Ma'alaea Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s have a look at the next stretch of days for Ma'alaea. It’s a mixed bag, but there are a couple of moments that’ll get you going if you’re willing to wait. Water temp’s running about normal for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The start of this run is pretty flat. Monday the 31st has some small, short-period east swell, maybe 4ft, but it’s jumbly with a period of only 6 seconds. Not going to do much here. The northeast cross-off breeze keeps things clean, but you’re chasing scraps. By Tuesday the 1st, the swell drops way down to around 2ft, even if the period stretches out – but the direction’s not right for this place. We’re in a waiting game.

Wednesday the 2nd is the first real hint. Early morning we’ve got moderate energy (457 combined), with a 3ft swell from the south at 16 seconds. Proper groundswell, but small. Clean with a light northeast breeze. Surfable, but you’ll be working for it.

Then a lull. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are poor – small, weak, short-period dribble with moderate trades. Not worth it. A few people might go out for the exercise, but the reef won’t give you much.

Now, Saturday the 5th is the standout. Morning brings a 4ft south swell at 10 seconds, but more importantly – glass. 5 km/h from the northwest, flat water. Combined energy jumps to 399, clean and glassy. Not huge, but it’ll be fun. The afternoon keeps the glassy vibe with another pulse, 4ft from the south-southwest. If you’ve got a window, that Saturday is your day.

Sunday the 6th steps back – smaller, more mixed. Monday the 7th brings fresh northeast trades, 30 km/h, and while the swell ticks up a touch, it’s messy and blown out. Not worth it.

Tuesday the 8th has some offshore wind in the morning – finally a bit of clean offshore – but the swell is only around 3ft and the energy is moderate. Still, with offshore wind at this reef, might be worth a paddle if you’re desperate. Not terrible, but not great.

After that, the run fades out. The 9th through the 15th sees the swell die. A few small pulses, mostly under 3ft, with longer periods but no real size. There’s a glassy stretch on the 13th and 14th with some south-southwest swell around 2ft – knee to waist high at best. The reef will be showing, and you’ll be walking around on dry reef between sets. Not really worth the drive unless you’re a log enthusiast.

Honestly, for this 16-day window, only Saturday the 5th stands out as a proper call. It’s not big, but it’s clean, glassy, and the south swell will wrap into Ma'alaea with some shape. The next best is Wednesday the 2nd morning – smaller, but the long-period south swell makes it more interesting than it looks.

Crowds are possible at Ma'alaea, especially on the good Saturday, so don’t sleep on it.

Keep an eye on the long-range stuff, but don’t bank on it. Sometimes this stretch just goes quiet, and this looks like one of those times after the 8th.

Rusty out.

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