Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Issued: 4 am 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
16.0° C

2.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with 632 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful11PM (Thu 9th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up: looking at the coming forecast for Mavericks, it’s a real mixed bag, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch for anyone hoping for clean, classic waves. The water’s sitting at 61°, which is nearly 5° warmer than usual for this time of year—that’s very unusual, feels like the ocean’s out of sorts. The first week is almost a total washout.

We don’t even get a sniff of a decent wave until Tuesday July 7th. That morning, we see some WNW swell pushing 5ft with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy hits 1033 (moderate) — it’s got some grunt. But it’s onshore from the WNW with a gentle breeze, so it’s going to be bumpy. Still, with that size and period, it’s the best on offer in the first week, but it’s only for the experts. This spot is consistent and exposed, and it needs that WNW direction, but the wind’s just not playing ball. It’s a marginal call at best—barely a recommendation.

After that, it gets messy again with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions through the rest of the week.

Now, the second week. Things get a little more interesting, but don’t get your hopes up too high. On Saturday, July 11th, we see the biggest swell of the entire outlook hitting in the morning: a WNW swell at 7ft, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a powerful 1318 (strong). That’s proper heavy water—expert territory only. The wind is actually cross-shore from the SSW at a gentle 9 mph, which should keep a little order on the face. This is the standout session for the whole 16-day run. It’s still not perfect because the period is short, but for size and energy, this is it. It’s likely to be a busy session at this spot—sometimes crowded, and with that much energy, you’ll want your wits about you.

The following days just fade back into poor conditions or onshore wind.

Overall, if you’re an experienced charger, the morning of Saturday, July 11th is your only real window for something big. The rest is mostly a write-off. Hold tight and hope the forecasts change.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
1.4
WNW
11
0.8
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
1.8
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
122
166
166
125
122
103
197
152
108
211
206
388
433
379
375
444
386
392
425
392
601
Wind (km/h)
15
SW
10
WSW
10
SW
15
SSW
10
WSW
5
WSW
10
SW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
WNW
25
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
2:40PM1.36m
1:09AM1.51m
3:11PM1.41m
1:57AM1.38m
3:43PM1.48m
2:55AM1.23m
4:16PM1.56m
4:09AM1.09m
4:54PM1.64m
5:43AM0.99m
5:36PM1.74m
7:28AM0.99m
6:24PM1.83m
Low Tide
7:41PM0.92m
8:08AM-0.06m
8:36PM0.85m
8:44AM0.06m
9:37PM0.74m
9:23AM0.21m
10:44PM0.58m
10:07AM0.39m
11:51PM0.38m
10:57AM0.58m
00:55AM0.16m
11:56AM0.74m
1:54AM-0.05m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
12
14
14
12
14
14
12
13
14
13
13
13
12
12
13
13
12
13
12
Feels °C
12
12
11
12
12
11
12
12
10
11
12
10
11
10
8
8
9
10
9
10
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.8
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
11
1
WNW
7
0.8
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
1.3
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
1.8
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
0.8
SW
16
1.9
WNW
8
Energy kJ
122
122
125
125
122
103
128
128
108
113
75
275
101
379
375
186
386
392
327
306
465
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
WNW
12
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SW
14
0.5
SW
15
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
104
166
166
102
103
103
197
152
108
211
111
388
196
74
104
444
268
381
248
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
W
15
0.2
W
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
W
12
0.4
W
12
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
12
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
19
0.1
S
8
0.2
S
11
0.4
SW
13
Energy kJ
5
17
44
62
96
96
47
48
62
71
206
161
303
1
9
45
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
11
1.2
WNW
11
1.6
WNW
7
1.5
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
7
1.9
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2.1
WNW
8
Energy kJ
433
322
256
257
157
425
392
601
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
4
2
2
2
3
2
2
3
2
2
Distance (km)
35
71
21
5
74
21
35
419
35
419
74
63
35
74
72
35
73
35
35
73
35
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
1
3
2
2
3
3
2
4
2
3
4
3
3
4
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
4
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
9
9
5
6
6
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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