Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 9s period, S swell with 3,567 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s call it like it is: Lyall Bay is having a shocking run for the next couple of weeks. Right now, there’s a huge, messy swell hitting, but it’s no good. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are all about big, onshore, wind-chopped conditions – near-gale and strong breeze straight from the south, hitting a 15ft to 7ft southerly swell. The energy is massive (3567 on Thursday morning, still 819 on Friday arvo), but the quality is zero. This is a kite-surfing show, not a paddle-surfing one. For a beginner break, this is way too big and blown out.
We finally get a clean slot on Sunday the 12th. The wind swings offshore from the north-northeast, light to moderate, and the surf is tiny – about 3ft to 2ft. It’s a long-period groundswell from the south-southwest (13 seconds in the morning, 11 seconds arvo) with energy at 262 and 214. This is the best on offer: clean, glassy offshore wind at a spot that’s often inconsistent. Don’t expect much push though – it’s surfable but very ordinary. For beginners, this is your only real chance. Crowds are possible, but with conditions this small, it might be quiet.
That’s it. The rest of the forecast is a long, dry gap. From Monday 14th all the way through to Wednesday 22nd July, the surf is either flat (0.3ft to 3ft) or too chopped up. Water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing special in your wetsuit. The second week sees an ESE swell bump up on the 18th and 19th (4ft to 5ft, moderate energy around 541-602), but the wind is cross-onshore, lumpy, and choppy. Thursday 23rd and Friday 24th are flat with barely a ripple. Honestly, this stretch looks set to stay poor. Forecasts can change, but right now, don’t plan your sessions around it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed night, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSE on Wed night, light winds from the SSE by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sat night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | ESE 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 18 | S 16 | E 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2544 | 3567 | 2381 | 1112 | 319 | 421 | 184 | 114 | 286 | 355 | 215 | 167 | 104 | 50 | 31 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | 1:04AM1.64m | 1:30PM1.75m | 2:01AM1.65m | 2:26PM1.80m | 3:01AM1.65m | 3:22PM1.83m | 4:01AM1.66m | 4:20PM1.85m | 5:00AM1.65m | 5:20PM1.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | 6:52PM0.61m | 7:15AM0.60m | 7:47PM0.58m | 8:07AM0.58m | 8:44PM0.55m | 9:05AM0.55m | 9:44PM0.53m | 10:06AM0.51m | 10:48PM0.52m | 11:06AM0.48m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — |
 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 |
mm | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 0 | -3 | -2 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | E 10 | E 10 | S 16 | E 11 |
| kJ | 53 | — | 173 | 520 | 291 | 223 | 109 | 107 | 107 | 355 | 215 | 167 | 104 | 50 | 31 | 55 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 9 | S 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | S 9 | S 18 | E 10 | E 13 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 162 | 47 | 44 | 45 | 106 | 83 | 47 | 47 | 31 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 15 | S 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | — | — | — | SSW 15 | E 10 | SSW 13 | E 10 | — | S 12 | S 8 | E 12 | S 15 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | 9 | 114 | 286 | — | — | — | 21 | 2 | 17 | 2 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | 2544 | 3567 | 2381 | 1112 | 319 | 421 | 184 | 45 | — | — | — | 4 | 32 | 54 | 64 | 104 | 95 | 119 | 55 | 37 | 68 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 206 | 110 | 210 | 169 | 110 | 59 | 63 | 38 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 64 | 59 | 64 | 54 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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