Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Issued: 11 am 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
11.9° C

Slightly cooler than normal

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ESE swell with 2,786 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Tue 7th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 9s
Best Surf12PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful12PM (Tue 7th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this is a bleak stretch for the Bay. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for days on end. The first surf worth even mentioning doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 14th of July. That’s a solid ten-day wait from the start of the period with no real options. Gonna be a tough one for the crew.

The small window of hope comes on Tuesday the 14th. The morning sees a light offshore breeze from the NNE, cleaning up a tiny 2ft swell pushin’ in from the ESE. It’s not gonna be epic, but it’ll be ridable. The combined energy is weak at 186 (186), so you’ll be working for every little bump. The afternoon holds similar with a moderate offshore from the N, still 2ft from the ESE. Water temp is sittin’ at 53°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, just a bit nippy, but nothing a good 4/3 won’t handle.

Now, for the rest of the run, it’s pretty grim. The swell tries to pump up a few times, but the wind just ruins it. Monday the 6th of July, you’ll see a big 10ft southerly swell roll in, but it’s got a short 7-second period and a screaming 31 mph southerly wind on it. That’s a washout – the energy is massive at 1140 (1140), but it’s unsurfable. A few days later, Wednesday the 8th of July morning, the swell jumps to 12ft from the SSE, but again, it’s too big for this break and the wind is junk. The energy is 1758 (1758), but it’s a no-go zone unless you’re a masochist with a big wave gun and a death wish.

The second week doesn’t offer much relief. Friday the 17th of July brings a long-period 5ft SSE groundswell (period 17 seconds) with a combined energy of 1089 (1089), but it’s onshore and choppy. That long period will make the lines fat and straight on the beach anyway. It’s a pass.

So, the only true standout – and I use that word lightly – is Tuesday the 14th of July. It’s not gonna be a classic, but it’s the cleanest, most manageable surf of the entire forecast. Get out there if you’re desperate for a paddle.

Stay salty.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly near gales.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 65mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, gales from the S by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
2
!
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
12
0.3
E
11
0.3
E
11
0.3
E
10
0.2
E
10
1.4
SSW
6
3.5
S
8
2.3
S
8
1.2
SSW
10
2.2
ESE
9
1.6
ESE
10
1.7
S
8
1.5
S
8
3.5
S
8
3.5
SSE
9
2.2
SSE
8
2.2
S
8
3
S
8
3.5
SSE
9
3.5
SSE
9
3.5
SSE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
25
23
21
17
8
122
1551
609
288
802
486
386
258
1377
2045
570
579
1288
1984
1811
1874
Wind (km/h)
40
N
40
N
50
NNE
35
NNW
35
NNW
30
SSE
55
S
30
SSE
25
SSE
5
NNE
20
SSE
5
S
5
SW
15
S
25
S
45
SSE
60
S
50
SSE
55
S
50
S
40
S
Wind State
off
off
off
off
off
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-on
on
glassy
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
8:12PM1.50m
8:42AM1.45m
9:01PM1.51m
9:26AM1.48m
9:49PM1.53m
10:09AM1.53m
10:36PM1.55m
10:55AM1.58m
11:23PM1.58m
11:44AM1.63m
00:12AM1.61m
12:36PM1.69m
1:04AM1.64m
Low Tide
1:55PM0.71m
2:48AM0.69m
2:42PM0.69m
3:31AM0.67m
3:30PM0.68m
4:13AM0.66m
4:19PM0.67m
4:57AM0.65m
5:09PM0.65m
5:41AM0.63m
6:00PM0.63m
6:26AM0.62m
6:52PM0.61m
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
cloud
light rain
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
rain showers
cloud
light rain
rain showers
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:47
7:46
7:46
7:46
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:02
5:02
5:04
5:05
5:05
5:06
5:07
 mm
3
2
2
7
5
1
2
5
10
5
15
27
2
1
Temp °C
10
13
13
13
12
9
10
12
13
12
12
10
12
12
11
11
10
11
9
9
9
Feels °C
1
4
6
7
5
3
-1
6
8
9
8
8
11
8
6
2
-2
1
-2
-2
0
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
E
12
0.3
E
11
0.3
E
11
0.3
E
10
0.2
E
10
0.4
NW
8
0.2
E
10
2.3
S
8
1.2
SSW
10
1.4
SSW
9
1.7
S
9
1.7
S
8
0.5
E
9
0.6
ESE
11
0.2
SSW
17
0.7
ESE
10
0.8
ESE
10
0.5
E
10
0.3
SSW
17
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
Energy kJ
25
23
21
17
8
18
8
609
288
355
486
386
43
88
27
106
116
54
56
49
85
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
13
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
17
0.1
S
15
0.2
E
10
0.1
E
10
0.3
SSW
18
0.5
E
10
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.5
E
10
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
14
0.2
SSW
18
Energy kJ
3
3
3
6
5
8
2
61
52
48
74
46
56
44
40
31
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
S
16
0.1
NW
9
0.1
S
14
0.1
NW
8
0.2
E
10
0.4
SSW
16
0.2
NNW
8
0.2
NNW
8
0.4
SSW
14
0.3
ESE
12
0.1
S
21
0.2
SSW
14
Energy kJ
5
3
4
3
8
85
7
6
65
29
8
19
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
NNW
6
1.8
NNW
6
1.8
NNW
7
1.5
NNW
5
1.1
NNW
5
1.4
SSW
6
3.5
S
8
0.9
SE
6
2.2
ESE
9
1.6
ESE
10
1.5
S
8
3.5
S
8
3.5
SSE
9
2.2
SSE
8
2.2
S
8
3
S
8
3.5
SSE
9
3.5
SSE
9
3.5
SSE
9
Energy kJ
218
226
276
116
54
122
1551
70
802
460
258
1377
2045
570
579
1288
1984
1811
1874
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
3
2
3
3
1
1
2
3
4
4
1
Distance (km)
54
54
144
54
54
59
145
25
25
25
43
38
38
43
110
110
110
195
169
169
110
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
3
4
4
5
6
5
4
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
6
5
9
7
5
6
8
7
4
5
9
8
9
6
5
5
8
5
8
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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