19-second period, and energy jumps to 247 (moderate wave energy). Winds are light cross-off and clean. That’s a promising little pulse, but it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it. The afternoon fades.

After that, into the second weekend, it’s mostly poor with small, weak swell and cross-onshore winds. Not much to get excited about.

So, the clear winner is this Sunday morning at Rincon - Rivermouth. If you can only surf once in the next two weeks, make it that session. The water is warm, the swell is clean, and the point will be working.

Rusty.

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