Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown in feet and miles.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of messy, onshore conditions that are going to keep the big wave spot pretty flat and ugly for most of the run. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 60.4°F.

The first real chance to even think about paddling out doesn’t come until the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. That morning, we’ve got a 5.9ft swell coming from the NW with a short, snappy period of 8 seconds. The wind is cross-onshore at 9.3 mph, so it’s not going to be the clean Mavericks we dream of, but the combined energy is strong (1030). It’s a marginal one, maybe worth a look if you’re an expert and desperate, but it’s far from perfect.

Thursday, July 30th, sees a similar story. The afternoon brings a 5.9ft WNW swell, again with a short 8-second period, and cross-onshore winds at 15.5 mph. The energy is still strong (1003), but that onshore wind is going to chop it up something fierce. For the experts only, and even then, it’s a battle.

Honestly, the rest of the window is a total write-off. From the start of the forecast right through to August 5th, it’s almost all "poor surf conditions" or "marginal" at best. The wind is nearly always cross-onshore or onshore, gusting from the NW. The swell heights bounce around between 1.3ft and 4.9ft, but the quality is just not there. The combined energy dips to moderate (196) on August 4th, but it’s a case of small and messy.

There is no standout here. Not even a decent one. If you’re a hardcore big-wave charger, maybe the morning of July 29th is your only, very slight, window. But for the rest of us, the kit is staying in the van. The setup is so consistently blown out and choppy that it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of this period.

Keep your head up, forecasts can change, but this one’s a dud.

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