Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up, this is a tough one to call. For a spot like Mavericks, we're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions. The good news is it's a consistent break, so there's always potential, but the wind and swell aren't playing ball for a while. The water's sitting at a touch warmer than normal, about 62°, which is a degree or so above average for this time of year.

The first chance of anything rideable is early on Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. We've got a tiny 1ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period. The energy is weak (145), but the wind is glassy from the NNW. It's surfable, but honestly, it's very ordinary. The waves are going to be fat and slow with that long period at a beach break like this, more suited to a point or reef. Not the Mavericks we know.

Thursday the 10th brings a little more size, with a 2ft to 3ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, and the comments are all "marginal" or "poor." The energy picks up into the moderate range (374 to 516), but it's just not clean.

From Friday the 11th right through to the end of the 16-day window, it's a grim picture. The swell is a mix of small SW and WNW energy, but with sideshore winds from the NW and WNW, it's going to be choppy and messy. Swell heights stay under 5ft, but the wind is the killer. The few times the wind is "on" it's still described as "unknown" quality, which doesn't inspire confidence.

There is a brief pulse of slightly bigger WNW swell on Monday the 14th, hitting 6ft in the afternoon, but it's accompanied by a fresh cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to a strong 886, but it's going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. The period is only 9 seconds, so it's a windswell, not a proper groundswell. For a spot this exposed, that's a recipe for close-outs. Honestly, for that session, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The end of the first week and into the second week is more of the same: small, weak SW swell with persistent cross-onshore winds. The wind actually howls on the 24th of September, with a strong breeze from the NW hitting 25 mph. That's a write-off.

So, what's the pick? Honestly, there isn't a standout. There's no one day you'd circle on the calendar. If you absolutely had to get wet, the Wednesday morning (9th) with the glassy conditions is the only truly clean window, but you'll be fighting a 1ft, 19-second period swell. It's a long wait for very little reward. Long-range, the forecast is too uncertain, but this pattern doesn't look promising.

Rusty out.

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