
Surf Forecasts:
Blackhead surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, ESE swell with 2,452 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Blackhead this week:
The surf forecast for Blackhead over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Blackhead in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Blackhead over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and talk about what’s coming our way at Blackhead.
We’ve got a slow start, but don’t write this one off. The first few days are pretty ordinary, but there’s a serious pulse of energy building for the second week. The standout window is definitely the first weekend of August, with some real muscle and clean conditions lining up.
The first real glimpse of something decent comes on Sunday, July 26th. Blackhead is a point break, so it loves a decent swell. We’re looking at 7 ft of swell from the south, with a period of 8 seconds. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, which will keep things clean. The combined swell energy is moderate (895). It’s not a classic, but it’s the first sign of life.
Monday, July 27th, the swell builds, but the wind gets stronger. That afternoon sees 8 ft of swell from the southeast, but the onshore wind is going to put a chop on it. This is more for the experienced crew, as it’s pushing into that size where it gets serious.
Tuesday, July 28th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning is clean with a light breeze and 8 ft of swell from the east-southeast, with a period of 12 seconds. That’s a solid groundswell, and the water temp is about where you’d expect it for this time of year. The energy is strong (1872). This is a good session for anyone who can handle a bit of size.
The real gold is sitting on the first weekend of August. Let’s be clear: Friday, August 7th and Saturday, August 8th are the absolute pick of the entire forecast.
On Friday morning, August 7th, we’ve got a solid 10 ft south swell, with a long period of 14 seconds. The wind is a light offshore. That’s the recipe for a serious point-break day. The wave energy is strong (3413). This is expert territory, no question. The crowd is listed as “sometimes,” so you might not be alone, but the quality will be worth sharing.
Then Saturday, August 8th, is the bigger brother. Morning brings a 12 ft south swell at 13 seconds, with a glassy, offshore breeze. The energy is very strong (4229). This is the kind of day that point breaks are made for. The sets will be big, clean, and powerful. If you’re not an expert, watch from the cliff.
After that, Sunday, August 9th drops back to a more manageable 6 ft from the south-southeast, still clean, but the magic is over.
So, the message is: be patient this week. The first few days are just warm-ups. The real story is the first weekend of August. That’s your time to make a move on Blackhead.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 12°C on Fri night, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 12 | SE 16 | S 8 | S 8 | E 12 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
123 | 91 | 237 | 251 | 465 | 410 | 304 | 816 | 2023 | 2106 | 1795 | 2212 | 1585 | 1193 | 977 | 703 | 579 | 408 | 214 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:49AM1.27m | 2:16PM1.33m | 2:36AM1.26m | 3:02PM1.33m | 3:22AM1.25m | 3:48PM1.35m | 4:08AM1.25m | 4:34PM1.36m | 4:54AM1.26m | 5:20PM1.38m | 5:39AM1.26m | 6:04PM1.39m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:59AM0.29m | 8:30PM0.32m | 8:44AM0.30m | 9:18PM0.33m | 9:30AM0.30m | 10:05PM0.32m | 10:16AM0.29m | 10:52PM0.31m | 11:02AM0.27m | 11:39PM0.29m | 11:48AM0.25m | 00:25AM0.27m | |||||||
— | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | |
mm | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 9 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 12 | E 11 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | E 12 | ESE 13 | SSW 13 | SE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
47 | 91 | 237 | 151 | 268 | 378 | 304 | 816 | 145 | 2106 | 1795 | 2212 | 1585 | 1193 | 977 | 703 | 579 | 408 | 214 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ESE 13 | SE 17 | SE 16 | E 11 | E 13 | ESE 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SE 12 |
10 | 17 | 147 | 251 | 116 | 85 | 163 | 18 | 209 | 64 | 77 | 46 | 40 | 19 | 9 | 41 | 48 | 41 | 24 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | ESE 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | S 15 | — | SW 13 | — | SSW 13 |
6 | 31 | 30 | 51 | 46 | 40 | 29 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 4 | — | 42 | — | 16 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 6 | — | SSW 4 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | NE 4 | NE 5 |
123 | — | 17 | 237 | 465 | 410 | 272 | 453 | 2023 | 304 | — | — | — | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 254 | 0 | 75 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in The Wairarapa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Blackhead Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Blackhead provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Blackhead can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Blackhead surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Blackhead) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Blackhead may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in The Wairarapa? If you are looking for accommodation near Blackhead, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in The Wairarapa, consider staying in Hastings which is 77 km (48 miles) away. Other places in and around The Wairarapa where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Palmerston North which is 89 km (55 miles) away and Napier, 94 km (58 miles) away.










