Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Mavericks, and honestly, it’s a tough read. This is a spot that demands perfection, and we’re not getting it for a long stretch.

The overall pattern is dominated by constant cross-onshore winds and choppy, poor conditions. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 60°F, about 3°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is notable but won’t help the surf.

We start the run with nothing. Monday the 27th through Tuesday the 28th is all cross-onshore wind, messy, poor surf. Not worth a paddle.

Wednesday the 29th morning shows a glimmer of hope with offshore wind, but the swell is only 3ft from the SW, and the wave energy is weak (648). The report calls it marginal, and it’s just a brief window before the wind goes bad again.

Thursday the 30th brings a bigger bump. The morning has a 6ft WNW swell, but it’s short period at 8 seconds, and the wind is onshore. The energy is moderate (1101). It’s still a marginal call. By afternoon, it’s cross-onshore and choppy again.

Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are more of the same: 5ft to 6ft WNW swell, short period, cross-onshore wind, poor conditions. The energy drops off into the weak range.

Now, Sunday the 2nd of August is the one true standout in this whole period. We’ve got a 8ft WNW swell, period stretching to 10 seconds, and the energy is strong (2097). The morning has offshore wind. The catch? At 8ft, this is only for experts. The swell direction is WNW, and the optimum for Mavericks is WNW, so that’s a direct hit. The period is moderate, not super long, but it’s enough to get some proper juice. The conditions are still described as marginal, but with that size and offshore wind, it’s the best on offer. Expect crowds to be possible.

After that, the surf fades quickly. Monday the 3rd of August drops to 6ft, the wind goes cross-onshore, and the energy tanks. From Tuesday the 4th of August all the way through to the end of the run on the 11th, we’re looking at weak energy (values between 231 and 414), poor conditions, and mostly cross-onshore winds. The swell is small and weak, and the period is short. There’s nothing to recommend here.

So, to sum it up: it’s a long, lean stretch. The only real chance to get a proper wave is on the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August, and that’s for experienced surfers only. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty, signing off.

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