Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Issued: 4 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
16.0° C

2.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, WNW swell with 864 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 9th Jul)8ft (2.4m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Mavericks over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. The swell window and winds are just not lining up for any kind of quality session, especially at a big-water slab like this. We’re looking at a long, dry run with only one real blink of possibility tucked way out there.

The pattern over the next couple of weeks is dominated by small, short-period swell and almost constant onshore or cross-onshore winds. The first real recommendation doesn’t pop up until Monday morning, 13th July – that’s over a week of nothing worthwhile. Up until then, we’ve got tiny waves in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, mostly from the SW or WNW, with weak to moderate combined energy (mostly three-digit figures like 278 to 480). Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, making for choppy, bumpy conditions. Not worth paddling out.

Even when the swell bumps up a bit around 9th July with 7 ft from WNW (energy hitting 1588), the period is a short 9 seconds and the wind is cross-on – poor surf, no good. Kite surfers might get a look, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go.

Now, let’s talk about the water: on the first entry (Friday 3rd July) the water temp is 61°F with a 5°F anomaly – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year. Unusually warm, but with no decent surf to enjoy it.

The one highlight – and I mean the only one – is Monday morning, 13th July. The guidance says Mavericks is an advanced reef break with consistent waves, exposed to WNW swell, and it can get crowded sometimes. On that morning we’ve got a glassy wind (NW, 3 mph) and a clean 4 ft swell from the WNW with a short 9-second period. Combined energy is 362 – moderate. The wave state is glassy, which is a major positive. It’s small for Mavericks, but clean conditions on a big-water rock are rare. However, this is 10 days out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. Beginners should stay away – anything over 5 ft is too big, and this is manageable for experienced surfers.

After that, the winds go back onshore and the swell drops again. There’s a bump around 18th July (Saturday morning) with 6 ft WNW (8 seconds) but onshore wind – marginal at best. No standouts there.

Bottom line: If you’re a patient expert, mark Monday 13th July morning in your calendar and hope the wind forecast holds. Otherwise, it’s a blank period. The area tends to have these quiet spells, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty, out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
1
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
SW
19
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
1.6
WNW
8
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
2.4
WNW
9
2.2
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
9
2.1
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
166
166
125
140
103
197
152
150
211
161
388
303
323
375
444
386
864
749
525
690
415
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
10
SW
10
SW
15
WSW
5
WSW
10
WSW
15
W
10
W
15
W
20
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
20
WNW
15
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
15
WNW
10
W
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
High Tide
2:40PM1.36m
1:09AM1.51m
3:11PM1.41m
1:57AM1.38m
3:43PM1.48m
2:55AM1.23m
4:16PM1.56m
4:09AM1.09m
4:54PM1.64m
5:43AM0.99m
5:36PM1.74m
7:28AM0.99m
6:24PM1.83m
8:55AM1.08m
Low Tide
7:41PM0.92m
8:08AM-0.06m
8:36PM0.85m
8:44AM0.06m
9:37PM0.74m
9:23AM0.21m
10:44PM0.58m
10:07AM0.39m
11:51PM0.38m
10:57AM0.58m
00:55AM0.16m
11:56AM0.74m
1:54AM-0.05m
1:00PM0.86m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
13
12
14
14
12
14
14
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
14
13
14
13
12
14
Feels °C
11
11
12
12
11
12
11
10
11
10
8
11
9
9
11
11
11
11
9
9
12
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
0.9
WNW
8
1
WNW
8
0.6
W
12
1.3
WNW
7
1.3
WNW
8
0.7
SW
18
1.7
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
2
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
9
0.8
SW
16
2.1
WNW
9
1.6
WNW
9
Energy kJ
95
98
125
100
100
103
103
103
128
103
160
191
323
327
298
386
587
525
306
690
415
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
14
0.6
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.5
SW
18
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.4
SW
14
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
Energy kJ
166
166
102
140
103
197
152
150
211
161
388
196
74
375
444
268
314
196
196
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
W
15
0.2
SSW
21
0.3
SW
20
0.4
SW
19
0.4
SW
19
0.4
W
12
0.4
WNW
12
0.4
SW
13
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
21
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
19
0.1
S
8
0.5
SW
15
0.3
SW
13
Energy kJ
17
44
62
96
96
47
51
61
72
116
161
303
1
104
28
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
WNW
8
1.6
WNW
8
1.4
WNW
7
1.8
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
2.4
WNW
9
2.2
WNW
9
1.8
WNW
9
Energy kJ
100
302
214
444
306
864
749
525
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
3
3
1
2
3
2
3
3
2
3
2
Distance (km)
71
21
35
74
35
35
71
35
71
74
72
35
74
35
35
73
35
35
73
35
35
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo
Rating
(10 max)
2
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
2
4
3
3
4
3
3
4
3
3
4
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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