Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let's have a look at the charts for this spot, a reef and point set-up that's fairly consistent. The next 16 days are a bit of a slow burn, to be honest. We’re looking at a whole lot of small, weak swell with poor conditions for the first week and a bit. It’s not until well into the second week that we see a real change.

Right off the bat, from Saturday the 4th through to pretty much the end of the following week, we’ve got tiny waves. We’re talking 1 ft to 3 ft of weak, short-period swell from the west, with a combined energy that barely gets above 70 (moderate at best early on). The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, making for choppy, poor surf. The mornings on Monday the 6th, Wednesday the 8th, and Thursday the 9th offer some clean conditions with light cross-offshore or offshore breezes, but the swell just isn't there. It's a frustrating stretch.

Then we hit a proper dry spell. The weekend of the 12th and 13th is a write-off. The swell vanishes completely on Sunday the 12th, with an energy reading of just 2 to 28. It’s dead.

Things start to stir again around Monday the 13th. We get a pulse of moderate energy (149) on the Monday afternoon, with a 2 ft west swell and a 10-second period, but the wind is cross-shore and messy. This builds through the week into a better quality, longer-period groundswell from the southwest. By Thursday the 16th, the swell period hits 16 seconds with a moderate combined energy of 113, and Friday morning the 17th looks like the pick of the early part of this run. We’ve got a 1 ft swell from the southwest with a 15-second period, combined energy of 132, and a light offshore wind from the ESE. That’s clean, lined-up energy.

The standout, however, is shaping up for Saturday the 18th of July. The morning session looks genuine. We’re looking at a 2 ft southwest groundswell rolling in with a 17-second period. That's a very long period for this size, bringing proper energy. The combined energy is a solid 211 (moderate), but more importantly, the wind is light and offshore from the southeast, which will groom this reef and point into glassy, clean faces. The optimum swell direction for this break is NW, so this SW swell isn't a perfect match, but the quality of the swell and the wind could still make for some memorable, long walls. It’s a point and reef setup, so those long-period lines should wrap in nicely. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Given how small and poor it’s been, that Saturday morning is the one to circle. The conditions are going to be excellent. Crowds are a possibility here sometimes, and with a forecast like this after a long flat spell, expect a few of the locals to be out for sure.

Rusty.

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