Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, NNW swell with 210 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here, delivering the straight goods for Whangamata Estuary.
Over the next 16 days, from July 20th to August 4th, there’s absolutely nothing worth paddling for. The swell is tiny – not even 3 feet anywhere in the window – mostly 2 feet or less. Wave energy is weak, all under 100 (combined energy numbers like 19, 17, 45). Water temp is about 59°F, totally normal for this time of year.
The wind does blow offshore occasionally, like Wednesday the 22nd with a light westerly, and Saturday the 25th with a 16 mph offshore breeze, but with only 1-2 feet of swell it’s just a flat, clean bathtub. The swell direction is mostly east-northeast, which is the best angle for this spot, but the size is pathetic. Even the longer-period swells – 13 seconds on the 27th, 21 seconds on the 30th – don’t bring any energy. The 4th of August has a 3-foot north swell with a short 7-second period, still tiny.
This break is inconsistent to begin with, so a drought like this is normal. The crowds that sometimes show up won’t be an issue – nobody’s out. If you’re really itching, the 25th and 26th have the cleanest conditions (offshore wind and glassy), but it’s barely a ripple. Keep the board in the car and hope the next front delivers.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 8°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the W by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | NE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | E 10 | E 10 | E 6 | E 5 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | N 7 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 11 | 9 | 45 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 56 | 26 | 13 | 61 | 58 | 35 | 38 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:17AM1.74m | 11:38PM1.82m | 12:09PM1.68m | 00:27AM1.72m | 1:01PM1.62m | 1:16AM1.63m | 1:54PM1.57m | 2:06AM1.56m | 2:47PM1.54m | 2:58AM1.52m | 3:39PM1.53m | 3:50AM1.50m | 4:31PM1.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:26PM0.21m | 5:59AM0.18m | 6:16PM0.30m | 6:47AM0.25m | 7:06PM0.40m | 7:35AM0.32m | 7:57PM0.47m | 8:24AM0.37m | 8:50PM0.52m | 9:14AM0.41m | 9:43PM0.55m | 10:05AM0.42m | 10:36PM0.54m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — |
mm | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | — | 7 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | NE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | E 6 | E 5 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | N 7 | N 8 | E 9 | NNW 7 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 |
| kJ | 11 | 9 | 45 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 56 | 19 | 13 | 34 | 58 | 35 | 38 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | N 7 | E 11 | N 8 | N 8 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 4 | 61 | 31 | 5 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 8 | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 11 | E 6 | E 11 | E 10 | — | E 11 | — | E 10 | NE 8 | — | NE 8 | N 6 |
| kJ | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 9 | 3 | — | 3 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | SE 4 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | W 2 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 2 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 117 | 114 | 197 | 216 | 114 | 106 | 236 | 236 | 245 | 245 | 4 | 75 | 216 | 227 | 265 | 130 | 9 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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