Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up about what's happening at Mavericks.

First up, looking at the whole 16-day window, I gotta say, it’s a frustrating stretch for a wave this size. The core issue is the wind, plain and simple. For a spot that needs everything to line up, we’re seeing a lot of cross-onshore and onshore flow messing with what could be good. For the hardcore crew, there’s one morning that catches the eye, but patience will be your main board.

Right now, with the water temperature at 62°F, it’s feeling a touch warmer than normal for the time of year.

Monday 7th September (afternoon) is a write-off. Light cross-onshore breeze, combined energy is weak at only (353), and with poor surf conditions, it’s not worth the look.

Tuesday 8th September is our one and only highlight in the first week. The morning session is where you want to be. We’ve got glassy conditions – dead calm wind – and even though the swell is a small 3 ft from the SSW with a moderate period of 12 seconds, the combined energy (278) is okay. It’s glassy, so there will be a clean wave. If you’re charging, this is the pick of the fortnight, no question. The afternoon gets blown out again, so don't sleep in.

Wednesday 9th through to the end of the first week is a total bust. We’ve got light cross-shore winds turning into a moderate cross-onshore breeze, combined with a tiny, weak swell. It’s a no-go.

Moving into the second week... the story doesn't get much better.

Saturday 12th September sees a jump in swell height to 6 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds and the wind is a fresh, lumpy cross-onshore at 19 mph. The combined energy (566) is moderate, but the wind will make it a mess. Only for the die-hards, and even then, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a proper paddle session.

From Sunday 13th September all the way to the end of the window on Tuesday 22nd September, it’s a constant pattern of small swell (1 ft to 3 ft) from the SW, with the wind relentless from the NW and cross-on. The combined energy fluctuates but stays mostly in the moderate range (up to 824 towards the end), but that onshore wind just kills any chance of a quality wave. The conditions are consistently described as poor.

In short: It’s a bleak outlook. The only real window is the glassy Tuesday morning (8th September) for a small, clean wave. Apart from that, this is a long stretch of waiting. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, leave the big boards at home.

- Rusty

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