The Cove Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window here, and it kicks off with a nice little run of clean, lined-up swell at The Cove. This is a reef setup, so it’s for the experienced crew only – take that seriously.

The water is sitting at 80°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.5°F, so it’s bang on average for this time of year. Comfortable.

We come straight out of the gate on Wednesday the 12th. Morning has a 3ft south swell with a very long 18-second period, pumping moderate energy (879). That long period means proper groundswell, with good shape but longer waits between sets. The wind is light offshore from the NNE at 6 mph, so it’s glassy clean. This is the standout session of the whole run. The afternoon holds with a 3ft south swell, 18 seconds, and a moderate offshore breeze increasing to 12 mph. Still excellent.

Thursday the 13th keeps the goods rolling. 4ft south swell, 16-second period, and gentle offshore winds all day – morning and afternoon. Clean, lined-up, and solid. This is your second-best day. Friday the 14th drops a little to a 3ft south swell, 14-second period, but winds stay light offshore. Still very surfable and clean.

Now, Saturday the 15th turns ugly. The swell drops to 3ft, but the wind cranks up from the NE at 22–25 mph. Conditions will be messy, with a risk of thunderstorms. Not worth paddling out. The combined energy drops to around 315-323, which tells you it’s weak and chopped.

Sunday the 16th is a write-off. A 5ft south swell shows up with a short, gutless 7-second period, and cross-onshore winds. That’s blown-out, lumpy slop. Kite surfers might have a look, but for a paddle board, it’s a no-go.

Monday the 17th sees things settle back down. Small 3ft south swell, 14 seconds, with light offshore to near-calm winds. Clean little waves. From Tuesday the 18th through to Thursday the 21st, we’re in a lull. Swells hover between 2ft and 2ft. The winds go light, sometimes glassy, but the energy is weak (136 to 267). These are “ordinary” days – you can get wet, but don’t expect much push.

Friday the 22nd and Saturday the 23rd are poor – light cross or cross-onshore winds on tiny swell. A couple of days to skip.

But here’s the second act. Sunday the 23rd afternoon, a new SSW swell arrives at 3ft, 15 seconds, with clean offshore wind. Energy jumps back to 500. Monday the 24th is the best of this second run: 4ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and glassy conditions in the morning. That is a proper sunrise session. Tuesday the 25th stays clean with moderate offshore winds, and the run holds through to Thursday the 27th, with 3ft to 4ft SSW swells, clean winds, and decent energy (373-525). Consistent and clean for the experienced crew.

So, the standout is the Wednesday morning the 12th – that 3ft south groundswell with glassy offshores. The Monday the 24th morning is your long-range pick – promising but less certain this far out. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Rusty out.

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