Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
12.3° C
0.2° 

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 9s period, S swell with 3,567 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 4.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Best Surf 3AM (Sun 12th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Most Powerful 9AM (Thu 9th Jul)15ft (4.5m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


G’day, Rusty here. Let’s call it like it is: Lyall Bay is having a shocking run for the next couple of weeks. Right now, there’s a huge, messy swell hitting, but it’s no good. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are all about big, onshore, wind-chopped conditions – near-gale and strong breeze straight from the south, hitting a 15ft to 7ft southerly swell. The energy is massive (3567 on Thursday morning, still 819 on Friday arvo), but the quality is zero. This is a kite-surfing show, not a paddle-surfing one. For a beginner break, this is way too big and blown out.

We finally get a clean slot on Sunday the 12th. The wind swings offshore from the north-northeast, light to moderate, and the surf is tiny – about 3ft to 2ft. It’s a long-period groundswell from the south-southwest (13 seconds in the morning, 11 seconds arvo) with energy at 262 and 214. This is the best on offer: clean, glassy offshore wind at a spot that’s often inconsistent. Don’t expect much push though – it’s surfable but very ordinary. For beginners, this is your only real chance. Crowds are possible, but with conditions this small, it might be quiet.

That’s it. The rest of the forecast is a long, dry gap. From Monday 14th all the way through to Wednesday 22nd July, the surf is either flat (0.3ft to 3ft) or too chopped up. Water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing special in your wetsuit. The second week sees an ESE swell bump up on the 18th and 19th (4ft to 5ft, moderate energy around 541-602), but the wind is cross-onshore, lumpy, and choppy. Thursday 23rd and Friday 24th are flat with barely a ripple. Honestly, this stretch looks set to stay poor. Forecasts can change, but right now, don’t plan your sessions around it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed night, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SSE on Wed night, light winds from the SSE by Sat afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 13°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sat night, fresh winds from the NW by Tue afternoon).

Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wed
15
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
4
SSE
8
4.5
S
9
4
SSE
9
3
S
8
1.9
S
7
2.2
S
7
1.6
S
6
0.8
ESE
10
0.7
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
11
0.7
S
10
0.5
S
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
13
0.2
SSW
12
0.1
S
12
0.1
S
18
0.1
S
16
0.2
E
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2544
3567
2381
1112
319
421
184
114
286
355
215
167
104
50
31
55
14
3
6
5
9
Wind (km/h)
60
SSE
55
S
45
SSE
45
S
30
SSE
35
S
20
S
15
SSE
10
SSE
5
E
15
NNE
20
N
30
N
35
N
30
N
30
N
35
N
35
NW
35
NNW
15
NNW
10
SSW
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
High Tide
11:23PM1.58m
11:44AM1.63m
00:12AM1.61m
12:36PM1.69m
1:04AM1.64m
1:30PM1.75m
2:01AM1.65m
2:26PM1.80m
3:01AM1.65m
3:22PM1.83m
4:01AM1.66m
4:20PM1.85m
5:00AM1.65m
5:20PM1.84m
Low Tide
5:41AM0.63m
6:00PM0.63m
6:26AM0.62m
6:52PM0.61m
7:15AM0.60m
7:47PM0.58m
8:07AM0.58m
8:44PM0.55m
9:05AM0.55m
9:44PM0.53m
10:06AM0.51m
10:48PM0.52m
11:06AM0.48m
rain showers
rain showers
light rain
part cloud
light rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:45
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:06
5:07
5:07
5:07
5:08
5:08
5:09
 mm
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
11
9
9
9
8
9
9
9
9
9
9
9
10
10
12
12
13
13
13
13
13
Feels °C
0
-3
-2
-2
0
2
3
5
6
6
4
4
4
3
5
7
7
6
7
11
11
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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