Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up, it's Rusty. I've been poring over the charts for Mavericks, and I gotta be honest, the next couple weeks are looking like a whole lot of zip for a wave that needs everything to line up perfectly. This is a big-wave reef, and we just don't have the juice.

Right off the bat, from Tuesday the 25th of August all the way through to the first week of September, it's a total washout. We're talking days of tiny, weak swell – around 1 ft to 2 ft – with a mean cross-onshore wind from the NW messing up any chance of a clean face. The swell energy is just pathetic, barely registering in the low hundreds. Even when we get a brief window of light offshore wind on the morning of Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th, the swell is still puny and inconsistent. The water's a warm 63°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's about the only highlight.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 31st of August right through to Wednesday the 9th of September, the forecast is bleak. It’s just day after day of small, weak swell and poor conditions. There's a tiny blip on Thursday the 3rd of September with a 19-second period groundswell trying to push in from the SW, but it's only 2 ft with a light cross-shore wind – more of a tease than anything.

The only time things start to get interesting is around Friday the 4th of September. We finally see a pulse of WNW swell building to 4 ft on the morning and 5 ft by the afternoon, with the swell energy jumping up to a solid 1052. It's still small for Mavericks, but it's the biggest we've seen. The wind is a light cross-shore from the SSW, which is the cleanest wind we've had in weeks. The period is a short 9 to 10 seconds, so it'll be a bit wonky and fat on the face. It's a marginal offering at best, and for a spot this heavy, it's really only worth a look for the most patient locals.

By Monday the 7th of September, the swell kicks up a notch to 6 ft from the WNW with an 11-second period. That's more like it, but the wind is a dodgy cross-onshore from the SSW, which is going to put a nasty chop on it. The energy is there, but the wind will kill it. Tuesday the 8th is a similar story with light cross-shore winds and 4 ft swell.

So, to sum it up for you: this whole 16-day window is a bust for Mavericks. There's no standout session. It's a classic case of a spot that needs a serious, long-period, clean swell to fire, and we're just not getting it. The swell is too small, the wind is nearly always wrong, and it's going to be a long, frustrating wait. Don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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