Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up at Exiles over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, things are pretty quiet. The first proper surf window doesn’t open until Monday the 20th of July, and even then it’s only just surfable. A small 2ft SSW swell at 15 seconds rolls in that morning, with a light cross-off breeze from the SSW at 6 mph keeping it clean. The combined energy is moderate at 201 – nothing to get excited about, but you’ll get a few little waves. Afternoon gets messy as the wind swings cross-onshore, so don’t bother.

The real standout arrives Tuesday the 21st of July. The swell picks up to 3ft from the SSW, with a lovely long 16-second period and a light cross-off breeze again. Clean, glassy lines, and the combined energy jumps to 484 – that’s a solid step up. This is the best session on offer, no question. Exiles is a point break with an optimum swell direction from the WNW, but the SSW groundswell still wraps in nicely here. The long period means proper shaping, though it can get a bit straight at times – still, for a point, it’s a treat. It’s advanced territory, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be patient, but when it sets, it’s worth it.

Wednesday the 22nd of July morning is another good one. Clean 3ft SSW swell at 14 seconds, cross-off wind, combined energy at 280 – smaller but still fun. Afternoons consistently get blown out by a cross-onshore W or WSW wind, so mornings are the go.

Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th stay small, with a little spike in energy on Friday morning (415) but the swell drops to 2ft, so it’s more about clean conditions than power. Saturday the 25th morning sees 2ft SSW swell with a 21-second period and combined energy of 646 – that’s a lot of energy for a small wave, meaning long, drawn-out lines. Light breeze, clean. Then Sunday the 26th through to Wednesday the 29th of July keep a steady 3ft swell, with periods around 17–19 seconds. Energy consistently sits between 450 and 645, and mornings are all clean with cross-off or offshore winds. That stretch from Saturday the 25th to Wednesday the 29th is a solid run of early sessions.

The best of the bunch? Tuesday the 21st morning for the quality jump, and then Saturday the 27th and Monday the 27th mornings also stand out with strong combined energy (614–645) and clean conditions. You’ll want to be there early before the wind turns.

Water temperature is about average for this time of year – nothing unusual.

After the 29th, the swell starts to fade. Thursday the 30th of July morning is glassy but only 3ft and energy drops to 265 – still surfable but ordinary. From Friday the 31st of July through to Monday the 3rd of August, it’s mostly poor with small swell under 2ft and weak energy well below 200. There’s a brief flicker on Saturday the 1st of August morning with 3ft SSW swell and combined energy 380, but it’s cross-off and clean – worth a paddle if you’re keen. After that, it’s a slow fade into the first week of August.

Overall, Tuesday the 21st morning is the standout – that’s the one to aim for. The rest of the week offers consistent morning windows, but nothing beats that first clean pulse. Exiles is a point break that doesn’t break often, so when it does, make the most of it.

Rusty.

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