Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet isn’t until Monday the 3rd of August, and even then, it’s a real mixed bag. The swell is coming from the WNW at 5ft, but the wind is a cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, which is going to put a bit of a bump on the face. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small win. The combined energy is moderate, around 587, but the conditions are just marginal. It’s not a total write-off, but it’s not firing.

The story doesn’t get much better through the rest of that first week. Swell drops off fast, and we’re into some long-period leftovers from the SW that just don’t have the size. The wind stays mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things choppy and messy. There’s a lot of days in there where it’s just not worth paddling out.

Now, we do get a little pulse of energy on Saturday the 8th of August. Mavericks is still the only game in town. The morning sees a 4ft WNW swell with a short 8-second period, but the wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s a bit bumpy. The real highlight, if you can call it that, is the Saturday afternoon. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the WNW, and the combined energy jumps to 718. The wind is onshore from the WNW, though, which is a real shame. It’s a bit of a tease – the size is there for a fun session, but the wind is going to mess it up. It’s a marginal call, and honestly, for a spot this heavy, you need it clean. At 5ft, it’s still manageable for a competent surfer, but it’s not the classic Mavericks we dream about.

Sunday the 9th of August is a similar story: 5ft in the morning with onshore wind, dropping off in the afternoon.

After that, the swell settles back into the 3 to 5ft range, with the wind switching between cross and cross-onshore from the SSW. It’s consistent enough in size, but the quality just isn’t there. The period stays around 8-10 seconds, which is a bit short to really get the beast going.

The second week is a bit of a letdown. From the 15th of August onwards, we’re into a long-period SW groundswell that’s just too small to do anything with at a spot like this. The energy is still there, with readings in the 300-400 range, but with wave heights under 2ft, it’s a non-event. The wind also starts to clock around to the NW, which is a cross-onshore direction, and it picks up to a moderate breeze (12 mph) by the 16th, making it choppy and unattractive. Honestly, for the last week of the forecast, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle-surfing one.

Overall, the standout is that Saturday afternoon, the 8th of August. If you’re an expert who can handle tricky, onshore conditions, there’s some power there. But don’t expect a classic, glassy session. The rest of the 16 days is mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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