Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - The Cove surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with 270 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - The Cove this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - The Cove in the next 16 days are 0.7m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.
To be straight with you, the next 16 days are a bit of a flat spell for Rincon. The surf’s gonna be small and pretty average for the most part. There’s no one day that’s a real standout wave-wise, but we’ve got a few windows where the conditions clean up enough for a splash. The best you’ll find is small, clean fun, not the big walls Rincon is known for.
Water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is a solid 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That is very unusual – the water is feeling more like a warm bath than a late August/early September dip.
Okay, the first bit of surf to even talk about starts Monday the 24th. Monday morning is a write-off – poor surf, tiny 1ft swell from the SSW with a short period and weak energy (128). The breeze is light and cross, so the surface is messy. Monday afternoon is slightly better, with clean conditions, but the swell has dropped to 1.0ft from the SW. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Tuesday the 25th is more of the same: tiny 1ft SW swell, light cross-off winds, clean surface, but not enough push. Energy is still low (141).
Wednesday the 26th sees a slight bump to 2ft from the S, period around 12-13 seconds. The wind is light and cross-off in the morning, keeping it clean. The combined energy (236) is moderate. Still small, but the best of this first run. Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th are similar small stuff, but Friday morning looks the cleanest with light cross-off winds and a 1ft SSW swell. The period is a long 19 seconds, which is a nice groundswell, but the height is just too small to do much with. The energy is moderate (280).
Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th keep the theme: 2-2ft SSW swells, with clean cross-off winds on Saturday morning. The energy is moderate (346). But the swell direction is coming from the SSW, which isn’t ideal for Rincon’s optimum – it likes a good NNW wrap. So the shape might be a bit soft and peaky.
From Monday the 31st of August right through to Tuesday the 8th of September, it’s mostly a mix of poor surf or very ordinary conditions. There are a couple of flickers on Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th of September. Thursday afternoon shows a 3ft SSW swell (12s period) with clean cross-off winds and moderate energy (352). That’s about the biggest swell in the whole run. Friday the 4th afternoon also has a clean 2ft SSW swell with a longer period of 17 seconds, good energy (297). These are your best bets, but still very small by Rincon standards.
After that, it fades back to tiny 1-2ft swells through the weekend of the 7th and 8th. The energy is moderate (251) on the 7th, but the swell direction is SW with a very long period of 21 seconds, which can be a tricky, straight wave at a beach break, but at Rincon, a point, it’ll be better shaped – just too small. Tuesday the 8th looks blown out with onshore wind, so forget that.
So, to sum it up: Rincon is on a long, quiet run. The best sessions are likely Thursday afternoon the 3rd of September and Friday afternoon the 4th of September, with clean conditions and the highest swell of the period (3ft). But don’t expect any barrels. It’s a longboard or summer funboard kind of stretch.
If you’re desperate for a paddle, the mid-week mornings with light winds and a clean surface are your only real shot. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | W 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
70 | 46 | 70 | 69 | 66 | 107 | 156 | 141 | 132 | 114 | 116 | 108 | 140 | 146 | 270 | 261 | 229 | 229 | 193 | 140 | 116 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 9:33AM1.18m | 8:02PM1.72m | 9:51AM1.22m | 8:38PM1.77m | 10:09AM1.27m | 9:11PM1.79m | 10:28AM1.34m | 9:45PM1.76m | 10:48AM1.41m | 10:20PM1.69m | 11:11AM1.49m | 10:59PM1.57m | 11:36AM1.56m | 11:42PM1.41m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:00PM0.80m | 3:17AM-0.10m | 2:34PM0.71m | 3:43AM-0.12m | 3:07PM0.61m | 4:07AM-0.11m | 3:42PM0.52m | 4:30AM-0.06m | 4:19PM0.44m | 4:54AM0.02m | 5:00PM0.37m | 5:17AM0.14m | 5:45PM0.31m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 33 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 13 | W 6 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | W 9 | W 10 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 9 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 |
70 | 41 | 13 | 14 | 58 | 30 | 156 | 141 | 132 | 114 | 116 | 108 | 94 | 49 | 52 | 42 | 133 | 81 | 55 | 59 | 41 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 5 | S 12 | W 6 | WNW 7 | W 6 | W 8 | W 9 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
8 | 4 | 58 | 58 | 8 | 107 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 50 | 38 | 79 | 46 | 146 | 270 | 261 | 229 | 220 | 193 | 140 | 116 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SSW 19 | S 9 | WNW 9 | W 9 | S 9 | W 9 | W 9 | S 14 | SSE 13 |
50 | 46 | 70 | 69 | 66 | 64 | 64 | 62 | 12 | 54 | 54 | 76 | 140 | 27 | 29 | 43 | 6 | 41 | 40 | 4 | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | W 5 | WNW 6 | — | W 5 | W 5 |
— | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 97 | 50 | 75 | 229 | — | 49 | 55 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - The Cove Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - The Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - The Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - The Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - The Cove is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











