Rincon - The Cove Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.37° N 119.47° W

Rincon - The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rincon - The Cove sea temperature is
21.3° C
3.8° 

Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rincon - The Cove surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with 223 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - The Cove this week:

The surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - The Cove in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 15th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 15th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 15th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the next 16 days for our area. We’ve got a long, slow start ahead, so don’t get too excited just yet. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 25th of August, so there’s a solid gap of nearly a week and a half with nothing but tiny, ordinary waves and poor conditions. But when that window opens, it’s a beauty.

The standout run kicks off Tuesday, 25th August at Rincon - The Cove, a classic point break that’s fairly exposed and consistent. We’re looking at a solid pulse of south swell, pushing 4 ft to 4 ft, with a moderate 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (728 to 833 combined energy). The winds are light and cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. The water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a proper anomaly. This is the best on offer, no question. The swell direction (S) is a little off the optimum (NNW), but the quality of the swell and the clean conditions make it a ripper. It’s a consistent spot, so crowds are likely, but for waves like this, it’s worth it.

Before that, from the 15th to the 24th of August, it’s a real mixed bag of tiny, weak swell – mostly 1.0 ft to 2 ft, with short to moderate periods. The winds are light and often cross-off, but the wave energy is low (72 to 246 combined energy), and the surf is described as “poor” or “very ordinary.” Nothing to get excited about.

After the Tuesday/Wednesday peak, the swell drops back through the 27th and 28th, with 4 ft dropping to 3 ft, and the period shortening. The wind stays light, but the magic fades. By the 29th and 30th, we’re back to small, messy conditions.

So, mark your calendar for Tuesday 25th August and Wednesday 26th August – those are the days. The rest is a gamble on the long-range, but it’s looking quiet.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
1
W
6
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.8
W
8
0.5
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
229
220
160
144
140
140
120
80
146
68
88
130
138
85
81
81
79
35
34
34
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
5
N
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NW
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NNW
10
WSW
15
WSW
5
NNE
10
SW
10
WSW
5
ESE
10
SSW
10
WSW
5
N
10
SW
10
WSW
0
NE
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
00:11AM1.48m
12:57PM1.55m
1:05AM1.23m
1:34PM1.53m
2:15AM1.01m
2:17PM1.50m
4:14AM0.87m
3:11PM1.46m
7:35AM0.92m
4:22PM1.44m
8:33AM1.02m
5:36PM1.48m
Low Tide
6:16PM0.38m
6:29AM0.18m
7:15PM0.39m
6:58AM0.40m
8:24PM0.40m
7:27AM0.60m
9:51PM0.39m
7:55AM0.78m
11:27PM0.32m
8:38AM0.92m
00:43AM0.21m
11:05AM0.99m
1:36AM0.10m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:20
6:20
6:20
6:22
6:22
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:45
7:44
7:43
7:42
7:40
7:38
7:37
 mm
Temp °C
25
22
26
27
24
27
29
26
29
29
27
30
30
27
29
30
26
30
30
27
Feels °C
25
23
25
26
24
27
29
26
29
29
28
30
30
28
30
30
27
30
30
28
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rincon - The Cove Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rincon - The Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - The Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - The Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rincon - The Cove is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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