Rincon - The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Rincon - The Cove over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a quiet spell coming up. The swell is tiny for the most part and the wind is playing games, so we’re not looking at any proper standout days. Right now, Monday afternoon gets the ball rolling with a small 2ft swell from the west, period around 9 seconds. It’s small and the combined energy is weak (142), but the wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW and it’s clean. The water temp is sitting at 71°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than average—really unusual for this time of year, so it’ll feel like a warm bath out there. That said, it’s not going to be pumping.

Tuesday and Wednesday stay pretty flat, with cross-on winds messing things up. Thursday morning is poor, but Thursday afternoon shows a little promise: that same waist-high 1ft swell from the SSW, but with a very long period of 15 seconds, and light cross-off wind keeping it clean. Groundswell like that can peel nicely at Rincon, but it’s really small, so don’t expect much push.

The real best of a quiet bunch might actually be Friday 18th and Saturday 19th in the afternoons. Still only 1ft from the SW, but the period holds around 18-19 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy, though it’s weak (combined energy 140-182). The wind is light cross-off, so the faces will be clean. For such a consistent, fairly exposed point like Rincon (big Island), you’ll have to work for it, but there will be the odd glassy runner on the sets. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, but with this size, it won’t be mad.

From the 21st through to the 25th, it’s the same pattern: tiny, long-period SW groundswell with half-decent afternoon windows thanks to that WSW cross-off breeze. The combined energy keeps dropping into the 100s, and sometimes below 100—barely a pulse. The mornings generally stay poor with cross or cross-on winds.

Now, I’ll level with you: we’ve got a small glimmer right near the end. On Tuesday the 29th in the morning, things get interesting with a glassy surface—wind from the SW at just 3 mph—and a 2ft west swell with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a touch higher than most days (134). It’s not big, but glassy conditions at Rincon are a true gift, so that morning will be the standout if you’re itching for a smooth, small-wave session.

Overall, treat this as a two-week stretch of marginal surf. There’s no real “go time” with solid size, but the afternoons with that cross-off wind and clean conditions are your best bet. If you’re a beginner, the size is fine—just watch the long-period sets that might throw a few bigger lumps through. For the crew, it’s a patience game.

Rusty

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