Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Exiles.

First up, we're looking at a point break that takes a bit to get to know— it's advanced, inconsistent, and picks up plenty of WNW swell. Look at the clock on that water temp: it's sitting at 74°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's not just a little warm, that's freakishly warm, so you'll be comfy in a spring suit at most.

The combined swell energy kicks off at a moderate 230, and the period is a proper groundswell at 17 seconds with the swell coming from the SSW. That long period means longer waits between sets, but when they come, there's some push. The set up here is a point, so you won't get the close-outs. You'll get a nice wall.

Friday the 28th of August is the first we've got on offer, and it's a bit of a letdown to be honest. The morning sees a 2ft SSW swell with that 17-second period and a cross-off breeze. The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions"—I know the feeling. The wind is light, but the overall vibe isn't doing it for me. The afternoon goes from bad to worse with a cross breeze and dropping waves.

Saturday the 29th is tricky. The morning has a touch more size, about 3ft, but the wind is a light cross, and the energy jumps up to 511—moderate to strong. The comment calls it "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." The afternoon gets chopped up by a cross-on breeze. Not a full day you'd drive for.

Here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday morning the 30th of August is the standout window in this whole run. We've got a 3ft SSW swell, period dropping to 15 seconds (still good), and the wind is S at 3 mph, which is cross-off. The combined energy is a solid 392. The official word is "expect good surf conditions." Yes, please. This is the cleanest window you'll see all forecast period. Get on it early before the afternoon cross-on wind kills the party.

Monday morning the 31st offers clean 2ft surf, but the energy drops to 167, so it's weaker. Back to "surfable but ordinary."

Tuesday September 1st onwards gets ugly. The wind goes onshore or cross-onshore for days, the swell tries to hang around but the chop just messes everything up. We get a few morning windows with cross-off winds (like Thursday Sept 3rd morning, with a 2ft 15-second SSW swell and clean conditions, 222 energy), but it's barely a blip. Still, a glassy window is a glassy window.

Friday September 4th morning deserves a mention: we see a shift to SE wind at 6 mph, which is *offshore* for Exiles. That's the direction you want. The swell is about 3ft from the SSW at 17 seconds and the energy is 424. "Expect good surf conditions" it says. This could be the second-best call of the whole forecast, but it's further out so treat it with some caution.

Then the whole second week (Sept 5th to 12th) just melts into a messy, onshore wind pattern. Some mornings might be light cross, but the afternoons are consistently ruined. Monday September 7th morning is worth a whisper—glass conditions, but with only 3ft and 215 energy, it's just a skin-smooth clean-up session, not a standout.

If I'm being honest, your best bet is Sunday morning, the 30th of August for the cleanest combo of decent size and light cross-off wind, with Friday morning the 4th of September being a promising long-range backup if that offshore wind pattern holds. The rest is a whole lot of "maybe next time."

Stay salty,
Rusty.

Read more