Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this stretch.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next 16 days are looking pretty grim for Rincon - Indicator. This is a world-class point break, but it's not going to be showing its best for a while. The water is running at 70°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's really unusual, feels like summer has overstayed its welcome.

We start Thursday, the 10th of September, with a tiny 2ft SW swell rolling in, but it’s packing a long 17-second period. That's proper groundswell energy, but at this size, it's just not enough. The combined energy is weak at 277. The wind is a light breeze, but the write-up says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions", so it's not worth paddling out for. That afternoon and all through Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, the forecast just keeps saying "poor surf conditions". The swell stays tiny, never getting above 3ft, and the wind is mostly light and onshore or cross-onshore. It’s a real bummer.

We roll into the second week, and it’s more of the same. Monday the 14th through to Wednesday the 16th, we’re looking at 1ft to 3ft of swell, and the period drops off to 8 or 9 seconds on Tuesday – that's short-period, weak windswell. The energy readings are all in the low 100s to 200s, which tells you there's nothing to get excited about. The wind stays light but mostly onshore, and the comments are all "poor surf conditions." There's a brief moment on the 18th of September where the swell period jumps back up to 19 seconds, but it's only 1ft of SW swell, and the wind is cross-onshore, so it's just a tease.

The last few days of the outlook, from the 20th of September right through to the 25th, are the same story. Tiny swell, 1ft to 2ft, with periods all over the place. The energy readings finally climb into the 300s on the 20th and 21st, but it's still not enough to do anything with. The wind is light and onshore or cross-onshore. Every single session is flagged as "poor surf conditions" or "marginal".

There are no standouts here. This is a long stretch of flat, small, and poor-quality surf. For a break that's "very consistent", this is a real dry spell. When the swell is this small and the wind is mostly onshore, it's not even worth looking at the tide charts. Because of the persistent small swell and light onshore winds, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now.

Stay patient, folks. The forecast can change, but for now, leave the boards in the shed.

Rusty

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