Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the coming weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 73°F – that’s a solid 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s gonna feel like a bath out there. We’re looking at a reef and point set-up, fairly exposed to the swell, with an optimum direction from the NW. The problem is, for the first few days, there’s just not much to get excited about.

Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are a write-off – tiny 1ft to 1ft swells, onshore winds, and the combined energy is barely a whisper (52 to 97). The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. Thursday morning the 10th looks clean with a light offshore from the SSE, but the swell is still tiny at 2ft and short period (6 seconds) – not enough to push you around. The energy is only 31, so you’re basically bobbing. Thursday afternoon picks up a bit of energy (330) with a 3ft, 16-second SW groundswell, but the wind is cross-shore and the conditions are marginal. Not worth a paddle.

Friday morning the 11th is clean with a 12 mph SE offshore, but the swell is only 2ft with a short period – just a dribble. The real standout might be Friday afternoon: 2ft from the SW, 15-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and 209 combined energy. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.

Saturday the 12th morning has a gentle offshore and 2ft SW groundswell (14 seconds, 164 energy) – clean but small. The rest of that weekend and into Monday the 14th is a mix of tiny swells and cross-on winds. Nothing to write home about.

Now, the first real glimmer comes on Friday the 18th of September. The morning session is glassy – dead calm, 3 mph from the SW – with a 2ft SW groundswell running at 19 seconds and a combined energy of 208. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll be clean and lined up, but it’s only 2ft. For a reef and point break, that long period means the waves will be fat and slow, but it’s still the cleanest window we’ve got. The afternoon gets chopped up by a 12 mph cross-on, so get out early.

Monday the 21st of September shows a bit more push: 3ft from the SW, 17 seconds, and a combined energy of 350. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is cross-on in the morning, making it messy. The afternoon is the same story – 3ft, 16 seconds, 326 energy, but again cross-on. It’s marginal. If you’re desperate and the tide lines up, you might get a couple, but it’s not a standout.

The best bet for the whole outlook? Honestly, I’m struggling to find a true standout. The Friday 18th morning is the cleanest, with glassy conditions and that very long-period groundswell, but it’s small. The Monday 21st has the most size, but the wind is against it. If I had to pick one, I’d say Friday the 18th morning for the pure, clean conditions – even if the waves are small, it’ll be a beautiful session on the point. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have a few others with the same idea, but it’ll be worth it for the glassy water.

For the rest of the second week, it’s the same pattern: small SW groundswells, cross-on winds, and poor conditions. The energy stays moderate (200-350 range), but the wind is a constant problem. Wednesday the 23rd morning has a light cross-offshore and 2ft swell (209 energy), which is clean but still small.

Overall, it’s a tough stretch. The energy is there at times, but the wind is rarely on our side. If you’re a kite surfer, the cross-on winds and moderate swells on the 21st might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a grind. Keep an eye on the Friday 18th morning – that’s your best chance.

Stay patient, keep checking the forecasts, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty

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