Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you—this stretch ain’t offering much for the next couple of weeks. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for quality surf at Rincon - Indicator. There’s a gap right from the start with no real swell to speak of, and it stays that way all the way through. We’ve got a few pulses of energy, but they’re all landing as “poor surf conditions” with not a single decent score. Let’s walk through it.

We kick off on Sunday morning, 2 August, with a tiny 2 ft from the WNW, period a short 8 seconds, combined energy of 121 (weak). The wind’s a light 6 mph from the SW, so it’s onshore, but the swell’s just too small and weak to do anything. That pattern sticks—Monday morning, 3 August, same deal: 2 ft from the W, 9-second period, energy down to 106. Afternoon picks up a little breeze, 9 mph from the WSW, making it cross-onshore and choppy.

Tuesday 4 August drops right off to 1 ft from the SW, but the period jumps to 15 seconds—long-period groundswell. Energy is just 96 though, so it’s weak. That long period might sound good, but for a point break like Rincon, a long-period SW swell can be a bit too lined up and fat. Morning winds are light and onshore, so it’s clean-ish but flat. By Wednesday 5 August, we’re down to 1 ft from the SW, 14 seconds, energy just 42. Honestly, it’s a desert.

Thursday 6 August is more of the same—1 ft, 13 seconds, energy 33. Then Friday 7 August morning shows a bit of a pulse: 1 ft from the SSW, period stretching to 19 seconds, and energy jumps to 193 (moderate). That’s a long-period groundswell, but it’s still tiny. Wind is light and onshore, so it’s clean but not worth paddling out for. The afternoon sees a cross-onshore breeze, small wind ripples, and the energy sits at 191. Still poor.

Saturday 8 August keeps the same theme: 2 ft from the SSW, 18 seconds, energy 210 (moderate). Morning wind is 9 mph from the S, cross-onshore and choppy. Afternoon lightens up but the swell’s still too small. Sunday 9 August through to the end of the period—right up to Monday 17 August—just repeats the same story: tiny swells between 1 ft and 2 ft, mostly from the SSW or SW, with periods ranging from 13 to 20 seconds. Energy values climb a bit, hitting 297 on the afternoon of Saturday 15 August (moderate), and 293 on Monday 17 August morning (moderate), but every single entry is marked “poor surf conditions.” The wind is almost always light and onshore or cross-onshore, meaning no clean, proper waves.

There’s no standout here. Not a single session worth getting excited about. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. The only break on offer is Rincon - Indicator, a point break that’s advanced-level and very consistent, but it’s not breaking with any quality. Crowds are often an issue here, but with this lack of swell, it’ll be empty anyway.

If you’re a kite surfer, the onshore wind and small swell might be more interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a blank run. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid 16-day gap. I’d keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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