Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rincon Point.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be honest with you – this outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of days where the surf is just not cooperating. The first real recommendation doesn't come until Tuesday the 18th of August, and even then, it’s a marginal call. From now until then, the waves are tiny, the energy is low, and the conditions are just plain poor. You’re looking at about a 3-day gap with nothing worthwhile.

The only flicker of hope in the near term is Tuesday afternoon the 18th. The swell is a tiny 1 ft from the SSW, but the period is a long 17 seconds, giving it a bit more push than you’d expect. The combined energy is moderate at 305, and with a light offshore breeze from the WSW, it might be glassy enough for a longboard or a fun foiling session. But honestly, it’s marginal at best.

After that, we’re back into a dry spell. Wednesday the 19th through to the end of the month is mostly small, weak, and onshore. The energy levels drop into the weak range, often below 200, and the swell direction starts shifting around. The winds are mostly light, but they’re cross-onshore, creating small ripples and chop. It’s not paddle-surfing weather.

Now, looking way out to the end of the month, there’s a glimmer on the horizon. Friday the 28th of August morning shows a 3 ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and a combined energy of 558 – that’s moderate to strong energy. The wind is light offshore from the WSW. This is the best-looking setup in the whole 16-day window, but it’s a long way off, so treat it as a promising but uncertain prospect. The swell direction (SSW) is not quite the optimum west for Rincon, but the energy and clean wind make it the standout. Saturday the 29th also shows some energy, around 2 ft with periods over 17 seconds, but again, it’s a long-range call.

The water temperature at the moment is 70°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual – you’ll be surfing in a bath.

So, to sum it up: the next week and a half is mostly a write-off. The best bet is to keep an eye on the 28th and 29th of August, but don’t hold your breath. For now, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the weak, short-period, onshore chop.

Rusty.

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