Surf Forecasts:
Mavericks surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, WNW swell with 682 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 12s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming our way over the next couple of weeks.
Right now, it's a tough stretch. We're looking at nine days of poor conditions at Mavericks from the start. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or straight cross, making a mess of any chance at clean waves. The swell is small and weak, with the combined energy sitting in the hundreds for the first week, so it's nothing to get excited about. Leave the board on the rack.
Things start to shift around Thursday the 24th. The swell picks up from the SSW, and the wind eases off. The reports go from "poor" to "marginal," so there’s a chance. On Friday the 24th afternoon, a long-period SW groundswell with a 24-second period starts to push in, boosting that energy to 658. That kind of period means serious juice, but at Mavericks it’ll make for those long, drawn-out lines. The wind is still cross-shore, though, so it won’t be glassy.
The standout window is definitely Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th. Saturday morning is clean with a light cross-onshore breeze. The swell from the SSW has some real punch, with the combined energy hitting 1123 in the morning and 1142 in the afternoon. Swell height is around 3 ft in the morning, building to 4 ft in the afternoon, riding that very long 21-second period. This is proper groundswell. The best window is Saturday afternoon when the wind shifts to offshore, smoothing everything out. Sunday the 26th also looks good with light winds and a solid SW groundswell. Water temp is about 60°F, a touch warmer than average.
For the advanced crew, Saturday afternoon at Mavericks is the target. That offshore wind combined with the long-period SSW groundswell will make the place look its best. The direction isn’t bang-on the ideal WNW, but the power and the clean conditions will more than make up for it. It’s a big, heavy wave, and the crowd factor is "sometimes," so expect to share it. This is not for beginners; it’s for the experienced crew only.
After that, the surf fades back into marginal and poor conditions through the end of the month. The swells drop off and the wind gets messy again. It’s a short but sweet window in an otherwise quiet forecast.
Stay sharp, everyone.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | W 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | W 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 91 | 188 | 264 | 285 | 572 | 335 | 383 | 446 | 291 | 307 | 185 | 190 | 201 | 172 | 206 | 309 | 214 | 198 | 242 | 245 | 129 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 10:53PM2.06m | 1:04PM1.50m | 11:46PM1.98m | 1:44PM1.55m | 00:38AM1.83m | 2:23PM1.59m | 1:33AM1.63m | 3:02PM1.63m | 2:32AM1.41m | 3:42PM1.66m | 3:40AM1.21m | 4:22PM1.67m | 5:05AM1.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:01PM0.84m | 6:05AM-0.48m | 5:57PM0.78m | 6:50AM-0.39m | 6:55PM0.71m | 7:32AM-0.23m | 7:54PM0.65m | 8:14AM-0.04m | 8:58PM0.58m | 8:56AM0.18m | 10:05PM0.49m | 9:40AM0.41m | 11:14PM0.40m | 10:29AM0.62m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 |
 | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:28 | — | 8:27 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | WNW 7 | WNW 8 | SW 17 | WNW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 10 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 58 | 188 | 191 | 72 | 435 | 89 | 89 | 446 | 291 | 212 | 128 | 110 | 81 | 51 | 80 | 309 | 214 | 198 | 242 | 245 | 129 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 16 | W 19 | W 19 | W 18 | W 17 | W 18 | W 16 | SW 17 | W 16 | W 16 | SW 16 | WNW 9 | WNW 9 | WNW 8 | S 12 | WNW 4 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 37 | 109 | 109 | 37 | 90 | 117 | 116 | 164 | 148 | 216 | 185 | 190 | 178 | 172 | 206 | 70 | 49 | 47 | 71 | 6 | 88 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | W 13 | W 20 | W 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 16 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | W 16 | W 15 | W 14 | W 14 | W 14 | S 11 | S 10 |
| kJ | 50 | 62 | 40 | 30 | 73 | 27 | 13 | 78 | 130 | 74 | 72 | 181 | 201 | 41 | 118 | 113 | 102 | 65 | 64 | 37 | 34 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | — | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | WNW 8 | NW 8 | WNW 5 |
| kJ | 91 | — | 264 | 285 | 572 | 335 | 383 | — | — | 307 | — | — | — | — | — | 129 | — | — | 46 | 70 | 18 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 35 | 35 | 73 | 35 | 74 | 73 | 35 | 74 | 74 | 35 | 35 | 74 | 35 | 35 | 74 | 35 | 35 | 74 | 35 | 35 |
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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