Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, it’s a pretty flat stretch ahead. We’re looking at a long, quiet run with no real surf to get excited about for the first two weeks. The first hint of anything worthwhile doesn’t show up until Saturday the 25th, and even then it’s only just barely a tick. So we’re talking about a big gap of about 14 days with nothing really rideable.

The only spot on the radar is Rincon – Indicator. It’s a very consistent point break that’s fairly exposed to the swell, and it loves a good W direction. But the problem is, the swell just isn’t there. Through the middle of July, we’re looking at tiny waves – mostly 1 ft to 2 ft – with a mix of light cross-on and onshore breezes from the S and WSW. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 44 to 265 range, and the water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first day that even hints at a pulse is Saturday the 25th of July. The morning shows a 2 ft SSW swell with a very long 21-second period. That’s a groundswell, and combined energy climbs to 371 (moderate). It’s still light cross-on wind from the W and the surf is still described as marginal. Not exactly a green light.

The real standout – and I mean the one true glimmer in this whole 16-day window – is Sunday the 26th of July. The morning session is where it’s at. We’ve got a 2 ft SW swell with a 19-second period, which is still a nice long-period groundswell. The combined energy jumps right up to 525 (strong). And the wind? Glassy. Absolutely glassy from the WSW at only 3 mph. That’s the cleanest you’ll see it. The surf is described as “expect good surf conditions.” For a break like Rincon, which is a point, that long-period swell will wrap in beautifully, giving you those long, drawn-out lines. Just keep in mind, it’s an advanced wave and the crowds are often there, so expect company.

The afternoon of the 26th still has some juice with a 2 ft SSW swell and 19-second period, combined energy at 351, and light offshore WSW wind, but it’s a step down from that morning glass-off.

So, bottom line: wait it out. The first two weeks are a write-off. The only real window to paddle out is the morning of Sunday the 26th. It’s a long way off, so don’t bet the house on it, but it’s the one shot that looks promising.

Rusty.

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