Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Lookin' at the whole 16-day run for Mavericks, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a real dry spell on the cards, especially through that first week and a half. There’s a big gap from now through to around the 23rd of July where you’re just not gonna wanna paddle out. Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, and the waves are chopped up or just messy.

Starting Saturday the 11th of July, we’ve got a tiny 2ft SW swell coming in with a long 15-second period, but the wind’s on it and the wave comment tells the story: poor surf. That pattern just keeps rolling. Through Sunday the 12th and into the week, we get a bit more size, around 4ft from the WNW, but periods drop short – down to 8 or 9 seconds – and the wind is just never our friend. It’s all cross-onshore, making for choppy, bumpy conditions. Combined wave energy sits in the mid to high hundreds (385 to 571 range), which is moderate, but it’s all wasted on bad wind.

We finally get a break in the clouds – literally and figuratively – on Thursday the 23rd of July. The morning session shows 5ft NW swell with a short period of 7 seconds and the wind is on, so it’s still a “marginal” call at best.

Then, finally, Friday morning the 24th of July (that’s over two weeks away) is our one true stand-out. The morning is magic: it’s *glass* – no wind at all. The swell is a clean 4ft from the WNW with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is 323 (moderate). The forecast calls for “good surf conditions.” For a spot like Mavericks, that’s about as good as this window gets. It won’t be the big, heaving winter stuff, but for July, a glassy, waist-to-chest high wave with that kind of period is a real treat. You’ll want to be on it early, though, because the afternoon glass shatters with a cross-onshore NW breeze.

The weekend after that, the 25th and 26th, sees the swell bump up to 6ft from the WNW, but the wind swings cross or cross-on from the SSW, bringing in lumpy, marginal conditions again.

So, bottom line: for the next two weeks, you’re better off tuning the board or working on the tan. Mark your calendar for the morning of Friday, July 24th – that’s the one window where you might score something smooth and clean at Mavericks. It’s a long way off, but it’s something to look forward to.

Stay frothy.

Rusty

Read more