Newdicks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next week and a half is gonna test your patience. We’re looking at a long, flat spell with nothing but tiny, messy slop and onshore junk. But hang in there, because the back half of this outlook has some serious potential, and one morning in particular is looking like the standout of the whole run.

Right now, through to around the 16th, it’s pretty grim. Swell heights are stuck between 0.7 ft and 1 ft, with periods all over the shop. Energy levels are weak, mostly in the 22 to 96 range (weak energy), and the odd bump that shows up is just not worth suiting up for. Winds are mostly cross-off or cross, which is something, but with nothing behind it, it’s just a flat, clean ocean. There’s a brief blip on the 16th where we see 3 ft to 4 ft, but it’s short-period NW windswell (4-5 seconds) with a moderate cross-chop – that’s a pass from me.

Then things go quiet again for a few days. From the 17th through the 18th, it’s back to tiny 0.7 ft to 2 ft waves with weak energy (15 to 30 range). It feels like a proper drought, to be honest.

But the story changes on the 19th (Saturday). This is where we see the first real pulse of energy. It’s not clean, mind you. We get a jump to 6 ft on Saturday morning, pushing to 8 ft by the afternoon, with a cross-onshore NNW wind at 22 mph. The energy jumps to 348 (moderate) and then 681 (strong), but it’s going to be lumpy, bumpy, and all over the place. This one looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, that’s for sure.

Sunday the 20th calms down to 5 ft with clean, cross-off winds, but the energy drops back to 232 (moderate), and it’s just a marginal forecast. Monday the 21st starts similar at 5 ft, but the afternoon brings a bigger pulse: 10 ft of NE swell with a 10 second period, and the energy jumps to 1695 (strong). That’s got some push behind it, but it’s still only rated as marginal, so I wouldn’t call it the pick.

No, the real standout is Tuesday morning, the 22nd of September. This is the one you want to circle on the calendar. We’re looking at 12 ft of NE groundswell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy reads 3167 (very strong). The wind is dead calm – glassy – which is exactly what you want. This is described as excellent surf for experienced surfers, and that’s no exaggeration. At 12 ft, this is well past beginner territory; this is for the crew who know what they’re doing. The NE direction matches the optimum for Newdicks Beach (Big Island) perfectly. With that long period, at this reef and beach setup, it could be breaking a bit straight, but with this much juice and clean faces, it’s still going to be the best session on offer. Just be aware, the afternoon does swing cross-on and drops to 10 ft, so get your fill in the morning.

Wednesday the 23rd still has good size – 6 ft in the morning with offshore SW winds at 6 mph, and energy at 778 (strong). This is another solid day, expecting very good surf conditions. The afternoon backs off a touch to 5 ft and turns cross-on, but the morning should be worth it. The long-range call into Thursday the 24th fades to 3 ft, so that’s your window.

So, keep your head up through the junk, save your energy, and be ready for Tuesday morning the 22nd. That’s the one that’s going to make all the flat days worth it.

Rusty

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