Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Grab a seat, because I’ve got to be straight with you – this stretch of the coast is looking pretty grim for the next two weeks.

The biggest problem is that we just don't have any decent swell on the radar. For the entire 16-day outlook, the energy is weak. The best we see is a fleeting pulse of moderate energy around Wednesday the 12th, peaking at a combined energy of 170, but even that arrives with only 2ft of swell. Most of the time, the combined energy is stuck in the low double digits or even single digits, like the 3 we see on Saturday the 8th. That’s flat, not surfable. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the few clean, glassy windows are on swells that are barely a ripple.

The only spot on the menu is the reef and point break, which is a fairly consistent setup. That’s the small mercy here – it doesn’t need a massive amount of swell to work, and it’s fairly exposed to the northwest swell, which is the optimum direction. The water temp is about 73°F, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year, but you’ll be sitting on your board wondering why you bothered.

Let’s run through the few days that might tempt you out. On Tuesday, August 11th, the swell direction goes SW, and the period jumps to a very long 18 seconds. That’s pure groundswell. The morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the swell height is only 1.0ft with a combined energy of 85. It’s a tease. By the afternoon, the energy jumps to 159 (moderate), and the swell is 2ft, but the wind goes cross-shore. It’s ankle-snappers at best.

The one day that stands out, and I mean *barely*, is Wednesday, August 12th. The morning gives us a 2ft swell from the SW, with a 17-second period and a combined energy of 170. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSW, so the surface will be clean. The swell direction is right out of the optimum NW? No, it’s SW. But the reef/point should still bend it in. It’s small, but it might be the only rideable wave of the whole window. The afternoon goes cross-onshore and choppy, so get in early.

The rest of the second week is a write-off. From Thursday the 13th onward, the swell drops to 2ft or less, the period shortens, and the energy is weak. There’s a glassy morning on Saturday, August 15th with a 3ft swell from the west, but the period is a pathetic 5 seconds, and the combined energy is only 53. That’s a tiny, weak windswell. It’s not worth the drive.

Honestly, this is a classic blank run. The reef/point is consistent, but when there’s nothing to ride, it’s just a pretty rock. The forecasts can change, but for now, I’d be eyeing the kitesurfing if the wind picks up, because this surf is not happening.

Rusty.

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