
Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, ESE swell with 332 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 17s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s is also forecast. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
Alright mate, we're having a yarn about Whangamata Estuary.
Look, the first week or so is a write-off for anything fun. From this Saturday the 11th right through to Friday the 17th of July, it's mostly tiny, ankle-high slop. The swell energy is barely breaking triple digits. There are a few glassy moments – Sunday the 12th afternoon and Tuesday the 14th afternoon are dead calm – but you'd be chasing 0.3m to 0.5m waves. Just not worth it. There's a dry spell of several days there.
Now, the good stuff. Around Sunday the 19th of July, a proper swell starts showing. 1.8m from the ESE with energy at 361. It's a short period of 7 seconds, but the wind is cross-offshore so it'll be clean. Monday the 20th morning sees it bump up to 1.9m from the ENE, a solid 593 reading, and still clean. That's a nice session.
But the big standout is the handful of days starting Monday the 21st. Glassy conditions in the morning with a 2.1m east swell cranking out energy at 865. That's a really, really good session right there. Then Tuesday the 22nd afternoon, we're talking a 2.5m east swell with a 12-second period, and the energy goes nuts to 1772. Light cross-offshore wind. That's a proper long-period groundswell that will run down the bank. Then Wednesday the 23rd brings 3.0m and 2322 in energy with clean offshore wind. That is big, powerful surf. Over 2.5m means it's expert-only territory. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so expect a few locals out, but the quality will be worth it.
From the 24th on, the swell stays big and clean-ish, but the peak of the entire window is that mid-week run. You won't want to miss it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 8°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sat 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | E 13 | ENE 5 | ESE 17 | ESE 17 | ESE 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
122 | 85 | 61 | 41 | 25 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 30 | 56 | 29 | 48 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:27PM1.71m | 3:44AM1.74m | 4:28PM1.78m | 4:45AM1.77m | 5:28PM1.86m | 5:46AM1.81m | 6:27PM1.94m | 6:45AM1.85m | 7:23PM1.99m | 7:42AM1.87m | 8:17PM2.02m | 8:37AM1.86m | 9:09PM2.02m | 9:31AM1.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:37PM0.35m | 10:06AM0.15m | 10:40PM0.30m | 11:07AM0.10m | 11:43PM0.24m | 12:06PM0.05m | 00:43AM0.18m | 1:04PM0.01m | 1:41AM0.12m | 1:59PM-0.01m | 2:37AM0.08m | 2:53PM-0.00m | 3:30AM0.07m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | |
5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | 5:19 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | N 6 | N 6 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 | ENE 5 | E 4 | E 4 |
122 | 85 | 61 | 41 | 25 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 9 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 12 | NE 10 | NE 10 | E 10 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | E 9 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 12 | E 12 | E 13 | E 12 | NNE 5 | N 5 | ESE 16 |
— | — | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 48 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 12 | NE 12 | N 9 | NE 9 | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | E 18 | ESE 17 | ESE 17 | N 5 |
— | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | N 5 | NNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 3 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | — | SW 3 |
— | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 46 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 30 | 40 | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 20 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 106 | 106 | 124 | 114 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 114 | 236 | 114 | 106 | 113 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 14 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











