Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a grind. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, messy, onshore wind-affected surf. The good news is that there’s a very seasoned, reliable point break that can make something out of nearly nothing. The hero of this forecast is Rincon - Indicator, a super consistent point break that’s fairly exposed to the swell. This spot is built for this kind of drawn-out, long-period energy.

The water temp is hugging the usual mark for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first few days, from Saturday the 18th through next week, are pretty much a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2 ft, and the wind is on it or cross-onshore all day. The energy is weak to moderate but the 'poor surf conditions' tag says it all. You'd be fighting a losing battle.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Tuesday the 21st. The swell bumps up a touch, and the wind is light and variable in the mornings. The energy is moderate, but the wave comment is still 'marginal' at best. It is a tease.

The real standout, the one that catches my eye, kicks off on Sunday the 27th of July. The morning shows a cleaner 3 ft swell from the SW with a long 18-second period, and a light onshore breeze that won't totally ruin it. The combined energy is strong. This is a classic long-period groundswell that a point break like Rincon will love, wrapping in and offering those long, lined-up walls. It's a spot that's often crowded, and with the best conditions in weeks, expect plenty of company.

That momentum carries into Monday the 28th. The morning looks even better with the same 3 ft SSW swell, 18-second period, and light onshore wind. The energy is peaking (strong). This is the absolute best looking window in the whole 16-day forecast. The quality is still only 'marginal' according to the numbers, but for a point break with this kind of consistency, a 3 ft, 18-second SSW groundswell with light wind is a proper session. It’s not a massive day, but the quality of the wave shape should be there.

After that, the swell slowly fades into the first week of August, with energy dropping and the surf looks like it will peter out. The 16-day window closes with a whimper.

So, the call is simple. The rest of July is a waiting game. The best chance for a real wave is the morning of Monday the 28th of July. Get there early, or you'll be fighting for a spot.

Rusty.

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