Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 17 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
15.6° C
2.0° 

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 21s period, SW swell with 548 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 0.8m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sun 19th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 17s
Best Surf11PM (Sun 19th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 17s
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 25th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 21s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, it's Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe at Mavericks. We've got a 16-day window, but I gotta be straight with you – it's a bit of a slow burner. The first week is going to be a real struggle to find anything rideable, with a lot of poor conditions and marginal forecasts. The action starts to build towards the end of the month, but it's gonna take patience.

First up, Saturday the 18th of July through to Friday the 25th of July. It's a tough stretch. We're looking at tiny swell, mostly around 2 ft, with onshore and cross-onshore winds messing things up. The wave energy is moderate at best, hovering in the 200 to 700 range, but it's all short-period, weak stuff. The water temp is running about what you'd expect for this time of year. Honestly, there's hardly a window worth paddling out for. We do see a slight uptick on Tuesday afternoon the 21st with a 3 ft swell from the SSW, but the winds are cross-onshore and it’s only scoring marginal. The best I can say is, bring a book.

Now, Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th of July. This is where things start to get a little more interesting, but don't get your hopes up just yet. The swell is still small, around 3 to 3 ft from the SW, but the energy is picking up. We're seeing readings around 800 to 1000 (moderate wave energy). The winds are still mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping the quality poor. It’s still not worth a special trip, but if you're local, you might find a tiny, grovelly one if the tide plays ball.

The standout window arrives around Tuesday the 29th of July and into early August. This is the one to circle. The morning of Tuesday the 29th sees the swell jump to 5 ft from the SW with long-period energy (17 seconds). The combined energy hits a strong 1771 (strong wave energy)! The wind is light and onshore, which is better, but it's not offshore, so expect some texture. This is definitely getting into the territory where it's too big for beginners, but it could be a fun challenge for intermediates and a solid session for experts. The large, very long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds) from the SW means it might be a bit straight at the exposed spots, but for a big-wave reef like Mavericks, longer period is energy. The wind stays light for the morning session on Wednesday the 30th as well, with a similar 5 ft swell.

Then, as we roll into the very first days of August, the character changes. On the 1st and 2nd of August, the swell direction swings to the WNW and NW, dropping in period to around 8-9 seconds. The height holds around 5 to 6 ft, and the energy stays moderate to strong (485 to 883). The winds are still light and onshore, which isn't ideal. That smaller period means it’s windswell, not groundswell, so the shape won't be as good as those SW swells earlier. This is more of a mushy, rolling wave.

So, what's the call? If you have to pick one day, go for Tuesday the 29th of July in the morning. You're getting the biggest, most powerful swell of the whole forecast with that strong energy reading, a long period that Mavericks can handle, and the wind is at its lightest. It won't be glassy, but it'll be the best of a mixed bag. Keep in mind, this is a consistent, exposed reef break that is only for advanced surfers, and with that size and the crowds that can show, you need to know what you're doing.

Overall, the first week is a write-off. The last week is where the energy returns, but with onshore winds, you're trading power for clean conditions. The setup looks more interesting for paddle surfing than kite surfing, given it's a reef. Stay patient, and the end of the month might deliver one or two decent sessions.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
W
16
0.6
SW
17
0.6
SW
18
0.6
W
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
17
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.4
SW
26
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
185
190
201
172
165
297
216
198
242
382
299
394
203
158
155
208
208
170
237
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
SW
5
SW
10
WSW
5
NW
10
NW
10
WNW
5
SSW
10
SSW
15
SSW
10
S
10
W
15
WNW
5
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:33AM1.63m
3:02PM1.63m
2:32AM1.41m
3:42PM1.66m
3:40AM1.21m
4:22PM1.67m
5:05AM1.06m
5:04PM1.67m
6:50AM1.01m
5:49PM1.67m
8:25AM1.06m
6:36PM1.68m
Low Tide
8:14AM-0.04m
8:58PM0.58m
8:56AM0.18m
10:05PM0.49m
9:40AM0.41m
11:14PM0.40m
10:29AM0.62m
00:22AM0.29m
11:25AM0.80m
1:25AM0.19m
12:30PM0.93m
2:19AM0.09m
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clear
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clear
clear
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:29
8:29
8:28
8:28
8:27
8:25
8:24
 mm
Temp °C
12
14
14
12
14
15
13
15
15
15
19
20
19
18
19
18
18
18
14
Feels °C
10
13
12
10
12
13
12
15
14
14
17
18
18
18
19
19
18
17
12
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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