Rincon - Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got cookin' over the next couple of weeks at this spot. The water is sitting at 70°, which is a solid 6° warmer than usual for this time of year - that's very unusual, a real treat.

Things start off slow, real slow. Sunday the 6th and the first part of Monday the 7th have some tiny 1.0ft swell with weak wave energy (25), but the wind is all wrong, so we're just staring at flat, rippled water. We get a bit of a pulse coming through from late Monday the 7th onwards, but it's small - think 0.7ft to 2ft. The light cross-offshore breezes keep the surface clean on those days, but the energy is still pretty weak, hitting just 72 on the 7th afternoon. Tuesday the 8th morning is similar: clean, but meek.

The real story starts Wednesday afternoon on the 9th. The swell steps up to 2ft from the SW with a 17-second period, pushing the combined energy to 232 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the lineup should be clean. That's the start of a nice consistent run. Thursday the 10th morning is a bit bumpy with a cross wind, but Thursday afternoon through Friday the 11th morning kicks in hard: 2ft from the SW with a 16-second period and energy readings around 237 and 224. The conditions are clean, and this is genuinely good, fun surf for a log or a fish.

We hit a bit of a lull through the weekend of the 12th and 13th, with windy, messy conditions and energy dropping. However, Sunday the 13th afternoon is where we see our first real standout. A 7ft swell from the WNW hits, the biggest in the whole outlook, with energy spiking to 442 (strong). The period is short though, at just 7 seconds. That’s a windswell, and windswell at a point break can be a bit jumbled, but the light cross-offshore breeze (6 mph) should peel it pretty nicely. This is definitely the most powerful day on offer, but the short period and big size mean it’s for the more experienced crew.

The following week is inconsistent. There are some smaller, cleaner windows on the 15th and 16th with 3ft to 1ft, but nothing world-beating. The energy stays moderate. Then, on Saturday the 20th and Sunday the 21st, we get another run of solid, clean waves. The standout in that late run is Sunday the 20th afternoon: 2ft from the SW with a 19-second period, energy hitting 316, and that light cross-offshore wind. That’s a long-period groundswell, which will wrap beautifully around the point offering clean, lined-up waves for everyone.

So, to call it: Sunday the 13th afternoon is the big, powerful, expert-only highlight. For the most consistent, clean, and user-friendly waves, lock in the period from Thursday the 10th afternoon through Friday the 11th morning, and then again on Sunday the 20th afternoon. The break here is Rincon - Rivermouth, and it's fairly consistent, so there’s always hope. With crowds listed as "often", expect company for those good ones.

Rusty.

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