Surf Forecasts:
Rincon - Indicator surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 224 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rincon - Indicator this week:
The surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rincon - Indicator in the next 16 days are 0.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 16th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Mon 21st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rincon - Indicator over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real tough one for this area. The forecast shows nothing but poor surf conditions across the entire window. There are no standout sessions, no days to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at a long, blank run here. That’s just how it goes sometimes in this spot; a run of flat or near-flat conditions isn’t unusual, and forecasts can always change, but right now, there’s nothing on offer. Don’t hold your breath.
Let’s run through it. Starting from Wednesday the 16th, right through to Thursday the 1st of October, every single morning and afternoon is the same story: small, weak swell and onshore or cross-onshore winds. The swell height never gets above 2 ft, and the combined energy is all below 250 – that’s weak, inconsistent energy. There’s no punch. The wind is light, mostly cross-onshore, which messes up any hope of a clean face. For Rincon - Indicator, a point break that needs a proper west swell, this SSW to SW direction is all wrong. The optimum is W, and this is just not it.
Even on the mornings where the wind is light onshore, the swell is just too small and weak. The period does get up into the high teens (18 seconds, 19 seconds) which is a long period groundswell, but with only 1 ft to 2 ft of swell, it’s like a ripple. Long period at that size on a point break might look glassy, but there’s no wave to ride. There are no mornings or afterdays that break out of the “poor” category.
So, bottom line: leave the board in the car. There is absolutely nothing worth paddling out for in this entire 16-day outlook. Keep an eye on the charts, because it can’t stay this quiet forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 48 | 104 | 60 | 86 | 84 | 86 | 121 | 133 | 133 | 94 | 154 | 154 | 155 | 155 | 154 | 147 | 224 | 222 | 169 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:11AM0.97m | 12:59PM1.51m | 1:47PM1.42m | 3:09PM1.36m | 8:15AM1.11m | 4:49PM1.37m | 8:18AM1.16m | 6:01PM1.44m | 8:28AM1.21m | 6:52PM1.52m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:14AM0.79m | 8:58PM0.29m | 10:33PM0.29m | 11:56PM0.23m | 11:04AM1.07m | 00:52AM0.16m | 12:24PM0.98m | 1:31AM0.09m | 1:08PM0.86m | 2:02AM0.04m | |||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 21 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 23 | 20 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 7 | W 6 | WNW 4 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | W 5 | WNW 5 | SSW 14 | W 5 | W 6 | W 7 | W 5 | W 6 | SW 18 | WNW 5 | W 6 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 48 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 84 | 86 | 15 | 8 | 61 | 27 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 31 | 154 | 45 | 22 | 222 | 169 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | W 5 | SSE 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 6 | W 5 |
| kJ | 42 | 104 | 60 | 86 | 4 | 14 | 121 | 81 | 133 | 59 | 154 | 154 | 155 | 155 | 29 | 147 | 224 | 17 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | SSE 9 | S 12 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 11 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 10 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 40 | 38 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 66 | 133 | 9 | 94 | 34 | 33 | 29 | 28 | 2 | 33 | 27 | 25 | 25 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 3 | — | WNW 7 | W 4 | WNW 4 | — | W 5 | WNW 5 | — | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | W 5 | — | — | WNW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 21 | — | 10 | 26 | — | 12 | 37 | 23 | 43 | — | — | 8 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 117 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 110 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Ventura County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rincon - Indicator Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rincon - Indicator provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rincon - Indicator can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rincon - Indicator surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rincon - Indicator) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rincon - Indicator may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rincon - Indicator is 19 km (12 miles) from the city of Santa Ana. If you plan a vacation in Ventura County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Ana. Santa Ana has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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