Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough stretch for Mavericks. The entire 16-day window is a write-off for a good paddle session. We’re looking at a solid blank run from now through to the end of the forecast, with no good surf on offer. The pattern is just stubborn – we’ve got consistent cross-onshore wind, mostly from the NW, with a choppy, lumpy mess on the surface. The water temp is sitting at 62°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a notable anomaly, feels like a warm bath compared to normal.

The first week is dominated by a moderate, short-period SW swell, but the energy is there (combined energy values in the 500 to 1000+ range), but it’s all blown out. The wind is a constant 12 mph cross-onshore, just ruining any chance of a clean face. The waves are small, between 2 ft and 3 ft, and it’s just poor surf conditions day after day. There’s a slight shift on the 29th of July – the swell direction swings to WNW, and the height bumps up to 6 ft, but the period drops to a weak 8 seconds and the wind is still messy. It’s marginal at best, and only for those who don’t mind a battle.

The 30th of July morning shows a bit of promise with an onshore wind, but the rating is still a 2 out of 10, and the waves are 7 ft with that same short period. That’s a lot of lumpy, walled-up water for a beach-and-reef setup like this. Honestly, with that much swell, poor quality, and strong wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week is a slow fade. From the 31st of July through to the 9th of August, the swell is mostly under 6 ft, with the same WNW direction, and the period rarely gets above 9 seconds. The wind keeps messing it up, and the combined energy drops off into the 200-500 range, which is weak to moderate. The 5th of August morning has a 4 ft, 10-second period swell with a gentle cross-shore wind, which is the closest we get to a clean look, but it’s still a marginal forecast. The 7th of August morning pushes 6 ft from the NW with an 8-second period, but again, the wind is cross-onshore and choppy.

Bottom line: there’s nothing here worth paddling out for. The whole period is a write-off. Keep the board in the car, or head to the lake. The forecasts can change, but this one looks stubborn.

Rusty.

Read more