Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, listen up, crew. Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the horizon for Lyall Bay. It’s going to be a slow start, but there’s some real promise further out if you’ve got the patience.

First thing’s first, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first few days are a write-off. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are a complete no-go. We’re looking at strong onshore winds and messy, blown-out conditions. The swell that does show up on Saturday is a short-period windswell, and by the afternoon it’s a massive 10ft – but it’s onshore and junky. That’s kite-surfing territory, not for paddling. Sunday the 26th is still marginal, with a light cross-onshore messing with the small 4ft swell.

Things start to turn around on Monday the 27th. The morning is average, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind drops to glassy, and we’ve got a 2ft long-period groundswell from the ESE with a 13-second period. The combined energy is moderate (273). It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun on a longboard.

Tuesday the 28th is your best bet in the first week. The wind is a clean offshore breeze all day, with a moderate combined swell energy (461 in the morning). We’ve got a 4ft ESE groundswell at 13 seconds. It’s consistent, clean, and the crowd can be around sometimes. That’s the pick of the early days.

The middle of the week from Wednesday the 29th through Thursday the 30th goes back to poor conditions with strong cross-offshore winds, so skip that.

Now, look ahead to Friday the 31st of July. The morning session is a standout. We’re looking at a 6ft SSW groundswell wrapping in with a moderate offshore breeze. The combined wave energy is strong (855). It’s going to be a solid, clean day for experienced surfers. Beginners be warned – 6ft is pushing it.

Saturday the 1st of August is for the big dogs only. The swell is a powerful 8ft from the S with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is extreme (1677). That’s a heavy, powerful wave. The wind is offshore, but at 8ft, it’s only for experts. It’s a marginal call for the break itself.

After that, the following week is a bit of a letdown. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are wind-affected, and the swell drops off. There’s a brief window on Tuesday the 4th afternoon with a 4ft S swell and light winds looking clean, but it’s not a standout.

The real highlight is the first week of August. Wednesday the 5th is a write-off because the swell is forecast to be a massive 10ft with a huge combined energy of 2208. That’s just too big for Lyall Bay. But Thursday the 6th of August is a gem. The morning brings a 6ft S groundswell at 12 seconds with a gentle offshore breeze. The combined energy is strong (980). It’s the best of the second week, offering clean, powerful lines. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are back to choppy, onshore conditions.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 28th of July is the top pick for a fun, clean, manageable day. Thursday the 6th of August is the big one for the more experienced crew looking for a proper groundswell. Keep an eye on the long-range – it’s promising, but not set in stone.

Rusty out.

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