Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook is a bit of a slow burn, but there’s a little something to work with if you’ve got patience.

We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak swell for the next couple of weeks. The first real chance for a wave doesn’t pop up until Wednesday the 12th of August, so you’re staring down a solid gap of nearly two weeks with nothing worth paddling out for. From the 29th of July right through until the 11th of August, it’s all poor surf conditions – tiny, weak, and mostly onshore or cross-shore. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

The first faint glimmer of hope comes Wednesday morning, the 12th of August. The swell bumps up a touch to 2 ft from the SW, with a very long period of 18 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is moderate at 163, and with light cross-offshore winds from the S, it’ll be clean. This is a reef and point break (Indicator), so that long-period energy will wrap in nicely without just walling up. It’s “surfable but very ordinary conditions” – not a stand-out, but it’s the first wave in a long time. Crowds are possible here, so expect a few others with the same idea.

Thursday the 13th of August morning is similar, with 2 ft from the SW, 16-second period, moderate energy at 256, and clean conditions with light cross-off winds. Again, it’s not pumping, but compared to the nothingness before it, it’s a glimmer.

The true standout – if you can call it that – is the Tuesday afternoon of the 11th of August. The swell jumps to 2 ft from the SW, with a very long period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy hits 203 – moderate. But here’s the catch: the wind is cross-onshore at 12 mph from the W, making it choppy. The forecast says “poor surf conditions.” For a reef and point, the long period and cross-onshore wind will make it messy, so this one’s really for the die-hards or the kite surfers looking for wind. Not a paddle-friendly option.

Honestly, the best on offer is the Wednesday morning the 12th of August. Clean, light winds, a bit of groundswell energy. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the most surfable window in the whole 16 days. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty

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