Exiles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s brewing for Exiles.

It’s going to be a quiet start, so don't rush. The first real chance for a wave doesn’t arrive until Friday morning, the 24th of July. The overall pattern is small, with a few windows of clean conditions that’ll make the most of what little energy we’ve got.

The standout period is the end of July, from Friday the 24th through to Wednesday the 29th. Friday morning is the first real call. We’re looking at a 2ft SSW swell, with a period of 24 seconds – that’s long-period groundswell, which will wrap nicely into this point break. The wind is a gentle offshore from the SSE, so expect clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is moderate at 411. The water is a balmy 72°, which is a massive 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – so you’ll be comfortable in a shorty or even a spring suit.

The real gem, and the best on offer, looks to be Sunday the 26th of July. The morning session has a 3ft SSW swell, still that nice long-period energy (19 seconds), and the wind is offshore again from the SSE. The combined energy is moderate at 548. It’ll be clean, with some push. That afternoon and into Monday the 27th, the wind stays light and cross-offshore, keeping things tidy. The 3-3ft swell holds through Tuesday morning, the 28th, with clean conditions.

Now, keep in mind Exiles is an advanced, inconsistent spot that only breaks on the right swell. The swell direction is SSW, which is not quite the optimum WNW direction, so it’ll be a bit smaller and more selective here. The crowds are listed as "sometimes", so you might get a few others out, but it won’t be a zoo.

After Wednesday the 29th, the energy drops off a cliff. The combined energy values fall into the weak range (below 100) for several days, and the swell becomes tiny. From August 1st onwards, it’s pretty much a write-off for any decent surf. The conditions might look clean now and then, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. There’s a brief uptick on the afternoon of August 2nd, with a 3ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 10 seconds – that’s short-period windswell, and with a cross-offshore wind, it’ll be weak and messy.

So in short: don’t bother until Friday the 24th. The best window is Sunday the 26th through Tuesday the 28th of July – clean, small, but fun on the long period. After that, it’s a long, flat gap until the end of the forecast.

Rusty.

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