Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me lay it out straight. This is a rough stretch for surf. There's nothing worth paddling out for from now until the morning of Friday the 13th of September, and even then, it's barely going to get you wet.

The only spot that has any chance is a reef and point setup that likes a north-west swell. It’s fairly consistent once the swell shows up, and it's an intermediate wave.

The water is cooking right now, 73°F to start the month, which is 7°F warmer than usual—that's a major anomaly. You won't need hardly any rubber.

On Friday morning the 13th, a tiny 2ft south-west groundswell rolls in with a 13-second period. It'll be clean with a light south-south-west offshore breeze. The combined energy at 171 is moderate, so there's a little something there, but it’s "surfable but very ordinary."

Saturday the 14th morning is cleaner, with a south-south-west cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 3ft from the west and the period falls to 7 seconds. Energy at 82 is weak.

Tuesday the 15th morning gives us a 1ft south-west swell with a decent 16-second period. Energy is 143, which is moderate. Cross-offshore south-south-west breeze keeps it smooth, but again, just ordinary.

Now, the highlight of this whole two-week period is the morning of Saturday the 19th of September. That’s the one. A 2ft south-west swell with a 18-second period—proper groundswell. The wind turns offshore from the south-south-east, light breeze, clean as a whistle. Combined energy is strong at 314. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions," and for this flat stretch, that’s your gold. Just a heads up, that long-period swell might be a bit straight at a beachy setup, but on this reef and point, you’ll find a corner.

Crowds can show up sometimes at this spot, so if that Saturday looks good, get there early.

Thursday the 18th morning is also worth a mention: a 2ft south-west swell, 20-second period, cross-offshore from the south, clean, and energy at 253. It's still "surfable but very ordinary," but it beats most of what’s on the board.

Everything else is hammered by westerly cross-onshore winds. Most of those afternoons look more fun for kite surfing than a paddle board.

So here’s the deal: a long flat start, a few small clean windows, but the morning of Saturday the 19th of September is your play. It's still a ways off, so the details might shift, but right now that’s the one to dream on.

Rusty.

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