Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - The Cove surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, S swell with 429 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - The Cove this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - The Cove in the next 16 days are 1.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Rincon - The Cove, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The water is sitting at a warm 66°, which is considerably warmer than you’d expect for this time of year – feels like summer has already arrived.
The overall pattern for the next couple of weeks is pretty mellow through the first week. Swell is small and the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, which is okay but not lighting up the point. The energy is weak, with the combined swell energy mostly in the low hundreds, like 157, nothing to get excited about.
Things start to become more interesting heading into the second week. The standout period is really the final weekend of July and that first week of August. Sunday the 25th and Monday the 27th are looking like the pick of the bunch. On Sunday afternoon, the 25th, we’ve got a clean 3 ft of SSW swell with a gentle cross-off breeze, and the energy is ramping up to 471. Then Monday the 27th, both morning and afternoon, are rated as good. The morning shows a 2 ft SW groundswell at 18 seconds, with light cross-off winds and clean conditions (energy 407). The afternoon is even better, with 2 ft of SW groundswell at 19 seconds and the same clean, light wind, with energy jumping to 463. That long period stuff will be lining up nicely at the point. These are the times to be in the water.
One thing to keep in mind: Rincon is fairly exposed to the swell, so it can handle these smaller pulses well. The early part of the outlook, from the 16th to the 24th, is mostly considered poor or very ordinary. There’s a gap of about a week where the surf is just not worth paddling out for. From the 25th onward, it gets more promising. After Monday the 27th, things stay consistent through the 28th, with a 3 ft SSW swell and clean conditions in the morning, but the wind turns a little more cross, so it’s still surfable.
The last few days of the month, from the 29th through the 31st, drop off again into the poor category, so don’t plan on a late-month session unless you’re desperate.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 22°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 17 | W 17 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 103 | 74 | 106 | 76 | 52 | 49 | 108 | 83 | 100 | 297 | 429 | 366 | 327 | 303 | 102 | 134 | 128 | 204 | 140 | 136 | 115 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 12:38PM1.31m | 11:39PM1.87m | 1:21PM1.37m | 00:30AM1.63m | 2:05PM1.42m | 1:26AM1.36m | 2:50PM1.47m | 2:36AM1.10m | 3:38PM1.50m | 4:15AM0.92m | 4:28PM1.53m | 6:24AM0.87m | 5:21PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:34PM0.60m | 6:44AM-0.25m | 6:37PM0.59m | 7:23AM-0.06m | 7:47PM0.59m | 8:01AM0.16m | 9:09PM0.55m | 8:39AM0.37m | 10:41PM0.46m | 9:21AM0.57m | 00:07AM0.32m | 10:14AM0.73m | 1:13AM0.17m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 24 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 6 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 5 |
| kJ | 103 | 74 | 106 | 76 | 34 | 10 | 108 | 16 | 100 | 297 | 429 | 366 | 327 | 303 | 85 | 134 | 104 | 204 | 140 | 136 | 17 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 17 | SW 15 | WNW 7 | SW 18 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | W 5 | W 4 | W 14 | W 4 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | SW 8 | SSE 12 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 40 | 39 | 56 | 33 | 52 | 34 | 17 | 83 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 36 | 14 | 50 | 128 | 45 | 16 | 27 | 115 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | W 17 | W 16 | W 16 | W 16 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | W 14 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | S 13 | S 13 | S 8 | SW 7 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 14 | 14 | 33 | 58 | 33 | 49 | 45 | 44 | 43 | 39 | 39 | 38 | 36 | 37 | 102 | 111 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 26 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 6 | 15 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 34 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 281 | 0 | 34 | 281 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - The Cove Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - The Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - The Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - The Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - The Cove is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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