Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 pm 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
12.7° C
0.6° 

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, SSW swell with 5,768 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sat 1st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Best Surf 9PM (Sat 1st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sat 1st Aug)16ft (5.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Look, we’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands this week. The next week or so is pretty lacklustre, with the first sniff of anything worth paddling out for not showing up until Sunday, August 2nd. After that, the surf hangs in there for a solid run, but there are a few days that just aren’t worth the hassle. Let’s break it down.

The earliest decent call is Sunday morning, August 2nd at Lyall Bay. It’s not firing, but it’s the first time we get something rideable. Swell is a clean 7ft from the south, with a moderate offshore northerly breeze keeping things tidy. The wave energy is moderate (1198), and that south swell is right on the money for this spot. It's a bit on the punchy side for beginners—over 5ft—but for the average surfer, it’s a solid go. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about average for this time of year. Crowds can turn up here sometimes, so you might have company.

Monday, August 3rd drops off a notch. The morning has a manageable 3ft south groundswell, with a long 13-second period. That’s clean and glassy with a light cross-offshore breeze, but the energy is low (497). It’s a better session for a longboard or a cruiser. The afternoon picks up a bit to 4ft from the SSW, but the tide might mess with it a little.

Tuesday, August 4th is a write-off. The swell is there—7ft and 8ft—but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore from the SE/SSE, and it’s going to be choppy and messy. Not worth it.

Wednesday, August 5th is poor. The swell is 6ft but with onshore wind and a cross-onshore angle. There’s no clean face to be had.

Now, the real standout of the whole forecast is Thursday morning, August 6th. This is a beauty. Swell is 3ft from the south, with a 11-second period, and the wind is dead glassy from the NNE at just 3 mph. The wave energy is low (409), but that doesn’t matter when it’s that clean. It’s a proper glass-off session, and the south swell matches the optimum direction for the break. This is your best bet for a fun, mellow paddle.

Friday, August 7th is a big one. The swell jumps to 13ft from the south in the morning, with a 10-second period, and 12ft in the afternoon. The wind is cross-shore, but that swell is way too big for Lyall Bay. It’s expert territory only, and even then, the combined wave energy is extreme (3284 and 2079). This is more of a show than a surf.

Saturday morning, August 8th is a gem. Another glassy session with a 4ft SSW groundswell, 10-second period, and dead calm wind. That is going to be clean as a whistle. The energy is moderate (706), and the direction is spot-on.

Sunday morning, August 9th is a strong option for experienced surfers. The swell is 6ft from the south, 11-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is strong (1544), and the forecast says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. It’s not a beginner wave at that size.

After that, Monday, August 10th is a nice way to finish. The morning has 4ft from the south, clean and cross-offshore. The afternoon goes glassy with a 3ft ESE swell. That’s a good little afternoon session.

From Tuesday, August 11th onward, it’s a long dry spell. The swell drops right off, wind turns onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy disappears. That gap runs through to the end of the forecast, with nothing worth mentioning.

So, to sum it up: The standout is Thursday morning, August 6th for that glassy, clean 3ft south swell. Saturday, August 8th follows close behind for another glass-off. If you’re after a bit more power, Sunday morning, August 9th is your call, but it’s for the experienced crew.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu night, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Thu night, light winds from the SW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Thu
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
ESE
11
0.4
ESE
11
0.4
ESE
11
0.3
SE
16
1.7
SSW
6
5
SSW
11
4.5
S
12
3
S
12
2.2
S
11
1.6
S
11
1.2
SSE
11
0.9
S
13
1.3
SSW
12
1.7
SSW
15
2.2
S
11
2.5
S
12
2.3
S
12
1.8
S
12
1.8
S
12
1.3
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
74
40
40
38
181
5768
5539
2624
1128
584
346
263
519
1292
1128
1911
1530
902
887
426
Wind (km/h)
45
NNW
45
NNW
40
NW
40
WNW
40
SSW
45
S
40
S
10
SW
20
N
25
N
35
NNW
10
WNW
15
NW
30
SSE
15
SE
15
SSE
35
S
20
SSE
10
SSE
10
NE
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
off
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
5:16PM1.51m
5:52AM1.41m
6:04PM1.50m
6:40AM1.42m
6:54PM1.50m
7:27AM1.44m
7:46PM1.50m
8:15AM1.48m
8:39PM1.52m
9:01AM1.53m
9:29PM1.55m
9:47AM1.59m
10:17PM1.57m
Low Tide
11:57PM0.74m
11:52AM0.71m
00:46AM0.72m
12:39PM0.70m
1:33AM0.70m
1:29PM0.68m
2:19AM0.69m
2:21PM0.67m
3:05AM0.67m
3:15PM0.66m
3:50AM0.66m
4:07PM0.64m
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:30
7:28
7:28
7:26
7:24
7:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:22
5:23
5:24
5:25
5:27
5:28
5:29
 mm
2
Temp °C
12
13
12
11
10
7
8
8
9
10
10
13
14
10
8
8
9
8
8
6
Feels °C
3
3
3
2
3
-3
0
2
3
4
2
8
10
3
4
3
2
2
4
3
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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