Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you—this stretch is a tough one for surf at Mavericks. The whole 16-day window is pretty quiet. There’s a lot of small, weak energy and the wind is mostly on it or cross-onshore, so the conditions are just not cooperating. The water temperature is sitting around 60°, which feels a touch warmer than average for mid-July, but that’s about the only good news.

Right from the get-go on Sunday the 19th, we’ve got small 2ft swell from the SW with a long 16-second period, but the wind is on it and the wave comment calls it poor. Combined energy is moderate at 357, but there’s nothing rideable here. That pattern keeps up through Monday and Tuesday—tiny swell, messy wind, no quality.

We’re looking at a pretty barren run until around Friday the 24th, when the swell from the SW drops to a 24-second period—very long period groundswell. That energy picks up to 672, but the wind is still cross-onshore and the wave call is marginal. The size is only 2ft, so it’s not going to light up this exposed reef. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th stay similar: 2-3ft, moderate energy around 750 to 944, but the wind is still on or cross-onshore. The conditions are just not dialed in.

By Monday the 27th, combined energy hits 981 and even 1182 in the afternoon, but again, the wind is cross-onshore from the NW, and the wave comment stays poor. The swell is still small at 3ft. That trend holds through Tuesday the 28th. There’s never a standout session here—the wind just doesn’t let up.

We get a bump on Wednesday the 29th, with the swell shifting to WNW and size picking up to 5-7ft, but the period is short at 9 seconds. That’s weak, wind-affected stuff. Combined energy jumps to 1837 in the afternoon, but the wind is cross-onshore at 15 mph, and the wave call is poor again. This is more of a messy, choppy setup, and with that size and wind, it might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Definitely not a beginner day at 7ft either.

From Thursday the 30th through Sunday the 2nd of August, the swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft, mostly from the WNW or SSW, with periods varying. The wind stays cross-onshore or on it, and the comments stay poor. The energy is moderate the whole time, with light breezes starting to show on some mornings, but no real clean windows.

The last day, Monday the 3rd of August, is more of the same: 3-4ft WNW swell, short 9-second period, light breeze in the morning but cross-onshore in the afternoon. A poor outlook all round.

Look, I’ve been watching this spot a long time, and sometimes you just get a run like this—no real windows opening up. The best you could hope for is a dawny on a light wind morning, but the swell never matches up. There’s no true standout in this whole period. Keep an eye on it, because forecasts change, but right now, I’d say save your energy for another time.

Rusty

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