Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be real with you. The next couple of weeks at Mavericks are looking pretty grim. There’s a big gap of nothing happening before we even get to the first proper surf. We’re talking days of tiny, junky waves mixed with onshore junk. It’s the kind of stretch that has you checking the forecast more out of habit than hope.

The first real chance of something rideable arrives on the morning of Wednesday the 9th. We’ve got a clean 1ft of SW swell, but it’s carrying a long 19-second period. There’s a bit of energy in the water – 145 units – but it’s weak. The wind is light and from the NNE, which is cross-off here, so the surface should be clean. The water temp is 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s more of a longboard grovel than a proper Mavericks session.

The next week and a half are a write-off. We see a bump in size on Thursday the 19th with 6ft of WNW swell, but the period drops to a junky 8 seconds and the wind is howling cross-on from the NW. That’s a mess. The water’s going to be chopped up and the waves will be closing out. Not worth your time unless you’re a glutton for punishment.

Things finally get interesting as we roll into the last few days of the forecast window. The morning of Sunday the 20th has some potential. We’re looking at 5ft of WNW swell with a slightly better 8-second period. The wind is light and from the WNW, which is offshore. Combined energy is a moderate 541. It’s still not perfect, but it’s the most promising we’ve seen. The period is short, which will keep it more manageable, but the offshore wind is a huge plus.

The real standout, though, is shaping up for the morning of Tuesday the 24th. The swell direction swings around to the W, coming in at 3ft with a 13-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is light and from the W, making it perfect and glassy. The energy is moderate at 543. This looks like the cleanest, most well-ordered swell of the entire stretch. Long period swells like this can break a bit straight at a beach break, but at a reef like Mavericks, it’s exactly what you want. This is the one to keep an eye on. It’s a week and a half out, so don’t book your flights yet, but mark it in your calendar.

Until then, don't get too excited. There’s nothing surfable until Wednesday the 9th, and then a long, frustrating stretch after that. Hang tight. The end of the window is where the hope is.

Rusty

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