Mavericks Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.50° N 122.50° W

Issued: 10 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Mavericks sea temperature is
16.0° C

2.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Mavericks surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Mavericks surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, WNW swell with 702 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mavericks this week:

The surf forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Mavericks in the next 16 days are 2.1m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 11th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 11th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 9th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mavericks over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright, Rusty here. Let me have a look at what’s coming for our patch of coast.

Alright folks, let me level with you. I’m looking at Mavericks, a heavy, world-class reef break that demands respect. It’s an exposed spot that loves a solid WNW swell, but what I’m seeing on the charts for the next two and a half weeks is a pretty grim run, to be honest. The water temp is sitting at a very unusual 61°, which is a whopping 5° warmer than normal for this time of year – a real oddity, but it won't make up for the lack of quality surf.

We kick off on Monday morning, the 6th of July. There’s a tiny, long-period groundswell running (2 ft from the SW, 16 seconds), but it’s coming in with a cross-on breeze at 15 km/h. The combined wave energy is weak (356), and the conditions are poor. This is a complete no-go for a spot this demanding. There’s a stretch of nothing but poor or marginal conditions stretching from the 6th all the way through to the 22nd of July. That’s over two weeks of onshore winds, mostly cross-on, and a lot of short-period, weak WNW junk. For a spot that needs size and the right wind, this is a hard pass.

The only faint glimmer of potential I can see is around Wednesday morning, the 8th of July. The swell jumps a little, up to 3 ft, also from the SW with a 17-second period, and the combined energy pushes into a moderate range (1158). The problem? It’s still cross-on at 20 km/h. The forecast calls it “marginal,” and I’d agree – it’s not a day to paddle out at a spot this intense.

After that, the setup gets a bit bigger but stays ugly. By Thursday the 9th, we see a 6 ft to 6 ft swell from the WNW, but the period drops to a weak 9 seconds and the wind is a choppy cross-on at 20 km/h. The energy jumps to a strong 777, but with that short period and poor wind, it’s just a messy, closed-out lump. Not your day.

There is a brief window on Friday morning the 10th and Saturday morning the 11th where the wind goes ‘on’ (offshore) from the WSW or W at a light 10 km/h. The swell stays around 4 ft to 5 ft from the WNW, but the period is still a weak 8 seconds. The energy is moderate. While the wind direction is better, the short period makes for crumbly, weak waves at a break that demands power. It might be clean, but the actual wave quality on offer is still poor.

The rest of the run, from the 12th through to the 21st of July, is more of the same: moderate WNW swell, but always with a cross-on breeze (WNW or NW at 15 to 25 km/h) and short 8 to 9 second periods. The energy values are in the moderate to strong range, but with that persistent onshore wind, the surface will be choppy and the waves ugly.

Given this persistent onshore wind, small swell, and poor wave quality for a heavy, exposed reef, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the entire outlook period. There are no standouts. It’s a blank run, plain and simple.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
19
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
0.9
SW
16
2
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
1.9
WNW
9
2
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.8
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
211
161
388
303
323
375
444
386
550
463
548
616
443
423
422
212
278
344
306
344
422
Wind (km/h)
15
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
20
WNW
25
WNW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
NW
20
NW
20
WNW
20
NW
15
WNW
10
WSW
20
WNW
10
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
W
10
WNW
20
NW
15
NW
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
4:16PM1.56m
4:09AM1.09m
4:54PM1.64m
5:43AM0.99m
5:36PM1.74m
7:28AM0.99m
6:24PM1.83m
8:55AM1.08m
7:16PM1.92m
10:01AM1.19m
8:10PM2.00m
10:53AM1.30m
9:06PM2.06m
Low Tide
9:23AM0.21m
10:44PM0.58m
10:07AM0.39m
11:51PM0.38m
10:57AM0.58m
00:55AM0.16m
11:56AM0.74m
1:54AM-0.05m
1:00PM0.86m
2:49AM-0.25m
2:05PM0.92m
3:42AM-0.40m
3:06PM0.93m
4:32AM-0.49m
part cloud
clear
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part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
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part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
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part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
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part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:34
8:34
8:32
8:32
8:32
8:31
8:31
 mm
Temp °C
14
14
13
13
14
12
13
14
12
14
14
12
14
15
13
15
15
13
16
15
13
Feels °C
12
12
10
10
11
8
10
11
8
11
11
9
12
13
11
14
13
12
15
12
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
0.6
W
12
1
WNW
7
1.1
WNW
7
0.7
SW
18
0.8
SW
18
1.5
WNW
8
0.9
SW
16
2
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
9
0.8
SW
16
2
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
9
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.3
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
0.6
SSW
14
1.8
WNW
8
Energy kJ
73
103
91
120
323
375
291
386
550
463
306
616
443
329
422
212
196
344
306
138
422
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.6
SW
16
0.5
W
11
0.5
SW
15
0.9
SW
18
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.1
W
18
0.6
SSW
14
Energy kJ
211
161
388
196
57
104
444
268
314
196
196
183
171
171
144
150
136
6
136
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
W
12
0.4
SW
21
0.5
WNW
11
0.6
SW
19
0.4
SW
14
0.2
SSW
11
0.3
SW
13
0.2
SSW
18
0.1
W
18
0.1
W
19
0.1
W
17
0.1
W
15
0.2
W
16
Energy kJ
72
116
74
303
74
12
28
31
6
7
6
4
20
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
WNW
8
1.2
WNW
7
1.6
WNW
7
1.8
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.9
WNW
9
1.7
WNW
8
1.5
WNW
8
1.7
WNW
8
Energy kJ
73
140
263
423
270
548
423
278
344
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
4
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
2
4
3
2
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
Distance (km)
419
74
63
74
74
72
35
73
35
35
74
63
35
74
35
35
74
0
35
73
35
Best forecast wave conditions in San Mateo
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
4
2
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
4
3
2
3
3
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
9
8
9
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
5
5
4
9
7
5
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Mavericks Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Mavericks provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mavericks can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mavericks surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mavericks) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mavericks may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Mavericks is 13 km (8 miles) from Pacifica. If you plan a vacation in San Mateo, look for hotels and other accommodation in Pacifica. Pacifica has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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