Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Alright, looking at the next couple weeks, it’s a real mixed bag. We’re talkin’ a reef and point spot that gets pretty fair swell exposure, but man, the quality is gonna be a fight for most of it. The water is sitting at a super warm 73°F, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year... that’s a proper, very unusual warm spell, so you can probably leave the full rubber at home.

First chance at anything is Friday the 11th in the afternoon, but it’s real ordinary. A tiny 2ft swell from the SW is coming in, but there’s a light cross-shore wind. The combined energy is a weak 202, and the word is “poor surf conditions,” so honestly, not worth the paddle out.

Saturday the 12th morning is a glimmer. The swell drops a touch to 2ft from the SW, but we finally get a gentle offshore from the SSE, cleaning it right up. The period is a long 14 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell. With energy at 163 (moderate), it’s surfable, just very ordinary. The afternoon goes cross-onshore and choppy, so don’t expect much. Sunday the 13th morning is similar – clean with a S’ly cross-off and 1ft SW swell, 13-second period (171 energy). It’s tiny but clean.

Things stay in that same small, clean zone through Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th mornings with that offshore SE wind, but the swell just can’t get any size. It’s a case of “something to ride” rather than “good surf.” The periods are long (16-18 seconds), so there’s energy in the water, but the height is just too small.

Now, there is a build on the horizon. Saturday the 19th sees the swell pick up to 2ft from the SW, energy climbing to 294 (moderate-strong), but the wind is all wrong – cross-onshore in the afternoon and choppy. The standout of the whole run is Sunday the 20th in the morning. We get a 2ft SW swell, with a 18-second period, and the combined energy is at a solid 311 (moderate-strong), but the magic is the wind – it goes *glass*. Absolutely dead calm. That’s the window. It’s not big, it’s not perfect, but if you want the cleanest, smoothest lines you can get, that Sunday morning is the call. It’ll be the best on offer, no question.

That glassy window gets broken by cross-onshore in the afternoon, and then Monday the 21st is marginal, with a 2-3ft SW swell (energy 330-362) but cross winds making it lumpy. Tuesday the 22nd morning gets a brief offshore from the SE, cleaning up a 2ft SW swell (241 energy), so another okay session, but nothing special.

From Wednesday the 23rd through Thursday the 24th, we’re stuck in the same pattern: 2ft SW swell, 14-15 second period, energy between 191-258, light winds mostly cross-off. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s just flat and weak. Then it completely dies. Friday the 25th drops to a pathetic 0.3ft swell, and from there it’s just a sad tale of onshore winds and barely any wave height through to the end of the run on the 26th. A big gap of no real surf to speak of.

So, for the best wave of the outlook: Sunday morning, September 20th. It’s not a bomb, but that glassy conditions with a 2ft SW groundswell (18 sec period) and energy at 311 will be the cleanest, most fun you’ll have. It’s a reef and point, so that long period (15+ seconds) is actually a bonus – it’ll wrap in nicely without breaking too straight. Expect some company though; the crowds can show up here sometimes.

Rusty.

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