Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks.

Well, I’m going to be straight with you – it’s a pretty flat and quiet outlook for Rincon - Indicator. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swells and mostly poor surf conditions. The water is sitting at 65° right now, which feels a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s slightly out of the ordinary.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a washout. From Saturday the 4th right through to the 19th, there isn’t a single day I’d get excited about. The first week is dominated by small, weak SSW swells. The combined energy is mostly in the hundreds (169 to 481), which is moderate but the heights are tiny – between 1ft and 2ft. The period on these is long, sometimes 16 to 20 seconds, which is groundswell, but there’s just no size behind it to make it worthwhile. For a point break like Rincon, that long period is usually a good thing, but you need more than knee-high slop to make it work.

The winds are mostly light and often offshore or cross-offshore, so it’s not a wind issue. It’s purely a lack of swell. Even the best couple of days in terms of energy – Wednesday the 8th morning and Tuesday the 7th afternoon – only get a ‘marginal’ or ‘poor’ tag from the data. That’s because 2ft from the SSW just isn’t enough to get the point firing.

Moving into the second week, from the 13th onwards, the swell direction swings to the WNW and W, but the heights stay stubbornly below 3ft. The period drops to a short 9 seconds, which means weak, windswell-style waves. The combined energy drops into the low 100s, even hitting 103 on the 15th. The chance of a rideable wave is almost nonexistent.

There is no standout here. No hidden gem. Just a long, slow period with nothing worth paddling out for. If you’re desperate, a longboard and a very low expectation might get you wet, but honestly, it looks better for a swim than a surf.

Keep an eye on it, things can change, but for now, it’s a solid pass.

Rusty.

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