Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Issued: 4 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
15.6° C

2.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 4 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, WNW swell with 826 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sat 4th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 8AM (Sat 4th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 9th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Mavericks. Straight up, it’s a tough run. The water is a balmy 60°F, which is a massive 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – feels like a warm bath for a Northern California spot.

The first week is a write-off. From Saturday, July 4th, right through to Wednesday, July 8th, the swell is tiny, weak, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy is mostly in the low to mid hundreds (264 to 762), which is just weak, junky energy. The wave heights are barely cracking 3 ft, with a short period under 14 seconds. It’s messy, small, and not worth paddling out for.

Thursday, July 9th, morning sees a jump in size to 8 ft from the WNW, but the period drops to a weak 9 seconds, and the cross-onshore wind is 12 mph. The energy is strong (1676), but the quality is poor. That’s too big and blown out for any fun. This pattern of onshore or cross-onshore wind and poor surf conditions holds through the middle of the month. The waves are consistently in the 4 ft to 7 ft range, but the period is short (8 seconds) and the wind is never clean. The energy readings are moderate to strong (334 to 985), but it’s all wind-affected slop.

There is a slight glimmer on Thursday, July 16th, morning. The swell drops to 2 ft but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds from the West. That’s a proper groundswell, but it’s tiny. Combined energy is 547 (moderate). The wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph from the NW. For a reef like Mavericks, that long period could wrap in, but the size is just a whisper. The next morning, Friday, July 17th, is similar: 2 ft from the West at 17 seconds, with a light cross-onshore breeze. The energy is 595. It’s marginal, but the long period is the only hint of real ocean power in the whole outlook.

The entire 16-day window is a bust. There are no standout sessions. The consistent theme is poor surf conditions and cross-onshore wind. Even the bigger days are a mess. For a spot that needs a big, clean, long-period WNW swell with offshore wind, this forecast offers none of that. The setup is more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session with the persistent wind.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.8
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
2.1
WNW
9
2.3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
102
140
103
197
152
108
211
161
388
303
379
375
444
386
686
826
576
589
370
390
245
Wind (km/h)
10
SSW
15
SW
5
SW
10
SW
15
WSW
10
W
15
W
20
WNW
15
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
10
W
20
NW
15
NW
20
WNW
25
NW
15
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
10
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
High Tide
3:11PM1.41m
1:57AM1.38m
3:43PM1.48m
2:55AM1.23m
4:16PM1.56m
4:09AM1.09m
4:54PM1.64m
5:43AM0.99m
5:36PM1.74m
7:28AM0.99m
6:24PM1.83m
8:55AM1.08m
7:16PM1.92m
Low Tide
8:08AM-0.06m
8:36PM0.85m
8:44AM0.06m
9:37PM0.74m
9:23AM0.21m
10:44PM0.58m
10:07AM0.39m
11:51PM0.38m
10:57AM0.58m
00:55AM0.16m
11:56AM0.74m
1:54AM-0.05m
1:00PM0.86m
2:49AM-0.25m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
14
15
12
14
14
13
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
14
12
14
14
12
14
15
13
Feels °C
12
13
11
13
12
12
11
10
9
10
10
9
11
11
10
11
10
9
12
13
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
7
0.8
SW
18
1.6
WNW
7
1.5
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
2.1
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
9
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
Energy kJ
100
100
100
103
103
94
94
92
107
99
379
263
298
386
686
536
306
589
370
256
245
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.4
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
WNW
12
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.5
W
11
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
Energy kJ
102
140
103
197
152
108
211
111
388
196
57
375
444
268
314
196
196
181
171
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
W
12
0.4
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
12
0.6
SW
16
0.6
WNW
11
0.6
SW
19
0.4
SW
14
0.5
SW
15
0.3
SW
13
Energy kJ
62
96
96
47
51
62
72
161
98
303
74
104
28
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
NW
8
1.2
WNW
7
1.4
WNW
8
2.3
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
164
136
270
826
576
390
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
5
71
21
35
74
35
35
74
72
35
74
64
35
73
35
35
73
35
35
198
24
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
3
2
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
2
3
4
3
3
4
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
9
7
5
5
8
7
5
5
9
7
9
5
7
5
5
4
8
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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