Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is a bit of a tough stretch, but I’ll work through it for ya.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a pretty quiet start. There’s nothing on offer for the first few days. From Sunday the 12th right through to Tuesday morning the 15th, it’s flat or near flat. The little bumps we see are just tiny, with poor surf conditions and cross-onshore winds. It’s pretty much a write-off for the first part of the week.

The first real glimpse of something surfable shows up on the morning of Wednesday the 15th. We’re looking at a small 0.4 feet (1 ft) swell from the southwest, with a period of 18 seconds. That’s a long period groundswell, which tends to be clean and have some energy behind it, but it’s tiny. The combined energy is moderate, 147 (moderate wave energy). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the south, so the surf is actually clean. This is for the only break we’ve got on the radar here: a reef and point setup, fairly exposed to the swell with an optimum direction from the NW. The water temp is a notable 69°F, which is 5°F much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a big anomaly, so the water is feeling noticeably warm. The break is called out as fairly consistent, intermediate-level, and crowds are possible sometimes. The swell direction is from the SW, which isn’t exactly the optimum NW direction, but with a long period, it’ll still wrap in. It’s a promising little window, but it’s only for the morning, as the wind turns cross-onshore in the afternoon.

The morning of Thursday the 16th is another similar window. Still 0.4 feet (1 ft) from the SW, 16-second period, but now the wind is offshore from the SSE. That’s a major positive – clean glassy conditions. There’s a moderate combined energy of 135 (moderate wave energy). The afternoon also holds clean with a cross-offshore breeze. This is shaping up to be the best of the whole run, but it’s still small. The wave comment says “surfable but very ordinary,” so don’t expect barrels.

After that, we hit another gap. From Friday the 17th through to the 25th, it’s a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The swell pulses up a bit, hitting 2 feet to 2 feet on the 18th, 19th, and 20th, but the wind is consistently cross-onshore or cross, keeping it messy. The combined energy gets up to 263 (moderate) on the 19th, but the wind kills it. There’s a window on the morning of the 22nd with a light south wind, cross-offshore, and a 2 feet swell from the west, but the period is only 5 seconds – that’s short-period wind swell, weak and lumpy. Not worth paddling out for.

The next real standout isn’t until the morning of Sunday the 26th. That’s a week and a half away, so keep that in mind. On that morning, the wind goes glassy – I mean true glass, with a light SSE breeze. The swell is 2 feet from the SW, period 19 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is 208 (moderate). This is a real promising setup, but it’s just a morning window. The rest of the day gets cross-onshore again.

The final day, Monday the 27th, shows a bump to 2 feet from the SW with a 18-second period, and a combined energy of 266 (moderate), but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not ideal.

So, all in all, the standout here is the Thursday the 16th morning. That offshore wind, clean conditions, and a long period groundswell, even if it’s small, is the best bet. The Sunday the 26th morning is a close second for that glassy session, but it’s a long way out. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a washout with poor conditions and small, messy surf. If you’re an intermediate, you’ll get a few fun little waves on the 16th and maybe the 26th, but don’t expect much else. The break is a reef and point, so that long period swell will actually shape up nicely there.

Rusty.

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