Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for this spot. It’s a bit of a slow burn, to be honest. The first week or so is pretty marginal, with a lot of "iffy" conditions and only a couple of windows where things line up. The real standout looks to be in the second week, so patience is the name of the game.

We’re looking at a point break that’s sheltered and needs a WNW swell to get going. It’s an advanced wave, so this isn’t a beginner’s playground. The water temp is sitting at 61°F, which is a good 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a big anomaly, so you can leave the thickest rubber at home.

The first real chance to wet a line kicks off Thursday afternoon, the 9th of July. We’ve got a 3ft, 16-second SSW groundswell with a light W breeze. The energy is weak (combined energy of 718), and the tide or something else is making it look questionable. It’s surfable, but don’t expect fireworks.

Friday morning, the 10th, picks up a bit. A 6ft, 9-second WNW swell rolls in with a light W wind. The combined energy jumps to 1121, so there’s some moderate power there. The morning looks the better call, as the afternoon swings to a cross-on wind, making it a poor session. Saturday the 11th is tricky – a 5ft NW swell in the morning and a tiny 3ft SSW swell in the afternoon, both with light winds, but the scores are low. Sunday through Tuesday (12th to 14th) is a mixed bag of 4ft to 6ft WNW swells, mostly with light offshore winds, but the conditions are called "marginal" or "poor" until Tuesday afternoon. On Tuesday afternoon, the 14th, we get a glassy, 5ft WNW swell. That’s a clean window, but it’s only 5ft and the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s not going to be world-class.

Then we hit the real highlight. Wednesday afternoon, the 15th of July. The swell bumps up to 6ft from the WNW, with a 9-second period, and the wind goes glassy again. The combined energy is 656, and the forecast is for "good surf conditions." This is the best on offer in the first week. Thursday, the 16th, sees a 7ft WNW swell but with a light WSW wind, and the energy rockets to 1261. That’s strong, but the conditions are still called "marginal." For experts, that afternoon could be a beast, but the wind is a bit iffy.

After that, it drops off hard. From Friday the 17th through to Wednesday the 23rd, we’re looking at tiny, long-period SW groundswells, mostly 2ft to 3ft, with periods of 15 to 18 seconds. The energy is weak (411 to 551). These long-period swells are great for shape, but at this size, it’s barely a ripple. The winds are light, but the cross-on setups on the afternoons kill the quality. There’s a solid gap of several days here with no real recommendations.

The final glimmer shows up Thursday the 23rd afternoon with a 5ft WNW swell, and then Friday morning the 24th of July we get a proper pulse: a 6ft, 9-second NW swell with a light WSW wind and a combined energy of 1154. That’s a standout in the second week. It’s a solid, powerful wave for the advanced crew, but it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not set in stone. The 5ft to 6ft range is doable for strong intermediates, but anything over 8ft is for experts only, and we don’t quite hit that.

Bottom line: Wednesday the 15th afternoon is your best bet early on for clean, glassy head-high waves. The Friday morning of the 24th is the big highlight in the second week, but check back closer to the time. Crowds are often a thing here, so expect company if it’s good.

Rusty.

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