Surf Forecasts:
Whangamata Estuary surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 9s period, NE swell with 947 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Whangamata Estuary this week:
The surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Whangamata Estuary in the next 16 days are 2.4m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Whangamata Estuary over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty coming to you live from the beach. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Look, I'm going to be straight with you – we are in a proper flat spell right now. The Whangamata Estuary is seeing scraps of energy, but nothing worth paddling out for. We've got a solid 10-day gap with no real surf to speak of. The water temp is sitting at 58°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Friday the 7th through to Sunday the 16th is a long, slow grind. Tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The wind is mostly clean, but with waves barely reaching 0.3 ft, it doesn't matter. The combined swell energy is a pathetic 12, so you're better off taking the dog for a walk.
Things finally start to show a little life on the morning of Sunday the 9th, but it's still poor surf. The swell bumps up to 3 ft from the north, and the period is a short 5 seconds, which is just windswell. The energy is still weak at 51. It's a no-go.
The first real flicker of hope comes on Monday the 10th. The swell from the north hits 3 ft with a 7-second period, and the combined energy climbs to 121 (moderate). It's still "very ordinary" conditions, but it's a step in the right direction.
Now, the standout... and this is the only one worth circling on your calendar. Friday the 14th of August into Saturday the 15th. The swell starts to ramp up, hitting 7 ft from the NNE on Friday afternoon with an 8-second period. The combined energy jumps to 853 (strong). The wind is cross-off from the NNW, so it should be clean. This is expert territory, way too big for beginners. Then on Saturday the 15th, the swell holds at 7 ft from the NNE, period bumps to 9 seconds, and the energy hits 1105 (very strong). The wind is offshore from the WNW, which is a major positive. This is the best on offer, but it's a full week away, so keep an eye on it. The surf is going to be powerful and for experienced surfers only.
After that little burst, the Estuary fades back into the flatness, with the energy dropping to 63 on the 17th and then just petering out to nothing by the 22nd.
So, to sum it up: a long, boring wait, then a short, punchy window for the experts around the 14th and 15th, and then back to the flat spell. Don't hold your breath on the long-range stuff.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 6°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | E 16 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 5 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | N 7 | NE 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 71 | 89 | 112 | 99 | 73 | 52 | 49 | 230 | 151 | 159 | 99 | 74 | 54 | 115 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:04PM1.67m | 1:21AM1.70m | 2:04PM1.69m | 2:22AM1.69m | 3:08PM1.72m | 3:27AM1.70m | 4:11PM1.77m | 4:31AM1.72m | 5:13PM1.84m | 5:33AM1.76m | 6:11PM1.90m | 6:31AM1.80m | 7:05PM1.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:15PM0.36m | 7:46AM0.23m | 8:15PM0.37m | 8:46AM0.22m | 9:20PM0.36m | 9:48AM0.19m | 10:25PM0.32m | 10:51AM0.15m | 11:29PM0.26m | 11:51AM0.10m | 00:29AM0.19m | 12:48PM0.06m | 1:25AM0.12m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | E 13 | NE 13 | N 7 | N 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | N 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 89 | 112 | 99 | 73 | 52 | 49 | 113 | 151 | 159 | 99 | 74 | 54 | 36 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | E 16 | E 6 | E 6 | N 12 | E 10 | N 12 | E 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | E 11 | E 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | NE 10 | E 6 |
| kJ | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 48 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 16 | NE 10 | N 13 | N 13 | NE 10 | N 12 | — | N 12 | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | E 12 | — | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 12 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 15 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 5 | N 6 | — | SSW 2 | WSW 2 | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 6 | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — | NNE 6 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 34 | 71 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 6 | 230 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 115 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 106 | 122 | 106 | 106 | 124 | 106 | 231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 51 | 106 | 110 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 114 | 110 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Coromandel | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Whangamata Estuary Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Whangamata Estuary provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Whangamata Estuary can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Whangamata Estuary surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Whangamata Estuary) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Whangamata Estuary may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Whangamata Estuary is 56 km (35 miles) from the city of Tauranga. If you plan a holiday in The Coromandel, look for hotels and other accommodation in Tauranga. Tauranga has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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