Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 10s period, S swell with 5,885 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey, Rusty here for Lyall Bay. Gotta be honest – this 16‑day stretch is a dud. Water temp’s about 54°F, pretty normal for the season, but the wind and swell just won’t cooperate.
Starting Monday 6 July: a 10‑ft south swell hits, but it’s got a near gale from the south blowing 34 mph onshore – total mess. The combined energy is 1029 (moderate), but it’s unsurfable. Tuesday sees a drop to 5 ft but still cross‑onshore at 16 mph. Wednesday gets worse with 7 ft and strong breeze. Thursday 9 July is the worst – 18 ft south swell, gale‑force winds at 40 mph, energy 5885. That’s huge and dangerous. Friday and Saturday stay choppy with onshore winds.
Sunday 12 July offers a tiny window: 2 ft swell from the SSW with a 14‑second period, wind almost calm at 3 mph, but still onshore. The comment says “marginal” – weak lines, energy 449. Not worth paddling out.
Monday 13 July is a tease: offshore north wind at 12 mph, clean, but the swell is only 2 ft at 12 seconds. Energy 199 – knee‑high at best. Then Tuesday through Friday see flat conditions: 1 ft or less.
Then the big stuff: Saturday 18 July brings a 10‑ft SSW swell with light wind, but the finder says “too big for this break” – Lyall Bay is a beginner spot, so 10 ft is well over the 5‑ft beginner limit, only for experts. Sunday 19 July is even worse – 23 ft from the SSE with 13‑second period, energy 15972. Monday 20 July still has 12 ft. Clean conditions, but the size is intimidating.
After that, the swell drops to 4 ft on Tuesday 21 July with a cross‑offshore breeze, but it’s still poor.
Bottom line: no good surf in this 16‑day window. Lyall Bay’s always inconsistent, and this stretch is typical for the area. Forecasts can shift, but for now, stay dry. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 73mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Mon morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Tue night, near gales from the S by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 40mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (gales from the S on Thu morning, light winds from the S by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | E 10 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1021 | 1099 | 455 | 397 | 1278 | 619 | 508 | 986 | 3653 | 5885 | 3965 | 1717 | 1020 | 788 | 606 | 261 | 264 | 345 | 215 | 147 | 181 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | off |
High Tide | 9:26AM1.48m | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | 1:04AM1.64m | 1:30PM1.75m | 2:01AM1.65m | 2:26PM1.80m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | 6:52PM0.61m | 7:15AM0.60m | 7:47PM0.58m | 8:07AM0.58m | 8:44PM0.55m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  |  | |  | |  | |  | | | |  | | |  |  | |
 | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 24 | 10 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Feels °C | -1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 18 | S 6 | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 8 | 61 | 115 | 397 | 74 | 65 | 55 | 34 | 53 | — | 84 | 338 | 286 | 339 | 360 | 256 | 264 | 263 | 203 | 136 | 117 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | E 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | NNW 8 | N 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SE 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 3 | 8 | 263 | 81 | 7 | 1 | 95 | 62 | — | — | — | 62 | — | — | 43 | 40 | 69 | 25 | 215 | 147 | 181 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | N 18 | ESE 10 | NNW 9 | — | — | — | S 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 20 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | S 6 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 6 | 33 | 7 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 64 | 32 | 31 | 16 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 8 | E 10 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | SE 9 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1021 | 1099 | 455 | 344 | 1278 | 619 | 508 | 986 | 3653 | 5885 | 3965 | 1717 | 1020 | 788 | 606 | 261 | 128 | 345 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 123 | 265 | 25 | 25 | 59 | 43 | 169 | 129 | 206 | 210 | 206 | 206 | 169 | 169 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 38 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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