Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got cookin’ for this little corner of the world—this reef-and-point setup. I’ll be straight with ya, it’s a lean run for a while, but there is a glimmer of hope later on.

The forecast kicks off Thursday the 16th of July with tiny 1ft swell out of the southwest, pushing a moderate 136 combined swell energy. Morning has a gentle offshore breeze from the southeast, so it’s clean but man, it’s small. Not gonna get your heart racing. Afternoon switches to a light cross-off southerly, still clean but again, just 1ft. It’s surfable, but ordinary—you’d be scratching for a ride.

Friday the 17th is more of the same: 1ft southwest swell in the morning with a moderate offshore, giving clean little lines, but the energy drops to 75. Afternoon cleans up a bit with a gentle cross-off, energy back to 146. Still, it’s not much to write home about. Saturday morning the 18th sees a bump to 2ft southwest swell, with an 18-second period and combined energy jumping to 257—that’s moderate wave energy now. Gentle offshore in the morning, so the reef should be offering up some clean, drawn-out lines. That 18-second period is a proper groundswell, so expect longer gaps between sets and some shape to ‘em. This is the best part of the first week, but Saturday afternoon turns ugly: cross-shore wind, light, but the quality falls off a cliff.

Sunday the 19th morning is back to clean conditions with a light cross-off breeze and 2ft southwest swell (198 energy). It’s okay, but nothing special. From Sunday arvo through to Thursday the 23rd, we hit a dry spell. Swell drops to 0.7ft or 1ft, periods get short and weak, and the combined energy plummets into the teens and single digits. Winds are mostly onshore or cross-off, but there’s just no push. That’s nearly five days where you’d be better off doing something else.

Then, on Friday the 24th of July, things finally wake up. Morning brings a solid 2ft southwest swell with a 24-second period—very long period groundswell. The combined energy hits 444, which is solid moderate wave energy. Winds are light from the south-southwest, so it’s clean. This is the standout. The 24-second period means the swell will wrap in nicely, but at a beach break it might race and close out—for this reef-and-point setup though, it should be lined up and offering some excellent, patient waves. It’s not huge, but the quality and energy are there. The only downside is the afternoon goes to mush with a moderate cross-onshore, so get on it early.

Saturday the 25th morning has an offshore but no swell at all—zero energy. Arvo has a 2ft southwest swell (218 energy) but with a gentle cross-onshore chop. Not worth it.

From Sunday the 26th right through to the end of the month on Thursday the 31st, it’s back to small, weak westerly swells: 2ft to 2ft, periods between 5 and 7 seconds, and combined energy mostly in the 20s and 40s. Winds are generally light and clean in the mornings but turn cross-on or cross-off in the afternoons. There’s nothing there to get excited about—just small, weak, short-period slop.

So here’s the takeaway: if you’ve got patience, the only real window is Saturday morning the 18th (decent clean 2ft groundswell with 18-second period) and especially Friday morning the 24th (2ft, 24-second period groundswell, clean, moderate energy). That Friday is the pick of the whole 16 days. The rest is mostly flat or messy. For this area, a blank run can happen, but forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Rusty.

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