Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for this stretch of coast.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is looking pretty flat and ordinary. We’ve got a real dry spell until we get to the second week, so don’t be rushing to grab your board just yet. There’s a gap of nearly ten days with nothing worth paddling out for.

The first real glimmer of something rideable shows up on the morning of Wednesday the 15th of July. It’s small, with a weak 1 ft swell from the southwest, but the period is a long 18 seconds, which gives it a bit of push. Conditions are clean with a light offshore breeze, and the combined energy is moderate at 117. It’s not going to set the world on fire, but it’s surfable if you’re desperate.

Thursday the 16th of July afternoon looks a little better. The swell is still 1 ft from the southwest, but the period holds at 16 seconds and the combined energy is 121. The wind goes glassy, which is a huge plus. It’s clean, small, and you’ll have to work for it, but it’s the best of a quiet run.

Now, the real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Saturday the 18th of July morning. The swell picks up to 2 ft from the southwest, with a long 18-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 308 – that’s a proper moderate push. The wind is glassy, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your best window. It’s small, but clean and with enough energy to make it fun. This is a reef and point set-up, so that long period will wrap in nicely and give you some shape. Crowds are possible here, so you might have some company.

After that, things get a bit messy. Sunday the 19th has more size (2-2 ft) and energy (259-316), but the wind swings onshore and gets choppy. Monday the 20th is clean again in the morning, with 2 ft swell and 16 seconds, but energy is still high at 220. It’s surfable, but ordinary.

By Tuesday the 21st it drops right off again, and we’re back to tiny dribble for the rest of the outlook.

The water temperature is sitting at 68°F, which is a notable 4° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a nice touch for a winter session.

So, bottom line: if you’ve got to get wet, the Saturday the 18th morning is your best bet. Glassy, clean, and a little pulse of energy. Don’t expect much else until then.

- Rusty

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