Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. Looking at the charts for the next couple of weeks, it’s a pretty flat and quiet stretch for our stretch of coast. We’ve got a lot of small, weak swell and not much push behind it. The good news is the mornings are looking cleaner, but the surf itself is just not there for a proper session. We’re in for a long wait, so don’t get your hopes up for any hero waves just yet.

The first few days are a total write-off. Tuesday and Wednesday are looking at a tiny 1ft southwest swell with a long 15-second period, but the energy is weak (105 and 94). The morning breezes are light and clean, but there’s just nothing to ride. Thursday is more of the same, still 1ft and weak (107). It’s flat, plain and simple.

We finally see a bit of a pulse on Friday the 7th. The swell bumps up slightly to 1ft, but the period jumps to 19 seconds. That long-period groundswell will make it a bit more lined up, and the energy is picking up to a moderate 234. The morning wind is light offshore from the S, which will keep the surface clean. It’s still small, but it’s the first time it looks like you might actually catch a couple of grovelly ones. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th keep that small 2ft southwest swell going, with the energy remaining moderate (211 and 148). The mornings are your best bet with light offshore winds again.

The following week is a bit of a broken record. Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 12th, we’re still stuck at 1ft to 2ft. The period backs off a bit, and the energy, while moderate, is inconsistent. Mornings are still clean, but the waves are just not offering much. Thursday the 13th is a bit of a letdown with similar small conditions.

Now, if you’re looking for the best of a bad bunch, your window is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. On Friday morning, we see the swell hold at 1ft but with that nice 19-second period again, and the energy jumps to 252, the strongest we’ve seen. The light SSW wind keeps it clean. But the standout is Saturday the 15th morning. We get a slight bump to 3ft of southwest swell, and the energy is solidly moderate at 349. It’s still not big, but it’s the biggest and most powerful swell of the whole period. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’ll be a little lumpy, but it’s the best chance for a fun, albeit small, session. The period is 16 seconds, which is good, but for a beach break, that long period might make it close out a bit. Exiles is a point, though, so that long-period swell will actually wrap in better here.

After that, the surf fades back down again. Sunday the 16th through to the 19th, we’re back to 1ft to 2ft with weak to moderate energy. The winds get a bit more cross-on and stronger in the afternoons, making things choppy. It’s a definite downslide.

So there you have it. A long, flat stretch with one small window of hope around Saturday the 15th. It’s nothing to get too excited about, but it’s something. The water is running a remarkable 73° and about 7° warmer than normal for this time of year, which is pretty wild. Get out there if you're desperate, but keep your expectations low.

Rusty out.

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