Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - The Cove surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with 223 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - The Cove this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - The Cove in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - The Cove over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at the next 16 days for our area. We’ve got a long, slow start ahead, so don’t get too excited just yet. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 25th of August, so there’s a solid gap of nearly a week and a half with nothing but tiny, ordinary waves and poor conditions. But when that window opens, it’s a beauty.
The standout run kicks off Tuesday, 25th August at Rincon - The Cove, a classic point break that’s fairly exposed and consistent. We’re looking at a solid pulse of south swell, pushing 4 ft to 4 ft, with a moderate 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (728 to 833 combined energy). The winds are light and cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. The water temp is sitting at 70°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a proper anomaly. This is the best on offer, no question. The swell direction (S) is a little off the optimum (NNW), but the quality of the swell and the clean conditions make it a ripper. It’s a consistent spot, so crowds are likely, but for waves like this, it’s worth it.
Before that, from the 15th to the 24th of August, it’s a real mixed bag of tiny, weak swell – mostly 1.0 ft to 2 ft, with short to moderate periods. The winds are light and often cross-off, but the wave energy is low (72 to 246 combined energy), and the surf is described as “poor” or “very ordinary.” Nothing to get excited about.
After the Tuesday/Wednesday peak, the swell drops back through the 27th and 28th, with 4 ft dropping to 3 ft, and the period shortening. The wind stays light, but the magic fades. By the 29th and 30th, we’re back to small, messy conditions.
So, mark your calendar for Tuesday 25th August and Wednesday 26th August – those are the days. The rest is a gamble on the long-range, but it’s looking quiet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 6 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | W 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
229 | 220 | 160 | 144 | 140 | 140 | 120 | 80 | 146 | 68 | 88 | 130 | 138 | 85 | 81 | 81 | 79 | 35 | 34 | 34 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 00:11AM1.48m | 12:57PM1.55m | 1:05AM1.23m | 1:34PM1.53m | 2:15AM1.01m | 2:17PM1.50m | 4:14AM0.87m | 3:11PM1.46m | 7:35AM0.92m | 4:22PM1.44m | 8:33AM1.02m | 5:36PM1.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:16PM0.38m | 6:29AM0.18m | 7:15PM0.39m | 6:58AM0.40m | 8:24PM0.40m | 7:27AM0.60m | 9:51PM0.39m | 7:55AM0.78m | 11:27PM0.32m | 8:38AM0.92m | 00:43AM0.21m | 11:05AM0.99m | 1:36AM0.10m | |||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 22 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 25 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 5 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | SSW 14 | W 6 | W 6 | W 7 | W 6 |
229 | 220 | 160 | 144 | 28 | 22 | 23 | 80 | 66 | 51 | 88 | 49 | 29 | 16 | 27 | 81 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 25 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | W 5 | W 5 | W 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | W 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 140 | 140 | 120 | 80 | 146 | 68 | 81 | 130 | 138 | 85 | 81 | 13 | 79 | 35 | 34 | 34 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SW 13 | S 9 | W 14 | W 14 | WNW 8 | W 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 |
8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 44 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | — | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | W 5 |
2 | — | 13 | 16 | 66 | 31 | 34 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 31 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 34 | 281 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - The Cove Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - The Cove provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - The Cove can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - The Cove surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - The Cove) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - The Cove may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - The Cove is 20 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











