Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a 16-day window on the cards for Mavericks, and to be honest, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The water's sitting at 61° which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s notably warm, so you might not need the thickest rubber.

The first sniff of anything rideable doesn’t kick in until Thursday, July 30th. The morning has a 6ft swell from the WNW, but the period is a short, lumpy 8 seconds. It’s not clean, with the wind coming straight onshore, so it’s going to be a choppy, tricky affair. The combined energy is moderate (1056), but with those conditions, it’s really only for the die-hards looking for a paddle.

Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are more of the same story – waist to chest-high swell from the WNW, but the wind is either cross-on or onshore, keeping the surface messy. The energy ticks up a bit on Sunday the 2nd of August, with the afternoon seeing a 8ft swell (that’s getting into the expert-only zone) and combined energy hitting strong (1667). But that 9-second period and cross-on breeze mean it’s going to be a washing machine. Not the place for a beginner.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Monday, August 3rd, is probably the best call of the whole run. The morning brings a 6ft swell from the WNW with a period stretching to 10 seconds, giving it some proper shape. The wind is a light cross-shore, meaning the surface will be clean. The combined energy is moderate (710). It’s still a big wave spot, so respect the size, but this is the most lined-up and manageable the place will look.

After that, the energy starts to fade. From Tuesday the 4th through to the 5th, the swell drops to 4ft or less, and the winds stay cross-shore, making for small, weak waves. The 6th and 7th of August see a slight bump back to 5ft, but the wind is cross-on or onshore again, killing the quality. The long-range stuff around the 9th to the 10th of August is small and marginal, with a 5ft swell and 10-second period, but the wind is light and variable, offering a chance for a clean but small session.

The real gap hits from the 11th of August onward. The swell drops to under 3ft, and the period goes long (16-18 seconds) from the SW. That kind of long-period groundswell doesn’t love a place like Mavericks, as it tends to close out or break straight. The energy is moderate (around 400), but the conditions are poor. Honestly, for the last few days, it’s looking more like a flat spell than anything worth paddling out for.

So, to wrap it up: the standout is Monday morning, August 3rd. That’s your window. Get it while it’s good. The rest of the run is either small, windy, or both. Keep an eye on the charts, but for now, that’s the story.

Rusty.

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