
Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with 2,989 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at Lyall Bay's surf forecast for the next couple of weeks.
First up, we've got a pretty quiet start to the period. The water temperature is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so no need to worry about any weird anomalies for the first standout session.
The early part of the week is a bit of a write-off. From Tuesday the 14th right through to Thursday the 16th, we're looking at tiny waves in the 0.7ft to 1.0ft range with strong NNW winds howling at 25 mph. The combined swell energy is all below 100, so it's really weak. Not worth getting wet for.
Then, things get interesting, but you've got to be careful what you wish for. Friday the 17th morning sees a massive jump in size with a 10ft S swell, but the combined energy is a massive 3269, which is way too big for this spot. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it's a no-go for paddling. However, Friday afternoon is the real standout. The swell drops to a still-chunky 8ft from the S, and the wind goes completely glassy, with zero wind. The combined energy is still a hefty 2020. This is going to be a powerful, clean session, but it's strictly for the experienced crew. Over 8ft only experts should be out there.
Saturday the 18th looks pretty average, with the swell dropping right back to 3ft and a fresh offshore wind, but the energy is just moderate at 515. Sunday the 19th morning is another 10ft S swell with a short period of 8 seconds, and a cross-onshore breeze. That's too big and messy. But Sunday afternoon is a great call: 8ft S swell going glassy again with a light WSW breeze. The combined energy is 1285, so it's got some punch, but the glassy conditions will make it a dream for the experienced surfer.
Monday the 20th is a solid option too, with a 7ft S swell and a moderate offshore breeze from the N in the morning. The combined energy is 1374, so there's plenty of juice. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a bit of a short-period swell, but it'll be clean. Tuesday the 21st is a bit smaller at 4ft to 4ft with a light offshore wind, making for very good, clean conditions.
After that, the surf drops away again. From Wednesday the 22nd through to the end of the period, we're looking at small, weak swells in the 1.0ft to 3ft range, with offshore winds but very low combined energy. The only glimmer of hope is Tuesday the 28th, where we get a 3ft SE swell with a gentle offshore breeze and a combined energy of 311, which is "expect good surf conditions". It's small, but it'll be clean.
The Bottom Line: Your best bets are the Friday afternoon (17th July) and the Sunday afternoon (19th July) sessions. Both offer powerful, glassy conditions, but they are strictly for expert surfers only due to the 8ft swell size. If you're not in that crew, the Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st offer cleaner, more manageable waves in the 4ft to 7ft range.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Mon night, light winds from the NW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Thu night, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the S by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | E 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | ESE 14 | SSW 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | S 13 | S 11 | S 9 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
47 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 47 | 36 | 23 | 51 | 147 | 2989 | 1702 | 403 | 367 | 347 | 981 | 1298 | 816 | 1021 | 718 | 1487 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | off | on | on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:01AM1.66m | 4:20PM1.85m | 5:00AM1.65m | 5:20PM1.84m | 5:59AM1.65m | 6:20PM1.81m | 6:57AM1.65m | 7:19PM1.77m | 7:54AM1.65m | 8:17PM1.73m | 8:48AM1.66m | 9:14PM1.69m | 9:40AM1.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:44PM0.53m | 10:06AM0.51m | 10:48PM0.52m | 11:06AM0.48m | 11:52PM0.50m | 12:05PM0.45m | 00:53AM0.49m | 1:04PM0.44m | 1:50AM0.49m | 2:02PM0.46m | 2:44AM0.51m | 3:01PM0.49m | 3:37AM0.53m | 3:59PM0.54m | |||||||
— | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | |
— | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | E 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | S 13 | S 11 | S 9 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | ESE 12 | SSW 14 | S 13 |
47 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 26 | 47 | 22 | 19 | 51 | 147 | 2989 | 1702 | 380 | 367 | 347 | 261 | 175 | 263 | 96 | 588 | 1487 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | S 8 | E 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | S 8 | S 8 | S 22 | S 17 | SE 13 | S 15 | SE 12 | ESE 11 |
7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 280 | 318 | 403 | 108 | 78 | 496 | 202 | 170 | 112 | 68 | 50 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | — | S 12 | S 18 | S 8 | NW 16 | ESE 14 | SW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | NW 3 | ESE 14 | SSW 22 | S 21 | SSW 19 | — | ESE 11 |
6 | — | 3 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 6 | — | — | 81 | 40 | 3 | 121 | 92 | 36 | 124 | — | 115 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 3 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | — |
166 | 222 | 227 | 222 | 129 | 56 | 182 | 240 | 107 | 36 | — | — | — | 10 | 4 | 981 | 1298 | 816 | 1021 | 718 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 108 | 108 | 113 | 59 | 108 | 108 | 77 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 129 | 110 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











