Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it for this stretch.

We're looking at a pretty grim run of surf for the next two weeks. The forecast is full of poor surf conditions and the only break on the radar is Mavericks. It's one of the most famous waves on the planet, but on this occasion, it's just not firing. The wind is a constant problem for most of the period, blowing cross-on or onshore, keeping the surface choppy and messy.

For the first few days, up to the 27th of July, we're seeing small swell – around 2ft to 3ft – with a short period, which means weak, gutless waves. The combined energy is moderate (232 to 923), but it doesn't matter because the quality is just poor. You'd be paddling against a moderate breeze for nothing.

Then on the 28th of July (Tuesday morning), we get a spike in size. The swell jumps to 7ft, with a very short period of 8 seconds and a strong combined energy of 1470. But that's a short-period, wind-driven swell, not a clean groundswell. The wind is still cross-on from the WNW, so it's going to be a choppy, bumpy mess. The scale is getting into the "expert-only" territory, but with those conditions, it's a pass for me. The afternoon drops off quickly.

After that, it's a long, slow grind. There are a few days on the 30th and 31st of July, and the 2nd and 4th of August, where the rating is a 1 or 2 out of 10 – marginal at best. The swell stays small to moderate, and the wind keeps ruining it. The 30th of July morning has 5ft swell from the WNW with a 8 second period, and a light onshore breeze, but it's still called "marginal." The 4th of August morning has a 5ft swell from the WNW with a longer period of 11 seconds, which is a little better, but the wind is still cross-on, keeping it from being clean.

Honestly, for this entire 16-day window, there is no standout session. The constant cross-on wind and short-period swell mean the conditions are just never going to come together. If you're desperate, the 30th of July and 4th of August mornings are the only times where the forecast is even considered "marginal" instead of "poor," but even then, it's a long shot. This is a blank run for the area, and it tends not to stay this poor for long, but for now, save your energy.

Rusty.

Read more