Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for this reef and point set-up, favouring a NW swell direction from a fairly exposed position. The spot’s a reliable little number—fairly consistent and best for intermediate surfers, especially when that offshore SE wind kicks in. But, mate, I’ve gotta be straight with you: the next two weeks are a tough slog. The surf is small and the conditions are mostly messy, with only a few fleeting moments that might get your heart beating.

We’re looking at a long dry spell right through the rest of August. From Wednesday the 19th onwards, the swell is tiny—between 1.0 ft and 2 ft—and the energy is weak to moderate at best, ranging from a low of 22 up to 200 (combined swell energy). The wind is all over the place, mostly cross-on or cross-off, and on some mornings we get a bit of glass or clean conditions, but the waves are just too small and poor to bother. The period on these is short—mostly 6 to 7 seconds—except for a few days where it jumps to 18 or 19 seconds, which is proper groundswell but the size is still pathetic. It’s a real tease.

The first real glimmer comes on Monday the 24th of August. The morning shows a slight uptick in energy, hitting 200 (combined swell energy) with a 1 ft swell from the SW and a period of 18 seconds. That’s long-period groundswell, which favours this reef and point break setup, but the wind is light cross-onshore, so the surface won’t be perfect. It’s still poor surf, according to the wave comment. The afternoon gets blown out by a 16 mph cross-on wind, so don’t hold your breath.

Then on Tuesday the 25th of August, we finally get a morning worth mentioning. The conditions are glassy with a light SW breeze, and the wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” The swell is 2 ft from the SW with a 16-second period—solid groundswell—and the energy is moderate at 212 (combined swell energy). It’s still tiny, but if you’re desperate and the wind stays glassy, you might find a clean little wave on the low tide. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so on a tiny day like this, you might have it to yourself. The water temp anomaly is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Wednesday the 26th of August morning is also worth a look. The swell is 2 ft from the SW, 16-second period, combined energy of 159 (moderate), and the wind is a light cross-off from the S. That’s clean conditions again. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so it’s another small window of opportunity. The afternoons from here on get blown out by cross-on winds, so the mornings are the only chance.

From the 27th of August onward, the energy drops away again—down to 92 or less—and the swell stays tiny through to the start of September. The period shortens back to 7 seconds or so, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, so it’s back to poor surf.

The standout in this whole period is Tuesday the 25th of August morning. It’s not big, but for this break, the 16-second groundswell, glassy conditions, and moderate energy make it the cleanest window we’ve got. The other pinch point is Wednesday the 26th of August morning, with those clean cross-off winds. Both are small—only 2 ft—so it’s a longboard day or a foiler’s dream.

Beyond that, there’s nothing else. The second week—into early September—offers no real improvement. The swell stays around 2 ft to 3 ft, with short periods and cross-on winds ruining any shred of hope. It’s a lean run, but forecasts can change, and this spot is fairly consistent, so don’t give up just yet. Keep an eye on the mornings, and if that NW swell direction ever lines up with a clean offshore, we might be in business.

Rusty.

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