
Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - The Cove surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SSW swell with 317 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - The Cove this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - The Cove in the next 16 days are 0.8m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipeline for our local stretch.
We've got a bit of a mixed bag ahead. The water temp is sitting at 69°F, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's really unusual, so the water's going to feel like bathwater when you get out there.
The good news kicks off this Tuesday afternoon, July 28th. That's the standout of the whole run. Rincon - The Cove is your spot. We're looking at a clean 3ft swell from the SSW with a very long 17-second period, pushing a moderate wave energy of 440. The wind is a light cross-offshore, keeping those lines tidy. That long period means the waves will have some real shape and power, and the sets will be spaced out, making it easier to get into position. The only bummer is the crowds – this spot can get busy, so you'll want to be out there early or late, but for quality, this is the pick of the fortnight.
The pattern keeps repeating itself for the next few days. Wednesday (29th) and Thursday (30th) afternoons follow the same script: 2ft to 3ft, clean cross-offshore wind, and that lovely long-period groundswell. Energy stays in the moderate range (406 and 327). Friday afternoon (31st) sees the period dip to 14 seconds, but still looks fun with a similar size and clean conditions.
Now, things get a bit flat and ordinary as we head into the weekend and the start of August. Saturday (1st) morning is a write-off, and the afternoons through Sunday and Monday (2nd & 3rd) offer nothing more than weak, ordinary surf. The combined energy drops way down into the double digits and low hundreds, with shorter periods. It's the kind of stuff that's hard to get excited about.
There's a long quiet spell that runs right through the first week of August. From Tuesday the 4th through to Monday the 10th, the surf mostly disappears. We're talking tiny 1.0ft to 1ft waves with weak energy readings – mostly under 120. Don't bother paddling out; you'll just be floating around.
Finally, there are a couple of faint pulses near the end. The afternoon of Tuesday, August 12th, sees a slight bump to 2ft from the SW with a long 17-second period, and the energy picks up to 198 (moderate). Winds stay clean with a light cross-offshore. It's not going to be a world-beater, but after that stretch of flatness, it's worth keeping an eye on for a sneaky sunset session. Remember, that's a full two weeks out, so treat it as promising but not set in stone.
Overall, don't sleep on this Tuesday and Wednesday. That's the window. After that, it's a waiting game.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 11 | SW 13 | W 10 | W 9 | W 6 | W 8 | W 9 | W 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
267 | 336 | 234 | 229 | 223 | 220 | 140 | 272 | 257 | 229 | 253 | 209 | 156 | 102 | 46 | 115 | 79 | 52 | 64 | 57 | 30 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 11:00AM1.15m | 9:30PM1.83m | 11:24AM1.18m | 10:02PM1.82m | 11:47AM1.22m | 10:34PM1.76m | 12:12PM1.26m | 11:09PM1.66m | 12:37PM1.33m | 11:46PM1.52m | 1:05PM1.39m | 00:30AM1.34m | 1:37PM1.46m | 1:27AM1.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:20PM0.76m | 4:48AM-0.21m | 3:54PM0.72m | 5:15AM-0.18m | 4:31PM0.68m | 5:40AM-0.13m | 5:11PM0.65m | 6:05AM-0.04m | 5:56PM0.62m | 6:30AM0.08m | 6:50PM0.58m | 6:56AM0.23m | 7:54PM0.52m | ||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
— | 8:01 | — | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | W 6 | W 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | W 9 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 11 | W 6 | W 10 | W 9 | W 6 | W 8 | W 7 | W 6 |
267 | 336 | 52 | 78 | 223 | 220 | 56 | 272 | 257 | 229 | 253 | 209 | 156 | 102 | 26 | 115 | 79 | 52 | 64 | 32 | 30 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 14 | SSW 16 | W 8 | W 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
50 | 50 | 234 | 229 | 157 | 132 | 140 | 33 | 25 | 52 | 33 | 44 | 36 | 36 | 32 | 35 | 44 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | SSE 17 | SSE 14 | S 15 | W 7 | W 6 | S 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | SW 15 | S 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
29 | 54 | 41 | 155 | 26 | 27 | 90 | 22 | 14 | — | — | 33 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | W 9 | — |
— | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 57 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 109 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - The Cove Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - The Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - The Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - The Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - The Cove is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










