Mavericks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a pretty grim stretch ahead for Mavericks. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle. We're looking at a solid run of poor surf conditions, with a few days that are just barely marginal. The first decent swell that shows up isn't until the 29th of July, and even then the wind is going to mess it up.

The water is warm, at 62°F, and that's a full 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thick suit, but that's about the only good news.

Starting from today, the 24th of July, right through to the 28th, it's all small, weak, cross-onshore chop. Swell is tiny, around 2ft to 3ft from the SW, with a rubbish short period of 18-24 seconds, which is actually quite long period but with no energy behind it. The wind is a stiff NW breeze, making everything messy. The combined energy is moderate, but it's all wrong for this spot.

We finally get a pulse on the morning of the 29th of July. The swell jumps a bit to 6ft from the WNW, but look at that period – a shocking 8 seconds of wind-slop. The combined energy is strong (1121), but it's a lumpy, tight-period mess. The wind is still cross-onshore from the NW, so it's going to be a choppy, frustrating session. This is definitely not for beginners; 6ft is getting big and the conditions will be ugly.

The 30th of July morning sees a light W breeze, which is a slight improvement, but the swell is still that short-period 6ft from the WNW, and it's weak. The 31st is much the same, with a light W wind in the morning but the swell is dropping.

The 1st of August is the next little bump. Saturday morning, we get a 7ft WNW swell, but again, the period is a weak 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong (1183), but it's a steep, short, sectiony wave. The wind is light from the west early, so it might be the cleanest option of the whole period, but it's still marginal. Anything over 8ft is expert territory, and 7ft is pushing it for a beginner, especially with that short period.

After that, from the 2nd of August onward, the swell backs off a bit and the wind gets worse again. The energy drops right off. It's a long, drawn-out period of nothing to write home about. The last few days from the 5th to the 8th of August are just pathetic – tiny, weak, and messy.

Honestly, the only day that might be worth a look is the morning of the 1st of August. It's the cleanest window with the most size, but it's a long way off and the quality is still questionable. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most of these days.

That's the long and short of it. It's a tough outlook for a spot that needs so much to line up. Keep your eyes on the charts, but I wouldn't be holding my breath.

Rusty.

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