Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here again, and I’ve got to level with you. This look at Mavericks is a tough sell. We’ve got waves coming in, mostly from the south-west and west-north-west, but the wind is the problem. Cross-onshore or onshore winds are the story for nearly the whole 16 days, and that’s going to mess up that heavy, perfect wave. You want that place glassy, and we just aren’t seeing it.

Starting off on Sunday the 16th. There’s a 2ft south-west groundswell, with a super long 15-second period, but it’s coming in with a light onshore breeze. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 61°F, but the surf conditions are poor. The combined swell energy is moderate, sitting around 284, but it doesn’t matter much with the wind.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are more of the same – small 2ft to 2ft south-west swell, decent period, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. It’s a shame because that long period means it’s a proper groundswell, but it’s wasted.

By Wednesday the 19th afternoon, we see a bump in size, but not in quality. There’s a 5ft north-west swell, shorter period at 8 seconds, and the wind picks up to a moderate cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy jumps into the moderate range at 649, but it’s going to be choppy. This pattern holds through to the end of the month.

Thursday the 20th sees the biggest swell of the period, with a 5ft north-west swell, but again, it’s cross-onshore at 12 mph. That’s not the Mavericks we want. This is the kind of setup that starts looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – especially as those waves get lumpy and the energy is moderate to strong (726).

We don’t get a single standout day here. Nothing is clean. There is a brief window on the morning of Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th with a tiny 1ft to 2ft south-west swell and a long period, but the wind is light and onshore, and it’s marginal at best.

The rest of the forecast, right through to Sunday the 31st of August, is more of the same. Swell size bounces between 1ft and 4ft, mostly from the south-west, with that persistent cross-onshore wind. The combined energy stays in the moderate range, between 150 and 411, but without good wind, it’s a no-go.

Mavericks is a beast that demands respect and clean conditions. This run just doesn’t deliver. The water temp is about average for the time of year, but that doesn’t help us.

There are no good surf options in this 16-day window for Mavericks. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. For a spot this exposed and this critical, it tends to be a waiting game. Hang in there.

Rusty

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