Rincon - Indicator Surf Break

Lat Long: 34.37° N 119.48° W

Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rincon - Indicator sea temperature is
20.8° C
3.8° 

Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 21s period, SW swell with 467 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:

The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.7m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 12s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Fri 24th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 7s
Best Surf 5AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 21s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 21s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, straight up: the next 16 days are a real struggle for Rincon. We’re lookin’ at a long, frustrating stretch of small, weak swell and onshore winds that just won’t let up. The water is sitting at a super warm 69°F, which is 7°F above normal for this time of year – that’s a very unusual anomaly, feels more like a bathtub than the ocean.

The first few days are a total write-off. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are all poor surf conditions with onshore wind. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 4ft, and the period is either short or mixed up. The combined wave energy is all over the place, hitting a moderate 240 (Thursday afternoon) but it’s just messy.

We finally get a slight *hint* of something from Sunday the 26th through Monday the 27th. The swell direction finally swings to the southwest, with heights around 2ft to 2ft and a long period of 18 to 19 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (323 to 464), and the wind is a light breeze, but it’s still cross-onshore, meaning a bit of chop. The score is a 1 out of 10 – just marginal. It’s not worth paddling out for, honestly. The period is long, so at a point break like Rincon, it could wrap in, but the size is just too small to get any real juice.

Then it’s back to poor conditions from Tuesday the 28th all the way through to the end of the forecast on Friday August 7th. The swell barely kicks above 3ft, and for most of that second week, it’s dropping to 1.0ft – 2ft. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, with a few "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy" notes on August 2nd and 3rd. The combined energy drops to weak values, like 45 on August 1st morning.

There is no standout. There is no best on offer. This is a blank run. For an area like this, it’s a bit of a bummer, but it happens. The conditions are better suited for a longboard pool session than a paddle out. If you absolutely have to get wet, wait for the lightest cross-onshore morning and a 3ft, 8-second period on August 2nd, but don’t expect much.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SSW
14
1.2
W
6
1.2
WNW
7
0.9
W
7
0.4
SW
24
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SSW
21
0.4
SW
20
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SSW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
19
0.7
SW
17
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
107
112
131
86
141
162
305
141
384
332
260
319
327
360
298
390
373
390
223
166
284
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
SW
0
NNW
10
SW
15
WSW
0
W
10
WSW
10
WSW
5
NNW
10
SSW
10
SW
5
NE
10
SW
10
WSW
0
NNE
10
SW
10
WSW
0
ENE
10
SW
15
WSW
0
SW
Wind State
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
on
on
glassy
High Tide
8:09AM0.93m
6:12PM1.60m
9:08AM1.01m
6:59PM1.65m
9:44AM1.07m
7:42PM1.71m
10:12AM1.10m
8:21PM1.77m
10:37AM1.12m
8:56PM1.81m
11:00AM1.15m
9:30PM1.83m
11:24AM1.18m
10:02PM1.82m
Low Tide
11:23AM0.84m
2:03AM0.04m
12:32PM0.89m
2:44AM-0.06m
1:26PM0.88m
3:19AM-0.13m
2:09PM0.85m
3:51AM-0.18m
2:45PM0.80m
4:21AM-0.20m
3:20PM0.76m
4:48AM-0.21m
3:54PM0.72m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:06
8:05
8:05
8:04
8:02
8:01
8:01
 mm
Temp °C
29
31
29
28
29
27
29
30
28
29
29
27
29
29
26
28
28
25
28
29
26
Feels °C
29
32
30
29
29
28
29
30
29
29
31
28
30
30
27
28
28
26
28
29
26
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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