Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and look at what we’ve got for the next couple of weeks. The ocean’s been a bit moody, but there are a few windows where it’ll all line up, and we need to be ready to move when it does.

First thing Friday morning is your best bet to get wet. We’ve got clean, glassy conditions with a light SSW breeze, and the swell is a steady 3.3ft from the SSW at 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, the kind that wraps in with some push. The water temp is 60.3°, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit, but a hood won’t hurt. It’s a classic start to the day, the kind where it feels like the ocean is on your side.

After that, things get messy. Friday arvo the wind swings around WNW at 12 mph, making it choppy and cross-onshore. That wipes out the morning’s promise. Saturday and Sunday mornings have some swell, 3.6ft from the SSW, but the winds are light onshore and the conditions are questionable. Not worth paddling out for a fight; you’ll spend more time trying to get a clean face than actually surfing.

Monday looks like a write-off. The swell drops right away to 2.6ft from the WNW with a short, weak 7-second period. That’s not surf, that’s a ripple. Tuesday is even worse, with 1.3ft. We’re in a flat spell here, so if you’re jonesing, this stretch is going to test your patience.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Next Wednesday morning, the 9th, things switch back on. We’ve got cloudy skies, a clean offshore breeze from the ENE at 6 mph, and the swell jumps back up to 4.3ft from the SSW at 12 seconds. That offshore wind is the key—it’ll hold the faces open and make the conditions genuinely good. This is the standout of the first week, no question.

Thursday the 10th morning also looks solid. Glassy conditions with a 3ft SSW swell at 17 seconds. It’s a touch smaller but that long period means it’ll have more push and shape. Another good one.

After that, the week fades out again. Friday the 11th morning has a small 2.6ft SSW swell with glass, but the energy is lower. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The weekend after that gets ordinary, with weak swell and onshore winds. Monday the 14th we see a size bump to 5.2ft from the NW, but the period is a short 7-8 seconds and the winds are onshore. That’s a messy, crumbly mess—more of a close-out shorey than anything else. For the average punter, it’s going to be a battle. Given the size and the conditions, this might be more interesting for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers.

The second week is looking less certain. There’s a small swell on Wednesday the 16th and again on Friday the 18th, but nothing with any real energy or period behind it. The best of the second week is probably Thursday the 17th afternoon, with 3.9ft from the NW at 10 seconds, but the winds are still a bit onshore. It’s promising, but don’t book a road trip around it.

So, for the standout days, it’s all about next Wednesday morning and Thursday morning. The combination of clean wind, solid groundswell, and moderate energy makes them the best of the run. The rest is a waiting game, but that’s the nature of the place. It tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can shift. Keep your board ready.

Catch you in the water.

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