Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, N swell with 615 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s break down what we’ve got at Whangamata Estuary. This is a beach-and-bar setup, good for beginners when it’s working, but this 16-day run has some big dead spots and just a few brief windows that are worth bothering with.
The first real chance is Sunday morning, July 5th. Clear sky, a light 5 km/h offshore wind from the west – that’ll keep it clean. Swell is 5ft from the NNE, short period at 7 seconds, moderate energy (375). It’s not world-class, but for a beginner spot, this is a fun session. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing unusual.
That window shuts fast. By Sunday afternoon the wind switches to NNE at 10 km/h, cross-onshore, and the swell drops to 3ft – marginal. Monday morning, July 6th, brings a bigger pulse: 8ft from the north at 8 seconds, moderate energy (1133). That’s too big for beginners, and with a 15 km/h NNW cross-off breeze, it’s clean but only for experts. The afternoon drops to 5ft, still north swell, still cross-off.
Then we hit a long, tough stretch. From Tuesday, July 7th, all the way through to Saturday, July 19th, it’s mostly tiny surf or poor conditions. There’s one brief bright spot on Wednesday morning, July 8th: 5ft from the east at 10 seconds, a WSW cross-off breeze at 15 km/h, clean waves and moderate energy (760). That’s your next best look, but by afternoon the wind howls to 25 km/h and it’s done.
Thursday, July 9th, gives you glassy conditions in the afternoon – 3ft from the east, period 10 seconds, with a light SSE breeze making it glassy. That’s a nice little session on a longboard or a foamie.
After that, from Friday, July 10th, through Monday, July 20th, it’s basically flat. Swell heights are between 0.3ft and 2ft, combined energy never hits 100, and even with clean or glassy winds, there’s nothing to ride.
The standout sessions are Sunday morning, July 5th for clean 5ft on a beginner-friendly wave, and Wednesday morning, July 8th for better shape and 5ft if you’ve got some experience. There’s a gap of over a week with no real options, so it’s a real patience test around here.
The Estuary is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run proves it. Crowds are only sometimes a factor, so you’ll likely have plenty of space on the good windows.
Keep an eye on it, check back closer to the day – the long-range stuff is always iffy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NNE by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | NNE 7 | E 10 | E 10 | N 8 | NNW 8 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 7 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 282 | 200 | 162 | 162 | 615 | 264 | 93 | 101 | 212 | 489 | 384 | 279 | 190 | 158 | 127 | 133 | 71 | 66 | 66 | 31 | 30 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:00PM1.71m | 10:15AM1.56m | 10:39PM1.71m | 10:58AM1.55m | 11:19PM1.70m | 11:44AM1.56m | 00:03AM1.70m | 12:34PM1.58m | 00:51AM1.69m | 1:29PM1.61m | 1:44AM1.70m | 2:27PM1.65m | 2:43AM1.71m | 3:27PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:21AM0.35m | 4:27PM0.31m | 5:02AM0.34m | 5:09PM0.34m | 5:44AM0.32m | 5:54PM0.36m | 6:29AM0.29m | 6:43PM0.38m | 7:17AM0.27m | 7:36PM0.38m | 8:10AM0.23m | 8:35PM0.37m | 9:07AM0.20m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 |
mm | 12 | — | — | 12 | — | — | 6 | 2 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
Feels °C | 8 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | E 10 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 7 | E 9 | E 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 282 | 200 | 116 | 162 | 395 | 142 | 82 | 101 | 99 | 489 | 371 | 232 | 190 | 158 | 127 | 133 | 71 | 66 | 66 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 7 | N 7 | NE 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 7 | SSE 4 | SSE 5 | — | N 10 |
| kJ | — | 175 | 162 | — | 123 | 108 | 77 | 61 | 12 | 153 | 384 | 279 | 78 | 40 | 29 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 9 | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 13 | N 13 | NE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 110 | 93 | 73 | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 5 | — | — | NNE 6 | N 8 | NNW 8 | — | NE 8 | NE 7 | ESE 7 | SSE 4 | SW 3 | — | SW 3 | S 3 | SSE 3 | S 3 | SW 2 | S 4 | SW 2 | SSW 2 |
| kJ | 90 | — | — | 62 | 615 | 264 | — | 78 | 212 | 175 | 5 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 239 | 0 | 49 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 106 | 106 | 75 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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