Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about Mavericks. This is a world-class reef break that needs a serious WNW swell to fire, and the next 16 days are a real mixed bag. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so that’s one thing you don’t gotta worry about.

Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first real chance at anything rideable comes Sunday morning, August 2nd. There’s a 6 ft WNW swell rolling in with moderate energy, but it’s coming in with a light cross-onshore breeze. It’s gonna be a bit bumpy, and with the tide and conditions, it’s marginal at best. The shape will be so-so, so don’t expect any classic Mavericks walls.

Monday morning, August 3rd, is a similar story. The swell drops a touch to 5 ft, still from the WNW, but the wind is a cross-shore, creating a little chop. The energy is still moderate. It’s still a bit messy.

By Tuesday, August 4th, the swell is fading fast. 4 ft in the morning, dropping to 3 ft by afternoon, with the period shortening. The energy is getting weak. This is a no-go for any serious surfing.

And then we hit a real dry spell. From Wednesday, August 5th, all the way through to Saturday, August 8th, the swell is tiny. We’re talking 1 ft to 2 ft, with long periods from the SW, but it’s just not wrapping in properly. The energy is weak to low. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and poor. The water temp is normal, but it doesn’t matter because there’s nothing to ride. This is a gap of several days with absolutely nothing.

Now, we get a little flicker of hope on Sunday, August 9th. The swell jumps back up to 5 ft from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds. The energy is back to moderate, and the wind is light and onshore in the morning. It’s still a marginal call, with questionable tide conditions, but it’s the best we’ve seen in a week.

Monday, August 10th, keeps that little pulse going. 5 ft from the WNW in the morning, but the period drops to 9 seconds and the wind is a cross-onshore. It’s gonna be a bumpy, average session, but there’s a wave to be had.

After that, it’s back to the tiny stuff. From Tuesday, August 11th through to the end of the forecast on August 17th, it’s mostly 1 ft to 3 ft swells from the SW or WSW. The periods are long (14-19 seconds), but the energy is low to moderate. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things choppy and poor. A few mornings on August 16th and 17th show “marginal” conditions, but honestly, it’s not worth the paddle for a wave that’s barely breaking.

So, the standout moment? The morning of Sunday, August 9th, is your best bet. That 5 ft WNW swell with moderate energy, even with the light onshore wind, is the closest we get to a proper session. The morning of August 10th is a close second, but it’s a step down in quality. The rest of the time? It’s a flat spell for a break that needs a lot of juice. For the big wave crew, this is a waiting game.

Rusty

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