Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next stretch.

Right, the outlook for this spot is a bit of a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of surf that’s mostly going to be a fight, with the wind and conditions making things messy. The real standout window doesn’t arrive until the very end of the first week and into the second.

Mavericks is the only break on the table, and it’s a heavy, advanced reef. The water is sitting at 61°F and is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a small comfort.

We start off on Tuesday, July 28th, with the combo of a moderate cross-onshore breeze from the NW and a long-period 18-second SW groundswell. The combined swell energy is moderate at 724, but the onshore wind is going to chop it up. It’s a write-off for a paddle.

Wednesday, July 29th, has a pulse of WNW swell, but it’s a short-period 8-second windswell. The morning sees an onshore wind, and the energy is strong at 1153, but it’s a messy one. The afternoon flips back to a cross-onshore breeze and a long-period 16-second SW swell, but still poor. Thursday and Friday follow the same pattern: short-period WNW swell with cross-onshore or onshore winds, keeping the quality in the gutter. The combined energy drops from strong (1064) to moderate (364) through Friday.

The next few days, from Saturday, August 1st, through to Tuesday, August 4th, are a real grind. Swell heights bounce between 4ft and 8ft, but the wind is never truly clean. Most of the time it’s a light to gentle cross-onshore breeze, which rules out any real quality. The best of a bad bunch is the morning of Sunday, August 2nd, with a 7ft WNW swell (10-second period) and a light onshore breeze, but it’s still a marginal wave. The afternoon of that same day pumps up to 8ft with strong energy (1843), but the cross-onshore wind ruins it.

Finally, the week of August 5th to 12th. The swell stays consistent, but the wind is still a problem. The only real standout I can see is the morning of Wednesday, August 12th. We have a 5ft swell from the WNW, with a period of 9 seconds, and a light cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate at 662. It’s not perfect, but it’s the closest we get to a sessionable wave in the whole run. The afternoon of the same day also has a long-period 18-second SW swell, but it’s smaller at 2ft and the wind is still cross-onshore.

So, if you’re keen, keep your eyes on Wednesday, August 12th. The rest of the run is a write-off for anything decent. It’s a poor stretch, but the swell energy is there, it just needs a better wind window.

Rusty.

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