Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SSW swell with 288 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 15s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up – this outlook is a tough one for the local breaks. We’re looking at a real dry spell for the next couple of weeks.
Right now, the water is sitting at 69°, and that's a full 6° warmer than average for this time of year. That’s a pretty wild anomaly, so you’ll be in warm water even if the waves are absent.
The pattern starts with a few small pulses of swell, but the conditions are just heartbreaking. From Wednesday, the 29th of July, through the entire first week and into the second, the forecast is a constant parade of "poor surf conditions." The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things messy. The swell that does show up is tiny, often under 3 ft, and with weak energy, usually in the double digits (like 66 to 323).
The only real pulse of energy we see building is a very long-period groundswell from the SSW. Starting around the 7th of August, the combined energy starts to climb into the 200s (from 175 to 246), with periods of 16 to 19 seconds. This is a strong, long-period swell, but it’s still paired with those poor surf conditions and the wind is never fully offshore. For a point break like Rincon - Indicator, a long-period SSW swell is actually a decent direction, but the wind is the killer here. The waves themselves will be there, but the surface will be blown out. This is a real tease.
There is absolutely no standout in the entire 16-day window. The best call is to keep your eyes on the long-range SSW swells around the 7th through the 13th of August, but don't get your hopes up. The consistent onshore wind is going to ruin the party. For a spot that is very consistent, it’s a bad run. It’s the kind of blank period that can feel like a lifetime, but it won’t last forever. The forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 10 | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 284 | 288 | 250 | 50 | 85 | 66 | 63 | 62 | 90 | 86 | 169 | 188 | 138 | 127 | 103 | 78 | 57 | 36 | 34 | 33 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:02PM1.82m | 11:47AM1.22m | 10:34PM1.76m | 12:12PM1.26m | 11:09PM1.66m | 12:37PM1.33m | 11:46PM1.52m | 1:05PM1.39m | 00:30AM1.34m | 1:37PM1.46m | 1:27AM1.13m | 2:15PM1.54m | 2:49AM0.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:54PM0.72m | 5:15AM-0.18m | 4:31PM0.68m | 5:40AM-0.13m | 5:11PM0.65m | 6:05AM-0.04m | 5:56PM0.62m | 6:30AM0.08m | 6:50PM0.58m | 6:56AM0.23m | 7:54PM0.52m | 7:24AM0.39m | 9:14PM0.44m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 23 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 24 |
Feels °C | 28 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 30 | 30 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 15 | SSW 16 | SSE 13 | S 15 | S 14 | W 8 | S 13 | WNW 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 9 | W 10 | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 9 | W 6 | W 7 | W 6 |
| kJ | 309 | 288 | 232 | 339 | 390 | 66 | 215 | 62 | 90 | 86 | 169 | 188 | 138 | 127 | 103 | 78 | 57 | 21 | 28 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | W 6 | SSW 16 | W 8 | WNW 8 | S 14 | SW 15 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 9 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 12 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 284 | 36 | 250 | 50 | 85 | 198 | 34 | 162 | 57 | 25 | 29 | 18 | 18 | 25 | 27 | 16 | 40 | 15 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SSE 14 | W 9 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | WNW 8 | S 10 | S 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SW 13 | S 11 | WSW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SSW 12 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 55 | 147 | 73 | 24 | 19 | 139 | 42 | 38 | 30 | 29 | 46 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 10 | 25 | 15 | 36 | 14 | 12 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 39 | — | — | 38 | — | — | 63 | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 0 | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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