Kihei Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, picture this: it’s a slow start for the ol’ home break. We’re looking at a bit of a lull for the next few days, but don’t go putting the board away just yet. The ocean’s got a pulse, just a quiet one. The first few days are pretty underwhelming, with tiny swells and not much push. It’s gonna be a waiting game.

The action really starts to pick up around the middle of next week. There’s a window from the 15th onward where things get more interesting. The swell builds, the energy in the water climbs, and we start seeing some cleaner conditions. It’s not going to be giant, but it’ll be a whole lot better than what we’re seeing right now.

The standout period is looking like the 17th through the 19th. We’ve got a solid run of days with a building southwest swell, some consistent energy readings in the 400-600 range, and light offshore winds keeping the surface clean. This is where you want to be. Kihei Cove is a pretty consistent reef break, and when it gets a clean SW swell like this, it can be a lot of fun for the more experienced folks. The swell direction is right in its wheelhouse, coming from the SSW/SW.

Now, let’s break it down day by day. For the 9th and 10th, keep your expectations low. We’re looking at a small, clean-ish, weak swell. It’s real small, like 2 to 3 feet, and the energy is just not there. The water temp is a touch above average, about 80°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

From the 11th to the 14th, the wave heights drop off further. It’s not looking good, with some poor conditions and cross-offshore winds. There might be a tiny bump on the 14th afternoon with a longer period swell of 22 seconds, but the wind is going to be messy. It’s a pass.

Then we hit the good stuff. Starting the 15th, the swell starts to fill in. The period is around 20 seconds, and the energy jumps up to the 400s. The wind is light and glassy for the most part, which is a major positive. This is when you should start clearing your schedule.

The 16th and 17th look excellent. The swell is holding around 3 to 3 feet, the period is still up there, and the winds are light offshore. The energy readings are strong, in the 450-510 range. This is shaping up to be some classic Kihei Cove surf. Remember, this is a reef break, so long-period swell is your friend here.

The 18th looks like the pick of the bunch. Morning glass, afternoon gentle offshore breeze, and the swell is a consistent 3 feet. The combined swell energy hits its peak at 615, which is a strong signal. This is the day to be out there.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th holds some fun waves too, but maybe a slight step down in size and energy. Still, there are good waves on offer with light winds.

The following week starts off a bit shaky again. The 21st has some poor onshore winds and the swell drops. The energy fades. Then it tries to build again mid-week, with the 23rd and 24th looking like they might have some more clean, glassy surf with moderate energy.

So, the call is simple. The beginning is quiet, the middle of the period from the 15th to the 20th is where the magic happens. Mark the 18th on your calendar as the standout. It’s a beautiful, clean, moderate-sized southwest swell at a quality reef break. Don't sleep on the 16th and 17th either. After that, it’s a bit of a roll of the dice again. This has been a long-range outlook, so treat it with a bit of healthy caution, but the signs are looking right for a proper run of surf.

Rusty

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