Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been looking at the surf ahead. Honestly, it’s mostly flat or ordinary, but there’s a couple of windows where a bit of swell might show up.

We’re talking about a reef and point break that breaks fairly consistently, suited for intermediate surfers. Across the next 16 days, there are long quiet stretches. Right off the bat, Wednesday 22 July has tiny 0.5m swell from the SW with a short 8-second period – no good with cross-onshore wind. Thursday and most of Friday don’t get any better. Friday morning (24 July) has a small 0.7m W swell but with light offshore winds from the SSE, so it’s clean. Still, it’s only weak energy – not worth rushing for.

Then there’s a big gap from Saturday 25 July through Wednesday 30 July. Most days show swells under 0.6m. Some mornings are clean and glassy, but there’s no power behind them. The energy sits between 11 and 32 – nothing to get excited about.

Thursday 31 July and Saturday 1 August are even smaller, down to 0.3m or 0.4m. The afternoons get choppy too. It’s a long dry spell.

The best chance comes on Monday 27 July afternoon and Tuesday 28 July afternoon. We get a 0.9m swell from the SW with a very long period of 17-19 seconds. That’s groundswell – good energy (591 and 475 – moderate to strong). Long-period swells suit this reef and point setup, so the waves should have some shape. The wind is cross-shore or gentle cross-shore, so it’s rideable. Crowds are listed as ‘sometimes’, so you might see a few others, but nothing crazy. Just remember the long period means longer lulls between sets – makes it easier to get out.

After that, from Wednesday 29 July through Wednesday 6 August, it’s back to tiny 0.3m-0.7m swells with ordinary conditions. Early Friday 31 July morning has a tiny 0.3m W swell with light offshore wind – clean but barely a ripple.

A quick note: the water temperature on Wednesday 22 July morning is 22°, which is 4° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual, so you won’t need much rubber.

Bottom line: the first week is mostly dead. The only two afternoons that might deliver are Monday 27 July and Tuesday 28 July. After that, another long flat run. Long-range standouts are promising but far off. Keep an eye on the updates, but for now, don’t hold your breath.

Stay patient.
Rusty.

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