Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for our local slab.

The upcoming sixteen days are looking pretty grim, to be honest. We've got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead, with only a few fleeting moments that might be worth a paddle out. The forecast starts off with a bump in energy but it's all blown out, and then we settle into a pattern of persistent cross-onshore winds that ruin what little swell we have.

We start on Friday, September 4th. There's a decent 643 (moderate combined energy) SW groundswell running, with a 3 ft to 3 ft face and a long, clean 18-second period. The water temperature is 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. Sounds promising, right? Wrong. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore out of the NW, and it's choppy. Not worth getting out of bed for. This continues into Saturday and Sunday, September 5th and 6th. The swell sticks around, dropping from 587 to 498 (moderate energy), but the NW wind just won't let up, keeping the surface a mess.

The first real highlight comes on Monday, September 7th, during the morning. We get a window of glassy conditions with the wind dropping to a calm 0 mph. The wave comment confirms it: expect good surf conditions. The swell is still a modest 3 ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, giving us 373 (moderate energy). It's a small window, but if you can get out there for that morning session, it'll be the cleanest you'll see for a while. The rest of that day and the next few are back to the same old story: cross-onshore winds and poor surf.

Wednesday, September 9th, morning offers a brief reprieve. We get a cross-offshore wind from the NNE, which will clean up the 3 ft SSW swell (12-second period, 382 moderate energy). Again, it's a small window before the wind swings back onshore in the afternoon.

The next standout is Thursday, September 10th, morning. Another glassy patch with a light SSW wind of 5 mph. The swell is a bit smaller at 2 ft from the SW, but it's a long 17-second period pumping 453 (moderate energy). This is about as good as it gets for the next two weeks: a clean, small, long-period groundswell. It's a fickle spot, so these glassy windows are golden.

After that, the outlook gets worse. The combined energy drops significantly, with values falling into the 200s (weak energy) by the weekend of September 12th. The swell is small and weak. Then, around September 14th, we see a shift. The swell height starts to build again, hitting 4 ft on Sunday the 13th and 6 ft on Monday the 14th, but it's a short-period, windswell from the WNW (periods of 8-10 seconds). The wind is still cross-onshore, creating a choppy, blown-out mess. The combined energy climbs back up to 467 (moderate energy) on the 14th, but the quality is terrible. For a spot this exposed, it's looking more like a kiteboarding session than a surf session.

The final week, from September 16th to the 19th, is a bit of a mixed bag. The swell all but disappears, dropping back to 1 ft to 3 ft from the SW and WNW. The wind is light, but often cross-onshore or onshore. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the 200s to 400s. There's a long-period SW groundswell (20 seconds) on the 18th, but it's small at 2 ft and the wind is onshore. It's frankly not worth the effort.

So, the pick of the litter is Monday morning, September 7th. The glassy conditions and a clean 3 ft SSW groundswell make it the best bet. The second-best option is Thursday morning, September 10th, for another glassy session on a small, long-period SW swell. It's a lean period, folks. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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