Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it's Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Rincon are looking like a real low point for us. The swell is tiny, the energy is weak, and we're scraping the bottom of the barrel for any sort of wave. It's a long stretch of pretty much nothing, so don't get your hopes up.

Looking at the whole picture, we've got a solid gap of poor conditions from now until the end of the 16-day window. The first real chance to even sniff a wave isn't until Saturday the 15th, and even then, it's a long shot.

Let's break it down. Starting Wednesday, the 12th, through Friday, the 14th, it's a total write-off. We're talking about swell heights of 2 ft at best, coming from the SW with a long 16-second period. The energy is low, with combined readings around 168 (weak). The water is a weirdly warm 71°, which is a massive 7° above normal for this time of year – feels more like a bath than the Pacific. But the surf is just "poor" with no push.

We finally see a glimmer on Saturday morning, the 15th. The swell nudges up to 2 ft from the SSW, still with a long 16-second period. The combined energy jumps a bit to 288 (moderate), and the wind is light and offshore from the SW. That's the best of the bunch, but the data still calls it "marginal surf forecast." It's a tiny, clean wave, but it's still tiny.

From Sunday the 16th all the way through to Thursday the 27th, it's just a repeating pattern of poor surf. The swell stays between 1.0 ft and 3 ft, with energy readings mostly in the 100-200 range (weak to moderate). The wind is often light, sometimes offshore, but it doesn't matter because there's just not enough swell to work with. The period drops to a short 8 seconds on the 18th, which is just useless.

The only other spot that's barely worth a mention is Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd, with a slight shift to a WNW swell, but it's still only 2 ft with a short 9-10 second period and energy readings of 117 and 148. It's still "poor surf conditions."

Look, I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but this is the reality. The whole 16-day window is a bust. There's no standout day, no hidden gem. The setup is so small and weak that it's honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Keep the boards in the car and wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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