Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NNE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NE swell with 778 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been going over the charts for Whangamata Estuary, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t even show up until Monday afternoon, the 6th of July, and even then, it’s a bit of a tease. The water’s sitting at 60°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no need to worry about any weird temperature shifts.
The overall pattern is a series of pulses that are mostly buggered by wind or lack of size. There’s a solid run of poor surf from the 7th right through to the 14th of July, that’s a solid week of nothing much to get excited about. The real highlight, if you can call it that, is that Monday afternoon on the 6th. The swell is pushing 8 ft from the north, with a moderate combined energy (1219), and the wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNW at 15 mph. That’s your best bet for the whole 16 days – it’ll have some punch, but at 8 ft it’s getting into the zone where you’d want to be comfortable on a bigger board. The period is 8 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, but with that clean wind it’ll have some shape. The Wednesday morning on the 8th of July is another look, with 5 ft from the NNE and a clean cross-offshore from the SW at 15 mph, combined energy at 898. That’s a solid, clean wave for a more experienced surfer, but it’s not a standout like that Monday.
The rest of the window is a tough slog. There’s glassy conditions on the 12th and 13th, but the swell is tiny, around 2 ft, with nothing behind it. Later on, the 15th of July sees some clean offshore winds from the west, but the swell is only 4 ft from the north, and the energy is 212 – it’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. The 18th of July gets a pulse of 6 ft from the north, but the wind is a cross-onshore, and the period is short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a messy, lumpy affair. Honestly, the whole setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on most days, especially when the wind picks up.
If you’re keen, paddle out Monday afternoon, the 6th of July, at the Estuary. It’s inconsistent, so be patient, and you might cop a few. The rest of the run is a blank – forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a quiet one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 6°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Thu morning, fresh winds from the S by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | N 8 | E 9 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 379 | 682 | 106 | 183 | 497 | 427 | 322 | 240 | 200 | 186 | 188 | 123 | 69 | 183 | 142 | 48 | 50 | 30 | 21 | 42 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 10:58AM1.55m | 11:19PM1.70m | 11:44AM1.56m | 00:03AM1.70m | 12:34PM1.58m | 00:51AM1.69m | 1:29PM1.61m | 1:44AM1.70m | 2:27PM1.65m | 2:43AM1.71m | 3:27PM1.71m | 3:44AM1.74m | 4:28PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:09PM0.34m | 5:44AM0.32m | 5:54PM0.36m | 6:29AM0.29m | 6:43PM0.38m | 7:17AM0.27m | 7:36PM0.38m | 8:10AM0.23m | 8:35PM0.37m | 9:07AM0.20m | 9:37PM0.35m | 10:06AM0.15m | 10:40PM0.30m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Feels °C | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | E 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SE 5 | E 10 | ESE 10 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 121 | 406 | 94 | 183 | 302 | 58 | 322 | 196 | 200 | 186 | 188 | 123 | 69 | 183 | 67 | 12 | 50 | 30 | 10 | 42 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 12 | E 10 | E 10 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | — | N 14 | N 13 | N 13 | E 10 | — | — | E 9 | N 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | — | 131 | 106 | 91 | 91 | 45 | 296 | 240 | 78 | 28 | 16 | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 48 | — | — | 15 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 6 | — | — | E 12 | E 10 | — | — | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 11 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 40 | — | — | 67 | 244 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 7 | N 8 | — | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | SSE 5 | — | SSW 3 | S 3 | SSW 3 | SSE 5 | SE 6 | SSE 5 | ESE 10 | S 4 | SE 4 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 379 | 682 | — | 94 | 497 | 427 | 36 | — | 1 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 47 | 69 | 142 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 21 | 5 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 239 | 0 | 64 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 158 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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