Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 19 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 188 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with W swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, with a look at what the next couple of weeks are serving up for Rincon.
To be straight with you, it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’re looking at a long run of days where the surf just isn’t cooperating. From now right through to the 29th of September, the forecast is calling it "poor surf conditions" almost every session, with scores that leave us wanting. The energy is there in the water – we see combined wave energy readings around 200-280 (moderate to strong) at times, but the combination of swell direction and wind is just off. Most of the time it’s small, under 3 ft, and coming from the SW or SSW, which isn't the ideal W direction for the point. The winds are mostly light, either onshore or cross-onshore, which at least keeps the surface reasonably clean, but there's no power or shape to work with.
There are a couple of brief, tiny windows of hope. The morning of Monday the 14th had a little WNW swell around 3 ft with a 9-second period, but the onshore wind from the SW kept it messy. The water temp is 71°, which is a massive 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so it'll feel like summer in the water even if the waves don't show up.
Honestly, the only thing that looks even *remotely* interesting is the very end of the outlook. On Monday the 29th of September, the morning shows a small improvement: a 3 ft WNW swell with a 9-second period, light onshore wind, and the forecast nudges up to "marginal". The combined energy is 274 (moderate), and the swell direction is finally from the WNW, which is close to the optimum for Rincon. Don't get your hopes up for a classic, but it's the only session in the whole 16 days that gets a rating above zero. It’s an advanced wave, and crowds are likely here at the best of times, but with this being the only sniff of a wave, you can bet the lineup will have people.
For the rest of the period, it’s flat, small, or just plain poor. If you’re a kite surfer, the light winds aren't even that exciting. For a surfer, it’s a long wait. Keep checking back – forecasts change, but right now, this is a tough one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 9 | SSW 20 | W 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 21 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 138 | 99 | 96 | 106 | 77 | 46 | 104 | 60 | 86 | 84 | 86 | 121 | 133 | 133 | 94 | 155 | 154 | 155 | 155 | 154 | 188 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | off | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:53AM1.66m | 00:55AM1.12m | 12:23PM1.60m | 2:11AM0.97m | 12:59PM1.51m | 1:47PM1.42m | 3:09PM1.36m | 8:15AM1.11m | 4:49PM1.37m | 8:18AM1.16m | 6:01PM1.44m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:45PM0.19m | 5:57AM0.63m | 7:43PM0.24m | 6:14AM0.79m | 8:58PM0.29m | 10:33PM0.29m | 11:56PM0.23m | 11:04AM1.07m | 00:52AM0.16m | 12:24PM0.98m | 1:31AM0.09m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — |
 | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 19 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 7 | W 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 5 | W 5 | SSW 14 | W 5 | W 7 | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | SW 18 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | 138 | 99 | 96 | 106 | 68 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 86 | 84 | 86 | 16 | 17 | 61 | 25 | 32 | 44 | 71 | 32 | 154 | 52 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | W 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 17 |
| kJ | 48 | 48 | 47 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 104 | 60 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 121 | 81 | 133 | 59 | 155 | 154 | 155 | 155 | 29 | 188 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | W 6 | SW 21 | SSE 10 | SW 19 | S 9 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 7 | S 10 | S 13 |
| kJ | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 77 | 40 | 38 | 16 | 32 | 6 | 72 | 18 | 133 | 13 | 94 | 34 | 33 | 29 | 21 | 2 | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 3 | SE 3 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | W 6 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 5 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 10 | 32 | 22 | 32 | 34 | — | 29 | 83 | 34 | 64 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 108 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 117 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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