Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, it’s a bit of a mixed bag to start with. The first few days are pretty grim, with poor conditions and not much to get excited about. We’ve got a long wait before anything really good shows up.

The first real chance of a decent wave isn’t until Sunday the 13th of September. That morning, the stars nearly align. The swell is a solid 7 ft from the S, with a period of 13 seconds – that’s some proper groundswell energy pushing in (1499). The wind is glassy, completely off the water, so it’s going to be as clean as it gets. This is definitely the standout of the whole forecast period, but it’s a serious paddle. Over 8 ft and it’s experts only, so this 7 ft is right on the edge for beginners. It’s a big, powerful wave for those who can handle it. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

After that, the tail end of the week and into the next looks like the most consistent run. The morning of Monday the 14th has a nice 5 ft S swell (710) with a moderate offshore breeze from the NNW, making for clean, fun waves. The afternoon drops a touch to 5 ft (483) with gentler offshore winds – a good, long session on the cards.

The pattern then gets messy again. We get a few days of strong offshore winds, which clean things up, but the swell gets small and the wind is howling, making it hard to paddle into anything. The period on the 15th and 16th is mixed, with some short-period junk in there.

The second week looks less promising overall. There’s a few mornings with tiny, clean waves but nothing with any real punch. The 19th of September sees a 10 ft SSW swell (896) hit, but it’s short-period (7 seconds) and the wind is offshore, which is a bit of a wild card. That size is strictly for the experienced crew, and the short period means it’ll be a bit walled-up and messy.

From the 20th onwards, it’s a lot of marginal or poor surf. The 23rd has a glassy morning with a tiny 1 ft, and the 24th morning has a 7 ft S swell (389) but with a short period and cross-offshore winds that might clean it up a bit. It’s not a write-off, but it’s far from the standout Sunday.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an experienced surfer, keep your eyes on Sunday the 13th of September. That’s your best bet. The Monday and Tuesday after that are good for a solid session, but the rest of the window is mostly a waiting game. The break is inconsistent and a bit of a fickle spot, so a blank run like this isn’t unusual. Stay tuned.

Rusty.

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