Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 10s period, S swell with 6,051 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright crew, Rusty here again, same story but in feet and miles. Let’s break down Lyall Bay for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a brutal dry spell. From Friday, July 3rd, it’s a long 9-day stretch of nothing worth paddling for. The swell is tiny, barely 1ft from the east, with weak energy in the low 20s to 40s. The wind is howling out of the north-northwest at 22 to 28 mph, so even when it’s offshore, it’s a strong breeze and the waves are just too small.
Then things get wild from Monday, July 6th. A big southerly swell hits, pushing 10 to 13ft, but with a short period and onshore gale-force winds hitting up to 43 mph from the south. The combined energy jumps into the thousands – a ton of power, but it’s all blown-out junk for paddle surfing. This looks more like a kiteboarder’s session. It stays big and choppy with strong cross-onshore winds through the week.
We finally get a break in the wind on Sunday, July 12th. It goes glassy with a light westerly breeze, but the swell is still just 2-3ft from the east-southeast, with energy around 254. It’s surfable but very ordinary – small and weak. Monday and Tuesday are similar, with gentle offshore breezes keeping it clean, but the waves stay tiny.
Now here’s the one you’ve been waiting for. On Wednesday, July 15th, a proper groundswell rolls in from the southeast with a long 16-second period. The height jumps to 6-7ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon. That’s solid, with strong combined energy over 2000. The wind is moderate offshore from the north-northwest, so it’ll be clean. This is the standout day, but with waves over 5ft, it’s for experienced surfers only. Thursday, July 16th, still has nice 7-8ft swell with offshore winds, but the period drops and conditions are a bit more marginal. After that, the wind swings back onshore on Friday, July 17th, with near gale-force winds, and the swell fades.
So bottom line: Wednesday, July 15th is your day at Lyall Bay (New Zealand). That long-period southeast swell with clean offshore wind is the best on offer. The water temp is about average for winter here in Wellington. Crowds can show up sometimes, but a solid mid-week winter swell will only draw the dedicated crew. The swell direction from the southeast is right in the sweet spot for this break.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the NW by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 81mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, gales from the S by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thu 9 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | S 5 | S 7 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 33 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 138 | 1030 | 2037 | 6051 | 3077 | 1520 | 676 | 1526 | 1694 | 717 | 709 | 572 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:15AM1.43m | 7:24PM1.51m | 7:59AM1.43m | 8:12PM1.50m | 8:42AM1.45m | 9:01PM1.51m | 9:26AM1.48m | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:21AM0.74m | 1:10PM0.73m | 2:05AM0.71m | 1:55PM0.71m | 2:48AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.69m | 3:31AM0.67m | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | 9 | 8 | 31 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | -3 | -5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | NNW 9 | E 10 | S 19 | SSW 18 | E 10 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 33 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 31 | 8 | 30 | 67 | 96 | 2639 | 1520 | 198 | 158 | 93 | 218 | 47 | 71 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | S 8 | S 7 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 17 | E 10 | NNW 8 | SSW 13 | — | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 14 | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 19 |
| kJ | 18 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 7 | 17 | — | — | 18 | 60 | 106 | — | — | 55 | 14 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 14 | S 14 | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 15 | NW 9 | — | — | — | S 16 | ESE 11 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | S 20 |
| kJ | 7 | 18 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | 21 | 23 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 30 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | S 5 | S 7 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 95 | 170 | 243 | 251 | 143 | 175 | 458 | 62 | 5 | 138 | 1030 | 2037 | 6051 | 3077 | 917 | 676 | 1526 | 1694 | 717 | 709 | 572 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 59 | 59 | 59 | 64 | 54 | 54 | 64 | 54 | 54 | 59 | 229 | 129 | 59 | 27 | 59 | 110 | 210 | 158 | 169 | 139 | 116 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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