Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. We’re looking at a reef and point set-up that’s fairly consistent, intermediate level, and takes swell from the NW when it’s firing. But honestly, for the next couple of weeks, it’s more about waiting than charging.

Right off the bat, Saturday the 4th of July kicks things off, but there’s almost nothing. Swell’s a tiny 1 ft from the west, period a weak 4 seconds, and combined energy is only 3 – that’s barely a ripple. Winds are light cross-onshore, so it’s messy and poor. That sets the tone for days. Sunday’s not much better – still 1 ft to 2 ft, cross-onshore winds, and energy stuck below 15. Monday the 6th shows a glimmer: morning has clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze and swell holding at 2 ft, period up to 6 seconds, energy at 35 – but it’s still small and ordinary. Afternoons get choppy again.

Tuesday the 7th morning has a bump – swell 3 ft, period 7 seconds, energy 55, and light cross-shore wind – but by afternoon it’s blown out. The real tease comes Thursday the 9th of July. Morning brings offshore winds from the SSE at 9 mph, clean as a whistle, with a 2 ft swell from the SW, period 16 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell. Combined energy hits 162 (moderate), and the water temp is sitting at 68°, which is 5° warmer than normal – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, so the water’s feeling like summer. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – it’s a 1/10 but that offshore wind and long period give it some shape. For a reef and point break, that long period suits it well, but 2 ft is still small. Still, it’s the best morning in the first week.

After that, it fades. Friday the 10th to Saturday the 11th has clean winds but swell drops to 1 ft. Sunday the 12th afternoon has a 0.3 ft, 21-second period – just a pulse. There’s a gap from about the 13th to the 16th where swell hangs around 1 ft to 1 ft, mostly cross-on or cross-off, nothing surfable. Then we hit Friday the 17th of July – that’s more than a week away. Morning shows a 1 ft SW swell, period 19 seconds, energy jumps to 263 (moderate to strong), with light cross-offshore winds and clean conditions. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – again a 1/10. Still, that’s a solid energy reading for the size. Saturday the 18th morning bumps up to 2 ft from the SW, period 17 seconds, energy 321 (strong), but winds are cross-shore – light, but not clean offshore. Sunday the 19th holds 2 ft, period 16 seconds, energy 181, but winds get cross-on and then strong in the afternoon.

For a standout, I’d point you to Thursday the 9th of July morning. It’s the first real taste of offshore wind (SSE at 9 mph), clean, with a long 16-second groundswell – that will wrap into a point and reef nicely. The water’s much warmer than normal, so you can ditch the thick rubber. It’s small, but with that period and clean face, it’ll be fun for an intermediate. Later, Friday the 17th of July morning has the best energy (263) and light cross-offshore – that’s promising but further out, so less certain. Crowds are possible at this spot, but on a 2 ft day, you’ll have room.

Rusty.

Read more