Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, S swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, S swell with 2,136 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Mon 7th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Lyall Bay has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The first real surfable window kicks off on Wednesday morning, September 2nd. We’re looking at a solid 5ft south swell rolling in with a very long 17-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong at (2959). The wind is howling out of the NNW at 19 mph, but it’s offshore, so it’ll be clean. That long period means the waves will have plenty of punch and shape, but at a beach break like this, it might wall up a bit. Water temp is sitting at 56°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The crowds here are sometimes a factor, so you might have some company.
The rest of the first week cools right off. Thursday gets a bit smaller and the wind picks up, making it not worth the paddle. Friday through Sunday are all small, messy, and blown out, with strong winds making it a real struggle. There’s a good stretch of days here with no real recommendation.
Now, let’s skip ahead to Monday, September 7th. This one is a standout, but it’s for the brave only. The swell jumps to a massive 12ft from the south, with a short 8-second period. The combined energy is very strong (2098). The wind is a cross-onshore, which won’t be pretty. This is big, choppy, and honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s too big for beginners and only for experienced surfers who know what they’re doing.
The week after that is a bit of a write-off. There’s a small window on Saturday, September 12th, with a 4ft south swell and a 9-second period. The wind is offshore from the north at 12 mph, keeping it clean. Combined energy is moderate (248). It’s a surfable wave, but nothing to get too excited about. Just ordinary conditions.
Looking way out to the second week, we’ve got a promising but less certain event. On Monday, September 14th, the swell goes absolutely mental – 16ft from the south with a 12-second period. The combined energy is monstrous (7126). The wind is howling offshore, but this is pure, unadulterated big-wave territory. It’s only for experts, and even then, it’s a serious call. The following day, Tuesday, September 15th, is slightly smaller at 13ft but still with a solid 11-second period and strong offshore wind. Again, experts only.
The period ends on Thursday, September 17th, with the swell dropping to 7ft from the SSE. The wind goes light and cross-offshore, and the forecast says expect very good surf conditions. That’s the one to keep an eye on, but it’s a long way out.
So, overall, the standout is the massive swell on the 14th and 15th for the big-wave crew, and the cleaner, more manageable conditions on the 17th for everyone else. Keep your wits about you, it’s going to be a wild ride.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu night, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 9°C on Mon afternoon). Winds decreasing (near gales from the NNW on Sun afternoon, light winds from the E by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1491 | 2313 | 1189 | 472 | 262 | 146 | 33 | 26 | 21 | 21 | 154 | 102 | 188 | 142 | 50 | 1263 | 2098 | 651 | 264 | 210 | 577 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:10PM1.59m | 9:27AM1.67m | 10:00PM1.61m | 10:16AM1.71m | 10:48PM1.62m | 11:08AM1.73m | 11:37PM1.62m | 12:02PM1.74m | 00:30AM1.61m | 12:56PM1.74m | 1:26AM1.59m | 1:52PM1.74m | 2:24AM1.58m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:02PM0.62m | 3:27AM0.63m | 3:55PM0.59m | 4:15AM0.59m | 4:46PM0.55m | 5:04AM0.55m | 5:36PM0.51m | 5:52AM0.51m | 6:25PM0.49m | 6:41AM0.48m | 7:15PM0.48m | 7:33AM0.47m | 8:07PM0.49m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 6 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | NW 8 | NNW 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | NNW 6 |
1468 | 2313 | 1189 | 472 | 262 | 146 | 33 | 26 | 15 | 16 | 154 | 102 | 188 | 142 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 651 | 264 | 210 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | SE 12 | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 9 | SSW 16 | ENE 8 | NNW 9 | NNW 9 | S 14 | SSE 11 | S 13 |
1491 | 6 | — | — | — | 39 | 30 | 24 | 14 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SW 10 | SSW 15 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | — | N 17 | — | — | — | S 15 | SSE 11 | S 13 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 5 | 22 | 4 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 8 | — | 6 | — | — | — | 4 | 48 | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 7 | NW 6 | SSW 8 | S 10 | — | NNW 6 | NW 7 | S 8 |
16 | 57 | 199 | 252 | 345 | 260 | 773 | 349 | 188 | 94 | 96 | 190 | 224 | 302 | 189 | 1263 | 2098 | — | 347 | 88 | 577 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 55 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 126 | 116 | 305 | 54 | 61 | 108 | 108 | 64 | 77 | 110 | 25 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











