Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 15 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
16.6°C
1.7° 

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 21 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 22 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 12s period, WNW swell with 485 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 1.3m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 22) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Thu 17th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 21st Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 9s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 22nd Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, let's huddle up and talk about what Mavericks is looking like for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag, with some real quiet spells and a few moments where our famous big-wave spot might just come alive. Hang tight, it’s a long-range forecast.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a little pulse on Tuesday, September 15th, with some 5ft WNW swell showing up, but it’s flagged as marginal. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a nice little boost, but the real story is that winds are onshore and the conditions aren't backing that swell up. The combined wave energy is moderate at 372, but it’s short-period stuff, only 8 seconds, and the forecast is calling it poor. Not the day to paddle out.

We hit a real dry spell from Wednesday, September 16th through Saturday, September 19th. Swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, and when there is a little 2ft groundswell with a long 16-19 second period, the wind is either onshore or chopping things up. It’s just not happening. The combined energy drops into the 200-300 range, which is weak, and the scores are just flat-out zeros. Save your energy.

Now, Sunday, September 20th, we get a bit of a tease. A 5ft NW swell rolls in with a short, punchy 7-second period. The combined energy jumps to 604, which is solid moderate energy, but the wind is a stiff, choppy cross-onshore at 12-16 mph. The call is poor surf conditions again. For a setup like this, with that much wind and short-period junk, it’s looking more like a kitesurfer’s fun than a paddle surfer's dream.

Finally, we see a glimmer of hope on Monday, September 21st. Morning session has 5ft of WNW swell with a slightly better 9-second period. The combined energy is a hearty 635, and we get light, onshore winds from the WSW at just 6 mph. The score ticks up to a 2, which is the best we’ve seen, but it’s still only marginal due to questionable tide conditions. It’s the pick of the first week, but don’t expect perfection.

Tuesday, September 22nd, shows some more moderate energy with a 4ft WNW swell at 12 seconds, pushing the combined energy to 936. That’s getting into the strong end of moderate. But again, it’s held back by cross-onshore winds, making it marginal at best.

The real standout for the whole period looks to be Wednesday, September 23rd. We’ve got a clean morning with a light, cross-offshore breeze from the NE at 9 mph, blowing right down the face. The swell is a solid 4ft from the WNW with an 11-second period. Combined energy sits at 532, and the conditions are described as clean. The score holds at a 2, making this the most promising window. If you had to pick one day in this entire 16-day outlook, this Wednesday morning is it. The wind will clean it right up.

After that, the forecast goes back into a long, quiet run from Thursday, September 24th, all the way through to Wednesday, September 30th. Swells are tiny, mostly under 2ft to 3ft, with long periods from the SW that won’t really wrap in with any punch. Winds are mostly cross or onshore. The combined energies drift between 138 and 548, with most days scoring zeros or low ones. It’s a pretty blank run to finish the outlook.

So, the bottom line: this is a tough stretch for Mavericks. The first week is mostly a bust, with a couple of marginal days. The only true standout is the Wednesday morning session on September 23rd, where light offshore winds will give that 4ft WNW swell some shape. Beyond that, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, though, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.5
SW
16
0.5
SW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.5
SW
19
0.5
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.6
SW
18
0.7
SW
19
1.4
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
9
0.7
SW
17
0.7
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
256
176
176
217
157
131
122
119
84
184
184
133
199
197
197
223
339
257
318
283
283
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
WSW
10
WSW
15
W
10
WSW
10
SW
10
SSW
10
W
10
NW
10
WNW
20
NW
15
NW
10
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
10
WSW
15
WNW
5
S
Wind State
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:38PM1.66m
3:24AM1.18m
2:15PM1.60m
4:50AM1.12m
3:02PM1.54m
6:29AM1.14m
4:00PM1.48m
7:42AM1.19m
5:08PM1.47m
8:27AM1.26m
6:17PM1.48m
8:59AM1.31m
7:18PM1.53m
Low Tide
8:36PM0.17m
8:16AM0.90m
9:32PM0.21m
9:12AM1.02m
10:37PM0.24m
10:34AM1.09m
11:48PM0.24m
12:01PM1.09m
00:53AM0.22m
1:09PM1.02m
1:47AM0.18m
2:00PM0.93m
2:30AM0.14m
part cloud
part cloud
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cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:50
6:52
6:52
6:54
6:54
6:54
6:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:17
7:15
7:15
7:13
7:12
7:09
7:07
 mm
Temp °C
15
16
15
14
15
16
17
17
15
17
17
14
15
15
14
15
16
14
15
16
15
Feels °C
14
15
14
13
14
15
16
15
14
16
15
12
14
13
12
12
12
10
14
15
15
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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