Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Issued: 10 am 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
16.3° C

3.1°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 9s period, WNW swell with 809 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.3m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Thu 9th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, things are looking pretty grim. For the first week, from Thursday the 2nd right through to Sunday the 12th of July, we’re in a real dry spell. There’s just no quality surf to get excited about. The swell is small, mostly under 0.8ft, and the wind is locked in from the SSW or SW – a constant cross-onshore breeze keeping everything choppy and messy. The water temp is sitting at 61°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so that’s a real anomaly. It feels like bathwater out there, but the waves just aren't cooperating. The energy is weak to moderate, bouncing around in the low 300s to mid 400s (combined swell energy), and that’s just not enough to make Mavericks the beast we know it can be.

Now, we do finally see a change heading into the second week. Wednesday the 8th of July morning brings a pulse of energy with a 6ft WNW swell, but it’s a short 8-second period and the wind is onshore. The energy jumps up to 1193 (strong), but the conditions are marginal at best. The real window looks to be Thursday the 9th of July. The morning has a 6ft WNW swell, but it’s that afternoon where we get a little spike: a 7ft WNW swell, still a short 9-second period, with a cross-onshore wind from the NW at 12 mph. The combined energy hits 1559, so there’s plenty of water moving, but it’s going to be mushy and bumpy. This is likely the pick of the whole forecast – but it’s strictly for advanced surfers only. Anything over 7ft at a reef like this means big, raw ocean.

The following Friday the 10th through Sunday the 12th are more of the same: 5ft to 6ft of WNW swell but always fighting that cross-onshore or onshore wind. It’s a frustrating run because the energy is there, with values consistently in the 500s, 600s, and even 800s, but the wind never cleans up. Crowds at Mavericks can be an issue, and when the waves are this marginal, it’s not worth the crowd.

After the 12th, the swell fades back down into the 4ft range with light winds, but it’s just not enough to break that heavy reef properly. The long 19-second period groundswell that shows up on the 15th is a tease – big period, but only 2ft of swell from the W. A long period swell like that needs a point or reef, and Mavericks is perfect for it, but with no size, it’ll just be a bump.

Overall, my honest take? There are no true standouts in this 16-day window. The best you can hope for is a window on the afternoon of Thursday the 9th of July for some big, unruly swells if you’re an expert. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game. I wouldn’t be surprised if the kite surfers get more out of this set-up than we do.

Stay tuned, the forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
1
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
2
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
287
181
149
176
166
166
125
140
105
197
152
150
211
206
306
303
323
375
444
386
489
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
SW
10
SW
15
SSW
10
SW
5
WSW
15
SW
15
WSW
5
SW
15
SSW
15
SW
10
W
15
W
20
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
25
NW
20
NW
15
W
20
WNW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:10PM1.32m
00:27AM1.62m
2:40PM1.36m
1:09AM1.51m
3:11PM1.41m
1:57AM1.38m
3:43PM1.48m
2:55AM1.23m
4:16PM1.56m
4:09AM1.09m
4:54PM1.64m
5:43AM0.99m
5:36PM1.74m
Low Tide
6:54PM0.96m
7:33AM-0.15m
7:41PM0.92m
8:08AM-0.06m
8:36PM0.85m
8:44AM0.06m
9:37PM0.74m
9:23AM0.21m
10:44PM0.58m
10:07AM0.39m
11:51PM0.38m
10:57AM0.58m
00:55AM0.16m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
14
14
12
13
14
12
13
14
12
13
13
12
12
13
12
13
14
13
Feels °C
11
11
11
12
12
11
11
12
10
10
12
10
11
10
9
9
10
9
11
11
10
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
9
1.1
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1.1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.6
WNW
12
1.3
WNW
7
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
287
176
149
176
153
142
125
125
105
131
131
99
131
111
160
223
192
186
243
386
345
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.4
SSW
18
0.5
SW
15
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
Energy kJ
122
181
121
104
166
166
102
140
103
197
152
150
211
206
306
196
323
375
444
268
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SW
20
0.1
W
17
0.4
SW
15
0.1
W
15
0.2
W
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
W
12
0.4
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
19
0.5
SW
14
0.5
SW
15
0.3
SW
13
Energy kJ
15
6
75
5
17
44
62
96
96
47
49
62
71
116
161
303
103
104
28
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
7
2
WNW
8
Energy kJ
92
280
372
263
489
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
3
1
2
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
2
3
Distance (km)
35
419
24
5
71
24
76
74
21
76
74
48
71
74
63
35
74
35
35
73
35
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
3
2
3
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
9
5
9
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
6
9
8
6
6
7
9
7
7
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Mavericks:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Mavericks surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest