Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up.

First, let's set the scene. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is a whopping 6° above what's normal for this time of year. That's weird, folks. It’s like summer decided to overstay its welcome. Don't expect any of that crisp autumn bite just yet.

Now, the bad news. For the next week and a half, we're looking at a whole lot of nothing. The forecast is littered with "poor surf conditions" and tiny, gutless waves. The swell energy is weak, mostly sitting in the low triple digits, and the period is all over the place, but the size is just pathetic. You’re looking at waist-high dribble at best, with a lot of SW wind that's either onshore or crossing it up. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple. From Tuesday morning the 8th all the way through to the morning of Monday the 14th, it’s a write-off.

There’s a slight flicker on the afternoon of Sunday the 13th, with a bump up to 4 ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 7 seconds, it’s cross-on, and the score is still a zero. Don't get your hopes up.

The first real, marginal glimmer of hope comes on Thursday the 17th afternoon. We see a pulse of 5 ft from the W, with a combined energy of 311 (moderate wave energy). It’s still only a marginal surf forecast, and the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy. But it’s better than what we’ve had.

The best of a bad bunch looks like it might be Rincon - Indicator. This is a very consistent, advanced point break on the exposed coast. It loves a W swell, which is what we get on the 17th afternoon. The wind is light and offshore, which is a major positive. The clean conditions are the only thing saving it. The swell is 5 ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but for the advanced crew, that’s a manageable size. Crowds are often a problem here, but with how poor the run-up has been, it might not be as packed as usual.

After that, the forecast goes back into the doldrums. The 18th and 19th see tiny, long-period (18-19 seconds) SW groundswells, but at 1 ft to 2 ft, they’re just not enough to push over the bar. It's frustrating.

So, in summary: full week of flatness, then a single, hopeful window on the afternoon of the 17th. If you’ve got the patience to wait, Rincon might give you a couple of clean, shoulder-high lines. Otherwise, leave the boards in the car.

Rusty.

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