
Surf Forecasts:
Mavericks surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, WNW swell with 826 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Mavericks over the next sixteen days or so.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: it's looking like a pretty grim stretch for this big-wave reef. We're starting on Thursday the 10th with a tiny 3 ft SW groundswell, but it's got that super long 17-second period that gives it a bit of life. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. But here's the kicker – the wind is a cross-on mess, and the overall wave energy is moderate (551). It's just not coming together. The report calls it "marginal," and I'd agree. It’s not one to get excited about.
The next four days, from Friday the 11th to Monday the 14th, are basically a write-off. The swell stays small, around 2 ft to 5 ft, but the period drops off a cliff to between 6 and 9 seconds, which is just weak, wind-slop energy. The wind is consistently cross-onshore, getting up to a fresh 19 mph on the weekend, turning the ocean into a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy numbers are mostly in the 400s (moderate), but it’s all junk. Not even worth paddling out for. There's a morning on the 14th with a little 5 ft swell and light wind, but the afternoon gets blown out again.
Tuesday the 15th through Thursday the 17th doesn't offer much relief. We've got a mix of tiny SW groundswells and some WNW windswell, but it's all cross-on and the energy is dropping. There’s a bit more life in the water on the 15th morning with a 5 ft swell at 8 seconds (energy 420), but the wind is still on it. It's just not clean.
Then we hit a rough patch from Friday the 18th through to Sunday the 21st. The swell drops to a pathetic 2 ft, but the period jumps back up to 18-19 seconds. That sounds promising, but the wind is a constant cross-on, ruining any shape. The energy is in the 250 to 400 range, but it's all slop. This spot needs the wind to play ball, and it just isn't.
Now, here's where it gets a little interesting, but you have to be patient. From Monday the 21st of September through to Wednesday the 23rd, things start to look a little more hopeful. We're still looking at small 2 ft to 3 ft SW groundswell with a decent 16-17 second period, but the wind finally drops to light breezes. The morning of the 21st shows a light cross-on, but by the afternoon it's a light onshore. The energy is moderate (485, then 373). It's still "marginal," but that light wind is a huge plus. It might be just enough for a clean, small wave session if you're desperate and the tide is right.
After that, from Thursday the 24th to Friday the 25th, we're back to tiny 1 ft to 3 ft swell with a long period (14-22 seconds) and cross-on winds. The energy is moderate, but the size is just not there. It’s a frustrating run.
So, the bottom line: There's no standout day here. The whole sixteen-day window is a struggle for Mavericks. If you had to pick a window, the mornings from September 21st to 23rd offer the most potential because of the light wind, but it's for small-wave gear at best. For a place like this, that's a tough pill to swallow. For the rest of the time, the wind is just tearing it apart. Maybe this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
This is Rusty, signing off. Keep your eyes on the horizon, but maybe keep the board in the car for a while.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | WNW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
342 | 295 | 348 | 339 | 209 | 206 | 192 | 251 | 198 | 110 | 370 | 387 | 433 | 502 | 313 | 211 | 223 | 142 | 142 | 73 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:45PM1.79m | 11:37AM1.70m | 11:36PM1.68m | 12:07PM1.72m | 00:26AM1.55m | 12:36PM1.72m | 1:18AM1.42m | 1:05PM1.70m | 2:16AM1.29m | 1:38PM1.66m | 3:24AM1.18m | 2:15PM1.60m | 4:50AM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:46PM0.42m | 5:09AM0.06m | 5:31PM0.30m | 5:45AM0.21m | 6:16PM0.22m | 6:20AM0.38m | 7:00PM0.17m | 6:55AM0.56m | 7:46PM0.16m | 7:33AM0.74m | 8:36PM0.17m | 8:16AM0.90m | 9:32PM0.21m | |||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | |
7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 20 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 6 | SW 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 17 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 |
342 | 295 | 104 | 120 | 178 | 206 | 167 | 123 | 104 | 62 | 370 | 387 | 77 | 502 | 313 | 211 | 223 | 142 | 102 | 73 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 12 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 13 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | SW 13 | WNW 10 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 14 |
119 | 29 | 348 | 339 | 209 | 35 | 23 | 23 | 88 | 19 | 61 | 44 | 26 | 77 | 93 | 64 | 39 | 87 | 142 | 30 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | WSW 15 | WNW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WNW 10 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | S 9 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | W 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | W 12 | WNW 11 |
90 | 40 | 11 | 9 | 85 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 20 | 58 | 57 | 48 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 31 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 6 | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 147 | 192 | 251 | 198 | 110 | — | — | 433 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 39 | 35 | 73 | 39 | 74 | 76 | 72 | 31 | 73 | 15 | 35 | 74 | 35 | 35 | 71 | 63 | 35 | 74 | 8 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










