Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s coming for this reef-and-point setup that gets a fair bit of swell. The water’s a warm 70°F, which is about 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s a noticeable difference, so leave the thick suit behind.

It starts slow. The first session worth mentioning is the morning of Wednesday, 15 July. It’s puny, with 1ft of southwest swell, but the period is a long, glassy 18 seconds, making it a true groundswell. That long period will give it some shape, but with only 120 units of combined wave energy (weak), it’s not cracking. The saving grace is the clean, glassy conditions with a light cross-off breeze. Rideable, but just.

The rest of that first week is more of the same—1ft to 2ft of southwest swell with periods of 14 to 18 seconds. The energy peaks at 246 units on Sunday morning, so moderate at best. Winds stay light and offshore or cross-off, keeping it clean, but the waves are very ordinary. Nothing that’ll get your heart pumping.

Then we hit a flat spell from Sunday afternoon (19 July) all the way through 26 July. The swell drops to nothing—0.7ft to 2ft of weak westerly windswell with periods as short as 4 to 6 seconds. The energy falls into single digits. It’s a week of tiny, choppy slop, more interesting for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

Here’s the one to watch. On Monday morning, 27 July, a new southwest groundswell pushes in at 3ft with an 18-second period and a big jump in energy to 471 units (moderate to strong). Conditions are cross-shore and a bit bumpy, so it’s marginal. But the real standout is Tuesday morning, 28 July. The swell holds at 3ft from the southwest, period at 16 seconds, energy at 409 units, and the wind turns glassy—dead calm, like a lake. This is the best on offer. Small but clean, with that long period giving proper shape on the point. The optimum swell direction is NW, so this southwest swell is a bit off, but it’ll still wrap. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so expect a few others, but it’s not packed. The break is fairly consistent, so there’s life in it.

After that, it’s back to weak westerly leftovers. The morning of 30 July has clean conditions and moderate offshore wind, but the swell is weak and the energy is low. Not worth the drive.

Bottom line: it’s a long flat wait, but Tuesday the 28th morning is your shot. Glassy, clean, and small but fun on a longboard or a fish. Be there.

Rusty.

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