Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Mavericks, and honestly, it’s a mixed bag. The opening days are a write-off, so we’re looking at a long wait for anything decent.

The first few days are a total bust. Monday the 27th to Wednesday the 29th of July are all poor surf conditions with cross-onshore winds chopping everything up. The combined energy is moderate (667 to 1045), but the wind is just ruining it. You’re better off waiting.

The first real glimmer comes on Thursday the 30th of July. We see a pulse of swell push in, with a 7ft swell from the WNW, but the period is short, just 8 seconds. That’s a windswell, and it’s going to be a bit crumbly and disorganised. The combined energy is strong (1268), but the cross-onshore wind will make it a battle. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen.

From there, the pattern is a lot of waiting. Most mornings through the first week of August offer light onshore winds, but the swell is inconsistent. The period is short, generally 8-10 seconds, which keeps the waves weak. The combined energy stays moderate (486 to 691). The weekend of the 2nd and 3rd of August sees a bit more size, with a 6ft to 7ft WNW swell, but the wind is either cross-on or light onshore, so the quality is lacking.

The standout, if you can call it that, is looking like the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. There’s a 6ft swell from the WNW with a 9-second period, and the wind is light onshore from the west. It’s the only morning with a score of 2/10, meaning it’s marginal. The combined energy is moderate (691). It’s big for Mavericks, but the short period and poor wind mean it’s only for experts. The long period stuff (14-17 seconds) that shows up later in the window is just too small (1ft to 3ft) to do anything.

Honestly, if you’re a kite surfer, the afternoon of the 2nd of August might be your window with the 7ft swell and cross-onshore wind, but for paddle surfing, it’s a tough watch. The second week of August fades into tiny, weak swells.

So, best on offer? It’s the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. It’s not pretty, but it’s the only window with a bit of size and a light wind. The rest of the 16 days are a washout for the most part.

Rusty.

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