Surf Forecasts:
Pavillions surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period, ENE swell with 653 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Pavillions this week:
The surf forecast for Pavillions over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Pavillions in the next 16 days are 1.6m 11s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 11s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Pavillions over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this outlook for the next 16 days is a tough one to swallow. The usual spot, Pavillions, is just not playing ball.
We’ve got a consistent run of swell, but it’s all coming from the east-northeast, which is cross to cross-onshore for Pavillions. That means the wind is shredding the surface, leaving us with chop and lumpy conditions. The combined wave energy is moderate, hitting values between 258 and 656, but it’s all messy. The swell period is short, mostly 7 to 8 seconds, so the waves are weak and lack any real punch. Every single day through the forecast is marked as poor surf conditions. There’s a window of marginal surf on Tuesday, 4th of August, with the swell period stretching to 11 seconds, but the wind is still cross-onshore, making it a tough call.
The first real swell of note hits around the 6th of August, with heights around 4 ft, but it’s just not clean. The wind stays moderate, and the shape is gone. By the 9th of August, we see the swell bump up to 7 ft, but it’s crossed up with a fresh breeze, and the whole thing looks more like a kite-surfing session than a proper paddle.
The water temperature is about average for this time of year, but that’s small comfort when the lineup is a washing machine.
There is no standout, no hidden gem, and no window of magic. This is a blank run. It’s a 16-day stretch where you’re better off tuning the board or chasing something else. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a hard pass. Stay patient.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 446 | 321 | 262 | 604 | 496 | 496 | 373 | 237 | 262 | 197 | 163 | 39 | 37 | 121 | 89 | 236 | 257 | 277 | 355 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 5:33AM0.63m | 5:05PM0.76m | 6:41AM0.65m | 5:22PM0.69m | 8:16AM0.67m | 5:28PM0.63m | 10:17AM0.73m | 11:41AM0.82m | 12:35PM0.90m | 10:27PM0.45m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 11:27PM0.23m | 10:56AM0.36m | 11:59PM0.20m | 11:46AM0.47m | 00:38AM0.18m | 1:15PM0.56m | 1:32AM0.17m | 2:45AM0.16m | 4:09AM0.13m | 8:17PM0.43m | |||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 7:02 | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ENE 8 | E 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | N 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NNW 7 | NE 7 | NE 11 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 125 | 321 | 141 | 604 | 496 | 8 | 373 | 237 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 37 | 10 | 41 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | E 13 | N 6 | N 7 | N 11 | W 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | W 12 | SE 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | NNW 8 | W 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 |
| kJ | 12 | 117 | 25 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | N 8 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 17 | W 12 | ESE 7 | N 9 | W 12 | SE 8 | NW 8 | ENE 11 | N 12 | W 12 | W 19 | W 18 | W 18 | W 18 |
| kJ | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 11 | — | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 5 | E 5 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 446 | — | 262 | — | — | 496 | — | — | 262 | 197 | 163 | 32 | 20 | 121 | 89 | 236 | 257 | 277 | 355 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 24 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 24 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Maui | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Pavillions surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Pavillions Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Pavillions provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Pavillions can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Pavillions surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Pavillions) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Pavillions may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in Maui? If you are looking for accommodation near Pavillions, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in Maui, consider staying in Kahului which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Maui where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Wailuku which is 17 km (11 miles) away, Kihei, Lanai - Lanai and Kaunakakai - Molokai.
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