Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period, NE swell with 429 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.0m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. So for the Whangamata Estuary, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a decent little pulse coming through mid-period, but there’s a whole lot of flat and ordinary stuff to wade through either side of it. Water temp is 15°, which is pretty average for this time of year.
The best of the run kicks off Friday morning, 14th August. We’re looking at a 1.7m swell from the ENE, period of 7 seconds, with a light SSW breeze giving us cross-off conditions and clean surf. The combined energy is moderate at 295, so there’s some push behind it. The break is a beach/bar setup, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be patient, but when it comes through, it’ll be alright. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out. This is your best bet for the whole outlook.
Saturday 15th August keeps that trend going, with a 1.4m to 1.5m ENE swell, period up to 8 seconds now, and a light SW breeze keeping it clean and cross-off. Combined energy sits around 277 to 296 – still moderate and punchy. It’s solid for a paddle, and the cleaner conditions will make the most of what’s on offer.
From Sunday 16th, things start to drop off. The swell fades to 1.0m and smaller, and while the wind stays favourable on Sunday morning, the energy drops to 140 and it’s just ordinary. By Monday 17th, we’re down to 0.5m with only 52 combined energy, and from there it’s a long, flat stretch. From Tuesday 18th right through to Thursday 27th August, the swell barely gets above 0.5m, and the energy is weak – mostly single or low double digits. There’s a day or two of glassy conditions, but nothing worth paddling for.
Then on Thursday 27th afternoon, we get a late spike – 1.6m from the north, period 7 seconds, combined energy 303 – but it’s cross-on and marginal. Friday 28th morning brings a glassy 0.9m from the north with 220 energy, but again, it’s ordinary, not a standout.
So the standout window is Friday 14th and Saturday 15th August. That’s where you want to be. After that, it’s a long wait with very little to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 3°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 400 | 279 | 159 | 289 | 185 | 256 | 250 | 293 | 268 | 140 | 115 | 92 | 45 | 42 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:05PM1.96m | 7:27AM1.83m | 7:56PM1.98m | 8:19AM1.85m | 8:45PM1.97m | 9:10AM1.84m | 9:32PM1.93m | 9:59AM1.80m | 10:18PM1.86m | 10:46AM1.75m | 11:03PM1.77m | 11:34AM1.69m | 11:49PM1.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:48PM0.06m | 1:25AM0.12m | 1:41PM0.04m | 2:17AM0.08m | 2:32PM0.05m | 3:06AM0.06m | 3:21PM0.09m | 3:52AM0.08m | 4:09PM0.16m | 4:38AM0.13m | 4:56PM0.24m | 5:22AM0.20m | 5:42PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | | | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | 6 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 10 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ESE 6 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 279 | 159 | 289 | 185 | 256 | 250 | 293 | 268 | 140 | 115 | 92 | 45 | 42 | 30 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 16 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | NE 8 | NNW 6 | — | — | E 10 | NE 12 | SSE 5 | NE 10 | N 11 | SE 5 | E 10 | E 10 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 |
| kJ | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 3 | — | — | 18 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 11 | E 15 | N 11 | — | E 14 | N 9 | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | NE 11 | N 11 | — | NE 11 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | WSW 3 | S 3 | SE 6 | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | SE 4 |
| kJ | 400 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 3 | 7 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 106 | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 2 | 14 | 182 | 158 | 158 | 186 | 106 | 106 | 128 | 106 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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