Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break this down. This spot is a reef and point set-up, and you're looking at a 16-day window that's going to test your patience. The water is sitting at a warm 70°, which is about 6° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a real anomaly, and it's going to feel like a warm bath.

The first few days are a tough go. Tuesday the 14th kicks off with tiny 1ft swells from the SW, a long 19-second period, but the wind is a messy cross-onshore, and the energy is weak (59). It's basically a flat, choppy mess. Wednesday morning the 15th looks a little cleaner with a 1ft SW swell and light cross-offshore winds, but it's still very small and weak (132 energy). Thursday morning the 16th is the first real peek of hope with a clean offshore wind from the SE blowing across 1ft of SW swell. The energy is picking up to a moderate 139, and the waves will be clean, but it's still tiny. You'd be on a longboard and working for it.

Friday the 17th through Sunday the 20th is a mixed bag. Friday morning has clean offshore winds but the energy drops back to weak (74). Saturday the 18th morning is the best of the early run. The swell bumps up to 2ft from the SW with a long 18-second period, and the energy is solidly moderate at 227. The wind is a clean offshore from the SSE. This is the first real standout. It's not huge, but the conditions will be clean and the reef will be working. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, so you might not have it all to yourself, but it'll be worth the paddle.

From Sunday the 19th afternoon through the rest of the week, the forecast gets sloppy. The wind swings onshore and the swell drops off. The 20th and 21st see tiny, weak waves (energy down to 10 or 16) and then a long gap of nearly no swell. The energy values are mostly single-digit and two-digit numbers for days. This is a dry spell.

After that gap, the next potential is on Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon. The swell jumps to 3ft from the SW with a 16-second period, and the energy is a very strong 382. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW. This is the other standout. It's the biggest and most powerful pulse in the whole forecast. That 3ft with that long period and the reef set-up will produce some nice, lined-up waves. This is a late-breaking, promising event, but it's a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

The rest of the 29th and beyond is back to tiny, poor conditions.

So, if you're set on this spot, the best bet is Saturday morning the 18th for a clean, fun size wave, and keep an eye on that Tuesday afternoon the 28th for the biggest pulse of the period. The middle of the window is a write-off.

- Rusty

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