Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let's break down the Rincon area forecast.

Look, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week plus is lookin' pretty woeful. We're in for a long dry spell with hardly any decent surf. The main spot in town is Rincon - Indicator, a classic advanced point break that's real consistent when it's on, but it's just not on right now.

Wednesday the 22nd is a total dud. There's a tiny 0.7m swell from the SSW, but the wave energy is a weak 269 and the report calls it poor. The water is a warm 20° – that's a massive 3° warmer than normal for July, which is real unusual. Wednesday afternoon sees the swell jump to 2.0m from the west, but the period is a short, ugly 6 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore making it choppy. Energy hits 488 but it's messy. That kinda slop with onshore wind might be fun for a kite, but not for a paddle.

Thursday the 23rd through the weekend is more of the same. Small 0.5m to 1.2m swells, short periods, and onshore winds. By Sunday the 26th, things start to look a little less terrible. The energy climbs to 368 and the call is 'marginal.' We're talkin' a 0.6m SSW groundswell with a long 19-second period. It's got some push, but it's tiny, and that long period can make it break too straight for a point.

Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th is the same pattern – marginal in the mornings with 0.7m to 0.8m of SSW swell and 17 to 19-second periods. Wind is light and onshore, keeping the surface clean. Energy is decent, over 500 on Monday morning, but the size just isn’t there. Arvos all drop back to poor.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st stay small and weak. Friday gets a light cross-onshore from the SSE, not ideal, and the energy drops to 151.

The first week of August is even worse – tiny 0.3m to 0.7m swells, weak energy, onshore wind. There's a small blip on Monday the 3rd of August with 0.7m SSW swell and an 11-second period showing 181 energy, but it's still poor. Nothing to chase.

If I had to pick the best of a bad bunch, it'd be the mornings from Sunday the 26th to Tuesday the 28th of July. Those are the only 'marginal' windows. You'll get 0.6m to 0.8m SSW groundswell with 17 to 19-second periods and light onshore winds. Energy is in the moderate range (361-503), so there's a bit of grunt for the size. On a point like Rincon, that long-period south swell can wrap in okay, but it's tiny. It'll be clean, but you'll need a big board and low expectations. And expect company – crowds are likely there even on small days.

So, there you go. Almost two weeks of mostly poor to marginal surf. A rough stretch for sure, but the ocean can change quick. For now, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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