Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—this 16-day window is a slow grind for Mavericks. There’s a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for. The first few days are flat and messy, with a lot of poor surf and marginal conditions holding things back. For the most part, you’re looking at small, weak swell, and the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, chopping things up. The water’s running a touch warmer than normal at 61° with an anomaly just over a degree, so it’s not uncomfortable, but that doesn’t fix the waves.

From Monday the 31st through the first week of September, the swell barely scratches above 2 ft, and the energy reading is weak to moderate at best. The period sits around 14 seconds, so there’s some length in the lines, but the direction is mostly SSW or SW, which isn’t lining up with Mavericks’ optimum WNW direction. Wind is a problem—onshore or cross-on most sessions. The setups are too small and choppy to get excited about.

There’s a real gap here. From Monday the 31st all the way through to Wednesday morning the 10th of September, you’re looking at day after day of poor or marginal surf. A few mornings show a very light breeze, but the swell just isn’t there, or it’s from the wrong angle. It’s a dry spell.

Then, at last, on Thursday morning the 10th of September, Mavericks wakes up. That morning session is the standout. Swell jumps to 6 ft from WNW, period a solid 11 seconds, and the combined energy is strong. Wind is light and cross-offshore from the NNE, which means clean, well-shaped waves. This is the kind of morning that gets the heart going. That said, this is a long-range call—still promising, but keep an eye on it. In the afternoon the wind swings NW and goes cross-on, spoiling it again.

After that, Thursday the 10th is the only real highlight. The following days drop back down into marginal or poor conditions, with smaller swell and cross or cross-on breezes. On Tuesday the 15th of September, the afternoon picks up a bit with 5 ft from NW and moderate energy, but it’s cross-onshore, so the quality won’t match that Thursday morning.

Bottom line: One standout—Thursday morning the 10th of September. Early, clean, solid swell. If you can wait, that’s your window. The rest is a grind.

- Rusty

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