
Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, WNW swell with 322 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 1.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 13th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this stretch.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for Rincon - Indicator. This is a world-class point break, but it's not going to be showing its best for a while. The water is running at 70°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's really unusual, feels like summer has overstayed its welcome.
We start Thursday, the 10th of September, with a tiny 2ft SW swell rolling in, but it’s packing a long 17-second period. That's proper groundswell energy, but at this size, it's just not enough. The combined energy is weak at 277. The wind is a light breeze, but the write-up says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions", so it's not worth paddling out for. That afternoon and all through Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, the forecast just keeps saying "poor surf conditions". The swell stays tiny, never getting above 3ft, and the wind is mostly light and onshore or cross-onshore. It’s a real bummer.
We roll into the second week, and it’s more of the same. Monday the 14th through to Wednesday the 16th, we’re looking at 1ft to 3ft of swell, and the period drops off to 8 or 9 seconds on Tuesday – that's short-period, weak windswell. The energy readings are all in the low 100s to 200s, which tells you there's nothing to get excited about. The wind stays light but mostly onshore, and the comments are all "poor surf conditions." There's a brief moment on the 18th of September where the swell period jumps back up to 19 seconds, but it's only 1ft of SW swell, and the wind is cross-onshore, so it's just a tease.
The last few days of the outlook, from the 20th of September right through to the 25th, are the same story. Tiny swell, 1ft to 2ft, with periods all over the place. The energy readings finally climb into the 300s on the 20th and 21st, but it's still not enough to do anything with. The wind is light and onshore or cross-onshore. Every single session is flagged as "poor surf conditions" or "marginal".
There are no standouts here. This is a long stretch of flat, small, and poor-quality surf. For a break that's "very consistent", this is a real dry spell. When the swell is this small and the wind is mostly onshore, it's not even worth looking at the tide charts. Because of the persistent small swell and light onshore winds, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.
Stay patient, folks. The forecast can change, but for now, leave the boards in the shed.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | W 6 | WNW 6 | W 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
232 | 206 | 198 | 193 | 137 | 104 | 103 | 81 | 156 | 188 | 123 | 282 | 138 | 103 | 162 | 94 | 63 | 42 | 104 | 116 | 86 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:59AM1.54m | 9:44PM1.81m | 10:27AM1.62m | 10:28PM1.66m | 10:55AM1.68m | 11:12PM1.49m | 11:24AM1.69m | 00:00AM1.30m | 11:53AM1.66m | 00:55AM1.12m | 12:23PM1.60m | 2:11AM0.97m | 12:59PM1.51m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:40PM0.29m | 4:12AM-0.06m | 4:25PM0.20m | 4:41AM0.09m | 5:09PM0.16m | 5:08AM0.27m | 5:55PM0.16m | 5:34AM0.45m | 6:45PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.63m | 7:43PM0.24m | 6:14AM0.79m | 8:58PM0.29m | ||||||||
6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 7:12 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 22 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 5 | W 6 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | SSW 14 | WNW 6 | W 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | SSW 17 | W 5 |
232 | 206 | 43 | 22 | 27 | 43 | 54 | 81 | 83 | 188 | 123 | 282 | 138 | 103 | 162 | 94 | 63 | 23 | 24 | 116 | 7 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | W 5 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | SSW 18 | W 6 | SSW 16 |
17 | 13 | 198 | 193 | 137 | 104 | 103 | 35 | 50 | 46 | 45 | 27 | 48 | 48 | 47 | 40 | 39 | 13 | 104 | 13 | 86 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 9 | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 10 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | S 10 | S 9 | S 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 |
28 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 58 | 57 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 38 | 42 | 38 | 8 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 5 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | — | W 6 | WNW 6 | — | W 6 | WNW 6 | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 4 |
— | — | 74 | — | 34 | 90 | — | 67 | 156 | — | 71 | 60 | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 59 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 34 | 0 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










