Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks at Exiles are going to test your patience, that’s for sure. We’ve got a window that’s mostly small and messy, but there are a few moments where it all comes together, and those are the ones you need to circle.

First up, the water’s running warm—really warm. We’re talking 73°F and a solid 7°F above the long-term average for this time of year. That’s not just a little off, that’s a proper marine heatwave. You won’t need much rubber.

Right off the bat, the surf is weak. Thursday the 10th has a small pulse with a 2ft SW groundswell, period around 17 seconds, and light offshore SE winds in the morning. It’s a long-period swell, which at a point break like this can be pretty fun, but it’s small. The energy reading is moderate at 323, but it’s clean. That’s likely your first decent look, just don't expect much power.

Friday the 11th is a similar story, another small SW groundswell at 2ft with 16-second period and offshore SE wind in the morning. It’s clean and consistent but still knee to waist high, and because it’s a long-period swell, the sets might be a bit straighter and more walled-up. It’s not a day for a step-up, just a log or a fish and a lot of patience.

The weekend is a step down. Saturday morning, the swell drops to 2ft, and while the wind is offshore, it’s pretty weak, and the energy is weak too (208). Sunday is even smaller, down to 1ft. There’s a clean window there in the early morning, but it’s barely breaking. This is a good time to swap the board for a skimboard or go for a paddle.

We’ve got a real flat spell in the middle there. From Sunday the 13th through to Tuesday the 15th, there is very little on offer at all. Swell heights drop to 1ft, the energy tanks to around 99-124, and it’s really not worth getting wet. The winds are mostly offshore or light, but with nothing to push, it’s just flat and clean. That’s a few days of nothing.

Things start to look up mid-week. Wednesday the 16th has a tiny uptick to 2ft, and the wind goes glassy in the morning. It’s a long, 17-second period SSW swell, and the energy is moderate at 219. It’s small, but that glassy surface will make it look a lot better than it is. Still, it’s a groveler.

Now, the standout. If you can wait, Sunday the 20th is the one. Morning looks clean with a light cross-offshore S wind, and the swell is holding at 2ft but the energy is really starting to pump up, hitting 388. It’s still a long-period SSW swell, so the lines will be long and racy. It’s not big, but it will be organized and peaky on the point. That’s your pick of the bunch.

Monday the 21st is your second-best bet. That SSW swell pushes up to 3ft, and the energy jumps to 401. The wind is light offshore SE in the morning, so it should be clean and a bit more size to it. This is probably the biggest and most consistent-looking window in the whole outlook. If I’m picking, this is my second choice. It’s still not a big day, but it should have some proper shape.

After that, the energy drops off again and we slide back into the small and messy pattern with more onshore W winds for the last few days of the forecast. The surf drops back to 2ft and the conditions just don’t have that clarity.

Overall, it’s a lean stretch. The keys are to be patient, don’t be afraid to session the small clean days, and definitely don’t miss the 20th and 21st. There’s just not enough size for anyone but the most dedicated longboarders, and the break, an advanced point here, will be inconsistent. Keep the expectations low and the wax on.

Stay wet.

Rusty.

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