Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be honest, this is a tough one. The next 16 days are looking pretty ordinary for the Rincon - Indicator area. There’s no real run of quality surf to get excited about; it’s a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly messy conditions. The first few days are a non-starter, and the whole outlook is filled with “poor surf conditions” flags. The best we can say is there’s a tiny window of glassy, clean conditions much later, but it’s for very small swell.

The first real surf recommendation comes on Thursday July 9th afternoon. We’ve got a small 2ft SSW swell, but it’s a very long-period 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is weak (355), and the wind is a light onshore breeze from the SW. The water is sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s not a goer.

Friday July 10th morning is the same story – 2ft, 16-second SSW swell, weak energy (322), and onshore wind. Still marginal. Friday afternoon drops to 2ft and 15 seconds, with the score hitting zero. From Saturday July 11th through to Tuesday July 14th morning, we’re stuck with tiny 0.7ft to 2ft swell, short periods, and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy dips as low as 12 (very weak). It’s a write-off for paddle surfing.

The situation doesn’t improve through the second week. Swell bumps up to 3ft on Wednesday July 15th morning, but it’s short-period (8 seconds) windswell, with a cross-onshore breeze. The energy is moderate (177), but the quality is poor. This pattern of small, short-period, or onshore-condition surf continues all the way to Thursday July 24th.

The only true standout, and I mean the *only* one, is Friday July 17th afternoon. The forecast shows a 1.0ft WNW swell, but it’s a very long 17-second period, and the wind goes glassy. The combined energy is still weak (111). The comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” This tiny window of glassy conditions is the best on offer, but honestly, the swell is tiny. It’s a clean, knee-high dribble for a very patient surfer.

For the whole 16-day run, no break is worth a highlight for quality. The consistent message is small swell and poor conditions. If you’re a kite surfer, the setup on Wednesday July 15th afternoon with a 2ft, 9-second cross-onshore wind might be more interesting than paddle surfing.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts – it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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