Lyall Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Well, it’s a mixed bag for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got some real solid pulses of energy on the way, but the timing and size mean you’ve gotta pick your moments. The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

The first proper chance kicks off Monday the 14th. Morning’s looking tidy with a clean 6ft S swell, 12-second period, and light offshore N winds. The combined energy is decent at 911 (moderate). It’s not massive, but it’s got shape and it’s clean. That afternoon stays clean with 5ft S swell, but it’s a notch smaller.

Tuesday the 15th drops off quick. Swell drops to under 3ft and the wind gets up to 15-18 mph from the N, still offshore but too breezy for good quality.

Wednesday the 16th is a write-off. Swell tiny, wind howling near 31 mph. Don’t bother.

Thursday the 17th morning has a weak 1ft swell, but the afternoon throws up a messy 8ft SSW swell with a short 7-second period and onshore wind. Looks more like a washing machine than surf.

Friday the 18th is no good either – onshore winds and a lumpy 5ft S swell.

Saturday the 19th morning is a brief highlight. Clean, offshore N breeze, and a 3ft SSW swell with a long 14-second period. Combined energy is 468 (moderate). That long period means it’ll have some grunt and better shape, but it’s small – better for a longboard or a funboard.

Sunday the 20th is similar. Clean, light offshore winds, 3ft SSW swell, 13-12 seconds. Smooth, but again, not big.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting – and a bit nuts. Tuesday the 22nd afternoon goes glassy with zero wind, and a 10ft SSW swell rolls in. That’s expert territory, way too big for beginners. The combined energy is 945 (moderate-strong). This is a big, powerful swell but it’s a beach break, so it’ll be closing out and dumping. For the experts only, and expect a crowd.

Wednesday the 23rd is even bigger. Morning hits 15ft SSW swell (4432 combined energy – very strong), then afternoon drops to 12ft S swell (2723). Both with offshore winds. This is massive, dangerous, and only for the most experienced. Beginners and intermediates, stay on the sand.

Thursday the 24th still has a 8-10ft SSE swell (2510-2651 energy) with strong offshore winds. Still too big for most, but if you’re a charger, that morning window with the 12-second period might have some corners.

Friday the 25th settles down. Afternoon looks the pick: a clean 5ft SSE swell, 10-second period, light offshore NNW breeze. Combined energy 526 (moderate). That’s the first day that’s genuinely approachable for a wider crew.

Saturday the 26th is blown out with strong onshore S winds, forget it.

Sunday the 27th morning is marginal with 5ft SSW swell and offshore wind, but the afternoon jumps back up to 10ft SE swell – too big again.

Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th are a mix of big swell and strong winds, not worth chasing.

Best on offer? Monday the 14th morning is your standout: clean 6ft S swell with a light offshore breeze and decent energy. It’s not a monster, but it’s the most user-friendly quality session of the whole run. For the brave, Tuesday the 22nd afternoon is glassy and huge, but only if you know what you’re doing.

Signing off, Rusty.

Read more