Rincon - The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening over the next couple weeks. There ain’t much size coming, but there’s a stretch of clean conditions that could keep you smiling on a log or a funboard. The whole forecast kicks off on Wednesday the 22nd, so no quiet start.

We’re looking at a consistent, intermediate-friendly point break: Rincon - The Cove. It’s fairly exposed to the swell and breaks consistently, so you can usually count on something. Water temp is 69°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not need the heavy rubber.

The first few days are tiny. Wednesday the 22nd, we’ve got morning surf around 2ft from the SSW with a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy of all swells is moderate (177). It’s clean but very ordinary. That afternoon, the swell picks up to 6ft from the west, but the period is a weak 6 seconds and the wind hits 12 mph. Looks marginal and the tides might not cooperate.

Thursday the 23rd is even smaller: 2ft from the south, but the period stretches to 13 seconds, giving the waves some punch. Light cross-offshore winds. Combined energy is moderate (215). Clean but tiny.

Friday the 24th is where it gets interesting. Swell is still small at 1ft, but the period jumps to a very long 24 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The morning has a light cross-shore, but Friday afternoon is the first real standout: 1ft from the SW, 24-second period, and glassy clean with a light cross-offshore breeze. Combined energy is moderate (312). For a point break like Rincon, that long period is a bonus. It should wrap in smooth. Crowds can be a thing here—it’s sometimes busy—but if you hit that afternoon window, it’s worth the paddle.

Saturday the 25th morning holds similar promise: 2ft SW, 21-second period, clean with light cross-offshore winds. Another good, clean morning.

Through the middle of the week, the swell stays around 2ft from the SSW with periods in the 16-19 second range. Winds stay light, switching between cross and cross-off, keeping it clean. Combined energy stays moderate (345-401). Afternoons on Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th look particularly tidy for small-wave cruising.

Then, from Friday the 31st of July into early August, we see a bit more size: 3ft from the south, but the wind turns cross-onshore on the 31st. That’s poor conditions—skip it. Saturday the 1st of August bounces back with a clean morning, 3ft from the south, cross-offshore breeze. The energy is moderate (398). That’s a decent Saturday for small-wave riders.

After that, it fades. Sunday the 2nd has 3ft, but from Monday the 3rd onward, the swell drops below 2ft and the energy gets weak, dropping to double digits like 95 by Monday afternoon. There’s also a day of poor conditions on Wednesday the 5th. The last few days are small and ordinary.

So, bottom line: If you want the best of it, Rincon - The Cove on Friday afternoon the 24th is the pick. Clean, that long-period groundswell wrapping in, and light winds. Saturday morning the 25th is a close second. After that, it’s mostly small and clean but nothing to write home about.

Rusty.

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