Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for this spot.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is 4°F warmer than average for this time of year. That’s pretty notable – feels like a little bathtub compared to what you’d normally expect.

Honestly, we’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty grim. Monday the 13th kicks off with a weak 2ft swell from the SSW and a light cross-on wind that’s just making a mess of things. Not worth paddling out for.

Tuesday morning the 14th is flat and poor, but by Tuesday afternoon, the wind goes glassy – flat calm – and we get a tiny 4ft NW swell creeping in, but the period is only 8 seconds, so it’s weak and short. You could get a dribbler, but don’t expect much.

Wednesday and Thursday the 15th and 16th stay disappointing. Swell picks up to 5ft from the WNW, but the wind is cross-on or onshore, and the period stays short. The energy climbs a bit – moderate at 420 to 535 – but the quality just isn’t there. These beachy conditions would look better for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

Now Friday the 17th morning shows some promise. We’ve got 6ft from the WNW, period still short at 8 seconds, but the wind is light and onshore. The energy is up at 841 – moderate. It’s still marginal, but there’s a chance if you pick your bank.

Saturday the 18th brings a serious shift. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Energy is strong at 646. The wind is light and onshore. This kind of long-period swell will be too straight for the beach, but if you’ve got a point or a reef around, it could be the standout. Keep an eye on Sunday the 19th too – similar 2ft to 3ft SSW groundswell, long period, and light offshore winds. That combo, for this break, is the best on offer.

After that, we drop into a long, quiet patch. From Monday the 20th right through to Thursday the 24th morning, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy. Swells under 3ft, mostly onshore winds, and energy levels dropping into the low hundreds. A few glassy moments on Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th morning, but the swell is tiny (2ft-3ft) and short period. Not enough to get excited about.

Then Friday the 24th afternoon throws a curveball – a tiny 1ft swell but with a 24-second period. The energy is moderate at 404, but that’s a crazy long period for such a small wave. Only for the most patient surfer on a point.

The end of the run, July 27th Monday morning and July 28th Tuesday morning, brings the biggest swell of the outlook: 7ft to 7ft from the NW, with periods around 9 seconds. Wave energy is very strong (1607 and 1581). But the wind is onshore or cross-on, and these are expert-only waves if they break like that. It’s a long-range call – promising but far out and uncertain.

For my money, the real standout is Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th: small but long-period SSW groundswell with clean offshore or light wind. That’s the one to watch.

Stay keen.
Rusty.

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