Surf Forecasts:
Lyall Bay surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, S swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, S swell with 3,786 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 9s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Lyall Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Lyall Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 7s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Lyall Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the cards for Lyall Bay over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, and you’ll need to be patient.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a wait. The first worthwhile surf is a small window on Saturday the 30th of August. The swell is tiny, only 2ft from the SSW, but the wind is offshore and clean. It’s more of a longboard session for the beginner crew, but it's surfable. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year, so not a bad deal.
The real standout, the one that’s got my attention, is shaping up for Wednesday the 2nd of September. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the S, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell with some real energy behind it (combined energy of 3174). The morning is looking clean with a cross-offshore wind. This is expert territory though – at that size, it’s not for the faint of heart. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break, so expect some powerful, well-shaped lines.
Following that, Thursday the 3rd drops back off, with strong winds and only 5ft of weaker swell. Not worth the paddle.
Then there’s a promising blip on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning brings a clean 6ft SSW swell with a gentle offshore wind. The energy is moderate (1051), and the conditions look very good. This is a much more manageable size for a confident intermediate, and the offshore wind will keep it glassy. The afternoon cleans up even more, dropping to 5ft but with a solid offshore breeze.
After that, the picture gets a bit messy again. A lot of days with strong winds and small, weak swell. We’ve got a big gap of poor conditions through the middle of the week.
The very last standout is on Sunday the 13th of September. The morning offers a clean 4ft swell from the S, with a moderate offshore wind and a period of 11 seconds. The energy is moderate (516) and the conditions look good. It’s a solid, fun-sized wave for a Sunday session, but it’s a long way off, so keep an eye on the charts.
The one big caveat for Lyall Bay is the crowd. It’s a popular spot, and when it’s good, it can get busy. On the standout days, expect a few other heads in the water.
So, to sum it up: the best of the best is that Wednesday morning (2nd of September) for the big-wave crew, and Sunday morning (13th of September) for a more approachable, fun session. The rest of the time, the wind is just too strong and the swell too weak to get excited about.
Stay patient, and I’ll see you out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 7°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the NNW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 13 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
184 | 100 | 77 | 127 | 273 | 1366 | 1220 | 1725 | 3460 | 3776 | 2831 | 2431 | 3786 | 1419 | 584 | 327 | 149 | 49 | 42 | 151 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:34PM1.51m | 6:06AM1.46m | 6:28PM1.52m | 6:57AM1.50m | 7:24PM1.54m | 7:48AM1.56m | 8:18PM1.56m | 8:38AM1.62m | 9:10PM1.59m | 9:27AM1.67m | 10:00PM1.61m | 10:16AM1.71m | 10:48PM1.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:10AM0.72m | 12:13PM0.68m | 1:01AM0.71m | 1:08PM0.67m | 1:50AM0.69m | 2:06PM0.65m | 2:39AM0.67m | 3:02PM0.62m | 3:27AM0.63m | 3:55PM0.59m | 4:15AM0.59m | 4:46PM0.55m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 6 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | WNW 5 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | — | S 11 | S 12 | S 13 | S 16 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 |
184 | 100 | 77 | 127 | 49 | 1366 | 1220 | 1725 | — | 2905 | 2831 | 2431 | 3786 | 1419 | 584 | 327 | 149 | 49 | 17 | 151 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | S 18 | SE 13 | — | — | — | SE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
20 | 23 | 32 | 17 | 273 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | 743 | 6 | — | — | — | 5 | 19 | 42 | 22 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSW 14 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | — | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | S 9 | SE 11 |
26 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 5 | NW 4 | NNW 3 | NW 5 | S 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | — | NW 4 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 5 |
54 | 40 | 6 | 98 | 43 | 202 | 138 | 220 | 3460 | 3776 | — | 21 | 178 | 192 | 427 | 421 | 309 | 415 | 200 | 186 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 38 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 59 | 126 | 211 | 59 | 25 | 38 | 3 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 63 | 77 | 77 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Lyall Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Lyall Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Lyall Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Lyall Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Lyall Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Lyall Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Lyall Bay is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











