Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this stretch. I gotta be honest – it’s a long, flat spell ahead. The first real surfable day on the calendar isn’t until Wednesday the 12th, and even then it’s nothin’ to write home about. We’re looking at nearly a week of tiny, weak waves and crummy conditions before we get a whiff of something with a bit of push.

The spot to keep an eye on is a reef and point setup, fairly exposed to the NW. It’s a fairly consistent break, but it’s gonna be a waiting game. Water temp is sitting at a balmy 72°, which is a massive 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s genuinely unusual, feels like a warm bath out there.

Let’s run through the days. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a total write-off – tiny, messy cross-onshore junk. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are flat and forgettable. The energy is basically zero.

Now, Wednesday the 12th morning is where we finally get a pulse, but it’s a quiet one. The surf is rideable, but it’s ordinary. We’ve got a 2 ft swell from the SW with a 17-second period – that’s proper long-period groundswell, which is good for shape and paddle-outs, but the wave energy is weak at 172. The real saving grace is the wind: light and cross-offshore, making for clean conditions. It’s the only real offering in the whole window, but it’s not a standout.

Thursday the 13th morning is similar – 2 ft SW groundswell, 16-second period, clean cross-off wind. Energy drops a bit to 130. Again, surfable but nothing special.

The rest of the week into the next just fades out. Friday the 14th is onshore junk, Saturday the 15th is tiny and choppy. Sunday the 16th brings a bit more energy (177) but the winds are onshore and messy. Monday the 17th afternoon sees a bump to 4 ft, but it’s a short-period windswell (5 seconds) with a fresh 19 mph cross-onshore – that’s a lumpy, blown-out mess.

Tuesday the 18th morning is the last chance for a clean session with a 4 ft W swell, but it’s only 7 seconds and the energy is moderate at 131. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the waves won’t have much push.

After that, it’s a slow fade into the third week. The 19th, 20th, 21st, 22nd, and 23rd are all tiny, with most days below 2 ft. The only glimmer is Sunday the 23rd morning – flat calm, glassy conditions, but the swell is a pathetic 2 ft. It’s pretty, but you’ll be bobbing around.

If you’re a beginner, this whole stretch is too small and weak to learn on. If you’re an expert, there’s nothing here to get excited about either. Honestly, for the size and the onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most afternoons.

The best bet is to pick one of those clean, cross-off mornings on the 12th, 13th, or 18th, grab a longboard, and make the most of the tiny, clean lines. It’s not gonna be epic, but it’s the only game in town.

Rusty.

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