Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 10s period, S swell with 4,610 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Rusty here again, same story, different numbers. Lyall Bay isn’t giving us much to work with for the next couple of weeks.
Right now, through Saturday the 4th and Sunday the 5th of July, there’s nothing doing – waves are about 1 foot, windy, and poor. Don’t bother.
First proper swell shows up Monday the 6th of July: a south-southwest swell around 5 feet, but with a short 7-second period and strong onshore wind at 28 mph. Combined energy is 271 – moderate – but it’s lumpy and messy. By the afternoon it’s 12 feet with a 9-second period, cross-onshore wind, and combined energy of 2144 (strong). That’s for experts only, and honestly, it’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.
Tuesday the 7th through Thursday the 10th of July is a parade of big south swells from 8 feet up to 16 feet, all with onshore winds and combined energy in the thousands (1338 to 5415 – very strong). The water temperature is about average. For a beach break, that long-period south groundswell will close out and be brutal.
Sunday the 12th of July is a little better. Swell drops to 3 feet but with a long 14-second period, combined energy of 876 (moderate). The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit chopped, but the afternoon session is marginal. Not great, but it’s the least bad we’ve seen.
Then the second week starts to look promising. Monday the 13th of July has clean offshore north winds at 16-19 mph, swell at 3 feet with a 12-second period from the SSW, and combined energy of 364 (moderate). Small, clean, but a tough paddle.
Tuesday the 14th is similar: 2-3 feet, clean offshore wind, but energy drops to 146 and 99 (weak).
The real gem is Wednesday the 15th of July. Swell is tiny, just 1 feet, but the period is a very long 13 seconds from the ESE. Winds are light offshore at 9 mph, glassy conditions. Combined energy is only 59 (weak), so it’s a log day, but it’s the cleanest, most fun session of the whole forecast. That gentle offshore breeze will give you some nice little lines.
After that, it’s back to big, windy mess. From Thursday the 16th of July through the weekend of the 18th and 19th, we get strong south swells from 8 to 13 feet with near-gale force onshore winds. Combined energy is back over 1000 (strong). Total write-off for paddle surfing.
So, if you’ve got a longboard, Wednesday the 15th is your day. Everything else, leave the board on the rack.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the N on Sat night, light winds from the ESE by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Wed morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue morning, near gales from the S by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 455 | 186 | 2065 | 1514 | 1299 | 983 | 692 | 1415 | 1907 | 1616 | 3368 | 4359 | 3571 | 3329 | 1983 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:59AM1.43m | 8:12PM1.50m | 8:42AM1.45m | 9:01PM1.51m | 9:26AM1.48m | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:05AM0.71m | 1:55PM0.71m | 2:48AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.69m | 3:31AM0.67m | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -1 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 18 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | — | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 186 | 61 | 1514 | 1299 | 983 | 692 | 35 | 83 | 28 | — | 38 | 65 | 2086 | 183 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 17 | NNW 9 | E 10 | S 19 | E 10 | SSW 17 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 18 | 54 | 18 | 94 | 227 | 34 | 63 | 57 | — | — | 65 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 16 | — | S 15 | — | SW 13 | — | SSW 16 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 10 | SSW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | — | 7 | — | 89 | 21 | 73 | 66 | 26 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NW 5 | NNW 6 | SSW 7 | SE 4 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 299 | 201 | 226 | 360 | 129 | 79 | 455 | 49 | 2065 | — | — | — | — | 1415 | 1907 | 1616 | 3368 | 4359 | 3571 | 3329 | 1983 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 54 | 54 | 139 | 54 | 54 | 59 | 123 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 59 | 175 | 129 | 110 | 206 | 206 | 206 | 201 | 139 | 206 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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