Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
15.6° C
2.2° 

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, WNW swell with 771 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sun 12th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 12th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 15s
Most Powerful11PM (Thu 16th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about the next 16 days at Mavericks. I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough one. We’re staring down a long stretch of poor surf quality and messy conditions. The best advice is to keep your expectations low.

The first recommendation to even consider paddling out isn’t until Saturday, July 12th. From then on, it’s a grind. The pattern is dominated by short-period swell, mostly in the 8-second range, which lacks the power and shape you want for a wave of this size. The wind is almost always a negative factor, blowing cross-on or onshore, keeping the surface choppy and unsettled. The combined energy is moderate, often in the 300-700 range, which for a spot like this just isn't enough to overcome the wind.

The small window of interest comes on Sunday, July 19th morning. There’s a little bump in the WNW swell at 4ft, with a slightly longer period of 10 seconds. The wind goes light and onshore from the west, making it the only session with a genuine chance of something rideable. The water temperature is sitting at 60°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, about 4°F above average. That’s a weird bonus, but it won’t fix the bumpy surface.

Maybe the most promising session is the morning of Saturday, July 25th, a full two weeks out. A solid SW groundswell shows up with a 21-second period and combined energy of 928. The head-high swell is 3ft. The wind is light cross-on from the NW, which is a decent compromise. This is the standout because it’s the only real dose of long-period energy, but it’s a long way off and the cross-on wind could still mess with the lineup. For a spot like Mavericks, that long period is a double-edged sword – it means power, but it also means the wave can close out if you’re not on a reef or point. Given the constant marginal conditions before this, this is the one to circle on the calendar, but keep a loose grip on it.

Honestly, if you’re a paddle surfer, most of this forecast looks like a write-off. The persistent cross-onshore winds and short-period chop make it more of a kite surfer’s setup than a pure wave-riding situation. Don’t get your hopes up too high for the long-range stuff; these winter swells are promising but not locked in.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
WNW
7
0.6
SW
15
1.2
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.4
NW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
7
1.2
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
2
WNW
8
2
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
8
0.6
SW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
174
178
197
202
243
207
281
245
179
224
153
170
238
454
352
524
524
313
268
188
190
Wind (km/h)
15
WNW
5
WSW
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
W
10
WNW
20
NW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
NW
10
NW
15
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
20
NW
25
NW
25
NW
20
WNW
20
NW
10
NW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
8:10PM2.00m
10:53AM1.30m
9:06PM2.06m
11:40AM1.38m
10:00PM2.09m
12:23PM1.44m
10:53PM2.06m
1:04PM1.50m
11:46PM1.98m
1:44PM1.55m
00:38AM1.83m
2:23PM1.59m
1:33AM1.63m
Low Tide
2:05PM0.92m
3:42AM-0.40m
3:06PM0.93m
4:32AM-0.49m
4:05PM0.90m
5:20AM-0.52m
5:01PM0.84m
6:05AM-0.48m
5:57PM0.78m
6:50AM-0.39m
6:55PM0.71m
7:32AM-0.23m
7:54PM0.65m
8:14AM-0.04m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:58
5:58
5:58
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:31
8:31
8:30
8:30
8:30
8:30
8:29
8:29
 mm
Temp °C
14
12
13
16
12
15
16
13
16
15
12
14
14
12
13
14
13
14
14
11
14
Feels °C
12
10
12
15
9
14
14
11
14
12
9
12
11
9
10
11
9
11
11
7
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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