Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about this stretch. I’m not gonna lie to you – the next few days are pretty grim. We’ve got swell coming in, but the wind is all over the place and the quality just isn’t there. You’ll have to be patient, but there are a couple of windows that could make it worth paddling out.

Right now, Wednesday the 15th, it’s small and messy. We’ve got a 4ft swell out of the WNW with a short 8-second period, and the combined energy is weak at 321. Water temp is sitting at 61°F, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – that’s quite a jump. But honestly, the surf conditions are poor. Light breeze but not doing us any favours.

Thursday the 16th sees the swell bump up a touch to 5ft-6ft, still that short-period WNW, but the wind stays cross-onshore and it gets choppy in the afternoon. The energy picks up into the moderate range (599-643), but it’s still not clean. Friday the 17th is similar – 6ft in the morning, dropping off, but the wind is onshore and the surf is rated poor. Not worth a paddle.

Then we hit a lull. From Saturday the 18th right through to Wednesday the 23rd, the swell drops right off. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft most days, mostly out of the SW or SSW, with periods climbing into the 15-17 second range. That’s proper groundswell, but there’s just not enough height. The energy sits between 300 and 660, so weak to moderate, but the wave comment is consistently “poor surf conditions.” There’s a brief moment on Tuesday the 21st afternoon when the wind goes glassy – that’s a tease. 3ft SSW at 15 seconds, glassy conditions, and a decent energy reading of 402. That’s the first real standout. If you can get out then, you might find a clean little wave, but it’s small.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions until Friday the 24th. Then things get interesting. Friday the 24th morning, we’ve got 2ft SSW swell but with a *very long* 24-second period. The energy jumps to 713. That’s a lot of push for such a small wave. It’s marginal, but if you know a reef or point that picks up that kind of energy, it could be worth a look.

Saturday the 25th keeps that long-period energy going – 3ft at 21 seconds, energy hitting 828. Again, small but powerful. The wind is light and onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s a step in the right direction.

Sunday the 26th to Monday the 27th – still that SSW groundswell, periods dropping from 20 to 18 seconds, energy in the 580-685 range. Still marginal, but you can see the pattern: the swell is trying to build. Tuesday the 28th afternoon has 4ft SSW at 17 seconds, energy of 807, with a light cross-onshore breeze. Not glassy, but workable.

Wednesday the 29th holds onto 3ft SSW at 16 seconds, energy around 585-623. Then by Thursday the 30th, we’re back down to 3ft at 15 seconds, energy dropping to 448-518. The window is closing.

The standout? That Tuesday the 21st afternoon – glassy conditions and a real groundswell pulse. Small, but if you’re selective, you could get a few clean ones. The other one is the whole period from Friday the 24th through Tuesday the 28th – not perfect, but consistent long-period SSW energy that’s building. If you’ve got a spot that loves that direction and period, it’s your best bet.

Overall, it’s a slow start, a flat middle, and a promising but not spectacular end. Keep an eye on the wind forecasts – if that glassy window on the 21st holds, that’s your moment.

Rusty.

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