Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat and let’s talk about the next few weeks down at Rincon - Indicator. It’s a classic point, no doubt, and it’s super consistent, but it’s looking like we’re in for a bit of a waiting game. The water’s running warm, way warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a nice bonus when you’re just sitting out there.

The overall picture is one of those frustrating ones. The swell energy is there, but it’s just not translating into decent surf. For the next week, we’re looking at some tiny, weak pulses. On Wednesday morning, we’ve got a clean 1ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but the combined energy is only 104 – that’s weak. It’s glassy, with a light offshore, but there’s just nothing to ride. That’s the story for the next several days: small, weak, and mostly poor. We’ll see a bit of a bump on Sunday the 13th, with the swell pushing up to 3ft from the W, but the period drops to 9 seconds, which makes it a bit crumbly and unappealing. It’s a marginal call at best.

We’re looking at a long, flat, and frustrating stretch from the 9th through to the 17th. Honestly, it’s a lot of days to keep the board in the car.

Then, around the 18th, things start to get a little more interesting. The swell stays small, around 1ft - 2ft, but the period starts to climb back up into the 18-19 second range. That’s proper groundswell. On Friday the 18th, we see that long-period SW energy with 1ft waves, and the combined energy jumps up to 275, which is moderate. It’s not big, but it’s starting to show some signs of life. The wind is light offshore, so it could be glassy.

The real standout in the whole forecast is Saturday the 19th. It’s still small, with 2ft of SW swell, but the period hangs in there at 18 seconds and the combined energy kicks up to 356, the highest we see in the whole run. With the glassy, offshore wind, this is the one morning where Rincon - Indicator could actually turn on and offer some clean, lined-up walls. It won’t be big, but it could be really fun. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the day off yet, but it’s definitely promising.

After that, it settles back down again into that small, weak pattern for the rest of the second week, with a few marginal moments but nothing that’s going to get you pulling an all-nighter. It’s a classic summer lull, so keep the wax on and be ready to move when that Saturday the 19th rolls around.

Rusty.

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