
Surf Forecasts:
Mavericks surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 21s period, SW swell with 763 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 0.9m 21s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Straight up, looking at this 16-day window for Mavericks, and I gotta be honest with you – it's a tough one. We're staring down a pretty grim stretch. The word on the street is that for the early part of this forecast, there’s just nothing doing. The surf is poor, the wind is a mess, and it's going to be a long wait for anything that even looks like a wave worth paddling for.
We’re looking at a solid gap of, well, basically the entire first week. From Thursday the 23rd right through to Tuesday the 29th of July, the conditions are just plain awful. The wind is mostly a moderate cross-onshore breeze, chopping everything up, and the swell is small and weak. The combined wave energy is mostly in the low hundreds (250 to 887), which is pretty weak. You’d be better off taking the week off. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's the only nice thing I can say.
Now, the first real flicker of hope comes on Wednesday the 30th of July. The wind shifts to a light offshore breeze from the WNW, and the swell starts to show a pulse. It’s a short period, only 8 seconds, but the swell height is 6ft from the WNW. The combined energy kicks up to 946 (moderate). It’s labelled as "marginal," which is a far cry from perfect, but it's the best we've seen. The size is manageable for most.
Then, Friday the 1st of August morning offers a brief moment. The wind goes light offshore from the WSW at just 3 mph, with a 4ft WNW swell. That light wind is a major positive, promising cleanish conditions. But the period is still short (8 seconds) and the energy is dropping (357). It’s a window, not a session.
The rest of the first week of August just keeps the same story going. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, and the swell, while picking up a bit in height (hitting 7ft on the 2nd of August), is still short period and messy. When the swell hits 7ft, that’s a size that’s really only for the experienced crew, and with the poor conditions, it’s a pass.
For the second week, the outlook doesn't get much better. The swell direction stays WNW, but the wind never really gets clean. The only real standout, if you can call it that, is slight improvement on the morning of August 6th and 7th. On the 6th, we see a 6ft WNW swell with a period of 10 seconds and a light cross-onshore wind. The energy is moderate (587). On the 7th, the wind goes light and onshore from the W, with a 5ft WNW swell. It's still not good, but it's the least bad of the bunch.
Honestly, for this entire 16-day run, I wouldn't point you to a single standout. The break is an exposed reef, and the optimum swell direction is WNW, which we do get, but the wind just ruins it every time. It’s consistently cross-onshore or onshore with a moderate breeze. The crowd profile says "sometimes" busy, but with this forecast, I doubt you'll see many people out. There is simply no period where the quality of the swell, the wind, and the period come together. If you're a kite surfer, the strong, consistent cross-onshore winds and some decent swell heights might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, this is a write-off.
Keep an eye on the forecasts, things can change. But for now, save your energy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
203 | 158 | 237 | 448 | 444 | 298 | 548 | 445 | 634 | 531 | 441 | 375 | 534 | 595 | 513 | 510 | 600 | 530 | 386 | 386 | 373 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:25AM1.06m | 6:36PM1.68m | 9:33AM1.15m | 7:25PM1.69m | 10:22AM1.22m | 8:12PM1.72m | 11:00AM1.27m | 8:56PM1.75m | 11:32AM1.30m | 9:38PM1.78m | 12:01PM1.33m | 10:17PM1.79m | 12:27PM1.36m | 10:56PM1.77m | |||||||
Low Tide | 12:30PM0.93m | 2:19AM0.09m | 1:34PM1.00m | 3:07AM0.01m | 2:30PM1.02m | 3:48AM-0.05m | 3:19PM1.01m | 4:25AM-0.10m | 4:01PM0.98m | 4:58AM-0.13m | 4:38PM0.95m | 5:29AM-0.14m | 5:15PM0.90m | ||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | WNW 6 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | WNW 8 |
203 | 158 | 154 | 156 | 444 | 298 | 548 | 445 | 118 | 531 | 441 | 375 | 534 | 595 | 513 | 510 | 600 | 372 | 226 | 386 | 373 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 11 | WNW 10 | SW 26 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SW 16 |
29 | 21 | 237 | 448 | 154 | 92 | 81 | 38 | 634 | 27 | 28 | 117 | 22 | 27 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 470 | 386 | 11 | 362 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | SW 26 | WNW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | WSW 16 | WNW 9 | S 11 | SW 12 | SW 15 | — | SSW 11 | SW 14 | S 10 | SW 12 | — | SW 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | — | — |
9 | 106 | 20 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 33 | — | 24 | 30 | 2 | 37 | — | 3 | 11 | 11 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | — | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — |
9 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 26 | 88 | 60 | 53 | — | 68 | 91 | 198 | 132 | 158 | 272 | 228 | 272 | 530 | 347 | 256 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 73 | 64 | 73 | 73 | 35 | 35 | 73 | 64 | 35 | 73 | 64 | 35 | 73 | 35 | 35 | 74 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










