Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period, ESE swell with 55 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 0.3m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next 16 days. It’s been a pretty quiet stretch for the Whangamata Estuary, and honestly, it’s gonna stay that way for a while.
We’re looking at a long, slow start. From now until the 25th of July, you’re mostly dealing with tiny, weak waves. The combined energy is staying well under 100 (like 40 or less), with heights barely pushing 2 ft. It’s poor surf conditions across the board, so don’t even bother waxing up for a bit. There’s a solid 8-day gap here with no real recommendations.
The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Saturday the 25th of July. A northerly swell bumps up to 5 ft, with a period of 8 seconds, and combined energy climbing to 249 (moderate wave energy). The wind is offshore from the WNW at 15 mph, so it’ll be clean. This is your best bet in the whole outlook, but it’s still just “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s a beach/bar setup, so with that size and some energy, it could be a bit more interesting for the kite crew than a paddle session. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Sunday the 26th of July holds some similar 3 ft leftovers from the north, with a bit of cross-offshore wind, keeping it clean. The energy drops to 123 (moderate), so it’s still a decent option if you’re desperate.
Then we hit another gap. The 27th through the 30th of July goes back to tiny, poor surf. The next little spike comes on Friday the 31st of July, with a 3 ft to 4 ft pulse from the NNW and N, with clean offshore winds. That’s a week and a half out, so it’s promising but less certain.
Honestly, if you’re keen, the 25th of July is the standout. It’s not epic, but it’s the best we’ve got. The rest of the window is a waiting game.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 18 | E 18 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | SE 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | ENE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 24 | 55 | 42 | 37 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:37AM1.86m | 9:09PM2.02m | 9:31AM1.84m | 10:00PM1.98m | 10:25AM1.79m | 10:49PM1.91m | 11:17AM1.74m | 11:38PM1.82m | 12:09PM1.68m | 00:27AM1.72m | 1:01PM1.62m | 1:16AM1.63m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:37AM0.08m | 2:53PM-0.00m | 3:30AM0.07m | 3:45PM0.04m | 4:21AM0.09m | 4:36PM0.11m | 5:11AM0.12m | 5:26PM0.21m | 5:59AM0.18m | 6:16PM0.30m | 6:47AM0.25m | 7:06PM0.40m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 4 | E 5 | E 6 | E 5 | ENE 5 |
| kJ | 13 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 37 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 18 | E 18 | NE 10 | E 18 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 26 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 10 | — | NE 10 | E 17 | — | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | NW 4 | N 10 | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | N 9 | E 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | — | 4 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | SW 2 | WSW 3 | WSW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 156 | 156 | 113 | 106 | 113 | 106 | 106 | 130 | 114 | 113 | 128 | 114 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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