Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
15.9° C
1.8° 

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 3 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, WNW swell with 1,003 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 13s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 2nd Aug)7ft (2.1m) 9s
Best Surf11PM (Sun 2nd Aug)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 3rd Aug)7.5ft (2.3m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Yo, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about this stretch of coast. The outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a 16-day window that starts with a real quiet spell – no good surf on offer for the first few days. The first real glimmer doesn’t show up until the morning of Sunday, the 2nd of August, and even then, it’s only a marginal call.

The overall pattern is pretty flat and uninspiring. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore for most of the period, which is a killer for any wave quality. The water temperature is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the spring suit might feel a bit more comfortable.

The only break on the cards is Mavericks, a heavy, exposed reef. It’s a consistent spot, but it takes a big, clean, and well-directed swell to really fire. Over this whole forecast, we just don’t get that. The swell that does show up is mostly from the WNW, which is the optimum direction, but the size and wind always seem to be off.

Let’s break it down. Thursday afternoon the 30th of July is a write-off – 5ft WNW swell, but it’s cross-on with a 12 mph NW wind, and the combined energy is weak (477). It’s choppy and poor. Friday the 31st looks a bit better in the morning with 5ft swell, but the wind is still cross-on. The energy picks up a bit (642), but it’s still marginal. Saturday the 1st of August is more of the same – messy conditions.

The best chance in the whole run lands on Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. The swell is 6ft from the WNW, period is 9 seconds, and the wind is light, coming from the west at 6 mph. It’s classed as “on” shore, but a light breeze like that can be glassy early. The combined energy is moderate (717). This is your window. It’s still labelled as marginal, but if you’re a local who knows where the peak sets up, this is the cleanest it’s going to get. The crowd factor at Mavericks is ‘sometimes’, so on a so-so day like this, you might actually have a bit of room.

After that, it drops off fast. The afternoon of the 2nd shows a bigger swell of 8ft, but the wind swings cross-on and the energy jumps to 1767, which is a lot of juice. But the chop and wind will make it a mess – more of a challenge for the experts. The rest of the period is a total bust. From Monday the 3rd of August all the way through to Friday the 14th of August, it’s a desert. The swell drops to under 3ft, the wind is consistently cross-on or cross, and the combined energy is weak to moderate. The long-period swells that show up in the second week (like 16-19 seconds) are from the SW, which is the wrong direction for this break, and the wind spoils any chance of it being rideable.

For a place like Mavericks, a blank run of over a week and a half is a bit normal when the jet stream goes quiet. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game. If you’re a kite surfer, the strong cross-onshore wind and the mess might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

Keep your eyes on the charts, but for now, we’re on a break.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
0.7
SSW
14
1.6
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2.2
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
10
2.3
WNW
10
1.9
WNW
10
1.6
WNW
10
1.7
WNW
10
1.4
WNW
9
1.3
WNW
9
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
10
0.9
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
245
292
271
183
270
251
361
764
646
961
1003
731
502
550
322
260
109
122
135
121
Wind (km/h)
20
NW
10
NW
15
WNW
25
NW
15
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
10
W
20
NW
10
WNW
10
SSW
15
WNW
10
S
15
SSW
15
SSW
15
S
15
SSW
15
SSW
5
S
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
11:35PM1.73m
1:18PM1.45m
00:15AM1.64m
1:44PM1.50m
00:59AM1.52m
2:12PM1.57m
1:50AM1.37m
2:44PM1.63m
2:52AM1.22m
3:20PM1.69m
4:13AM1.08m
4:03PM1.75m
Low Tide
5:52PM0.85m
6:29AM-0.09m
6:32PM0.78m
6:59AM-0.01m
7:16PM0.70m
7:31AM0.12m
8:06PM0.60m
8:05AM0.27m
9:03PM0.50m
8:43AM0.46m
10:07PM0.37m
9:27AM0.65m
11:17PM0.24m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:15
6:16
6:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:20
8:19
8:17
8:16
8:15
8:15
8:14
 mm
Temp °C
14
13
14
15
13
15
15
13
15
15
13
16
16
13
16
16
15
16
16
15
Feels °C
11
12
12
12
11
13
12
12
14
12
11
15
14
12
14
14
14
14
14
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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