Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ESE swell with 2,786 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.3m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 05) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this is a bleak stretch for the Bay. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing for days on end. The first surf worth even mentioning doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 14th of July. That’s a solid ten-day wait from the start of the period with no real options. Gonna be a tough one for the crew.
The small window of hope comes on Tuesday the 14th. The morning sees a light offshore breeze from the NNE, cleaning up a tiny 2ft swell pushin’ in from the ESE. It’s not gonna be epic, but it’ll be ridable. The combined energy is weak at 186 (186), so you’ll be working for every little bump. The afternoon holds similar with a moderate offshore from the N, still 2ft from the ESE. Water temp is sittin’ at 53°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year – nothing wild, just a bit nippy, but nothing a good 4/3 won’t handle.
Now, for the rest of the run, it’s pretty grim. The swell tries to pump up a few times, but the wind just ruins it. Monday the 6th of July, you’ll see a big 10ft southerly swell roll in, but it’s got a short 7-second period and a screaming 31 mph southerly wind on it. That’s a washout – the energy is massive at 1140 (1140), but it’s unsurfable. A few days later, Wednesday the 8th of July morning, the swell jumps to 12ft from the SSE, but again, it’s too big for this break and the wind is junk. The energy is 1758 (1758), but it’s a no-go zone unless you’re a masochist with a big wave gun and a death wish.
The second week doesn’t offer much relief. Friday the 17th of July brings a long-period 5ft SSE groundswell (period 17 seconds) with a combined energy of 1089 (1089), but it’s onshore and choppy. That long period will make the lines fat and straight on the beach anyway. It’s a pass.
So, the only true standout – and I use that word lightly – is Tuesday the 14th of July. It’s not gonna be a classic, but it’s the cleanest, most manageable surf of the entire forecast. Get out there if you’re desperate for a paddle.
Stay salty.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sun night). Mainly near gales. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 65mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, gales from the S by Thu afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 122 | 1551 | 609 | 288 | 802 | 486 | 386 | 258 | 1377 | 2045 | 570 | 579 | 1288 | 1984 | 1811 | 1874 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | off | cross-on | on | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:12PM1.50m | 8:42AM1.45m | 9:01PM1.51m | 9:26AM1.48m | 9:49PM1.53m | 10:09AM1.53m | 10:36PM1.55m | 10:55AM1.58m | 11:23PM1.58m | 11:44AM1.63m | 00:12AM1.61m | 12:36PM1.69m | 1:04AM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:55PM0.71m | 2:48AM0.69m | 2:42PM0.69m | 3:31AM0.67m | 3:30PM0.68m | 4:13AM0.66m | 4:19PM0.67m | 4:57AM0.65m | 5:09PM0.65m | 5:41AM0.63m | 6:00PM0.63m | 6:26AM0.62m | 6:52PM0.61m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | |
 | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — |
 | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Feels °C | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 1 | -2 | -2 | 0 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NW 8 | E 10 | S 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 | E 9 | ESE 11 | SSW 17 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 25 | 23 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 609 | 288 | 355 | 486 | 386 | 43 | 88 | 27 | 106 | 116 | 54 | 56 | 49 | 85 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 17 | S 15 | E 10 | E 10 | SSW 18 | E 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | E 10 | SSW 13 | — | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 61 | 52 | 48 | 74 | 46 | 56 | — | — | 44 | 40 | 31 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | S 16 | — | NW 9 | S 14 | NW 8 | E 10 | SSW 16 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | — | — | — | S 21 | SSW 14 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 85 | 7 | 6 | 65 | 29 | — | — | — | 8 | 19 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | SSW 6 | S 8 | — | SE 6 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | — | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 218 | 226 | 276 | 116 | 54 | 122 | 1551 | — | 70 | 802 | 460 | — | 258 | 1377 | 2045 | 570 | 579 | 1288 | 1984 | 1811 | 1874 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 54 | 54 | 144 | 54 | 54 | 59 | 145 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 43 | 38 | 38 | 43 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 195 | 169 | 169 | 110 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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