Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period, ESE swell with 51 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 0.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The 16-day outlook for Whangamata Estuary starts off with a pretty flat spell that stretches a long way. From Friday 17 July right through to the end of the month, the swell is tiny—mostly 0.7ft to 1ft—with barely any energy behind it. The combined swell energy sits around 40 (weak) or less, often down in the single digits. The water temperature is 59°, which is about average for the time of year, with an anomaly of -0.5°, so nothing unusual there.
The first real chance of anything surfable doesn’t arrive until Saturday 1 August. That morning, we’ve got a 1ft swell from the ENE, period of 15 seconds – that’s a long period groundswell, which is promising for shape. Winds are light offshore from the WSW, so it’ll be clean. The combined energy is still only 82 (weak), so it’s not powerful, but it’s at least surfable. The afternoon picks up a little: 1ft from the NE, still 15 seconds, still light offshore, energy up to 93 (still weak). The break is a beach/bar setup, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect loads of waves. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but with the small size and long period, it’ll be more of a longboard or foiling kind of day. Crowds are possible here, but on a day like this, it’ll be quiet.
Overall, the standout in this whole period is Saturday 1 August. The swell is small, but the wind is good, the water is clean, and the long period gives the waves a bit of push. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off: a long gap of nearly two weeks with no real surf on offer. For this area, that kind of blank run is pretty normal.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 18 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | NE 4 | E 10 | E 10 | E 12 | NE 10 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 24 | 55 | 43 | 37 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 9:09PM2.02m | 9:31AM1.84m | 10:00PM1.98m | 10:25AM1.79m | 10:49PM1.91m | 11:17AM1.74m | 11:38PM1.82m | 12:09PM1.68m | 00:27AM1.72m | 1:01PM1.62m | 1:16AM1.63m | 1:54PM1.57m | 2:06AM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:53PM-0.00m | 3:30AM0.07m | 3:45PM0.04m | 4:21AM0.09m | 4:36PM0.11m | 5:11AM0.12m | 5:26PM0.21m | 5:59AM0.18m | 6:16PM0.30m | 6:47AM0.25m | 7:06PM0.40m | 7:35AM0.32m | 7:57PM0.47m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | ESE 17 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | N 7 | N 7 | — |
| kJ | 12 | 55 | 43 | 37 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 18 | NE 10 | E 18 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | N 9 | N 8 | E 12 | NE 10 | N 8 |
| kJ | 24 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | — | NE 10 | E 17 | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 9 | E 10 | E 10 | — | E 10 | — |
| kJ | 4 | — | 4 | 5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 2 | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | E 4 | ENE 4 | ESE 3 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 134 | 156 | 156 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 9 | 113 | 197 | 216 | 158 | 106 | 236 | 236 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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