Rincon - Indicator Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.37° N 119.48° W

Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 17 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rincon - Indicator sea temperature is
21.0° C
3.5° 

Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with 191 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:

The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 1.3m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 14s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 18th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 18th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 19th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty checking in from the coast, and I’ve got a pretty quiet picture for us over the next couple of weeks. Let’s be straight up – the surf just isn’t showing up for a while. We’re looking at a real long stretch of small, weak energy that doesn’t deliver anything worth paddling out for.

Right now, we’re in a dry spell. The forecast starts with Monday the 17th of August and runs all the way through to Monday the 31st of August with nothing but poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny – most of the time we’re looking at waves around 1.0 ft to 2 ft, and the combined energy is weak, sitting between 61 and 324 (moderate). The best of it is that super long-period groundswell, up to 18 seconds at times, but with almost no height, it’s just not breaking with any push. The wind is often light and sometimes offshore from the SW, which would be great for clean conditions if there was any swell to work with.

For the advanced crew at Rincon – Indicator (a point break that’s very consistent and pretty exposed to the west swell) – this is a frustrating run. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there, but the ocean is basically flat. The 2 ft to 3 ft swells that show up from the SSW and SW are just too small to make the point work. Even the little bump on the 31st of August Monday morning with 3 ft from the SSW and a 16-second period is only rated as marginal, and the energy (386) is still moderate at best. It’s not worth the drive.

So, what’s the bottom line? There are no good surf options in the 16-day window. This is a blank run for the area. With a break like Rincon that’s usually very consistent, this kind of flat spell stands out, but it happens. The swell direction is off, the period is long but the height is missing. If you’ve got a kite, that’s a different story – the light winds and small chop might be interesting, but for paddle surfing, you’re better off waiting for a proper west swell to light it up.

Stay patient, keep watching the charts, and I’ll be back when there’s something to ride.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.6
WNW
9
0.6
W
9
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
16
0.3
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
142
140
138
146
71
120
131
140
94
118
120
79
59
58
57
62
60
73
85
60
82
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NNW
10
WSW
15
WSW
5
NNW
10
WSW
10
WSW
0
SSW
5
SW
10
WSW
0
ENE
10
SW
10
WSW
0
NE
10
WSW
10
WSW
0
WSW
10
SW
15
WSW
5
NW
Wind State
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
1:34PM1.53m
2:15AM1.01m
2:17PM1.50m
4:14AM0.87m
3:11PM1.46m
7:35AM0.92m
4:22PM1.44m
8:33AM1.02m
5:36PM1.48m
8:56AM1.09m
6:36PM1.55m
9:15AM1.14m
7:23PM1.64m
Low Tide
8:24PM0.40m
7:27AM0.60m
9:51PM0.39m
7:55AM0.78m
11:27PM0.32m
8:38AM0.92m
00:43AM0.21m
11:05AM0.99m
1:36AM0.10m
12:32PM0.96m
2:16AM0.01m
1:22PM0.89m
2:48AM-0.06m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:20
6:20
6:20
6:22
6:22
6:22
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:43
7:42
7:40
7:38
7:37
7:37
7:36
 mm
Temp °C
26
28
25
28
29
26
30
30
27
30
31
28
30
30
26
29
30
26
29
30
27
Feels °C
25
27
25
27
29
27
30
30
28
31
31
29
31
30
27
29
30
27
29
30
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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