Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with 201 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 13s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, I’m a bit gutted to say this, but the outlook is a flat spell for the entire 16-day window. From now through to the 18th of August, there’s just nothing doing. Every single day is marked as poor surf conditions, so we’re looking at a long stretch of calm water. Right now, the water temperature is sitting at 70°F, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s really unusual – you’ll be swimming in bathwater, but you won’t be riding anything.
The first recommendation comes from Rincon - Indicator. It’s a point break that’s very consistent, but it’s only for advanced surfers and crowds are often a factor. The optimum swell direction is from the W. But the problem is the swell is tiny. On Monday afternoon, the 3rd of August, we’ve got a 2ft swell from the W with a short period of 9 seconds, and a light cross-on breeze from the WSW at 10 km/h. The energy is weak (83). It’s just not enough to get excited about.
Through the rest of the week and into the next, the swell stays under 2ft, period is mostly short to medium, and the wind is light but often cross-on. There’s a slight bump in combined energy around the 7th and 8th of August, hitting 200 (moderate energy), but the swell height is still only 1ft to 2ft. It’s teasing us, but it’s not delivering.
The best looking stretch on paper is around the 15th and 16th of August. On Saturday the 15th, we’ve got 2ft from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, and the wave energy hits 301 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-on from the WSW at 10 km/h. That’s a long period groundswell, which means good shape, but it’s still tiny. And on Sunday the 16th, we’ve got 2ft from the SSW with a 15-second period and energy at 216. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s not a standout. For a point break like Rincon, a long period swell like this can be nice, but with such small waves and a hint of cross-on wind, it’s not going to be memorable.
So, the honest truth? There’s nothing to recommend. The consistency is there, but the size and quality are not. Keep your board in the car, but don’t bother waxing it up yet. Forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope entirely, but for now, it’s a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 57 | 23 | 36 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 51 | 27 | 40 | 63 | 146 | 145 | 174 | 174 | 147 | 201 | 125 | 121 | 120 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:27AM1.13m | 2:15PM1.54m | 2:49AM0.93m | 3:04PM1.61m | 4:57AM0.83m | 4:05PM1.68m | 7:07AM0.88m | 5:13PM1.78m | 8:15AM0.98m | 6:20PM1.89m | 8:57AM1.08m | 7:21PM2.01m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:54PM0.52m | 7:24AM0.39m | 9:14PM0.44m | 7:56AM0.55m | 10:45PM0.30m | 8:40AM0.70m | 00:09AM0.11m | 9:56AM0.81m | 1:14AM-0.08m | 11:33AM0.85m | 2:08AM-0.25m | 12:52PM0.80m | 2:54AM-0.37m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — |
 | 7:57 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | — | 7:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 24 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 29 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 15 | W 4 | W 4 | SW 14 | W 5 | W 5 | SW 13 | W 5 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 57 | 18 | 13 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 27 | 11 | 146 | 145 | 174 | 174 | 147 | 201 | 125 | 121 | 120 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WNW 9 | SW 15 | WNW 8 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 13 | W 5 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 4 | WNW 6 | SSW 12 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | W 7 |
| kJ | 26 | 15 | 36 | 6 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 44 | 44 | 42 | 43 | 4 | 8 | 49 | 18 | 20 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SW 12 | WNW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 9 | S 9 | S 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 5 | SSE 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 9 | 23 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 63 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 2 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | 9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 51 | 0 | 88 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 34 | 0 | 87 | 34 | 0 | 110 | 88 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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