Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the line for us.

Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. There’s a long stretch of pretty poor surf starting from the get-go. From Saturday the 25th of July right through to the end of the month, it’s basically a write-off at Mavericks. We’re looking at tiny 2ft to 3ft swell with cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. The water's sitting at a balmy 62°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s about 4° above average, which is pretty notable. But don't get too excited, because the surf just isn't there. The combined energy is moderate (656), but with that onshore breeze, it’s not worth paddling out.

There’s a glimmer of hope around Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell bumps up to 7ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 8 seconds. It’s still a bit messy, but the wind goes offshore (onshore) in the morning with a light breeze, making it the most interesting window in a while. The energy jumps to strong (1216), and if you’re an expert who can handle a bit of closeout, that Wednesday morning is the closest thing to a decent session we’ve got in the near term. It won’t be classic Mavericks, but it’s the best we’ve seen in days.

After that, the conditions start to degrade again, with winds shifting back onshore. Thursday the 30th has a similar setup with 6ft and a short period, but it’s not going to get much better. Then from Friday the 31st onwards, the swell drops off a cliff, and we’re back to small, weak waves with cross-onshore winds. The combined energy dips into the 100s by the end of the first week of August, and it’s honestly a poor run.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Wednesday the 29th of July morning. The WNW swell direction is what this reef wants, and the light offshore breeze could clean it up. But it’s a short-period, mushy kind of energy. For advanced chargers only – this isn’t beginner territory. Expect crowds to be possible, even when it’s marginal, because it’s Mavericks. It’s a consistent spot, but the quality just isn’t there for anyone else.

Overall, it’s a quiet 16 days. Don’t rush out for anything unless you’re a die-hard and that Wednesday morning looks like a gamble worth taking. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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