Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this stretch isn’t exactly firing. The whole 16-day window is full of marginal surf and dodgy conditions, and the models are showing a lot of “questionable tide” warnings. The first real surf worth paddling out for doesn’t even show up until Friday the 10th, and even then, it’s not a classic.

The standout window is actually on Thursday the 16th. There’s a solid pulse of swell – 7 ft from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a chunky 1466 (moderate to strong). That’s the biggest energy reading of the whole run. The wind is light and offshore (W at 6 mph), which should keep things reasonably clean, though it’s a bit cross-on in the afternoon. This is a point break (Indicators), so that NW groundswell will wrap in nicely. It’s a spot for advanced surfers only, and it’s fairly consistent but sheltered from the swell, so don’t expect barrels. The water temperature is 60° – that’s 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s noticeably warmer than average.

Before that, there’s a bit of a dry spell. Friday the 10th morning has a 7 ft NW swell, but the wind is offshore and light, and the energy is 1436 (moderate to strong). The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s touch and go. Saturday the 11th has a tiny 5 ft NW swell in the morning, but it drops off fast. The rest of the first week is mostly weak, with heights under 4 ft and poor scores.

After the 16th, it drops away again. The second week has a few pulses of longer-period swell – 17 seconds on the 17th and 18th – but the heights are tiny (2 ft to 3 ft), and the wind is mostly cross-on. Those long-period swells at a beach break tend to break too straight, so it’s not ideal. The 24th and 25th of July have a couple of 6 ft WNW swells, but the scores are still only marginal.

Overall, this is a tough outlook. If you’re an expert, the Thursday morning of the 16th at Indicators is your best bet – just keep an eye on the tide. For everyone else, there’s not much to get excited about. The water is warm, but the waves are mostly a letdown. Rusty out.

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