Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 06 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
12.9° C
0.8° 

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, S swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, S swell with 1,371 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Thu 6th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 10s
Best Surf 3AM (Fri 7th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Most Powerful12PM (Fri 7th Aug)6ft (1.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Truth be told, the surf window is pretty narrow. There’s a tidy little run starting Thursday afternoon, but after that we’re looking at a long, dry spell with nothing worth paddling out for until the tail end of the second week. The real standout window is Thursday afternoon through Friday morning. That’s where you want to be.

Thursday afternoon swings in a clean 5ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 10 seconds and a moderate wave energy (817). The wind is light offshore from the NNW, glassy conditions – that’s about as good as it gets for a quick session. Water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about 1° warmer than usual for this time of year, so nothing wild, just a touch on the comfortable side.

Friday morning picks up a bit more size, 5ft from the S, but here’s the kicker – the period jumps to 15 seconds, which is a proper long-period groundswell, and the combined energy rockets up to 1452. That’s a powerful, lined-up swell. The wind is a fresh NNW cross-offshore at 22 mph, so it’ll be clean but with some texture. This is a strong, punchy swell – over 5ft, so it’s not for the beginners, and with that long period, the sets will be spaced out, making it easier to get outside. Just be aware, Lyall Bay is a fairly exposed beach setup, so that long-period groundswell can sometimes make the waves break a bit too straight. Still, for the experienced crew, Friday morning is the pick of the whole forecast.

After that, it drops off quickly. Friday afternoon sees the wind pick up to 25 mph, and the surf quality goes south. From Saturday morning onward, the swell fades, and while there are a few small, clean windows with offshore winds, the waves are just too small and weak to get excited about – mostly under 3ft with energy readings under 300. By Sunday and Monday, it’s tiny and ordinary.

Then we hit a big gap. From about Tuesday the 13th right through to Wednesday the 21st of August, there’s nothing worth chasing. The swell drops to almost nothing, and when it does try to rebuild around the 18th and 19th, it’s accompanied by strong onshore winds from the S, making for messy, blown-out conditions. The swell might get up to 8ft, but with onshore winds at 28 mph, that’s a hard pass for paddle surfing – honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

The very end of the window, Friday the 21st of August, shows a tiny glimmer of hope with a 2ft S swell and light offshore winds, but it’s barely surfable.

So, to wrap it up: Thursday afternoon and Friday morning are the only real standouts. Get on it early, because after that, Lyall Bay goes quiet for a long stretch.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri night, min 6°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 26mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun morning, light winds from the N by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSE
10
1.4
SE
10
1.2
SE
10
1.6
S
15
1.8
S
13
1.6
S
12
1.4
S
11
1.4
S
11
1.2
S
10
1
S
10
0.9
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
10
0.7
SSE
9
0.6
SE
12
1
SSE
12
0.9
SSE
11
0.7
SSE
9
0.7
SSE
8
0.6
SE
7
0.8
SE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
500
428
322
1070
1127
711
474
442
296
200
163
108
100
88
92
252
170
78
50
41
78
Wind (km/h)
5
W
10
N
20
NNW
35
NNW
40
NW
35
NNW
15
NW
20
NNW
25
N
35
NNE
30
NNW
30
NW
10
N
15
NNW
10
E
10
E
10
E
10
NNE
20
N
35
NNW
40
NNW
Wind State
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:35AM1.64m
11:05PM1.60m
11:25AM1.69m
11:54PM1.62m
12:17PM1.73m
00:46AM1.62m
1:12PM1.76m
1:42AM1.62m
2:07PM1.78m
2:41AM1.61m
3:04PM1.79m
3:41AM1.60m
4:02PM1.77m
Low Tide
4:58PM0.61m
5:22AM0.60m
5:48PM0.58m
6:09AM0.57m
6:39PM0.54m
6:57AM0.54m
7:30PM0.52m
7:49AM0.51m
8:24PM0.50m
8:45AM0.49m
9:22PM0.50m
9:45AM0.47m
10:24PM0.51m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:20
7:18
7:18
7:16
7:16
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:30
5:31
5:32
5:34
5:35
5:36
 mm
18
8
1
Temp °C
7
8
8
10
11
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
12
10
12
13
11
14
13
13
Feels °C
5
5
4
2
4
6
9
8
7
4
6
5
8
9
8
10
10
9
8
7
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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