Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get stuck in. It’s Rusty here.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a real test of patience. There’s a lot of small, junky swell on the cards for Exiles, and for the most part, the wind isn’t doing us any favors. We’re looking at a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions, with only one morning that looks like it’s worth putting the board on the roof for.

The pattern starts off weak. From this Friday the 7th right through the weekend and into next week, we’ve got ankle-biters. The swell is hovering around 1ft to 2ft, and while the period is long – mostly 16 to 19 seconds – that energy just isn’t enough to do anything with. The name of the game for most of this period is cross-shore and cross-on winds, which is making things choppy and messy. Friday morning (the 7th) has a light cross breeze and a long-period 1ft SSW swell, but it’s just too small. The combined swell energy is weak, around 202, and the water temp is a balmy 72°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a proper anomaly, super unusual.

There are a few mornings that are clean, though. The mornings of Sunday the 9th, Monday the 10th, Tuesday the 11th, Wednesday the 12th, and Thursday the 13th all have light cross-offshore winds and clean conditions, but the swell just isn’t there. We’re looking at 1ft to 2ft, with that long period. The energy is weak to moderate, checking in between 137 and 241. You might catch a soft, clean little wave on a longboard, but it’s really just “surfable” and pretty ordinary. Not worth getting excited about.

Then we hit the second week, and the swell picks up a touch, but the wind turns against us again. The 15th and 16th of August see the swell nudge up to 2ft – 3ft, with the energy getting more moderate to strong, hitting 405 on the 15th. But the west winds are cross-on, and it’s chopped up. The one bright spot is the morning of Sunday the 16th. That’s the standout window. We’ve got a 3ft SSW groundswell with a 15-second period, the wind is light and cross-offshore, and the conditions are described as clean, with good surf conditions. That’s your window. It’s not big, but it’ll be the cleanest, most lined-up it’s likely to be. Get out there early.

After that, the 17th through the 22nd just gets messy again. The swell stays between 1ft and 2ft, but the west winds are mostly cross-on, and picking up in strength. The 17th afternoon has a fresh cross-onshore breeze at 19 mph, which will make it lumpy and clean it out for the kitesurfers more than anything.

So, there you have it. One decent morning in the middle of a pretty bleak fortnight. If you can, hold out for the early session on Sunday the 16th. The rest is either too small, too chopped, or both. Exiles is inconsistent and doesn’t break often, which adds to the frustration. Keep an eye on the charts, though – these runs don’t usually last forever.

Rusty.

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