Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the goods for Lyall Bay. Let's cut through the noise and look at what's shaking for the next 16 days.

The bigger picture at Lyall Bay is a bit of a rollercoaster. We're kicking off with a massive, unsurfable swell, then it cleans up nicely for a few sessions, before getting blown out again. The real gems are a couple of sessions next week, with a standout weekend that looks like the pick of the bunch.

Water temperature's sitting around 55°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so you won't need the thickest wetsuit, but you won't be in boardies either.

First up, Saturday the 1st is a total write-off. We've got a 13ft southerly swell with a solid 25 mph southerly wind slamming onshore. The energy is pumping at a massive 4133, but it's a full-on mess. Don't even bother.

Sunday the 2nd is the first real window. The swell has dropped to 7ft from the south, and the wind has swung offshore from the north at 12 mph. It's a clean, moderate offshore breeze, which is a huge plus. The energy is still strong at 1231, making for a solid, powerful session. This is a good one for experienced surfers who can handle the size.

We get a bit of a breather on Monday the 3rd with a smaller 4ft south swell and light offshore winds. It's clean but nothing to write home about.

Then Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are a total write-off again. The wind goes back onshore from the south, and the swell jumps back up to 16ft and 18ft. The energy is through the roof at 8669, but it's a full-on stormy mess.

Thursday the 6th is a great little window. The wind is light offshore from the north, and the swell is a clean 5ft from the south. This is a great session for intermediate and advanced surfers. Clean, lined-up waves with a moderate energy of 946.

Now, here's the standout. Friday the 7th gets a bit of a mixed report, but the afternoon session is the real gem. The swell pushes up to 8ft from the south with a very long 15-second period. This is real groundswell energy at 3053. The wind is a moderate offshore from the north, keeping it clean. This is a heavy, powerful, and well-shaped wave. It's definitely for experienced surfers only - the long period means it'll be pitching and hollow. This is the one to circle.

Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are more marginal. The wind goes a bit cross-onshore, and the swell drops. Monday the 10th through the rest of the 16 days looks like a slow, fading run of small, weak swells. The wind is all over the place, with a few glassy mornings but the swell is tiny (around 2ft to 4ft) and the energy is low. The last half of the forecast is a quiet period with no real standouts, just small, ordinary conditions.

In short, your best bets are Sunday the 2nd morning for a solid, clean session, and the absolute standout is Friday the 7th afternoon - that's a date with a proper, powerful groundswell. After that, it's a slow fade.

Rusty.

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