Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the local surf scene for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions. The entire 16-day window is a real struggle to find anything worth paddling out for. The first solid recommendation doesn't appear until the very end of the forecast, so there’s a long gap of small, poor-quality surf from now through the 17th of August. The swell is tiny, the periods are a mix of short and long, and the energy is low, typically under 200 (the combined swell energy is weak to moderate). Most days, the wind is light and cross-onshore, leaving the surface a bit bumpy.

The only spot that even gets a sniff of a recommendation in this whole period is Rincon - Indicator (Rincon-Point). It’s a very consistent point break that’s fairly exposed to the west, and it’s a wave for the advanced crew. Crowds are often a problem here, so if you’re going to check it, expect company.

The real problem is the size. For the first two weeks, we’re looking at swell heights of 0.7 ft to 2 ft, coming from the SW and SSW mostly. The periods are all over the place, from short 9-second windswell to super-long 20-second groundswell, but with almost no height, it’s just not generating any real rideable waves. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The only glimmer of something different comes on the afternoon of Monday, the 18th of August. The wind turns light and offshore from the WSW, and the swell jumps to 4 ft from the west. That’s still not huge, but with a clean offshore wind, Rincon might actually have a few workable lines. The period is a very short 5 seconds, which is not ideal, but with the wind and the right tide, there could be a brief window of fun, crumbly waves for the experienced crew. Don’t get your hopes up, but it’s the only thing on the horizon.

On the 15th and 16th of August, the swell is 2 ft with a 16-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, and at a point break like Rincon, it could potentially offer a few clean, lined-up waves if the wind holds. The combined energy is moderate (above 200), so there’s a bit of push, but the size is still the limiting factor.

In short, it’s a flat spell with a tiny, uncertain window of opportunity at the very end. Keep your board waxed and your eyes on the forecasts, but don’t rush to the water.

Rusty, out.

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