Tracks (Nanakuli) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead for Tracks (Nanakuli). 16 days on the books, and it’s a slow burner. The first few days are pretty marginal, but there’s a real sweet spot shaping up in the middle of the run if you’re patient.

The overall pattern is small, backed-off southwest swell with a lot of ENE trade wind influence. The water temp is running about average for the time of year, nothing crazy there.

Right off the bat, Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are a write-off. Tiny swell, bumpy cross-off wind, and the energy is just not there. You’re better off doing something else.

Things start to nudge into the “worth a look” zone on Monday the 13th afternoon. We’ve got a 3 ft SW groundswell, with a period of 15 seconds, and the wind swings offshore. That’s a long period, so expect some nice lines but longer waits between sets. Combined energy is moderate (368) – it’ll be clean, but it’s not big.

The real standout hits on Tuesday the 14th afternoon. The swell bumps up slightly to 2 ft, but the direction swings to the west – which is the optimum for this spot – and the energy jumps to a solid 582. The wind is offshore, and it’s a moderate breeze. That’s the best combination of size, direction, and wind in the whole outlook. The wave energy is strong (582), and the conditions are clean. This is the one to circle.

Wednesday the 15th keeps the momentum going with similar 3 ft west swell, but the wind goes cross-off. Still clean, but not as good as Tuesday arvo. The energy is still moderate (453-498).

From Thursday the 16th through to the 20th, we see a downward slide. Swell drops, wind picks up, and the scores drop off. Thursday the 23rd brings a spike in energy with a 2 ft, 20-second SSW groundswell (420), but it’s a very long period for a beach and reef setup. That kind of period can make the waves break straight at the beach, though it might line up better on the reef.

The biggest long-range hope is Friday the 24th morning. Another 3 ft SSW groundswell, 18 seconds, combined energy of 482, and offshore wind. That’s a promising setup, but we’re a week and a half out, so keep it on the radar but don’t bank on it.

And finally, Sunday the 26th morning. The winds go glassy, with a 3 ft SSW swell at 14 seconds. This is the ultimate clean, small-day session. The energy is moderate (337), and with glassy conditions, it’ll be as smooth as it gets. If you want a long, slow, peaceful morning, that’s your ticket.

Bottom line: The best day on offer is Tuesday the 14th afternoon. West swell, offshore wind, and the most energy of the run. Next best is Friday the 24th morning, but it’s a long way out. The glassy Sunday the 26th is a solid consolation prize for the patient.

Rusty.

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