
Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with 6,443 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Righto, let's have a look at what's coming up for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you, the start of this outlook is a real doozy. We've got a big gap with no surf on offer for the first few days, and when there is swell, you won't want to be anywhere near the water.
The water temp here is sitting at about 54°F, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
So, let's break it down. From Monday the 6th of July right through to Saturday the 11th of July, it's a total write-off. We're looking at strong, onshore winds, absolute cranking southerly gusts, and heaps of rain. The swell is all over the place, from 7 ft to a massive 18 ft on Thursday the 9th, but it's all wind-blown and lumpy. The combined energy hits a whopping 6443 on Thursday morning, but it's just a mess. This is not a time for paddle surfing; it's more of a kite-surfing setup if you're into that kind of punishment.
We finally get a little window of something on Sunday the 12th of July. It's small, tiny even, with a long period groundswell of 15 seconds from the SSW pushing in at about 2 ft to 3 ft. But hold up, the wind swings offshore from the north, going glassy in the afternoon. The combined energy is a weak 330, so it's not going to be pumping, but for a beginner on a foamie, it's your best, and possibly only, chance. You might get a few clean little peelers.
The rest of the week after that is back to small, weak, and windy, with the odd glassy morning on Wednesday the 15th, but the swell is under 2 ft. Just not worth getting wet for.
Now, the standout window is looking like Sunday the 19th of July. We've got a big pulse of 13 ft to 15 ft from the SSW, with a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 3689. But the forecast says it's too big for this break, and it's onshore. That means big, messy, dangerous waves. Leave this one to the experts or the kamikaze crew.
However, looking further ahead, Monday the 20th of July is your real gem. The swell drops to a much more manageable 7 ft from the south with a 10-second period. The wind goes offshore from the NNE, which is clean. The combined energy is still a solid 911. This is going to be the best of the fortnight. It's not massive, but it's got some push to it, and with offshore winds, the sets at Lyall Bay should be holding up nicely. You'll want to be out there early on Monday.
Keep in mind Lyall Bay is an inconsistent spot, so you’ve got to take these windows when they come. The long-range Sunday looks promising, but the Monday is the more reliable bet.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 80mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon night, min 10°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Mon night, gales from the S by Wed night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 10°C on Thu afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the S on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 12 | S 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1241 | 209 | 1055 | 605 | 758 | 402 | 522 | 3158 | 6443 | 6311 | 2796 | 830 | 469 | 447 | 173 | 192 | 296 | 222 | 254 | 146 | 80 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | 1:04AM1.64m | 1:30PM1.75m | 2:01AM1.65m | 2:26PM1.80m | 3:01AM1.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | 6:52PM0.61m | 7:15AM0.60m | 7:47PM0.58m | 8:07AM0.58m | 8:44PM0.55m | 9:05AM0.55m | |||||||
— | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:43 | |
5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | 5:08 | |
mm | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
Feels °C | 5 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2 | -1 | -1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | S 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 14 | S 12 | S 10 |
61 | 209 | 81 | 455 | 154 | 94 | 213 | — | — | — | 102 | 419 | 269 | 241 | 173 | 192 | 154 | 108 | 254 | 146 | 80 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSW 16 | NNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | S 20 | — | — | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
8 | 85 | 7 | 74 | 65 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | 204 | 77 | 44 | 48 | 40 | 296 | 222 | 73 | 49 | 43 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | NW 8 | NNW 9 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | — | — | — | E 10 | E 10 |
— | 31 | 3 | 7 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 40 | 65 | — | — | — | 2 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | ESE 8 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | SSW 6 | — | — | N 2 | NNW 3 | NNW 4 |
1241 | 199 | 1055 | 605 | 758 | 402 | 522 | 3158 | 6443 | 6311 | 2796 | 830 | 469 | 447 | 144 | 48 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 34 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 271 | 25 | 59 | 59 | 110 | 129 | 169 | 201 | 206 | 206 | 206 | 158 | 116 | 63 | 110 | 116 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











