Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Mavericks over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. The swell window and winds are just not lining up for any kind of quality session, especially at a big-water slab like this. We’re looking at a long, dry run with only one real blink of possibility tucked way out there.

The pattern over the next couple of weeks is dominated by small, short-period swell and almost constant onshore or cross-onshore winds. The first real recommendation doesn’t pop up until Monday morning, 13th July – that’s over a week of nothing worthwhile. Up until then, we’ve got tiny waves in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, mostly from the SW or WNW, with weak to moderate combined energy (mostly three-digit figures like 278 to 480). Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, making for choppy, bumpy conditions. Not worth paddling out.

Even when the swell bumps up a bit around 9th July with 7 ft from WNW (energy hitting 1588), the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is cross-on – poor surf, no good. Kite surfers might get a look, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

Now, let’s talk about the water: on the first entry (Friday 3rd July) the water temp is 61°F with a 5°F anomaly – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year. Unusually warm, but with no decent surf to enjoy it.

The one highlight – and I mean the only one – is Monday morning, 13th July. The guidance says Mavericks is an advanced reef break with consistent waves, exposed to WNW swell, and it can get crowded sometimes. On that morning we’ve got a glassy wind (NW, 3 mph) and a clean 4 ft swell from the WNW with a short 9-second period. Combined energy is 362 – moderate. The wave state is glassy, which is a major positive. It’s small for Mavericks, but clean conditions on a big-water rock are rare. However, this is 10 days out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. Beginners should stay away – anything over 5 ft is too big, and this is manageable for experienced surfers.

After that, the winds go back onshore and the swell drops again. There’s a bump around 18th July (Saturday morning) with 6 ft WNW (8 seconds) but onshore wind – marginal at best. No standouts there.

Bottom line: If you’re a patient expert, mark Monday 13th July morning in your calendar and hope the wind forecast holds. Otherwise, it’s a blank period. The area tends to have these quiet spells, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty, out.

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