Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the Rincon area over the next couple of weeks, just based on what the models are telling us for this spot.

Overall, it's a pretty quiet picture for Rincon. The swell energy is on the low side, and most windows show weak or marginal conditions. The surf size is generally small, and there's a lot of "poor surf conditions" flagged right through. The water temp's runnin' a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, at about 64°, which is a little nice for a paddle, but you won't be needing a thick hood just yet.

The first real flicker of life comes late on Sunday the 26th of July. A 1ft swell from the SSW is expected, with a very long period of 19 seconds rolling in from a groundswell. The combined energy is a solid moderate-to-strong 346, which is a standout in this otherwise flat outlook. That long period will give it some real grunt, but with Rincon being a point break, those long-period lines should wrap in nicely. The wind is light and from the WSW, putting it directly offshore and glassy, which is a massive positive for clean conditions. The downside? This is far out, so it's more of a promising wink from the forecast than a guarantee, but it's the one to circle. Rincon - Indicator is the spot, but expect it to be a bit more of an advanced setup when it gets moving on that day.

Before that, it's mainly light breezes and tiny swells, with a few days where the swell pops up to 3ft or 3ft, like the Wednesday morning and afternoon of the 15th, but those are short-period, low-energy pulses (148-208 energy range, moderate) and the wind is sometimes cross-onshore, scuffing the surface. Not worth waxing the board for.

The week after that, from the 17th through the 22nd, we see a persistent, gentle background of SSW swell holding around 2ft to 3ft with moderate energy between 170 and 265. The wind is often light and sometimes offshore, but the long-period nature of the swell (15-18 seconds) means the wave faces could be clean but the size is just too small to call it a good session for paddle surfing at Rincon. For two weeks straight, the scores are all zero or marginal, so you'd be heading down there just for the paddle, not the wave.

Remember, it's Rincon - that point handles a long-period swell well, but there just isn't enough size or consistency to get excited about anything until that Sunday the 26th. If you're a beginner, none of this is on, and even for the experienced crew, it's a waiting game.

Stay tuned, forecasts can shift. But for now, that Sunday the 26th is the only date with a pulse.

Rusty.

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