Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what’s on the table for the next 16 days. We’re looking at a pretty tricky stretch overall. The word from the start is that the surf is going to be a real struggle for most of the run. The first real action doesn't get going until the very end of the first week, but even then it's not exactly firing. There’s a big dry spell before that with nothing but poor to marginal conditions.

The only spot in the frame is Mavericks, a heavy, advanced reef break that needs specific conditions. For the first week, it’s a whole lot of nothing. From Saturday the 1st through to Friday the 7th, the vibe is pretty grim. The swell is small, mostly under 5 ft, and the wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, putting a chop on everything. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting between 200 and 500 (moderate at best), and the short period of 8 to 10 seconds means the waves lack punch. It’s a write-off for paddle surfing.

The weekend of the 9th and 10th sees a slight bump, but it's still marginal. Swell picks up to around 6 ft from the WNW, and the energy climbs into the 700s (moderate), but the wind is cross-shore and moderate, keeping the surface messy. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Saturday the 15th of August. We get a long period, 17-second swell from the SW, but it’s tiny at only 3 ft. The energy is moderate at 480, and the wind is light and offshore, which is a huge positive for cleanliness. The problem is that this long period groundswell on a beach break setup can be a bit too straight and gutless. For the advanced crew at Mavericks, it’s a promising but uncertain prospect given it’s so far out. The rest of the second week continues the pattern of small, weak swells and poor conditions.

So, the honest truth is there’s no epic day on offer. The best of a bad bunch is the early morning of Saturday the 15th – the cleanest conditions, but the swell is lacking. For the rest of it, you’re better off staying home or finding a different hobby. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period.

Rusty.

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