Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for this stretch of coast.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this 16-day window is a real tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real chance of a wave comes on Saturday the 19th of July, but even then, it’s pretty ordinary. The standout, if you can call it that, is going to be the reef and point setup on the Saturday morning. We’re looking at a small 2ft swell from the SW, but here’s the kicker – it’s got a long period of 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and it’s showing a combined energy of 197 (moderate) which is decent for such a small wave. The water is way warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°, which is a hefty 6° above average. That’s pretty unusual. The wind is a light S breeze, making it cross-off, so the surface will be clean. This spot is fairly consistent and takes a NW swell best, but with this long-period SW groundswell wrapping in, it should line up nicely on the reef and point. For a Saturday morning session, it’s about the best you’ll get. The crowds are possible here, so you might have a few others in the water, but for the size, it’ll be manageable.

The rest of the weekend and the following week are grim. Sunday the 19th looks similar in the morning, but that afternoon turns cross-on and choppy. From Monday the 20th through to the end of the month, the swell drops right off and the wind becomes a problem. We’re talking about a run of more than 10 days where the surf is basically flat or junk. There’s a tiny pulse on the 23rd of July Thursday afternoon with a 1ft swell from the SW, but it’s got a 26-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell, but it’s small and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it’ll be a messy, weak wave. Not worth the drive.

Moving into the second week, there’s a glimmer on the 29th of July Wednesday morning. The wind finally swings offshore from the SE, with a moderate breeze of 12 mph, so it’ll be clean. The swell is still only 2ft from the W, with a period of 7 seconds – that’s short period, weak windswell, and the combined energy is only 62 (weak). It’s surfable, but it’s a long call for a small, weak wave. The 2nd of August Sunday morning also shows a clean offshore wind from the SE, with a 2ft W swell, but again, it’s a short period swell and the energy is low. These are promising but not certain this far out.

Honestly, for this whole stretch, the only real standout is that Saturday the 19th morning session. Get on it early, because after that, it’s a long wait for anything decent.

Rusty.

Read more