Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, this is Rusty, and unfortunately, I’ve got to be straight with you – the outlook for the next 16 days here at Mavericks is a real heartbreaker.

Right now, and for the vast majority of the period, the surf is going to be a mess. The combination of swell energy is moderate at best, sitting around 300 to 400 (combined energy), but the wind is consistently coming from the wrong direction. We’re looking at cross-onshore and onshore breezes, which is going to keep the surface chopped up and sloppy. The water is a notably warm 63°F for this time of year, but that's about the only thing that's comfortable.

There’s a long, long stretch of poor conditions from the start. We're talking day after day of nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is inconsistent, often undersized, and when a little pulse shows up, the wind ruins it. For a place like Mavericks, which is a serious, exposed reef, this is a tough run.

You’ll have to wait until the very end of the forecast window for any glimmer of hope. On August 26th (Wednesday morning), we finally see a pulse of swell from the WNW at 4ft, with a short period of 8 seconds. The energy jumps up to 478 (combined energy), and by the afternoon, it’s looking a bit more promising. The swell builds to 5ft from the WNW, and the energy spikes to a strong 882 (combined energy). Now, the wind is still cross-onshore, so it won't be perfect, but it’s the only time in the whole run where the wave size and direction are actually pointing in the right direction. That late August window is the only one to watch, but it’s a long way off and the wind is still a question mark.

This is a brutal stretch. The whole setup looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session for most of it. Hang tight, the forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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