Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Mavericks over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, the water temperature is running about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report. The first thing you need to know is that we’re in a rough patch. The forecast is a long, frustrating stretch of poor surf conditions with barely any windows that are worth paddling out for. The first few days from Saturday 29 August through to at least Wednesday 3 September are almost all a write-off – small, weak, messy, or just plain wonky. Saturday morning 29 August has a swell of 3 ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period, but the combined energy is weak (888) and the wind is onshore, so it’s all a bit of a bumpy, questionable mess. The best that can be said is that the longer period might give you some hope of a clean set, but it’s not going to be great.

From Thursday 3 September afternoon, things start to show a little pulse. The swell picks up to 5 ft out of the WNW, which is the optimum swell direction for Mavericks, with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 1106 (moderate energy), but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it’s likely to be a bit clunky and choppy. The rating is still low, but it’s the most interesting window in the first week. The following morning on Friday 4 September has some onshore wind and a 4 ft WNW swell with 11-second period, and while the energy is solid (778), the quality is still marginal.

The rest of the run through the second week – from 5 September right through to the end of the 16-day window on 13 September – is mostly poor. There’s a persistent cross-onshore wind pattern, small swell heights (mostly 2 ft to 3 ft), and the combined energy is weak. You’ll see a blip on Thursday 10 September morning with a 3 ft SW swell at 18 seconds and 430 energy, but the wind is onshore again. The standout in the whole period is that Thursday 3 September afternoon, purely because it’s the only time the swell direction matches the spot’s optimum and the size is decent. But it’s a very marginal call.

If you’re an expert, you might want to keep an eye on that Thursday 3 September afternoon window, but overall, this is a lean run. Don’t expect much, and if the forecasts change, that’s the only real hope.

Rusty.

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