Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, crew, Rusty here with the long-range look, and it’s going to be a test of patience. The charts for the next couple of weeks show a lean period, with a big gap of nothing before we see any real surf.

For the next few days, it’s flat. There’s no real swell to get excited about, so don’t bother waxing up. The water is running about 17°, which is a touch warmer than normal, but that’s about the only warm thing going on.

The first faint pulse of life arrives Thursday the 10th. A weak south-west swell tries to push in, but it’s small and unorganized, with the energy around 500. We’re talking knee-high waves, maybe 3ft at best, and a cross-onshore breeze will keep it lumpy. It’s a “check the cam and stay on the beach” kind of day. Friday the 11th is similar, just as small and with more afternoon bump.

The weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 12th, a new west-northwest windswell fills in with more size, around 5-6ft, but it’s short-period junk with a strong cross-onshore wind. It’s going to be a washing machine out there. Sunday the 13th is a little smaller but still just as messy. This is more wind-sport weather than surfing weather.

The start of next week shows a glimmer. Monday the 14th has a 4-5ft west-northwest swell, but still that cross-onshore wind. The morning might be the cleanest, but it’s not going to be perfect. Tuesday the 15th pushes it up to a solid 6ft+, but it’s still short-period and onshore, making for a heavy, sloppy mess only a seasoned expert would even consider.

And then, she goes quiet. From Wednesday the 16th all the way through to the 23rd, we have a long stretch of tiny, weak surf. The swell drops to ankle-biting levels, and the wind keeps getting cross-onshore. There are days it looks almost glassy early, but the swell is just not there. We’re talking over a week with no real waves to ride. It’s a tough stretch, no doubt.

So what’s the verdict? There are no real standouts in this window. The only opportunities for a paddle are the small, marginal morning windows on the 10th and the 14th, but don't get your hopes up. This looks like a blank run that is more normal for our area than we’d like to admit. But forecasts change, and it won't stay poor forever. Stay sharp, and I’ll see you when it turns on.

Rusty.

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