Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days at Mavericks are a real mixed bag, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it. The water is sitting at 62°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable jump, so you might want to ditch the thick wetsuit for a spring suit or even a shorty if you’ve got one.

First up, the early part of the week starting Thursday 6th August is a no-go. We’ve got tiny swell, onshore wind, and the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy is weak, hovering around 133 to 158. It’s flat, it’s messy, and it’s not worth paddling out for. That runs right through Friday and into Saturday.

Now, Sunday 9th August is where things start to look a little more interesting. The swell builds to 5 ft in the morning, with a WNW direction hitting the 10-second mark, and the combined energy jumps to 581. By the afternoon, the swell pushes to 6 ft, energy climbs to 1043, and the wind is onshore but light. The period is still short at 9 seconds, so it’s not going to be super clean, but it’s the first real sign of life. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so don’t expect perfection. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen so far.

Monday 10th August drops back a bit – 5 ft morning, 4 ft afternoon, energy around 395 to 482. The wind is light onshore, and the wave comment is back to “poor surf conditions.” Not great.

Tuesday 11th August is a little better in the morning: 5 ft WNW swell, 10-second period, energy at 494, and the wind is cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s not firing, but it’s surfable if you’re desperate. Afternoon drops back to poor.

From Wednesday 12th August through to the end of the forecast, the swell stays small – mostly 2 ft to 4 ft – and the wind is consistently cross or cross-on. The periods are short, between 9 and 10 seconds, and the combined energy is weak, rarely breaking 400. The wave comment is “poor surf conditions” across the board. The standout is Wednesday 19th August morning, where the swell hits 3 ft from the W, 14-second period, and energy climbs to 442. That’s a longer period, which could give some shape, but the wind is cross-on from the WNW at 9 mph, so it’s not clean. Still, it’s the best of a very average run.

Bottom line: If you’re an expert and you’re willing to deal with onshore wind and marginal conditions, Sunday 9th August is your best bet. The swell is up to 6 ft, and the energy is moderate. Otherwise, it’s a long wait for anything decent. This is Mavericks, though – it’s a consistent spot, and it won’t stay poor forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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