Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Alright, let’s be straight with you—looking at the next 16 days for Lyall Bay, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, the opening stretch is a write-off. There’s a run of poor conditions and blown-out surf that we gotta get through before anything worthwhile shows up. But don’t lose hope, because there’s a decent window tucked in there if you’re patient.

The first real chance for a surf doesn’t come until the morning of the 8th of September. After a week of strong winds and tiny, messy waves, we finally see things line up. The water temp is sitting around 55.6°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing crazy, but a slight edge. That Tuesday morning, we’ve got a 5.9ft swell from the south with a 10-second period. The wind is almost nothing, glassy conditions, and the energy is moderate at 602. This is a bright spot. The swell direction is a bit east of the optimum, but for a beach break, that clean, glassy surface is what you want. This is likely the best and cleanest surf of the whole period. After that, Tuesday afternoon is still rideable, but the offshore wind picks up, that 4.9ft swell from the south is still there, but it’s not as special.

From Wednesday the 9th of September onwards, it starts to fall apart again. The wind howls, and the surf gets messy or just too big and blown out. There is a big pulse of swell on the 10th and 11th, but it’s coming with strong southerly winds—that’s a full onshore mess. We’re talking 9.8ft to 14.8ft of swell, but it is not for paddling. If the wind stays like that, the setup at Lyall Bay is more interesting for kite surfers than surfers. It's just too wind-blown.

The last noteworthy session is on the morning of Tuesday the 15th of September. This one is a week and a bit out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. There’s a 4.6ft southwest groundswell with a long 14-second period. The wind is offshore, and conditions should be clean. The energy is a solid moderate reading at 705. It could be a good one, but the long period means it might be a bit straight at a beach break. Still, it’s the second standout of the window. After lunch that day, the southerly wind returns and ruins the party again.

The long and short of it is: don’t get too worked up about the first week. Get out on the morning of the 8th—that’s your best bet for clean, fun waves. The 15th could be another one, but we’ll have to see. That’s your lot from Lyall Bay. Stay stoked.

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