Indicator Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m gonna be straight with you. The next 16 days look like a real struggle. We’ve got a lot of flat, blown-out days to sit through before anything gets interesting. It’s a long wait, with the first half of September looking pretty grim.

For this spot, a reef and point setup, we’re looking at a lot of small, weak swell. The water temperature is reading 73°F which is much warmer than normal for the time of year. That’s a big difference.

We start off on Wednesday the 9th, with a 2ft wave from the west, but it’s got a pathetic 3-second period and a 12 mph cross-onshore wind. It’s a mess, and the energy is basically nothing (5). Don’t even bother.

Thursday the 10th morning is cleaner with a gentle offshore, but still only a 2ft west swell. It’s just too small to be any fun. This pattern of tiny, clean but weak waves continues into Friday and Saturday morning. The SSE offshore wind on the 12th gives us glassy conditons but only 1ft of swell (68). You’d be floating out there.

Sunday the 13th morning we get a clean 1ft swell from the SW, with a 9 mph offshore, but the energy is still weak (143). It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary.

The end of the first week and into the second week is a real desert. From Monday the 14th through to Saturday the 19th, we have a mix of offshores, cross-offshores, and glass, but the swell is stuck between 1ft and 2ft. The period gets long – up to 21 seconds on the 17th – but with such tiny height, that long period means nothing. That long period just won’t wrap into anything with power. Some mornings look clean, like the 14th and 15th, but there’s just no push.

Finally, we get a pulse around Sunday the 20th. Sunday morning the wind is light and cross-offshore and the swell picks up to 2ft from the SW with an 18-second period. The energy bumps up to a moderate 360. Monday the 21st morning is the real standout. A 3ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, light offshore wind from the SE, and strong energy (371). This is the best window we get. The offshore wind will clean it right up, and that long period will wrap nicely into this reef and point, giving it some shape. The crowd situation is listed as “sometimes” so you might have to share it, but the quality of the surf on Monday morning is the pick of the forecast.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The afternoon winds on the 21st swing onshore and chop it up, and the rest of the week into the 24th is a series of weak, cross-onshore slop. The long-range stuff on Monday is promising, but it’s a fair way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Rusty.

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