Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s be straight with you. This 16-day forecast is a tough one for Deadman's. This is a spot that doesn't break all that often, and looking at the next couple of weeks, it's not looking like it's going to be firing.

First thing you'll notice is the water. It's sitting at 71°F, which is a solid 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That's a big anomaly, so the water's going to feel mighty nice even if the waves aren't cooperating. That might be the only highlight for a while.

We kick off on Friday, July 31st. It's small, with a 2ft SSW swell at 15 seconds. The long period is there, but there's no size. The morning has a light cross breeze messing with the surface, but the afternoon cleans up with a WNW cross-off. Still, it's one to skip.

The weekend brings Saturday, August 1st. The morning is blown out with onshore junk. The afternoon is cleaner with 2ft SSW at 13 seconds, but it's just ordinary. Sunday, August 2nd drops off a cliff. We're down to 1ft. The afternoon has clean conditions with a WNW breeze, but you'll be searching for anything rideable.

The whole first week and into the second is a grind. Mornings are trashed by cross-onshore winds, and the afternoons, while clean, offer nothing but tiny, weak swells. The energy drops to as low as 75 on Monday, August 3rd. That's about as weak as it gets. This is a real lull.

There's a flicker of life on Friday, August 7th. A long-period SSW swell at 19 seconds shows up, but it's only 2ft. Big period, no power. The afternoon is marginal with a light cross breeze. You might snag a few clean, slow rollers, but it's a long paddle for not much.

We stay in that 1ft to 2ft range for days. Everything is running 13 to 16 seconds, which is okay, but there's just no punch behind it. A frustrating pattern of small, clean afternoons ruined by the lack of swell.

The energy starts to build a little more toward mid-month. Thursday, August 13th, the afternoon clean-up with a WNW cross-off looks like the best of a bad bunch with 2ft SW at 16 seconds. Then on Friday, August 14th, we see a slight bump. The morning has a 2ft SSW at 19 seconds, and the afternoon improves to be clean with 2ft SSW at 18 seconds. The energy readings climb to 411 and 447, the most we've seen. There could be a couple of fun, lined-up waves at Deadman's, but I wouldn't call it a standout.

The final morning on Saturday, August 15th, sees the biggest reading of the whole run, 3ft SSW at 16 seconds and a combined energy of 499. But the morning is blown out with cross-onshore wind. The afternoon cleans up, dropping to 3ft with a WNW offshore. It's promising, but still not a great score. It's the best of the period, but that's not saying much.

The long-period swell is a caveat here anyway. This is a point break, and while long-period groundswell is usually good, at these tiny sizes, it can just make things a bit too slow and straight.

Honestly, if the swell stays this small and the wind is how it is, this setup might look more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There are no true standouts in this forecast period. It's a lot of waiting for nothing.

Stay patient. Forecasts can change, and with a spot like this that's rarely consistent, a good swell can appear out of nowhere.

Rusty.

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