Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve scanned the charts and, to be honest, I’m struggling to find any real reason to wax up in this region over the next 16 days. The swell windows are just not open. There’s no genuine surf on offer, just a string of marginal to poor conditions that make it hard to get excited. The only faint glimmer of something rideable is on Saturday the 25th of July, but even then, it’s a tough sell.

The first and only hint of a wave shows up Saturday afternoon, the 25th of July. We’ve got a tiny 2 ft swell out of the southwest, with a surprisingly long period of 21 seconds. That’s proper long-period groundswell energy (combined energy 372), which usually points to better shaped waves, but the real problem is the direction. This break, a reef and point setup, needs swell from the northwest to really light up, and we’re getting the opposite. That southwest swell is wrapping in at an awkward angle, so it won’t hold its shape. The wind is a light cross-shore from the southwest at 6 mph, so it’s not wrecking it, but it’s not helping either. Water temp is a balmy 72°, which is 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, a real anomaly. But for all that, the wave comment says it’s marginal. This is a day for the dedicated longboarder who just wants a paddle, not for anyone chasing quality. It’s the only blip on the radar, and it’s a weak one.

After that, it’s a dead zone. From Sunday the 26th of July all the way through to Sunday the 9th of August, every single entry is marked as poor surf conditions with a score of zero. That’s a brutal stretch of nearly two weeks with nothing. Even the early August period shows swell heights barely cracking 2 ft, with short, weak periods of 6-7 seconds and cross-shore or onshore winds that will leave the surface messy. The energy readings are tiny, mostly in the teens or low double digits – weak stuff. The winds are light to moderate, but the swell just isn’t there. A few mornings, like Tuesday the 28th of July, have a light offshore, but with only 2 ft of weak swell at a 7-second period, it’s not worth a paddle. For the beach-break setups here, conditions look more suited to a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, with the wind and small chop.

In short, this region is flat-lining. There are no standouts. If you’re desperate for a session, that Saturday arvo the 25th is your only remote chance, but don’t expect much. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game – forecasts can change, and a blank run like this is normal for the area, but for now, leave the board in the shed.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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