Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the charts for this spot.

Honestly, I’m looking at a pretty grim picture for the next couple of weeks. The first few days are a total write-off – we’re talking about flat, clean conditions but with zero swell energy. The water is sitting at a very unusual 73°F, which is about 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s not doing us any favours. There’s nothing to ride.

We’ve got a gap of about four days with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. The real story starts to shift a little around Thursday the 10th of September. The morning shows a bit of life with a 3ft swell from the SW, pushing a moderate 145 units of energy, and the wind is clean offshore from the SE. That’s the best we’ll see for a while, but it’s still a marginal wave. The break is a reef and point setup, fairly consistent, and it likes a NW swell direction, so this SW groundswell at 10 seconds isn’t ideal. It’s the standout only because the rest of the fortnight is so poor.

The afternoon of the 11th sees a bigger pulse of energy, with a 2ft SW swell coming in at a very long 15 seconds, pushing 303 units of energy. That’s proper groundswell energy, but the wind is cross-onshore and the conditions are choppy. For a reef and point, that long period should wrap in nicely, but the wind is going to mess it up. It’s a tease.

The second week is a bit of a blur. From the 13th onward, we see a repeating pattern of waist-high, long-period SW swells with moderate energy (115 to 157 units), but the wind is almost always cross-onshore from the W or cross from the SW. The morning of the 13th has a light cross breeze and 1ft of swell, but it’s not enough to get excited about. The 15th sees a similar story, and the 16th has a 2ft swell with 234 units of energy, but again, the wind is a letdown. The long period (16-20 seconds) is a positive for the point, but the wind direction is working against us.

The best bet in the whole forecast is the morning of Thursday the 10th. It’s the only time the wind is fully offshore (SE at 12 mph) and the combined energy is moderate (145 units). The swell is 3ft from the SW, which is a bit small and off-direction for this spot, but it’s clean. Crowds are possible here, but with conditions this average, I doubt it’ll be packed.

The 19th of September morning shows a clean, light wind window with moderate energy (281 units) and a 2ft, 18-second SW groundswell, but it’s cross-on. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Look, for a reef and point that prefers a NW swell, this SW run is a bit of a mismatch. Short of the Thursday morning window, there’s nothing here that’s going to get the heart racing. The swell is too small, the wind is rarely good, and the combined energy stays moderate at best. If you’re desperate, paddle out on the 10th morning, but otherwise, save your energy.

Rusty.

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