Rincon - Indicator Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.37° N 119.48° W

Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 24 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rincon - Indicator sea temperature is
21.1° C
4.0° 

Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period, SW swell with 467 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with W swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:

The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 5s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.7m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 24th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 6s
Best Surf 5AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 21s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 21s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day run for Rincon is a tough one to call. The data shows a whole lot of "poor surf conditions" and "marginal" windows, with none of the scores hitting the mark for a proper green light. There's a long gap of almost nothing worthwhile, especially for a spot that's usually so reliable. But don't lose hope; it's Rincon, and it never stays flat for too long. The only real flicker of something to paddle out for comes at the very end.

Right now, starting Friday the 24th, it's a write-off. We've got a tiny 3 ft swell from the west with a short 7-second period, and it's onshore. The water is a balmy 70° – that's a whopping 7° warmer than normal, which is very unusual for this time of year. That's a real talking point, but it doesn't help the surf. The energy is weak (62). Saturday and Sunday are more of the same: small, onshore, and messy. The combined energy jumps up a bit on Sunday morning (434) with a 2 ft south-southwest swell, but it's still a marginal call at best. The wind is light, but it's coming from the wrong direction.

The whole first week is a dud. Monday through Wednesday, the swell stays tiny – 2 ft to 3 ft – and the wind keeps it onshore or cross-onshore. The energy levels (like 501 on Monday afternoon, 525 on Tuesday morning) are moderate, but it doesn't matter with the wind being so poor. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st see the swell drop even further, with an 8-second period on Friday (energy 42) – that's just crumbly and weak. This is a classic "check the wind forecast" time, but the long-range isn't promising.

The first weekend of August, the 1st and 2nd, is a little better but still not good. Saturday morning we have a 3 ft south-southwest swell with a 15-second period, giving a combined energy of 356. The wind is light onshore, so it's clean but not punchy. A 15-second period is a long groundswell, which can be tricky at Rincon (a point break) – it can get a bit walled-up and straight, but the long gaps between sets make paddling out easier. I wouldn't call it a standout, just a glimmer. Sunday is similar with a 3 ft swell and 12-second period, but the wind is onshore again.

Then we hit a big gap. From Monday the 3rd of August right through to Friday the 8th, there's absolutely nothing. The swell is consistently below 2 ft, the periods are short, and the combined energy is mostly under 100 (weak). The wind is often cross-onshore, chopping up what little there is. This is a solid 5-day stretch of flatness.

The only real standout, and I mean the only one, is on Saturday the 8th of August. The morning shows a 1.0 ft swell from the south-southwest, but here's the kicker: the period is 19 seconds. That's a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is only 87 (weak), but that long period means it'll have a lot of push for its size. The wind is light and onshore, so it'll be glassy. The water temp is still warm, but we don't have a reading for that day. At Rincon, a 1.0 ft, 19-second swell from the south-southwest is a real sneaky treat. It's not a big wave, but it'll have a nice, clean shape, and with the light wind, it'll be smooth. The crowds will be *often* there, so expect a few heads bobbing around. It's the only window in the entire 16 days that even looks like a proper surf, and it's a long way out. It's promising, but take it with a grain of salt.

Until then, keep the board waxed and the patience high. This is a dry spell, but it won't last forever.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
W
7
0.4
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SSW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SSW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
62
141
162
305
141
384
332
330
319
327
364
298
390
373
390
223
284
284
191
172
118
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
WSW
0
W
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NW
10
WSW
10
WSW
0
NNW
10
WSW
10
SW
5
NNW
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
NNE
10
SSW
10
SW
5
E
15
S
10
SSW
0
N
Wind State
on
on
glassy
on
on
cross
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
9:08AM1.01m
6:59PM1.65m
9:44AM1.07m
7:42PM1.71m
10:12AM1.10m
8:21PM1.77m
10:37AM1.12m
8:56PM1.81m
11:00AM1.15m
9:30PM1.83m
11:24AM1.18m
10:02PM1.82m
11:47AM1.22m
10:34PM1.76m
Low Tide
12:32PM0.89m
2:44AM-0.06m
1:26PM0.88m
3:19AM-0.13m
2:09PM0.85m
3:51AM-0.18m
2:45PM0.80m
4:21AM-0.20m
3:20PM0.76m
4:48AM-0.21m
3:54PM0.72m
5:15AM-0.18m
4:31PM0.68m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:05
8:05
8:04
8:02
8:01
8:01
8:00
 mm
Temp °C
28
29
26
28
29
27
29
29
27
28
28
26
28
28
27
29
29
25
27
28
25
Feels °C
28
29
27
28
29
28
29
28
28
28
27
27
28
28
28
29
30
27
27
29
27
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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