Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty grim out there. We’ve got a long stretch of poor surf ahead, so don’t go holding your breath for anything special until the second week rolls around.

Looking at the overall picture, we’re in a real dry spell. From Monday the 3rd right through to the end of the first week, the conditions are just not playing ball. The wind is mostly cross-onshore, the swell is small, and the energy is weak. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Let’s start with Monday the 3rd. The swell is coming in from the WNW at 5 ft, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (597). But the wind is a cross-onshore breeze from the SSW, and it’s making things choppy. Not a good look. The afternoon drops off to 5 ft and even less energy (456). Honestly, it’s poor.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are even smaller. Swell drops to 4 ft, then 1 ft. The energy is weak (253 and 135). Wednesday has a long period of 14 seconds, but it’s from the SW and the wind is still onshore. The waves are tiny and messy. Not worth paddling out.

Thursday the 6th through Friday the 7th stay small, with swell around 1 ft to 2 ft. The wind does shift to onshore or light offshore at times, which is a bit better, but the swell is just too weak. The energy is still low (134 to 295). The period on Friday morning hits 18 seconds, but it’s just a tiny groundswell that doesn’t have any push.

Saturday the 8th shows a bit more life. The morning has 4 ft of WNW swell with an 8-second period, and the energy is moderate (375). The wind is onshore from the west, so it might be clean-ish. But the afternoon jumps to 6 ft with a stronger energy of 872. The wind is cross-onshore again, though. It’s getting bigger, but it’s messy.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th see a consistent 5 ft to 6 ft WNW swell, with a period of 10 seconds and energy in the moderate range (642 to 734). The wind is mostly onshore or light cross-onshore. It’s still not ideal, but you’ll find some rideable waves if you’re patient. The break at Mavericks is a reef, so it handles the swell direction well, but be aware that the water temp is about average.

Tuesday the 11th drops back to 4 ft, and the energy is low (366). The wind is cross-onshore, so it’s not great.

Now, the best on offer in this whole 16-day window is Saturday the 8th afternoon. The swell is 6 ft from the WNW, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong (872). That’s the biggest swell we’ll see. The wind is a cross-onshore breeze, so it’s not glassy, but it’s the most powerful of the lot. The reef at Mavericks will handle that size, but it’s a spot for advanced surfers only. For a top-level break, the conditions are just okay, but it’s the standout for size.

The second week, from the 12th onwards, is a real letdown. The swell drops to 1 ft to 2 ft, with long periods from the SW. The energy is weak (200 to 348). The wind is cross-onshore or onshore. It’s a long gap of poor surf. The 17th and 18th show a little more activity, but still only 1 ft to 2 ft. Honestly, it’s a quiet period.

So, the only real standout is that Saturday the 8th afternoon. Otherwise, it’s a lean stretch. If you’ve got a kite, this might be your time to get out, because the paddle surfing is not happening.

Rusty.

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