Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, NNW swell with 303 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the Whangamata Estuary.
Truth be told, mate, it's a pretty grim outlook for the next 16 days. The only break we've got info on is the Whangamata Estuary itself, and for the first week or so, it's a struggle. We're looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. The water's sitting at 59°F right now, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so nothing weird going on there.
The first real chance of anything surfable doesn't show up until Saturday the 26th of July. That morning, the wind goes glassy, but the swell is a measly 2ft from the ESE with a period of 11 seconds. The overall energy is weak (59). It's better than nothing, but it's still considered poor surf. It's a bit of a tease.
The one standout, and I mean the *only* one that gets a nod, is the Saturday morning of the 1st of August. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the north, with a short period of 7 seconds. The wind is glassy, which is a big positive for clean faces. The energy is moderate (125). The water is still that same average temp. It's not a place to get too excited about, but it's the best on offer. The main issue is that it's a beach/bar break, and it's inconsistent, so you'll be sitting waiting for the sets. Still, a glassy 3ft wave is a fun little grovel.
After that, we drop right back off into the doldrums. The second week looks like a total write-off with tiny surf and then a big blow from the southeast around the 4th-7th of August. That brings decent-sized swell, but it's going to be a complete mess with cross-onshore winds up to 34 mph. The 5th of August afternoon sees 8ft from the east, energy hitting 788, but it's a near gale cross-onshore and blown out. That's kite-surfing territory, not for a paddle board. The 6th of August morning has 12ft from the ESE, energy at 2453, but again, hammered by strong cross-onshore winds. For an estuary setup, it's going to be a washing machine. It's a long wait for that one decent morning, and even then, it's nothing to write home about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 6°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 9 | NNW 7 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 39 | 303 | 163 | 118 | 85 | 59 | 36 | 55 | 49 | 55 | 53 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 89 | 87 | 50 | 49 | 49 | 48 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 2:47PM1.54m | 2:58AM1.52m | 3:39PM1.53m | 3:50AM1.50m | 4:31PM1.54m | 4:41AM1.50m | 5:20PM1.57m | 5:30AM1.52m | 6:07PM1.61m | 6:17AM1.55m | 6:51PM1.66m | 7:02AM1.57m | 7:33PM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:50PM0.52m | 9:14AM0.41m | 9:43PM0.55m | 10:05AM0.42m | 10:36PM0.54m | 10:56AM0.40m | 11:28PM0.52m | 11:45AM0.37m | 00:17AM0.48m | 12:32PM0.33m | 1:04AM0.43m | 1:16PM0.29m | 1:48AM0.38m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | E 9 | N 7 | N 8 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
| kJ | 14 | 39 | 154 | 114 | 118 | 85 | 59 | 36 | 55 | 49 | 55 | 53 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 89 | 87 | 50 | 49 | 49 | 48 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 11 | E 11 | N 8 | N 9 | NW 8 | E 13 | E 9 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 4 | N 11 | — | NE 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | E 12 | NE 12 | N 3 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 114 | 163 | 66 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | — | — | NE 8 | E 8 | S 5 | — | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | NW 6 | NE 11 | N 10 | — | N 10 | — | E 12 | — | N 9 | NE 11 |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | 2 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 4 | NNW 7 | — | W 3 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | — | SE 4 | — | — | SW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNW 3 |
| kJ | — | 7 | 303 | — | 11 | 8 | 6 | — | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 217 | 236 | 142 | 0 | 248 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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