Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period, ESE swell with 240 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 10s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 1.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here.
Look, I’ll level with you – this Whangamata Estuary stretch has got absolutely nothing going on across the entire 16-day window. There’s a long, flat gap from the start, right through to Friday the 10th of July, and it just doesn’t get any better. Every single session comes up as poor surf conditions. Not one wave worth paddling for.
What little bump we do see is tiny. Saturday morning the 11th might nudge up to about 4ft from the ESE, but the wind is cross and the energy’s only moderate (348). Even then, the forecasters aren’t keen. That’s as big as it gets, and it’s still rubbish. The rest of the time we’re looking at knee-high mush, mostly under 2ft, with combined energy often below 100 (weak). There’s a brief glassy moment Sunday afternoon the 12th, but the swell’s only 2ft with period at 9 seconds – barely a ripple.
The water temp’s sitting around 60°, right on average for the time of year. Not worth suiting up for.
The wind does clean up here and there – some offshore or glassy spells on the 14th, 15th, and 16th of July – but with zero push behind it, you’re just staring at flat water. Even the small 3ft bump on the 19th with a fresh cross-off breeze is only 5-second junk. That’s more of a kite session than a surf.
Honestly, mate, this is one of those blank runs where the area just shuts down. Nothing consistent, nothing breaking. The forecasts can always change, but right now there’s nothing to get excited about. Give it a miss until something shows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | ENE 9 | N 4 | N 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 6 | E 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 90 | 175 | 223 | 122 | 61 | 63 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 47 | 52 | 33 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 30 | 21 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:43AM1.71m | 3:27PM1.71m | 3:44AM1.74m | 4:28PM1.78m | 4:45AM1.77m | 5:28PM1.86m | 5:46AM1.81m | 6:27PM1.94m | 6:45AM1.85m | 7:23PM1.99m | 7:42AM1.87m | 8:17PM2.02m | 8:37AM1.86m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:35PM0.37m | 9:07AM0.20m | 9:37PM0.35m | 10:06AM0.15m | 10:40PM0.30m | 11:07AM0.10m | 11:43PM0.24m | 12:06PM0.05m | 00:43AM0.18m | 1:04PM0.01m | 1:41AM0.12m | 1:59PM-0.01m | 2:37AM0.08m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 |
 | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | 5:17 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ENE 5 | NE 12 | ENE 4 | E 10 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 |
| kJ | 90 | 175 | 125 | 122 | 61 | 63 | 41 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 30 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 13 | — | E 6 | — | E 12 | N 10 | NE 10 | E 8 | N 9 | E 8 | NE 11 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 12 | E 13 | E 12 |
| kJ | — | 3 | — | 11 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 10 | NE 12 | NE 11 | N 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 7 | E 18 | E 16 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SSE 5 | ESE 10 | — | ESE 3 | SSE 3 | — | — | E 5 | ENE 9 | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 21 | 46 | 223 | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 7 | 47 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 64 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 106 | 106 | 239 | 134 | 4 | 2 | 64 | 106 | 236 | 106 | 113 | 209 | 9 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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