Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here.

These next 16 days at Rincon - Indicator are looking like a long, slow grind. The surf is small and the wind is a problem, staying cross-on or onshore from the south or southwest for the bulk of the period. It’s a tough stretch for a classic point break.

From Friday, the 17th, all the way through the end of July, the swell is almost non-existent. Heights are in the 1 to 3 foot range with short periods, and the combined wave energy is pitiful, sitting between 68 and 265 (weak) for most of that time. It’s just not worth paddling out for the quality on offer.

There’s a tiny blip on Tuesday, the 21st. The morning shows a 4 foot swell from the SSW. The combined energy jumps to 476 (moderate), but the wind is onshore, so it’s going to be a messy, marginal session. It’s the best of the first week, but that’s not saying much.

Things get a little more interesting heading into the second week. The morning of Sunday, the 26th of July, has a 4 foot SSW swell with a 13-second period, 754 combined energy (moderate, pushing strong), and onshore wind. It’s marginal. The following Monday (27th) and Tuesday (28th) afternoons also see a bit more energy, with combined energy in the 531 to 747 range (moderate to strong), and wave heights up to 3 feet. The wind is onshore or cross-on, but it’s a light breeze, which might just keep the surface from getting too choppy. These are the only days that even look like a possibility.

Because this break is very consistent and often crowded, it’s a real bummer to see this blank run. The persistent cross/onshore wind and the lack of a proper swell direction are the main issues. The water temp is about average for the season.

The best session in the whole 16-day window is the morning of Tuesday, the 28th of July. The swell is 3 feet from the SSW, but the period is 18 seconds (a very long, powerful groundswell). The combined energy is 531 (moderate). The wind is a light breeze from the west, which is a cross-on, but it’s light enough to keep the surface glassy. For a point break, that long period will wrap around the point perfectly, giving you long, clean lines. It won’t be big, but it could be the most fun you’ll have if you pick your moment.

For the rest of it, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, and this spot is too good to stay this quiet for long.

Rusty.

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