Newdicks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

Alright, look... I’m gonna be straight with you. The outlook for Newdicks Beach over the next 16 days is pretty grim for anyone who wants to actually catch a wave. This is a beach and reef setup that’s already inconsistent, and that’s not changing anytime soon. We’ve got a long stretch here with basically nothing rideable. The first proper look doesn’t show up until Friday 31st July, and even then it’s marginal.

Let’s walk through it. Wednesday 29th and Thursday 30th July are a total write-off. We’re talking tiny 0.3ft to 2ft slop with periods all over the place, and just laughably weak combined energy (as low as 5 to 24). It’s poor surf, no two ways about it. Glassy conditions on a few mornings are a tease, but there’s no swell to work with.

Friday 31st July morning is the first time the numbers flicker to life. We see a 6ft swell from the NNW, with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 521 (moderate), and with a clean cross-offshore wind, the conditions look surfable. But it’s only rated marginal – the short period means it’ll be a bit fat and soft, not a classic. The afternoon turns choppy and cross-shore, so the window is narrow.

Saturday 1st August morning is glassy with a 3ft NNW swell, but the energy is weak (84), and it’s just ordinary. Not worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate on a foamie. After that, we hit another dead zone from Saturday afternoon all the way through Tuesday 5th August. Tiny leftovers, 0.3ft to 0.7ft, with a very long 15-16 second period but no height – that’s just a gentle bump on the water.

A small improvement on Thursday 6th August gives a 2ft to 3ft NW swell, but the period is a ridiculously short 5 to 6 seconds and energy is still weak (47-69). The wind stays messy.

Now, Friday 7th August morning is the standout for the whole outlook. We get a 5ft N swell with a 7-second period, combined energy of 210 (moderate), and a clean cross-offshore breeze. It says “expect good surf conditions”. For Newdicks, that’s as good as it gets in this window. It’s still a short-period swell, so it won’t be a barrel fest, but it’ll be fun for a beginner or a longboarder. Keep in mind, this break is inconsistent and the optimum swell is from the ENE, so a northerly direction isn’t perfect, but it’s what we’ve got.

After Friday morning, the wheels fall off. From Saturday 8th August onward, we get onshore hell. Strong winds out of the NNE and NE, blowing 16 to 25 mph, with lumps of 5ft to 7ft swell that’s just chopped up. The combined energy gets high (343 to 539), but it’s all wind-blown junk. There’s rain, heavy rain, and poor surf conditions all the way through to Thursday 13th August. That setup, with that wind and a beach-and-reef layout, looks far more interesting for kite surfing than for paddle surfing.

To wrap it up: if you’re a surfer, your best and only real bet is Friday 7th August morning. Get it before the wind ruins it. Everything else is a flat spell or a wind-blown mess. The long gap between Friday 31st July and Friday 7th August is basically dead. It’s a tough run, but Newdicks is always fickle like this; it’s not unusual.

Stay salty,

Rusty.

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