
Surf Forecasts:
Houghton Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 11s period, S swell with 6,241 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Houghton Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Houghton Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Houghton Bay in the next 16 days are 5.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Houghton Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag for Houghton Bay. We’ve got a bit of a quiet start, then a big nasty pulse of wind and swell that’ll shut things down, but there are a couple of windows of clean, fun surf if you’re patient.
We kick off on Tuesday, 28 July, and that’s the best we’re gonna see for a while. Tuesday morning is the standout. You’ve got clean 4ft swell from the ESE with a solid 12-second period. The wind is light offshore from the north, making for clean, lined-up waves. The water temp is 55°, just about average for this time of year, so a decent 4/3 will do. The combined energy is moderate at 561, so there’s some push. It’s a bit inconsistent, so you’ll have to wait for the sets, but the quality is there. Tuesday afternoon drops off a little to 4ft, but still clean and cross-off, so you can get a session in.
Then the wind cranks. Wednesday 29 July through to Friday 31 July is a write-off. Strong offshore winds, 22-28 mph, blowing the guts out of the swell. The waves are tiny, 1.0ft to 3ft. Not worth paddling for.
Saturday 1 August and Sunday 2 August are a full-on, angry ocean. Southerly gales, 31 mph, slamming onshore. The swell jumps to 15ft to 16ft, with massive energy readings of 4087 and 6325. That’s a huge, powerful, and messy swell. This is a full-blown, expert-only situation, and honestly, Houghton Bay is a beach and reef setup, so with that kind of power and onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. If you’re into kite surfing, this might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard no.
We get a break on Monday 3 August morning. The wind swings back to a light offshore from the north, only 3 mph. The swell is a clean 5ft from the SSE with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate at 572. This is a solid, clean option, but Monday afternoon the wind picks up again, making it hard work.
Tuesday 4 August morning is a real gem. The wind goes glassy, the swell is 6ft from the south with a short 6-second period, which means it’ll be a bit weak and choppy. Still, glassy conditions are so rare you have to take it. The energy is moderate at 527. The afternoon turns onshore and messy.
The rest of the first week into August stays marginal. Light winds, mixed swell, but nothing to get excited about until we get a glassy morning again on Thursday 6 August with 4ft from the south and 11-second period. It’s clean, but small.
Now, looking ahead to the second week, there’s one big, promising but uncertain event. Friday 7 August and Saturday 8 August. We’ve got a massive 20ft and 18ft swell from the south on Friday, with a very long 14-second period. The energy is through the roof... 13566 on Friday morning. That’s a huge groundswell. The problem is the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be lumpy. A long period groundswell like this, with that size, is best for a reef or point, not a beach. It might be alright for experts on the sets, but the chop will be a battle. Saturday 8 August is still a big 10ft, but the wind is a little lighter and more cross-onshore. It’s marginal.
So, to wrap it up: Tuesday 28 July morning is the hands-down best on offer. Clean, offshore, waist-to-chest high fun. The second standout is the glassy Tuesday 4 August morning, but it’s a short period, so manage expectations. The big south swell on 7-8 August is a huge, powerful beast, but it’s not clean, so it’s going to be a meaty, messy challenge.
Stay safe, and keep an eye on the sky.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (calm on Tue afternoon, near gales from the NNW by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Sat morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Fri morning, light winds from the E by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 16 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
504 | 437 | 421 | 265 | 217 | 164 | 109 | 74 | 71 | 40 | 37 | 83 | 151 | 3919 | 4539 | 4189 | 6241 | 1201 | 391 | 275 | 228 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | off | off | off |
High Tide | 3:48PM1.55m | 4:20AM1.43m | 4:31PM1.53m | 5:05AM1.41m | 5:16PM1.51m | 5:52AM1.41m | 6:04PM1.50m | 6:40AM1.42m | 6:54PM1.50m | 7:27AM1.44m | 7:46PM1.50m | 8:15AM1.48m | 8:39PM1.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:34AM0.77m | 10:17PM0.76m | 10:20AM0.75m | 11:06PM0.75m | 11:06AM0.73m | 11:57PM0.74m | 11:52AM0.71m | 00:46AM0.72m | 12:39PM0.70m | 1:33AM0.70m | 1:29PM0.68m | 2:19AM0.69m | 2:21PM0.67m | ||||||||
7:33 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -3 | -2 | -1 | -4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SSW 11 | SE 15 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 |
504 | 437 | 421 | 265 | 217 | 164 | 109 | 74 | 71 | 40 | 25 | 83 | 151 | 149 | 125 | 62 | 84 | 1201 | 391 | 275 | 200 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ESE 11 | SSW 11 | NW 6 | E 10 | E 12 | — | — | SE 12 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 |
57 | 57 | 33 | 20 | 40 | 125 | 67 | 60 | 34 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 14 | 19 | 11 | — | — | 24 | 108 | 100 | 228 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 8 | S 15 | SSW 9 | SSW 18 | S 18 | — | — | ESE 12 | SE 15 | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | — | — | S 22 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSE 11 |
— | — | 23 | 5 | 8 | 102 | 6 | — | — | 14 | 37 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | — | 9 | 73 | 60 | 50 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 4 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 11 | — | NNW 2 | NNW 4 | NW 4 |
— | — | — | 32 | 91 | 209 | 229 | 183 | 341 | 269 | 171 | 213 | 54 | 3919 | 4539 | 4189 | 6241 | — | 1 | 47 | 14 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 54 | 60 | 62 | 109 | 65 | 62 | 114 | 62 | 109 | 109 | 61 | 62 | 254 | 28 | 0 | 38 | 38 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Wellington | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Houghton Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Houghton Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Houghton Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Houghton Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Houghton Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Houghton Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Houghton Bay is 7 km (4 miles) from the city of Wellington. If you plan a holiday in Wellington, look for hotels and other accommodation in Wellington. Wellington has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










