
Surf Forecasts:
Mavericks surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, WNW swell with 554 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let me be straight with you. Looking at this 16-day window, it's a grim stretch for Mavericks (Half Moon Bay). The first few days are basically a write-off with tiny, messy cross-onshore swell. We've got a bit of a waiting game on our hands.
The story starts on Thursday 2 July with tiny 2ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze – pretty much a flat, blown-out mess. The water's way warmer than usual for this time of year, 61°F, sitting 6°F above normal, which just feels weird for this spot. The energy is weak (363) and the conditions are poor.
Friday the 3rd through Sunday the 5th stay in the same rut: small SW and WNW pulses, always with that annoying cross-shore wind messing up any hope of clean faces. The wave energy stays in the low to mid hundreds. Nothing worth paddling out for.
Monday the 6th, Tuesday the 7th, and Wednesday the 8th start showing a slight nudge in energy – we see readings in the 572 to 1004 range – but the size is still tiny and the winds are just not cooperating. Conditions are only marginal at best.
The first real stand-out window arrives around Thursday 9 July morning. We've got 7ft from the WNW with the combined energy hitting 1251 – that's starting to show some real push. But here's the catch: it's short-period, 8 seconds, with a moderate cross-onshore breeze keeping it choppy. For Mavericks, that's a tough ask. It's advanced territory at that size anyway, but the wind will make it a battle.
Friday the 10th offers a better chance. The morning shows 6ft WNW swell (1070 energy) with a light onshore breeze. The size is dropping a touch, but the lighter wind could make it more manageable. Still short-period though.
From Saturday the 11th through Monday the 14th, it's a slow fade. Swell drops from 6ft back to 3ft, winds are cross-shore, and the energy drains away. Don't bother.
The next real bright spot comes in the second week, around Wednesday 15 July morning. We see 6ft WNW swell (839 energy) with light onshore WSW winds. That's a solid combo – clean conditions and a decent push for the experienced crew. Thursday the 16th afternoon repeats the trick with 6ft (1035 energy) and light offshore WSW flow. That's your best bet of the whole outlook: clean-ish, some power, and that light breeze letting the line-up breathe. Just remember, at 6ft, this is expert territory only.
Friday the 17th morning pulls back with 2ft W groundswell (17 seconds, 627 energy) but the wind is cross-on again. Cleaner at first light but not much size.
Overall, this is a rough run. Too much wind, not enough clean windows at the right size. Thursday the 16th afternoon is the standout if you're keen – light offshore and a solid push. But don't expect a classic Mavericks session.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 2 | Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 21 | SW 16 | WNW 11 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
181 | 146 | 149 | 166 | 166 | 122 | 122 | 103 | 197 | 152 | 113 | 224 | 206 | 328 | 303 | 323 | 375 | 444 | 386 | 286 | 525 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:10PM1.32m | 00:27AM1.62m | 2:40PM1.36m | 1:09AM1.51m | 3:11PM1.41m | 1:57AM1.38m | 3:43PM1.48m | 2:55AM1.23m | 4:16PM1.56m | 4:09AM1.09m | 4:54PM1.64m | 5:43AM0.99m | 5:36PM1.74m | 7:28AM0.99m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:54PM0.96m | 7:33AM-0.15m | 7:41PM0.92m | 8:08AM-0.06m | 8:36PM0.85m | 8:44AM0.06m | 9:37PM0.74m | 9:23AM0.21m | 10:44PM0.58m | 10:07AM0.39m | 11:51PM0.38m | 10:57AM0.58m | 00:55AM0.16m | 11:56AM0.74m | |||||||
— | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | |
8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | 8:32 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 11 | WNW 8 | SW 18 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 |
176 | 146 | 149 | 128 | 116 | 122 | 122 | 103 | 131 | 131 | 113 | 137 | 94 | 328 | 138 | 323 | 263 | 238 | 386 | 268 | 412 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 16 | W 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | — | SW 13 | SW 16 |
181 | 121 | 104 | 166 | 166 | 102 | 103 | 103 | 197 | 152 | 108 | 211 | 206 | 306 | 196 | 56 | 375 | 444 | — | 28 | 314 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 17 | SW 15 | W 15 | W 15 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | W 12 | WNW 12 | SW 13 | SW 21 | W 12 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 15 | — | — | — | — |
6 | 75 | 5 | 17 | 44 | 61 | 96 | 96 | 47 | 50 | 62 | 224 | 72 | 161 | 303 | 74 | 104 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 271 | 148 | — | 322 | 220 | 286 | 525 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 285 | 63 | 35 | 71 | 21 | 76 | 74 | 24 | 5 | 74 | 63 | 419 | 74 | 72 | 35 | 74 | 63 | 74 | 73 | 63 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











