Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Issued: 5 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
12.3° C

Normal for this time of year

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 6,443 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 15s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 15s
Most Powerful 9AM (Thu 9th Jul)18ft (5.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Righto, let's have a look at what's coming up for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you, the start of this outlook is a real doozy. We've got a big gap with no surf on offer for the first few days, and when there is swell, you won't want to be anywhere near the water.

The water temp here is sitting at about 54°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

So, let's break it down. From Monday the 6th of July right through to Saturday the 11th of July, it's a total write-off. We're looking at strong, onshore winds, absolute cranking southerly gusts, and heaps of rain. The swell is all over the place, from 7 ft to a massive 18 ft on Thursday the 9th, but it's all wind-blown and lumpy. The combined energy hits a whopping 6443 on Thursday morning, but it's just a mess. This is not a time for paddle surfing; it's more of a kite-surfing setup if you're into that kind of punishment.

We finally get a little window of something on Sunday the 12th of July. It's small, tiny even, with a long period groundswell of 15 seconds from the SSW pushing in at about 2 ft to 3 ft. But hold up, the wind swings offshore from the north, going glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy is a weak 330, so it's not going to be pumping, but for a beginner on a foamie, it's your best, and possibly only, chance. You might get a few clean little peelers.

The rest of the week after that is back to small, weak, and windy, with the odd glassy morning on Wednesday the 15th, but the swell is under 2 ft. Just not worth getting wet for.

Now, the standout window is looking like Sunday the 19th of July. We've got a big pulse of 13 ft to 15 ft from the SSW, with a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 3689. But the forecast says it's too big for this break, and it's onshore. That means big, messy, dangerous waves. Leave this one to the experts or the kamikaze crew.

However, looking further ahead, Monday the 20th of July is your real gem. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7 ft from the south with a 10-second period. The wind goes offshore from the NNE, which is clean. The combined energy is still a solid 911. This is going to be the best of the fortnight. It's not massive, but it's got some push to it, and with offshore winds, the sets at Lyall Bay should be holding up nicely. You'll want to be out there early on Monday.

Keep in mind Lyall Bay is an inconsistent spot, so you’ve got to take these windows when they come. The long-range Sunday looks promising, but the Monday is the more reliable bet.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 80mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, gales from the S by Wed night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat night).

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
8
1.5
S
7
2.5
SSE
8
2.2
ESE
8
2.5
SSE
7
2.1
S
7
2.4
S
7
4.5
SSE
9
5.5
SSE
10
5.5
SSE
10
4
S
9
2.5
S
8
2.3
S
7
2.2
S
7
0.9
ESE
10
1
ESE
10
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
S
12
0.6
S
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1241
209
1055
605
758
402
522
3158
6443
6311
2796
830
469
447
173
192
296
222
254
146
80
Wind (km/h)
45
S
20
SE
25
SE
30
SSE
30
SSE
45
SSW
45
S
60
SSE
60
S
55
S
45
S
35
S
30
S
35
S
30
S
15
S
10
SSE
5
N
15
NNW
25
N
35
N
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
off
off
off
off
High Tide
9:49PM1.53m
10:09AM1.53m
10:36PM1.55m
10:55AM1.58m
11:23PM1.58m
11:44AM1.63m
00:12AM1.61m
12:36PM1.69m
1:04AM1.64m
1:30PM1.75m
2:01AM1.65m
2:26PM1.80m
3:01AM1.65m
Low Tide
3:30PM0.68m
4:13AM0.66m
4:19PM0.67m
4:57AM0.65m
5:09PM0.65m
5:41AM0.63m
6:00PM0.63m
6:26AM0.62m
6:52PM0.61m
7:15AM0.60m
7:47PM0.58m
8:07AM0.58m
8:44PM0.55m
9:05AM0.55m
light rain
light rain
mod rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
light rain
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
 mm
3
2
6
3
11
12
14
19
10
3
2
1
3
Temp °C
12
13
13
12
12
11
11
11
10
10
9
8
8
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
10
Feels °C
5
9
8
6
6
2
3
1
-2
-1
-1
-1
1
1
2
4
5
5
4
3
2
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
18
1
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
16
1.7
S
9
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
1.2
ESE
9
0.4
SSW
18
1.5
ESE
10
1.2
ESE
10
1.1
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
10
1
ESE
10
0.9
ESE
9
0.8
ESE
9
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
S
12
0.6
S
10
Energy kJ
61
209
81
455
154
94
213
102
419
269
241
173
192
154
108
254
146
80
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
10
0.4
SSW
16
0.2
NNW
8
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
14
0.1
S
20
0.8
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
15
0.5
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
ESE
9
0.6
ESE
9
0.5
ESE
9
Energy kJ
8
85
7
74
65
8
204
77
44
48
40
296
222
73
49
43
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
E
10
0.1
NW
8
0.2
NNW
9
0.1
N
8
0.3
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.1
E
10
0.2
E
10
Energy kJ
31
3
7
1
40
65
2
8
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
8
1.5
S
7
2.5
SSE
8
2.2
ESE
8
2.5
SSE
7
2.1
S
7
2.4
S
7
4.5
SSE
9
5.5
SSE
10
5.5
SSE
10
4
S
9
2.5
S
8
2.3
S
7
2.2
S
7
1.4
S
6
0.8
SSW
6
0.3
N
2
0.4
NNW
3
1
NNW
4
Energy kJ
1241
199
1055
605
758
402
522
3158
6443
6311
2796
830
469
447
144
48
1
4
34
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
2
1
3
2
2
2
1
1
Distance (km)
271
25
59
59
110
129
169
201
206
206
206
158
116
63
110
116
38
0
0
0
38
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
4
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
6
7
4
5
4
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
8
7
5
6
5
8
5
5
5
5
5
9
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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