Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks. It’s a waiting game, so don’t get too excited just yet.

The main spot is Mavericks, a heavy reef for the advanced crew only. The whole 16-day window is a mixed bag. We start Wednesday morning, July 29th, with a 6-foot swell from the NW, but the cross-onshore wind at 12 mph is making it a choppy mess. The wave energy is strong at 1089, but the wind is wrecking it. Water temp is 61°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year by about 4°—that’s a real treat.

The next few days are rough. Thursday, July 30th, morning has a tiny 3-foot SSW groundswell with a 16-second period, and the wind is actually offshore from the WNW at 9 mph, so it’s clean, but the swell is just too small. Energy is only 612—moderate. Thursday afternoon sees a 5-foot WNW swell but the cross-onshore wind comes back and ruins it.

Friday, July 31st, stays poor. Morning has 6 feet from the WNW but with cross-onshore wind. Energy at 748—moderate—but it’s choppy. Forget it.

Saturday morning, August 1st, there’s a window. Swell is 5 feet from the WNW, period only 8 seconds, but the wind is offshore from the WNW at 6 mph. That’s light and glassy, and the energy is 449—moderate. It’s marginal, but if you’re an expert, this is the best clean window of the first week. The rest of the weekend is just cross-onshore chop.

Now, Sunday, August 2nd, morning looks a little better. Swell bumps up to 6 feet from the WNW with a 10-second period, offshore wind from the W at 6 mph. Energy is 757—moderate. That period is solid, giving the waves some shape. This is the standout of the early part. It’s still big and expert-only, but the wind is clean. Sunday afternoon, the swell hits 7 feet from the WNW with a 10-second period, but the wind turns cross-onshore and the energy jumps to 1533—strong, very strong. But the wind spoils it. If the wind held, it would have been epic, but it doesn’t.

Monday, August 3rd, morning has 6 feet from the WNW, 10 seconds, cross-shore wind from the SSW at 6 mph. Energy at 735, moderate. The cross-shore is light, so it’s rideable for experts, but not perfect. The rest of the week into early August is a slow fade. Swell drops to 4 feet, then 3 feet, and the wind is often cross or cross-onshore. Nothing good.

There’s a long gap of weak, poor surf from around August 5th through the 11th. Swell sizes stay between 3 feet and 5 feet, period is short (8-10 seconds), and the wind is either cross-shore or onshore. Energy is mostly in the 200 to 500 range—weak to moderate. Not worth paddling out.

Around August 12th, Wednesday morning, we see a change. Swell drops way down to 2 feet from the SW, but the period is a massive 18 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell. Energy is only 359, weak, and the wind is cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph. It’s tiny, but that long period will make for long, clean lines if there’s any depth. But 2 feet is small. This is promising but less certain, being so far out. Thursday, August 13th, similar story with 2 feet from the SW at 16 seconds—long period, but forgettable size.

Honestly, the best on offer: Saturday morning, August 1st is your cleanest window with that 5-foot offshore swell. And Sunday morning, August 2nd, with 6 feet and clean offshore wind, is the bigger, more powerful standout, even if the conditions are marginal. Both are expert-only. The 7-foot swell on Sunday afternoon would have been the session, but the wind let us down. The long-period stuff in the second week is interesting for a novelty paddle, but not for a proper session.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long. Rusty out.

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