Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what this stretch has for you, and I’ll be honest – it’s a quiet spell.

We’re focused on Rincon - Indicator, a steady point break that’s very consistent and has decent exposure. The water is sitting at about 70°F right now, which is much warmer than usual – nearly 7°F above the norm. You’ll notice it.

The first real shot at a wave comes Saturday morning, July 25th. There’s a tiny 2ft SSW swell, but the period is super long at 21 seconds – that’s real groundswell. At a point break, that should wrap in nicely. Combined energy is moderate (397). Wind is light at 10 km/h from the SSW, cross-on, so not glassy but light enough. Conditions are marginal and crowds are often here, so expect company.

Sunday morning July 26th looks a bit cleaner. Swell is about 2ft from the SSW with a 19-second period, and wind turns offshore from the WSW at 10 km/h. That’s a big plus – clean faces, less chop. Energy is moderate (436). Afternoon stays offshore too, though the period drops a touch. Sunday morning is the standout of this first week.

Monday July 27th morning rolls in similar – 2ft SSW, 18 seconds, offshore wind. Energy moderate (445). But the guidance doesn’t rate it highly, so keep expectations in check. The same small stuff drifts through Tuesday and Wednesday with offshore breezes, but periods drop into the 16-18 second range and energy stays moderate. Nothing scores well for quality.

Then Thursday July 30th, things flatten. Swell drops to 2ft from the SSW, then becomes a weak 2ft W windswell with only 8 seconds. Combined energy crashes to 48 – that’s weak. And then we hit a long, dry run.

From Friday July 31st through Saturday August 8th, it’s pretty barren. Swell is tiny – 0.7ft to 3ft – with periods mostly under 10 seconds, often from the W or SW. Combined energy stays below 100 most days, hitting a low of 18 on August 9th afternoon. Winds are light but the surf just isn’t there. No standout days in that stretch at all.

Sunday August 9th morning gives a tiny pulse – 2ft from the SSW at 17 seconds – but it’s cross-on and weak (energy 178). Not worth suiting up for.

The best on offer in this entire 16-day window? Sunday morning July 26th. Clean offshore wind, long-period groundswell wrapping into Rincon - Indicator. It’s not big, but it’s the cleanest wave of the run. If you’re itching, that’s your morning.

Rusty.

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