Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight-up: the next few days are pretty grim. We’ve got a long stretch of poor to marginal surf with light onshore or cross-onshore breezes, and the swell is tiny and weak for this exposed point. Honestly, Friday morning (July 3rd) kicks off with a weak 2ft SSW groundswell at 15 seconds, but it’s cross-on, the combined energy is weak (298), and the water temp anomaly is 2° warmer than normal – that’s notably warm for the time of year. But the surf quality is poor. The best of the whole period is shaping up for Friday morning July 10th, where we see a 6ft NW swell with a short, chunky 8-second period. The wind is light and offshore (WSW), the combined energy hits a moderate 1206, and the scores are decent. This is about as good as it gets – but with that short period, it’ll be a bit crumbly. It’s great for an expert, but too big for beginners. The only other half-decent window is Thursday afternoon July 9th: 6ft WNW swell, period 8 seconds, combined energy 800 (moderate), with a light cross-onshore breeze that’ll keep it just about rideable. The forecast confidence is reasonable this close in.

The rest of the first week into the second week is marginal junk. Many mornings grind through 2ft to 4ft SSW swell with period between 14 and 19 seconds – the long period means the waves are clean and lined up, but the size is tiny and the wind is usually on or cross-on, so the surface is bumpy. The combined energy dips weak to moderate, and the quality ratings stay at one or zero. There’s a big gap from July 12th onward: almost daily marginal calls with weak 416 to 595 combined energy and cross-on winds. The swell direction starts swinging around to WNW and then W by July 16th, but the period drops to 7–8 seconds, which is too short.

For the standout, I’m leaning towards Friday morning, July 10th. That 6ft NW swell with offshore 10 km/h WSW wind and moderate energy (1206) is the only time we’ll get proper waves. The optimum swell direction for this spot is WNW, so NW is a touch off, but close enough. It’s a point break, fairly consistent, but it’s an advanced wave. Keep in mind, that long stretch of poor to marginal conditions – from now right through to Thursday July 9th and then again after the 10th – means you’ve got a real lull on your hands.

The water is running about 2° warmer than usual for July – that’s notable, and it’ll feel nice out there. Just not much to ride for now.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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