Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's get real about what we've got cookin' at one of the most iconic big-wave spots on the planet. We're looking at Mavericks, and I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one.

The water is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, pushing 60.1°, but that's about the only easy thing here.

We're looking at a long, painful stretch of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the WNW, smashing up a weak, short-period swell. The first few days are a write-off. From Saturday the 11th right through to about Wednesday the 22nd of July, it's pretty grim. The swell is tiny – under 5 ft – and the wind is just ruining any chance of a clean wave. The wave energy is weak, barely cracking 300-400, which is nothing for a beast like Mavericks. This is poor surf conditions and low scores across the board. It’s frustrating.

There’s a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 17th of July where the wind might swing a little more offshore (WNW), and there's 4.6 ft of swell, but the period is a short 9 seconds. It's flagged as marginal at best, and that's being generous. Don't get your hopes up.

The only real glimmer in this 16-day forecast lands on Wednesday the 22nd of July in the afternoon. The swell bumps up to 4.6 ft from the NW with a short 8-second period, but the combined energy jumps to a strong 672. That’s a bit more punch. More importantly, the wind turns light and on from the West. That means clean conditions. It's a tiny window, and it's a beach-break type setup for that period which means it might close out, but for the first time in over a week, it's worth paddling out. The rest of the month is just more of the same – onshore winds and small, messy swell. A tough call, but that's Mavericks for you. You don't surf it for the consistency.

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