Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s talk about Lyall Bay. It’s been a bit of a rough stretch lately, but there’s some real hope on the horizon. The water’s sitting at about 55°F, which is pretty average for this time of year – nothing to write home about, but no nasty surprises either.

The forecast kicks off properly on Sunday, August 2nd. That’s where it starts to look interesting. We’ve got a solid 7ft swell rolling in from the south, with an 11-second period. The wind is blowing offshore from the north at 12 mph, and that’s going to keep the surface clean. The combined energy is moderate (1251), so there’s some proper push behind it. This is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s not huge, so it’s good for a wide range of surfers, but the offshore wind makes it quality. The swell direction from the south is bang on for Lyall Bay.

That Sunday afternoon, the swell drops a touch to 5ft, but it’s still from the south and the offshore north wind holds at 16 mph. Energy drops to moderate (874), but it’s still a fun, clean wave. The crowd factor? It says “sometimes,” so you might have a few mates out, but nothing too hectic.

Monday the 3rd brings a smaller day – 3ft in the morning from the SSW with a northerly cross-off, but it’s clean. The combined energy is weak (264). It’s surfable, but nothing special.

Then it gets messy. From Tuesday the 4th through to the 5th, a big southerly swell hits, up to 13ft, but it’s all onshore wind. That’s a no-go. Too much power and the wind is just wrecking it. Energy is strong to very strong (5992 on Tuesday), but who cares if it’s blown out? Same story on Wednesday – still big and onshore.

Now, the next real gem comes Thursday, August 6th. The morning starts with a 5ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is glassy – literally no wind from the NE at 3 mph. Combined energy is moderate (857). This is the other standout. Glassy conditions at Lyall Bay are a treat, and the swell is a nice size for a longboard or a fun shortboard. The afternoon holds with a 4ft swell and offshore NNW wind. Clean as a whistle.

After that, it fades again. Friday the 7th is small and cross-off, then the weekend of the 8th is tiny and cross-shore. There’s a glimmer on Sunday the 9th with a 4ft south swell and a cross-off wind, but it’s not the same quality.

Then we hit a big hole. From August 10th right through to the 14th, it’s poor. Tiny swells, onshore winds, or just nothing worth paddling out for. The energy is weak, often below 100 (like 44 on the 10th). That’s a five-day gap with nothing on offer.

Finally, on Saturday, August 15th, things perk up again. The swell picks up to 5ft from the SSW, and the wind goes glassy in the afternoon with a westerly at 3 mph. Combined energy is moderate (404). It’s a solid way to end the outlook – clean, fun waves. Not a standout like that Sunday or Thursday, but a good sign that the bay can still deliver.

So, if you’re looking for the best of the best, lock in Sunday the 2nd and Thursday the 6th. That’s your window.

Rusty.

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