
Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 7s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,679 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 7s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's chew the fat about what's comin' down the pike for our local break.
Right up top, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – it's a dry spell. We're talkin' a solid ten days where the surf is just plain dogshit. Tiny waves, howlin' winds, or straight-up onshore slop. You'll be lookin' at your board and wonderin' why you bothered. Don't. Wait it out.
The only spot on the menu is Lyall Bay. It's a beginner-friendly setup, fairly exposed to the south, but it's also inconsistent, so she doesn't always fire. Water temp is around 54°, which is dead average for the season, nothin' to write home about.
The first real ray of light doesn't hit until Monday, July 13th. That morning, the wind goes northwest, givin' us a clean, cross-off breeze. The swell is a thumpin' 8 feet from the south, with a period of 11 seconds – that's some proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong, sittin' at 1650. Then Monday afternoon? It gets even better. The wind drops to a dead calm, *glassy* conditions, with the swell holdin' at 8 feet. That's your standout moment right there. That 8- to 8-foot range is gettin' a bit heavy for the beginners; it's more for the experienced crew. And the south swell is exactly what Lyall Bay wants to see.
Tuesday, July 14th is still a solid option. The morning stays glassy, with the swell droppin' a bit to 6 feet. That's prime size, and the energy is still decent at 648. In the afternoon, a light north-northwest breeze comes up, but it's cross-off, so it'll keep the surface clean. The swell eases to 5 feet, but it's still a fun, surfable wave.
After that, it's all downhill again. The wind howls, the swell fades, and by the end of the week we're back to blown-out slop. So here's the takeaway: sit tight. Your window is Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th of July. That glassy Monday afternoon with a 8-foot south swell is the one that's got my heart pumpin'. Be there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the N on Sat night, moderate winds from the NNW by Sun afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 57mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 12°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Mainly near gales. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 5 | S 8 | SSE 7 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
19 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 106 | 1569 | 1109 | 2751 | 2040 | 2366 | 3860 | 4319 | 2527 | 1972 | 1207 | 875 | 895 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:24PM1.51m | 7:59AM1.43m | 8:12PM1.50m | 8:42AM1.45m | 9:01PM1.51m | 9:26AM1.48m | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:10PM0.73m | 2:05AM0.71m | 1:55PM0.71m | 2:48AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.69m | 3:31AM0.67m | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | ||||||||
7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | |
— | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 11 | 18 | 7 | 2 | — | 2 | 18 | 8 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | -2 | -2 | -1 | -1 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NNW 6 | E 10 | SSW 18 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | E 10 | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 |
19 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 63 | 2751 | 2040 | 2366 | 149 | — | 998 | 1042 | 93 | 120 | 235 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SW 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 16 | S 17 | S 15 | NNW 8 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | S 20 | — |
5 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 74 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | 67 | 31 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | S 7 | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | E 10 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
18 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 8 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | SSW 5 | S 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | — | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 |
214 | 275 | 335 | 160 | 208 | 361 | 95 | 72 | 106 | 1569 | 1109 | — | — | — | 3860 | 4319 | 2527 | 1972 | 1207 | 875 | 895 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 61 | 64 | 110 | 54 | 54 | 126 | 54 | 54 | 110 | 253 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 59 | 210 | 110 | 169 | 169 | 110 | 169 | 110 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










