Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me be straight with you: the next 16 days are looking pretty grim. It's a flat spell, plain and simple. Don’t get your hopes up for any heroics because there just isn’t any size on the horizon. We're in for a long, quiet period until the latter half of the window shows a pulse of life.

The first week is a real struggle. From Friday the 14th through Thursday the 20th, it's tiny. We're talking knee-high dribble at best, with the swell hovering around 1.3ft to 2.3ft. It's a long-period SSW groundswell, which is a good sign for the points, but there's just no power or push behind it. The energy is weak to moderate, reading between 188 and 272 (combined energy). The winds are mostly light and onshore, which is gonna leave it a bit lumpy anyway. It's a frustrating time, with all those days of clear skies but nothing to surf.

The second week opens up a little. Friday the 21st and Saturday the 22nd show a slight bump, but the swell direction swings around to the WNW, which isn't the best for Rincon. We see the size nudge up to 2.6ft, and the short period of 9-10 seconds means it'll be a bit disorganized. On Saturday the 22nd, the energy drops off a cliff to 95 (weak energy), so that little bump fizzles out quick. Sunday and Monday are back to small, weak conditions.

Then, around Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th, we see a return to the long-period SSW pulse, but again, the size is all but gone, down to 1.3ft. The energy is weak to moderate, like 164 to 235 (combined energy). It’s more of a sign of life than anything else, but still nothing to get excited about.

The only real glimmer comes right at the end of the run, on Thursday the 28th and Friday the 29th. That Friday, the swell direction swings back to a more favorable SSW, and we get a clean 2ft with a 16-second period. The energy is a moderate 172 (combined energy), which is the best we've seen. But even then, it's still small.

So, what are we working with? The standout, if you can call it that, is Rincon - Indicator (Rincon-Point). It's a point break, very consistent, but this run of small swell means it's going to be a longboard or a high-volume fish kind of deal. The water temp is about average for this time of year, which is typical for the region.

I wouldn't recommend this for the beginners, as even 1.3ft to 2.6ft can be a bit tricky with the currents at a point. For the experts, it's a chance to get a few clean, if not small, waves. The crowds are often there, so be prepared for company. But with light wind and clean conditions on some of those mornings, it might be the only game in town. For the most part, this setup would be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially with the choppy afternoons. It's a bleak outlook, but that's the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but this one's looking pretty locked in.

Keep the faith.

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