Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with 215 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – we are in a dry spell. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for the typical spots. The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until the morning of Saturday, 29 August, and even then it’s a marginal call. That’s nearly a two-week gap with nothing solid on offer.
Before that, there's a lot of small, weak swell and mostly onshore or cross-onshore breezes. The water is sitting at 70°F, which is about 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a very unusual warm spike for Rincon. Feels like bathwater, but sadly no power behind it.
For that Saturday the 29th, the swell bumps up to about 2 ft from the SSW with a period of 15-16 seconds, giving us moderate wave energy. It’s a long-period groundswell, which is great for a point like Rincon – it’ll wrap in nicely and won’t just close out. Wind looks light and offshore from the SW – that means clean, glassy faces. This is the standout of the whole outlook, no question. But look, with the swell this small, it’s only really going to work on the right tide. The crowds will likely be out there sniffing the same thing.
If a long-period SSW groundswell is your groove, that Saturday is the one to chase. Don’t bother before that unless you just want a float.
Rusty signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 23°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | W 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 215 | 191 | 188 | 142 | 140 | 138 | 146 | 84 | 120 | 131 | 140 | 94 | 118 | 120 | 79 | 59 | 58 | 43 | 103 | 90 | 97 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 12:57PM1.55m | 1:05AM1.23m | 1:34PM1.53m | 2:15AM1.01m | 2:17PM1.50m | 4:14AM0.87m | 3:11PM1.46m | 7:35AM0.92m | 4:22PM1.44m | 8:33AM1.02m | 5:36PM1.48m | 8:56AM1.09m | 6:36PM1.55m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:15PM0.39m | 6:58AM0.40m | 8:24PM0.40m | 7:27AM0.60m | 9:51PM0.39m | 7:55AM0.78m | 11:27PM0.32m | 8:38AM0.92m | 00:43AM0.21m | 11:05AM0.99m | 1:36AM0.10m | 12:32PM0.96m | 2:16AM0.01m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:42 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 14 | W 6 | WNW 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 6 | W 8 | W 8 | W 6 | W 7 | W 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 9 | SSW 15 | W 6 |
| kJ | 215 | 191 | 34 | 29 | 140 | 91 | 85 | 84 | 99 | 60 | 40 | 41 | 43 | 43 | 27 | 39 | 23 | 43 | 103 | 43 | 64 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | W 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 7 | 9 | 188 | 142 | 7 | 138 | 146 | 71 | 120 | 131 | 140 | 94 | 118 | 120 | 79 | 59 | 58 | 34 | 29 | 29 | 73 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 18 | S 18 | S 9 | SSW 17 | S 9 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | SSW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | WNW 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 2 | 55 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 34 | 32 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 8 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 21 | 53 | 36 | 40 | 124 | — | — | 35 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 90 | 97 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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