Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Mavericks, but honestly, it’s a long, quiet stretch. The first week is pretty much a write-off, with only a couple of days that show even a whisper of something rideable. The real action, if you can call it that, doesn’t even start to show its face until the following weekend.

The whole period kicks off on Monday, August 3rd with a weak, messy WNW swell. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s one small comfort. But the wind is a cross-on mess, and the combined energy is only 456 (moderate). It’s poor, and it stays poor for days. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th see the swell drop further, with combined energy falling to 249 and then 138. The period on Wednesday is a long 14 seconds, but with only 1ft of swell, it’s a tease. The wind stays cross-on, ruining any chance of quality.

Thursday the 6th through Saturday the 8th are hopeless. The swell is tiny, under 2ft, and while the wind goes onshore or cross-on, the energy is low. Saturday the 8th morning is “marginal,” but with a score of only 1 out of 10, it’s not worth paddling out for.

Now, here’s the one moment that might get your heart rate up. Sunday, August 9th, shows a pulse. The morning brings 5ft from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 560 (moderate). The wind is light onshore, which is okay. Then the afternoon gets better: swell bumps up to 6ft from the WNW, with energy hitting 1130 (strong). That’s the biggest swell of the whole forecast, and it’s coming from the optimum direction for Mavericks. The wind is a light cross-on, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but this is the standout. For experienced surfers only—6ft plus at a heavy reef break like this is no joke. It’s going to be big, powerful, and there’s a chance of crowds as it’s an exposed spot.

After that, it fades fast. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see the swell back down to 5ft to 5ft, but the wind swings harder cross-on and cross-shore, chopping it up. The energy drops from 512 to 411. The rest of the second week, from Wednesday the 12th through to Tuesday the 18th, is a desert. Swell sizes hover around 2ft to 3ft, with periods that are long (15-19 seconds) but meaningless without size. The wind is cross-on or onshore, and the combined energy is mostly moderate to weak. There’s a slight uptick on Saturday the 15th morning with 3ft and energy at 530, but it’s still only marginal.

To be honest, if you’re looking for a solid session, Sunday the 9th afternoon is your only real bet. The rest of the run is so flat and choppy that it’s barely worth checking. For a spot like Mavericks, this is a long, quiet stretch. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game. Stay tuned.

Rusty.

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