Motiti Island - Ernies surfForecast / Bay of Plenty / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 pm Tuesday 20 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Motiti Island - Ernies surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Motiti Island - Ernies sea temperature is
21.4° C
(Which is 1.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Motiti Island - Ernies this week:

The surf forecast for Motiti Island - Ernies over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Motiti Island - Ernies in the next 12 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Thu 22nd Jan)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Best Surf 7AM (Thu 22nd Jan)10ft (3.0m) 10s
Most Powerful 1AM (Thu 22nd Jan)15ft (4.5m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Motiti Island - Ernies over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 143mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the E on Wed night, light winds from the W by Fri morning).

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Mon morning).

Tue
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
2.4
ENE
2.5
ENE
4
ENE
4
ENE
4.5
ENE
2.5
ENE
1.8
ENE
1.5
ENE
1.2
ENE
1.1
ENE
0.8
ENE
0.6
ENE
0.5
E
0.3
NNE
0.3
E
0.3
E
0.4
E
0.4
E
0.3
E
0.2
E
0.6
E
Period(s) (?)88991010109999991499121211114
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)74593922242605399410715753932271889261414117174744231012
Wind
(km/h)
35
ESE
30
ESE
45
E
45
E
50
ENE
15
WNW
30
W
20
W
15
W
20
WNW
30
WSW
30
WSW
40
WSW
25
W
20
W
30
W
20
WSW
10
WSW
20
N
25
ENE
10
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
ononononcross-
off
offoffoffoffoffoffoffoffoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
on
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:58PM
1.61
9:28AM
1.76
9:41PM
1.63
10:08AM
1.78
10:24PM
1.64
10:48AM
1.80
11:08PM
1.65
11:29AM
1.80
11:54PM
1.66
12:13PM
1.78
12:43AM
1.66
1:01PM
1.76
1:37AM
1.67
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:13AM
0.22
3:46PM
0.30
3:55AM
0.21
4:28PM
0.26
4:36AM
0.21
5:10PM
0.23
5:19AM
0.22
5:53PM
0.20
6:05AM
0.25
6:38PM
0.19
6:54AM
0.28
7:27PM
0.19
7:47AM
0.31
Tue
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Sunrise--6:13--6:16--6:16--6:18--6:18--6:20--6:20
Sunset8:35--8:35--8:34--8:34--8:32--8:31--8:31--
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
Rain (mm)
1611121589--------------2-
Temp. °C171818192223252123241917171619201720201919
Feels °C (?)1213121221242318212215881015141217161617
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Motiti Island - Ernies Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Motiti Island - Ernies provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Motiti Island - Ernies can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Motiti Island - Ernies surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Motiti Island - Ernies) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Motiti Island - Ernies may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Bay of Plenty? If you are looking for accommodation near Motiti Island - Ernies, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Bay of Plenty, consider staying in Tauranga which is 22 km (14 miles) away. Other places in and around Bay of Plenty where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Rotorua which is 57 km (35 miles) away, Whakatane, Cambridge and Hamilton.

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