Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – there’s nothing to get excited about for a fair while. The first few days are a write-off, so don’t even bother waxing up just yet. We’re looking at a real empty spell with virtually no surf to speak of this coming Sunday and Monday, with nothing but solid, strong onshores and nasty conditions. The water temp is sitting at 53.6°, which is about average for this time of year.

We won't see anything worth paddling out for until after the first week. The first real chance of something half-decent, and I mean *half-decent*, shows up on Tuesday the 14th. The swell is gonna be a thumping 13.1 ft from the south, but here’s the catch – that’s way too big for this break. The energy is extreme, clocking in at nearly 2901, but with an 8-second period, it’ll be a close-out nightmare. The wind is glassy that afternoon though, which is a tease.

The best bet, and I’m not even sure I’d call it a standout, is Wednesday the 15th morning. The swell drops back to a more manageable 8.2 ft from the south, combined with a fresh offshore from the north at 18.6 mph. That wind will clean it right up, but the wave energy is still strong at 1517, and the crowd factor here can be a bit of a pain. It’s not perfect, it’s just the best of a pretty grim run. Later on that week, Friday the 17th might offer a small window with a 3.6 ft south swell and a 15-second period, and clean offshore breezes from the north, but the marginal rating suggests it’s more of a long shot than a certainty.

After the 15th, it all just fades away again into tiny, weak surf. Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, maybe just focus on the Wednesday morning, but don’t expect much.

Read more