Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with 773 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 7 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
Honestly, mate, it’s a tough run. The Estuary is a beginner-friendly beach/bar setup, but it’s inconsistent at the best of times, and the forecast is showing a long, dry spell with barely a ripple. Water temp is sitting at 59°, which is about average for this time of year.
From Saturday the 1st right through until Friday the 7th, it’s flat. We’re talking tiny dribbles of swell – 0.7ft to 1ft – with very weak combined energy (under 100). The wind is mostly light, sometimes glassy or offshore, but there’s just no wave to work with. It’s pretty heartbreaking.
Then, on Saturday the 8th, we get a real glimmer of hope. The morning brings a 5ft swell from the north, with a period of 8 seconds and combined energy jumping to 309 (moderate). The wind is glassy. That’s the standout. For a brief moment, it’s looking like it could be fun, clean, and rideable for a beginner. It’s the only real bright spot in the whole window.
But then it turns ugly. From Sunday the 9th through to Friday the 14th, the wind screams onshore from the east at 15 to 22 mph, bringing rain and lumpy, poor conditions. The swell is messy and short period. It’s just not worth paddling out – this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The last couple of days, the 15th and 16th, see the wind ease back, but the swell drops away again to 1ft to 2ft. The energy is weak, and it’s just not enough to get excited about.
So, the one and only call – if you’re desperate – is Saturday the 8th. That’s the only chance for a clean, glassy wave. The rest of the window is a write-off. It’s one of those runs where the forecast will need to change for us to get anything else.
Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 5 | ENE 16 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 | N 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 55 | 25 | 41 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 35 | 271 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 8:52PM1.76m | 9:08AM1.63m | 9:30PM1.77m | 9:50AM1.64m | 10:09PM1.77m | 10:33AM1.65m | 10:51PM1.76m | 11:19AM1.66m | 11:36PM1.74m | 12:09PM1.66m | 00:25AM1.72m | 1:04PM1.67m | 1:21AM1.70m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:40PM0.25m | 3:12AM0.29m | 3:20PM0.25m | 3:52AM0.26m | 4:01PM0.27m | 4:32AM0.24m | 4:44PM0.29m | 5:15AM0.23m | 5:30PM0.31m | 6:00AM0.22m | 6:20PM0.34m | 6:51AM0.23m | 7:15PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | |
 | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | E 12 | NNE 6 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ESE 4 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | N 5 | ENE 15 |
| kJ | 13 | 25 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 21 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | N 6 | ENE 15 | ENE 16 | ENE 14 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | E 7 | E 16 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 12 | ENE 11 | E 4 | E 4 | E 4 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 13 |
| kJ | 55 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 20 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 17 | NNE 6 | E 12 | E 10 | NE 10 | N 7 | NE 16 | — | E 18 | — | E 16 | E 16 | E 18 | NE 7 | E 18 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | NE 16 | NE 15 | — |
| kJ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | — | 6 | — | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 9 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 3 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | — | WSW 2 | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | N 5 | N 7 |
| kJ | — | 8 | 41 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 35 | 271 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 106 | 20 | 9 | 130 | 122 | 197 | 236 | 125 | 156 | 158 | 106 | 106 | 130 | 51 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 106 | 23 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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