Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get real about the next 16 days at Mavericks. The honest truth is, this is a tough stretch. We're looking at a long, dry period with very little to get excited about.

The water temperature is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need the thickest wetsuit, but that's about the only good news.

The first real chance of anything surfable doesn't show up until Monday, the 24th of August, and even then it's a marginal call. We've got a tiny 1ft, long-period 18-second groundswell from the SW. The energy is weak, at 301, and the wind is light and cross-onshore. It's not going to be pretty, but it's a pulse of energy in a dead zone. The best of a bad bunch might be Tuesday morning, the 25th of August, with a similar 2ft SW swell, again light cross-onshore wind, but still just a marginal prospect.

Then we hit a bit of a lull again until Thursday, the 27th of August. The swell starts to build, with 6ft from the WNW, but it's short-period, 8 seconds, and the wind is messy. The energy jumps to 720 (moderate), but the conditions are still poor. This pattern repeats through Friday the 28th and into Saturday the 29th.

Now, Saturday the 29th of August morning is the only time in the whole 16 days that stands out, but it needs a lot of caveats. We get a solid 6ft of WNW swell, with a combined energy reading of 1015 – that's strong energy. The wind is light and onshore, so it won't be perfect, but it might be the best we see. However, this is a big, powerful wave for a spot like Mavericks. At 6ft, it's getting into the territory that's only for experts. This is a reef break, and with that strong energy, it's going to be heavy. If you're not an expert, stay well clear.

After that, the surf drops off again and stays weak and messy right through to the end of the forecast on Thursday, the 3rd of September. Honestly, for most of this period, the conditions are so poor and the swell so weak that the setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for paddle surfers.

The main takeaway? There's one marginal day on the 24th, and one potentially dangerous day for experts on the 29th. The rest is a write-off. Stay patient.

Rusty out.

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