Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so at Mavericks is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a solid run of tiny, weak swell, and the wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things messy. The combined energy is sitting mostly in the 200s to 800s, which is weak to moderate, but the poor conditions mean it’s just not worth paddling out for. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real flicker of hope comes on the morning of July 28th. We see a jump in swell to 7ft from the WNW, but the period is a short 9 seconds, so it’s windswell, not groundswell. The energy climbs to 1741 (strong), but it’s still cross-on with a gentle breeze, so it’s a bit of a gamble. This is really only for the experienced crew – 7ft is getting into expert territory.

The standout for this whole period is actually the morning of July 29th. The swell picks up to 8ft from the WNW, still a short 9-second period, but the wind goes light and onshore from the W. The energy is the highest we’ll see at 1865 (very strong). This is a proper big-wave window, but the short period means it’s going to be a bit lumpy and closed out at a beach break. For a reef like Mavericks, it could still be a goer for the brave, but it’s strictly for experts only.

After that, the swell holds through the 30th (7ft, WNW, 9 seconds) but with better wind on the morning of the 30th – light and onshore from the WSW. The energy drops to 1420 (still strong), but the conditions are cleaner. That afternoon of the 30th is also worth a look, with similar size and period.

The first week of August sees the swell back down to 4ft – 6ft, with a bit more period (10 seconds) by the 3rd and 4th. The winds are light and cross-on, which is not ideal, but the energy is moderate (736 on the 3rd morning). It’s a marginal setup, but for a mid-sized day with light winds, there might be a few clean ones for the crew who are willing to pick through the sets.

Bottom line: if you’re an expert, the 29th and 30th of July are your best bets for size, but the quality is a question mark. Everyone else, you’re waiting until the first few days of August for something more manageable, but don’t expect perfection. It’s a tough run for the next 16 days.

Rusty.

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