Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with 504 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the Whangamata area.
Right off the bat, I’ll be straight with you – this is a quiet run. The whole 16-day window is pretty flat. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak signals with no real punch to get excited about. The first few days are a total write-off. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a bust with barely a ripple and messy wind.
Monday the 10th morning is the first time you’d even bother paddling out. It’s still small, but we’ve got clean conditions with a light offshore from the WSW. Swell is coming from the NNE at 4ft, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 174. It’s surfable, but ordinary. The wind is good, though, so if you’re desperate for a glide, you won’t be fighting the chop.
The standout of the whole outlook, if you can call it that, is Friday the 14th afternoon. The swell picks up a bit to 4ft from the NNE, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 278 (moderate), and you’ve got a light NW cross-offshore breeze keeping the surface clean. It’s the only time the forecast actually says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s still not big, but it’s the best wave quality we see in the whole 16 days. For a beginner spot like the Whangamata Estuary (beach/bar), this is about as good as it gets in this flat spell. Just a heads up, the break is inconsistent, so don’t expect a set every minute, and crowds are sometimes a thing here.
Everything after that drops off fast. Saturday the 15th through to the end of the outlook on Sunday the 23rd is all small, weak, and mostly clean but tiny. The water temp is sitting around 58°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber just yet.
Bottom line: If you’ve got to get wet, Friday the 14th afternoon is your only real window. Otherwise, it’s a long wait for a proper pulse.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 8°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 39mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 5 | N 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 9 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 102 | 238 | 159 | 101 | 75 | 55 | 57 | 57 | 88 | 149 | 224 | 94 | 81 | 73 | 159 | 136 | 107 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 2:04PM1.69m | 2:22AM1.69m | 3:08PM1.72m | 3:27AM1.70m | 4:11PM1.77m | 4:31AM1.72m | 5:13PM1.84m | 5:33AM1.76m | 6:11PM1.90m | 6:31AM1.80m | 7:05PM1.96m | 7:27AM1.83m | 7:56PM1.98m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:15PM0.37m | 8:46AM0.22m | 9:20PM0.36m | 9:48AM0.19m | 10:25PM0.32m | 10:51AM0.15m | 11:29PM0.26m | 11:51AM0.10m | 00:29AM0.19m | 12:48PM0.06m | 1:25AM0.12m | 1:41PM0.04m | 2:17AM0.08m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | |  |  |  | | | | |
 | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — |
 | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 2 | 18 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | E 13 | NE 13 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | E 6 | NNE 7 | E 6 | NNE 7 | E 6 | N 8 |
| kJ | 9 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 238 | 159 | 101 | 75 | 55 | 57 | 57 | 88 | 149 | 224 | 78 | 81 | 9 | 159 | 6 | 107 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | N 12 | E 10 | N 12 | E 12 | E 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | E 11 | NE 11 | E 11 | NE 10 | E 14 | NNE 7 | E 6 | NE 10 | E 6 | E 14 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 94 | 34 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | E 6 | N 12 | — | — | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | E 12 | — | E 13 | N 12 | N 12 | — | E 13 | — | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | — | N 3 | N 5 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | E 5 | E 6 | E 6 | — | ENE 6 | NNE 7 | NNW 6 | NNE 7 | WSW 2 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 39 | 59 | 109 | — | 15 | 73 | 60 | 136 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 110 | 106 | 122 | 124 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 51 | 75 | 122 | 110 | 106 | 0 | 164 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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