Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Mavericks. We’ve got a lot of low energy, poor conditions, and not much to get excited about. The water is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 60°F with an anomaly of 3°F, which is notable but not wild.

The forecast starts clean on Sunday the 19th of July, but it’s a write-off. Tiny 2ft swell from the SW with a long 17-second period, but the wind is onshore from the W at 9 mph, and the combined energy is a weak 478. It’s just poor surf conditions. Come Monday morning the 20th, we’re looking at 2ft SW swell, 16-second period, but cross-onshore wind from the WSW at 9 mph making it choppy. The energy is down to 258. This theme continues day after day through the week. Small swells, ugly cross-onshore winds, and a combined energy that barely cracks 300-400. It’s a tough stretch.

We get a bit more energy on Friday the 24th of July morning, with a 2ft SW swell and a very long 24-second period, giving a combined energy of 684. That’s a moderate energy reading, but it’s still cross-onshore and the surf is only marginal. The period is so long that at a beach break like Mavericks, it’s likely to break too straight, and the small size doesn’t help. Not a standout.

The best of a bad bunch might be the morning of Saturday the 26th of July. We’ve got 3ft SW swell with a 19-second period, combined energy hitting 1147, which is moderate to strong. The wind is onshore from the WNW at 9 mph, so it’s not glassy, but at least it’s not a full cross-onshore. Still, the surf quality is only marginal. It’s the best we’ll see, but don’t expect much.

Then the 27th of July Monday morning throws a wrench in it: 7ft swell from the WNW, but it’s short period at 8 seconds, mixed with a cross-onshore NW wind at 12 mph. The energy is a massive 1515, but it’s messy, choppy, and that size is getting too big for beginners. Experts might find something, but the wind is going to ruin it. The 28th of July Tuesday morning is similar: 7ft from the NW, 9-second period, 1702 energy, but again cross-onshore at 12 mph. It’s only for the experts, and even then, it’s a fight.

After that, the swell drops back down towards the end of the month and into the first of August, with small, weak swells and persistent cross-onshore winds. The 2nd of August Sunday morning gives a 3ft SSW swell, 13-second period, and a light cross-onshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph, making it just marginal. But it’s nothing special.

The truth is, there’s no true standout here. The first week is a bust, and the second week is just as poor. If you’re desperate, the 26th of July morning is your best bet, but it’s not one to write home about. For an exposed spot like Mavericks, the combination of small swell and bad wind direction is a killer. We’ll have to wait for the forecasts to change.

Rusty.

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