Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. Let's get into it.

We've got a solid 16-day window ahead, but it's going to be a long wait for anything worthwhile. The first few days start off with tiny, weak swell. The only real spot on the radar is Rincon - Indicator, a point break that's very consistent but stays tricky. On Thursday the 30th, it's a slog with a weak 2ft west swell, a period of only 8 seconds, and a messy cross-onshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph. The water is a balmy 69°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – very unusual, but it won't make up for the poor surf conditions. The energy is a measly 43.

The whole first week is a write-off. We bounce between tiny 0.7ft swells and 2ft, mostly with light onshore or cross-onshore winds. The wind is light, but it's never the right direction to clean up the small, weak waves. There's a brief moment on the morning of Friday the 1st of August where a 2ft SSW swell rolls in with a 13-second period and a light onshore wind, but the marginal forecast and questionable tide kill it. You'll be staring at flatness for days on end.

The second week doesn't offer much of a reprieve. The swell stays tiny, barely cracking 2ft, and the period stretches out – that 0.7ft swell on the 6th of August has a 20-second period, which is more of a long-period groundswell, but it's just too small to do anything. The energy is weak, sitting in the 50-200 range throughout the week. The wind stays light onshore or cross-onshore, which is frustrating because it's so close to being clean, but the waves just aren't there.

The truth is, there are no standout days in this entire outlook. For a beginner, anything over 5ft is too big, but we never get close to that. For an expert, we need something over 8ft, which is a pipe dream here. The best of a bad bunch might be the morning of the 12th of August, where a 2ft SW swell with an 18-second period and light onshore wind gives you a tiny bit of energy (205), but it's still just a marginal, poor surf scenario. You'd be better off waiting for a forecast change.

It's a classic autumn lull – the ocean is just taking a nap. It tends not to stay poor for long in this area, so keep an eye on the horizon, but for now, the board stays on the rack.

Rusty.

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