Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for this stretch of coast. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a quiet spell. The first solid recommendation doesn’t pop up until the morning of Monday, July 27th, and even then, it’s a slow burn. The whole 16-day window is a lean run of small, weak swell, so don’t go expecting any hero sessions. The combined energy readings are all well under 100 (29 to 80), which tells you the ocean is just ticking over, not roaring. The wind, however, is often light or offshore, which is a blessing for the tiny bumps we do get.

Monday, July 27th kicks things off with a morning session. The break is a reef and point set-up, and it’s fairly consistent. The swell is a meek 2 ft from the west, riding on a short 6-second period. The combined energy is only 29 – weak. But the wind is a light 6 mph cross-off from the SSW, which will keep the surface clean. The water temperature is 72°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, so you can leave the thick steamer at home. It’s small, but it’s the first decent look. The optimum swell direction is from the NW, so this west swell is a bit off, but with the clean conditions, you’ll get a few soft little runners.

Tuesday, July 28th morning offers a slightly cleaner option. The swell is 2 ft from the west, period still 6 seconds, with a combined energy of 41. The wind is offshore from the SSE at 9 mph. This is the best of the early week. It’s not big, but the offshore breeze will groom those weak lines into something rideable for a log or a mid-length.

Wednesday, July 29th morning is similar: 2 ft west swell, 6-second period, light offshore SSE wind at 6 mph. It’s clean, but the energy is still low (28).

Thursday, July 30th through Sunday, August 2nd is a real grind. The swell stays between 1 ft and 2 ft from the west, with periods of 6 to 7 seconds. The combined energy hovers in the teens and thirties. The wind is a mix of light cross-off and cross-on, so the mornings are generally the cleaner window. The best of this stretch is Sunday, August 2nd morning – a 2 ft west swell, 7-second period, with a solid 9 mph offshore from the SSE. The combined energy is 32. It’s the pick of the bunch for that weekend, but still tiny.

Monday, August 3rd morning shows a slight shift. The swell drops to 1 ft but shifts to the SW with a much longer 16-second period. The combined energy climbs to 73 – the highest we’ll see. This is a long-period groundswell, which can be a bit tricky at a beach break, but for a reef and point, it should offer some nice, lined-up, peeling waves. The wind is offshore from the SSE at 9 mph. The sets will be few and far between, but the shape will be better. This is a standout for the period – a real diamond in the rough.

Tuesday, August 4th to Friday, August 7th sees the swell staying small, around 1 ft to 1 ft from the SW, with periods from 13 to 15 seconds. The combined energy is in the 60s, which is moderate for this run. The wind is light and often cross-off or cross-shore, so the mornings are clean. Take Thursday, August 6th morning – 1 ft SW, 13-second period, light cross-off breeze. It’s weak, but it’s clean.

Saturday, August 8th to Tuesday, August 11th is the final fade. The swell drops to 0.3 ft to 1 ft, combined energy down to 1 or 2. The ocean is essentially flat. Monday, August 10th morning has a 0.7 ft west swell with a 5-second period and a combined energy of 2 – it’s barely a ripple. Not worth paddling out for.

So, if you’re itching for a paddle, the standout is Monday, August 3rd morning. That 1 ft SW groundswell with a 16-second period and clean offshore wind will be the most elegant wave of the entire forecast. The other morning to circle is Tuesday, July 28th for the offshore wind and the bigger (relative) 2 ft of west swell. It’s a quiet outlook, but with the water so warm and the wind often glassy, it’s not a bad time to be on the water just floating. Just don’t expect to get your head wet.

Rusty.

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