Rincon - Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is a tough one. We’re staring down a long, dry spell with almost nothing worth paddling out for. The first real glimmer of anything that might be called a wave doesn’t appear until Monday, July 27th, so we’re looking at a solid gap of nearly a week with no recommendations. That’s a rough stretch.

The only break with any kind of potential on the radar is Rincon - Indicator, a point break that’s very consistent, but it’s an advanced wave. For most of the period, conditions are just poor. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or light onshore, and the swell is tiny and weak. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, no wild anomalies to report.

Now, there is a tiny window of hope. On Monday, July 27th, the morning shows a little pulse. Swell is a meagre 3ft from the SSW, but the period stretches to 18 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is a big plus for a point break like Rincon. It’ll bring that long, clean energy with good shapes. The combined energy reading is moderate at 532, and with a light breeze and cross-onshore wind, it’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ll see. The crowd factor is “often” here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself.

The following Tuesday and Wednesday, July 28th and 29th, tease a bit more of the same: 2ft to 3ft SSW swell with periods around 16-17 seconds, and light cross-onshore winds. It’s marginal, but for a dedicated surfer, it might be the only game in town. The energy is moderate (471-512).

After that, the window closes again. Swell direction backs off to W and the period drops right off, with energy levels falling to weak three-digit and even two-digit values. By the time we hit August, it’s basically flat.

So, if you’re desperate, keep an eye on the morning of Monday, July 27th, through to Wednesday, July 29th. That’s the only stand-out, and even then, it’s a marginal call. The rest of the time, save your petrol.

Rusty.

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