Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the ol' forecast. It's been a bit quiet around here lately, and to be honest, this 16-day window is a tough one to read for Mavericks. We're looking at one of the most powerful, exposed reefs on the planet, and she needs everything to line up just right.

Right now, we've got a long wait ahead. The next week or so is looking pretty average. A lot of cross-onshore winds, which just mess with the lineup here. Through the 11th and 12th, there's some small, weak swell around 2ft to 3ft with a long 16-second period from the SW, but the wind is just not your friend. The energy is weak to moderate, reading between 329 and 551 (combined energy), but it's not going to ride clean. By the 13th, it gets a little lumpier with a fresh breeze out of the NW, and the swell jumps up to a quick, weak 4ft at 6 seconds from the WNW. Not what you want at a big-wave spot.

The middle of the week, from the 14th through the 18th, stays poor. We see some bigger numbers on the charts—like a 6ft swell on the 14th afternoon, with energy hitting 803 (moderate), but that wind is just ruining it. It's all cross-on or just onshore. It's messy, lumpy, and choppy. You wouldn't want to be out there for a paddle. With that consistent wind and the swell size, this setup is starting to look a lot more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

We finally see a bit of light on the horizon around the 23rd and 24th of September. On the 24th morning, we've got a glassy, clean window. The wind is almost nothing out of the W. The swell is a solid 6ft from the WNW, with a moderate 9-second period, and the energy is pumping hard at 691 (strong). That's the best the forecast gets for our zone. A glassy Mavericks with clean 6ft WNW groundswell—that's the one we're waiting for. It's advanced-only territory at that size, and you know the lineup is going to be heavy. It's about 13 days out, so plenty of time for the forecast to wobble, but that morning is the standout.

Before and after that, the 23rd afternoon shows a 6ft WSW swell with light winds, but it's rated as marginal. The 25th morning still has a decent 4ft WNW swell with a longer 11-second period, but the conditions aren't quite as perfect. It's a promise, not a certainty. The rest of the month fades back into small, weak, and wind-affected.

So, there you have it. A long, flat spell, then one real crack at it. Keep your eyes on that Thursday the 24th.

Rusty.

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