Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Rusty here, checkin’ in with a look at the next sixteen days. Honestly, it’s a tough run ahead. The whole period is a long, drawn-out lull, with nothing that really gets the heart pumping for Rincon - Indicator (Rincon-Point). We’re looking at a two-week gap with no solid, rideable surf.

The pattern is clear right from the start: Friday the 11th kicks off with weak, short-period windswell and onshore wind. That sets the tone for what’s to come. For the next two weeks, the swell barely breaks the 3ft mark, with the combined energy readings staying low, mostly between 88 and 344. While there’s a little bump in energy (287 to 344) around the 19th and 20th, the swell quality is poor, with winds tending to be cross-onshore or just onshore, messing up any chance of clean lines.

For a spot like this, the swell direction is mostly from the SSW and SW, but the wind is blowing from the same quarter, so it’s never really clean. The water is sitting at a very unusual 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—something to note if you’re paddling out in a spring suit.

Sunday the 13th is the only day that flirts with something interesting, showing a 4ft swell from the W with a period of 9 seconds. The energy reading is 276 (moderate), and the wind is light and onshore, so it’s not total junk. But it’s still marginal at best.

After that, it’s all downhill. Monday the 14th drops back down, and we’re stuck with waist-high or smaller slop through until at least Saturday the 26th. The last week is particularly grim, with combined energy dropping below 200 for most sessions and swell heights at 1ft to 2ft.

There are no standouts here. Not a single day gets a green light. If you’re desperate, maybe try Sunday the 13th morning for a few crumbly 3ft waves, but manage your expectations. This is a classic autumn flat spell for the area. It won’t last forever, and forecasts can change, but for now, leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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