Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
17.5°C
2.6° 

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, WNW swell with 525 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 1.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 14th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 14th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Tue 15th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half at Mavericks is a tough watch. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf quality, with the first real glimmer of hope not showing up until the very end of the forecast period. The water is sitting at a warm 64°F right now, which is 5°F above normal for this time of year, so it’s feeling more like a bathtub than a big-wave playground.

The main story is a whole lot of cross-onshore wind and choppy, lumpy conditions. Starting Saturday the 12th, through the following week, it's just a mess. The swell is small, mostly around 2ft to 2ft from the SW, and the wind is just ruining it. Even when we see a pulse of WNW swell around Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th, pushing 5ft, the wind is still cross-on, leaving it bumpy. The combined energy on the 14th morning hits 412 (moderate), but with the wind angle, it’s not doing us any favors.

There are a few mornings where the wind drops off – like Tuesday the 15th morning, with a light breeze and a 5ft WNW swell (combined energy 422), but it’s still a cross-on wind, so the surface gets messed up. The same goes for Wednesday the 16th. There are some longer-period swells showing up later in the week, like a 17-second groundswell on the 16th afternoon, but it's tiny (2ft) and the wind is wrong. It's just frustrating.

Then we get a bit of a pulse on the 20th (Sunday), with the swell jumping to 6ft from the NW. The combined energy is 789 (strong), but again, the wind is a fresh cross-on from the NW, making it choppy. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

Finally, there's a light at the end of the tunnel. On Saturday the 26th, we see a shift. The wind goes cross-offshore from the north, with a light breeze. It’s still small, only 2ft from the SW, but it’s clean. The real standout, though, is Sunday morning, the 27th of September. The wind is forecast to go glassy – dead calm. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the SW with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is 394 (moderate). That’s a long-period groundswell, which at a reef like Mavericks, means proper, well-shaped lines. It’s small, but it will be absolutely perfect and clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Crowds are always a possibility here, so get there early if you want a slice of that glassy goodness. The consistency is normally solid here, so this blank run is a bit of a bummer, but it won't stay like this forever.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 13°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
13
1.3
WNW
6
1.8
NW
7
1.5
WNW
9
1.4
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
9
1.2
WNW
8
0.5
SW
17
0.8
WNW
8
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.3
SW
21
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
167
123
113
115
349
320
275
525
306
181
222
207
143
78
122
119
71
184
184
133
Wind (km/h)
25
WNW
25
NW
30
NW
30
NW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
NW
10
WNW
10
SW
10
WSW
5
SSW
15
S
10
SW
5
WSW
10
WSW
10
WNW
10
NW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
00:26AM1.55m
12:36PM1.72m
1:18AM1.42m
1:05PM1.70m
2:16AM1.29m
1:38PM1.66m
3:24AM1.18m
2:15PM1.60m
4:50AM1.12m
3:02PM1.54m
6:29AM1.14m
4:00PM1.48m
Low Tide
6:16PM0.22m
6:20AM0.38m
7:00PM0.17m
6:55AM0.56m
7:46PM0.16m
7:33AM0.74m
8:36PM0.17m
8:16AM0.90m
9:32PM0.21m
9:12AM1.02m
10:37PM0.24m
10:34AM1.09m
11:48PM0.24m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:50
6:50
6:52
6:52
6:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:22
7:21
7:19
7:17
7:15
7:15
7:13
 mm
Temp °C
15
15
16
16
15
17
18
14
16
16
14
16
16
14
16
16
14
15
15
13
Feels °C
12
12
12
11
11
15
15
12
15
14
14
14
15
14
15
15
13
12
11
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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