Waimea Bay/Pinballs Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on the cards for the North Shore over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’m looking at this and it’s a pretty quiet stretch overall. We’ve got a long gap of flatness or tiny, weak conditions right through until the end of July. The first sign of anything with a bit of size doesn’t show up until the very end of the forecast window. It’s a waiting game.

The standout window, and really the only one worth getting excited about, is August 6th, Thursday morning, at Waimea Bay/Pinballs. We’re looking at a solid 5 ft swell coming from the NE, with a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 483, which is decent, but that short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy and fat. The wind is a cross-off from the east at 9 mph, which is a gentle breeze, leaving the surface clean. This is a spot for the advanced crew for sure – it’s a consistent reef break, but it’s an exposed spot, so that 5 ft will be packing a punch. It’s not a beginner wave at that size. Expect some crowds though, as it’s a famous spot.

Before that, we’ve got a real desert. From July 23rd right through to the end of the month, the waves are tiny, often flat, and the wind is a fresh cross-off breeze. The water temp is a warm 79°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least the water’s nice for a swim.

There’s a little blip on July 27th Monday morning with a 5 ft NE swell, but the energy is only moderate at 261, and the period is a short 7 seconds. The wind is a moderate cross-off, so it’s clean, but that short period with that size just means a messy, close-out shorebreak. It’s not going to be pretty.

After that, the swell drops right back to tiny, mushy leftovers until the 6th of August. So, the takeaway is: if you’re a patient, experienced surfer, the morning of August 6th at Waimea Bay is your best bet. Everything else is a flat spell or a write-off.

Rusty.

Read more