Lyall Bay Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.33° S 174.80° E

Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 02 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Lyall Bay sea temperature is
13.0° C
0.9° 

Lyall Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Lyall Bay surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 7,993 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 5.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 6PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Mon 3rd Aug)4ft (1.2m) 12s
Best Surf 9AM (Thu 6th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 10s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 4th Aug)18ft (5.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Well, Lyall Bay is the only spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks, and it’s a real mixed bag. We’ve got a decent run starting from Sunday afternoon, but a big southerly blast mid-week is going to shut things down for a few days. The water temperature is sitting at 55°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first standout is Sunday afternoon, 2nd August. The breeze is clean offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, with a 4 ft swell from the SSE at 12 seconds. The wave energy is moderate (912), and the whole setup is looking very good. Expect clean, fun waves, and with that offshore wind, it’ll be a ripper session.

We’ve got a few smaller windows on Monday (3rd August) with a light offshore again in the afternoon, but the swell is a touch smaller. Tuesday and Wednesday are a write-off thanks to a strong southerly gale – we’re talking 20 ft swell on Tuesday morning, way too big for this spot, and the wind is howling onshore. That energy is off the charts (9089), but it’s a no-go for paddle surfing. If you’re into kites, that setup might be more your thing.

After the storm clears, Thursday morning, 6th August looks magic. Glassy conditions, a light westerly breeze, and a 5 ft swell from the south at 11 seconds. The wave energy is moderate (758), and it’s glassy clean. This is your second standout – get in the water.

The next decent window is Sunday morning, 9th August. Again, glassy conditions with a light ESE breeze, and a 5 ft swell from the south at 15 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll have plenty of punch, but at a beach break like Lyall Bay, it might be a bit straight. Still, the energy is strong (1299), and it’s clean.

After that, things get a bit patchy. The second week sees a lot of small, weak swells and onshore winds. There’s a brief window on Tuesday, 11th August with a clean cross-offshore breeze and a 4 ft SSE swell, but it’s not a standout. From the 12th onward, the swell drops right off – we’re talking 0.7 ft to 2 ft, with very low energy (26 to 174). The wind is all over the place, and the waves are mostly blown out or tiny. That’s a long stretch of flatness, but it’s normal for this area when the weather settles.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday afternoon, 2nd August, and Thursday morning, 6th August, are your best bets. The 9th is worth a look too, but keep an eye on the tide. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Mon morning, near gales from the SSW by Tue night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 5°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the NNW by Fri morning).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
SSE
11
1.1
S
13
1.2
SSW
12
1.9
SSW
14
5.5
SSW
12
5.5
SSW
11
5.5
S
11
4
S
12
3
S
12
1.9
S
11
1.6
SSE
10
1.4
S
10
1.6
SSE
10
1.6
S
16
1.9
S
15
1.6
S
12
1.4
S
12
1.3
S
11
0.8
S
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
366
402
447
1512
7993
7656
6687
3887
2416
866
491
384
512
1334
1614
787
520
396
364
Wind (km/h)
35
N
5
WSW
20
N
10
SSE
50
SSW
50
SSW
50
SSW
35
SSW
20
SSW
15
SSW
5
NW
15
N
20
N
35
NNW
45
NW
40
NNW
30
NNW
25
NNW
10
SSE
Wind State
off
cross
off
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
glassy
off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
on
High Tide
8:15AM1.48m
8:39PM1.52m
9:01AM1.53m
9:29PM1.55m
9:47AM1.59m
10:17PM1.57m
10:35AM1.64m
11:05PM1.60m
11:25AM1.69m
11:54PM1.62m
12:17PM1.73m
00:46AM1.62m
Low Tide
2:19AM0.69m
2:21PM0.67m
3:05AM0.67m
3:15PM0.66m
3:50AM0.66m
4:07PM0.64m
4:36AM0.63m
4:58PM0.61m
5:22AM0.60m
5:48PM0.58m
6:09AM0.57m
6:39PM0.54m
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
rain showers
clear
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:24
7:24
7:22
7:22
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:27
5:28
5:29
5:30
5:30
5:31
 mm
5
1
3
5
1
1
3
Temp °C
10
12
14
9
7
6
6
7
8
7
7
8
8
11
11
12
13
13
11
Feels °C
3
9
9
3
-5
-6
-7
-2
2
3
4
4
4
1
2
6
8
8
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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