Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for our stretch of coast is a tough one to swallow. We're looking at a proper flat spell to kick things off, and honestly, it stays lean all the way through. Let's get into it.

Right now and for several days, there's nothing doing. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 70°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's about the only bright spot. We’ve got a blank run from now until at least the end of the month with no real surf on offer.

The first slight glimmer comes Friday morning, the 28th of August. Rincon - Indicator (point) will see a long-period groundswell from the SSW at 2 ft with a period of 19 seconds. The combined swell energy is moderate (275). It's a long-period swell, so it's better shaped but expect those longer waits between sets. The wind is a light cross-onshore at 6 mph which will put a few ripples on it, but it's still marginal at best. Friday afternoon, a lumpy 6 ft WNW swell shows up with a short 6-second period, which is more junk than anything else – combined energy is strong (406), but it's a messy one with onshore wind.

Looking ahead to Saturday the 29th, there's a bit more energy in the water, with the combined swell energy hitting 560 on the morning and staying strong through the weekend. But the surf size is only 3 ft from the SSW, and with light onshore breezes, it’s just not clean. The pattern of poor surf conditions just keeps rolling through the first week of September.

For you patient souls, Monday the 7th of September into Tuesday the 8th sees a bit of a change. A very long-period groundswell arrives Tuesday morning, with a period of 21 seconds from the SW, but the height is only 1 ft. The combined swell energy is moderate (203). That kind of period with that size means it'll be incredibly inconsistent and only really offering up the smallest, cleanest waves at a point break like this. But again, the wind is a light cross-onshore, not ideal.

Honestly, I can't in good conscience call any of this a true standout. The best you can hope for is a few barely ridable waves if you’re desperate and the tide lines up. The crowds at Rincon are often there, and with so little swell, it’ll be a picky session with everyone on top of each other for nothing. There's no time in this forecast where the winds turn properly offshore or glassy to make it all come together.

It's a grim run, fellas. The forecasts can always change, but as it stands, this is a long, blank stretch. A couple of the days will look more interesting for the kite surfers with the onshore wind and bumpy conditions than for us paddle surfers.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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