Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me be straight with you. Looking at this 16-day window, it's a grim stretch for Mavericks (Half Moon Bay). The first few days are basically a write-off with tiny, messy cross-onshore swell. We've got a bit of a waiting game on our hands.

The story starts on Thursday 2 July with tiny 2ft SW swell and a cross-on breeze – pretty much a flat, blown-out mess. The water's way warmer than usual for this time of year, 61°F, sitting 6°F above normal, which just feels weird for this spot. The energy is weak (363) and the conditions are poor.

Friday the 3rd through Sunday the 5th stay in the same rut: small SW and WNW pulses, always with that annoying cross-shore wind messing up any hope of clean faces. The wave energy stays in the low to mid hundreds. Nothing worth paddling out for.

Monday the 6th, Tuesday the 7th, and Wednesday the 8th start showing a slight nudge in energy – we see readings in the 572 to 1004 range – but the size is still tiny and the winds are just not cooperating. Conditions are only marginal at best.

The first real stand-out window arrives around Thursday 9 July morning. We've got 7ft from the WNW with the combined energy hitting 1251 – that's starting to show some real push. But here's the catch: it's short-period, 8 seconds, with a moderate cross-onshore breeze keeping it choppy. For Mavericks, that's a tough ask. It's advanced territory at that size anyway, but the wind will make it a battle.

Friday the 10th offers a better chance. The morning shows 6ft WNW swell (1070 energy) with a light onshore breeze. The size is dropping a touch, but the lighter wind could make it more manageable. Still short-period though.

From Saturday the 11th through Monday the 14th, it's a slow fade. Swell drops from 6ft back to 3ft, winds are cross-shore, and the energy drains away. Don't bother.

The next real bright spot comes in the second week, around Wednesday 15 July morning. We see 6ft WNW swell (839 energy) with light onshore WSW winds. That's a solid combo – clean conditions and a decent push for the experienced crew. Thursday the 16th afternoon repeats the trick with 6ft (1035 energy) and light offshore WSW flow. That's your best bet of the whole outlook: clean-ish, some power, and that light breeze letting the line-up breathe. Just remember, at 6ft, this is expert territory only.

Friday the 17th morning pulls back with 2ft W groundswell (17 seconds, 627 energy) but the wind is cross-on again. Cleaner at first light but not much size.

Overall, this is a rough run. Too much wind, not enough clean windows at the right size. Thursday the 16th afternoon is the standout if you're keen – light offshore and a solid push. But don't expect a classic Mavericks session.

-Rusty

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