Indicators Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the next couple of weeks are holding for us. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a couple of windows worth paddling out for.

We start off with a drawn-out, frustrating stretch. From Saturday the 25th of July right through to the end of the month, the swell is there but it’s just not cooperating. The energy is moderate to strong, with combined energy readings bouncing between 679 and 1356, but the winds are a letdown. Mornings look clean with light offshore breezes, but the afternoons get chopped up by cross-onshore winds, and the whole period is marred by marginal tide issues or poor surf conditions. The standout problem is that the swell direction is mostly SSW, which is the opposite of what this spot wants. It’s a sheltered point break that needs a WNW swell to really shine, so it’s no surprise these waves are messy and unrideable. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a bit of extra comfort but not enough to save the surf.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday the 30th of July. Thursday morning the 30th sees a shift: a 6 ft NW swell rolls in, but with a short period of just 8 seconds. That’s windswell, not groundswell, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and lack the punch of a proper long-period set. The wind is light offshore from the WSW, which is a bonus, but the overall quality is still only marginal. The combined energy is strong at 1204, but short-period swell on a sheltered point isn’t going to produce the clean lines we’re after. Still, the size is there for the experienced crew. For experts only, the 6 ft is a bit too much for beginners. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 5 ft and the energy falls off a cliff to 431. It’s just not worth it.

After that, we hit a real dead zone. From Friday the 31st of July, things go flat and stay that way for a long stretch. The swell drops to 2 ft, the winds are light but cross-onshore, and the scores are all zeros. This gap lasts well into the first week of August. There’s a tiny, fleeting moment on Saturday the 1st of August morning when the wind goes glassy and a 4 ft WNW swell shows up, but the period is only 8 seconds and the combined energy is a weak 208. It’s described as “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” – you’d be better off waiting.

Sunday the 2nd of August brings a bit more size: 6 ft WNW swell, period up to 9 seconds, and moderate energy at 530. But again, the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s choppy. This is a beach-and-reef setup, and with that wind and swell, honestly, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew. The same pattern holds for Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th: 5 ft to 4 ft WNW swell, but the conditions are poor.

The outlook fades out completely from Wednesday the 5th of August onward. Tiny swells of 1.0 ft to 2 ft, cross-onshore winds, and nothing but poor surf conditions. There’s a glassy moment on Saturday the 8th of August afternoon, but with a 1 ft SSW swell, it’s not even worth a longboard.

So, the honest truth? There are no clear standouts in this 16-day window. The best bet is that Thursday morning the 30th of July, but even that is a gamble with the short period and marginal quality. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might get a couple of so-so waves on the glassy morning of the 1st of August, but don’t expect much. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a rough run. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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