Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 9s period, SSE swell with 4,331 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright mate, let’s talk about Lyall Bay for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a bit of a slow burner, with plenty of average stuff before we get to the good bits.
Right from the get-go, Wednesday the 8th of July is a total mess. Onshore southerly winds ripping at 22 to 28 mph, with a lumpy, blown-out 7 ft to 8 ft swell. It’s ugly, and it stays that way right through to Friday the 10th. The wind is howling, the waves are messy, and the combined energy is massive but useless. Saturday the 11th of July is still a no-go. A tiny 1 ft swell with poor conditions.
Sunday the 12th of July is the first sign of life. The wind turns offshore from the north-northeast at about 12 mph, and we get a clean 3 ft swell with a long 13-second period. It’s small and inconsistent, but it’s clean. Monday the 13th is even smaller with a fresh offshore breeze, just not enough power.
After a few quiet days, things turn on properly. Thursday the 16th of July sees a 3 ft to 4 ft east-southeast groundswell with a 14 to 15-second period and a light offshore northerly wind. The combined energy is reading 466 to 672, and the forecast is good to very good. That’s the start of the real run. The water’s about 55°F, which is pretty normal for the season.
Saturday the 18th of July keeps that clean, offshore theme going with a consistent 3 ft east-southeast swell. Sunday the 19th steps it up with a 4 ft south-easterly swell and a big jump in energy to 1106. Winds are light and the surf is clean.
The big one is Monday the 20th of July. We’re looking at an 8 ft south-southeast swell early, dropping to 8 ft, and the wind goes dead glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy hits 1914, and the forecast is calling for *excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers*. This is over 8ft, so it’s strictly for the crew who know what they’re doing. Tuesday the 21st eases to a clean 6 ft, and then it fades out through the rest of the week. So, circle the 16th through to the 21st of July – that’s your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed morning, min 8°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Wed night, moderate winds from the S by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sat afternoon, strong winds from the N by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | ESE 10 | S 6 | ESE 10 | S 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 396 | 695 | 3408 | 3646 | 2470 | 1248 | 352 | 237 | 228 | 112 | 582 | 355 | 229 | 150 | 85 | 49 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 9 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | 1:04AM1.64m | 1:30PM1.75m | 2:01AM1.65m | 2:26PM1.80m | 3:01AM1.65m | 3:22PM1.83m | 4:01AM1.66m | 4:20PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | 6:52PM0.61m | 7:15AM0.60m | 7:47PM0.58m | 8:07AM0.58m | 8:44PM0.55m | 9:05AM0.55m | 9:44PM0.53m | 10:06AM0.51m | 10:48PM0.52m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — |
 | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:08 | — |
mm | 6 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 5 | 2 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 87 | 85 | — | — | 135 | 637 | 346 | 237 | 135 | 109 | 582 | 355 | 229 | 150 | 85 | 49 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | S 20 | — | — | — | — | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSW 13 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | S 12 | E 13 |
| kJ | 37 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 160 | 47 | 44 | 47 | 109 | 83 | 47 | 50 | 32 | 6 | 33 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | S 15 | ESE 10 | ESE 8 | E 7 | — | S 20 | S 18 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 112 | 10 | — | — | — | 18 | 9 | 6 | 1 | — | 7 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 |
| kJ | 396 | 695 | 3408 | 3646 | 2470 | 1248 | 352 | 237 | 228 | 67 | — | — | — | 6 | 54 | 95 | 168 | 67 | 295 | 140 | 39 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 116 | 195 | 187 | 110 | 206 | 169 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 59 | 54 | 59 | 108 | 108 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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