Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Mavericks over the next sixteen days or so.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: it's looking like a pretty grim stretch for this big-wave reef. We're starting on Thursday the 10th with a tiny 3 ft SW groundswell, but it's got that super long 17-second period that gives it a bit of life. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. But here's the kicker – the wind is a cross-on mess, and the overall wave energy is moderate (551). It's just not coming together. The report calls it "marginal," and I'd agree. It’s not one to get excited about.

The next four days, from Friday the 11th to Monday the 14th, are basically a write-off. The swell stays small, around 2 ft to 5 ft, but the period drops off a cliff to between 6 and 9 seconds, which is just weak, wind-slop energy. The wind is consistently cross-onshore, getting up to a fresh 19 mph on the weekend, turning the ocean into a lumpy, choppy mess. The energy numbers are mostly in the 400s (moderate), but it’s all junk. Not even worth paddling out for. There's a morning on the 14th with a little 5 ft swell and light wind, but the afternoon gets blown out again.

Tuesday the 15th through Thursday the 17th doesn't offer much relief. We've got a mix of tiny SW groundswells and some WNW windswell, but it's all cross-on and the energy is dropping. There’s a bit more life in the water on the 15th morning with a 5 ft swell at 8 seconds (energy 420), but the wind is still on it. It's just not clean.

Then we hit a rough patch from Friday the 18th through to Sunday the 21st. The swell drops to a pathetic 2 ft, but the period jumps back up to 18-19 seconds. That sounds promising, but the wind is a constant cross-on, ruining any shape. The energy is in the 250 to 400 range, but it's all slop. This spot needs the wind to play ball, and it just isn't.

Now, here's where it gets a little interesting, but you have to be patient. From Monday the 21st of September through to Wednesday the 23rd, things start to look a little more hopeful. We're still looking at small 2 ft to 3 ft SW groundswell with a decent 16-17 second period, but the wind finally drops to light breezes. The morning of the 21st shows a light cross-on, but by the afternoon it's a light onshore. The energy is moderate (485, then 373). It's still "marginal," but that light wind is a huge plus. It might be just enough for a clean, small wave session if you're desperate and the tide is right.

After that, from Thursday the 24th to Friday the 25th, we're back to tiny 1 ft to 3 ft swell with a long period (14-22 seconds) and cross-on winds. The energy is moderate, but the size is just not there. It’s a frustrating run.

So, the bottom line: There's no standout day here. The whole sixteen-day window is a struggle for Mavericks. If you had to pick a window, the mornings from September 21st to 23rd offer the most potential because of the light wind, but it's for small-wave gear at best. For a place like this, that's a tough pill to swallow. For the rest of the time, the wind is just tearing it apart. Maybe this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

This is Rusty, signing off. Keep your eyes on the horizon, but maybe keep the board in the car for a while.

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