
Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 13s period, S swell with 4,445 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks at Lyall Bay are looking pretty grim for getting a proper wave. We’ve got a long, barren stretch ahead, so don’t get your hopes up too high just yet.
The first real chance of anything worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Saturday the 12th, and even then, it’s a bit of a trap. The morning’s a write-off, but the afternoon has a solid 10ft of south swell with 13 seconds of period, and the combined energy is pumping at 3287. The problem? The wind is cross-onshore from the southeast, making it pretty messy, and honestly, that size is too much for this spot. It’s a beach and reef setup, and at that size, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing one. There’s a gentle breeze, but that doesn’t save it from being too big and lumpy.
Sunday the 13th is still too big and onshore, with 7ft to 8ft of south swell, but the onshore wind just kills it. Not the one.
Now, if you’re keen, the standout of this whole window looks like Monday morning, the 14th of September. It’s not huge, around 6ft of south swell at 12 seconds, but the wind is light offshore from the northwest, and the call is for very good surf conditions. The energy is a moderate 967, and while it’s not a massive day, that clean, offshore bump will make it the best quality surf we see for a long while. Be aware it’s a fairly exposed beach break, so that longer-period swell might make it sectiony, but it’s the pick of the bunch.
After that, things fall away. We’ve got a few days of small, weak swell with fresh offshore winds, but it’s all too ordinary. The 17th has a glassy morning with a short-period 4ft south swell, which is surfable but nothing to write home about.
The second week is even more bleak. There’s a bit of size on the 18th with 6ft, but the wind is howling, and it’s not going to be any good. The 21st sees more size and near-gale winds, which is again more for the kites than the surfboards. The rest of the run into the 25th is just small, weak, and often windy, with nothing on offer.
So, to sum it up: if you’re desperate, get out there Monday the 14th for the cleanest waves on offer. Everything else is either flat, blown out, or just too messy to bother with. It’s a classic blank run for this stretch of coast, but that’s just how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d be finding something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed night, min 7°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NNW on Wed night, calm by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the N by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 6 | S 7 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 12 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 13 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
22 | 12 | 288 | 465 | 237 | 229 | 109 | 1088 | 3287 | 2826 | 1194 | 1961 | 1197 | 963 | 639 | 347 | 183 | 72 | 153 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | off | off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | off | off | on | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:22AM1.57m | 3:46PM1.70m | 4:19AM1.57m | 4:43PM1.67m | 5:15AM1.59m | 5:39PM1.64m | 6:10AM1.60m | 6:35PM1.62m | 7:04AM1.62m | 7:30PM1.60m | 7:56AM1.64m | 8:22PM1.59m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:03PM0.51m | 9:29AM0.47m | 10:02PM0.55m | 10:29AM0.49m | 11:04PM0.59m | 11:28AM0.51m | 00:02AM0.62m | 12:25PM0.55m | 00:56AM0.64m | 1:21PM0.59m | 1:46AM0.67m | 2:16PM0.63m | 2:35AM0.69m | ||||||
— | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NW 6 | SSW 14 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 12 | S 15 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | S 12 |
22 | 12 | 9 | 76 | 111 | 43 | 109 | 1088 | 3287 | 2826 | 1194 | 1083 | 1197 | 963 | 639 | 347 | 183 | 72 | 153 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 20 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | E 7 | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | E 14 | — | SE 12 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SE 11 |
12 | 11 | 12 | 75 | 237 | 229 | 82 | 4 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 4 | — | 6 | 44 | 40 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | SW 13 | S 22 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NW 5 | NE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | SE 11 | SSW 13 | E 9 |
6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 56 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 6 | S 7 | NW 2 | NNW 5 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 13 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | N 9 | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | NW 6 |
213 | 79 | 288 | 465 | 1 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | 1961 | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 323 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 77 | 108 | 59 | 59 | 38 | 63 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 | 25 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 41 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










