Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period, E swell with 144 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 0.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the forecast for the only spot that's been flagged up.
The next week and a half is pretty flat and sad, to be honest. We're looking at a long drought of tiny, messy waves from Monday the 20th of July right through to the end of the month. Most of that time the swell is below 2ft, the energy is weak, and it's just not worth getting wet. The wind is okay on a few afternoons, like Tuesday the 21st when it goes glassy for a bit, but there's just nothing behind it. You’ll be floating around on foam.
Things finally start to look interesting around Thursday the 30th of July. The morning is still small, but that afternoon a new pulse arrives. The swell jumps to 6ft from the north, with a combined energy of 422 – that's moderate energy. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit lumpy and lacking that proper groundswell push, but the wind is light and cross-off, keeping it clean. For a spot that's inconsistent, this is a real standout window. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum ENE, but it's workable. This is the best of the run, and it’s not even a week away.
Friday the 31st of July sees the biggest numbers. We’ve got 8ft swell from the NNW in the morning and a massive combined energy of 1384. That’s strong wave energy, but you’ve got to be careful here. This is a beach/bar set-up, and with a period of 9 seconds it’ll be a bit jumbled and powerful. Over 8ft, this is only for experienced surfers. The wind is cross-off from the NW, so it won't be a complete mess, but the crowd situation? It's a spot that gets crowded sometimes, and with waves this size, expect company. The afternoon drops a touch to 8ft, still solid.
Into the first of August, Saturday morning has a cleaner 6ft from the NNW with a moderate 599 energy and offshore WSW winds. It’s a good option for those who found Friday too big, dropping into a more manageable range. After that, it drops right off again into the first week of August, with nothing else worth chasing. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.
So to wrap up, if you're waiting for something, hold out for Thursday afternoon the 30th of July. That's the one to circle. Friday is for the brave, but that Thursday arvo is the sweet spot.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed morning, min 7°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the W by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 4 | E 7 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | E 10 | ENE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 3 | 11 | 8 | 89 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 87 | 141 | 144 | 138 | 108 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:49PM1.91m | 11:17AM1.74m | 11:38PM1.82m | 12:09PM1.68m | 00:27AM1.72m | 1:01PM1.62m | 1:16AM1.63m | 1:54PM1.57m | 2:06AM1.56m | 2:47PM1.54m | 2:58AM1.52m | 3:39PM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:11AM0.12m | 5:26PM0.21m | 5:59AM0.18m | 6:16PM0.30m | 6:47AM0.25m | 7:06PM0.40m | 7:35AM0.32m | 7:57PM0.47m | 8:24AM0.37m | 8:50PM0.52m | 9:14AM0.41m | 9:43PM0.55m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 10 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | 6 |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 7 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 5 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 |
| kJ | 3 | 11 | 3 | 89 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 87 | 141 | 144 | 138 | 108 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | E 12 | E 11 | E 7 | E 11 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | E 9 | NE 8 | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 6 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | — | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | E 11 | N 8 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | E 11 | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | E 17 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 4 | E 4 | SE 4 | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | E 3 | — | — | — | N 5 | WSW 2 | — | NW 6 | NNW 6 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 19 | 1 | — | 5 | 31 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 130 | 113 | 197 | 209 | 114 | 106 | 217 | 217 | 186 | 236 | 156 | 0 | 0 | 239 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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