Breaker Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.83° E

Breaker Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 02 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Breaker Bay sea temperature is
12.7°C
0.3° 

Breaker Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Breaker Bay surf forecast from 2 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 5 Oct, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 8 Oct, 7PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,052 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 3 Oct, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 15s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Breaker Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Breaker Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 03) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Breaker Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Oct 08) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 07) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 3rd Oct)1.5ft (0.5m) 15s
Best Surf10AM (Mon 5th Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 11s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 8th Oct)16ft (5.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Breaker Bay over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Fri afternoon, calm by Mon morning).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Tue night).

Fri
2
Saturday
3
Sunday
4
Monday
5
Tuesday
6
Wednesday
7
Thursday
8
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SSW
15
0.5
SSW
14
0.5
S
15
0.6
SSW
13
1.6
SSW
15
1.7
S
13
1.6
S
11
1.5
S
10
1.4
S
11
1.2
SSE
10
0.9
SSE
9
0.6
S
9
0.5
S
9
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
7
4.5
SSW
9
4
S
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
126
115
109
141
1007
941
621
461
441
294
147
59
40
25
26
50
46
619
3562
2746
Wind (km/h)
45
N
15
NE
30
SSE
25
SSE
30
SSE
15
SE
20
SSE
15
NE
5
ENE
5
W
20
N
35
N
40
NNW
40
NNW
40
NNW
35
NNW
10
NNW
40
S
30
SSE
20
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
High Tide
10:42PM1.65m
10:59AM1.77m
11:32PM1.65m
11:53AM1.77m
00:22AM1.63m
12:48PM1.75m
1:15AM1.61m
1:44PM1.72m
2:11AM1.59m
2:39PM1.70m
3:09AM1.58m
3:34PM1.67m
Low Tide
4:40PM0.53m
4:54AM0.54m
5:31PM0.49m
5:45AM0.50m
6:21PM0.47m
6:36AM0.47m
7:11PM0.46m
7:28AM0.46m
8:00PM0.47m
8:21AM0.47m
8:51PM0.51m
9:18AM0.50m
9:44PM0.56m
clear
part cloud
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
—
6:52
—
—
6:50
—
—
6:48
—
—
6:48
—
—
6:46
—
—
6:43
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:25
—
—
7:27
—
—
7:28
—
—
7:29
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:30
—
—
7:32
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 mm
—
—
6
2
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
12
12
9
9
10
10
10
9
10
11
10
12
12
12
13
14
13
9
9
7
Feels °C
2
7
3
2
2
5
5
6
8
9
6
4
4
4
5
8
9
0
1
1
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Breaker Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Breaker Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Breaker Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Breaker Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Breaker Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Breaker Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Breaker Bay is 7 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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